“Knowledge is power.”
Francis Bacon
PAF 101Module 5, Lecture 1
Class Agenda•Announcements • Intro to Module 5•Prince System•Assignment
Challah for Hunger BakeWednesday 11/08/17 5:00-8:00
Thursday 11/09/17 5:00-8:00@Hillel
Fireside Chat- Featuring Sarah
Dale Carnegie Principles
• Don't criticize, condemn or complain.
• Give honest and sincere appreciation.
• Arouse in the other person an eager want.
• Become genuinely interested in other people.
• Remember that a man's name is to him the sweetest and most important sound in any language.
• Be a good listener. Encourage others to talk about themselves.
• Talk in the terms of the other man’s interest.
• Make the other person feel important and do it sincerely.
• Avoid arguments.
• Never tell someone they are wrong
• If you're wrong, admit it quickly and emphatically.
• Begin in a friendly way.
• Start with questions the other person will answer yes to. Let the other person do the talking.
• Let the other person feel the idea is his/hers.
• Try honestly to see things from the other person's
point of view.
• Sympathize with the other person.
• Appeal to noble motives.
• Dramatize your ideas.
• Throw down a challenge.
• Begin with praise and honest appreciation.
• Call attention to other people's mistakes indirectly.
• Talk about your own mistakes first.
• Ask questions instead of giving direct orders.
• Let the other person save face.
• Praise every improvement.
• Give them a fine reputation to live up to
• Encourage them by making their faults seem easy to correct.
• Make the other person happy about doing what you suggest.
Community Service Reminder• The Final Community Service Form is
due in class on 12/4• Use the online form on the 101
website, located in the Service section.
• If you have any questions, please email Sarah at [email protected]
Integrating the Groups•From 19 groups to 9 groups •Top groups choose first, you will have 20 seconds to make a decision
•Listen carefully to the instructions before moving around or there will be a crisis
Group # Points
5 37
12 36
1 34
8 34
17 30
14 29
3 27
7 27
9 25
16 25
11 24
10 23
15 23
13 22
19 22
2 21
4 21
6 21
18 21
Competition PointsWinners
Losers
As of 11/08/2017
Competition Points
New Group Old GroupABCDEFGHI
FG
D
HBC
EI A
Follow Along with the Module 5 Exercises
Select a policy from your previous modules or not so you can predict its
chances of being implemented
Policy Triangle
Societal
Problems
A
Players
B
Public
PolicyC
The Prince System
What is the Prince System?
A Method for Forecasting Decisions and Coming
Up with Strategies to Get What You Want
Some Users of the System•U.S. Department of State•C.I.A.•U.S. Army Corps of Engineers•U.S. Forestry Service•Diebold Automated Office Programs•American Library Association•Political Risk Services
Step 1
Describing the Policy to be Implemented
Example: Get A New Loan
The Prince System
Family Issues•Get a New Loan•Pay for Children’s Education•Buy Vacation Home for Parents
Step 2Identify Key Players
Example:
Father, Mother, Son, Daughter
The Prince System
Step 2 RevisedFull List of Key Players
Example:Father, Mother, Son,
Daughter, Creditors, Grandfather
The Prince System
Step 3 Estimate Position (-5 to +5)Players PositionFather +5Mother - 4Son +2Daughter +2Creditors 0Grandfather - 5
Total = 0
The Prince System
Players Position X Power = Prince Score
Father +5 X 3 = +15
Mother - 4 X 2 = - 8
Son +2 X 1 = +2
Daughter +2 X 1 = +2
Creditors 0 X 5 = (5)
Grandfather - 5 X 5 = - 25
Step 4 Estimate Power (1 to 5)
Total = -14
Step 5 Estimate Priority (1 to 5)Players Position X Power X Priority = Prince
ScoreFather +5 X 3 X 5 = +75
Mother - 4 X 2 X 5 = - 40
Son +2 X 1 X 1 = +2
Daughter +2 X 1 X 4 = +8
Creditors 0 X 5 X 2 = (10)
Grandfather -5 X 5 X 3 = - 75
Total = -30
Step 6 Calculate Probabilities
Step 2:Players
Step 3:Position
X Step 4:Power
X Step 5:Priority
= Step 6a:Prince Score
Father +5 X 3 X 5 = +75
Mother - 4 X 2 X 5 = - 40Son +2 X 1 X 1 = +2
Daughter +2 X 1 X 4 = +8
Creditors 0 X 5 X 2 = (10)
Grandfather -5 X 5 X 3 = - 75
Step 1: Action to be Predicted Get a New Loan
=90210 = .43
Sum of Positive Scores and One Half of Neutral ScoresSum of Absolute Values of All Scores, IncludingNeutral Scores
Strategy ToolHostility-Friendship Chart
Player Father Mother Son Daughter Creditors Grandfather
Father x + - + - -
Mother - x + - - +
Son - + x - - +
Daughter + - - x - +
Creditors + + + + x +
Grandfather - + + + 0 x
Prince ChartStep 2:Players
Step 3:Position(+5 to –5)
X Step 4:Power(1 to 5)
X Step 5:Priority(1 to 5)
= Step 6a:Prince Score
Father +5 X 3 X 5 = +75
Mother - 4 X 2 X 5 = - 40Son +2 X 1 X 1 = +2Daughter +2 X 1 X 4 = +8Creditors +2 X 5 X 2 = +20
Grandfather +2 X 5 X 3 = +30South DakotaSavings
+5 X 5 X 2 = +50
Step 1:Policy to be Implemented Get a New Loan
Sum of Positive Scores and One Half of Neutral ScoresSum of Absolute Values of All Scores, IncludingNeutral Scores
= 185225
= .82
Prince Analysis Steps
1. Identify Necessary Actions
2. Identify Key Players
3. Estimate Position (-5 to +5)
4. Estimate Power (1 to 5)
5. Estimate Priority (1 to 5)
6. Calculate Probabilities
7. Formulate Prince Strategies
Ex. 9.1
Ex. 9.2
Ex. 9.3
Ex. 9.4
Chapter 10
Step 1: Choose a Policy (9.1) •Does not have to be related to previous work, but it is advised.
•Must address the correct geographic area.
Assignment•Read Chapter 9 by next class!•Get your community service hours completed!
•Sit with your new group for the rest of the semester
•Module 5 Due December 8