Document of

The World Bank

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

Report No. P-4885-CHA

MEMORANDUM AND RECOMMENDATION

OF THE

PRESIDENT OF THE

INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION

TO THE

EXECUTIVE DIRECTORS

ON A

PROPOSED CREDIT OF SDR 44.7 MILLION

(US$61.0 MILLION EQUIVALENT)

TO THE

PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF CHINA

FOR THE

JIANGXI PROVINCIAL HIGHWAY PROJECT

JANUARY 12, 1989

This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the performance oftheir official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank authorizationL

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CURRENCY EQUIVALENTS(as of December 1988)

Currency name = RenminbiCurrency unit m Yuan (Y) = 100 PenUS$1.00 Y 3.70US$0.27 = Y 1.0US$1.0 million Y X 3.7 millionUS$270,270 = Y 1.0 million

FISCAL YEAR

January 1 - December 31

WEIGHTS AND MEASURES

1 meter (m) 3.28 feet (ft)1 kilometer (km) - 0.62 mile (mi)1 square meter (m2) 10.76 square feet (ft2)1 square kilometer (km2) = 0.4 square miles (mi2)1 hectare (ha) = 0.01 km2 2.47 acres (ac) 15 mu1 mu 666.7 m2 - 0.0667 ha1 kilogram (kg) 3 2.2046 pounds (lbs)1 metric ton (m ton) - 2,204 pounds (lbs)

PRINCIPAL ABBREVIATIONS AND ACRONYMS USED

CMC - China National Machinery Import & Export CorporationCMAC - Civil Aviation Administration of ChinaERR - Economic rate of returnGOVAI - Gross output value of agriculture and industryHPDI - highway Planning and Design InstituteHSRI - Highway Scientific Research InstituteICB - International Competitive BiddingJPTD - Jiangxi Provincial Transport DepartmentMOC - Ministry of CommunicationsNMG - Nanchang Municipal GovernmentO-D - Origin-DestinationPTD - Provincial Transport DepartmentSAA - State Auditing AdministrationTRRL - UK Transport and Road Research LaboratoryVOC - Vehicle Operating Costsvpd - Vehicle per day

FOR OFFICIAL USE ONLY

CHINA

JIANGXI PROVINCIAL HIGHWAY PROJECT

Credit/Proiect Summary

Borrower: People's Republic of China

Beneficiaryt Jiangxi Province

Amount: SDR 44.7 million (US$61.0 million equivalent)

Terms: Standard, with 35 years maturity. The terms foronlending to Jiangxi Province would be for aperiod of 20 years with 5 years grace at aninterest rate of 4.6Z p.a.

Financing Plant Central Government US$ 24.2 millionJPTD US$ 6.5 millionNHG US$ 9.9 millionJiangxi Province US$ 7.4 millionIDA US$ 61.0 million

Total. USSO9.O million

Economic Rate ofReturnt 30X for the Nanchang-Jiujiang Highway and 38? for the

Nanchang Bridge.

Staff ADDraisalReDort: Report No. 7430-CHA

Mans:. IBRD 20254IBRD 20267IBRD 20282

This document has a restricted distribution and may be used by recipients only in the perfor 'auiceof their official duties. Its contents may not otherwise be disclosed without World Bank autho: zation.

- 1 -

MEMORANDUM AND RECOMMENDATION OF THE PRESIDENTOF THE INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT ASSOCIATION

TO THE EXECUTIVE DIRECTORSON A PROPOSED CREDIT TO

THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF CHINAFOR THE JIANGXI PROVINCIAL HIGHWAY PROJECT

1. The following memorandum and recommendation on a proposeddevelopment credit to the People's Republic of China is submitted forapproval. A proposed credit for SDR 44.7 million (US$61.0 million equivalent)would be on standard IDA terms with 35 years maturity and vould help financethe expansion and improvement of the highway network.

2. Background. The transport system in China has been severely taxedby the pace of recent economic development and capacity constraints areevident in all modes. The most serious transport need is for dramaticallyexpanded road capacity, especially in rural areas where increased agriculturaland small-scale industrial production have created an urgent demand for betterfarm-to-market transport services. Road transport will also face a growingshare of the demand for passenger transportation from the increasingly mobilepopulation. In the railway subsector, the network capacity has severelyhampered delivery of energy supplies (i.e. coal), and even with recentlyinitiated investments in rail line electrification and new line construction,it will take several years to alleviate bottlenecks between major mining areasand coastal cities. China also needs to substantially expand its port andwaterways facilities to relieve the growing hindrance to external trade causedby inadequate berth capacity and container handling capacity. China's SeventhFive-Year Plan (1986-90) recognizes all these sectoral needs. By the end ofthe plan period, freight traffic is projected to be 452 higher than in 1985,and passenger traffic 60? higher, with a disproportionately greater share ofthe increase falling on road transport. To meet these needs, substantialinvestments are envisioned, especially in highway network expansion, new raillines, double-tracking and electrification of existing rail lines, and moreberths at coastal ports. The Plan also proposes to secure efficiency gains intransportation from operational improvements; these include the development ofintegrated transportation networks, in particular for coal transportation andfor import/export trade, and technological improvements such as containerhandling facilities and intermodal transport centers. To facilitate thesedevelopments, the Plan envisions significant institutional changes in thesector, including an extension of the policy of separating the functions ofGovernment from those of operating enterprises and delegating authority tolocal managements. The Bank fully subscribes to the Government's objectivesfor development of the transport sector and is supporting its initiatives withfinancial and technical assistance. Four railway projects (Loans 2394-CHA,2540-CHA, 2678-CHA/Credit 1680-CHA and Loan 2968-CHA) are assisting theexpansion of capacity on key routes and the manufacture of electriciocomotives, passenger coaches and signalling equipment. Four port projects(Loans 2207-CHA, 2689-CHA, 2907-CHA and 2977-CHA) will effect improvements atTianjin, Shanghai, Huangpu and Dalian Ports. The four Bank Group financed

.2-

highway projects in China (Loan 2539-CHA/Credit 1594-CHA, Loan 2811-CHA/Credit1792-CHA, Loan 2951-CHA/Credit 1917 CHA, and Loan 2952-CHA) involve theconstruction and improvement of national, rural roads and the first expresswayin China.

3. While all the transport modes in China are in urgent need ofexpansion and modernization, road transport presents the most difficultchallenge. Road freight traffic has been increasing at about 17? per annumfrom 1980 to 1986 mainly due to the burgeoning market economy, and passengertraffic is growing at about 15? per annum. Road congestion was already aserious problem in the early 1980s, and near major cities has now grown worse.Increased road capacity is urgently needed. Furthermore, of the approximately962,800 km in 1986 only some 22,000 km, or 232, have asphaltic or concretepavement. These pavements are generally of poor quality; most have exceededtheir design life and are deteriorating rapidly with the increasing traffic.Accordingly, the highway mode is receiving increased attention under theSeventh Five-Year Plan (SFYP). The SFYP for the highway subsector is toupgrade at least 80,000 km of existing road, and to construct about 60,000 kmof new roads of which 9,000 km would be class II standard and 1,580 km wouldbe Expressway or Class One standard roads.

4. The main objectives for highwa7 development in the 1980s are toprovide adequate capacity in the heavily congested corridors, to upgrade andimprove the existing network, and to expand the network in remote rural areas.The proposed 113km Nanchang-Jiujiang Highway and the new Nanchang Bridge arepart of the plan for high standard road investment in Jiangxi Province. Theproposed program for evaluation of the existing road pavements in Jiangxi andthe preparation of strengthening and maintenance management programs serve theobjective of upgrading and improving the existing poor quality and lowstandard paved road network. There is also an urgent need in the province formore modern techniques in the planning, design, construction and maintenanceof roads.

5. Rationale for Bank Involvement. The Bank supports the government'sobjectives and initiatives for development of the transport sector with bothfinancial and technical assistance to remove the transport bottlenecksimpeding economic growth. The strategy for the Bank's involvement in thehighway subsector is to meet the most urgent needs of road network expansionand to support a program of studies on key issues. Bank's involvement in thehighway subsector, particularly in terms of policy, institutional andtechnical matters under the first and second projects, aims at helping tomodernize the subsector, by bringing the Bank's experience to bear on theproblems and by expediting the introduction of advanced technology to solvethem; ongoing studies in these projects cover important problems related toroads financing, road safety, road congestion, the methodology for evaluatingexisting road pavements and maintenance management. The proposed project,besides helping to alleviate congestion on this most congested corridor ofJiangxi, one of the relatively less developed provinces in China, wouldcontinue Bank's support in these matcers and encompass tasks related to roadpavement strengthening and planning.

- 3 -

6. Project Obiectives. The existing Nanchang-Jiujiang hivhway and twoexisting bridges crossing Gan River into the city of Nanchang are now heavilycongested. The proposed highway would help expand transport capacity in thisimportant corridor between the provincial capital of Jiangxi and the inlandwater port at Jiujiang. The proposed bridge would help complete the link andchannel long distance through traffic from the new highway around the alreadycongested Nanchang City. The project would also address the followingspecific policy, institutional and technological objectives: (a) improvementof road and urban traffic planning techniques; (b) evaluation of existingpaved roads and preparation of a pavement strengthening and maintenancemanagement program; (c) assistance to modernize design, construction, andmaterials specifications and contract documentation; (d) supporting theprovince's change to competitive bidding for civil works and developing theinstitutional capacity for supervising civil work construction; (e) carryingout a road safety program; and (f) assistance in staff training.

7. Proiect DescriDtion. The Jiangxi Provincial Transport Department(JPTD) and the Nanchang Municipal Government (NMG) would be responsible forcarrying out the project under the overall supervision of the JiangxiProvincial Government. The project would include: (a) construction of a new113-km highway between -,anchang and Jiujiang; (b) construction of a double-deck, six-lane bridge across the Gan River at Nanchang, with a total length of1,932 m including east and west approach structure; (c) construction orimprovement of about 6 km of access roads connecting the new bridge to the newhighway; (d) consulting services to help train JPTD and NMG staff in thesupervision and quality control of the highway and bridge construction;(e) preparation of a program for pavement strengthening, betterment andmaintenance; (f) assistance to JPTD in improved road planning, by preparing acomputerized Road Data Bank; (g) staff training; and (h) equipment for roadmanagement, operation and maintenance.

8. Schedule A shows the estimated project costs and financing plan.Schedule B shows procurement methods and estimated disbursements. Schedules Cand D show a timetable for project processing and statement of Bank Loans, IDACredits and the IFC operations for China, respectively. Maps showing theJiangxi Provincial Transport Network, the Nanchang-Jiujiang Highway, and theNanchang Bridge are attached. A Staff Appraisal Report, No. 7430-CHA, isbeing distributed separately.

9. Action Agreed. Agreement was reached during negotiations withJiangxi Province to: (a) implement in Jiangxi Province the findings of theroad safety st-idy done by Ministry of Communications (HOC) under the firstBank's highwa/ project (Loan 2539/Credit 1594); and (b) carry out the roadpavement evaluation, road data bank, and staff training programs according toterms of reference and timing agreeable to the Association. Duringnegotiations assurances were obtained from Jiangxi Province that resettlementunder the project would be done in accordance with the plan agreed with theAssociation.

- 4 -

10. benefits. On many sections of the existing road, traffic alreadyexceeds capacity and congestion is a serious problem leading also toincreasing accident rates. Economic benefits under the proposed project areexpected mainly from vehicle operating cost savings due to: (a) distancesaving; (b) road quality improvement; and (c) congestion and accidentreduction. The ERR for the Nanchang-Jiujiang Highway investment would be 30%and for Nanchang Bridge would be 38%.

11. Risks. There are no major risks foreseen in the project. JPTD hadhired a Chinese-American engineering joint-venture consulting firm to helpprepare bid documents for the proposed road. The US Federal HighwayAdministration has assisted in the review of the design of the new NanchangBridge. The Danish aid agency DANIDA has helped in the review of the designof the highway and in the ,preparation of bid documents for the highway and thebridge. Construction of the new highway and bridge would be supervised byjoint teams of local engineers and foreign consultants.

12. Recommendation. I am satisfied that the proposed credit to Chinawould comply with the Articles of Agreement of the Association and recommendthat the Executive Directors approve the proposed credit.

Barber B. ConablePresident

AttachmentsJanuary 12, 1989Washington, DC

-5-

Schedull A

CHINA

JIANGXI PROVINCIAL HIGHWAY PROJECT

ESTIMATED COSTS AND FINANCING PLAN(US$ million)

Sstimated Costs: laLocal Foreign Total---- (US$ million)-----

Nanchang-Jiujiang Highway Construction 18.4 22.4 40.8Construction of 6 km connecting road 2.7 2.7 5.4Nanchang Bridge Construction 14.0 23.8 37.8Equipment 0.1 1.9 2.0Technical Assistance and Training - 2.0 2.0

Base Cost (Jan 1988 prices) i52 88,0

Physical contingencies 3.a 5.3 8.8Price contingencies 1.9 2.9 4.8

Subtotal 40.6 6..

Land acquisition 7.4 - 7.4

Total Project Costs 4AL. 6L.Q 109.0

Financing Plan:Local Foreign Total-------(US$ million)-

Central Government 24.2 - 24.2JPTD 6.5 - 6.5NMG 9.9 - 9.9Jiangxi Province 7.4 - 7.4IDA - 61.0 61.0

Total 48,0 61.0 109.0

/a Import taxes and duties are not included in project costs; the project isexempt from import taxes and duties.

Schedule BPage 1 of 2

CHINA

JIANGXI PROVINCIAL HIGHWAY PROJECT

Procurement Methods and Disbursements(US$ million)

Procurement MethodProject element ICB LCB Other Total

Highway civil works 46.0 - 6.0 52.0(25.4) (3.2) (28.6)

Bridge civil works 28.6 - 16.4 45.0(18.0) (9.8) (27.8)

Equipment - - 2.2 2.2- (2.2) (2.2)

Training and consultants - - 2.4 2.4(2.4) (2.4)

Land acquisition - - 7.4 7.4

Total 74.6 34.4 109.0(43.4) (17.6) (61.0)

Note: Figures in parentheses represent the amounts financed by theAssociation. All figures include estimated physical and pricecontingencies but exclude cost of land acquisition and are rounded.

Disbursements

Category Amount Z to be Financed(SDR equivalent)

Highway Civil works 16.4 55Z of total expendituresBridge Civil Works 17.2 63Z of total expendituresForce Account Civil Works 2.0 5OZ of total expendituresConsultants and Training 2.1 100Z of total expendituresEquipment 1.1 100Z of foreign or ex-factory

expenditures and 75Z of localpurchases

Unallocated 5.9

Total 44.7

-7-

Schedule BPage 2 of 2

Estimated IDA Disbursements

IDA Fiscal Year1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995--------------------US$ million--------------------

Annual 0 5.0 22.0 16.0 6.0 6.0 6.0Cumulative 0 5.0 27.0 43.0 49.0 55.0 61.0

-8-

Schedule C

CHINA

JIANGXI PROVINCIAL HIGHWAY PROJECT

Timetable of Key Proiect Processing Fvents

(a) Time taken to prepare: One year

(b) Prepared by: Jiangxi Provincial Transport Departmentand Nanchang Municipality.

(c) First Association Mission: February 1987

(d) Appraisal mission departure: February 11, 1988

(e) Date of negotiations: December 1988

(f) Planned date of effectiveness: June 1989

(g) List of relevant PCRs and NonePPARs

Schedule D

Page 1 of 3

STATUS OF BANK GROUP OPERATIONS IN THE PEOPLE'S REPUBLIC OF CHINA

4. STATEMENT OF BANK LOANS AND IDA CREDITS(as of September 30, 1988)

Loan/ Amount (USS million)Credit Fiscal tless cancellations)Number Year Borrower Purpose Bank IDA Undisbursed Lb

One loan and two credits have been fully disbursed

2021/1167 81 PRC University Development 100.00 100.00 0.001261 82 PRC North China Plain Agriculture - 60.00 0.002207 83 PRC Three Ports 67.97 - 0.771297 83 PRC Agric. Education & Research - 75.40 3.45

2226/1313 83 PRC Industrial Credit I (CIB I) 40.60 30.00 4.892231 83 PRC Petroleum I (Daqing) 162.40 - 20.432252 83 PRC Petroleum II (Zhongyuan-Wenliu) 100.80 - 28.68

2261/1347 83 PRC State Farms I (Heilongjiang) 25.30 45.00 1.241411 84 PRC Polytechnic/TV University - 85.00 27.021412 84 PRC Technical Cooperation - 10.00 1.121417 84 PRC Rubber Development - 100.00 22.532382 84 PRC Lubuge Hydroelectric 145.40 - 45.282394 84 PRC Railway 220.00 - 34.821462 84 PRC Rural Credit I - 50.00 0.171472 84 PRC Rural Health & Medical Educ. - 85.00 21.02426 84 PRC Petroleum III (Karamay 99.50 - 27.89

2434/1491 84 PRC Industrial Credit II (CIB II) 105.00 70.00 21.222444/1500 84 PRC Agricultural Education II 45.30 23.50 16.021516 85 PRC Agricultural Research II - 25.00 10.661551 85 PRC University Development II - 145.00 63.782493 85 PRC Power II 117.00 - 38.072501 85 PRC Changcun (Luan) Coal Mining 120.50 - 107.091577 85 PRC Seeds - 40.00 15.001578 85 PRC Rural Water Supply - 80.00 61.41

2539/1594 85 PRC Highway I 42.60 30.00 32.392540 85 PRC Rai!l>ly II 235.00 - 197.212541 85 PRC Fertilizer Rehabilitation & 97.00 - 28.44

Energy Saving1605 85 PRC Forestry Development - 47.30 34.92

2579/1606 85 PRC PiShiHang-Chaohu Area Development 17.00 75.00 54.362580 85 PRC Weiyuan Gas Field Technical 25.00 - 14.93

Assistance1642 86 PRC Rural Credit II - 90.00 26.41

2659/1663 86 PRC Industrial Credit III (CIB III) 75.00 25.00 20.791664 86 PRC Technical Cooperation Credit II - 20.00 19.341671 86 PRC Provincial Universities - 120.00 71.23

2678/1680 86 PRC Third Railway 160.00 70.00 219.982689 86 PRC Tianjin Port 130.00 - 119.651689 86 PRC Freshwater Fisheries - 60.00 30.07

- 10 - Schedule DPage 2 of 3

Loan/ Amount (USS million)Credit Fiscal (less cancellations)Number Year Borrower Purpose Bank IDA Undisbursed /b

2706 86 PRC Beilungang Thermal Power 225.00 - 184.322707 86 PRC Yantan Hydroelectric 52.00 - 30.522708 86 PRC Eiaodong Bay Petroleum Appraisal 30.00 * 17.31

2723/1713 86 PRC Rural Health & Preventive Med. 15.00 65.00 69.561733 87 PRC Red Soils - 40.00 20.922775 87 PRC Shuikou Hydroelectric 140.00 - 118.47

2783/1763 87 PRC Industrial Credit IV (CIB IV) 250.00 50.00 235.692784 87 PRC Shanghai Machine Tools 100.00 98.991784 87 PRC Xinjiang Agricultural Development - 70.00 68.29

281111792 8? PRC Beijing-Tianjin-Tanggu Expressway 25.00 125.00 131.482812/1793 87 PRC Gansu Provincial Development 20.00 150.50 158.821835 87 PRC Planning Support & Special Studies - 20.70 19.10

2794/1779 87 PRC Shanghai Sewerage 45.00 100.00 137.102838 87 PRC Fertilizer Rationalization 97.40 - 96.902852 87 PRC Wujing Thermal Power 190.00 - 190.001871 88 PRC Rural Credit III - 170.00 119.67

2877/1845 88 PRC Huangpu Port 63.0 25.00 88.55290711875 88 PRC Dalian Port 71.0 25.00 94.491883 88 PRC Northern Irrigation - 103.00 93.81

2924/1887 88 PRC Coastal Lands Development 40.00 60.00 96.781908 88 PRC Teachers Training - 50.00 47.492943 88 PRC Pharmaceuticals 127.00 - 127.00

2951/1917.L 88 PRC Sichuan Highway 75.00 50.00 121.582952 /a 88 PRC Shaanxi Highway 50.00 - 50.001918 88 PRC Dazing An Ling Forestry - 56.90 53.042955 88 PRC Beilungang II 165.00 - 165.002958 /a 88 PRC Phosphate Development 62.7 - 62.72967/1932 88 PRC RSAL 200.00 100.00 109.062968 /L 88 PRC Railway IV 200.00 - 200.00

Total 4,374.47 2.822.30

of which has been repaid 83.82 -

Total now held by Bank and IDA 4.290.65 2.822.30

Amount sold: Of which repaid - -

Total Undisbursed 2.946.46 1.503.25 4,449.71

/a Not yet signed./b As credits are denominated in SDRs (since IDA Replenishment VI), undisbursed SDR credit

balances are converted to dollars at the current exchange rate between the dollar and theSDR. In some cases, therefore, the undisbursed balance indicates a dollar amount greaterthan the original principal credit amount expressed in dollars.

Notes: 1) The status of the projects listed in Part A is described in a separate report on all

Bank/IDA financial projects in execution, which is updated twice yearly and circulatedto the Executive Directors on April 30 and October 31.

2) Since the date of this Statement (September 30, 1988) two loans have been approved:Ningbo and Shanghai Ports for $76.4 million, and Xiamen Port for $36.0 million.

- 11 - Schedule DPage 3 of 3

B. STATEMENT OF IFC INVESTMENTS(as of September 30. 1988)

Invest- Fiscal Type of Loan Equity Totalm.ent no. year Obligor business -- (USS million) --

813 1985 Guangzhou and Peugeot Automobile 15.00 2.00 17.00

974 1987 China Investment Co. Investment 3.00 0.04 3.04

1020 1987 Shenzen China Bicycle 5.00 - 5.00Bicycles Co. Ltd. Manufacture

Total Gross Commitments 23.00 2.04 25.04

Less cancellations, terminationsrepayment and sales - - -

Total Commitments now Held by IFC 23.00 2.04 25.04

Total Disbursed 6.50 0.04 6.54

Total Undisbursed 16.50 2.00 18.50

114- / iiI l- 11 -

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