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1 Wine Intelligence Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work in

Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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Page 1: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

1

Wine Intelligence

Wine Intelligence team

Markets we actively work in

Page 2: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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ÁSIA

Prepared by Wine Intelligence to support

Wines of Portugal Marketing Plan 2018-2020

Page 3: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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1 China 39 39%

2 Japan 24.5 24%

3 S. Korea 9.5 9%

4 Hong Kong 9 9%

5 Taiwan 8 8%

6 Vietname 2.5 2%

7 India 2 2%

8 Indonesia 2 2%

9 Malasia 2 2%

10 Singapore 1 1%

11 Phillipines 1 1%

12 Macau 0.5 0%

ÁSIA Onde investir?

Page 4: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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1338

337

33

32

16

14

13

13

10

10

6

4

1400

393

231

1400

Source: IWSR

China

Japan

Hong Kong

South Korea

Taiwan

Philippines

India

Vietnam

Thailand

Singapore

Malaysia

Indonesia

0

0

33

32

16

14

13

13

10

10

6

4

50

0

0

27

10

3

10

50

Consumo de vinho (milhões de litros)

Total

Vinho importado

ÁSIA

Page 5: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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葡萄牙

CHINA

grape tooth

PORTUGAL

Page 6: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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Source: Wine Intelligence Future Consumers model

* Imported wine drinkers = upper middle class consumers who drink imported wine at least twice a year

6%11%

17%25%

2010 2015 2020 2025

% of regular wine drinkers

335 million

19 million

430 million

515 million

629 million

48 million

88 million

160 million

Wine Intelligence

projection

Urban adult population

Imported wine drinkers*

% of imported wine drinkers

2015/2016

CHINA

Page 7: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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Source: Wine Intelligence Future Consumers model

7%2%

40%

34%

20%

50%

53%

57%

4%10%

23%

2015 2020 2025

Next-Gens

Millennials

X-Gens

Boomers

48 million

88 million

160 million

Born between

X-Gens

Boomers

Next Gens

Old Millennials

1950

1980

2010

1965

1995

Millennials

Year of birth

CHINA

Page 8: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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West Spicier, hot

CHINA

South Sweeter

East Lighter, fresh

North Heavier, stronger-

flavoured

Page 9: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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CHINA

Millennials em Shanghai

• Shanghai é a Nova Iorque/Londres/Berlim da China

• Menos bling/show-off e mais cool e cosmopolita

• Millennials da classe média procuram ser mais ocidentais:

• Gostam de saber mais sobre o que estão a beber

• Gostam experimentar

• Gostam de se associar ao vinho por ser uma bebida sofisticada

• Gostam de vinho a copo

• On-trade scene em rápido crescimento

Source: Wine Intelligence in-market experience

Page 10: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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Sources:

• http://www.yesmywine.com

• Wine Intelligence China trade interview programme for SAWIS, June-July 2015

Consumidores mais jovens a mudar as preferências de consumo

- Corpo

- Acidez

- Tanino

Pink Moscato sparkling wine

specially trendy among female

consumers

+ Suavidez

+ Fruta

+ Doce

CHINA

…e menos álcool… não gostam de se embebedar!

- Choque geracional

- Genética

Page 11: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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Source: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China - 2015

2013: 5.8 billion US$ 2014: 9.3 billion US$ 2015: 14.3 billion US$ 2016: 18.0 billion US$

Jan Dec July Feb Mar Apr May Jun Aug Sept Oct Nov

New Year’s Eve

Chinese New Year

Mid-autumn festival

National Day

Christmas

Singles Day (“Double 11”)

2015

2013

Trough

“Double 12”

CHINA

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Sources:

Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® China, Jul ‘15, n=1,000 Chinese urban upper middle class imported wine drinkers

CHINA

On-trade (HORECA)

Offshore supply Off-trade (retailers)

Traders selling directly

Corporate customers

Private client

Government customers

Mass consumers

First-tier importer /

distributors

Grey market

Second-tier distributors

Direct-to-consumer

China supply chain

Page 13: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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Sources:

• Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Japan, Mar‘16, n=1,148 Japanese regular wine drinkers

• Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® China, March 2015 (n=1,119) and March 2016 (n=1,040), Chinese urban upper-middle class imported wine drinkers (aged 18-54) in Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Hangzhou, Shenyang, Chongqing, Wuhan and Chengdu

• Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® South Korea, Mar ‘16, n=1,000 South Korean imported wine drinkers

• Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Hong Kong, Mar’ 16, n=600 Hong Kong regular wine drinkers

• Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Singapore, Mar‘15, Mar’16 n>600 Singapore regular wine drinkers

País de origem Marca

Coreia do Sul 69% 67%

Singapore 62% 67%

Hong Kong 69% 64%

Japão 58% 44%

China 47% 42%

Mercados fortemente aspiracionais

ÁSIA

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Source: VSPT

COREIA DO SUL

- O que fazer com esta marca?

18 65

Page 15: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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葡萄牙

CHINA

Page 16: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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Source: IWSR

ÁSIA Shares of imported and domestic wine consumption by market

16%

28% 31%

43%

56%

75% 75% 75% 79%

98%100%

84%

72% 69%

57%

44%

25% 25% 25% 21%

2%

UnitedKingdom

South Korea Canada Japan Germany Russia Brazil UnitedStates

NewZealand

China France

Imported

Domestic

Page 17: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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Prepared by Wine Intelligence to support

Wines of Portugal Marketing Plan 2018-2020

EUROPA

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1 Germany 47 15% 2 United Kingdom 34 11% 3 Poland 33 10% 4 Switzerland 28 9% 5 Denmark 28 9% 6 Sweden 27 8% 7 Russia 26 8% 8 Belgium and Lux. 22 7% 9 Norway 21 7%

10 Netherlands 17 5% 11 France 10 3% 12 Finland 7 2% 13 Czech Republic 5 2% 14 Ireland 3 1% 15 Austria 3 1% 16 Slovenia 2.5 1% 17 Turkey 2 1% 18 Spain 2 1% 19 Slovakia 1.5 0%

EUROPA Onde investir?

Page 19: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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Source: IWSR

Consumo de vinho (milhões de litros)

Total

Vinho importado

Russia

Romania

Hungary

Sweden

Denmark

Czech Republic

Slovakia

Turkey

Poland

Slovenia

Norway

Finland

541

427

254

180

154

136

106

105

103

75

66

51

600

163

4

6

91

29

3

2

600

EUROPA do Norte / de Leste

Page 20: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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Source: IWSR

Russia

Romania

Hungary

Sweden

Denmark

Czech Republic

Slovakia

Turkey

Poland

Slovenia

Norway

Finland

Crescimento to consumo de vinho importado (CAGR 2011-15)

-11%

7%

-4%

1%

-1%

0%

1%

8%

3%

-3%

0%

-1%

EUROPA do Norte / de Leste

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Source: IWSR

NÓRDICOS

Uma das zonas mais ricas do mundo

22 milhões de adultos

490 milhões de litros consumidos em 2015 • 2 X a Suiça • 1.2 X Portugal • 17% dos E.U.A.

Crescimento do consumo estagnado

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Source: IWSR

NÓRDICOS

Monopólios Importador

Retalhista detido pelo estado

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Source: IWSR

NÓRDICOS

Consumo de vinho per capita

26 36

18 14

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Source: IWSR

Portugal Geral

Volume Market share Crescimento

2011-15 Crescimento

2011-15

SUÉCIA 644 3% 4% 1%

NORUEGA 320 4% 5% 0%

DINAMARCA 190 2% -1% -1%

FINLÂNDIA 89 2% 14% -1%

NÓRDICOS

Page 25: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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DINAMARCA

Population:

4 million Danish adults drink wine

3.3 million of them drinking wine regularly – 83%

Source: Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Denmark, March ’13, n=618 Danish regular wine drinkers

7% 7%

19% 20%

74% 73%

Dec'11(n=726)

Mar'13(n=618)

Red wine

White wine

Rosé wine

No significant difference between Dec'11 and Mar'13Source: Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Denmark, Dec'13, n=726, Mar'13, n=618 Danish regular wine drinkers

Proportions of red, white, and rosé wine% of total wine consumptionBase=All Danish regular wine drinkers (n>618)

7% 7%

19% 20%

74% 73%

Dec'11(n=726)

Mar'13(n=618)

Red wine

White wine

Rosé wine

No significant difference between Dec'11 and Mar'13Source: Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Denmark, Dec'13, n=726, Mar'13, n=618 Danish regular wine drinkers

Proportions of red, white, and rosé wine% of total wine consumptionBase=All Danish regular wine drinkers (n>618)

18 - 24, 9%

25 - 34, 14%

35 - 44, 18%

45 - 54, 18%

55 and over, 42%

Source: Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Denmakr, March 2013, n=618 Danish regular wine drinkers

AgeBase=All Danish regular wine drinkers (n=618)

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DINAMARCA

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• “Puxamos muito pelos vinhos Portugueses” …25% da prateleira

• “O Mercado ainda é pequeno, mas muito maior que há 10 anos”

• “A nossa estratégia é a postar cada vez mais nos vinhos”

• “Em 2020 será uma área muito maior que agora”

Sources:

• Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Poland May'15, n=1,008 Polish wine drinkers

• Wine Intelligence interview with Miguel Pires, Senior Category Manager in Biedronka

Country of origin consumption 34%

33%

27%

23%

22%

19%

19%

17%

14%

13%

11%

9%

France

Spain

Italy

Portugal

Bulgaria

Chile

Hungary

Moldova

California

Poland

Germany

Greece

POLÓNIA

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Sources:

• CIA

• Wine Intelligence face-to-face calibration study with TNS, June ‘14, n=973 Polish adults. Wine=still light wine (red, white, rosé)

• Axel Springer AG, Media Bauer Group, Verbraucheranalyse 2013, n=28,807 adults aged 18+. Wine=still light wine (red, white, rosé)

• Wine Intelligence online calibration studies with YouGov, June'14, n=2,341 UK adults and Sep ’11, n=2,053 UK adults . Wine=still light wine (red, white, rosé)

• Wine Intelligence online calibration study with YouGov, Feb '15, n=986 Swedish adults. Wine=still light wine (red, white, rosé)

60%

Drink at least twice a year

15.5 million

49%

Adult population 31.5 million

Drink at least once per month

9.4 million

30%

POLÓNIA

43% 59% 62%

*

*

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Source: Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Poland May'15, n=1,008 Polish wine drinkers

POLÓNIA

18-2417%

25-3425%

35-4419%

45-5418%

55 and over21%

Age

85%

82%

80%

70%

63%

59%

57%

45%

44%

40%

40%

38%

33%

26%

Sweetness of the wine

Price

A brand I am aware of

Recommended by friend or family

Country of origin

Promotional offer

Region of origin

Grape variety

Alcohol content

Recommended by wine guide books

Recommended by wine critic or writer

Appeal of the bottle and/or label design

Recommended by shop staff or shop leaflets

Medal or award

85%

82%

80%

70%

63%

59%

57%

45%

44%

40%

40%

38%

33%

26%

Sweetness of the wine

Price

A brand I am aware of

Recommended by friend or family

Country of origin

Promotional offer

Region of origin

Grape variety

Alcohol content

Recommended by wine guide books

Recommended by wine critic or writer

Appeal of the bottle and/or label design

Recommended by shop staff or shop leaflets

Medal or award

Choice cues

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Sources:

• Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Poland May'15, n=1,008 Polish wine drinkers

• Wine Intelligence interview with Miguel Pires, Senior Category Manager in Biedronka

18-24 Inexperienced and price sensitive Price sensitive, prefer wine which is sweet Appeal of the bottle design is important

25-34 Developing adventurous consumers Adventurous and involved, like receiving recommendations Like to drink wine in bars/restaurants

35-44 Brand driven discounter consumers Adventurous, but like to buy from discount supermarket Sweetness level of the wine is important

45-54 Frequent wine drinkers Less adventurous but frequent consumers Stick to traditional countries and varietals

55+ Involved but conservative Very conservative in their tastes Stick to brands they know

POLÓNIA

25% dos consumidores

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Source: IWSR

Consumo de vinho (milhões de litros)

Total

Vinho importado

France

Italy

Germany

United Kingdom

Spain

Portugal

Netherlands

Greece

Switzerland

Austria

Belgium and Lux.

Ireland

2314

2310

2042

1089

687

401

338

282

266

256

217

69

2400

46

8

1171

3

0.4

1

170

33

2400

EUROPA Central / Ocidental

Page 32: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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Source: Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Germany, Oct ‘14 (n=1,015), Oct ‘15 (n=1,000) and Mar ‘16 (n=1,008) German regular wine drinkers

ALEMANHA

Munich

Stuttgart

Berlin

Frankfurt

Düsseldorf

Köln

Hamburg

• 5 million people • Logistics centre

• 10 million people • Traditional industrial heart • Reviving economy

• 6 million • Political centre • Creative economy

• 5.7 million • Manufacturing industry

• 5.2 million • Automotive industry

• 5.6 million people • Financial services

Page 33: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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Source: Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Germany, Oct ‘14 (n=1,015), Oct ‘15 (n=1,000) and Mar ‘16 (n=1,008) German regular wine drinkers

ALEMANHA

Munich

Stuttgart

Frankfurt

Düsseldorf

Köln

Hamburg

Factores influenciadores do consumo de vinho

Berlin

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Source: Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Germany, Oct ‘14 (n=1,015), Oct ‘15 (n=1,000) and Mar ‘16 (n=1,008) German regular wine drinkers

ALEMANHA

>4.5 milhões

3.5 – 4.5 milhões

2.5 – 3.5 milhões

1.5 – 2.5 milhões

<1.5 milhões

Consumidores regulares de vinho

Munich

Stuttgart

Berlin

Frankfurt

Düsseldorf

Köln

Hamburg

Page 35: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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• Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Germany Mar'16, n=1,005 German regular wine drinkers

ALEMANHA

MARKET 1 Mainstream supermarkets

MARKET 2 Specialty retailers

<5€ Mostly German wine

Dedicated teams organized on a national or a regional level

Large volumes, listing fees, tough margin negotiations, “Marketing support” payments

TOTAL VOL: 65% of off trade

TOTAL VALUE: 50% of off trade

>5€ Diverse offer of Countries/Regions of origin

Takes time to penetrate because few distributors cover all bases - Fundamentally disorganised

Good for micro-marketing in big metro areas - Great if listed in bigger sized players

TOTAL VOL: 15%-20% of off trade

TOTAL VALUE: 30-40% of off trade

Page 36: Wine Intelligence team Markets we actively work inwinesofportugal.info/docs/15h00Wine Intelligence... · 12 Sources: Wine Intelligence trade interviews programme in China – 2015

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27% of all German regular

wine drinkers

34% of all German regular

wine drinkers

• Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Germany Mar'16, n=1,005 German regular wine drinkers

ALEMANHA

Domestic wine Predominantly women

Lower prices Stick do brands and styles they know

Like promotional offers Buy in discounters

International wine (France, Italy) Half men half women

Higher prices More adventurous and willing to learn

Like obscure styles Buy in specialist wine shops

MARKET 1 Old conservatives

MARKET 2 Young premiums

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Germany still light wine volumes and price per bottle (total and by country of origin)Thousands of 9

litre cases 2011 2012 2013 2014 CAGR 11-15 CAGR 14-15 Market share

Total 237,672 232,924 229,890 226,340 226,855 -1% 0% 100%

Domestic 95,600 95,525 99,350 96,700 96,765 0% 0% 43%

Imported 142,072 137,399 130,540 129,640 130,090 -2% 0% 57%

Italian 58,200 52,815 47,500 47,435 48,905 -4% 3% 22%

Spanish 24,988 27,155 28,200 28,769 28,525 3% -1% 13%

French 23,292 23,150 22,700 22,870 21,825 -2% -5% 10%

South African 7,465 6,870 7,430 7,140 7,500 0% 5% 3%

Chilean 4,020 3,780 4,465 4,000 4,425 2% 11% 2%

Australian 3,675 3,515 3,150 3,160 3,255 -3% 3% 1%

Austrian 2,550 2,725 2,535 2,625 2,870 3% 9% 1%

Macedonian 3,225 3,520 3,125 3,000 2,800 -3% -7% 1%US 2,500 2,430 2,350 2,380 2,450 -1% 3% 1%

Portuguese 1,300 1,327 995 1,050 1,000 -6% -5% 0%

Hungarian 1,330 1,085 1,075 985 875 -10% -11% 0%

Bulgarian 1,655 1,635 1,115 925 715 -19% -23% 0%

2015

Source: IWSR

ALEMANHA Germany still light wine volumes

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Source: Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Germany, Mar‘16, n=1,005 and Mar’15 n=1,004 German regular wine drinkers

93%

91%

89%

89%

78%

75%

72%

69%

65%

62%

54%

41%

41%

24%

2%

Germany

France

Spain

Italy

Portugal

South Africa

California

Chile

Australia

Hungary

Argentina

New Zealand

Bulgaria

Other USA

Other

76%

46%

33%

49%

11%

21%

12%

11%

8%

6%

4%

4%

3%

1%

Germany

France

Spain

Italy

Portugal

South Africa

California

Chile

Australia

Hungary

Argentina

New Zealand

Bulgaria

Other USA

Other

Country of origin awareness and respective consumption level

Base = All German regular wine drinkers (n=1,005)

ALEMANHA

Problema de disponibilidade

?

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Source: Wine Intelligence in-market experience

REINO UNIDO

Currency issues: Imported wines’ prices raised by 10%

Below £5 wine are hard to maintain on shelves

Supermarkets are expected to reduce their ranges because the shelf space is not justified anymore

Too many references are

intimidating for the customers

Opportunities for higher priced wines as retailers will become more specialised and quality driven

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Switzerland still light wine volumes and price per bottle (total and by country of origin)Thousands of 9

litre cases 2011 2012 2013 2014 CAGR 11-15 CAGR 14-15 Market share

Total 30,290 29,750 30,350 29,730 29,565 -1% -1% 100%

Domestic 10,940 10,600 11,600 10,900 10,670 -1% -2% 36%

Imported 19,350 19,150 18,750 18,830 18,895 -1% 0% 64%

Italian 6,320 6,440 6,400 6,698 6,665 1% 0% 23%

French 4,505 4,460 4,200 4,055 4,075 -2% 0% 14%

Spanish 3,895 3,490 3,200 3,605 3,700 -1% 3% 13%

Portuguese 710 800 850 980 1,010 9% 3% 3%

South African 375 500 800 690 595 12% -14% 2%

US 610 590 525 500 515 -4% 3% 2%

Chilean 445 420 415 345 390 -3% 13% 1%

Argentinian 377 350 360 375 385 1% 3% 1%

German 470 375 400 360 380 -5% 6% 1%

Austrian 225 250 225 240 260 4% 8% 1%

Australian 300 350 325 290 250 -4% -14% 1%

New Zealand 25 28 28 23 26 1% 13% 0%

2015

Source: IWSR

SUIÇA Switzerland still light wine volumes

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AMÉRICA

Prepared by Wine Intelligence to support

Wines of Portugal Marketing Plan 2018-2020

a

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1 USA 48 60% 2 Canada 26 33% 3 Mexico 6 8%

USA

1 NY 15 19% 2 Texas 13 16%

3 California 12 15% 4 Massachusets 11 14% 5 Washington DC 7.5 9% 6 Illinois 7 9% 7 Florida 7 9% 8 Pensilvanya 4 5% 9 NJ 2 3%

10 Colorado 1 1% 11 Rhode Island 0.5 1%

Canada:

1 Quebec 26 33% 2 Ontario 25 32% 3 B. Col 13 16% 4 Alberta 11 14% 5 Manitoba 3 4% 6 Prince Ed. 1 1%

AMÉRICA Onde investir?

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Source: IWSR

United States

Argentina

Canada

Brazil

Chile

Mexico

Peru

Colombia

Consumo de vinho (milhões de litros)

2854

950

414

306

259

67

40

16

3000

725

0.2

299

77

0.5

3000

Total

Vinho importado

AMÉRICA

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US still light wine volumes and price per bottle (total and by country of origin)Thousands of 9

litre cases 2011 2012 2013 2014 CAGR 11-15 CAGR 14-15 Market share

Total 300,620 307,465 312,500 314,345 317,115 1% 1% 100%

Domestic 221,000 228,075 232,715 235,570 236,545 2% 0% 75%

Imported 79,620 79,390 79,785 78,775 80,570 0% 2% 25%

Italian 26,925 26,800 26,875 27,070 27,190 0.2% 0% 9%

Australian 17,950 17,035 16,645 15,840 15,740 -3% -1% 5%

French 8,430 8,955 9,250 9,440 9,995 4% 6% 3%

Chilean 7,070 6,660 6,800 6,515 6,690 -1% 3% 2%

Argentinian 6,190 6,550 6,375 5,960 6,105 0% 2% 2%

New Zealand 3,005 3,345 3,675 4,240 4,855 13% 15% 2%

Spanish 3,990 4,325 4,525 4,185 4,270 2% 2% 1%

German 3,115 2,775 2,545 2,385 2,225 -8% -7% 1%Portuguese 955 985 1,040 1,150 1,325 9% 15% 0%

South African 855 850 925 810 870 0% 7% 0%

Austrian 200 210 200 225 265 7% 18% 0%

Greek 200 210 200 230 255 6% 11% 0%

2015

Source: IWSR

E.U.A. US still light wine volumes

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Source: Wine Intelligence future consumption modelling results

26% 31%40% 42% 44%

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

55 million

66 million

93 million

101 million

109 million

210 million

216 million

232 million

241 million

249 million

Total adult population

Regular wine drinkers

Wine Intelligence projection

E.U.A.

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Source: Wine Intelligence future consumption modelling results

26% 31%40% 42% 44%

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

10%3%

24%

22%16%

10%5%

36%

33%

25%

23%

20%

26%

30%

27%

27%

25%

4%8%

13%

13%

12%

4%

19%

18%

17%

10%21%

2005 2010 2015 2020 2025

Old Millennials

Next Gens

X-Gens

Boomers

Silents

Young Millennials

Old Millennials

X-Gens

Boomers

Silents

G.I. Gens

55 million

66 million

93 million

101 million

109 million

Wine Intelligence projection

Regular wine drinkers

E.U.A.

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Millennials (21-34)

Sources:

• Cassandra Report, United Nations, digitalmarketingstrategiessummit.com, mic.com, adweek.com, prnewswire.com, huffingtonpost.com, new.trinity.edu, businessinsider.com, esds1.pt, dmnews.com, careerplanner.com, hbr.org, adage.com

• Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® US, Oct' 15 n=200 US young adults on pre-legal drinking age, aged between 16 and 20

Students, most still living with parents though the older members are in college

Most still depend on family

Not in the job market yet

Fully integrated with technology; more cautious, yet as ambitious as Millennials

Would prefer a cool product over a cool experience

A lot of money means success

Students or recent graduates, and may be living at their parents’ home

Income $25K (median)

Unemployment rate 8% with higher turnover

Very connected to technology, more pleasure-seeking, more adventurous and very ambitious

Would prefer a cool experience over a cool product

A lot of money doesn’t mean success

Next-Gens (Under 21)

E.U.A.

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Sources:

• Cassandra Report, United Nations, digitalmarketingstrategiessummit.com, mic.com, adweek.com, prnewswire.com, huffingtonpost.com, new.trinity.edu, businessinsider.com, esds1.pt, dmnews.com, careerplanner.com, hbr.org, adage.com

• Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® US, Oct' 15 n=200 US young adults on pre-legal drinking age, aged between 16 and 20

Multi-taskers

Global

Open-minded

Ad-savvy

Involved consumers

Careful with money

High standards

Creative

Self-conscious

Speed-demons

E.U.A.

57%

26%

17%

I think wine is interesting and I wouldlike to learn more about it once I turn 21

I find wine neither an interesting noruninteresting topic

I am totally uninterested in wine as atopic

I think wine is interesting and I would like to learn more about it

I find wine neither an interesting nor uninteresting topic

I am totally uninterested in wine as a topic

57%

26%

17%

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Sources:

Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® US, Mar' 15 + Aug' 15, n=4,187 US regular wine drinkers

Future consumption modelling results

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

2015 2020 2025 2030 2035

All Millennials: 34.5

Next Gens: 37

X-Gens: 28.5

Boomers: 15

Silents: 0.1

No. of regular wine drinkers (millions)

Hispanics: 23.5

E.U.A.

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Sources:

• United Nations, Nielsen, Pew research organization, beveragemedia.com, Snooth.com, Wine-searcher.com, Dailymail.co.uk

• Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® US, Mar' 15 + Aug' 15, n=4,187 US regular wine drinkers

11% 13% 16%

89% 87% 84%

2015 2020 2025

Hispanics

Non-Hispanics

By 2025, there will be

17 million Hispanic

regular wine drinkers

4% 5% 6% 7% 9% 12% 14% 18% 22% 25% 29%

1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050

Hispanics as a proportion of total US population

Hispanics as a proportion of regular wine drinkers

E.U.A.

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81%

72%

73%

16.6 million

Sources:

• STATCAN

• Wine Intelligence online calibration study with YouGov, June '14, n=979 Canadian adults. Wine=still light wine (red, white, rosé), and Wine Intelligence online calibration study with YouGov, June '14, n=979 Canadian adults

• Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Canada, Oct'15, n=1,000 Canadian regular wine drinkers

43% 59%

12.2 million Weekly wine

drinkers

Wine drinkers 22.9 million

Adult population 28.2 million in 2014

Regular wine drinkers

CANADÁ

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English-speaking Canada

Québec

CANADÁ

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Source: Wine Intelligence, Vinitrac® Canada, Oct‘ 2015 (n=1,000) Canadian regular wine drinkers

19-34 year olds

35-44 year olds

45+ year olds

English-speaking Canada 9.8 million regular wine drinkers1

Québec 3.6 million regular wine drinkers1

Price sensitive and curious Like purchasing wine from France and Italy and follow friends and family recommendations

Driven by appeal and design Mostly purchase wine from France and California. The appeal of the bottle design is more important to them.

Adventurous consumers Mostly influenced by taste or wine style descriptions displayed on the shelves or on wine labels

Involved consumers More influenced by the country of origin, and less interested in promotional offers

Conservative consumers Like to stick to wine that they know they like, typically from California and Australia

Brand driven consumers Like to purchase good brands from France and Italy and from European regions in general

CANADÁ

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Richard’s questions

What patterns do we see?

What are the challenges for your customers?

How does Portugal fit into the answer?

What do you do tomorrow?

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Obrigado! Richard Halstead COO

[email protected] Luis Osorio Manager

[email protected]