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. William R. Thompson Current Positions Distinguished Professor and Donald A. Rogers Professor of Political Science Indiana University Editor-in-Chief, Oxford Research Encyclopedia in Politics Home Address: Department of Political Science 210 Woodburn Hall 2200 E. Covenanter Dr. Indiana University Bloomington, IN 47401 1100 East 7th St. 812-333-6358 Bloomington, IN. 47405-7110 Fax: 812-855-2027 email: wthompso@indiana.edu Education 1. Degrees Awarded 1968 - B.A. (economics and political science), University of Washington 1969 - M.A. (political science), University of Washington 1972 - Ph.D. (political science), University of Washington 2. Other Graduate and Post-Doctoral Study Creighton University (summer, 1968) University of California, Berkeley (summer, 1969) University of Michigan (summer, 1970) University of Minnesota (1972-73) Academic Positions 1969-72: Department of Political Science, University of Washington - Teaching Assistant (1969-70); Assistant Director, Political Science Research Center (1970-71); Instructor, Division of Independent Studies (1970-72). 1972-73: Department of Political Science, University of Minnesota - Visiting Assistant Professor and NIMH Post-Doctoral Fellow, School of Public Affairs; Faculty Advisor, University of Minnesota Karate. 1973-83: Department of Government [later Political Science], Florida State University -

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Assistant Professor (1973-76); Associate Professor (1976-80); Professor (1980-83); Instructor, U.S. Navy Pace Program - USS Yosemite in Atlantic and Mediterranean (summer, 1974); Graduate Studies Director (1975-77); Acting Chairperson (1977); Research Associate, Middle East Studies Center (1979-83); Acting Director, Middle East Studies Center (1982-83); Faculty Advisor, Seminole Karate [Chinese Kempo] (1973-78); Faculty Advisor, FSU Kendo (1978-80). 1979: National Science Foundation - Assistant Director, Political Science Program. 1981: Department of Political Science, Arizona State University - Adjunct Visiting Professor. 1982: Department of Political Science, University of Arizona - Visiting Professor. 1983-90: Claremont Graduate School (now Claremont Graduate University) - International Relations Program, Professor (1983-87), International Relations Program Chair (1986-87; program subsequently integrated with Politics and Policy), Center for Politics and Policy, Professor (1987-90), Acting Center Director (1990). 1989-91: Department of Political Science, University of California, Riverside - Professor. 1991-current: Department of Political Science, Indiana University - Professor (1991-2005), Donald A. Rogers Professor of Political Science (2005-current), Distinguished Professor (2011- current), Director, Center for the Study of International Relations (1991- 99); Director of Graduate Studies (1992-96), Acting Department Chair (summers, 1995, 1996); Head Instructor, IU Karate (2003-04, instructor in other years); Advisory Board, IU International Studies Program (2003-2006); Adjunct instructor (shotokan karate), Dept. of Kinesiology, IU School of Public Health (2011); Faculty Advisor, IU Karate (1997-current); Faculty Advisor, IU Kendo (2002-2008). 1999: Visiting Faculty, EU Summer School on the Euro-Mediterranean Partnership and the New International Order, University of Catania (Italy). 2010- current: Visiting Faculty, GLOPEM (M.A. Degree in Global Politics and Euro-Mediterranean Relations), University of Catania (Italy). 2014: Visiting Professor, School of International Relations, Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO), Moscow, Russia. 2015- current: Adjunct Staff Member, RAND Corporation.

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Awards, Grants, Honors, Distinctions 1969: N.D.F.L. Title VI Fellowship (Arabic), University of California, Berkeley (summer). 1970: Inter-University Consortium for Political Research, University of Michigan (summer). 1971-72: Dissertation Fellow, Committee on Arms Control and Disarmament Agency Support of Dissertation Research in the Social and Behavioral Sciences, National Academy of Sciences. 1971: Morris Abrams Award in International Relations, Cleveland, Ohio. 1972-73: National Institute of Mental Health Post-Doctoral Fellow, School of Public Affairs and Department of Political Science, University of Minnesota. 1973: Fellow, National Security Education Seminar, New York University National Security Program, Colorado Springs, Colorado (summer). 1976: Honorable Mention, Harold D. Lasswell Award, Inter-University Seminar on Armed Forces and Society. 1979: Developing Scholar Award, Florida State University. 1982-85: National Science Foundation grant, “Collaborative Research on War and State-Building,” co-principal investigator. 1985-87: National Science Foundation grant, “Collaborative Research on Systemic Leadership Decline,” co-principal investigator. 1990: Choice Outstanding Academic Book Award [On Global War]. 1995: Conference grant on Analyzing Rivalries, Midwest Consortium for International Security Studies. 1995-97: National Science Foundation grant “Principal Rivalries,” principal investigator. 1997: Frank Klingberg Award for best 1996 conference paper (coauthored with Richard M. Tucker), International Studies Association-Midwest. 1997: Quincy Wright Book Award, International Studies Association-Midwest [Leading Sectors and World Powers], coauthor with George Modelski. 2004: Quincy Wright Distinguished Scholar Award, International Studies Association-Midwest

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2004: First Round Prize, Globalization and World Society Focus Paper Competition, World Society Foundation, Switzerland [coauthored with Rafael Reuveny] 2005 - current: Donald A. Rogers Professor of Political Science, Indiana University. 2005-06: President, International Studies Association. 2007: Thomson Scientific Essential Science Indicators, first-ranked author, number of papers on armed conflict (1996-2006). 2007: Award of Excellence in World Society Research (first place), World Society Foundation, Zurich, Switzerland. 2008: First Round Prize, Second Round Prize, Third Round Prize Finalist, Inequality Beyond Globalization World Society Focus Paper Competition, World Society Foundation, Switzerland [coauthored with Karen Rasler]. 2011 - current: Distinguished Professor, Indiana University. 2011: Who’s Who in America. 2012: Timeless Award (distinguished alumnus medal for 150th UW anniversary), College of Arts and Sciences, University of Washington. 2012-2013: Smith-Richardson Foundation grant, “Ascending India and its State Capacity: Resource Extraction, Violence Monopoly, and Legitimacy,” co-pi (with Sumit Ganguly). 2012: Sandan rank (3rd degree) awarded (shotokan karate), IU Karate, Bloomington, Indiana. 2013: Sandan rank (3rd degree) awarded (shotokan karate), United States Karate League, Upland, California. 2013: V.I. Vernadsky Gold Medal of Honor (for “outstanding contribution to global studies”) International Global Research Association and Lomonosov Moscow State University. 2014: Silver N.D. Kondratiev Medal, International N.D. Kondratiev Foundation and Russian Academy of Sciences (Economics). [for “contribution to the development of the social sciences”]. 2015: J. David Singer Book Award, ISA-Midwest [How Rivalries End], with Karen Rasler and Sumit Ganguly.

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2015-16: U.S. Department of State grant for Developing a Graduate Security Studies Certificate Program, University of Mumbai, India, with Sumit Ganguly. PUBLICATIONS

Books. Monographs, and Special Issues 1. The Grievances of Military Coup-Makers. Sage Professional Papers in Comparative Politics (Beverly Hills, Ca.: Sage Publications, 1973), 78 pp. 2. The Comparative Analysis of Politics (Itasca, Il: F.E. Peacock, 1978), with Monte Palmer. 3. Definitional and Dating Problems in the Analysis of International Crises (McLean, Va.: International Public Policy Research Corporation, 1978), 171 pp. 4. Contending Approaches to World System Analysis (Beverly Hills, Ca.: Sage Publications, 1983), editor. 5. Rhythms in Politics and Economics (New York: Praeger, 1985), coeditor with Paul M. Johnson. 6. Sea Power in Global Politics, 1494-1993 (London: Macmillan, 1988), with George Modelski. 7. On Global War: Historical-Structural Approaches to World Politics (Columbia, SC: University of South Carolina Press, 1988). 8. War and State Making: The Shaping of the Global Powers (Boston: Unwin Hyman, 1989; subsequently London: Routledge after 1990), with Karen Rasler. 9. The Great Powers and Global Struggle, 1490-1990 (Lexington, KY: University Press of Kentucky, 1994), with Karen Rasler. 10. Leading Sectors and World Powers: The Coevolution of Global Politics and Economics (Columbia, SC: University of South Carolina Press, 1996), with George Modelski. 11. Great Power Rivalries (Columbia, SC: University of South Carolina Press, 1999), editor. 12. The Emergence of the Global Political Economy (London: University College London Press/Routledge, 2000).

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13. Evolutionary Interpretations of World Politics (New York: Routledge, 2001), editor. 14. Growth, Trade and Systemic Leadership (Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2004), with Rafael Reuveny. 15. Puzzles of the Democratic Peace: Theory, Geopolitics and the Transformation of World Politics (New York: Palgrave-Macmillan, 2005), with Karen Rasler. 16. Globalization and Global History (London: Routledge, 2006), edited with Barry Gills. 17. The North-South Divide and International Studies: A Symposium, special issue of International Studies Review 9,4 (2007), guest edited with Rafael Reuveny. 18. Strategic Rivalry: Space, Position, and Conflict Escalation in World Politics (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2007) with Michael Colaresi and Karen Rasler. 19. Globalization as Evolutionary Process: Modeling Global Change (London: Routledge, 2008), edited with George Modelski and Tessaleno Devezas. 20. North and South in the World Political Economy (Oxford: Wiley-Blackwell, 2008), edited with Rafael Reuveny. 21. Systemic Transitions: Past, Present and Future (New York: Palgrave-Macmillan, 2009), editor. 22. Limits to Globalization and North-South Divergence, with Rafael Reuveny. (London: Routledge, 2010). 23. Causes of War (Oxford: Wiley-Blackwell, 2010), with Jack S. Levy. 24. Coping with Terrorism: Origins, Escalation, Counter Strategies and Responses, edited with Rafael Reuveny (Albany: State University of New York Press, 2010). 25. Asian Rivalries: Conflict, Escalation, and Limitations on Two-Level Games, edited with Sumit Ganguly (Stanford, Ca: Stanford University Press, 2011). In South Asia, published by Foundation Books/Cambridge University Press India (2013). 26. Handbook of International Rivalries, 1494-2010 (Washington D.C.: Congressional Quarterly Press, 2011), with David R. Dreyer. 27. The Arc of War: Origins, Escalation and Transformation (Chicago: University of

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Chicago Press, 2011) with Jack S. Levy. 28. How Rivalries End (Philadelphia: University of Pennsylvania Press, 2013), with Karen Rasler and Sumit Ganguly. 29. Transition Scenarios: China and the United States in the Twenty-first Century (Chicago, Il.: University of Chicago Press, 2013), with David P. Rapkin. Forthcoming Chinese translations to be published separately in China (simple translation, Peking University Press) and Taiwan (complex translation, National Ministry of Defense). 30. Ascending India and its State Capacity: Resource Extraction, Violence Monopoly, and Legitimacy (New Haven, Ct.: Yale University Press, 2016), with Sumit Ganguly. In South Asia, to be published by Oxford University Press, Delhi. In preparation or under review 31. Empirical International Relations Theories (editor) 32. Hegemonic Threats, Balancing and War, with Jack S. Levy. 33. Energy Transition, Global System Leadership and the Future of World Politics, with Leila Zakhirova. 34. American Systemic Leadership: Its Unparalleled Rise and Slow Relative

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35. Bad Neighborhoods in International Politics: Political Exclusion, Weak States, and Conflict, with Karen Rasler. 36. The Analysis of Interstate Rivalries 37. The Cold War Rivalry: Origins, Maintenance, and Termination, with Karen Rasler. 38. The Military Coup D’etat 39. Dynamics of the Ancient Middle East and Earlier Global Warming: Climate, Empire, and Nomadic Incursions.

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Book Chapters and Journal Articles 1. “The Arab Sub-System and the Feudal Interaction Hypothesis: 1965.” Journal of Peace Research 7 (1970): 151-67. 2. “The Regional Subsystem: A Conceptual Explication and a Propositional Inventory.” International Studies Quarterly 17 (March, 1973): 89-117. 3. “Toward an Explanation of the Arab Military Coup.” Journal of Political and Military Sociology 2 (Fall, 1974): 237-50. Reprinted in George A. Kourvetaris and Betty A. Dobratz (eds.) World Perspectives in the Sociology of the Military (Edison, NJ: Transaction, 1977). 4. “Systemic Change and the Latin American Military Coup.” Comparative Political Studies 7 (January, 1975): 441-59. 5. “The ‘Coup Contagion’ Hypothesis.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 20 (June, 1975): 339-76, with Richard P.Y. Li. 6. “Regime Vulnerability and the Military Coup.” Comparative Politics 7 (July, 1975): 457-88. 7. “Organizational Cohesion and Military Coup Outcomes.” Comparative Political Studies 9 (October, 1976): 225-46. 8. “Global Conflict Intensity and Great Power Summitry Behavior.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 20 (June, 1977): 339-76, with George Modelski. 9. “Another Look at the Feit-Sigelman Dispute Over the Relative Military Size-Coup Propensity Hypothesis.” Journal of Political and Military Sociology 6 (Spring, 1978): 93-99. 10. “A Reply to Professor Sigelman’s Comment.” Journal of Political and Military Sociology 6 (Spring, 1978): 103-04. 11. “The Stochastic Process of Alliance Formation: A Time Series Systems Analysis.” American Political Science Review 72 (December, 1978): 1288-1303, with Richard P.Y. Li. 12. “Bipolarity and Bipolarization in the Cold War Era: Conceptualization, Measurement, and Validation.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 23 (June, 1979): 261-95, with David P. Rapkin and Jon A. Christopherson. 13. “A Multivariate Analysis of the Correlates of Regime Vulnerability and Proneness to the Military Coup.” Journal of Political and Military Sociology 7 (Fall, 1979): 283-89,

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coauthor with Jon A. Christopherson. 14. “Wars, Alliance and Military Expenditures: Two Pendulum Hypotheses.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 23 (December, 1979): 629-54, with Robert Duval and Ahmed Dia. 15. “Corporate Coup-Maker Grievances and Types of Regime Targets.” Comparative Political Studies 12 (January, 1980): 485-96. 16. “A Comparative Note on Two Alternative Indexes of Bipolarization.” International Interactions 6 (February, 1980): 377-86, with David P. Rapkin. 17. “Foreign Policy-Makers, Personality Traits, and Interviews: A Note on Reliability.” International Studies Quarterly 24 (March, 1980): 47-66, with Karen Rasler and Kathleen Chester. 18. “Systemic Interaction Opportunities and War Behavior.” International Interactions 7 (June, 1980): 57-83, with Karen Rasler and Richard P.Y. Li. 19. “Reconsidering the Aggregate Relationship Between Size, Economic Development and Some Types of Foreign Policy Behavior.” American Journal of Political Science 24 (August, 1980): 511-25, with Robert Duval. 20. “Delineating Regional Subsystems: Visit Networks and the Middle Eastern Case.” International Journal of Middle East Studies 13 (May, 1981): 213-35. 21. “Center-Periphery Interaction Patterns: The Case of Arab Visits, 1946-1975.” International Organization 35 (Spring, 1981): 355-73. 22. “Collaboration, Consensus, and Detente: The External Threat-Bloc Cohesion Hypothesis.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 25 (December, 1981): 615-37, with David P. Rapkin. 23. “The Post-Coup Military Spending Question: A Pooled Cross-Sectional Time Series Analysis.” American Political Science Review 76 (March, 1982): 60-74, with Gary Zuk. 24. “Conflict, Inertia, and Reciprocity: Coping with the Western Bloc,” in Charles W. Kegley, Jr. and Patrick J. McGowan (eds.), Foreign Policy: USA/USSR (Beverly Hills, Ca.: Sage Publications, 1982), with David P. Rapkin. 25. “Phases of the Business Cycle and the Outbreak of War.” International Studies Quarterly 26 (June, 1982): 301-11. 26. “War, Inflation and Kondratieff’s Long Waves.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 26 (December, 1982): 621-44, with Gary Zuk.

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27. “Succession Crises in the Global Political System: A Test of the Transition Model,” in Albert L. Bergesen (ed.), Crises in the World-System (Beverly Hills, Ca.: Sage Publications, 1983). 28. “The World-Economy, the Long Cycle, and the Question of World System Time,” in Patrick J. McGowan and Charles W. Kegley, Jr. (eds.), Foreign Policy and the Modern World-System (Beverly Hills, Ca.: Sage Publications, 1983). 29. “Global Wars, Public Debts and the Long Cycle.” World Politics 35 (July, 1983): 489-516, with Karen Rasler. Reprinted in Bruce M. Russett, Harvey Starr, and Richard J. Stoll (eds.), Choices in World Politics: Sovereignty and Interdependence (San Francisco, Ca.: W.H. Freeman, 1989). 30. “World System Analysis With and Without the Hyphen,” in William R. Thompson (ed.), Contending Approaches to World System Analysis (Beverly Hills, Ca.: Sage Publications). 31. “Cycles, Capabilities and War: An Ecumenical View,” in William R. Thompson (ed.), Contending Approaches to World System Analysis (Beverly Hills, Ca.: Sage Publications, 1983). 32. “American Elections and the International Electoral-Economic Cycle: A Test of the Tufte Hypothesis.” American Journal of Political Science (August, 1983): 464-84, with Gary Zuk. 33. “Uneven Economic Growth, Systemic Challenges, and Global Wars.” International Studies Quarterly 27 (September, 1983): 341-55. 34. “Interstate Wars, Global Wars and the Cool Hand Luke Syndrome: A Reply to Chase-Dunn and Sokolovsky.” International Studies Quarterly 27 (September, 1983): 369-74. 35. “War Making and State Making: Governmental Expenditures, Tax Revenues, and Global Wars.” American Political Science Review 79 (June, 1985): 491-507, with Karen Rasler. Reprinted in John A. Vasquez and Marie T. Henehan (eds.), The Scientific Study of Peace and War (Cambridge, Ma.: Lexington, 1992). 36. “Cycles of General, Hegemonic, and Global War,” in Urs Luterbacher and Michael D. Ward (eds.), Dynamic Models of International Conflict (Boulder, Co.: Lynne Rienner Publishing, 1985). 37. “On Rhythms in Political Economy,” in Paul M. Johnson and William R. Thompson (eds.), Rhythms in Politics and Economics (New York: Praeger, 1985), coauthor with Paul M. Johnson.

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38. “War and the Economic Growth of Major Powers.” American Journal of Political Science 29 (August, 1985): 513-38, with Karen Rasler. 39. “World Power and the Strategic Trap of Territorial Commitments.” International Studies Quarterly 30 (September, 1986), with Gary Zuk. 40. “Polarity, the Long Cycle and Global Power Warfare.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 30 (December, 1986). 41. “Testing Cobweb Models of the Long Cycle,” in George Modelski (ed.), Exploring Long Cycles (Boulder, Co.: Lynne Rienner Publishing, 1987), with George Modelski. 42. “Defense Burdens, Capital Formation and Economic Growth: The Systemic Leader Case.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 32 (March, 1988), with Karen Rasler. 43. “War and Systemic Capability Reconcentration.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 32 (June, 1988), with Karen Rasler. 44. “Long Cycles and Global Wars,” in Manus Midlarsky (ed.), Handbook of War Studies (Boston: Allen and Unwin, 1989; subsequently Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 1993; republished by London: Routledge, 2011), with George Modelski. 45. “Systemic Sources of Conflict,” in Patrick Morgan and Edward A. Kolodziej (eds.), International Security and Arms Control: A Reference Guide to Theory and Practice, Vol. 2 (Westport, Ct.: Greenwood Press, 1989). 46. “Long Waves, Technological Change and Relative Decline.” International Organization 44 (Spring, 1990): 201-33. Reprinted in Christopher Chase-Dunn, ed., The Historical Evolution of International Political Economies, Vol. 2 (London: Edward Elgar, 1995). 47. “The Size of War, Structural and Geopolitical Contexts, and Theory Building/Testing.” International Interactions 16 (2, 1990): 183-199. 48. “Technological Innovation, Capability Positional Shifts and Systemic War.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 35 (September, 1991): 412-42, with Karen Rasler. 49. “Relative Decline and the Overconsumption-Underinvestment Hypothesis.” International Studies Quarterly 35 (September, 1991): 273-94, with Karen Rasler. 50. “Assessing the Costs of War: A Preliminary Cut,” in Georgio Ausenda (ed.), The Effects of War on Society (Republic of San Marino: Center for Interdisciplinary Research on Societal Stress, 1992), with Karen Rasler.

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51. “Politico-Economic Tradeoffs and British Relative Decline,” in Alex Mintz and Steve Chan (eds.), Defense, Welfare and Growth: Perspectives and Evidence (London: Routledge, 1992), with Karen Rasler. 52. “Systemic Leadership and Growth Waves in the Long Run.” International Studies Quarterly 36 (March, 1992): 25-48. 53. “Growth Waves, Systemic Openness and Protectionism.” International Organization 46 (Spring, 1992), with Lawrence Vescera. Reprinted in Joseph M. Grieco, (ed.), The International System and the International Political Economy (London: Edward Elgar, 1993). 54. “Wolny Kondratieva, razvitie mirovoi ekonomiki, I meshnunarodnaya politika.” (The Kondratieff Waves, Development of World Economy, and International Policy) Voprosy Ekonomiki 10 (1992): 48-57, with George Modelski. 55. “Dehio, Long Cycles and the Geohistorical Context of Structural Transitions.” World Politics 45 (October, 1992): 127-152. 56. “The Consequences of War.” International Interactions 19 (1993): 125-47. Reprinted in Stuart Bremer and Thomas Cusack (eds.), The Process of War (New York: Gordon and Breach, 1994). 57. “The Past and Future of Transitional Warfare,” in James Burk (ed.), The Military in New Times: Adapting Armed Forces to a Turbulent World (Boulder, Co.: Westview Press, 1994; second edition, New Brunswick, NJ: Transaction Press, 1998). 58. “Long Cycle Critiques and Deja Vu All Over Again: A Rejoinder to Houweling and Siccama.” International Interactions 20 (1994): 209-22, with George Modelski. 59. “K-Waves, The Evolving Global Economy, and World Politics.” Economie Appliquee [Paris] 47 (1994): 7-40, with George Modelski. 60. “Foreign Policy, the End of the Cold War, and the 1992 Election,” in Bryan D. Jones (ed.), The New American Politics: Reflections on Political Change and the Clinton Administration (Boulder, Co.: Westview Press, 1995). 61. “Comparing World Systems: Systemic Leadership Succession and the Peloponnesian War Case,” in Christopher Chase-Dunn (ed.), The Historical Evolution of International Political Economies, vol. 1 (London: Edward Elgar, 1995). 62. “Some Moderate and Radical Observations on Desiderata in Comparative Naval History,” in John B. Hattendorf (ed.), Doing Naval History: Essays Toward Improvement (Annapolis: Naval Institute Press, 1995).

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63. “Principal Rivalries.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 39 (June, 1995): 195-223. 64. “Balances of Power, Transitions, and Long Cycles,” in Jacek Kugler and Douglas Lemke (eds.), Parity and War: A Critical Reevaluation of the War Ledger (Ann Arbor, Mi: University of Michigan Press, 1996). 65. “Democracy and Peace: Putting the Cart Before the Horse?” International Organization 50 (Winter, 1996): 141-74. 66. “Intermittent Republics and Democratic Peace Puzzles.” Review of International Studies 23 (January, 1997: 93-114). 67. “The Timing of Protectionism.” Review of International Political Economy 4 (Spring, 1997): 179-213, with Rafael Reuveny. 68. “A Tale of Two Democratic Peace Critiques.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 41 (June, 1997): 428-54, with Richard M. Tucker. 69. “Bewitched, Bothered, and Bewildered: A Response to Farber, Gowa, Mansfield, and Snyder.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 41 (June, 1997): 462-77. 70. “The Evolution of Political-Commercial Challenges in the Active Zone.” Review of International Political Economy 4 (Summer, 1997): 285-317. 71. “The Anglo-German Rivalry and the 1939 Failure of Deterrence.” Security Studies 7 (Winter, 1997/1998): 58-89. 72. “Stability in a Fragmenting World: The Exercise of Military Force, 1946-1988.” Political Research Quarterly (March, 1998), with Jeffrey Pickering. 73. “Tariffs and Trade Fluctuations: Does Protectionism Matter as Much as We Think?” International Organization 52 (Spring, 1998): 421-41, with Rafael Reuveny. 74. Pulsations in the World System: Hinterland to Center Incursions and Migrations, 4000 B.C. to 1500 A.D.,” in Nicholas Kardulias (ed.), Leadership, Production and Exchange: World Systems Theory in Practice (Boulder, Co: Rowman and Littlefield, 1998), with George Modelski. 75. “Why Rivalries Matter and What Great Power Rivalries Tell Us About World Politics,” in William R. Thompson (ed.), Great Power Rivalries (Columbia, SC: University of South Carolina Press, 1999). 76. “The Evolution of the Anglo-American Rivalry,” in William R. Thompson (ed.), Great Power Rivalries (Columbia, SC: University of South Carolina Press, 1999).

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77. “War, the Military Revolution(s) Controversy, and Army Expansion: A Test of Two Explanations of Historical Influences on European State Making.” Comparative Political Studies 32 (February, 1999): 3-31, with Karen Rasler. 78. “The Military Superiority Thesis and the Ascendancy of Western Eurasia in the World System.” Journal of World History 10 (March, 1999): 143-178. 79. “Predatory Initiators and the Changing Landscape for War.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 43 (August, 1999): 411-33, with Karen Rasler. 80. “The Short and Long of Global Politics in the Twenty-First Century: An Evolutionary Approach.” International Studies Review (September, 1999): 109-40, with George Modelski. Reprinted in Davis Bobrow (ed.), Prospects for International Relations: Conjectures about the Next Millennium. Cambridge, Ma.: Blackwell, 1999) and Takashi Inoguchi (ed.), Gendai Kokusai Seijigaku Riron [Contemporary International Relations Theories: Readings] (Tokyo: Toyo shorin, 2003). 81. “War, System Leadership and Economic Innovation: The United States Case.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 43 (October, 1999): 570-95, with Rafael Reuveny. 82. “Venusian and Martian Perspectives on International Relations: Britain as System Leader in the Nineteenth and Twentieth Centuries,” in Colin Elman and Miriam F. Elman (eds.), History and International Relations Theory: Bridges and Boundaries (Cambridge, Ma.: MIT Press, 2000). 83. “Concentration, Innovation and Global War: One Type of World Systems Analysis Without the Hyphen,” in Thomas D. Hall (ed.), The World-Systems Reader: New Perspectives on Gender, Urbanism, Cultures, Indigenous Peoples and Ecology (Lanham, Md.: Rowman and Littlefield, 2000). 84. “Global War and the Political Economy of Structural Change,” in Manus Midlarsky (ed.), Handbook of War Studies II (Ann Arbor, Mi: University of Michigan Press, 2000), with Karen Rasler. 85. “Trade, Regionalization, and Tariffs: The Correlates of Openness in the American Long Run,” in Robert Switky and Bart Kerremans (eds.), The Political Consequences of Regional Trading Blocs (London: Ashgate, 2000), with Rafael Reuveny. 86. “Comparing Approaches to Long Term Change in World System History,” in Robert Denemark, Jonathan Friedman, Barry Gills, and George Modelski (eds.), World System History (London: Routledge, 2000). 87. “Explaining Rivalry Escalation to War: Contiguity, Position, and Space in the Major Power Subsystem.” International Studies Quarterly 44 (September, 2000): 503-30, with Karen Rasler.

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88. “Evolving Toward an Evolutionary Perspective on World Politics and International Political Economy,” in William R. Thompson (ed.), Evolutionary Interpretations of World Politics (New York: Routledge, 2001). 89. “Expectancy Theory, Strategic Rivalry De-escalation, and the Evolution of the Sino-Soviet Case,” in William R. Thompson (ed.), Evolutionary Interpretations of World Politics (New York: Routledge, 2001). 90. “Malign Autocracies and Major Power Warfare: Evil, Tragedy and International Relations Theory.” Security Studies 10 (Spring, 2001): 46-79, with Karen Rasler. 91. “Rivalries and the Democratic Peace in the Major Power Subsystem.” Journal of Peace Research (November, 2001), with Karen Rasler. 92. “Leading Sectors,” in R.J.B. Jones (ed.), Routledge Encyclopedia of International Political Economy (London: Routledge, 2001). 93. “Global Reach,” in R.J.B. Jones (ed.), Routledge Encyclopedia of International Political Economy (London: Routledge, 2001). 94. “Two Power Standard, British Naval,” in R.J.B. Jones (ed.), Routledge Encyclopedia of International Political Economy (London: Routledge, 2001). 95. “Explaining Protectionism: Seventeen Perspectives and One Long-term, Common Denominator.” Global Society 12 (summer, 2001): 175-96, with Rafael Reuveny. 96. “Leading Sectors, Lead Economies, and Their Impact on Economic Growth.” Review of International Political Economy 8 (November, 2001): 689-719, with Rafael Reuveny. 97. “Identifying Rivals and Rivalries in World Politics.” International Studies Quarterly 45 (December, 2001):557-586. reprinted in Paul Diehl, ed., War: Concepts, Measurement and Patterns in the Study of War (Thousand Oaks, Ca.: Sage, 2005). 98. “Structural Change and Coevolution in the Ancient World System,” in Sing C. Chew and David Knotterus (eds.), Structure, Culture and History: Recent Issues in Social Theory (Lanham, Md.: Rowman and Littlefield, 2002), with George Modelski. 99. “Testing a Cyclical Instability Theory in the Ancient Near East.” Comparative Civilizations Review 46 (Spring, 2002): 34-78. 100. “Strategic Rivalry, Protracted Conflict, and Crisis Behavior.” Journal of Peace Research 39, 2 (March 2002): 263-87, with Michael Colaresi.

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101. “World Economic Growth, Northern Antagonisms, and North-South Conflict.” Journal of Conflict Resolution 46 (August, 2002): 484-514, with Rafael Reuveny. 102. “Hot Spots or Hot Hands?: Serial Crisis Behavior, Escalating Risks, and Rivalry.” Journal of Politics 64 (November, 2002): 1175-98, with Michael Colaresi. 103. “Systemic Leadership and Economic Openness.” International Interactions 29 (2003): 83-110, with Rafael Reuveny. 104. “The Monadic Democratic Peace Puzzle and an “End of History” Partial Solution?” International Politics 40 (1, 2003): 5-27, with Karen Rasler. 105. “A Streetcar Named Sarajevo: Catalysts, Multiple Causation Chains, and Rivalry Structures.” International Studies Quarterly 47(2003): 453-74. 106. “The Economic Development-Democratization Relationship: Does the Outside World Matter?” Comparative Political Studies 36 (2003): 381-403, with Michael Colaresi. 107. “Eurasian C-Wave Crises in the First Millennium B.C.E.,” in Eugene Anderson and Christopher Chase-Dunn, eds., The Historical Evolution of World-Systems New York: Palgrave-Macmillan (2004). 108. “Exploring the North-South Gap Longitudinally.” Japanese Journal of Political Science 4 (2003): 77-102, with Rafael Reuveny 109. “Power Transition, Challenge, and the China Problem.” International Interactions 29 (2003), with David P. Rapkin. 110. “Structural Change and Democratization in the Major Power Subsystem: Some Systemic Puzzles of the Democratic Peace.” International Politics (2003) 40:, with Karen Rasler. 111. “The Democratic Peace and the Sequential, Reciprocal, Causal Arrow Hypothesis.” Comparative Political Studies 37 (October, 2004): 879-908, with Karen Rasler. 112. “World Economic Growth, Systemic Leadership and Southern Debt Crises.” Journal of Peace Research 41 (2004): 5-24, with Rafael Reuveny. 113. “Complexity, Diminishing Marginal Returns, and Fragmentation in Ancient Mesopotamia.” Journal of World-Systems Research (2004) 10, 3; 613-652. 114. “Alliances, Arms Buildups, and Recurrent Conflict: Testing A Steps-to-War Model.” Journal of Politics 67 (May 2005): 345-364, with Michael Colaresi. Reprinted in

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Contemporary Foreign International Relations Studies (Moscow: Russian International Affairs Council, 2015). 115. “Bronze Age Economic Expansion and Contraction Revisited.” Journal of World History 16, 2 (2005): 115-72, with Andre Gunder Frank. 116. “Hegemonic Threats and Great Power Balancing in Europe, 1495-1999.” Security Studies 16, 1 (2005): 1-33, with Jack S. Levy. 117. “War, Trade and the Mediation of Systemic Leadership.” Journal of Peace Research 42, 3 (2005): 251-69, with Karen Rasler. 118. “Explaining Rivalry Termination in Contemporary Eastern Eurasia with Evolutionary Expectancy Theory.” Montreal (McGill University), Canada: REGIS Working Paper No. 17 (November, 2005). 119. “Globalizations, Global Histories, and Historical Globalities,” in Barry K. Gills and William R. Thompson, (eds.), Globalization and Global History. London: Routledge (2006), with Barry K. Gills. 120. “Early Iron Age Economic Expansion and Contraction Revisited,” in Barry K. Gills and William R. Thompson (eds.), Globalization and Global History. London: Routledge (2006), with Andre Gunder Frank. 121. “The Limits of Economic Globalization: Still Another North-South Cleavage? World Society Focus Paper (Zurich, Switzerland, 2006), with Rafael Reuveny. Also published in International Journal of Comparative Sociology 48, 2 (Spring, 2007): 107-135 and as “How ‘Global’ is Economic Globalization?,” in Mark Herkenrath, ed.,The Regional and Local Shaping of World Society. Muenster, Germany: LIT Verlag, 2007. 122. “Early Globalization, Trade Crises, and Reorientations in the Ancient Near East,” in Oystein S. LaBianca and Sandra Schram (eds.), Connectivity in Antiquity: Globalization as Long-term Historical Process. London: Equinox (2006), pp. 33-59. 123. “Emerging Violence, Global War, and Terrorism,” in Tessaleno Devezas, ed., Kondratieff Waves, Warfare and World Security. Amsterdam: IOS Press. (2006). 124. “The Extent of the Kondratieff Wave’s Effect on Violence in the North-South Context,” in Tessaleno Devezas , ed., Kondratieff Waves, Warfare and World Security. Amsterdam: IOS Press (2006), with Rafael Reuveny. 125. “Democracy and Civil Society as Constraints on Major Power Warfare,” in Raimo Vayrynen (ed.), The Waning of Major Power War. London: Frank Cass (2006).

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126. “Contested Territory, Strategic Rivalry, and Conflict Escalation.” International Studies Quarterly 50 (2006): 145-167, with Karen Rasler. 127. ”Crises in the Southwest Asian Bronze Age.” Nature and Culture [Leipzig] 1(2006):88-131. 128. “The Evolution of Systemic Leadership, World Politics, and International Relations Theory: The Unipolarity Question.” International Studies Review 8 (2006):1-22. Reprinted in Karen Mingst and Jack Snyder, eds., Essential Readings in World Politics, 3rd ed. New York: W.W. Norton, 2007. 129. “A Test of a Theory of Co-evolution in War: Lengthening the Western Eurasian Military Trajectory.” International History Review 28 (2006):473-503. 130. “Climate, Water and Political-economic Crises in Ancient Mesopotamia and Egypt,” in Alf Hornborg and Carole Crumley,eds., The World System and the Earth System: Global Socio-environmental Change and Sustainability Since the Neolithic. Oakland, Ca.: Left Coast Books, 2006. 131. “An Illusionary or Elusive Relationship? The Arab-Israeli Conflict and Repression in the Middle East.” Journal of Politics 68, 3 (August, 2006): 502-518, with James Lebovic. 132. “Economic Interdependence and the Emergence of China and India in the 21st Century,” pp. 333-364 in Ashley Tellis and Michael Wills, eds., Strategic Asia 2006-07: Trade, Interdependence, and Security. Seattle, Wa.: National Bureau of Asian Research, 2006, with David P. Rapkin. 133. “Global War and the Foundations of U.S. Systemic Leadership,” in James Fuller and Lawrence Sondhaus, eds., America, War and Power, 1775-2000. New York: Routledge, 2007. 134. “Necessary Conditions, Non-linearity, and the Outbreak of World War I,” in Gary Goertz and Jack S. Levy (eds.), Explaining War and Peace: Case Studies and Necessary Condition Counterfactuals. London: Routledge, 2007. 135. “Space, Time and Cycles in World Politics,” in Marina M. Lebadeva, ed., Prostaranstvo i Vremja v Mirovoj Politike i Mezdunarodnyh Otnoseijah (Actors in Space and Time in World Politics). Moscow: MGIMO-University Press, 2007. 136. “The Kondratieff Wave as Global Social Process,” in George Modelski and Robert A. Denemark, eds., World System History, UNESCO Encyclopedia of Life Support Systems. Oxford: EOLSS Publishers, 2007. http://www. Eolss.net. 137. “Introduction: A New Approach to Globalization,” in George Modelski, Tessaleno

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Devezas, and William R. Thompson, eds.,Globalization as Evolutionary Process: Explaining Global Change. London: Routledge, 2008, with George Modelski and Tessaleno Devezas. 138. “Measuring Long-term Processes of Political Globalization,” in George Modelski, Tessaleno Devezas, and William R. Thompson, eds.,Globalization as Evolutionary Process: Explaining Global Change. London: Routledge, 2008. 139. “Assessment: What Has Been Learnt?,” in George Modelski, Tessaleno Devezas, and William R. Thompson, eds., Globalization as Evolutionary Process: Explaining Global Change. London: Routledge, 2008, with George Modelski and Tessaleno Devezas. 140. “Systemic Leadership, World Economic Growth, and Southern Democratization in the Long Run.” International Interactions 35 (2008): 1-24. with Rafael Reuveny. 141. “Introduction: The North-South Divide,” in Rafael Reuveny and William R. Thompson, eds., The North-South Divide and International Studies: A Symposium, Special issue, International Studies Review 10, 1 (2008), with Rafael Reuveny. 142. “Observations on the North-South Divide,” in Rafael Reuveny and William R. Thompson, eds., North and South in the World Political Economy. Cambridge, Ma.: Wiley-Blackwell, 2008, with Rafael Reuveny. 143. “How Might We Know a Systemic Transition is Underway? Clues for the 21st Century,” in William R. Thompson, ed., Systemic Transitions: Past, Present, and Future. New York: Palgrave-Macmillan, 2008. 144. “Structural Preludes to Systemic Transition Since 1494,” in William R. Thompson, ed., Systemic Transitions: Past, Present, and Future. New York: Palgrave-Macmillan, 2008. 145. “Kantian Dynamics and Systemic Transitions: Can International Organizations Influence U.S.-China Conflict?,” in William R. Thompson, ed., Systemic Transitions: Past, Present, and Future. New York: Palgrave-Macmillan, 2008, with David Rapkin. 146. “Uneven Economic Growth and the World Economy’s North-South Stratification.” International Studies Quarterly 52 (2008): 579-605, with Rafael Reuveny. 147. “Globalization and World Inequality: A Force for Convergence, Divergence, or Both?” World Society Focus Paper (Zurich, Switzerland, 2008), with Karen Rasler, Also in International Journal of Comparative Sociology 50 (2009):1-26. and in Christian Suter, ed., Inequality Beyond Globalization. Vienna/New Brunswick, NJ: LIT Verlag/Transaction, 2010.

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148. “Looking for Waves of Terrorism.” Terrorism and Political Violence 21 (2009): 28-41, with Karen Rasler. Reprinted in Jean Rosenfeld, ed., Terrorism, Identity, and Legitimacy: The Four Waves Theory and Political Violence. London: Routledge, 2010. Reprinted in Erica Chenoweth, ed., Political Violence, 4 vols. London: Sage, 2013. 149. “Systemic Theories of Conflict,” International Studies Encyclopedia (Compendium Project). Malden, Ma.: Wiley-Blackwell, 2010, with Karen Rasler. reprinted and expanded in Sara McLoughlin Mitchell, Paul F. Diehl, and James Morrow, eds, Guide to the Scientific Study of International Processes. West Sussex, UK, : Wiley-Blackwell, 2012. 150. “The Lead Economy Sequence in World Politics (Sung China to the United States): Selected Counterfactuals,” Journal of Globalization Studies (2010) 1: 3-16. and in Marina Lebedeva, ed., Politiveskaia Sistema Sovremennogo Mira: Novye Reali-Starye Pravila (Contemporary World Political System: New Realities-Old Rules). Moscow: MGIMO-University Press, forthcoming; reprinted in Social Evolution and History (2012) 11, 1: 49-81; reprinted in Leonid E. Grinin, Ilya V. Ilyin, and Andrey V. Korotayev, eds., Globalistics and Globalization Studies. Volgograd: Uchitel Publishing House, 2012, 9-27. 151. “Contemporary Terrorism: Origins, Escalation, Counter Strategies, and Responses,” in Rafael Reuveny and William R. Thompson, eds., Coping with Terrorism: Origins, Escalation, Counter Strategies, and Responses. Albany: State University of New York Press, 2010, with Rafael Reuveny. 152. “Balancing at Sea: Do States Ally Against the Leading Global Power?,” International Security 35,1 (Summer, 2010): 7-43, with Jack S. Levy. Reprinted in part in Colin Elman and Michael Jensen, eds., Realism Reader. London: Routledge, 2013. 153. “Synthesizing Secular, Demographic-structural, Climate, and Systemic Leadership: Moving Toward Explaining Domestic and World Politics in the Last Millennium.” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Theoretical and Mathematical History 1,1 (November, 2010): 26-57. 154. “Global Leaders as Status Consistent Powers?: The United States Case,” in Thomas J. Volgy, Renato Corbetta, Keith A. Grant, and Ryan G. Baird, eds., Major Powers and the Quest for Status in International Politics: Global and Regional Perspectives. New York: Palgrave Macmillan, 2011. 155. “Boundary Disputes, Rivalry, Democracy, and Interstate Conflict in the European Region, 1816-1994,” Conflict Management and Peace Science, 28, 3 (2011): 280-305, with Karen Rasler.

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156. ”Conflict Propensities in Asian Rivalries,” with Sumit Ganguly in Sumit Ganguly and William R. Thompson, eds., Asian Rivalries: Conflict, Escalation and Limitations on Two-Level Games. Stanford, Ca.: Stanford University Press, 2011. 157. “Two-Level Games in Asian Rivalries,” with Sumit Ganguly in Sumit Ganguly and William R. Thompson, eds., Asian Rivalries: Conflict, Escalation and Limitations on Two-Level Games. Stanford, Ca.: Stanford University Press, 2011. 158. “Sea Powers, Continental Powers, and Balancing Theory,” International Security 36, 2 (Fall, 2011): 190-202, with David Blagden and Jack S. Levy (Correspondence). 159. “Analyzing Relative Decline and Zakaria’s Post-American World,” in Sean Clark and Sabrina Hoque, eds., Debating a Post American World: What Lies Ahead? London: Routledge, 2011. 160. “Long Cycle Theory and Concentrations/De-concentrations in Economic and Political-Military Capabilities,” in Hall Gardner and Oleg Kobtzeff, eds., Ashgate Research Companion to War: Origins and Prevention. Aldershot, UK: Ashgate, 2012. 161. “Patterns of Conflict and Stability in the Asian Region from a Long-term Perspective,” in Ali Ahmed, Jaganmath P. Panda, and Prashant K. Singh, eds., Towards a New Asian Order. New Delhi: Shipra, 2012. 162. “The Arc of War,” Montreal Review (April, 2012), with Jack S. Levy. 163. “Open Access: Why Journal Editors Have Other and More Pressing Concerns.” International Studies Perspectives 13,3 (2012): 224-227. 164. “War Making and State Making: Where and How Does It Fit into a Bigger Picture,” in John Vasquez,ed., What Do We Know About War?, 2nd ed., Lanham, Md.: Rowman and Littlefield, 2012, with Karen Rasler. 165. “Energy, K-waves, Lead Economies, and Their Interpretation/Implications,” Journal of Globalization Studies 3,2, (November, 2012); reprinted in Leonid E. Grinin, Tessaleno Devezas, and Andrey V. Korotayev, eds., Kondratieff Waves: Dimensions and Prospects at the Dawn of the 21st Century, Vol. 1 (2012): 188-210; and in Leonid E. Grinin and Andrey V. Korotayev, eds., Evolution: Development Within Big History, Evolutionary and World-System Paradigms, Volgograd, Russia, 2013. 166. “Decline and Retrenchment: Peril or Promise,” International Security 36, 4 (Spring, 2012): 193-197 (Correspondence), with Kyle Haynes, Paul K. MacDonald, and Joseph M. Parent.

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167. “The Forum: The Decline of War.” International Studies Review 15, 3 (2013): 396-419, with Nils Petter Gleditsch, S. Pinker, B.A. Thayer, and Jack S.Levy. 168. “Was Economic Growth Determined in 8000 BCE, 1000 BCE, or even 1500 CE?,” Cliodynamics: The Journal of Theoretical and Mathematical History, 4, 1 (2013):1-29, with Kentaro Sakuwa. Reprinted in Andrey Korotayev and Leonid E. Grinin, eds., History and Mathematics. Moscow: Uchitel, 2014. 169. “Strategic Rivalries and Complex Causality in 1914,” in Jack S. Levy and John A. Vasquez, eds., The War of 1914: Analytic Perspectives on Historical Debates. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2014, with Karen Rasler. 170. “Status, Systemic Uncertainty, and Rise and Fall Dynamics,” in T.V. Paul, Deborah Larson, and William Wohlforth, eds., Status in World Politics. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2014. 171. “Societal Heterogeneity, Weak States, and Internal Conflict: Evaluating One Avenue to Territorial Peace and Stability.” Journal of Territorial and Maritime Studies 1, 2 (2014) : 5-26, with Karen Rasler. 172. “Distance, Size, and Turmoil: North-South Mediterranean Interactions,” Cahiers de la Mediterranee no. 89 (December, 2014): 209-226, with J. Patrick Rhamey, Jr. and Thomas Volgy. 173. “Ekonomlveskoe Sopernivestvo I Problemy Perexodaliderstva” (Transitional Challengers and Economic Rivalry). Vestnik Moskovkogo Universiteta, Globalisitka I Geopolitika 27, 1-2, 3-4 (2014): 174. “K-waves, Technological Clustering and Some of Its Implications,“ in Leonid E. Grinin, Tessaleno C. Devezas, and Andrey V. Korotayev, eds., Kondratieff Waves: Juglar-Kuznets-Kondratieff, Vol. 2. Volgograd, Russia: Uchitel, 2015). 175. “Trends in the Analysis of Interstate Rivalries,” in Robert Scott and Stephen Kosslyn, eds., Emerging Trends in the Social and Behavioral Sciences. Hoboken, NJ: Wiley, 2015. 176. “Rivalry De-escalation, Regional Transformation, and Political-economic Forward Looking,” in Steven Lobell and Norrin Ripsman, eds., The Political Economy of Regional Peace-Making. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 2015. 177. “In Memoriam – George Modelski,” PS-Political Science & Politics 48, 1 (2015): 192; and in Leonid E. Grinin, Tessaleno C. Dezevas, and Andrey V. Korotayev, eds., Kondratieff Waves : Juglar-Kuznets-Kondratieff, Vol. 2. Volgograd, Russia: Uchitel, 2015, with Barry Gills, Robert Denemark, and Christopher Chase-Dunn.

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178. “Peresmotr Davney Tochki Zieniya Na Fenomen Kondrat’yeva (Revising a Long-term Perspective on Kondratieff Phenomena),” 179. “The 1920-45 Shift in U.S. Foreign Policy Orientation: Theory, Grand Strategies and Systemic Leader Ascents.” Foreign Policy Analysis (forthcoming). 180. “K-Waves and Lead Economies: The Political Bias of Technological Innovation,” 181. “Indian State Capacity and India’s National Security,” in N.R.J.B. Blarel, Sumit Ganguly and Manjeet Pardesi, eds., Oxford Handbook of India’s National Security. Oxford: Oxford University Press., forthcoming. 182. “The Foreign Policy Attitudes of Indian Elites: Structure, Hierarchical Constraints, and Cross-National Differences,” Foreign Policy Analysis (forthcoming), with Sumit Ganguly and Timothy Hellwig. 183. “Energy, Technology, and (Possibly) the Nature of the Next World Economy Upswing,” Economic Structure and Cycles 1,1, (2016); Reprinted in Leonid E. Grinin and Andrey V. Korotayev, eds., Kondratieff Waves, Vol. 3. Volgorad, Russia: Uchitel, 2016, with Leila Zakhirova. Recent Papers Written/ Under Review/ in Progress “The China-U.S. Rivalry,” with Timothy Heath “Constructing a General Model Accounting for Interstate Rivalry Termination”* -“Bad Neighborhoods in World Politics: Ethnic Political Exclusion, Weak States, Weak States, and Interstate Disagreements About Territory,” with Karen Rasler* “The War Joining Puzzle: Theory, Rivalry and Power Projection,” with Michael J. Lee* “Why Do Protracted Rivalries Persist Despite Repeated Attempts to De-escalate Them? The Absence of Expectation Changes and Reinforcement,” with Sumit Ganguly and Seongji Woo.* -“War Making and the Building of State Capacity: Expanding the Bivariate Relationship,” with Karen Rasler* “Inching Toward the Primus Inter Pares Model and the End of Systemic Leadership As We Have Come to Know It?”* -“On the Origins, Persistence and Termination of Spatial and Positional Rivalries in

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World Politics: Elaborating a Double Gaited Theory of Conflict Escalation” with Kentaro Sakuwa* -“Revising a Theory of World Politics and the Thousand Year Historical Script That Goes With It,” in Thomas D. Hall, ed., Critical Global Social Science, with Leila Zakhirova* “State Capacity, Democratization and Public Policy,” with J. Patrick Rhamey Jr. and Thomas Volgy* “It’s a Small World After All: Power Projection, the Geography of Conflict, and Some of its Implications,” with Michael J. Lee* “The Extent of Military Involvement in Non-violent, Civilian Revolts and Their Aftermath,” in Jack Goldstone, Andrey Korotayev, Leonid Grinin, and Leonid Issaev, eds., New Wave of Revolutions in the 21st Century, with Karen Rasler and Hicham Bou Nassif* “End of War’ Theories at the Dawn of the Twenty-first Century”* “Globalization, Industrialization, Inequality, and Ethnic Political Exclusion,” with Karen Rasler “Ethnic Political Exclusion Complexes and Human Rights,” with Karen Rasler “Ethnic Political Exclusion Complexes, Public Goods and Economic Growth,” with Karen Rasler “Demographic Growth and Ethnic Political Exclusion,” with Karen Rasler “The Industrial Peace,” with Alex Antony and David Ruigh “The Systemic Origins of War Diffusion,” with Michael J. Lee “The Industrial Peace and Capitalist Peace,” with Alex Antony and David Ruigh “The Industrial Peace and the Territorial Peace,” with Alex Antony and David Ruigh “Regional Variation in Spatial-Positional Rivalry Tendencies and Conflict Propensities,” with Kentaro Sakuwa “Great Power Triangular Rivalry Interactions: China, Russia/the Soviet Union, and the United States,” with Kentaro Sakuwa “Fracking, U.S. Systemic Leadership, and Other Transitional Considerations,” with Leila

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Zakhirova* “Whither a Super-Asia?: Merging and Blurring the Distinctions Among ‘Traditional’ Regional Subsystems,” with Manjeet Pardesi, J. Patrick Rhamey, Jr. and Thomas Volgy “Oil and the Resource Curse in Interstate Conflict,” with Leila Zakhirova “Comparing European and Middle Eastern Rivalry Terminations: Why All Regions May Not Work the Same Way”* “The United States-China Race to Renewable Energy: Who is Winning and Does It Matter?,” with Leila Zakhirova* “Boundaries, Democratization, and Conflict within Four Regions,” with Karen Rasler “Civil War Onset and Protracted Conflict: Making the Case for a Unified Model,” with Karen Rasler “Rivalry, War and State-Making in Less Developed Contexts,” with Karen Rasler “War and Government Revenues in the Post-1945 Era,” with Karen Rasler “Interstate Rivalry and State-Making in the Middle East,” with Karen Rasler “Inside? Outside? Comparing Sources of Influence on the Opportunity Space for the Onset of Rebellion and Civil War,” with Karen Rasler “Comparing Sources of Influence on the Opportunity Space for the Duration and Severity of Rebellion and Civil War,” with Karen Rasler “Stable Boundaries, Rivalry, Democracy, and Interstate Conflict in the Middle East, 1948-2001,” with Karen Rasler.

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Book Reviews and Essays Review of T.M. Franck and E. Weisband, Secrecy and Foreign Policy in Journal of Politics (November, 1975). Review of F.M. Salinger, The Road to Total War in Journal of Politics (May, 1976). Review of N.Z. Alcock, The War Disease in American Political Science Review (June, 1976). Review of D. Heradstveit, Arab and Israeli Elite Perception in American Political Science Review (September, 1977). Review of A. Perlmutter, The Military and Politics in Modern Times in Canadian Journal of Political Science (September, 1979). “Armies, Soldiers, and Politics.” - Review essay on E.A. Nordlinger, Soldiers in Politics: Military Coups and Governments; J. Woddis, Armies and Politics; and R. Haycock (ed.), Regular Armies and Insurgency in Armed Forces and Society 9 (Fall, 1982): 174-77. Review of B.J.L. Berry, Long-Wave Rhythms in Economic Development and Political Behavior in American Political Science Review (September, 1992). Review of R. North, War, Peace, Survival: Global Politics and Conceptual Synthesis in Journal of Politics (November, 1992). Review of T.G. Weiss and J.G. Blight (eds.), The Suffering Grass: Superpowers and Regional Conflict in Southern Africa and the Caribbean in American Political Science Review (December, 1993). Review of J. Vasquez, The War Puzzle in International History Review (August, 1995). Review of G. Arrighi, The Long Twentieth Century: Money, Power and the Origins of Our Times in American Political Science Review (December, 1995). Review of G.T. Hammond, Plowshares into Swords: Arms Races in International Politics, 1840-1991 in The Annals of the American Academy of Political and Social Science (May, 1996). Review of W.H. Mott IV, The Economic Basis of Peace: Linkages Between Economic Growth and International Conflict in International History Review (June, 1999).

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Review of T. L. Knutsen, The Rise and Fall of World Orders in International History Review (September, 2000). Review of T. Boswell and C. Chase-Dunn, The Spiral of Capitalism and Socialism in American Political Science Review Review of P. Diehl and G. Goertz, War and Peace in International Rivalry in Journal of Peace Research (November, 2001). Review of D. Copeland, The Origins of Major War in Journal of Politics (2002). Review of B.M. Roehner and T. Syme, Pattern and Repertoire in History in International History Review (2003). Review of P. K. O’Brien and A. Cleese, Two Hegemonies: Britain, 1846-1914 and the United States, 1941-2001 in International History Review (2004). Reviews of Z. Maoz and B. Mor, Bound by Struggle in International History Review (2004) and Journal of Peace Research (2004). Review of A. Gat, War in Human Civilization in International History Review (2007). Review of L.E. Davis and S.L. Engerman, Naval Blockades in Peace and War: An Economic History Since 1750 in American Historical Review (2007). Review of A. Chua, Day of Empire: How Hyperpowers Rise to Global Dominance – And Why They Fall in International History Review (2008). Review of P.Turchin and S. A. Nefedov, Secular Cycles in Perspectives on Politics (March, 2011). Review of S. Steinmo, The Evolution of Modern States: Sweden, Japan, and the United States in Political Science Quarterly (December, 2011). Review of K. P. Williams, S. E. Lobell, and N.G. Jesse, eds., Beyond Great Powers and Hegemons: Why Secondary States Support, Follow or Challenge. In H-DIPLO (July, 2012) at https://www.h-net.org/reviews/showpdf.php?id=35789. Roundtable Review of B. F. Braumoeller, The Great Powers and the International System: System Theory in Empirical Perspective in H-DIPLO 7,13 (February, 2015) at http://issforum.org/ISSF/PDF/ISSF-Roundtable-7-13.pdf.

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SELECTED PROFESSIONAL SERVICE ACTIVITIES Offices and Committees -Vice President, Peace Science Society (International)-South [1976-77] -Nominations Committee, International Studies Association-West [1982] -Program Committee, Southern Political Science Association [1982] -Executive Council, International Studies Association-South [1983] -Program Co-Chair, International Studies Association [1984] -Executive Council, Conflict Processes Section, American Political Science Association [1986-89] -Publications Committee, International Studies Association [1988-92; ex officio, 1995-98, 2004-07, 2008-2013] -Program Committee (Conflict Processes), American Political Science Association [1991] -Quincy Wright Award Committee, International Studies Association, Midwest [1991] -Steering Committee, Midwest Consortium for International Security Studies [1991-95] -Executive Committee, Midwest Consortium for International Security Studies [1992-95] -Executive Committee, International Studies Association [2004-07; At-large, 2008-09, 2011-12] -Governing Council, International Studies Association [1983-84, 1995-98, 2004-07, 2009-12] -Governing Board, Quantitative International Politics Study Group, International Political Science Association [1996-present] -Host Organizer, Peace Science Society (International) annual meeting [1997]. -Governing Council, History and International Politics, American Political Science Association [1999-2001] -Advisory Board, Institute for Research on World-Systems, University of California, Riverside [2000-present] -President, International Studies Association [2005-06] -Chair, Board of Advisory Editors, ISA Compendium Project [2006-2013] -Chair, Ad Hoc Executive Director Reappointment Committee, International Studies Association [2008] -ISA Book of the Decade Award Committee [2009-10] -Advisory Board, ISA Political Demography Section [2010-2015] -ISA Long-Range Planning Retreat [2010] -ISA Ad Hoc Committee on Publication Governance [2011-12] -External Validation Committee, International Studies Program, Al Akhawayn University, Ifrane, Morocco [2012, 2016] -Co-Program Chair, BISA/ISA Conference, Edinburgh, Scotland [2012] -Program Committee, 8th International Kondratieff Conference (Cyclical Processes In Global Processes), Moscow, Russia [2012] -ISA Ad Hoc Committee on Journal Publisher Selection [2012-2013]

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-ISA Ad Hoc Committee on the Annual Evaluation of the Executive Director [2015-2018] Editorial Activities -Coeditor, Comparative Analysis of Politics Series, F.E. Peacock (1978-82) -Editor-in-Chief/Managing Editor, International Studies Quarterly (1994-98; 2009-13) -Consulting Editor, Johns Hopkins Studies in Globalization, Johns Hopkins University Press (2001- 2015) -Editor, Evolutionary Processes in World Politics Series, Palgrave-Macmillan (2003-present). -Editor-in-Chief, Oxford Research Encyclopedia in Politics, Oxford University Press (2014-present) Editorial Boards: International Studies Notes (1982-99) American Journal of Political Science (1982-85) Journal of Politics (1982-97, 2007-09) Western Political Quarterly (1984-87) International Interactions (1984-91, 2009-present) International Political Economy Yearbook (1987-2001) International Studies Quarterly (1990-94, 2013-present) Journal of World-System Research (1993-present) International History Review (1994-97) Foreign Policy Analysis (2005-2013) Nature and Culture [Leipzig] (2005-present) ISA Compendium (2006-present) Journal of Spurious Correlations (2007-present). International Studies Review (2009-2013) International Political Sociology (2009-2015), Journal of Globalization Studies (2009-present). History and Mathematics [Moscow] (2010-present). International Studies Perspectives (2010-2013) Kondratieff Waves [Moscow] (2011-present) Economic Structures and Cycles (2015-present)