Upload
vuhuong
View
215
Download
1
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
Why Educational Attainment Matters for
Economic Development
Presentation to the
Economic Forum
Presented by
Reed Dasenbrock, Ph.D.
Cabinet Secretary
New Mexico Higher Education Department
July 23, [email protected]
www.hed.state.nm.us505-476-6500 Fax: 505-476-6557
1068 Cerrillos Rd., Santa Fe NM 87505-1650
Where Does the U.S. Stand?Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher by
Age Group – U.S. and Leading OECD Countries
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 2Source: OECD, Education at a Glance 2007
How did we get here?Percent of adults with postsecondary degree, 55-64
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 3
36
22
10
24
17
22
27
14
16
37
24
27
25
19
21
24 2
4
22 2
1
13 1
2
23
14
15
7
8
11
8
11
7
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
Canada
Japan
Korea
Norw
ay
Ireland
Belgium
Denm
ark
Spain
France
United S
tates
Australia
Finland
Sweden
Luxembourg
Iceland
Netherlands
United K
ingdom
Switzerland
New
Zealand
Poland
Greece
Germ
any
Austria
Hungary
Portugal
Mexico
Slovak R
epublic
Italy
Czech R
epublic
Turkey
Source: OECD Education at a Glance 2007
Percent of adults with postsecondary degree, 45-54
43
38
18
30
22
27
32
22
18
39
31
34
28
22
29
30
28
29 2
7
19
26
17 1
6
10
14
14
11
13
9
11
8
11
87
151
4
23
12
13
21
22
24
24
21
19
25
27
24
37
161
4
27
22
17
24
10
7
36
22
12
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
Canada
Japan
Korea
Norw
ay
Ireland
Belgium
Denm
ark
Spain
France
United S
tates
Australia
Finland
Sweden
Luxembourg
Iceland
Netherlands
United K
ingdom
Switzerland
New
Zealand
Poland
Greece
Germ
any
Austria
Hungary
Portugal
Mexico
Slovak R
epublic
Italy
Czech R
epublic
Turkey
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 4Source: OECD Education at a Glance 2007
Percent of adults with postsecondary degree, 35-44
9
50
47
36 35
30
33
35
30
25
41
27
34
30 30
32
16
26
26
19
17
13
16
13
14
11
8 7
11
87
1514
23
121
3
21
22
24
24
21
19
25
27
24
3736
22
10
24
17
22
27
14
16
13
11
1414
10
16
17
27
26
19
12
2928
302
9
22
28
34
31
39
43
38
18
30
22
27
32
22
18
8
13
28
28
32
40
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Canada
Japan
Korea
Norw
ay
Ireland
Belgium
Denm
ark
Spain
France
United S
tates
Australia
Finland
Sweden
Luxembourg
Iceland
Netherlands
United K
ingdom
Switzerland
New
Zealand
Poland
Greece
Germ
any
Austria
Hungary
Portugal
Mexico
Slovak Republic
Italy
Czech R
epublic
Turkey
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 5Source: OECD Education at a Glance 2007
41
14
54 53
51
41 41
41 4
0
40 39 3
8 37 37 3
6 35 35
31
26
20 19 1
8
16 16
12
7
11
8
11
8
7
151
4
13
12
23
21
22
24
24
21
19
25
27
24
37
161
4
27
22
17
24
10
22
36
9
13
11
14
14
10
16
17
26
27
12
19
2928
302
9
22
28
34
39
31
18
22
32
27
22
30
18
38
43
8
13
13
16
13
17
19
26
28
32
26
16
30
30
34
27
28
40
32
25
30
353
3
30
35
36
47
50
14
20
25
22
31
38
39
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Canada
Japan
Korea
Norw
ay
Ireland
Belgium
Denm
ark
Spain
France
United S
tates
Australia
Finland
Sweden
Luxembourg
Iceland
Netherlands
United K
ingdom
Switzerland
New
Zealand
Poland
Greece
Germ
any
Austria
Hungary
Portugal
Mexico
Slovak Republic
Italy
Czech R
epublic
Turkey
Percent of adults with postsecondary degree, 25-34
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 6Source: OECD Education at a Glance 2007
52
50
48
46
44
42
40
38
36
34
32
30
28
26
24
22
20
CanadaJapan
Korea
Norway/Ireland/Belgium
FranceUnited States
Denmark/Spain
Australia/Finland
Iceland/Netherlands/U.K.
Switzerland/New Zealand
Poland/Greece
Germany
Massachusetts
Minnesota
North Dakota
Connecticut/Colorado/New York
New Jersey/Vermont/New Hampshire
Illinois/Maryland/Nebraska
Virginia/Iowa
Wisconsin/RI/SD/WAPennsylvania/Kansas/Delaware
Hawaii
Utah/Montana
Michigan/North Carolina/Georgia
Ohio/MO/OR/WY/CA/FL/ME
IndianaIdaho/South Carolina/Arizona
Texas/Alabama/Tennessee/AlaskaOklahoma
Kentucky/New Mexico
Mississippi/Louisiana
West Virginia/Arkansas
Nevada
Sweden/Luxembourg
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 7
Dona Ana/De Baca
Harding/Sandoval/Grant
Curry/Socorro/Otero
64
60
56
52
48
44
40
36
32
28
24
20
16
12
8
CanadaJapan
Korea
Norway/Ireland/BelgiumDenmark/Spain
United StatesFrance
Australia/Finland/Sweden/LuxembourgIceland/Netherlands/U.K.
Switzerland/New Zealand
GreecePoland
MexicoPortugal
Turkey
Austria/Hungary
Czech Republic
Slovak Republic/Italy
Mora/Roosevelt/Catron
Luna/Union/Hidalgo
Quay/Torrance/McKinley
Lea/Eddy/Cibola
San Juan/Valencia/Sierra/Chavez
Rio Arriba/Lincoln
GermanyColfax/Taos
Guadalupe
Los Alamos
Bernalillo
Santa Fe/San Miguel
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 8
Percent of Population Age 25-64 with an
Associate Degree or Higher, 2006
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 9Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS
New Mexico Lags Behind U.S. As A Whole(Student Pipeline Loss, Transition Percentages 2004)
The Emerging Policy TriangleNew Mexico Higher Education Department Page 10
Of 100 9th Graders, How Many…
91.3
57.3
42.0
27.3
69.7
38.8
26.9
18.4
61.8
37.9
23.6
11.9
0
20
40
60
80
100
Graduate from
High School
Directly Enter College Enroll in Second Year Graduate Within 150%
of Program Time
Best Performing State United States New Mexico
Source: NCES Common Core Data, IPEDS Residency and Migration
Survey, IPEDS Enrollment Survey, IPEDS Graduation Rate Survey
NM % of US 88.7 97.7 87.7 64.7
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 11
In the Future
We Will All Need Even More Education
Jobs that require at least some postsecondary education will make up more than two-thirds of new jobs.
10%
22%
36%
31%
High SchoolDropout
High SchoolDiploma
SomePostsecondary
Bachelor's Degree
Share of new jobs, 2000–10
Source: Carnevale, Anthony P. and Donna M. Desrochers, Standards for What?
The Economic Roots of K–16 Reform, Educational Testing Service, 2003.New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 12
How New Mexico is Doing
New Mexico Statistics, 2004 Fall Enrollment Survey
Source: NCES-IPEDS Fall Enrollment Survey (The Emerging Policy Triangle)
24%
38%
12%
26%
High School Dropout(38%)
High School Diploma(24%)
Some Postsecondary(26%)
Bachelor's Degree(12%)
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 13
Folks, We Have a Mismatch.
U.S. Statistics for Share
of New Jobs, 2000-2010
New Mexico Statistics
2004 Fall Enrollment Survey
U.S. Demand vs. New Mexico Supply
10%
22%
36%
31%
High SchoolDropout
High SchoolDiploma
SomePostsecondary
Bachelor'sDegree
24%
26%
12%
38%
High SchoolDropout
High SchoolDiploma
SomePostsecondary
Bachelor'sDegree
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 14
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 15
Poverty Status by Educational Attainment
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2006 Annual, Social and Economic
Supplement, Educational Attainment--People 25 Years Old and Over, by Total Money Earnings in
2005, Work Experience in 2005, Age, Race, Hispanic Origin, and Sex
Poverty Rate for the U.S. Population 25 Years and Over
31.80%
9.90%
5.80%
14.80%
3.60%
0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%
Less than high school
graduate
High school graduate
(includes GED)
Some college or
associate's degree
Bachelor's degree
Graduate or
professional degree
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 16
Median Earnings of Persons Age 25 or Older by
Highest Education Attainment in the U.S.
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Current Population Survey, 2006 Annual, Social and Economic
Supplement, Educational Attainment--People 25 Years Old and Over, by Total Money Earnings in
2005, Work Experience in 2005, Age, Race, Hispanic Origin, and Sex
$17,422
$20,321
$26,505
$31,054
$35,009
$43,143
$52,390
$82,473
$70,853
$0 $10,000 $20,000 $30,000 $40,000 $50,000 $60,000 $70,000 $80,000 $90,000
Less than 9th grade
9th to 12th grade
HS Graduate/GED
Some college
Associate
Bachelor
Masters
Professional
Doctorate
Educational Attainment and Income
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 17Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census’ and American Community Survey
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 18
Educational Attainment and Income
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census’ and American Community Survey
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 19
Educational Attainment and Income
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census’ and American Community Survey
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 20
Educational Attainment and Income
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census’ and American Community Survey
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 21
Relationship Between Educational
Attainment and Health
Source: United Health Foundation, U.S. Census Bureau
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 22
Educational Attainment (Percent)
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 23
Reaching Top Performance by 2025 (55%) –
United States
94,510,473 Number of individuals to Match Best-Performance
Countries (55%)
31,382,831 Number of individuals to (Age 25-44) Who Already
Have Degrees
63,127,642 Additional Degree Production Needed (2005 to 2025)
40,605,747 Degrees Produced at a Current Annual Rate
of Production
7,045,932 Additional Residents with College Degrees
from Net Migration
15,626,080 Additional Degrees Needed
781,304 Additional Degrees Needed per Year (Currently
Produce 2,135,924 in All Sectors
52.8% Increase in Annual Associate and Bachelor’s Degree
Production Needed (in Public Sector Only)
New Mexico Higher Education Department Page 24
How Can the U.S. Reach International
Competitiveness?
Source: 2005 ACS, PUMS