Why Does Russia Support Serbia and Why Does US Support Kosovo

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

  • 7/30/2019 Why Does Russia Support Serbia and Why Does US Support Kosovo

    1/4

    Why Does Russia Support Serbia and Why Does US Support Kosovo

    By Slava Shirokov

    You have probably heard in the news that Russia and the US are at odds on the

    issue of Kosovo. So, why does Russians support the Serbs and why does America

    support the Kosovars?

    Russians have supported Serbia for centuries, mainly for geo-strategicconsiderations. Expanding Russia craved for access to the Mediterranean Sea, but

    the Ottoman Empire and its successor Turkey (in collaboration with the Great

    Britain) controlled the passage from the Black to the Mediterranean - Bosporus and

    Dardanelles. Subjugated by the Ottoman Empire Serbia was a lynchpin of Russia's

    policies and influence on the Balkan Peninsula.

    Just how much importance the Russian tsars placed on their Balkan ally can be seen

    by how many of their children they had married the Serbian kings and it came as no

    surprise to anyone in 1914 that Russia would go to war with Austro-Hungary andeven the Kaiser Germany just to defend the Serbs.

    Bosporus and Dardanelles are nowhere close to being as strategically important as

    they used to be and, hence, what's in Serbia for Russia these days? For Russia, the

    "eternal brotherhood" or "common religion" (to which Serbs appeal these days)

    have never played a decisive role - Russia has always worried more about its "great

    power" status and the balance of power of Europe. The Kremlin cares little about

    secession of Kosovo or a violation of international law, but it does object to the

    NATO and everything that it does.

    And it should. The NATO expands, bombs, place missile defenses, places its troops

    on the Russian border (the Baltics). Either it is a dying beast that is out of control or

    a powerful foe that is destroying the remnants of the Soviet influence there is no

    single reason why Russia should be comfortable and, as many pan-European

  • 7/30/2019 Why Does Russia Support Serbia and Why Does US Support Kosovo

    2/4

    invaders that Russia has seen in the past 200 years - there is no reason why it

    should not to expect the worst.

    One observer (Robert Pastor was his name) has wittingly pointed out: 'Russia has

    always been too strong or two weak to fit into the global balance of power.' To

    illustrate, it was Russia's weakness that did not allow deterring NATO from bombing

    Serbia in 1999 and it is Russia's growing strength today that makes it difficult for

    her to accept the way that the NATO acts. Ironically, the NATO has become used to

    this way of acting during the 90s.

    But the balance is shifting. Russia is no longer struggling with a faltering economy

    and a non-functioning government. It has a clearly-formulated foreign policy and

    interests, including those in the Balkans. It has one of the two most powerful

    militaries on the planet and, considering that the US and its allies are bogged down

    in two wars that they can not win, - the most powerful. With power comes pride.

    What is in Kosovo for the US? Nothing. Self-determination and democracy rhetoric

    apart, there is not a single argument explaining why the US would support Kosovo's

    independence. Some observers point out that 'US supported Kosovo secession to

    close the final chapter of the NATO operation against Serbia.' It is difficult to see

    how the creation of a client puppet Muslim state with a ruined economy and no

    ability to govern itself would be a closing chapter to anything. Why then would the

    US risk tainting its relationship with one of the most important countries on earth for

    something that it has no interest in?

    There is one country that has a long history of "disliking" Russia, long history of

    confrontation with Russia regardless of who seats in the Kremlin: tsars, Bolshevik's,

    or President Putin. It is United Kingdom, that for some strange reason calls itself

    Great Britain (wait a second, is there a Britain that is not great?).

    My theory is that it was Britain who wanted Kosovo's secession, not the US. The

    second most important country in the NATO alliance has been growing increasingly

    wary of Russia's "bold" and "unacceptable" posture: assassinations of former KGB

    spies on the British soil, of refusals to give out Russian citizens to the British courts,

    of embarrassing evictions of British diplomats from Moscow, of attempts of

    Gazprom to purchase British electric companies.

  • 7/30/2019 Why Does Russia Support Serbia and Why Does US Support Kosovo

    3/4

    British policies in Europe were well described by one of its own diplomats in the

    days of the "Victorian Sunset" - "divide and conquer." And because the days of the

    "Georgian Sunset" are long gone, Britain pretends to be a lap dog of a powerful

    state across the Atlantic ocean. As it turns out the lap dog could still have claws tobite neighbors.

    And just like when your neighbors dog bites you, it is your neighbors fault. It is not

    the Brits who are getting their embassies burnt and it is not the Great Britain that is

    being blamed by half of the world's population (this is how many people 30

    countries that do not recognize Kosovo's independence represent).

    American policy makers and diplomats are probably wondering why they supportedthe secession. Because Great Brits had asked them to. And why did Americans

    listen? First, they did not think it was such a big deal. Second, they needed to

    appease Britain for unequivocal and unflinching support and participation in the

    both wars that America is now fighting. The problem is that further disappointing

    half of the world's population, does not really help the effort to win those wars, and

    neither does establishing a precedent of carving up countries, especially, when you

    have pledged not to carve any countries where you are fighting.

    American analysts discuss how Russia could respond to the public humiliation of itsallies and ultimately itself, but the visit of Russia's future President Mr. Medvedev

    will be as far as it will go. Russia has bigger stakes than that and alienation with the

    West would not be constructive for Russia's growth. Moscow will "say much," but do

    little.

    The Kremlin is collecting applauds from the Russians, who appreciate its strong,

    albeit vocal opposition to the secession; from the Serbs, who appreciate 1.5 bln

    dollar energy investment announced few days after secession of Kosovo; from the

    former soviet republics, who are becoming increasingly aware of how much of theirown territorial integrity depends on Moscow's will; of the Westerners growing sick of

    their governments interventionism.

    As one Russian diplomat has recently pointed out on one of the sessions of EU

    parliament: "You did not like is when we were under the tsars; you did not like us

  • 7/30/2019 Why Does Russia Support Serbia and Why Does US Support Kosovo

    4/4

    when we were communists; you don't like us now. Maybe you just don't like us?" To

    get the Russian view on Kosovo, don't watch CNN which operates on this premise

    that Russia is evil. Mr. Putin may not be the best democratic leader, but Russians

    have a legitimate concern about intentions of the NATO and the US in particular.

    And by the way, there is not a single reason why you should not travel to Russia.

    I graduated from New York University with MA degree in politics and currently work

    for Travel All Russia - America's best travel agency when it comes to tours to

    Russia.