Apr 11-12, 2011Pullman, Washington

WELCOME TO THE BIOEARTH KICK-OFF MEETING!

OUTLINE

Background on NSF/USDA/DOE RFP

BioEarth Project Overview

Related Projects and Programs

BioEarth Project Organization

Kick-Off Meeting Objectives and Agenda

Some Examples of Initial Decisions to Make

FUNDING AGENCIES AND REQUEST FOR PROPOSALS (RFP)

Joint RFP: NSF, USDA, DOE (submission to and review by NSF; ours was selected for funding by USDA)

“Decadal and Regional Climate Predictions using Earth System Models (EaSM)”

Two types: (ours is Type II)

Type I: Capacity Building: 15-20 awards (up to 3 yr, $300k/yr)

Type II: Full Research Projects: 6-10 awards (3-5 yr, $300k-$1M/yr): “large, ambitious, collaborative, inter/multidisciplinary efforts that advance the state of Earth System Modeling on regional and decadal scales”

RFP URL: http://www.nsf.gov/pubs/2010/nsf10554/nsf10554.htm

RFP SPECIFIC OBJECTIVES

Overall Goal: to improve upon and expand on current modeling capabilities to substantively contribute to the advancement of reliable regional and decadal climate predictions.

Specific Goals:

Achieve comprehensive, reliable global and regional predictions of decadal climate variability and change through advanced understanding of the coupled interactive physical, chemical, biological and human processes that drive the climate system.

Quantify the impacts of climate variability and change on ecological, agricultural and other human systems, and identify and quantify feedback loops through which human systems help determine environmental outcomes.

Maximize the utility of available observational and model data for impact and vulnerability/resilience assessments through up/downscaling activities.

Effectively translate model results and associated uncertainties into the scientific basis for well-informed human adaptation to and management decisions for climate change.

STATUS ON AWARD

National Institute of Food and Agriculture (NIFA) Official Award Notification on April 1, 2011 (project start date was April 1)

Subaward contracts currently being initiated

Separate budgets will be created for each unit within WSU

Official 3-agency public announcement not yet made

BIOEARTH PROJECT OVERVIEW

GOAL AND OBJECTIVES

Overarching Goal: To improve the understanding of regional and decadal-scale C:N:H2O interactions in context of global change to better inform decision makers involved in natural and agricultural resource management.

Specific Objectives:

1. Air to Land Linkage: To investigate the role that atmospheric processes play in land surface C:N:H2O cycles.

2. Coupled Air/Land: To explore how ecosystem changes in the PNW affect land/atmosphere interactions.

3. Coupled Air/Land/Human: To examine how potential policy changes might affect the interactions between C:N:H2O cycles and regional-scale climate.

4. Communication: To explore how to best communicate the model results to resource managers and policy makers.

EARTH SYSTEM MODELS

Represents multiple components of the earth system

Example: Community Earth System Model (CESM)

Developed at National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) and greater community

Global scale

Coupler

Atmosphere

Ocean

Land Land & Sea Ice

BIOEARTH VERSUS CESM

BioEarth CESMRegional scale: Pacific Northwest(uses a GCM for boundary conditions)

Global Scale(no boundary problems)

Finer Spatial Resolution Coarser Spatial Resolution

No ocean, sea ice, or glaciers Has ocean, sea ice, glaciers

Some components more sophisticated Some components necessarily less sophisticated

*More explicit handling of human activities: cropping systems (irrigation, tillage, fertilization), forest management, reservoir operations*Integrated economic modeling; can be used for policy scenario investigation*Model outputs more directly relevant for local scale planning/decision making/informing policy

Less explicit handling of human activities

BIOEARTH

A FEW DEFINITIONS FOR COMMUNICATION

BETWEEN MODELS

“offline” – this term usually suggests the models are run independently or there is only 1-way communication between models

“soft coupled” – this term suggests a loose communication between models (iterative approach)

“online” = “hard coupled” = “integrated” – these terms suggest a tighter communication between models (they communicate at every time step or every several time steps)

We need to have group consensus on our terminology:

BIOEARTH

APPROACH AND RATIONALE

Integrate or link existing sophisticated “stand alone” models that are in continuous development

Atmosphere: meteorology, atmospheric chemistry

Terrestrial: hydrology, soil/plant biogeochemistry in cropped and natural systems, biogenic emissions

Aquatic: river routing, reservoir modeling, nutrient export

Economics

As the “stand alone” components continue to improve by their developers, BioEarth will also continue to develop

MODELING DOMAIN: THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST

RELATED PROJECTS AND PROGRAMS

CEN TER FOR ENV IRONMENTA L RESEARCH ED UCATION & OUTREACH

CEREO an umbrella organization with >150 members across all WSU colleges designed to enhance WSU environmental activities

to facilitate high quality environmental research, teaching and collaboration across the WSU system, including all campuses, and all research and extension centers and learning centers throughout the state

to promote development of broad multi-investigator interdisciplinary grant proposals for environmental research and outreach

to stimulate productive relationships and coordination of both research and education with diverse stakeholder communities to share information, provide service, and promote collaboration to benefit the State of Washington

to provide a roadmap of environmental programs at WSU for prospective students and researchers

to provide coordination of environmental programs across the WSU system

NSPIRE IGERT

Nitrogen Systems: Policy-oriented Integrated Research & Education NSPIRE

Interdisciplinary focus on N in the environment for PhDs in Engineering, Sciences and Agriculture

Enhanced policy training for science and engineering PhD students

Initiated in 2009, 3rd cohort begins Aug, 2011

Currently several students working on measurement/modeling topics closely related to BioEarth

NSF-IGERTIntegrated Graduate Education & Research Training

Research

Exte

nsion Education

Geospatial

Trans-disciplinary

Framework

AEZ 1990

Cropping systems

AEZ 2050

EconomicsBiology

SociologyCropping systems

ModelingExperimental studiesMonitoring networksCyber-infrastructure

REGIONAL APPROACH TO CLIMATE CHANGE

REACCH

SOCIO-ECONOMIC AND BIOTIC

DRIVERSINFORMATION

SOCIO-ECONOMIC AND BIOTIC

DRIVERSINFORMATION

Cropping systems

Participatory Processes:

Stakeholders, scientists, policymakers, students,

citizens

GOALSSOC GHG

SustainabilityProductivity

5 yr $20MUI/WSU/OSU

Point measurements of CO2, H2O, and N2O fluxes will be performed with Li-8100 automated chambers coupled with an optical N2O continuous analyzer

Field-scale measurements will be performed using micrometeorological eddy covariance (EC) flux methods.

Regional scale estimates will be developed using the CROPSYST dynamic modeling system

Objective 2: Monitoring/modeling of GHG Fluxes

COLUMBIA FORECASTING PROJECT

Funded by Washington State Department of Ecology

For 2011 Report to State Legislature

Water Supply/Demand Forecasting for year 2030:

Agricultural demand, municipal demand, hydropower demand

Providing initial framework for integration between land surface hydrology and cropping systems at regional scale

Explicit inclusion of reservoir modeling and water rights information for curtailment decisions

Initial linkages between biophysical and economic models

BIOEARTH PROJECT ORGANIZATION

THE TEAM

6 Institutions with WSU as Lead

18 Faculty

3 Postdoctoral Scholars

10+ PhD Students

CEREO Staff

TEAMS

Modeling Team Earth System ComponentJennifer Adam, WSU Terrestrial/AquaticSerena Chung, WSU AtmosphericAlex Guenther, NCAR Atmospheric/TerrestrialJohn Harrison, WSU Terrestrial/AquaticBrian Lamb, WSU AtmosphericRuby Leung, PNNL Atmospheric/TerrestrialClaudio Stockle, WSU TerrestrialChristina Tague, UCSB Terrestrial/AquaticJoe Vaughan, WSU Atmospheric

TEAMS

Economics TeamMichael Brady, WSUYong Chen, OSUJon Yoder, WSU

Cyberinfrastructure TeamAnanth Kalyanaraman, WSUJoe Vaughan, WSU

Outreach/Education TeamChad Kruger, WSUFok Leung, WSUAndy Perleberg, WSUJennie Stephens, Clark U.

Ecology TeamDave Evans, WSUJohn Harrison, WSUChristina Tague, UCSB

STEERING COMMITTEE

Overall Project: Jenny Adam & Brian Lamb

Terrestrial modeling: Jenny Adam

Atmospheric modeling: Serena Chung

Economics: Mike Brady

Agriculture: Claudio Stockle

Ecological Significance: Dave Evans

Cyberinfrastructure: Joe Vaughan

Extension/Outreach: Chad Kruger

MEETING OBJECTIVES AND AGENDA

OBJECTIVES FOR KICK-OFF METING

Get to know each other

Understand project “big picture”

Become familiar with stand alone models

Discuss approaches to project integration

Discuss milestones for first year of project

MEETING AGENDA

MONDAY

1pm Welcome and Introductions

2pm Project Overview

3:30pm Presentations on Stand-Alone Models

5pm Outreach Plan and Communications Research

6:30pm Dinner at Dupus Boomers (CUB)

TUESDAY8:30am Discussion of Objectives for Break-Out Discussions

9am Break-Out Discussions

10am Presentations from Break-Out Groups

10:45am Group Discussion on Timeline and Project Integration

11:45am Concluding Remarks

SOME INITIAL DECISIONS TO MAKE

PEER REVIEW GROUP

Land Surface Modeling: Laura Bowling & Keith Cherkauer, Purdue University, other?

Atmospheric Modeling: ?

Earth System Modeling: ?

Economics: ?

Agriculture: ?

Ecology: ?

Communications: ?

Other: ?

TIMELINE

Major milestones for entire 5-year project duration

Specific milestones for first year

Design milestones to match specific objectives

1-way land/atmosphere impacts

2-way land/atmosphere impacts/feedback

Feedbacks with human decision making (economics)

Communications and outreach

WORKING GROUPS

Need to discuss what working groups will look like

Working groups will change throughout project duration

Initial working groups will be formed to accomplish first year milestones

MEETING FREQUENCY

Steering committee meetings

Bi-monthly in early stages, eventually monthly?

All faculty participants invited

Working group meetings: weekly to bi-monthly

All-faculty meetings: quarterly?

All-participant meetings (faculty&students): bi-annually?

E.g., Kick-off meeting, poster presentations, etc..

Peer review meetings: annually?

Outreach Meetings: bi-annually to annually?

INTEGRATION OF STAND-ALONE MODELS

Degree of integration/coupling

1-way

Iterative coupling

Tight coupling

States/fluxes to pass between various models

Model rebuilding, simplification, or code translation?

CYBERINFRASTRUCTURE NEEDS

1. Code Versioning Software

subversion, cvs, git

2. Data Storage

DateOne, HDF

3. Cluster Software Support

Virtualization, MapReduce, Hadoop

4. Document Sharing

DropBox, SharePoint, Google Group, code.google.com

5. Videoconferencing

Evo, MeetingPlace, LiveMeeting (MS), BigBlueButton, SharePoint, Elluminate, Adobe Connect, Skype

Refer to details in memo by Joe Vaughan

PROJECT DISSEMINATIONE.G. WEBPAGE:

HTTP : / /WWW.CEREO.WSU.EDU/B IOEARTH/

QUESTIONS AND DISCUSSION?

Set Purpose Time period

Model ConfigurationCompute Facility Who When

model input

1

Establish baseline results of models

as they are; model evaluation & calibration

2000to

2009

WRF-Noah reanalysis bluefire WSU first yearoffline CMAQ & MEGAN

modeled meteorology WSU WSUfirst 15 months

offline CropSystobserved meteorology

WSU WSU  modeled meteorology

offline RHESSys

observed meteorology (and deposition?)

 

modeled meteorology, deposition, and ozone

 

modeled meteorology; no deposition, no ozone

 

offline VICobserved meteorology

WSU WSU  modeled meteorology

2

Impacted of integrated WRF-

VIC (without biogeochemistry

modeling)

2000to

2009

WRF- VIC w/o RHESSys/CropSyst

reanalysis bluefire PNNL first year

offline CMAQ & MEGAN

modeled meteorology WSU WSUfirst 18 months

offline CropSystmodeled meteorology, deposition, & ozone

WSU WSU  offline RHESSys  offline VIC-RHESSys-CropSyst

WSU WSU  

3Integrate all model

components

2000to

2009

WRF-VIC with RHESSys/CropSyst coupled to CMAQ & MEGAN

NCEP reanalysisNCAR

WyomingWSU

3rd or 4th year?

4 Future scenario2010

to2050

WRF-VIC with RHESSys/CropSyst coupled to CMAQ and MEGAN + CREM

CCSM4 climateNCAR

WyomingWSU

4th and 5th year

Aquatic

Atmosphere

Terrestrial

AquaticAtmosphere Terrestrial

Aquatic

Atmosphere

Terrestrial