18
1 Conference Call / Webcast RESULTS ANNOUCEMENT 2nd Quarter 2008 (Brazilian Corporate Law) Almir Guilherme Barbassa CFO and Investor Relations Officer August, 13th 2008

webcast-2q08-140730090517-phpapp01

Embed Size (px)

DESCRIPTION

rttr

Citation preview

  • 1

    Conference Call / WebcastRESULTS ANNOUCEMENT2nd Quarter 2008(Brazilian Corporate Law)

    Almir Guilherme BarbassaCFO and Investor Relations OfficerAugust, 13th 2008

  • 2

    Disclaimer

    The presentation may contain forecasts about future events. Such forecasts merely reflect the

    expectations of the Company's management. Such terms as "anticipate", "believe", "expect",

    "forecast", "intend", "plan", "project", "seek", "should", along with similar or analogous expressions, are

    used to identify such forecasts. These predictions evidently involve risks and uncertainties, whether

    foreseen or not by the Company. Therefore, the future results of operations may differ from current

    expectations, and readers must not base their expectations exclusively on the information presented

    herein. The Company is not obliged to update the presentation/such forecasts in light of newinformation or future developments.

    The United States Securities and Exchange Commission permits oil and gas companies, in their filings

    with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated by actual production or

    conclusive formation tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic and

    operating conditions. We use certain terms in this presentation, such as oil and gas resources, thatthe SECs guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC.

    CAUTIONARY STATEMENT FOR US INVESTORS

  • 3

    NATIONAL PRODUCTION OF OIL, NGL & NATURAL GAS 2Q08 VS 1Q08

    1.789 1.816 1.854

    269 304321

    2Q07 1Q08 2Q08Oil and NGL Natural Gas

    Th

    ou

    s. b

    pd

    2,1202,175

    2,058

    2% increase in oil production for the quarter due

    to the increase in the production of P-52 and P-54

    platforms (Roncador field);

    6% increase in the natural gas production.

    Increase in the production of non-associated

    natural gas in the Manati field and in the Esprito

    Santo Basin, and increase in the production of

    associated natural gas in the new production

    units in the Campos Basin;

    June, monthly production record: 1,867 th. bpd .

    Unit Production1st Q/08

    Production2nd Q/08

    Current Production (August, 5)

    P-52 52.7 107.9 154.8

    P-54 42.7 62.2 96.5

    FPSO Vitria 27.9 26.9 31.7

    FPSO Rio de Janeiro 59.2 61.0 62.1 Th

    ou

    san

    d b

    pd

    Oil and Natural Gas Production in Brazil

  • 4

    Water Depth Operating 2007Start Up

    2008Start Up

    2009Start Up

    2010Start Up

    2011Start Up

    2012From 2013

    to 2017

    0-999m 5

    Pride South Atlantic

    O. Yorktown Pride Mexico Borgny Dolphin Ocean Concord Falcon-100

    Petrobras XIV

    1000-1999m 18 Olinda StarOcean Worker

    2000m 5

    Lone Star Schahin III Petrorig II Sevan Driller West Taurus West Eminence Dave Beard

    Gold Star Schahin I Norbe VI Delba III SSV Victoria West Orion

    Delba IV

    Delba V Delba VI Scorpion Delba VII Delba VIII Norbe IX Schahin 1 Schahin 2 Norbe VIII Petroserv Etesco 8 Sevan Brasil

    + 28 new units to be leased

    Total per year 28 6 9 7 1 12 28

    Cumulative 6 15 22 23 35 63

    NEW DRILLING RIGS

    Stena Drillmax e Deep Water Millennium are not being considered since they are being negotiated in the Spot Market

  • 5

    COMPETITIVE NATIONAL SUPPLY OF GOODS AND SERVICES

    imports

    imports

    Current Demand Future Demand

    1. Increase productive capacity of sectors already highly competitive

    2. Develop competition among sectors with limited competition

    3. Incentives for new national entrants

    4. Incentives for joint ventures between national and international

    companies

    5. Incentives for international companies to invest in Brazil

    National

    Industry

    PATH

    Increase in National Supply Capacity of G&S

    Adequacy of The National Supply Industrial Complex

    GOOD AND SERVICES SUPPLY

  • 6

    PRE-SALT SANTOS BASIN

    BM-S-21 (Caramba)

    BM-S-8 (Bem-te-Vi)

    BM-S-9 (Parati)

    BM-S-11(Tupi)

    (Guar)

    (Yara)

    Wells Being Drilled

    Wells Drilled

    BM-S-9 (Carioca)

  • 7

    Increase in the demand for oil products and strong operating performance of the refineries led to increasing throughput of 3% and production of oil products by 4% during the quarter, with 95% utilization rate ;

    4% increase in oil products sales in Brazil, mainly diesel (8%).

    1,79 51,79 6 1,8 0 2 1,776

    1,8 4 6

    1,70 3

    1,776

    1,70 91,76 8 1,76 5

    9 58 9

    9 1 9 0 8 9

    78 787879 77

    1, 500

    1, 650

    1, 800

    1, 950

    2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    Out put of Dome st i c Oi l P r oduc t s S a l e s Vol ume of Tot a l Oi l P r oduc t s

    U se of I nst a l l e d C a pa c i t y - B r a z i l ( %) Dome st i c Cr ude ( %) of Tot a l Fe e dst oc k P r oc e sse d

    Thous. bpd %

    DOWNSTREAM OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE

  • 8

    GAS & POWER OPERATIONAL PERFORMANCE

    Energy sold in the last auctions

    Increase gas supply from E&P

    New gas pipelines in operation

    New regulatory framework in the electric sector

    Next StepsCompleted ActionsMore gas available to be sold or to be used in

    thermo generation

    Better prices and margins

    Higher dispatch in the thermo power plants to guarantee the security of the electric system

    Recovery of fixed costs

    Reduction in contractual penalties

    Hydro

    Nuclear

    Wind

    Coal

    Third-parties Thermo generation (oil + gas)

    Petrobras Thermo generation (oil + gas)

    New contracts with the distribution companies

    40.000

    42.000

    44.000

    46.000

    48.000

    50.000

    52.000

    jun/07 jan/08 jun/08

    MW

    ave

    rgae

    Gas-fired thermo generation growing importance in Brazil

    Creating flexibility in the portfolio

    Increase LNG regasification capacity

    Completing gas infra-structure

    Increasing domestic production

    More contracts sold in energy auctions

    Source: ONS (Brazilian Energy System)

  • 9

    LIFTING COST IN BRAZIL

    Increase in government take due to higher oil prices and higher taxes from the Roncador field, due to production increases (P-52 and P-54 platforms);

    Increase in lifting cost calculated in Reais due to maintenance (P-26 e P-33) and programmed stoppages (Marlim and Namorado fields) besides cost inflation in the industry;

    In dollar terms, lifting cost also impacted by the FX rate appreciation.

    16.3415.1615.2214.6614.45

    34.8028.0425.7623.2620.58

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q08

    Lifting Cost (R$) Gov. Part.(R$)

    7.33 7.65 8.60 8.66 9.88

    10.62 12.4814.56 16.16

    21.20

    96.9

    121.0

    88.774.968.8

    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    2Q07 3Q07 4Q07 1Q08 2Q080

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    Lifting Cost (US$) Gov.Part. (US$) Brent

    US$/barrel R$/barrel

    37.9235.03

    40.9843.20

    51.14

  • 10

    AVERAGE REALIZATION PRICE ARP

    Adjustment in diesel (15%) and gasoline (10%) prices in May and Real appreciation in the period contributed to theincrease of ARP in Brazil.;

    Due to higher oil prices (average Brent in the quarter was US$ 121 against US$ 69 in the 2Q07), refining margins werecompressed, following international trend.

    2 04 06 08 0

    10 012 014 0

    Jun- 0 6 Sep- 0 6 D ec- 0 6 M ar- 0 7 Jun- 0 7 Sep- 0 7 D ec- 0 7 M ar- 0 8 Jun- 0 8

    A R P B raz il ( U S$/ b b l) A verag e B rent Pr ice( U S$/ bb l) A R P ( U S$/ b b l wit h V o l. So ld in B R l)

    126.03

    121,38

    107.46

    2Q08Average

    82.42

    69,45

    78.23

    2Q07Average

    US

    $/b

    bl

    1Q08Average

    104.79

    97,07

    93.90

  • 11

    1,8541,816

    NET INCOME CHANGE R$ MILLION - 1Q08 VS. 2Q08

    Oil Production in Brazil (th. bpd)

    Result was affected by :

    Increase in gross income: increase in average realization prices (oil and oil products) and volumes sold;

    Decrease in operating expenses: reduced exploratory costs and fines related to natural gas supply;

    Increase in net financial expenses: strong appreciation of the Real in the period;

    Better non-operating result: change in participation in relevant investments in Quattor (R$ 409 MM).

    6,925

    7,678 3,693

    173 1,132 586

    5828,783

    1Q08 NetIncome

    Revenues COGS Oper. Exp. Fin. and nonoper. expenses

    Taxes Minority Inter.and Particip. inEquity Incomeand Employee

    Part.

    2Q08NetIncome

  • 12

    1,8541,816

    EXPLORATION & PRODUCTION CHANGE IN OPERATING PROFIT R$ MILLION 1Q08 VS. 2Q08

    Domestic Production of Oil, NGL and Condensate (th.bpd)

    Better operating result in E&P due to the increase in crude oil sales price (22%) and production (2%).

    14,496

    7434,004 1,237 282 40 17,724

    1Q08 Oper.

    Profit

    Price Effect

    on revenues

    Volume Effect

    on revenues

    Cost Effect

    on average

    COGS

    Volume Effect

    on average

    COGS

    Operational

    expenses

    2Q08 Oper.

    Profit

  • 13

    1,8551,779

    DOWNSTREAM CHANGE IN OPERATING PROFIT R$ MILLION 1Q08 VS. 2Q08

    Oil Products and Alcohol sales in the domestic market (th.bpd)

    Increase in average oil products realization prices (9%) and sale volumes;

    Increase in costs due to higher acquisition prices (oil and oil products), partially offset by liquidation of inventorieswith a lower cost basis purchased during previous quarters (average cost of the inventories methodology);

    World trend of refining margin compression due to the strong increase in oil prices.

    (903)

    4,5312,400

    (577)

    4,760

    2,283

    20

    Volume Effect on

    average COGS

    Operational

    Expenses

    2Q08

    Oper. Loss

    1Q08 Oper. Loss Volume Effect on

    Revenue

    Price Effect on

    Revenue

    Cost Effect

    on average COGS

  • 14

    166

    226

    497 25 382

    95

    INTERNATIONAL CHANGE IN OPERATING PROFIT R$ MILLION 1Q08 VS. 2Q08

    Increase in sales volume and higher sales price of crude oil;

    Decrease in operating expenses due to a reduction in exploratory costs in the USA and Nigeria and absence ofcontingencies related to royalties in Colombia, which occurred in the 1Q08.

    International Sales Volume (th. bpd) 631557

    2Q08

    Oper. Profit

    1Q08 Oper. Profit Cost Effect

    on average

    COGS

    Volume Effect

    on average

    COGS

    Operational

    Expenses.Volume Effect on

    Revenue

    Price Effect on

    Revenue

    627

  • 15

    (502)

    353

    140

    452

    320

    124

    265

    GAS & POWER CHANGE IN OPERATING PROFIT R$ MILLION 1Q08 VS. 2Q08

    Natural Gas Sales Volume (million m3/day)

    Better price for natural gas due to new contracts with distributors;

    Increase in volumes, with higher supply of domestic gas by E&P (3% - 29 million m3/day);

    Higher generation of electric power due to the availability of gas and the new resolution for the sector;

    Less contractual fines related to the supply of natural gas for third parties.

    5048

    2Q08

    Oper. Profit

    1Q08 Oper. Loss Cost Effect

    On average COGS

    Volume Effect on

    average COGS

    Operational

    Expenses.Volume Effect on

    Revenue

    Price Effect on

    Revenue

  • 16

    CASH FLOW

    2Q08 1Q08 2Q07

    Net Cash Generated by Operating Activities 11,888 9,771 13,184

    (-) Cash used for Capex (10,969) (10,070) (10,236)

    (=) Free Cash Flow 919 (299) 2,948

    (-) Cash used in Financing Activities (1,433) (1,212) (5,557) Financing 678 2,862 (3,958)

    Dividends (2,111) (4,074) (1,599)

    (=) Net Cash Generated in the Period (514) (1,511) (2,609)

    Cash at Beginning of Period 11,560 13,071 20,463

    Cash at End of Period 11,046 11,560 17,854

    R$ million

    Positive Cash Flow generated by operating activities;

    Cash used for dividends payment.

  • 17

    Petrobras Leverage Ratio

    R$ million 06/30/2008 03/31/2008 Var

    Short Term debt (1) 8,699 7,639 14%

    Long Term Debt (1) 33,256 35,674 -7%

    Total Debt 41,955 43,313 -3%

    Cash and Cash Equivalents 11,046 11,560 -4%

    Net Debt (2) 30,909 31,753 -3%

    Capital Structure 46% 47% -1 pp

    Net Debt/Net Capitalization

    21%

    19%18%

    17%16%

    19%19%

    Dec-06 Mar-07 Jun-07 Sep-07 Dec-07 Mar-08 Jun-08

    LEVERAGE

    Net debt decreased 3% in the 2Q08 when compared to the 1Q08, due to the Real appreciation.

    Net Debt/Net Capitalization decreased 2 p.p. in the same period, falling to 19%.

    (1) Includes debt from leasing contracts (R$ 1,202 million on June 30, 2008 and R$ 1,429 million on March 31, 2008).

    (2) Total Debt Cash/Cash Equivalents

  • 18

    QUESTION AND ANSWER SESSIONVisit our website: www.petrobras.com.br/ri

    For more information contact:

    Petrleo Brasileiro S.A PETROBRAS

    Investor Relations Department

    Theodore Helms Executive Manager

    E-mail: [email protected]

    Av. Repblica do Chile, 65 22o floor

    20031-912 Rio de Janeiro, RJ

    (55-21) 3224-1510 / 3224-9947