Weather Information for Europe - eurocontrol.int · EBBR 110500Z 1106/1212 14003KT 9999 FEW020TCU PROB40 TEMPO 1112/1118 3500 SHRA BECMG 1201/1203 3000 BR PROB30 TEMPO 1203/1206 0800

Weather Information for Europe3 May 2018

Weatherproofing the network A collaborative approach

EUMETNET: The Network of European Meteorological Services

Jaakko Nuottokari

EUMETNET WG AVIMET ChairHead of Aviation and Defence

Finnish Meteorological [email protected]

+358 50 589 5820

GIE/EIG EUMETNET, Registered Number 0818.801.249 - RPM Bruxelles

Aviation Support Programme

EUMETNET is a grouping of 36 European National Meteorological Services

that provides a framework to organise cooperative programmes between its

members in meteorology and related fields. These activities include observing

systems, data processing, basic forecasting products, research, development and training.

Some of the key tasks are:

• Representing the aviation MET community at various European institutions, industry

bodies, and stakeholder and technical groups, undertaking lobbying and reporting

developments to our members

• Coordinating R&D and deployment activities

such as SESAR

• Identifying new opportunities for collaborative research and service provision

for all our Members

• Fostering collaborative approach between

Members for post-deployment service provision and identifying risks and issues

that may require change management and mitigation.


The State of Things in Europe

• In 67% of the 36 EUMETNET member countries the NMHS organisation provides the MWO function, in 25% this is the ATS organization

• In only 19% of members all MWO, AMO and AMS functions are being provided by the NMHS organization

• There are many MET ANSPs with varying responsibilities and differing cost structures

• ECMWF (intergovernmental organisation), DWD, Météo-France and UK Met Office run global models, some other national MET services run limited area models Green – MET ANSP = NMHS organization

Blue – MET ANSP = ATS organization

Red – MET ANSP = mix


Current Service Provision - Background

• Regulated and SES certified MET services according to

– ICAO Annex 3

– EASA 373/2017 from 2 Jan 2020 onward

– National regulation

– Specific ICAO & WMO documentation

– ”Traditional” products METAR, TAF, SIGMET, low level forecast (e.g. GAMET or Significant Weather Chart, SWC), aerodrome warnings, etc.

– Services via State designated, certified and audited MET ANSP

• Commercial added value services

– Tailoring to user needs, impact-based products & specific needs

– Delivered by commercial MET service provider or MET ANSP


Current Service Provision - Delivery

• Regulated MET information delivery and data format is also regulated

– TAC -> IWXXM

– Via AFTN -> AMHS -> PENS

– Global dissemination according to the lowest common denominator

• Used automatically by e.g. Flight Planning, ATM and Airlines

– IWXXM will enable easier inclusion of MET information into ATM systems

• National & regional MET-Briefing system, portals and websites

• SESAR Deployment data discoverable in the SWIM Registry via the MET-

GATE (SESAR Deployment IP 2015_069_AF5)

• Commercial solutions’ dissemination tailored to user needs

EBBR 110500Z 1106/1212 14003KT 9999 FEW020TCU PROB40 TEMPO 1112/1118 3500 SHRA BECMG 1201/1203 3000 BR PROB30 TEMPO 1203/1206 0800 BCFG

BECMG 1206/1208 05010KT 8000 NSW


DEVELOPMENT OF SERVICES

Future Products


Three icing severity levels:

Light (green), Moderate (yellow), Severe (red)

Deployment of the consolidation and

translation of European adverse weather

forecasts for aviation

− Turbulence, icing, convection & winter weather

− Weighted blending method or harmonisation at product borders

− For execution and short term planning

− Verification of harmonised products

− Collecting observation / measurement data

− SESAR Deployment IP 2015_068_AF5

Turbulence severity indicator

(example visual.)

MOGREPS + AROME = 24 members

COSMO + AROME = 32 members


• Useful for hotspot mitigation in and around

thunderstorms where the height and extent of a convective cell can be identified

• European wide with intended 5 and 15minute update rate available via MET-

GATE via the SWIM Registry• 15min update over Europe

• 5min over hub areas (512 x 512 x 12 km³)

• 500m horizontal resol.• 250m vertical resol.

• Large, central panel is a xy-cross-section at 2km constant altitude

SESAR deployment IP 2015_067_AF5

Radar composite for 3D convection


Improvements in the World Area Forecasts

• Partnerships with

organisations who operate a wind unlinking service based

on high resolution winds

• Uplinked winds can be used

by the FMS in cruise and descent to improve fuel

consumption and time of arrival calculations

WAFC wind speed and

direction at 200hPa at 1.25°resolution

WAFC wind speed and

direction at 200hPa at 0.25°resolution


Local Forecasts

• Pilot Common Project regulation

716/2014

• Meteorological information and

aids for ATM impact at en-route,

approach and tower level

• Meteorological information

supporting En Route/Approach ATC process or aids involving

the relevant MET information, translation processes to derive

constraints for weather and converting this information in an

ATM impact; the system capability mainly targets a ‘time

to decision’ horizon between 20 minutes and 7 days

• Implemented by 2025


Cost for regulated aeronautical meteorological service

provision is cost recovered from aviation users

• NM or any other aviation user can have in principle free access to all

regulated services from certified MET ANSPs that are quality controlled

without additional cost for aviation purposes

• Under EU 2017/373 and EU 716/2014 new services will be delivered

• There should be oversight for aeronautical meteorological services provided

to the network manager


Room for Improvement

• Data formats (e.g. TAF) very old

– We can deliver so much more today, but need harmonized user

requirements in Europe

• Users are not always aware of what can be delivered and how impacts are

best mitigated compared to the US

• Unlike the FAA in the US, Europe has no centralized requirements setting

facility for the continent and NSAs lack meteorological competency

• Very large differences between States on resources, capability and mandate

• Users not fully engaged to weather risk mitigation, even though it is the

biggest cause for delay in Europe!


Solutions

• We need to

– Deepen cooperation between MET ANSPs and the

user communities

– Improve harmonisation in regulation and oversight

In order to have user-driven requirements

• Educate and communicate our ability to accurately predict

the weather and its inherent uncertainty

• Develop impact-based models and procedures where

MET is an enabler of CDM

• Recognise the true added value of meteorological

information and services


Let’s work together to minimise weather impact

to your operations

Documents

Weather Information for Europe - eurocontrol.int · EBBR 110500Z 1106/1212 14003KT 9999 FEW020TCU PROB40 TEMPO 1112/1118 3500 SHRA BECMG 1201/1203 3000 BR PROB30 TEMPO 1203/1206 0800