WCAX News 2014 Vermont Election Poll

A graphic overview of the results

Survey Overview

• Based on 653 interviews of registered voters conducted by phone from September 22 to October 2, 2014

• Margin of error for entire sample, +/- 3.8%• Data are weighted by age, gender, and county

to adjust for response bias• A likely voter model is applied to questions

about voting in 2014 to adjust for over reporting the intention to vote

ELECTIONSVermont voters’ preferences among candidates

Gubernatorial Race

Shumlin Milne Feliciano Other Not sure0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50% 47%

35%

6%3%

8%

Lieutenant Governor’s Race

Scott Corren Other Not sure0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

58%

24%

3%

15%

Sanders 2016

Yes45%

No48%

Not sure6%

Should Senator Sanders run for president in 2016?

Sanders

Clinton

Neither

Not sure

36%

29%

29%

5%

Favor Sanders, Clinton, or neither?

PERFORMANCE RATINGSVermont voters’ assess the performance of leaders and agencies

Mood of Vermont

Right track51%

Wrong track44%

Not sure6%

Registered voters

Wrong track

Right direction

0%20%

40%60%

80%100%

68%

27%

15%

81%

Democrat Republican

Job Approval

Approve Disapprove Not sure

45%41%

12%

Governor Shumlin

Approve Disapprove Not sure

59%

7%

33%

Lt. Governor Scott

Rating Vermont Health Connect

Excellent Good Fair Poor Not

2%

13%

29%

33%

24%

How would you rate the performance of the Vermont Health Connect to this point?

Rating Vermont Health Connect, based on familiarity with the program

Very fam

iliar

Somewhat

familia

r

Only va

guely

familia

r

Not at a

ll fam

iliar

6%20% 23%

9%

27% 33%37%

9%

46% 38%

25%

28%

PoorFairGoodExcellent

Rating the VT Dept. of Children and Families

Excellent Good Fair Poor Not sure0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

4%

23%

30% 28%

14%

Rating the state’s performance addressing opiate addition

Excellent Good Fair Poor Not sure0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

40%

3%

24%

37%

25%

10%

ISSUES AND POLICIESVermont voters register opinions on issues of public policy

Issues Facing Vermont Total Chittenden

CountyNorthern Vermont

Central Vermont

Southern Vermont

Taxes 17% 23% 17% 14% 14%

The economy / jobs 17% 14% 21% 18% 15%

Healthcare 16% 18% 18% 18% 11%

Drugs (opiates) 15% 9% 15% 7% 24%

Cost of living 12% 18% 9% 13% 7%

Education 9% 4% 11% 10% 10%Young people leaving the state 4% 4% 2% 3% 6%

Many things 4% 4% 3% 6% 4%

Environmental issues 2% 1% 0% 6% 2%

Crime 2% 2% 2% 1% 2%

Legalizing Marijuana

Support49%

Oppose43%

Not sure8%

Registered Voters

18 - 44 years old

45 - 64 years old

65 or older

59%

48%

35%32%

45%

54%

Support legalizationOppose legalization

Moratorium on New Wind Farms

Statewide Chittenden County

Northern Vermont

Central Vermont

Southern Vermont

41%37%

50%

40% 38%

50% 51%

42%

52%55%

9%12%

9% 8% 7%

Delay wind projects Move forward Not sure

Should Vermont Move Forward with Single Payer Healthcare

All Vermonters Republican Independent Democrat

44%

11%

41%

72%

42%

73%

44%

16%

Move forward Do not move forward

How to Pay for Single-Payer

Income taxes21%

Payroll taxes15%

Combination of taxes6%

Other taxes31%

No tax2%

Not sure24%

Funding K12 Education in Vermont

The system is working We should change the way we fund education

Not sure0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

30%

59%

10%

The Polling Institute at Castleton CollegeAll calculations and data interpretations included in the report are the work of the Castleton Polling Institute. Any errors should be attributed to the report writers and not to WCAX or its staff.