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Ways of Not Knowing Penny Rheingans University of Maryland Baltimore County

Ways of Not Knowing Penny Rheingans University of Maryland Baltimore County Penny Rheingans University of Maryland Baltimore County

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Ways of Not KnowingWays of Not Knowing

Penny Rheingans

University of Maryland Baltimore County

Penny Rheingans

University of Maryland Baltimore County

Penny RheingansPenny Rheingans Dagstuhl, June 2011

UncertaintyUncertainty

Wikipedia: “applies to predictions of future events, to physical measurements already made, or to the unknown”

Wikipedia: “applies to predictions of future events, to physical measurements already made, or to the unknown”

Webster: “the quality or state of being uncertain : doubt”

Webster: “the quality or state of being uncertain : doubt”

Penny RheingansPenny Rheingans Dagstuhl, June 2011

Predictive ModelsPredictive Models

Rheingans and desJardins, Vis ‘05Rheingans and desJardins, Vis ‘05

Penny RheingansPenny Rheingans Dagstuhl, June 2011

Missing DataMissing Data

Cedilnik and Rheingans, Vis ‘00Cedilnik and Rheingans, Vis ‘00

Penny RheingansPenny Rheingans Dagstuhl, June 2011

SimulationsSimulations

Grigoryan and Rheingans, TVCG ‘04 Grigoryan and Rheingans, TVCG ‘04

Penny RheingansPenny Rheingans Dagstuhl, June 2011

Sampled ConfigurationsSampled Configurations

Joshi and Rheingans, Vissym ‘99Joshi and Rheingans, Vissym ‘99

Penny RheingansPenny Rheingans Dagstuhl, June 2011

Statistical MorphologyStatistical Morphology

Caban, Rheingans, and Yoo, Eurovis ‘11Caban, Rheingans, and Yoo, Eurovis ‘11

Penny RheingansPenny Rheingans Dagstuhl, June 2011

Heterogeneity from AggregationHeterogeneity from Aggregation

QuickTime™ and a decompressor

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QuickTime™ and a decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Chlan and Rheingans, Infovis ‘05

Penny RheingansPenny Rheingans Dagstuhl, June 2011

Multi-value ClassificationMulti-value Classification

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are needed to see this picture.

QuickTime™ and a decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Penny RheingansPenny Rheingans Dagstuhl, June 2011

Elements of UncertaintyElements of Uncertainty

Measures Estimated error Multiple estimated errors Data quality metrics Range of a location Range of a value Heterogeneous value Variability of classification

Measures Estimated error Multiple estimated errors Data quality metrics Range of a location Range of a value Heterogeneous value Variability of classification

Display Elements Scalar Multiple scalars Secondary scalar Spatial distribution Scalar; distribution Avg; Distribution of scalar Distribution of nominal

Display Elements Scalar Multiple scalars Secondary scalar Spatial distribution Scalar; distribution Avg; Distribution of scalar Distribution of nominal

Penny RheingansPenny Rheingans Dagstuhl, June 2011

Other Potential UncertaintiesOther Potential Uncertainties

Old data Unreliable provenance Residual from abstraction Distributions of value/uncertainty Ensemble predictions Variability of relationships/structure Uncertainty about causality Imprecision in tacit knowledge

Old data Unreliable provenance Residual from abstraction Distributions of value/uncertainty Ensemble predictions Variability of relationships/structure Uncertainty about causality Imprecision in tacit knowledge

Penny RheingansPenny Rheingans Dagstuhl, June 2011

Yet more complicationsYet more complications

Can we quantify/represent the imprecision introduced by the visualization process?

How will the image will interact with the HVS? Do we know who will be viewing the image? Do we know how the image will be used? What are risks of misrepresentation?

Can we quantify/represent the imprecision introduced by the visualization process?

How will the image will interact with the HVS? Do we know who will be viewing the image? Do we know how the image will be used? What are risks of misrepresentation?