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Phenotyping vs. ideotyping: Opportunities and Limitations of model‐assisted crop design
drawing from genetic diversity drawing from genetic diversity
Delphine Luquet Michael DingkuhnDelphine Luquet, Michael Dingkuhn
CIRAD, AGAP research unit
Montpellier FranceMontpellier, France
9th of February 2011
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
CC translates into increasing staple food commodity prices
!
!
!!
!
400 450
Ton
2000 2050 No climate change 2050 CSIRO NoCF 2050 NCAR NoCF
CC will contribute to higher Food prices
2050:According to models, a less favorable climate for agriculture 100
150 200 250 300 350
ars
Per M
etric
T
g(Tropics & subtropics)
Andrew Jarvis, CIAT/CCAFS
-50
100
Rice Wheat Maize Soybeans
Dol
la
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
CC translates into increasing staple food commodity prices
!
!
!!
!
400 450
Ton
2000 2050 No climate change 2050 CSIRO NoCF 2050 NCAR NoCF
CC will contribute to higher Food prices
2050:According to models, a less favorable climate for agriculture 100
150 200 250 300 350
ars
Per M
etric
T
g(Tropics & subtropics)
Andrew Jarvis, CIAT/CCAFS
-50
100
Rice Wheat Maize Soybeans
Dol
la
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Talk Structure
Crop improvement & CCV
Place of phenotypic plasticity
Pl t d li t t h t i d id t iPlant modeling to support phenotyping and ideotyping
Plant modeling vs. molecular breeding:
Ongoing research
Understanding genetic & physiological architecture of complex traits
Outlook
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Crop improvement vs. CCV:Place for phenotypic plasticityp yp p y
• What is PP?Adapti e changes in plant organi ation d ring ontogenesis– Adaptive changes in plant organization during ontogenesis
– Broad adaptation through adjustment to variable conditions
• Why needed under CC?• Why needed under CC?– CC will increase variability
– Water will be scarcer (water is a great stabilizator!)Water will be scarcer (water is a great stabilizator!)• Heat, cold, drought, salinity, soil fertility, weed competition
• Problem of trade‐offs with yield pot.– Plastic plants = variable plant types; at what cost?
• Problem of trait complexity– How to measure?
– Complex genetics?
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Inherent capacity to dynamically regulate
Phenotypic plasticity+NInherent capacity to dynamically regulate
morphogenesis (Nicotra et al. 2010)• Based on compensatory source‐sink processes • Maintains functioning reproduction & production
+N
Maintains functioning, reproduction & production when conditions fluctuate
• Includes more than morphology: Phenology, physiological defenses…
‐P
p y g
Examples of traits needed under greater climatic variability
Phenology‐ Adaptive phase duration (temporal compensation and stress escape)‐ Rapid development for vigour and high yield potential under short durationMorphology‐ Architecture limiting stress exposure and maximizing resource effiency‐ Environment responsive morphogenesisPhysiology‐ Effective and rapidly inducible tolerance; Hardening?‐ Protection of reproductive processes (e.g., cooling of spikelets)
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Implications of phenotypic plasticity
• Increase of G x EIncrease of G x E
• Intelligent use of G x E through management & forecasts
•Avoid or overcome counter‐productive plasticity trade‐off on yield (Nicotra et al. 2010)
• Trade offs among multiple yield objectives• Trade‐offs among multiple yield objectives e.g. sweet sorghum for ‘FFF’ (Gutjahr et al. 2010)
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Challenge:Challenge:
Conceive plants having ‘productive’ plasticityConceive plants having productive plasticity
Lesson from the past: start from available genetic diversity, t i hf l h i l i l thi kinot wishful physiological thinking
Understand physiological and genetic architecture of complex traits
Reduce complex traits to component traits recombineReduce complex traits to component traits, recombine intelligently
Give room to discovery, and build it in
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Plant modeling to supportPlant modeling to support phenotyping & ideotyping
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Adapting the Ideotype conceptMorphology & Phenology• Green revolution for favorable conditions
D fi > Hi h till i & HI l l d i > N i– Dwarfing => High tillering & HI, less lodging => N responsive• Make traditional systems more productive
– Combine PP‐sensitivity with green revolution traits (African sorghums)
Morphology, phenology and biochemistry• Multi‐purpose, new purposes
– Grain/forage cowpea, peanut… (FF)/b /f h ( )– Sweet grain/bioEtOH/forage sorghum (FFF)
– Biomass 2nd generation energy Annuals/Trees– C‐sequestering food/forage crops
Most difficult: Change ecophysiological adaptation (T, drought, CO2)– Combine multiple adaptations with desired plant type– Transformmetabolic type (C4 rice)
T f h bl d (‘ i ’ h ?)– Transform harvestable product (‘rice ’‐sorghum?)
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
3 steps in Ideotype development where crop d l h lmodels can help
• Characterization of Target Populations of Environments (TPE), incl. CC scenarios=> Use simple agronomic crop model as “lens”=> Use simple agronomic crop model as lens
• Identification of target trait combinations & plant types for TPETPE=> Use crop model with GxExM skills to simulate trait expression &
adaptive value
• Phenotyping process => Association studies => MarkersHeuristics: Extraction of trait parameters from observed variables
=> Specialized process models with small parameter nb=> Specialized process models with small parameter nb.
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Role of plant physiology and modelling in plant breeding: phenotypingplant breeding: phenotyping
• Novel tools (imagery, remote sensing): maximize data acquisition on large number of plantslarge number of plants
Rapid fluorescenceOJIP Handy PEA
High resolution Thermography
OJIP Handy PEA
Still need to decorrelate G and E effects (modelling)
g g p y
• Models needed that analyze & predict G response curve to E throughgenotypic parameters
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Example of role of modelling in phenotyping
Raymond et al. (2003, 2004)Leaf expansion rate response to drought variables (maize)
Welcker et al. 2007
• LER model QTLs colocate with that of direct measurements (leaf width)
• More stable across E : QTLxE overcome (modeling the cause of QTL instability)
13
• Validated in contrasting genetic background (temperate to tropical)
• LER model QTLs colocate with silk expansion QTLs (ASI): 2 crucial traits in 1! 13
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
From relevant QTLs to ideotype: integrative process
•QTL validation = evaluation at plant/pop. scale (crop performance):When expressed? When relevant?performance): When expressed? When relevant?
•Modelling must predict accurate G x E x M interactions d d ffand trade‐offs (Hammer et al. 2010)
• Even more challenging when addressing CCV g g g(extrapolation)
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Example of role of modelling in phenotyping (cont )
Simulated effect of LER QTL i ld
Incorporation of LER model in APSIM (maize)
phenotyping (cont.)
LER‐QTLs on yield in APSIM (maize)
From Chenu et al 2009 ; Genetics
First real proof of concept for ideotype simulation using crop models driven by genetic parameters
From Chenu et al. 2009 ; Genetics
Doing this for traits for phenotypic plasticity requires models with greater detail of trait interactions (morpho/pheno/physio)
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Can plant modeling assist molecularCan plant modeling assist molecular breeding by analyzing genetic &
physiological architecturephysiological architecture of complex traits?
Ongoing work
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Vision: Massive use of molecular markers forMassive use of molecular markers for
agronomic traits and agroecological adaptation
Rice & sorghum are sequenced
Mass sequencing of rice genomes plannedMass sequencing of rice genomes planned
Sorghum is a major source of genes in C4 rice project
Mass application of MAS in private seed sector
GRiSP plan for global phenotyping & gene discovery & molecular breeding networks
CC&FS plan for ideotype strategies for 2030 CC horizon
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
SenegalWARDA
Cold Hot
MontpellierMontpellier
WARDA
C ld H t
Sowing dates
ll
Base TemperatureRoot vigour& architecturephenotyping
Cold HeatMontpellier
PhenotypingN k
Drought
Network
ColdHeat
Madagascar
Philippines
Heat
PhilippinesIRRI
ColombiaCIAT
Drought
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Dealing with traits regulatingh l l t h iwhole plant morphogenesis
• Body plan construction
/• +/‐ plastic in response to E depending on G
• Many processes related to meristem activityy p y
tillering, leaf initiation, size, expansion…
Important: Simulation of Outcomes vs. Forcing! Example: Partitioning handled differently ifor agronomic or genetic objectives
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Genesis of an organ in the plant system:Plastochron
MeristemInitiation
Productive periodCell division SenescenceX
Expansion
Si k Source phaseSink
commitment
Sinkimplementation
Source phase(case of leaf)
Consequences:• Demand determined before growth• Demand regulated to match supplyBody plan ‐ phenotype • Supply feedbacks on meristem behaviour
Physiological linkage (trade‐off) among traits (Rebolledo et al 2010; Granier & Tardieu 2009)
Resource acquisitionC & water status
(Rebolledo et al 2010; Granier & Tardieu 2009)
Also genetic linkage (organ cell vs. organ n°)(W ter Steege et al. 2005; Tisné et al. 2008)
Rebolledo : phenotyping for absence of linkage?
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Development rate DR (1/phyllochron) impact on rice early vigourp y g
CIRAD, greenhouse (2009), 203 japonica cvs.; pot, well watered and stressed
⇒ DR main trait explaining vigor (RGR) d ll t d d d ht ditiunder well watered and drought conditions
⇒ Holds up at constant tillering & leaf size ⇔ Direct effect of DR⇔ Direct effect of DR⇔ trait genetic independence?
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Issue of signalingSi k dj t t b th/d l t f db kSink adjustment by growth/development process feedbacks
Meristem Development response:‐Cell division ‐Development rate‐Organ size?
Morphogenesis
l
‐Organ size?
Glu + Fru
SucroseCINOsCINx
Assimilation,Mobilization
Transport &
discharge
Hormonal Sugar
to apoplastStress
signals signal
Stress
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
EcoMeristem, model of phenotypic plasticity
Ic = index of internal competition = proxy for sugar availability = internal signal
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
10 20 30 40
tota
l CH
O co
once
ntra
tion
of S
DW)
(g p
er g
TD
W (g
) de
ad le
af n
umbe
r
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
10
4
4
8
6
2
0
6
5
3
2
0
1
DR = 0.025 DR= 0.02 DR = 0.017 DR= 0.014 DR = 0.013 DR = 0.011
(a)
(c)
(e)
10 20 30 40
Cro
p gr
owth
r (g
of s
hoot
per
rate
vi
sual
phyll
ochr
on (°
C.d)
da
y)
tille
r num
ber
100
0.6
0.5
0 .4
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
40
80
60
20 15
12
9
6
3
0
(b)
(d)
(f)
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim , Germany
Simulation experiment with Ecomeristem Source‐sink processes vs. DR
6 DR values, else parameters constant 40 day simulations
Rapid DR increases... => growth rate => transitory reserve depletion => tillering
But can also cause « trophic crisis » => delayed leaf appearance => smaller leaves => accelerated leaf senescence
During drought: ‐ Stress more severe
( because of greater water use ) ... Followed by faster recovery
Days after germination Days after germination
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
-50 0.010 0.012 0.014 0.016 0.018 0.020 0.022 0.024 0.008 0.012 0.016 0.020 0.024 0.028
d-')
RG
R (g
.g'.°
C
1.022
1.020
1.018
1 .016
1.014
1.012
1.010
1.008
1.006
y = 1 + 2.6x-54.8x2 ; r 2=0.67
y = 1+1.55x-34x2 ; r2=0.74
urce
leav
es
dw)
in m
ain
stem
so
(g pe
r g of
leaf
st
arch
y = 401.4-3.3.104x + 6.7.1 07
r 2 = 0.2
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07 -09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Natural genetic diversity cs. potential (in‐silico) diversity
Natural vs. in ‐silico population (performance of model parameter combinations)
Natural relationship of Reserves vs. DR
Developmental rate (°C . d- 1
)
Contribution of parameters MGR Ict Epsib plasto Adjusted R2
1 variable X 0,17 to DR in natural po p ulation 2variables X X 0 ,28
3 variables X X X 0,52 4 variables X X X X 0,55
lc (S
uppl
y/de
man
d)
=> Fast development provides for earlier tillering => But causes tiller abortion due to competition
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideotyping and Modeling for African Cropping Systems under Climate Change (CIMAC), 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Dry
mat
ter (
kg/h
a)
n s
7 Phyllo Phyllo Phyllo
55 °C.d LAI green and dead 40 °C.d 70 °C.d 6
5
4
Al
L
3
2
1
0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
8 4 Phyllo Phyllo Phyllo
55 °C.d 40 ° C.d 70 ° C.d
Tiller number & Ic (Supply /demand)
6 3
mi
Dlë
-s/
1 4 2
lei
Til
2 1
0 0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
14000 Phyllo 55 °C.d Ag biomass & grain yield Phyllo 40 °C.d
° Phyllo 70 C .d 12000
10000
8000
6000
4000
2000
0 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180
Days after sowing
SAMARA (Risocas product): Predicting GxExM of process
traits in an agronomic context
=> Fast development increases LAI => But leads to early leaf senescence
=> Fast development affects biomass yield little => But reduces grain yield (small panicles, poor sink)
International Conference on Crop Improvement, Ideot yping and Modeling for African Croppin g Systems under Climate Chan ge (CIMAC ) , 2011/02/07-09, Stuttgart-Hohenheim, Germany
Outlook
Analytical modeling:
Reductionist vs integrative (complex) process models
Reduce error and calibration effort for complex models
Phenotyping:
Methodologies to capture regulation of key processes
Phenotype specifically, think systemically
Eagerly awaiting the momen t of truth :
Phenotyping done (w/ & w/o models): internatl. Network
Genotyping awaits 600- K SNPs chip
Major loci/alleles? Co - location for different stresses/traits?
Physiologists, be ready for unexpected eye openers!
Merci