Virginia Unemployment Claims Data Demographics · 2020-07-11 · Virginia Unemployment Claims Data Demographics . Week Ending July 11, 2020 . Prepared by EIA/VEC . The week of July

1 | P a g e

Virginia Unemployment Claims Data Demographics Week Ending July 11, 2020

Prepared by EIA/VEC The week of July 5th – 11th marks the 17th week of the COVID-19 crisis in the Commonwealth. This week there were 32,292 initial unemployment benefit claims, a 1.5% increase from the previous week. The Commonwealth has now experienced increasing initial claims in two of the previous three weeks, something we have not seen since the week ending April 4th. The following analysis was completed using intrastate and interstate claims data, but not agent claims1. Therefore, the totals below will not match the state totals when aggregated. Of the individuals who filed an initial claim this week, 54.5% identified as male and 45.5% identified as female. This is the third consecutive week where males make up the majority of initial claims filed. For the first 14 weeks of the COVID-19 crisis, female claimants accounted for more than half of initial claims despite only making up 47.0% of Virginia’s workforce, according to the BLS. During those first 14 weeks, 56.2% of all initial claims were filed by female workers. This means that male workers filed just 43.8% of initial claims despite making up 53.0% of the workforce. Prior to the crisis, initial claims demographics were closer to the BLS estimates of gender in the workforce. This disparity leads us to believe that female workers have been more heavily impacted by the crisis than male workers; however, in recent weeks the gender breakdown has been returning to pre-COVID levels.

1 When a participant is enrolled, they might receive benefits from a different location than that which is providing them with assistance. Those intermediary claims are considered agent claims.

54.5%

45.5%

7/5 - 7/11 Claims by Gender

Male Female

52.3%

47.7%

6/28 - 7/4 Claims by Gender

Male Female

2 | P a g e

Grouping initial claimants into age cohorts allows us to analyze the impact of the COVID-19 crisis on different segments of the workforce. This week 24.8% of initial claims were filed by workers ages 16-24 and 25.8% by workers ages 25-35. The share of claims filed by workers in these two cohorts was similar to the week prior, decreasing by 0.1 percentage points. Since the crisis began in the week ending March 21st, workers in the youngest two cohorts, ages 16-24 and 25-34, have accounted for 45.4% of all initial claims despite making up just 33.8% of Virginia’s workforce, according to the BLS. Comparatively, workers in the next two cohorts, ages 35-44 and 45-54, make up 41.0% of Virginia’s workforce but have only accounted for 34.7% of initial claims. These disparities lead us to believer that younger workers, ages 16-34, have been more negatively affected by the crisis than older workers, ages 35-54.

24.8%

25.8%18.8%

14.2%

10.3%

4.5% 1.6%

7/5 - 7/11 Claims by Age

16-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Other

24.4%

26.3%18.4%

14.2%

10.5%

4.1% 2.1%

6/28 - 7/4 Claims by Age

16-24

25-34

35-44

45-54

55-64

65+

Other

3 | P a g e

The occupations of workers who filed an initial claim is another important metric to explore. Compared to the week prior, the share of initial claims filed from different two-digit classifications did not change significantly. The largest change came from Personal Care and Service Occupations (39-0000) which saw an increase of 1.1 percentage points in their share of initial claims. Similarly, Office and Administrative Support Occupations (43-0000) saw a 1.1 percentage point decrease in their share of initial claims compared to the previous week. Of the 23 two-digit classifications, 9 saw a decrease in the total number of initial claims filed compared to the previous week. Please note that the SOC codes are self-reported. To learn more about SOC codes or classifications visit https://www.onetonline.org/.

SOC Code Number of Claims Change from the previous week Percentage of Initial Claims

11-0000 1,752 110 5.83%

13-0000 627 -59 2.09%

15-0000 582 48 1.94%

17-0000 409 33 1.36%

19-0000 194 24 0.65%

21-0000 275 -39 0.91%

23-0000 121 -6 0.40%

25-0000 714 -154 2.38%

27-0000 1,042 -4 3.47%

29-0000 616 -167 2.05%

31-0000 888 11 2.95%

33-0000 385 43 1.28%

35-0000 2,309 264 7.68%

37-0000 1,797 125 5.98%

39-0000 3,003 473 9.99%

41-0000 3,191 451 10.62%

43-0000 2,749 -156 9.15%

45-0000 131 -13 0.44%

47-0000 2,154 340 7.17%

49-0000 1,139 69 3.79%

51-0000 1,609 113 5.35%

53-0000 2,377 159 7.91%

55-0000 17 -6 0.06%

Unknown 1,975 25 6.57% **This sample includes intrastate and interstate claims data, but not agent claims, totals will not equal reported state totals when aggregated.

4 | P a g e

Another important factor to analyze is the race of initial claimants. Over the last week, 36.9% of initial filers have identified as white, a decrease of 1.3 percentage points from the week prior. Additionally, 48.3% of initial claimants have identified as black, an increase of 1.1 percentage points. Overall the breakdown of the race of initial claimants did not change drastically week over week.

36.9%

48.3%

0.5%

3.6% 0.5%10.1%

7/5 - 7/11 Claims by Race

White

Black

American Indian

Asian Pacific

NW-Other

Unknown

38.2%

47.2%

0.5%3.8% 0.6%

9.7%

6/28 - 7/4 Claims by Race

White

Black

American Indian

Asian Pacific

NW-Other

Unknown

5 | P a g e

The ethnicity of initial filers is also important to discuss. According to the Census Bureau, approximately 9.6% of Virginians identify as either Hispanic or Latino. Since the COVID-19 crisis began in the week ending March 21st, 9.6% of initial claimants have identified as being either Hispanic or Latino and in the last week this was even lower at just 6.7%. This was the lowest share of Hispanic or Latino initial claimants in any week since the crisis began. Please note that the percentages above are calculated only from claimants who report their ethnicity and may be subject to revisions in the future.

The citizenship status of initial filers is yet another metric which we should examine. According to an American Community Survey report, approximately 94.2% of Virginian’s are citizens, either through birth or naturalization, and 5.8% are non-citizens. Throughout the crisis roughly 7.7% of all initial claimants indicated that they are non-citizens. The share of initial claimants who identified as non-citizens hit its peak in the week ending April 18th, with 9.5% of filers indicating that they were not citizens. This week only 2.9% of claimants identified as being non-citizens, 4.8 percentage points lower than the share of non-citizen filers throughout the entire crisis.

Citizenship Status

Number of Claims

Change from the previous week

Percentage of Initial Claims

Percentage of Population (ACS)

Citizen 29,184 1,515 97.10% 94.23%

Non-citizen 872 169 2.90% 5.77% **This sample includes intrastate and interstate claims data, but not agent claims, totals will not equal reported state totals when aggregated.

Not Hispanic

93.3%

Hispanic6.7%

7/5 - 7/11 Claims by Ethnicity

Not Hispanic

92.6%

Hispanic7.4%

6/28 - 7/4 Claims by Ethnicity

6 | P a g e

The highest level of education which claimants have attained is another useful data point to look into. This week, 51.6% of all initial filers reported having a high school diploma, 1.9 percentage points higher than the week prior. The share of claimants who reported having at least some college experience or an associate degree fell 0.4 percentage points to 19.3%. Finally, the share of filers who reported having a bachelor’s degree fell slightly from the previous week, decreasing 0.7 percentage points to 10.3% of claimants.

1.5%

12.1%

51.6%

19.3%

10.3%

0.0%

3.5%

1.7%

7/5 - 7/11 Claims by Education Level

Some School

Some High School

High School Diploma

Some College / AssociatesDegree

Bachelors Degree

Some Graduate School

Post Graduate Degree

1.6%

11.7%

49.7%

19.7%

11.0%

0.1%

4.1%

2.1%

6/28 - 7/4 Claims by Education Level

Some School

Some High School

High School Diploma

Some College / AssociatesDegree

Bachelors Degree

Some Graduate School

Post Graduate Degree

7 | P a g e

Finally, we need to examine the counties and independent cities where individuals are filing initial claims. Looking strictly at the number of claims, Fairfax County and Norfolk City had the most filings with 2,445 and 2,223 claims respectively. Virginia Beach City followed with 1,765 initial benefit claims. These are not surprising results as they are all localities with high levels of employment and large populations. Of the 133 localities in the Commonwealth, 73 saw an increase in the total number of claims filed. The largest increase in claims came from Arlington County with 151 additional initial claims compared to the week prior. Although the total number of claims filed can be important, it does not provide us with enough detail about the extent to which each locality had been affected by the COVID-19 crisis. Instead we should look at the total number of claims as a percentage of the labor force in that area. This helps account for different population sizes between localities and gives us a better comparison of the effects felt in each area. By this metric Petersburg City was the most heavily affected locality with 4.9% of its labor force filing for an initial claim. Portsmouth City and Franklin City followed with 2.8% and 2.6% of their respective labor forces filing a claim in the last week.

County/City Number of Claims

Change from the previous week

Percentage of Initial Claims

Claims as a percentage of

labor force Accomack County 122 -8 0.41% 0.74% Albemarle County 154 15 0.51% 0.27% Alexandria City 635 114 2.11% 0.62% Alleghany County 18 7 0.06% 0.26% Amelia County 24 -11 0.08% 0.37% Amherst County 58 -3 0.19% 0.38% Appomattox County 34 2 0.11% 0.47% Arlington County 593 151 1.97% 0.38% Augusta County 69 -23 0.23% 0.18% Bath County 4 -2 0.01% 0.16% Bedford County 154 50 0.51% 0.40% Bland County 12 5 0.04% 0.42% Botetourt County 40 -5 0.13% 0.23% Bristol City 58 1 0.19% 0.80% Brunswick County 60 10 0.20% 0.99% Buchanan County 67 33 0.22% 0.98% Buckingham County 27 -4 0.09% 0.41% Buena Vista City 22 3 0.07% 0.60% Campbell County 56 -31 0.19% 0.21% Caroline County 66 -3 0.22% 0.42% Carroll County 98 -19 0.33% 0.74% Charles City County 17 7 0.06% 0.45% Charlotte County 39 14 0.13% 0.74%

8 | P a g e

Charlottesville City 134 -6 0.45% 0.50% Chesapeake City 1,146 114 3.81% 0.93% Chesterfield County 872 -75 2.90% 0.46% Clarke County 14 -15 0.05% 0.18% Colonial Heights City 110 -12 0.37% 1.23% Covington City 23 4 0.08% 0.94% Craig County 5 0 0.02% 0.22% Culpeper County 76 -2 0.25% 0.30% Cumberland County 27 14 0.09% 0.58% Danville City 358 82 1.19% 1.85% Dickenson County 34 12 0.11% 0.70% Dinwiddie County 45 10 0.15% 0.32% Emporia City 9 2 0.03% 0.39% Essex County 34 14 0.11% 0.61% Fairfax City 21 0 0.07% 0.15% Fairfax County 2,445 114 8.13% 0.38% Falls Church City 39 1 0.13% 0.45% Fauquier County 90 -19 0.30% 0.24% Floyd County 28 0 0.09% 0.34% Fluvanna County 34 4 0.11% 0.24% Franklin City 92 22 0.31% 2.56% Franklin County 136 14 0.45% 0.51% Frederick County 107 -24 0.36% 0.22% Fredericksburg City 120 -19 0.40% 0.83% Galax City 3 -4 0.01% 0.10% Giles County 36 -1 0.12% 0.46% Gloucester County 70 -25 0.23% 0.35% Goochland County 20 -14 0.07% 0.18% Grayson County 49 -4 0.16% 0.60% Greene County 25 1 0.08% 0.23% Greensville County 88 16 0.29% 2.05% Halifax County 67 -12 0.22% 0.43% Hampton City 875 8 2.91% 1.35% Hanover County 184 1 0.61% 0.30% Harrisonburg City 103 -31 0.34% 0.40% Henrico County 980 18 3.26% 0.53% Henry County 278 -54 0.92% 1.16% Highland County 4 1 0.01% 0.33% Hopewell City 233 21 0.78% 2.35% Isle of Wight County 75 0 0.25% 0.38% James City County 166 -9 0.55% 0.45% King and Queen County 14 -4 0.05% 0.36% King George County 43 -5 0.14% 0.31% King William County 30 5 0.10% 0.32%

9 | P a g e

Lancaster County 22 9 0.07% 0.40% Lee County 33 1 0.11% 0.40% Lexington City 1 0 0.00% 0.05% Loudoun County 667 7 2.22% 0.29% Louisa County 56 -4 0.19% 0.28% Lunenburg County 20 3 0.07% 0.37% Lynchburg City 234 -32 0.78% 0.64% Madison County 11 1 0.04% 0.15% Manassas City 107 -13 0.36% 0.48% Manassas Park City - -2 0.00% 0.00% Martinsville City 17 -15 0.06% 0.31% Mathews County 17 8 0.06% 0.41% Mecklenburg County 86 -2 0.29% 0.69% Middlesex County 18 2 0.06% 0.34% Montgomery County 145 19 0.48% 0.29% Nelson County 28 1 0.09% 0.38% New Kent County 50 10 0.17% 0.40% Newport News City 1,199 97 3.99% 1.39% Norfolk City 2,223 144 7.40% 2.05% Northampton County 36 2 0.12% 0.70% Northumberland County 43 -19 0.14% 0.80% Norton City 18 -1 0.06% 1.12% Nottoway County 39 -3 0.13% 0.54% Orange County 83 18 0.28% 0.49% Page County 34 -16 0.11% 0.30% Patrick County 29 6 0.10% 0.42% Petersburg City 613 75 2.04% 4.89% Pittsylvania County 127 0 0.42% 0.44% Poquoson City 15 -6 0.05% 0.24% Portsmouth City 1,187 7 3.95% 2.78% Powhatan County 63 22 0.21% 0.45% Prince Edward County 82 15 0.27% 0.84% Prince George County 79 2 0.26% 0.53% Prince William County 1,265 23 4.21% 0.52% Pulaski County 75 -5 0.25% 0.49% Radford City 45 -4 0.15% 0.55% Rappahannock County 6 -4 0.02% 0.16% Richmond City 1,739 34 5.79% 1.49% Richmond County 23 -1 0.08% 0.58% Roanoke City 424 -1 1.41% 0.88% Roanoke County 180 29 0.60% 0.37% Rockbridge County 33 -13 0.11% 0.32% Rockingham County 81 9 0.27% 0.19% Russell County 61 4 0.20% 0.56%

10 | P a g e

Salem City 72 7 0.24% 0.57% Scott County 31 0 0.10% 0.35% Shenandoah County 75 15 0.25% 0.34% Smyth County 73 -16 0.24% 0.55% Southampton County 63 21 0.21% 0.71% Spotsylvania County 280 0 0.93% 0.42% Stafford County 300 1 1.00% 0.42% Staunton City 62 -34 0.21% 0.51% Suffolk City 569 109 1.89% 1.31% Surry County 17 4 0.06% 0.48% Sussex County 50 14 0.17% 1.35% Tazewell County 137 54 0.46% 0.92% Virginia Beach City 1,765 81 5.87% 0.78% Warren County 54 -20 0.18% 0.27% Washington County 112 14 0.37% 0.43% Waynesboro City 58 -37 0.19% 0.55% Westmoreland County 58 20 0.19% 0.63% Williamsburg City 11 -3 0.04% 0.17% Winchester City 81 17 0.27% 0.55% Wise County 95 5 0.32% 0.75% Wythe County 122 56 0.41% 0.93% York County 80 -6 0.27% 0.25% Other 2,808 529 9.34% N/A

**This sample includes intrastate and interstate claims data, but not agent claims, totals will not equal reported state totals when aggregated.

Virginia Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance: Age

Source: Virginia Employment Commission - EIA

16-2424.4%

25-3426.3%

35-4418.4%

45-5414.2%

55-6410.5%

65+4.1%

Other2.1%

6/28 - 7/4

16-2424.8%

25-3425.8%

35-4418.8%

45-5414.2%

55-6410.3%

65+4.5%

Other1.6%

7/5 - 7/11

16-2424.7%

25-3425.7%

35-4418.2%

45-5414.2%

55-6410.8%

65+4.2%

Other2.2%

6/14 - 6/20

16-2425.7%

25-3425.7%

35-4418.4%

45-5414.2%

55-6410.2%

65+4.1%

Other1.8%

6/21 - 6/27

Virginia Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance: Ethnicity Composition

Source: Virginia Employment Commission - EIA *Data self reported and subject to revision

Non-Hispanic

92.6%

Hispanic7.4%

6/28 - 7/4

Non-Hispanic

93.3%

Hispanic6.7%

7/5 - 7/11

Non-Hispanic

90.6%

Hispanic9.4%

6/14 - 6/20

Non-Hispanic

91.1%

Hispanic8.9%

6/21 - 6/27

Virginia Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance: Race Composition


White38.2%

Black47.2%

American Indian0.5%

Asian Pacific3.8%

NW-Other0.6%

Unknown9.7%

6/28 - 7/4

White36.9%

Black48.3%

American Indian0.5%

Asian Pacific3.6%

NW-Other0.5%

Unknown10.1%

7/5 - 7/11

White41.6%

Black42.9%

American Indian0.5%

Asian Pacific5.0%

NW-Other0.7%

Unknown9.3%

6/14 - 6/20

White39.8%

Black45.3%

American Indian0.5%

Asian Pacific4.6%

NW-Other0.7%

Unknown9.0%

6/21 - 6/27

Virginia Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance: Education Level


Some School, 13.3%

High School Diploma,

49.7%

Some College19.7%

Bachelors Degree11.0%

Some Graduate School,

0.1%

Post Graduate Degree4.1% Unknown School

2.1%

6/28 - 7/4

Some School, 13.6%


51.6%

Some College19.3%



0.0%


1.7%

7/5 - 7/11

Some School, 12.9%


45.2%

Some College22.6%



0.1%


2.3%

6/14 - 6/20

Some School, 13.7%


47.6%

Some College21.4%



0.1%


1.8%

6/21 - 6/27

Virginia Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance: Gender Composition


Male52.3%

Female47.7%

6/28 - 7/4

Male54.5%

Female45.5%

7/5 - 7/11

Male48.8%

Female51.2%

6/14 - 6/20

Male50.6%

Female49.4%

6/21 - 6/27

Virginia Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance: Citizenship Status


Citizen97.5%

Non-citizen2.5%

6/28 - 7/4

Citizen97.1%

Non-citizen2.9%

7/5 - 7/11

Citizen94.0%

Non-citizen6.0%

6/14 - 6/20

Citizen94.9%

Non-citizen5.1%

6/21 - 6/27

Virginia Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance: Gender Composition


0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

3/1 - 3/7 3/15 - 3/21 3/29 - 4/4 4/12 - 4/18 4/26 - 5/2 5/10 - 5/16 5/24 - 5/30 6/7 - 6/13 6/21 - 6/27 7/5 - 7/11

Male Female

Virginia Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance: Citizenship Status


0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

3/1 - 3/7 3/15 - 3/21 3/29 - 4/4 4/12 - 4/18 4/26 - 5/2 5/10 - 5/16 5/24 - 5/30 6/7 - 6/13 6/21 - 6/27 7/5 - 7/11

Citizen Non-citizen

Virginia Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance: Age


0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

3/1 - 3/7 3/15 - 3/21 3/29 - 4/4 4/12 - 4/18 4/26 - 5/2 5/10 - 5/16 5/24 - 5/30 6/7 - 6/13 6/21 -6/27 7/5 - 7/11

16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ Unknown

Virginia Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance: Ethnicity Composition

Source: Virginia Employment Commission - EIA *Data self reported and subject to revision

0.00%

10.00%

20.00%

30.00%

40.00%

50.00%

60.00%

70.00%

80.00%

90.00%

100.00%

3/1 - 3/7 3/15 - 3/21 3/29 - 4/4 4/12 - 4/18 4/26 - 5/2 5/10 - 5/16 5/24 - 5/30 6/7 - 6/13 6/21 - 6/27 7/5 - 7/11

Non-Hispanic Hispanic

Virginia Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance: Race Composition


0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

3/1 - 3/7 3/15 - 3/21 3/29 - 4/4 4/12 - 4/18 4/26 - 5/2 5/10 - 5/16 5/24 - 5/30 6/7 - 6/13 6/21 - 6/27 7/5 - 7/11

White Black American Indian Asian Pacific NW-Other Unknown

Virginia Initial Claims for Unemployment Insurance: Education Level


0.0%

10.0%

20.0%

30.0%

40.0%

50.0%

60.0%

70.0%

80.0%

90.0%

100.0%

3/1 - 3/7 3/15 - 3/21 3/29 - 4/4 4/12 - 4/18 4/26 - 5/2 5/10 - 5/16 5/24 - 5/30 6/7 - 6/13 6/21 -6/27 7/5 - 7/11

Some School High School Diploma Some College Bachelors Degree Some Graduate School Post Graduate Degree Unknown

Documents

Virginia Unemployment Claims Data Demographics · 2020-07-11 · Virginia Unemployment Claims Data Demographics . Week Ending July 11, 2020 . Prepared by EIA/VEC . The week of July