Violent Crime Violent Crime in Orange Countyin Orange County

Prepared byPrepared by

Dr. Jay CorzineDr. Jay Corzine Dr. Lin Huff-CorzineDr. Lin Huff-Corzine Dr. Libby MustaineDr. Libby Mustaine Nicholas E. Libby, Nicholas E. Libby,

MAMA

Christa Polczynski, MSChrista Polczynski, MS MinnaMinna Grantham, MA Grantham, MA Michael Bachmann, Michael Bachmann,

MAMA Jessica Eson, BAJessica Eson, BA

United StatesUnited States

All numbers are rates per 100,000 population.All numbers are rates per 100,000 population. Source: FBI Uniform Crime Reports.Source: FBI Uniform Crime Reports.

YearYear MurderMurder

SexuaSexuall

AssaulAssaultt

RobberRobberyy

AggravateAggravated Assaultd Assault

20042004 5.55.5 32.432.4 136.7136.7 288.6288.6

20052005 5.65.6 31.831.8 140.8140.8 290.8290.8

20062006 5.75.7 30.930.9 149.4149.4 287.5287.5

FloridaFlorida

All numbers are rates per 100,000 population.All numbers are rates per 100,000 population. Source: Florida Department of Law Enforcement.Source: Florida Department of Law Enforcement.

YearYear MurderMurderSexual Sexual AssaulAssaul

tt

RobberRobberyy

AggravateAggravated Assaultd Assault

20042004 5.55.5 38.238.2 173.1173.1 463.9463.9

20052005 5.05.0 37.037.0 169.2169.2 464.4464.4

20062006 6.26.2 35.835.8 188.6188.6 457.1457.1

Orange CountyOrange County

All numbers are rates per 100,000 population.All numbers are rates per 100,000 population. Source: Florida Department of Law Enforcement. Source: Florida Department of Law Enforcement.

YearYear MurdeMurderr

Sexual Sexual AssaulAssaul

tt

RobberRobberyy

AggravateAggravated Assaultd Assault

20042004 6.06.0 50.050.0 237.4237.4 655.1655.1

20052005 7.17.1 47.747.7 308.1308.1 700.2700.2

20062006 11.211.2 47.847.8 396.5396.5 721.8721.8

OverviewOverview of Trends of Trends Between 2004 and 2006 in Orange County:Between 2004 and 2006 in Orange County:

The murder rate increased 87.0%The murder rate increased 87.0% The forcible rape rate decreased 4.4%The forcible rape rate decreased 4.4% The robbery rate increased 67.0%The robbery rate increased 67.0% The aggravated assault rate increased 10.2%The aggravated assault rate increased 10.2%

The spike in violent crime in Orange County is The spike in violent crime in Orange County is concentrated in murder and robberyconcentrated in murder and robbery

The same trend is evident in statewide and The same trend is evident in statewide and national datanational data

Total Number of IncidentsTotal Number of Incidents

YearYear MurderMurder RobberyRobberySexual Sexual AssaulAssaul

tt

AggravaAggravated ted

AssaultAssaultTotalTotal

20042004 5050 15691569 601601 21762176 44184418

20052005 5050 25692569 846846 26092609 60746074

20062006 105105 33063306 940940 27732773 71067106

TotalTotal 205205 74667466 23872387 75587558 1761217612

Total Number of SuspectsTotal Number of Suspects

YearYear MurderMurder RobberyRobbery

SexuaSexual l

AssauAssaultlt

AggravatAggravated ed

AssaultAssaultTotalTotal

20020044 5959 27172717 689689 27442744 62096209

20020055 6565 46364636 957957 33023302 89608960

20020066 129129 63056305 11281128 35453545 1110711107

TotaTotall 253253 1365813658 27742774 95919591 2627626276

Total Number of VictimsTotal Number of Victims

YearYear MurderMurder RobberyRobbery

SexuaSexual l

AssauAssaultlt

AggravatAggravated ed

AssaultAssaultTotalTotal

20042004 5656 27952795 805805 29482948 66046604

20052005 6464 38363836 944944 34683468 83128312

20062006 120120 48764876 10331033 39333933 99629962

TotalTotal 240240 1150711507 27822782 1034910349 2487824878

Suspect’s AgeSuspect’s Age

YearYear TotalTotal Under Under 1818 18-2418-24 25-4425-44

45 45 and and

aboveabove

20042004 35043504 590590 11321132 14291429 353353

(16.8%)(16.8%) (32.3%)(32.3%) (40.8%)(40.8%) (10.1%)(10.1%)

20052005 54705470 923923 19631963 20852085 499499

(16.9%)(16.9%) (35.9%)(35.9%) (38.1%)(38.1%) (9.2%)(9.2%)

20062006 54755475 11741174 20392039 18531853 409409

(21.4%)(21.4%) (37.2%)(37.2%) (33.9%)(33.9%) (7.5%)(7.5%)

Suspect’s RaceSuspect’s Race

YeaYearr

TotalTotal

RaceRace

African African AmericaAmerica

nnWhiteWhite OtheOthe

rrUnknown/Unknown/MissingMissing

20020044 35043504 20132013 14561456 1414 1616

(57.4%)(57.4%) (41.6%(41.6%))

(0.4%)(0.4%) (0.5%)(0.5%)

20020055 54705470 34423442 19601960 2828 4040

(62.9%)(62.9%) (35.8%(35.8%))

(0.5%)(0.5%) (0.7%)(0.7%)

20020066 54755475 35373537 18681868 2424 4646

(64.6%)(64.6%) (34.1%(34.1%))

(0.4%)(0.4%) (0.8%)(0.8%)

Suspect’s GenderSuspect’s Gender

YearYear TotalTotal

GenderGender

FemaleFemale MaleMaleUnknown/Unknown/MissingMissing

20042004 35043504 642642 28452845 1717

(18.3%)(18.3%) (81.2%(81.2%))

(0.5%)(0.5%)

20052005 54705470 853853 46034603 1414

(15.6%)(15.6%) (84.2%(84.2%))

(0.3%)(0.3%)

20062006 54755475 722722 47164716 3737

(13.2%)(13.2%) (86.1%(86.1%))

(0.7%)(0.7%)

Victim’s AgeVictim’s Age

YearYear TotalTotal Under Under 1818 18-2418-24 25-4425-44

45 45 and and

aboveabove

20042004 59805980 996996 15141514 25122512 958958

(16.7%(16.7%))

(25.3%(25.3%))

(42.0%(42.0%))

(16.0%(16.0%))

20052005 76417641 11361136 18631863 33803380 12621262

(14.9%(14.9%))

(24.4%(24.4%))

(44.2%(44.2%))

(16.5%(16.5%))

20062006 91599159 14261426 24922492 37523752 14891489

(15.6%(15.6%))

(27.2%(27.2%))

(41.0%(41.0%))

(16.3%(16.3%))

Victim’s RaceVictim’s Race

YearYear TotalTotal

RaceRace

African African AmericaAmerica

nnWhiteWhite OtherOther Unknown/Unknown/

MissingMissing

20042004 59805980 17381738 20892089 3737 21162116

(29.1%)(29.1%) (34.9%)(34.9%) (0.6%)(0.6%) (35.4%)(35.4%)

20052005 76417641 21272127 21272127 5353 33343334

(27.8%)(27.8%) (27.8%)(27.8%) (0.7%)(0.7%) (43.6%)(43.6%)

20062006 91599159 25452545 26352635 7575 39083908

   (27.8%)(27.8%) (28.8%)(28.8%) (0.8%)(0.8%) (42.7%)(42.7%)

Victim’s GenderVictim’s Gender

YearYear TotalTotalGenderGender

FemaleFemale MaleMale Unknown/Unknown/MissingMissing

20042004 59805980 25192519 34523452 99

(42.1%)(42.1%) (57.7%)(57.7%) (0.2%)(0.2%)

20052005 76417641 31273127 45024502 1212

(40.9%)(40.9%) (58.9%)(58.9%) (0.2%)(0.2%)

20062006 91599159 34383438 57085708 1313

   (37.5%)(37.5%) (62.3%)(62.3%) (0.1%)(0.1%)

Gang Member Bookings Gang Member Bookings

YearYear TotalTotalTotalTotalCountCount

ss

MurdeMurderr

CountCountss

BatteryBatteryCountsCounts

RobberRobberyy

CountsCounts

SexualSexualAssaultAssaultCountsCounts

20020044

2222 9292(1.2 %)(1.2 %)

66(4%)(4%)

4646(.5%)(.5%)

4040(2%)(2%)

00(0%)(0%)

20020055

4343 176176(2.3 %)(2.3 %)

1414(6.2%)(6.2%)

8686(1%)(1%)

7474(4%)(4%)

22(.5%)(.5%)

20020066

7575 188188(2.6 %)(2.6 %)

1212(4.5%)(4.5%)

8989(1%)(1%)

8585(4%)(4%)

22(.5%)(.5%)

Situational Factors Increasing Situational Factors Increasing Rates of Violent CrimeRates of Violent Crime

Illegal drugs and drug marketsIllegal drugs and drug markets Illegal gun marketsIllegal gun markets Increased violence in street cultureIncreased violence in street culture

Social Factors Increasing Social Factors Increasing Rates of HomicideRates of Homicide

Percent of female headed Percent of female headed householdshouseholds

Percent population living in povertyPercent population living in poverty Percent of population with no high Percent of population with no high

school degreeschool degree

Social Factors Increasing Rates Social Factors Increasing Rates of Homicideof Homicide

Percent of female headed Percent of female headed householdshouseholds

Percent population living in povertyPercent population living in poverty Percent of population with no high Percent of population with no high

school degreeschool degree

Social Factors Increasing Social Factors Increasing Rates of HomicideRates of Homicide

Percentage of female-headed Percentage of female-headed householdshouseholds

Percentage of population living in Percentage of population living in povertypoverty

Percentage of population with no Percentage of population with no high school degreehigh school degree

Social Factors IncreasingSocial Factors IncreasingRates of RobberyRates of Robbery

Percent of population aged 15 and Percent of population aged 15 and older enrolled in collegeolder enrolled in college

Percent of population rentingPercent of population renting Percent of population unemployedPercent of population unemployed

Policy ImplicationsPolicy Implications Law EnforcementLaw Enforcement JuvenilesJuveniles CurfewCurfew SchoolsSchools Community and ChurchesCommunity and Churches FamilyFamily EconomyEconomy

Law EnforcementLaw Enforcement Assign more law enforcement officers to Assign more law enforcement officers to

serve in community-oriented, targeted, serve in community-oriented, targeted, proactive capacitiesproactive capacities

Successful Programs in Other CitiesSuccessful Programs in Other Cities Consent to Search Program – St. LouisConsent to Search Program – St. Louis Boston Gun ProjectBoston Gun Project Project Exile – RichmondProject Exile – Richmond

Juvenile JusticeJuvenile Justice Overhaul the Juvenile Justice SystemOverhaul the Juvenile Justice System

Offenses by juveniles must have Offenses by juveniles must have appropriate consequencesappropriate consequences

Juvenile detention has little impact on Juvenile detention has little impact on those committed to street culturethose committed to street culture

Juveniles and GunsJuveniles and Guns Adopt new measures to separate juveniles Adopt new measures to separate juveniles

from firearmsfrom firearms

CurfewCurfew This policy is not recommendedThis policy is not recommended

More juvenile crimes are committed between More juvenile crimes are committed between

4 PM and 10 PM than any other time period4 PM and 10 PM than any other time period Primary impact on non-delinquent juvenilesPrimary impact on non-delinquent juveniles Enforcement is problematicEnforcement is problematic Rarely holds up in courtRarely holds up in court Have proven ineffective in other citiesHave proven ineffective in other cities

SchoolsSchools Expand the number and types of Expand the number and types of

activities after school and on weekendsactivities after school and on weekends E.g., Music, Dance, ArtE.g., Music, Dance, Art SportsSports Re-establish in middle & vocational Re-establish in middle & vocational

schoolsschools

FamiliesFamilies

Encourage families in need to seek Encourage families in need to seek support from schools and churchessupport from schools and churches

Increase availability of family life Increase availability of family life coursescourses

Community and ChurchesCommunity and Churches Plan organized activities after school Plan organized activities after school

and on weekends and on weekends Religious leaders work closely with law Religious leaders work closely with law

enforcement and other community enforcement and other community groupsgroups

EconomyEconomy Plan work assignments for low income Plan work assignments for low income

teensteens Community renewal by employing Community renewal by employing

residents to work on revitalization residents to work on revitalization efforts (e.g., the venues project)efforts (e.g., the venues project)

SummarySummary Crime TrendsCrime Trends Increase in Homicide and RobberyIncrease in Homicide and Robbery Social FactorsSocial Factors Policy ImplicationsPolicy Implications

Youth Programs Are Crime Prevention Youth Programs Are Crime Prevention ProgramsPrograms