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VERBIO Vereinigte BioEnergie AGPresentation
Potsdam 12.12.2007
Fabian Hahn von Burgsdorff,
VERBIO AG
Introduction
Markets
Biodiesel / Bioethanol
2nd Generation
Strategy
Conclusion
3
Current Group Structure
Verbio Vereinigte BioEnergie AG
Energy
[Picture]
MUW NUW
Biodiesel
[Picture]
MBE NBE
Bioethanol
Transport and logistics
Others
Swiss BioEnergy AG (SBE)(1)
(1) SBE procures feedstock and executes sales of finished products on behalf of group entities. SBE also provides engineering services to Verbio
Wind
Biogas
4
Leading Biofuels Producer in Europe
European Biofuels Companies (Current Positioning)
(Current Nominal Production Capacity in ‘000 tonnes)
Positioning
Only integrated biofuels producer operating in Europe
Size confers advantages:
– Relationships with “Blue Chip” customers
– Improved economies of scale
– Involvement in political / regulatory process
Publicly Traded European Peers German Peers (>150k t/a)(Current Nominal Production Capacity in ‘000 tonnes)
Verbio is a leading pure play in both the European and German biofuels markets
(2)
(1)
Bioethanol Biodiesel
(2)
(6)
(4)
(3) (7)
(3)
(4) Operational capacity of 32,000 t/a expected Autumn 2006(5) Includes nominal capacity of 40,000 t/a (50,000m3/a) in France and 9,000 t/a (11,
500m3/a) in a 50:50 JV in Hungary(6) NEW Natural Energy West GmbH (owned by Bunge, Agravis, Diester, and C.
Thywissen); does not include further capacity expansion in Neuss (Germany) of 20,000 t/a for 2006 (VdB)
(7) Company to install further 150,000 t/a capacity (Neuss) in 2006 (VdB)
Source: Verband der Biodieselhersteller (VdB) estimates as of 31 May 2006 and company data
(1) Includes 290,000 tonnes non-EU production capacity(2) Majority owned by ADM; includes production capacity of Oelmühle Leer
Connemann (Leer) with a capacity of 125,000 t/a (acquired 1987)
(3) Biopetrol is currently expanding its production capacity by 200,000 t/a (Rostock) and should start production = 4Q 2006
(5)
5
Group History
2000
April
Sale of oil mill stake(1)
Begin MUW Biodiesel plant planning, including application for subsidies
November
Begin MUW construction (135,000 t/a transesterification)
2001
August
Start of MUW trial operations
October
First Biodiesel production in accordance with regulatory norm
2002-04
March 2002Founding of MBE (first German Bioethanol plant)
May 2003Founding of NBE (Bioethanol plant at Schwedt refinery)
June 2003Begin MBE plant construction (100,000 t/a)
October 2003Founding of NUW (Biodiesel plant)
January 2004Begin NBE plant construction (initially 100,000 t/a)(2)
Mid-2004Start-up of MUW esterification(3)
(16,000 t/a)(2)
Second Half 2004Increase of MUW capacity to 200,000 t/a
2004-Present
Sept-Dec 2004
Start of MBE and NBE trial operations
February 2005
Begin NUW plant construction (200,000 t/a)
Jun-Aug 2005
Start ramp-up of MBE capacity
Start of first NBE production line
Start of NUW trial operations
November 2005
First NUW delivery to Schwedt refinery
May 2006Start of second NBE production line (100,000 t/a)
Foundation of Verbio (700,000 t/a)(2)
1995-1999
1994
Start of Biodiesel trading (2,000 t/a)
1995
Start Biodiesel plant feasibility study
First contact with Dr. Pollert
1996
Construct oil mill(1)
Expand Biodiesel trading ~20,000 t/a(2)
More than ten years successful project development and operations(1) 50% Verpachtungsgesellschaft mbH (Santo family) participation; (2) Data is nominal (nameplate) capacity; (3) [Definition of
esterification to come]
6
CAGR 2000-05 2005-10Diesel 5.4% 2.4%Gasoline (1.9%) (1.9%)
800
1.000
1.200
1.400
1.600
1.800
2.000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Gasoline Diesel
Trends in EU Fuel Consumption
Observations
Western European gasoline consumption is in decline, whereas diesel is increasing
– Price differential (tax driven)
– Quieter, cleaner
– More fuel efficient
Less-developed southern economies growing faster than those of the North
– E.g. Spain, Portugal, Turkey
European supply-demand imbalance
– Surplus gasoline (export to USA)
– Diesel and jet fuel deficit (expected supply shortage of diesel refinery capacity in Europe)
EU Transport Fuel Consumption
Selected EU Consumption (2005)
(in billion tonnes)
(in million tonnes)
Source: Frost & Sullivan data and estimates
22,725,1
19,1
7,8
18,1
24,9
13,810,9
32,129,2
Germany France Spain Italy United Kingdom
Gasoline Diesel
Introduction
Markets
Biodiesel / Bioethanol
BtL Fuels
Strategy
Conclusion
8
Worldwide Transportation Fuel Demand (2005): 1,583 million tonnes oil equivalent
Diesel 38%
Gasoline58%
4%AlternativeFuels
Large Potential Biofuel Market
Worldwide Alternative Fuels Demand for Transport
Source: United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) (Nov 2005)
Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions (1990-2003)
Source: Hart World Refining and Fuels Service
Agriculture Energy Industry Transport
(13%)
(8%)
(1%)
23%
(28%)
Industry Process
Agriculture
Transport
Energy Industry
Waste & Others
The below chart summarises % change in
CO2 emissions in the EU-15 (1990-2003):
9
Conclusion
Grain
Crude Oil
Ethanol
Price
Time
In this Situation it is impossible for European Biofuel-producers to compete against Ethanol made of sugarcane or B99 from USA
• prices for wheat and vegetable oil increased much faster than crude mineral oil
Oilseed
Biodiesel
Introduction
Markets
Biodiesel / Bioethanol
2nd Generation
Strategy
Conclusion
11
Political milestones
- EU Biofuel Directive
- CO2 reduction of transport sector
- Security of supply
- Solution for agricultural surplus
12
Biodiesel and bioethanol = first generation biofuel
13
Biofuels Value Chain
Feedstock Production Finished Product Customers
Logistics
Trading
Road, river, rail, pipeline and storage
Feedstock, oils and finished product
Biodiesel
Vegetable oil seeds:
Rape seed
Soya
Sunflower
Recycled vegetable oil
Refining (oil mills)
Esterification
Glycerine refining
Methanol recovery
Oil majors
Third party traders
Gasoline stations
Fleet (truck, bus)
Food, healthcare and pharma
Direct substitute to mineral diesel:
B5 (5% diesel blend)
Higher blend for fleets (B30, B100)
Bioethanol
Grain milling
Fermentation and distillation
Rectification
Liquid/solid separation
Oil majors
Third party traders
Gasoline stations
Grains/other biomass:
Rye
Wheat
Barley
Maize
Sugar Cane/Beet
Octane enhancer and petrol substitute:
E5 (5% gasoline blend)
E85 (85% flex-fuel cars)
E50
14
Current Situation for Biodiesel
- 5 mio. production capacity of biodiesel in Germany
- max. 1,5 mio. for blending in B05
- Further increment of tax at 01.01.2008
- thereby till 2008 3,5 Mio. t excess production
- subsidized import B99 from USA/ against WTO
- less export opportunities
3,81,8 1,92,6
5,26,6
7,99,1
12,110,3
8,56,9
5,33,7
2003A 2004A 2005E 2006E 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E
EU-15 Forecast EU Target
EU Biofuels Consumption
Target(1): 2.0% 2.75% 3.5% 4.25% 5.0% 5.75%
Biodiesel – Target vs. Forecast(in million tonnes)
(1)(2)
26.7% CAGR '05-'10(1)
EU Biofuels Consumption
15
EU Biofuels Consumption
Current Situation for Bioethanol
- 700.000 t production capacity for Bioethanol
- 2007 1,2% obligatorily blending in petrol = max. 280.000 t
- 2008 2% obligatorily blending in petrol = max. 460.000 Tons
- import of Brazilian ethanol
- sustainability?
Source: Frost & Sullivan, F.O. Licht, EU Directive 2003/30/EC(1) Based on EU target biofuels market share (by energy content). Assumes equal penetration of transport diesel and gasoline by Biodiesel and Bioethanol, respectively.
Underlying diesel and gasoline forecast is as per Frost & Sullivan(2) As per F.O. Licht Bioethanol consumption forecast
5,54,84,23,5
2,10,60,4 2,8
3,04,0
5,06,0
6,97,8
2003A 2004A 2005E 2006E 2007E 2008E 2009E 2010E
EU-15 Forecast EU Target
EU Biofuels Consumption
Target(1): 2.0% 2.75% 3.5% 4.25% 5.0% 5.75%
Bioethanol – Target vs. Forecast(in million tonnes)
(1)(2)
(1)(3)
21.1% CAGR '05-'10(1)
16
Feedstock:
Demand:
Biggest European fuel marketCompletely open market
Feedstock:
Demand:
Existing market for Bioethanol Mandate since 1 Jan 2006 for Bioethanol
Feedstock:
Demand:
Internal systemQuota system
Feedstock:
Demand:
Good sea logistics for refineriesRefinery capacity (#1 in Europe)Quota systemNo feedstock for Biodiesel and Bioethanol - buyers’ market only
EU Biofuels Market Landscape
France
Germany
Italy
Sweden
Source: Coceral (Brussels, Jun 2006), Frost & Sullivan (1) Biodiesel feedstock is rape seed, sunflower seed and soya beans(2) Bioethanol feedstock is soft wheat, drum wheat, corn, rye and triticale
(in million tonnes, 2005 figures)
(in million tonnes, 2005 figures)
(in million tonnes, 2005 figures)
(in million tonnes, 2005 figures)
(in million tonnes, 2005 figures)
Feedstock:
Demand:
Good sea logistics for refineries Narrow market (Repsol & Cepsa)Free biofuel systemFull de-taxation
Spain & Portugal
17
Feedstock:
Demand:
Large grain surplus for Bioethanol Small transport fuel market with limited demand
Feedstock:
Demand:
Good logistics, incl. seaPossibility to supply Nordic region via Rostock
Feedstock:
Demand:
Good logisticsLarge grain surplus for Bioethanol (maize and wheat)Limited fuel marketSingle refiner in market MOL
Feedstock:
Demand:
No market regulation yetRape and wheat for Bioethanol and Biodiesel Sub-optimal logistics
Feedstock
Demand:
Good logistics and feedstock for BioethanolSmall transport fuel market
EU Biofuels Market Landscape (Cont’d)
(in million tonnes, 2005 figures)
Poland
Hungary Other CEE Countries (6)
Balkan Countries (5)
Nordic Region(4)
(in million tonnes, 2005 figures)
(in million tonnes, 2005 figures)
(in million tonnes, 2005 figures)
(in million tonnes, 2005 figures)
Source: Coceral (Brussels, Jun 2006), Frost & Sullivan(1) Biodiesel feedstock is rape, sunflower and soya beans(2) Bioethanol feedstock is soft wheat, drum wheat, corn, rye and triticale(3) Last available gasoline consumption figure as of 2004(4) Includes Finland, Denmark, Latvia, Lithuania, Estonia (5) Includes Serbia, Croatia, Bosnia, Macedonia and Albania(6) Includes Czech Republic, Slovakia, Slovenia, Romania and Bulgaria(7) Includes only Czech Republic and Slovakia
(3)
(3)
Introduction
Markets
Biodiesel/Bioethanol
2nd Generation
Strategy
Conclusion
19
2nd Generation
- ethanol from lignocelluloses
- BtL
- NExBTL
- Hydrotreating
20
BtL-Biomass to Liquid
Carbonisation
Gasification
Liquefaction
21
BtL-Fuels
Raw Materials for synthetically diesel-production
Straw Wood Residual Wood from industry Residual Wood from forest
4 t Biomass = 1 t Syn. Diesel
But remember
2,4 t Grain = 1 t Bioethanol
2,5 t Rape = 1 t Biodiesel
22
BtL-Fuels what is public known
Raw - material Supply:Demand of Biomass for a sigma facility: 1.000.000 t
250.000 t/a biofuel capacity
Annual increment of Biomass in
Forest 2 - 3 t/ha Straw 5 - 6 t /haenergetic wood 8 - 10 t/haaverage 5,5 t/ha
This requires ca. 180.000 ha acreage or 1.800 km2 or twice the city of Berlin
- Investment 800.000.000 Euro (Tom Blades VDI 19.10.2007) (biodiesel 70 Mio; Ethanol 110 Mio)
- Biofuel not competitive with 1st generation
- Earliest availability 2015
Introduction
Markets
Biodiesel/Bioethanol
2nd Generation
Problems & Strategy
Conclusion
24
Inconsistent Discussion
- EU biofuel targets in volume
- CO2 reduction is not evaluated
- Security of supply Brazil vs. Europe
- still 10% setaside - food vs. fool
- deforestation for biofuel production
25
First StepsProduction of Ethanol grain
► Actual Rey production
for food
f. ex. Rey
Starch concentration 57 %
requires fertilization
= 150 kg N / ha
Yield Bioethanol
380 l / t Rey
Prospective Grain production
non food grain
f. ex. Rey
increment of Starch concentration to 60 %
- 15% less fertilization
= 22,5 kg less N / ha
Yield Bioethanol
400 l / t Rey
150.000 ha contracted Production secures short logistics and high quality
26
Production of Bioethanolclassical procedure
Consumer
Byproducts/ Animal Food
RefineriesFilling stations
BioethanolProductionRaw materials
27
EnergyEthanol
5,92
Energy demandEthanol-
Production
NettoEnergy
-2,14
3,78
100%
64%
Only 64 % CO2 – Efficiency
High requirements of Primary Energy
Ökobilanz ~ 30 % Getreideerzeugung + ~ 70 % BioethanolproduktionDDGS: Bewertung Allokationsverfahren auf Basis Energiegehalt
Production of Bioethanol Classical process
Net.-Energy and Energy requirement in kWh / l Ethanol
28
Production of Bioethanol Optimized process with integrated Biogas production
consumer
Feed
RefineryFilling Station
BioethanolproductionRaw materials
VERBIO - Biogas
Fertilizer
Energy
29
Production of Bioethanol Optimized process with integrated Biogas production
Energy content Ethanol
Energy demandEthanol-
Production
-1,00
1,41
Net.-Energy and Energy requirement in kWh / l Ethanol
5,92
Biogas-Production
Net. Energy content
+ surplus
+0,41
No external energy required!
No further exhaust of CO2 / l Ethanol
Futtermittel: Bewertung Allokationsverfahren auf Basis Energiegehalt
30
In Comparison classical Bioethanol production integrated with VERBIO Biogas
Energy Ethanol
-1,00
5,92+0,41
Energy Ethanol
5,92
Energy requirementsEthanol-
Production
Netto-Energy
-2,14
3,782,14
1,41
Biogas-Production
Netto-Energy
Net.-Energy and Energy requirement in kWh / l Ethanol
Energy requirementsEthanol-
Production
31
Conclusion CO2- Reduction VERBIO-Biogas process
reduced CO2 in g / l Ethanol
Ethanol production
Biogas production
259
39
326
fertilization
624 g CO2 / l
reduced
624 g CO2//l – Reduction compared to classical Bioethanol production
32
Erroneous Trends
Food and Fuel: Biofuels Could Benefit World’s Undernourished
“Decades of declining agricultural prices have been reversed thanks to the growing use of biofuels,” says Christopher Flavin, president of the Institute. “Farmers in some of the poorest nations have been decimated by U.S. and European subsidies to crops such as corn, cotton, and sugar. Today’s higher prices may allow them to sell their crops at a decent price, but major agriculture reforms and infrastructure development will be needed to ensure that the increased benefits go to the world’s 800 million undernourished people, most of whom live in rural areas.”
Biofuels for Transport, undertaken with support from the German Ministry of Food, Agriculture, and Consumer Protection, assesses the range of “sustainability” issues the biofuels industry will present in the years ahead, ranging from implications for the global climate and water resources to biological diversity and the world’s poor. The book finds that rising food prices are a hardship for some urban poor, who will need increased assistance from the World Food Programme and other relief efforts. However, it notes that the central cause of food scarcity is poverty, and seeking food security by driving agricultural prices ever lower will hurt more people than it helps.
World biofuels production rose 28 percent to 44 billion liters in 2006, according to the figures compiled since research on Biofuels for Transport was completed; fuel ethanol was up 22 percent and biodiesel rose 80 percent. Although biofuels comprise less than 1 percent of the global liquid fuel supply, the surge in production of biofuels in 2006 met 17 percent of the increase in supply of all liquid fuels worldwide last year.
This rapid growth is having unintended impacts. Large-scale biofuels production can threaten biodiversity, as seen recently with palm oil plantations in Indonesia that are encroaching on forests and edging out the endangered orangutan population, worrying European consumers who have begun importing palm oil from Southeast Asia. In Brazil, the Cerrado, a vast landscape of biologically rich forests, brush, and pasture just south of the Amazon, is coming under pressure as sugar cane cultivation expands.
“Current biofuels production methods place a heavy burden on land and water resources, due in part to the fossil fuel- and chemical-intensive corn that is used to produce over half the world’s ethanol,” says Hunt. “Farming practices need to be reexamined if agriculture is to provide energy as well as food for a rapidly growing global population that is hungry for both.”
“Farming practices need to be reexamined if agriculture is to provide energy as well as food for a rapidly growing global population that is hungry for both.”
33
Food versus Biofuel
2006 Forecast 2007
Grain demand Ethanol production
2007
EU27 258.450.000 t 278.405.000 t 3.500.000 t
EU31 272.321.000 t 293.591.000 t 3.500.000 t
USA 363.200.000 t 335.600.000 t 55.000.000 t
China 371.600.000 t 382.900.000 t
World 2.015.200.000 t 1.974.800.000 t
Quelle: USDA, COCERAL, ACTI, 2007
Introduction
Markets
Biodiesel
Bioethanol
2nd Generation
Strategy
Conclusion
35
Conclusion
- not 1st vs. 2nd generation – 1st and 2nd generation
- biodiesel and bioethanol are available, proven technologies
- food vs. fuel? Not really!
- land efficiency? FAO report!
- high potential of CO2 effects for 1st biodiesel and ethanol
- sustainability directive !!!!
- security of supply / Evaluation of GHG – reduction
36
A Powerful Vision
“The last tree will die for biofuels.”
(Fidel Castro maximo leader 2005)
Thank you for your attention