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Agenda
Key word
Legislation
Objectives & targeted areas
NTRA role
Current status
Analysis
Methodology of implementation
Recommendations
Key words
TeledensityThe number of total working telephones per hundred persons in the population.
TeleaccessabilityThe number of residential lines per 100 households.
Universal AccessProviding convenient and affordable access to communications (Voice & Data) through public facilities ( Pay phones , telecentres)
Key words (contd.)
Universal ServiceLong-term objective of making communications facilities available to every member of the society.
Universal Service Fund ( USF)A public fund established to support communications development goals .
Legislation Law No. 10/ 2003
Article 5 NTRA may take all actions required to set out criteria and regulations for non economic telecommunications services that should be provided for deprived area
Article 9 NTRA’s fiscal year shall maintain a bank account to deposit its fund. NTRA’s annual budget surplus shall be carried forward to the telecommunication universal service fund
Legislation (contd.)
Article 25
Consideration of universal service requirements
Article 26
If the cabinet establishes a price for one of these services that is less its approved economic cost. The service provider/operator shall be compensated for the difference from the universal service fund. In the case where the fund is in deficit. It shall be supported by the state based on proposal of the concerned Minister in consultation with the minister of finance.
Objectives
Equal access for rural users to quality telecommunications services that are comparable in price and scope.
Promote national political, economic and cultural cohesion.
To encourage more balanced distribution of the population.
Targeted areas
Expansion of services to remote or high cost areas and low income subscriber groups, where it is currently uneconomic to provide .
Expansion of new access services, rather than support of existing services.
Priority on public access services, rather than private household access.
Directory enquiries
Emergency, social schemes
NTRA role
Designing universal access policies, regulations .Create and manage USF.Adopting technologically neutral licensing practices.Adopting a framework of interconnection rates linked to costs.Reducing regulatory burdens to lower the costs of providing services to end users.
Current status
Geographic informationAround one million square km. of these, only around 55 thousands square km (i.e. 5.5%) are populated.
27 Governorates.
200 Centers
4522 Villages.
Current status (contd.)
Population
The Egyptian population was estimated at approximately 68.3 million.(1/7/2003 ).
Population Growth Rate: 2.063%
Avg. No. of Families: 14.5 Millions.
Current status (contd.)
Unused2,600,00023.35%
Residential7,690,35569.06%
Busniess715,7356.43%
Governmental129,1721.16%
Governmental Busniess Residential Unused
Fixed LinesTotal # of available lines 11.2 Millions.Total # of working lines 8.6 Millions.No. of Exchange 1500Waiting List 106,000 subscribers.
Current status (contd.)
Nile13,72528.70%
Menatel29,89162.50%
Telecom Egypt4,2088.80%
Telecom Egypt Menatel Nile
Payphone Service Mobile Service
Total # of Cabinets 47,824 Total # of Subscribers 5,500000
Vodafone2,600,00047.27%
Mobinil2,900,00052.73%
Mobinil Vodafone
Current Teledensity & Teleaccessability Urban Governorates
23.5
2
12.3
9
82.9
4
58.2
1
26.2
6
21.5
4
19.2
3 27.0
3
90.2
5
65.4
7
97.6
7
78.3
5
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Alexandria Cairo Suez Port Said Urban Avg. Egypt Avg.
Teledenisty Teleaccessability
Current Teledensity & Teleaccessability Delta Governorates
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
Teledenisty Teleaccessability
Current Teledensity & Teleaccessability
Upper Egypt Governorates
6.09
6.68
5.01
11.2
110
.44
9.70
12.3
9
26.1
928
.74
21.5
5
48.2
0
44.8
7
41.7
2
58.2
1
5.51
17.7
8
5.39
4.69
23.6
9
23.2
0
20.1
6
68.9
5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Giza Beni Suef Fayoum Minya Assout Sohag Qena Luxor Aswan UpperAvg.
EgyptAvg.
Teledenisty Teleaccessability
Current Teledensity & Teleaccessability Frontier Governorates
25.6
1
17.4
2
12.3
9
61.6
664
.42
58.2
1
16.1
619
.33
14.2
6
11.7
3
80.5
6
46.2
9 50.4
6
83.1
4
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Red Sea Wadi El Gedid Matrouh North Sinai South Sinai Frontier Avg. Egypt Avg.
Teledenisty Teleaccessability
Analysis
Current Status
Benchmarking IndicatorsFinancialTechnical
Other
Methodology of Implementation
Phase OneUSO
Phase TwoUSF
Benchmarking AnalysisUniversality in Selected Developing and Transitional Economies
Country Universal Access policy Operator Obligations
CubaAccess to all villages and to communities of more than 500 inhabitants.
License conditions stipulate by the end of the first 8-year program all villages of more than 500 inhabitants must have access.
IranTelephone facilities to all villages of more than 100 people.
Expansion, service quality, interconnection and service to the elderly as part of license conditions.
KyrgyzstanA phone booth in every town ; a phone in every home.
Expansion, service quality and interconnection contracted with the government.
Mozambique
A public telephone within distance of less than 5 km. At least one public telephone in each of the 144 district centers.
Expansion, service quality and interconnection contracted with the government.
Pakistan A phone in every village. No obligations.
Togo
A telephone within a 5 km radius by 2010; a telephone in every administrative and economic center of importance
Contract with the state to determine the objectives for development and plurality of service.
Indicators Analysis
Market Efficiency Gap.
- The difference between the current service penetration and the achievable level of penetration in the liberalized market.- Can be minimized through a solid sector reform policy & USO.
Access Gap
- The difference between population without service and that with service- even under efficient market condition.- A portion of the population may simply not be able to afford market price. - Some cases can be solved with US Fund.
Financial Analysis
Basic revenue considerations:
The thumb rule that an average of about 2.5% of per capita income is spent on telecommunications worldwide.
Where the costs of providing telecommunications access is greater than 2.5% of local incomes, external subsidies may be required to promote UA.
Funding mechanisms, such as a universal access fund, can be designed with this rule of thumb in mind.
Local residents will generally be willing and able to pay about 2.5% of their incomes on telecommunications services, and the fund may be required to subsidize the rest of the costs
Technical Analysis
Usage of alternative solutions and technologies ONU (Optical Node Unit)
Pair Gain System ( Multiplexed on twisted pair )
WLL ( Wireless Local Loop) “ cannot obtain ADSL on the same line)
Satellite-Based Tech. ( Sofisat) 9k lines (22/8/2003 100k )
CDMA 2000 WLL (800/900/1900/200-2700MHz band 1.77MHz & Mobility) 100k + 100k planned
S-CDMA WLL ( 2100-2700,3500 MHz band 3.5MHz)
Point to Multipoint Radio (PMP) TE + SRT
VoiP
Tariff
Interconnection
Country GDP
Awareness
Urbanization
Literacy rate
Human Development Index
Other factors in the analysis
Methodology of implementation Phase One: USO & Commitments
Coverage &Roll out
USO
No
Yes
Satisfy NTRA ’s
NEONEO : Network Expansion Obligations
Define obligations
Current Teledensity
Egypt Governorates
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Teledenisty Teleaccessability
Tel
eden
isty
263,
887
126,
175
133,
197
193,
350
212,
747
259,
945
150,
197
148,
828
438,
141
417,
543
110,
679
109,
065
118,
985
38,8
18
36,8
35
442,
446
473,
041
202,
115
290,
675
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
700,000
800,000
900,000
Teledenisty Teleaccessability
Total required lines = 3,768,910 Lines
Lin
es
Teledensity =15 Egypt Governorates
263,
887
126,
175
133,
197
193,
350
212,
747
259,
945
150,
197
215,
037
102,
818
113,
922 21
8,91
0
136,
591
129,
194
149,
597
442,
446
473,
041
202,
115
290,
675
79,3
06
62,0
8839
,638
30,7
30
0
100,000
200,000
300,000
400,000
500,000
600,000
Dakahel
ya
shar
keya
kafr
El Sheik
h
Men
ofeya
Behaira
Beni S
uef
Fayoum
Min
ya
Assout
Sohag
Qen
a
Teledenisty Teleaccessability
Total required lines = 1,277,831 Lines
Lin
es
Teledensity =10 Egypt Governorates
Methodology of implementation Phase One (Contd.)
NTRA imposes mandatory service obligations on existing operators , as well as reasonable roll-out plans on newly licensed or newly privatized operators.
Telecom Egypt as an Incumbent operator is committed to introduce the basic telephone services all over the country.
Mobile operators are also committed with certain coverage plan.
Methodology of implementation Phase Two USF & Tender
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2000
A1
A2
A3
A4
A5
A6
A7
A8
A10
A11
A12
A13
A14
A15
A16
A17
A18
A19
A20
A21
A22
A23
A24
A25
A26
A27 … … … … … … … …
A54
22
Population
Villages
Methodology of implementation Phase Two (Contd.)
Location IdentificationFor each location,
Two measures of net present value (NPV) are calculated: private and social.
Projects that have a positive private NPV are excluded from the list.
Projects with a positive private NPV are those capable of being financed solely from project revenues, without a government subsidy.
NTRA then ranks the remaining projects (those with a negative private NPV) based on the relationship between social and private NPV. This formulation aims to maximize the social returns.
A list of projects that are eligible for subsidies is then developed by NTRA. The projects are ranked based on the financial evaluation.
Methodology of implementation Phase Two (Contd.)
Competitive Bidding Process
Once NTRA selects projects eligible for subsidy, NTRA prepares tender documents for a competitive bidding process. Tender documents for each project include the following information:
The localities to be served by the project;The minimum quality of service to be provided;The applicable tariff regime (see further discussion above);The time period allowed for the installation of the public phones;The maximum subsidy available for the project;Available spectrum frequency bands Any other conditions.
Methodology of implementation Phase Two (Contd.)
Selection of Successful Bidders:
For each project, the bidder that proposes the lowest subsidy is declared the winner. In some cases, no (zero) subsidy was required by the successful bidder.
Licenses:
The winning bidders must apply for a public telephone license. The Licenses are non-exclusive. The license includes the following information:
Name and details of the holder of the concession (the “concessionaire”);Type of service to be offered;Duration of the concession;Geographic zone covered by the concessionTechnical specifications of the infrastructure to be installed;Deadlines for commencement and termination of installation;Technical specifications of radio stations, if any;Amount of subsidy awarded, if anyOther conditions.
Methodology of implementation Phase Two (Contd.)
Implementation:
Concessionaires must generally install the required public telephones within limited time. These public telephones must be capable of sending and receiving calls from other subscribers, including local and long distance calls. Once the infrastructure has been installed and verified by NTRA, the concessionaire receives the subsidy it is eligible for.
Methodology of implementation Phase Two (Contd.)
Features of a Good Universality FundIndependent administration : not related to telecommunications operatorsTransparent financingMarket-neutral :does not favor incumbent operators or new entrantsFunding targeted to specific beneficiaries (e.g. high cost regions, un-served rural areas, low income populations, educational & health sectors)Subsidies should not be allowed.Competitive bidding process for implementation of universality projects: i.e. lowest bidder should be awarded subsidy and right to build and operate networks to expand service