United States Department of Agriculture Grainusda.mannlib.cornell.edu/usda/fas/grain-market//2010s/2016/grain...Grain: World Markets and Trade . Approved by the World Agricultural

Grain: World Markets and Trade

Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board - USDA

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service April 2016

Southeast Asian Wheat and Corn Imports Double in Past Decade As U.S. Market Share Slides

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Since 2006/07, combined imports of wheat and corn by Southeast Asian countries* more than doubled, fueled by growing populations and stable economic growth. Consumption is up for both food and feed as regional diets increasingly incorporate animal protein and western-style foods. Wheat food consumption has increased nearly 50 percent in the last decade, while feed use of wheat has more than tripled, with wheat being a preferred feed for aquaculture. With negligible production of wheat, the region is entirely reliant on imports. Indonesia, the Philippines, and Thailand are the primary wheat importers. Corn feed consumption is up 70 percent during the last decade. For much of the region, corn production largely satisfies demand. Malaysia is the only major importer that is largely dependent on imports, while Indonesia and Vietnam both produce and import large amounts of corn. The U.S. market share is trending downward for both commodities. The United States struggles to compete with Canadian and Australian milling wheat on price and proximity, respectively. Ukraine and Argentina primarily meet the demand for feed wheat. Brazil and Argentina dominate the Southeast Asian corn market, supplying over 90 percent of imports. However, Malaysia and Vietnam, the largest importers of corn, are signatories of the Trans-Pacific Partnership. Once implemented, the agreement could boost U.S. competitiveness in those countries for both commodities as tariffs are gradually reduced or eliminated. *For list of countries, see Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade

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2

TABLE OF CONTENTS

World Markets and Trade: Commentary and Current Data Wheat ................................................................................................................. 4 Rice .................................................................................................................... 9 Coarse Grains ................................................................................................... 15 Historical Data Series for Selected Regions and Countries ............................ 36 Endnotes to Grain: World Markets and Trade ............................................... 55 The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m. To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): (http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx), scroll down to Reports, and Click the plus sign [+] next to Grains. FAS Reports and Databases: Current World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx Archives World Markets and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7 Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx Export Sales Report:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/ Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/ Economic Research Service:

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops National Agricultural Statistics Service:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA April 2016Office of Global Analysis

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

All Grain Summary Comparison

Million Metric Tons

Marketing Year

Wheat Rice, Milled Corn

2015/162014/152013/142015/162014/152013/142015/162014/152013/14

Production

United States (Jun-May) 58.1 55.1 55.8 6.1 7.1 6.1 351.3 361.1 345.5

Other 656.8 670.3 677.3 472.3 471.7 464.5 639.2 651.7 626.6

World Total 714.9 725.4 733.1 478.4 478.8 470.6 990.5 1,012.8 972.1

Domestic Consumption


Other 656.0 667.7 674.2 473.8 475.4 478.2 648.7 660.2 676.9

World Total 690.3 699.3 706.1 477.8 479.6 482.1 941.7 962.1 978.4

Ending Stocks


Other 177.8 194.3 212.7 106.4 102.0 88.8 143.7 163.6 161.6

World Total 193.9 214.8 239.3 107.4 103.6 90.2 175.0 207.6 208.9

TY Imports


Other 155.5 154.4 156.8 40.3 38.6 39.1 124.4 121.2 127.7

World Total 160.3 158.4 160.0 41.1 39.4 39.9 125.1 122.0 129.0

TY Exports


Other 130.9 138.6 141.2 41.1 39.2 38.4 79.7 81.2 91.8

World Total 162.4 161.4 162.5 44.1 42.7 41.7 130.4 128.0 133.8

Note: Consumption in this table has not been adjusted for differences in marketing year imports and

exports and therefore differs from global totals shown elsewhere.Marketing years for U.S. grains are:

Wheat (Jun-May), Rice (Aug-Jul), Corn (Sep-Aug).'Marketing Year' column is germane for U.S. wheat

only.


4

WHEAT: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE OVERVIEW World wheat production for 2015/16 is up as larger crops in Argentina and the EU more than offset reductions in Ethiopia and Pakistan. Global trade is up fractionally this month, with upward revisions for Algeria, China, and others offset by diminished imports for Brazil, Iran, and Sudan. Exports for Argentina and Kazakhstan are raised, while the EU is revised downward. U.S. exports are also trimmed, and the season-average farm price is lowered from last month. U.S. PRICES:

Domestic: Prices across most U.S. wheat classes rose through early March on weather concerns in the southern U.S. plains. Smaller-than-anticipated U.S. plantings at month’s end preserved the upward trend for most classes. While Hard Red Winter (HRW) slipped fractionally $2/ton to $205, both Hard Red Spring (HRS) and Soft Red Winter (SRW) ended $6/ton up at $231 and $197, respectively. Soft White Wheat (SWW) ended the month unchanged at $191.

175

200

225

250

275

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T

U.S. Weekly FOB Export Bids

HRS HRW SRW SWW


5

TRADE CHANGES IN 2015/16 Selected Exporters

• Argentina is raised 500,000 tons to 7.5 million on a larger crop and a continuing strong pace of shipments, particularly to Southeast Asian markets.

• The European Union is cut 500,000 tons to 32.0 million on account of lagging export licenses and greater domestic usage.

• Iran is slashed 300,000 tons to 200,000 due to weak demand and increased regional competition.

• Kazakhstan is lifted 500,000 tons to 7.0 million on a steady pace of shipments and a competitive advantage over other regional exporters due to a weak currency.

• Turkey is elevated 300,000 tons to 5.0 million, a quarter-century high, based on the

robust pace of flour and products trade.

• United States is trimmed 200,000 tons to 21.3 million owing to the slow pace of new crop sales. (The marketing year estimate is unchanged)

Selected Importers

• Algeria is boosted 400,000 tons to 8.1 million due to a strong import pace. The country is taking advantage of low world prices to build its stocks of milling wheat.

• Brazil is down 500,000 tons to 5.8 million on account of slow pace to date and static domestic consumption.

• China is raised 500,000 tons to 3.0 million due to persistent demand for premium quality milling wheat.

• Iran is lowered 700,000 tons to 3.3 million based on a significantly weaker pace of

imports resulting from a good domestic crop and government policy. The policy restricts imports of wheat effective in the new Iranian calendar year, which began March 20.

• Sudan is reduced 500,000 tons to 2.3 million on a very sluggish pace to date as the country grapples with low growth and high inflation.

• Syria is elevated 300,000 tons to 1.3 million due to greater-than-expected trade to date.

• Thailand is boosted 300,000 tons to 3.8 million on account of strong shipments to date, particularly from Ukraine and Argentina.


World Wheat, Flour, and Products Trade

July/June Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Mar

2015/16

Apr

none

TY Exports

7,5007,0004,2001,6757,45011,951 Argentina

16,50016,50016,57518,33921,26923,031 Australia

1,3001,3001,688811,7531,860 Brazil

22,00022,00024,82522,15618,58417,603 Canada

32,00032,50035,41832,03222,78616,728 European Union

7,0006,5005,5078,0006,80111,069 Kazakhstan

1,1001,1001,1041,322729790 Mexico

23,00023,00022,80018,60911,30821,627 Russia

5,0004,7004,1344,2933,5833,678 Turkey

15,50015,50011,2699,7557,1905,436 Ukraine

10,34210,74211,17714,65918,06311,826 Others

141,242140,842138,697130,921119,516125,599 Subtotal

21,30021,50022,75231,51827,73428,142 United States

162,542162,342161,449162,439147,250153,741 World Total

none

TY Imports

2,2002,2002,0002,0501,6002,200 Afghanistan

8,1007,7007,2577,4846,4846,500 Algeria

4,0003,8003,9153,3542,7252,039 Bangladesh

5,8006,3005,8697,0617,5477,053 Brazil

3,0002,5001,9266,7732,9602,933 China

11,00011,00011,06310,1228,34311,616 Egypt

2,4002,4001,1006701,3441,550 Ethiopia

6,3006,3005,9753,9765,2767,362 European Union

8,1008,1007,4787,3917,1466,457 Indonesia

3,3004,0005,0066,6005,6002,400 Iran

2,7002,7002,2533,2463,9483,784 Iraq

5,7005,7005,8786,1236,5986,354 Japan

4,5004,5003,9424,2885,4395,188 Korea, South

4,4004,4004,4764,6393,8235,020 Mexico

3,0003,0004,0863,9283,8253,671 Morocco

4,4004,4004,2444,5804,1683,901 Nigeria

4,3004,3005,0553,4763,6204,022 Philippines

3,3003,3003,4873,4291,9212,904 Saudi Arabia

2,0002,0001,9011,8491,5581,542 South Africa

2,3002,8002,6322,6641,7932,360 Sudan

3,8003,5003,4881,6841,8402,646 Thailand

3,8003,8005,9604,1493,3124,413 Turkey

2,4002,4002,2302,2241,8632,698 Uzbekistan

2,6002,6002,2962,1571,6712,711 Vietnam

3,3003,3003,2453,4253,2072,667 Yemen

50,13649,83647,63548,15343,56944,570 Others

156,836156,836154,397155,495141,180148,561 Subtotal

2,5062,3063,0652,1592,5942,143 Unaccounted

3,2003,2003,9874,7853,4763,037 United States

162,542162,342161,449162,439147,250153,741 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes.


World Wheat Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Local Marketing Years, Thousand Metric Tons

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Mar

2015/16

Apr

none

Production

11,30011,00012,50010,5009,30015,500 Argentina

24,50024,50023,07625,30322,85629,905 Australia

27,60027,60029,42037,53027,20525,288 Canada

130,190130,190126,208121,930121,023117,400 China

8,1008,1008,3008,2508,5008,400 Egypt

160,000158,457156,828144,585133,949138,182 European Union

86,53086,53095,85093,50694,88286,874 India

14,00014,00013,00014,50013,80012,400 Iran

13,74813,74812,99613,9419,84122,732 Kazakhstan

8,0008,0005,1006,9343,8786,018 Morocco

25,10025,47825,97924,21123,47325,214 Pakistan

61,04461,00059,08052,09137,72056,240 Russia

19,50019,50015,25018,75016,00018,800 Turkey

27,27427,25024,75022,27815,76122,324 Ukraine

7,2007,2007,1506,8006,7006,300 Uzbekistan

53,21853,92354,80755,71052,09751,036 Others

677,304676,476670,294656,819596,985642,613 Subtotal

55,84055,84055,14758,10561,29854,244 United States

733,144732,316725,441714,924658,283696,857 World Total

none

Total Consumption

10,25010,25010,0509,8509,4508,950 Algeria

10,20010,60010,70011,40010,90011,200 Brazil

8,8008,8009,1399,4189,5019,867 Canada

112,000114,000116,500116,500125,000122,500 China

19,20019,20019,10018,50018,70018,600 Egypt

128,800125,750123,500117,300119,250127,234 European Union

90,03090,03093,13093,84883,82481,408 India

7,9507,9507,3657,1656,9506,250 Indonesia

18,00018,00017,50017,00016,00015,200 Iran

9,8009,8009,0009,0008,3008,800 Morocco

24,40024,60024,50024,10023,90023,100 Pakistan

37,00037,00035,50034,10033,55038,000 Russia

18,00018,00017,50017,75017,65018,100 Turkey

12,50012,50012,00011,50011,40014,950 Ukraine

9,3009,3008,9008,4008,0007,800 Uzbekistan

157,932159,005153,331150,219146,648145,734 Others

676,754677,177673,001663,600641,341665,827 Subtotal

31,93232,19731,55434,28737,76831,962 United States

708,686709,374704,555697,887679,109697,789 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

96,29593,79576,10565,27453,96055,946 China

19,32520,16013,8259,94010,71113,522 European Union

13,19213,20017,19217,83024,20019,950 India

7,1217,3217,8217,2215,086825 Iran

5,2195,0704,2694,3212,6743,524 Morocco

8,0297,9826,2855,1774,93310,899 Russia

4,5024,4785,1783,6702,5795,363 Ukraine

59,01459,29063,64664,41753,20267,494 Others

212,697211,296194,321177,850157,345177,523 Subtotal

26,55926,29420,47716,06519,53820,211 United States

239,256237,590214,798193,915176,883197,734 World Total


Regional Wheat Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks

Thousand Metric Tons

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Mar

2015/16

Apr

2015/16

TY Imports none

8,554 North America 7,784 9,866 8,953 8,085 8,085

1,666 Central America 1,654 1,833 1,834 1,795 1,795

13,779 South America 14,422 14,866 13,132 14,115 13,615

7,362 European Union - 28 5,276 3,976 5,975 6,300 6,300

1,911 Other Europe 1,632 1,858 1,760 1,895 1,895

8,022 Former Soviet Union - 12 7,229 7,472 7,675 7,690 7,690

23,023 Middle East 24,220 28,374 26,905 24,750 24,350

24,821 North Africa 21,990 25,218 25,193 25,100 25,500

19,088 Sub-Saharan Africa 18,531 20,492 20,945 23,355 22,855

16,865 East Asia 17,352 19,463 14,113 15,110 15,610

5,428 South Asia 5,308 6,721 8,149 7,751 7,951

17,956 Southeast Asia 16,294 17,101 20,541 20,875 21,175

3,123 Others 2,964 3,040 3,209 3,215 3,215

151,598 Total 144,656 160,280 158,384 160,036 160,036

Production none

83,160 North America 91,734 99,012 88,254 87,200 87,200

26,131 South America 18,011 19,762 22,722 20,345 20,643

138,182 European Union - 28 133,949 144,585 156,828 158,457 160,000

3,597 Other Europe 3,431 4,059 3,856 4,132 4,032


39,285 Middle East 36,884 41,708 35,414 40,855 40,830

18,584 North Africa 17,328 19,656 17,010 20,000 19,910


118,775 East Asia 122,490 123,248 127,648 131,564 131,563

117,450 South Asia 126,412 125,917 130,154 120,238 119,840

30,288 Oceania 23,345 25,751 23,490 24,925 24,925

186 Others 181 187 186 201 191

696,857 Total 658,283 714,924 725,441 732,316 733,144

Domestic Consumption none

49,429 North America 53,894 50,355 47,543 47,997 47,732

26,085 South America 26,212 27,126 26,862 27,189 26,789

127,234 European Union - 28 119,250 117,300 123,500 125,750 128,800

4,871 Other Europe 4,721 4,757 4,810 4,890 4,890


56,723 Middle East 56,636 58,717 58,112 59,820 60,120

40,927 North Africa 41,290 42,425 42,651 43,725 43,725


137,357 East Asia 140,071 130,201 129,378 127,151 125,151

115,930 South Asia 121,007 132,041 132,330 130,006 129,806

16,665 Southeast Asia 16,515 16,560 19,265 20,405 20,395

7,824 Oceania 8,111 8,280 8,569 8,600 8,600

3,379 Others 3,366 3,494 3,551 3,594 3,594

689,655 Total 686,791 690,337 699,269 706,982 706,094

Ending Stocks none

26,718 North America 24,925 26,790 28,080 31,242 31,507

4,204 South America 3,538 6,834 6,756 4,199 3,924

13,522 European Union - 28 10,711 9,940 13,825 20,160 19,325

1,439 Other Europe 1,057 941 1,074 1,321 1,036


12,395 Middle East 14,039 18,540 18,416 18,132 18,146

14,285 North Africa 11,704 13,683 12,628 12,872 13,463


58,935 East Asia 57,209 68,307 79,352 97,620 99,839

25,129 South Asia 27,995 21,661 23,167 19,223 19,397

4,615 Southeast Asia 3,718 3,466 3,892 3,665 3,812

7,432 Oceania 4,978 4,861 4,289 4,719 4,729

372 Others 341 367 413 359 359

197,734 Total 176,883 193,915 214,798 237,590 239,256

NOTES: Regional definitions appear on last page of this circular. Imports are reported on a trade year basis. All other data are

reported using local marketing years.


9

RICE: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

Global production for 2015/16 is cut from last month, mostly on crop reductions for Brazil,

Pakistan, and the Philippines. Trade is revised down slightly, as higher exports for India are

more than offset by declines for Pakistan and Egypt, and smaller imports for Turkey. Global

stocks are revised lower this month largely on a reduction for Japan (primarily due to higher

consumption). The U.S. season-average farm price is lowered.

From 2012 to 2015, rice consumption in the European Union (EU) rose marginally and steadily

alongside population growth. Because the region does not produce rice in large quantities, the

EU relies on imports to meet domestic demand. Recently, Thailand, India, and Pakistan have

accounted for the largest share of imports.

Over the past 4 years, however, an increasing proportion of imports have come from other

origins. Under the Everything-But-Arms arrangement, rice imports from Cambodia and Burma

gained duty free access, which expanded in 2009 due to the expiration of the quantitative limits

on imported rice. Imports from Guyana doubled last year, as exporters diverted more shipments

away from Venezuela and to EU. In all, EU imported a record 1.8 million tons in 2015, nearly

40 percent of which arrived from Cambodia, Burma, and Guyana. Long grain rice shipments

from these sources are expected to remain strong and to account for a significant portion of the

EU’s imports this year.

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

1,800

2,000

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016f

EU Imports from Cambodia, Burma and Guyana Rise Substantially

Guyana

Myanmar

Cambodia

OtherTho

usa

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Me

tric

To

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Burma


10

Although total imports have declined since 2012, basmati (fragrant) rice has accounted for an

increasing share of Iraqi imports over the past 4 years. In 2015, Iraq imported 450,000 tons of

basmati rice from India. Combined basmati imports from India and Pakistan comprised a mere 2

percent of Iraq’s total rice imports in 2010; however, last year, Indian basmati rice alone

accounted for nearly half of total imports. The majority of these basmati imports are of the

sharbati variety, which is quoted at lower prices than other premium quality varieties, although

higher than non-fragrant long-grain. The increase in basmati rice imports may suggest a shift in

consumer preferences in Iraq, although a demand for non-fragrant rice imports remains.

Iraq was a significant market for U.S. rice, routinely receiving more than 100,000 tons annually

in prior decades. Along with a small amount of private trading, Iraq administers open tenders

and invites selected countries to bid for rice imports. In 2015, a U.S. supplier won a share of a

tender and shipped slightly more than 60,000 tons.

0

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016f

Tho

usa

nd

Me

tric

To

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Iraq Importing* Less Long-Grain, More Basmati Rice

Pakistan (Basmati)

Other

India (Non-Basmati)

United States

Uruguay

Pakistan (Non-Basmati)

India (Basmati)

Thailand

*import data derived from reported exporters data


11

This month, U.S. export quotes for bulk shipments continued to slide on weak fresh demand,

falling below $450/ton for the first time since August 2015. However, U.S. quotes maintain a

premium over South American and Asian sources. Uruguayan quotes slid 4 percent from the

prior month with additional supplies from the new crop harvest. Thai quotes increased a

marginal 2 percent to $373/ton and Vietnamese quotes climbed 5 percent to $381/ton on

expected regional demand.

SELECTED TRADE CHANGES for 2016

Brazil’s imports are raised 100,000 tons to 800,000 on higher import demand resulting

from smaller crop.

Egypt’s exports are slashed 150,000 tons to 250,000 on a newly-implemented rice export

ban.

European Union’s imports are revised up 100,000 tons to 1.6 million on stronger

imports to date.

India’s exports are raised 400,000 tons to 9.0 million on higher levels of trade to the

Middle East.

Pakistan’s exports are reduced 200,000 tons to 4.4 million on smaller exportable

supplies.

Senegal’s imports are cut 115,000 tons to 985,000 due to higher production.

Turkey’s imports are trimmed 130,000 tons to 200,000 on lower consumption.

300

350

400

450

500

550

600

$/MT U.S. Export Quotes Slide,

Reducing Premium Over Competitors

THAI 100B VIET 5% UGY 5% U.S. #2/4 (long-grain) BULK


World Rice Trade

January/December Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Mar

2015/16

Apr

none

TY Exports

480480310494526608 Argentina

7508008958528301,105 Brazil

1,8001,8001,7351,6881,1631,357 Burma

9009001,1501,0001,075900 Cambodia

350350262393447267 China

250400250600700600 Egypt

270270251284203194 European Union

520520536502346265 Guyana

9,0008,60011,04611,58810,48010,250 India

4,4004,6004,0003,6004,1263,399 Pakistan

500500407380365262 Paraguay

190190163187140314 Russia

10,00010,0009,77910,9696,7226,945 Thailand

9509507189579391,056 Uruguay

7,0007,0006,6066,3256,7007,717 Vietnam

9881,0081,1381,2611,4251,430 Others

38,34838,36839,24641,08036,18736,669 Subtotal

3,3253,3253,4722,9983,2953,298 United States

41,67341,69342,71844,07839,48239,967 World Total

none

TY Imports

450450450496430360 Angola

6006005701,29011453 Bangladesh

800700365586712732 Brazil

530530525610550450 Cameroon

5,0005,0005,1504,4503,5002,900 China

8008001,1009508301,265 Cote d'Ivoire

500500575377413330 Cuba

1,6001,5001,7861,5561,3751,313 European Union

580600500590725595 Ghana

2,0002,0001,1981,2256501,960 Indonesia

1,4501,4501,3001,6502,2201,500 Iran

1,1501,2001,0091,0801,2941,478 Iraq

700700688669690650 Japan

460460450440410400 Kenya

1,0201,0201,0519898851,006 Malaysia

700700708658746680 Mexico

500500480500500445 Mozambique

500500529510340351 Nepal

2,5002,5003,0003,2002,4003,400 Nigeria

2,0002,0002,0001,8001,0001,500 Philippines

1,4501,4501,4201,4101,3261,193 Saudi Arabia

9851,100990960902918 Senegal

1,0001,000912910990870 South Africa

460460460450440430 United Arab Emirates

500500500480500375 Venezuela

10,90911,04810,95812,46311,72511,042 Others

39,14439,26838,67440,29935,66736,196 Subtotal

1,7541,6503,2863,0243,1403,131 Unaccounted

775775758755675640 United States

41,67341,69342,71844,07839,48239,967 World Total

TY=Trade Year, see Endnotes. Note about dates: 2015/16 is calendar year 2016, 2014/15 is calendar year 2015, and so on.


World Rice Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Mar

2015/16

Apr

none

Milled Production

34,50034,60034,50034,39033,82033,700 Bangladesh

7,6007,9058,4658,3008,0377,888 Brazil

12,20012,20012,60011,95711,71511,473 Burma

4,3504,3504,7004,7254,6704,268 Cambodia

145,770145,770144,560142,530143,000140,700 China

4,0004,0004,5304,7504,6754,250 Egypt

103,000103,000105,480106,646105,240105,310 India

35,30035,30035,56036,30036,55036,500 Indonesia

7,6537,6537,8497,9317,9077,792 Japan

4,3274,3274,2414,2304,0064,224 Korea, South

6,7006,9006,9006,7985,5366,160 Pakistan

11,35011,50011,91511,85811,42810,710 Philippines

3,3003,3002,8502,8402,6753,138 Sri Lanka

15,80015,90018,75020,46020,20020,460 Thailand

28,10028,20028,16628,16127,53727,152 Vietnam

40,57440,07940,62340,42239,04038,025 Others

464,524464,984471,689472,298466,036461,750 Subtotal

6,1076,1077,1066,1176,3485,866 United States

470,631471,091478,795478,415472,384467,616 World Total

none

Consumption and Residual

35,40035,50035,10034,90034,50034,300 Bangladesh

7,8407,9407,9297,9007,8507,928 Brazil

10,65010,65010,65010,45010,40010,200 Burma

3,6003,6003,6003,6503,5503,400 Cambodia

150,300150,300148,000146,300144,000139,600 China

3,8004,0004,0004,0004,0503,620 Egypt

98,50098,90098,23398,71094,03193,334 India

38,10038,10038,30038,50038,12738,188 Indonesia

8,6008,3008,6008,3808,3518,376 Japan

4,3904,3904,4154,4224,4894,880 Korea, South

3,6003,6003,7163,8113,3533,677 Nepal

5,8505,8505,8005,8005,3005,600 Nigeria

13,25013,25013,20012,85012,85012,860 Philippines

11,00011,20010,90010,87510,60010,400 Thailand

21,85021,90022,00022,00021,90019,650 Vietnam

61,48461,26061,03461,25358,83456,799 Others

480,227480,378478,389477,634464,869457,333 Subtotal

3,8533,8534,1553,9773,7793,492 United States

484,080484,231482,544481,611468,648460,825 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

47,75647,75647,63646,80246,83245,023 China

13,26613,26617,76622,75725,44025,100 India

3,1593,1593,9595,5016,4767,403 Indonesia

2,4943,1802,8213,0072,8572,735 Japan

1,5911,5911,188899780755 Korea, South

2,3102,4602,2101,6951,4871,509 Philippines

5,1954,99510,09511,72412,8089,330 Thailand

13,02012,71416,39013,95612,72613,668 Others

88,79189,121102,065106,341109,406105,523 Subtotal

1,3771,3931,5521,0251,1561,303 United States

90,16890,514103,617107,366110,562106,826 World Total

Note: All data are reported on a milled basis.


Regional Rice Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Mar

2015/16

Apr

2015/16

TY Imports none

1,664 North America 1,776 1,771 1,816 1,835 1,835

845 Caribbean 971 903 1,176 1,075 1,075

1,881 South America 1,833 1,814 1,680 1,947 1,997

120 Other Europe 125 132 128 125 135

469 Former Soviet Union - 12 557 567 387 411 411

6,455 Middle East 7,152 6,637 5,981 6,370 6,195

777 North Africa 487 480 466 455 455


4,389 East Asia 5,349 6,043 6,681 6,635 6,636

737 South Asia 722 2,581 1,569 1,270 1,270

5,488 Southeast Asia 3,606 5,027 5,494 6,215 6,220

2,158 Others 2,197 2,430 2,557 2,335 2,435

36,836 Total 36,342 41,054 39,432 40,043 39,919

Production none

5,979 North America 6,479 6,248 7,285 6,241 6,260

1,002 Caribbean 974 1,054 1,104 976 996

15,215 South America 15,852 16,384 16,365 16,056 15,760

2,139 European Union - 28 2,100 1,937 1,963 2,005 2,055


2,170 Middle East 2,251 2,450 2,443 2,392 2,392

4,289 North Africa 4,704 4,789 4,530 4,000 4,000


155,488 East Asia 157,843 157,681 159,560 160,520 160,520

152,027 South Asia 150,631 154,490 153,331 151,420 151,120

113,649 Southeast Asia 115,490 116,867 115,367 111,001 110,651

1,362 Others 1,494 1,326 1,224 847 847

467,616 Total 472,384 478,415 478,795 471,091 470,631


4,668 North America 4,977 5,202 5,369 5,083 5,083

1,156 Central America 1,171 1,193 1,243 1,247 1,252

1,977 Caribbean 1,954 1,992 2,138 2,078 2,098

14,130 South America 14,354 14,542 14,577 14,766 14,605

3,300 European Union - 28 3,250 3,250 3,320 3,280 3,380


8,603 Middle East 8,854 9,029 8,915 8,902 8,895

4,045 North Africa 4,572 4,480 4,430 4,430 4,230


156,212 East Asia 160,349 162,692 164,324 166,270 166,540

137,167 South Asia 137,462 143,476 143,540 144,570 144,070

99,128 Southeast Asia 101,994 103,092 103,664 103,761 103,541

667 Others 707 708 554 495 510

456,304 Total 465,964 477,778 479,632 482,593 482,067

Ending Stocks none

1,455 North America 1,345 1,176 1,704 1,506 1,509

235 Central America 189 208 242 229 229

343 Caribbean 289 266 265 199 238

1,656 South America 1,591 1,902 2,116 1,747 1,723

1,146 European Union - 28 1,188 1,163 1,237 1,176 1,232

1,526 Middle East 2,039 1,836 1,583 1,331 1,250

487 North Africa 427 602 916 541 891


48,887 East Asia 50,832 50,996 51,947 52,814 52,169

27,461 South Asia 26,819 25,629 21,785 16,605 16,446

21,371 Southeast Asia 23,197 21,399 19,051 12,573 12,606

40 Oceania 238 241 182 68 68

134 Others 179 161 106 105 103

106,826 Total 110,562 107,366 103,617 90,514 90,168




15

150

155

160

165

170

175

180

185

$/M

T

Corn Daily Export Bids

U.S. Gulf Brazil Paranagua Black Sea Argentina Up River

COARSE GRAINS: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

OVERVIEW

World corn production for 2015/16 is up with larger crops for Argentina and Mexico. Global

corn trade is raised to a record level with larger imports for Vietnam and Mexico more than

offsetting a cut to EU. Exports are boosted for Argentina, EU, Russia, and Ukraine. Global

consumption is higher and ending stocks are projected at record levels. The U.S. season-average

farm price is lowered slightly from last month.

PRICES

Throughout March, U.S. export quotes strengthened based on robust sales and shipments, but

dropped at the end of the month in response to larger-than-expected planting intentions for 2016

in the Prospective Plantings report. U.S. quotes have since recovered, ending at $163/ton, up $4

from last month. U.S. quotes remain competitive against all major exporters. Argentine and

Black Sea quotes also moved higher this month (now $165/ton and $166/ton, respectively) with

strong exports. Brazilian prices are seasonally unavailable.


16

TRADE CHANGES IN 2015/16

Selected Exporters

U.S. sorghum is cut 200,000 tons to 7.4 million on the slowing pace of sales, especially to

China.

Argentine corn is increased 1.0 million tons to 20.5 million on larger supplies.

EU corn is up 300,000 tons to 1.4 million on the pace of licenses issued.

Russian corn is raised 300,000 tons to 4.1 million with larger shipments to South Korea

and Middle Eastern countries. Barley is boosted 300,000 tons to 3.3 million reflecting

large shipments to Saudi Arabia.

South African corn is trimmed 100,000 tons to 700,000 on tighter supplies and the

current pace of trade.

Ukrainian corn is raised 200,000 tons to 15.7 million on a continued strong pace.

Argentine barley is boosted 400,000 tons to 2.6 million on a larger crop and the fast pace

of shipments.

Australian barley is cut 500,000 tons to 5.5 million on slower pace of trade to China.

Kazakh barley is up 200,000 tons to 800,000 reflecting strong shipments to Iran.

Selected Importers

Egyptian corn is lifted 250,000 tons to 8.3 million as stronger demand for feed is

reflected by a faster pace of imports.

EU corn is cut 1.0 million tons to 15.0 million on expectations that a greater use of wheat

in feed rations curbs demand for corn. In addition, the pace of issuing import licenses has

slowed in recent months.

Indian corn is down 150,000 tons to 250,000 on the recent cancellation of a tender.

Mexican corn is raised 500,000 tons to 12.0 million on the fast pace of imports from the

United States. Sorghum is up 200,000 tons to 700,000 on a smaller crop. Even with

larger imports, sorghum feeding is expected to be lower based on tight domestic supplies

and competitively-priced corn imports.


17

Turkish corn is lowered 300,000 tons to 900,000 on a slower-than-expected pace of

trade.

Vietnamese corn is up 2.0 million tons to a record 5.0 million reflecting strong shipments

from Brazil and Argentina.

Iranian barley is boosted 400,000 tons to 1.9 million on strong shipments from

Kazakhstan.

Japanese barley is down 200,000 tons to 1.1 million and sorghum is cut 100,000 tons to

850,000, both on trade to date. Increased use of domestic rice in feed rations continues to

erode demand for imported barley and sorghum.

Saudi barley is up 500,000 tons to 8.5 million on larger-than-expected shipments from

Argentina.

Chinese sorghum is trimmed 200,000 tons to 6.8 million with the slowing pace in recent

months.


World Coarse Grain Trade

October/September Year, Thousand Metric Tons

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Mar

2015/16

Apr

none

TY Exports

24,20522,80521,00216,63029,49722,308 Argentina

6,8757,4257,2897,0026,4117,279 Australia

37,53537,53521,95422,05926,07812,677 Brazil

4,1504,0503,5975,4604,6583,853 Canada

10,78210,48215,0677,8428,9427,177 European Union

1,0001,000792501522694 Mexico

2,7152,7153,0312,7182,8612,188 Paraguay

7,4706,9209,1557,0724,3665,996 Russia

1,7251,7253,0011,7556282,345 Serbia

19,52019,29024,20824,12515,52717,448 Ukraine

7,5507,5608,00712,84012,12711,291 Others

123,527121,507117,103108,004111,61793,256 Subtotal

49,73549,93556,34056,77220,58640,106 United States

173,262171,442173,443164,776132,203133,362 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,7304,8304,8624,9463,2893,741 Algeria

1,1001,0351,710715523764 Canada

2,0502,0501,7071,6211,3271,523 Chile

17,00017,25025,69912,4455,6037,924 China

4,8304,8304,7474,7954,0904,103 Colombia

1,2001,1001,2021,0111,0461,054 Dominican Republic

8,3058,0557,9258,7755,0977,250 Egypt

15,27516,2559,14616,29311,7786,908 European Union

3,1003,1003,3813,5012,7191,724 Indonesia

6,9006,5008,1006,6004,8005,700 Iran

1,8001,9751,6032,0731,5641,530 Israel

16,71517,02516,72517,50117,74317,730 Japan

1,4501,4751,4591,6721,4061,311 Jordan

10,09010,09010,24510,4998,2657,726 Korea, South

1,6001,6501,6851,4931,220829 Libya

3,5003,5003,2213,4763,0483,309 Malaysia

12,95012,25011,57011,3177,62412,819 Mexico

2,4002,3002,2172,8581,8322,479 Morocco

2,8252,8252,8632,3362,4041,927 Peru

12,02511,52511,11511,33212,39010,485 Saudi Arabia

2,9002,82561123592565 South Africa

4,2004,2003,9494,3564,4044,478 Taiwan

1,6001,6001,5251,4491,6081,071 Tunisia

1,9001,9002,4332,6272,1542,596 Venezuela

5,0003,0003,5002,8001,7001,600 Vietnam

18,22518,68019,06018,11715,57215,868 Others

163,670161,825162,260154,843123,298127,014 Subtotal

5,9826,0077,8966,6112,3903,206 Unaccounted

3,6103,6103,2873,3226,5153,142 United States

173,262171,442173,443164,776132,203133,362 World Total



World Coarse Grains Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Mar

2015/16

Apr

none

Production

36,53435,06635,73235,66537,24630,105 Argentina

12,58012,68011,65112,15811,41412,257 Australia

86,61386,61387,60382,60384,25375,884 Brazil

25,66025,66021,99228,74524,44522,921 Canada

231,580231,580222,750225,408212,192198,635 China

9,98512,40013,34613,07912,28612,264 Ethiopia

150,730150,979170,479158,916145,942149,923 European Union

38,79038,79043,08143,21639,91042,058 India

9,4009,4009,0009,1008,5008,850 Indonesia

30,37530,77532,39032,02028,88125,689 Mexico

17,95017,95019,01519,29218,57317,421 Nigeria

7,5007,5007,6717,5327,2617,130 Philippines

37,42737,32040,38635,73528,65833,077 Russia

14,27514,1759,47513,07510,59511,299 Turkey

33,38733,24539,38940,02229,52833,476 Ukraine

151,647152,520162,216156,049151,190152,887 Others

894,433896,653926,176912,615850,874833,876 Subtotal

366,902366,902377,234367,089285,311322,451 United States

1,261,3351,263,5551,303,4101,279,7041,136,1851,156,327 World Total

none

Domestic Consumption

14,33114,58114,23213,69512,05010,510 Argentina

60,94360,94359,99858,02855,80354,653 Brazil

21,95321,95321,28822,37220,33920,285 Canada

239,725237,975229,059223,546209,671196,192 China

15,45315,45814,80914,08012,91012,736 Egypt

158,795161,505162,870164,105153,095151,460 European Union

40,00039,95040,40037,60035,07537,650 India

12,80012,80012,20011,90010,90010,500 Indonesia

12,92012,72012,02011,32010,52010,320 Iran

16,84617,10516,93317,57017,83018,040 Japan

42,91542,81541,92540,88536,19537,985 Mexico

18,15018,15018,95019,35018,70017,321 Nigeria

30,14030,42031,13928,61925,13427,728 Russia

14,43014,43013,08013,43013,00511,755 Turkey

14,02514,00015,23015,97714,66115,559 Ukraine

235,693237,344238,439226,764219,078215,753 Others

944,641945,917959,744927,454858,772866,553 Subtotal

315,255315,719311,347305,048275,537288,857 United States

1,259,8961,261,6361,271,0911,232,5021,134,3091,155,410 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,8756,8858,24014,2589,5604,822 Brazil

4,0744,0593,3424,6483,0243,390 Canada

110,799112,800102,01982,65168,37760,362 China

14,51813,83918,09315,50313,05615,744 European Union

6,8746,6747,2345,0944,6544,684 Iran

4,2174,0174,8073,5831,6281,857 Mexico

3,9914,0013,8763,8883,3913,211 Saudi Arabia

41,72739,47649,11847,42036,93540,391 Others

193,075191,751196,729177,045140,625134,461 Subtotal

52,04151,32346,94834,31323,53127,819 United States

245,116243,074243,677211,358164,156162,280 World Total


Regional Coarse Grains Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Mar

2015/16

Apr

2015/16

TY Imports none

16,725 North America 14,662 15,354 16,567 16,895 17,660

2,769 Central America 2,470 2,923 3,460 3,575 3,675

2,156 Caribbean 2,327 2,330 2,444 2,410 2,485

11,967 South America 11,812 13,181 13,353 13,105 13,080

6,908 European Union - 28 11,778 16,293 9,146 16,255 15,275

1,036 Former Soviet Union - 12 727 816 726 815 820

23,515 Middle East 25,076 26,614 27,700 25,540 26,015

15,370 North Africa 13,046 19,521 18,214 18,435 18,635


38,040 East Asia 36,168 44,880 56,675 48,665 48,105

7,317 Southeast Asia 8,058 11,292 11,446 11,080 13,070

1,024 Others 943 1,331 1,364 1,770 1,560

130,156 Total 129,813 158,165 165,547 165,435 167,280

Production none

371,061 North America 338,637 427,854 431,616 423,337 422,937

119,602 South America 136,025 131,844 136,702 135,290 136,888

149,923 European Union - 28 145,942 158,916 170,479 150,979 150,730

9,497 Other Europe 6,570 8,813 10,649 8,446 8,946


20,412 Middle East 18,769 21,737 17,952 22,896 22,996

11,120 North Africa 10,155 11,556 11,172 12,532 12,531


200,771 East Asia 214,616 227,798 225,172 233,950 233,948

50,175 South Asia 47,642 51,986 51,827 47,444 47,344

28,379 Southeast Asia 29,158 31,003 31,088 32,003 31,983

12,813 Oceania 12,082 12,805 12,329 13,390 13,290

4,652 Others 4,833 5,050 4,514 4,457 4,431

1,156,327 Total 1,136,185 1,279,704 1,303,410 1,263,555 1,261,335


347,127 North America 332,071 368,305 374,560 380,487 380,123

86,793 South America 89,796 94,422 97,173 98,747 98,387

151,460 European Union - 28 153,095 164,105 162,870 161,505 158,795

8,375 Other Europe 7,100 7,707 7,926 8,035 8,112


41,186 Middle East 43,027 45,890 45,327 48,181 48,856

25,266 North Africa 24,941 27,987 30,177 31,310 31,054


228,767 East Asia 242,831 257,700 262,617 271,726 273,217

45,606 South Asia 42,604 46,367 49,319 49,041 49,099

34,612 Southeast Asia 35,887 37,942 40,158 41,665 43,205

6,518 Oceania 6,132 5,764 5,572 5,924 5,874

9,556 Others 9,573 10,075 10,243 10,414 10,589

1,137,304 Total 1,140,503 1,224,289 1,253,919 1,267,868 1,264,374

Ending Stocks none

33,066 North America 28,183 42,544 55,097 59,399 60,332

9,645 South America 15,560 21,380 14,583 12,251 12,956

15,744 European Union - 28 13,056 15,503 18,093 13,839 14,518

1,021 Other Europe 600 763 1,175 786 1,191


10,547 Middle East 10,059 11,817 13,052 13,303 13,187

5,479 North Africa 3,529 5,642 5,568 5,342 5,665


63,842 East Asia 71,661 86,656 105,879 115,900 114,640

2,673 South Asia 2,440 3,933 5,148 3,311 3,098

3,061 Southeast Asia 3,275 4,396 4,367 3,419 3,890

977 Oceania 912 1,130 954 1,114 1,300

788 Others 769 950 967 1,049 939

162,280 Total 164,156 211,358 243,677 243,074 245,116




World Corn Trade


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Mar

2015/16

Apr

none

TY Exports

20,50019,50018,44712,84622,78916,501 Argentina

37,50037,50021,90922,04126,04412,674 Brazil

900900850700550200 Burma

1,0001,0003951,9171,813494 Canada

1,4001,1004,0262,4052,1933,287 European Union

1,0001,000784501522694 Mexico

2,7002,7003,0122,7142,8582,188 Paraguay

4,1003,8003,2134,1921,9172,027 Russia

1,7001,7002,9641,7366012,331 Serbia

15,70015,50019,66120,00412,72615,157 Ukraine

5,2805,4655,96310,61410,2529,787 Others

91,78090,16581,22479,67082,26565,340 Subtotal

42,00042,00046,77350,68418,26238,342 United States

133,780132,165127,997130,354100,527103,682 World Total

none

TY Imports

4,1004,2004,1164,1562,9183,231 Algeria

1,0001,0001,533679493747 Canada

1,8001,8001,5161,456844906 Chile

2,5002,5005,5163,2772,7025,231 China

4,5004,5004,4964,4363,2663,209 Colombia

1,2001,1001,2021,0111,0461,054 Dominican Republic

8,2508,0007,8268,7265,0597,154 Egypt

15,00016,0008,64615,95211,3626,113 European Union

1,000900881767678691 Guatemala

3,1003,1003,3813,5012,7191,724 Indonesia

5,0005,0006,2005,5003,7004,000 Iran

1,5001,6001,2961,6521,2241,221 Israel

14,70014,70014,65615,12114,41214,892 Japan

1,0001,000900800100400 Kenya

10,00010,00010,16810,4068,1747,636 Korea, South

3,5003,5003,2213,4763,0483,309 Malaysia

12,00011,50011,26910,9545,67611,172 Mexico

2,1002,1001,9412,3491,6841,943 Morocco

2,7002,7002,7412,2322,2541,772 Peru

3,5003,5002,9042,6842,0631,816 Saudi Arabia

2,7002,700469790424 South Africa

4,1004,1003,8214,1894,2324,341 Taiwan

1,1001,1001,042993846853 Tunisia

1,9001,9002,4332,6262,1542,596 Venezuela

5,0003,0003,5002,8001,7001,600 Vietnam

14,51015,20015,46714,57012,52812,654 Others

127,760126,700121,141124,39294,882100,689 Subtotal

4,7704,2156,0475,2351,3802,228 Unaccounted

1,2501,2508097274,265765 United States

133,780132,165127,997130,354100,527103,682 World Total



World Corn Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Mar

2015/16

Apr

none

Production

28,00027,00028,70026,00027,00021,000 Argentina

84,00084,00085,00080,00081,50073,000 Brazil

13,60013,60011,48714,19413,06011,359 Canada

224,580224,580215,646218,490205,614192,780 China

6,0006,0005,9605,8005,8005,500 Egypt

57,46557,75175,49964,63558,89668,123 European Union

21,00021,00024,17024,25922,25821,759 India

9,4009,4009,0009,1008,5008,850 Indonesia

24,00023,50025,48022,88021,59118,726 Mexico

7,0007,0007,5157,7007,6309,250 Nigeria

7,5007,5007,6717,5327,2617,130 Philippines

13,16813,00011,32511,6358,2136,962 Russia

6,5006,50010,62914,92512,36512,759 South Africa

6,2006,1004,8005,1004,4003,600 Turkey

23,33323,30028,45030,90020,92222,838 Ukraine

94,90293,918100,41896,05291,28793,164 Others

626,648624,149651,750639,202596,297576,800 Subtotal

345,486345,486361,091351,272273,192312,789 United States

972,134969,6351,012,841990,474869,489889,589 World Total

none

Total Consumption

9,3009,5009,3008,8007,9007,000 Argentina

58,00058,00057,00055,00052,50051,500 Brazil

13,40013,40012,82012,70011,60511,636 Canada

218,000216,000202,000208,000200,000188,000 China

14,50014,50013,90013,20012,00011,700 Egypt

74,00076,00077,60076,50069,60069,500 European Union

22,10022,00022,30019,60017,50017,200 India

12,80012,80012,20011,90010,90010,500 Indonesia

14,60014,70014,60015,00014,30014,950 Japan

10,10010,10010,2509,8918,4817,815 Korea, South

35,50034,70034,45031,70027,00029,000 Mexico

8,7008,7008,5008,0007,4007,400 Philippines

8,9009,2008,1007,5006,4004,700 Russia

11,00011,00011,80011,50011,00010,700 South Africa

9,9008,4008,0006,7006,5006,000 Vietnam

156,077155,798157,425152,741142,994142,525 Others

669,264665,630678,439655,886601,435606,875 Subtotal

301,532302,147301,854292,965262,973277,961 United States

970,796967,777980,293948,851864,408884,836 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

6,5116,5227,91113,9729,1504,212 Brazil

109,494111,494100,46481,31567,57059,335 China

2,0141,7642,2742,3981,0762,220 Egypt

6,4136,0039,3486,8295,1476,682 European Union

5,4565,4565,8164,4763,2363,336 Iran

1,8351,8371,8601,8601,2651,489 Korea, South

3,7093,5094,2092,6941,0611,316 Mexico

26,19623,71331,72030,19224,04124,612 Others

161,628160,298163,602143,736112,546103,202 Subtotal

47,28646,67143,97431,29220,85925,122 United States

208,914206,969207,576175,028133,405128,324 World Total


Regional Corn Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Mar

2015/16

Apr

2015/16

TY Imports none

12,684 North America 10,434 12,360 13,611 13,750 14,250

2,766 Central America 2,470 2,922 3,460 3,575 3,675

9,886 South America 9,651 12,027 12,040 11,750 11,725

6,113 European Union - 28 11,362 15,952 8,646 16,000 15,000


10,853 Middle East 10,942 13,812 15,198 13,800 13,450

13,827 North Africa 11,154 17,036 15,609 16,150 16,250


32,282 East Asia 29,673 33,072 34,218 31,400 31,400

7,304 Southeast Asia 8,040 11,246 11,432 11,065 13,055

2,156 Caribbean 2,327 2,330 2,444 2,410 2,485

596 Others 677 978 1,085 1,335 1,115

101,454 Total 99,147 125,119 121,950 127,950 129,010

Production none

342,874 North America 307,843 388,346 398,058 382,586 383,086

105,578 South America 120,997 117,456 125,140 122,425 123,575

68,123 European Union - 28 58,896 64,635 75,499 57,751 57,465

7,810 Other Europe 4,915 7,210 8,945 6,676 7,176


7,164 Middle East 7,480 8,138 7,853 9,143 9,243

5,722 North Africa 5,919 5,898 6,161 6,201 6,201


194,585 East Asia 207,737 220,583 217,739 226,658 226,656

28,646 South Asia 28,857 31,865 31,740 28,470 28,370

3,602 Central America 3,743 3,893 3,366 3,300 3,300

28,138 Southeast Asia 28,893 30,721 30,794 31,758 31,688

1,307 Others 1,377 1,320 1,345 1,372 1,346

889,589 Total 869,489 990,474 1,012,841 969,635 972,134


318,597 North America 301,578 337,365 349,124 350,247 350,432

76,391 South America 78,981 83,566 86,631 87,780 87,495

69,500 European Union - 28 69,600 76,500 77,600 76,000 74,000

6,392 Other Europe 5,194 5,847 6,022 6,010 6,085


17,585 Middle East 18,710 19,785 21,835 22,735 22,710

18,000 North Africa 18,450 20,800 22,100 23,100 22,850


217,097 East Asia 229,234 239,195 232,877 247,025 248,925

23,875 South Asia 23,880 27,182 30,005 29,770 29,870

34,357 Southeast Asia 35,609 37,653 39,824 41,410 42,900

6,350 Central America 6,175 6,650 6,690 6,870 6,920

3,344 Others 3,556 3,581 3,879 3,785 3,910

868,087 Total 869,053 941,697 962,099 976,945 978,409

Ending Stocks none

27,803 North America 23,469 35,586 49,585 51,782 52,597

8,290 South America 13,629 19,008 12,565 10,408 10,930

6,682 European Union - 28 5,147 6,829 9,348 6,003 6,413

771 Other Europe 353 517 961 542 962


4,510 Middle East 4,228 5,957 7,071 7,034 6,809

2,994 North Africa 1,747 3,093 3,261 2,577 2,852


62,291 East Asia 70,361 84,849 103,931 114,064 113,012

1,625 South Asia 1,776 2,839 3,782 2,302 2,087

3,058 Southeast Asia 3,270 4,390 4,361 3,413 3,884

503 Central America 474 610 587 572 622

300 Others 334 397 461 557 397

128,324 Total 133,405 175,028 207,576 206,969 208,914




World Barley Trade


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Mar

2015/16

Apr

none

TY Exports

2,6002,2001,5992,8293,6473,631 Argentina

5,5006,0005,2666,2614,6225,819 Australia

1,4501,3501,3841,7141,3161,437 Canada

9,0009,00010,6424,9266,5013,646 European Union

1502009754654652 India

800600476501151659 Kazakhstan

3,3003,0005,8072,7912,3663,667 Russia

252537182614 Serbia

25251090103 Turkey

3,6003,6004,3323,8272,6592,167 Ukraine

60351626916523 Others

26,51026,03529,81223,49121,99921,218 Subtotal

300300292336163179 United States

26,81026,33530,10423,82722,16221,397 World Total

none

TY Imports

600600723778364501 Algeria

100100103781449 Azerbaijan

400400489337369274 Brazil

10010093567973 Chile

7,5007,5009,8594,8912,1832,541 China

275275249253232301 Colombia

1001002695853364 European Union

1,9001,5001,9001,1001,1001,700 Iran

250325278304244276 Israel

1,1001,3001,0971,2941,3561,257 Japan

800800759997831736 Jordan

400400412436388376 Kuwait

9009001,001681573183 Libya

15015018610847144 Mexico

300200276471148536 Morocco

1001001228710397 Peru

8,5008,0008,2008,50010,2008,600 Saudi Arabia

500500483456762218 Tunisia

400400367468541524 United Arab Emirates

17517518912625277 Uruguay

1,0359601,4121,5711,3741,574 Others

25,58524,78528,46723,05021,21320,401 Subtotal

7751,1001,207255518526 Unaccounted

450450430522431470 United States

26,81026,33530,10423,82722,16221,397 World Total



World Barley Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Mar

2015/16

Apr

none

Production

1,3001,3001,3001,5001,5001,350 Algeria

4,2003,6002,9004,7505,0004,500 Argentina

8,7008,7008,0149,1747,4728,221 Australia

2,0002,0001,9881,6741,9171,979 Belarus

8,2258,2257,11910,2378,0127,892 Canada

1,7001,7001,8101,7001,6261,637 China

1,9501,9002,0301,9081,7821,592 Ethiopia

61,34660,96260,61559,67454,87551,883 European Union

1,6101,6101,8311,7521,6191,663 India

3,3003,3003,2002,8002,7702,900 Iran

2,6752,6752,4122,5391,5002,593 Kazakhstan

3,5003,5001,7002,7231,2012,318 Morocco

17,08317,10020,02615,38913,95216,938 Russia

7,4007,4004,0007,3005,5007,000 Turkey

8,7518,7509,4507,5616,9359,098 Ukraine

8,7528,7528,6658,8448,3548,394 Others

142,492141,474137,060139,525124,015129,958 Subtotal

4,6664,6663,9534,7194,7683,370 United States

147,158146,140141,013144,244128,783133,328 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,0502,0502,0502,0502,0001,800 Algeria

1,6001,5001,5001,7001,3001,200 Argentina

2,6002,6002,9002,8003,0003,300 Australia

2,0502,0502,0001,8002,0002,100 Belarus

6,6006,6006,4727,7206,8096,916 Canada

9,3009,30011,6006,3004,0003,800 China

2,0252,0252,0251,9251,7251,600 Ethiopia

52,60053,10051,00053,40051,00051,200 European Union

5,0004,8004,6004,5004,3004,100 Iran

2,0002,1002,0002,0001,3751,825 Kazakhstan

3,0003,0002,7002,3001,9003,100 Morocco

13,90013,90014,10012,70012,10014,300 Russia

9,0258,5258,1258,6258,3257,225 Saudi Arabia

6,9006,9005,3506,9506,2006,750 Turkey

4,5004,5004,5005,0005,1006,300 Ukraine

16,84916,89616,56716,43015,74915,559 Others

142,222141,581136,599135,967126,429130,814 Subtotal

4,4044,4204,2344,7754,6384,170 United States

146,626146,001140,833140,742131,067134,984 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

1,2041,2041,3041,1781,2171,458 Algeria

1,5571,5421,2171,9509831,195 Canada

5,6235,2115,7775,6215,0446,069 European Union

1,4181,2181,4186181,4181,348 Iran

1,1211,072371975165750 Morocco

3,4663,4763,4813,3963,0062,814 Saudi Arabia

1,3211,2221,4659718721,171 Ukraine

6,7767,2107,3137,3775,9206,548 Others

22,48622,15522,34622,08618,62521,353 Subtotal

2,1032,0871,7111,7911,7501,306 United States

24,58924,24224,05723,87720,37522,659 World Total


Regional Barley Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Mar

2015/16

Apr

2015/16

TY Imports none

620 North America 499 639 781 625 690

851 South America 1,064 886 1,169 1,085 1,085

364 European Union - 28 53 58 269 100 100

207 Other Europe 126 163 120 160 165


12,543 Middle East 13,906 12,537 12,453 11,660 12,485

1,480 North Africa 1,884 2,432 2,581 2,250 2,350

100 Sub-Saharan Africa 52 116 138 90 90

3,924 East Asia 3,668 6,320 11,080 8,925 8,725

67 South Asia 6 13 24 10 15

19 Oceania 8 46 32 10 10

20,871 Total 21,644 23,572 28,897 25,235 26,035

Production none

11,749 North America 13,812 15,506 11,622 13,476 13,476

5,507 South America 5,884 5,737 3,809 4,573 5,173

51,883 European Union - 28 54,875 59,674 60,615 60,962 61,346

1,189 Other Europe 1,188 1,151 1,223 1,287 1,287


11,705 Middle East 9,689 12,047 8,653 12,358 12,358

4,388 North Africa 3,307 4,748 4,109 5,409 5,409


1,962 East Asia 1,920 1,991 2,134 1,988 1,988

2,081 South Asia 1,956 2,261 2,340 2,113 2,113

8,538 Oceania 7,911 9,591 8,420 9,152 9,152

133,328 Total 128,783 144,244 141,013 146,140 147,158


11,786 North America 12,347 13,195 11,406 11,745 11,729

3,052 South America 3,152 3,528 3,428 3,585 3,685

51,200 European Union - 28 51,000 53,400 51,000 53,100 52,600

1,366 Other Europe 1,298 1,298 1,344 1,422 1,424


22,016 Middle East 22,435 24,410 21,850 23,971 24,671

6,186 North Africa 5,560 6,230 7,159 7,258 7,253


5,580 East Asia 5,812 8,009 13,192 10,980 10,880

2,008 South Asia 1,868 1,715 1,915 1,910 1,968

3,650 Oceania 3,425 3,250 3,350 3,050 3,050

135,245 Total 131,521 140,975 141,723 144,266 144,403

Ending Stocks none

2,621 North America 3,014 3,980 3,186 3,897 3,928

544 South America 657 816 726 666 756

6,069 European Union - 28 5,044 5,621 5,777 5,211 5,623

202 Other Europe 220 205 176 201 186


5,940 Middle East 5,736 5,788 5,914 6,200 6,311

2,424 North Africa 1,715 2,480 2,237 2,690 2,738


961 East Asia 736 1,038 1,060 1,052 893

280 South Asia 141 253 266 279 281

575 Oceania 588 748 642 758 954

22,659 Total 20,375 23,877 24,057 24,242 24,589




World Sorghum Trade


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Mar

2015/16

Apr

none

TY Exports

1,1001,1009549533,0592,163 Argentina

1,0001,0001,6994051,4251,185 Australia

3030131120 Brazil

10010012188231131 India

303040513216 Kenya

5050100505075 Nigeria

130100156229124113 Ukraine

162162205241234216 Others

2,6022,5723,2882,0285,1573,899 Subtotal

7,4007,6009,2495,7172,1361,549 United States

10,00210,17212,5377,7457,2935,448 World Total

none

TY Imports

15015098109404544 Chile

6,8007,00010,1624,16163184 China

15015075505030 Ethiopia


8509509031,0031,8971,481 Japan

100100799410274 Kenya

700500291621,7931,369 Mexico

13013032141011 Pakistan

125500614471 South Africa

10050100125613 South Sudan

4154154037951,3881,287 Others

9,6209,57512,0126,7586,6165,090 Subtotal

272487498984434355 Unaccounted

1101102732433 United States

10,00210,17212,5377,7457,2935,448 World Total



World Sorghum Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Mar

2015/16

Apr

none

Production

3,7003,9003,5004,4004,7004,200 Argentina

2,1002,2002,1041,2822,2302,239 Australia

2,0002,0002,0001,8902,1022,222 Brazil

1,6711,9001,7081,8801,9241,500 Burkina

1,1501,1501,1501,1501,1001,150 Cameroon

2,9002,9002,8852,8922,5562,051 China

2,6003,8004,0003,8293,6043,951 Ethiopia

5,5005,5005,4505,5425,2815,979 India

1,3001,3001,2728201,2121,191 Mali

5,7006,6006,2708,5006,1746,425 Mexico

1,3001,1001,4261,3201,376807 Niger

6,1506,1506,7006,5925,9436,900 Nigeria

900400990680650480 South Sudan

2,3885,5006,2812,2494,5244,605 Sudan

820840840832839807 Tanzania

6,9817,2107,3037,1197,1017,280 Others

47,16052,45053,87950,97751,31651,787 Subtotal

15,15815,15810,9889,9666,2935,410 United States

62,31867,60864,86760,94357,60957,197 World Total

none

Total Consumption

2,8003,0002,8002,7002,3001,900 Argentina

1,1051,2055059051,1051,105 Australia

1,9001,9002,0002,0002,3002,175 Brazil

1,7001,9001,7001,9001,8501,550 Burkina

1,1751,1751,1751,1651,1101,175 Cameroon

9,80010,00012,9006,8003,2002,200 China

2,9004,0004,1003,9003,7003,700 Ethiopia

870880995880795760 European Union

5,5505,5505,1005,2005,1506,000 India

1,3001,3001,2009501,2001,300 Mali

6,5007,2006,6008,3008,1008,100 Mexico

1,4001,1001,4501,3001,200950 Niger

6,0506,0506,6506,5505,9006,800 Nigeria

1,0004501,050750650480 South Sudan

2,8005,8006,0002,5504,7004,500 Sudan

8,4628,6668,6548,69110,60710,414 Others

56,12661,25962,72155,60852,66754,592 Subtotal

6,0975,8432,4294,1274,7963,916 United States

62,22367,10265,15059,73557,46358,508 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

8718029711,202781164 Argentina

208208138151272472 Brazil

581581706568326366 China

443443593364109206 India

238238338647285418 Mexico

200200150200208215 Nigeria

381493723357588609 Sudan

1,2401,3541,6351,6521,8431,618 Others

4,1624,3195,2545,1414,4124,068 Subtotal

1,6551,655468864385583 United States

5,8175,9745,7226,0054,7974,651 World Total


Regional Sorghum Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Mar

2015/16

Apr

2015/16

TY Imports none

1,372 North America 2,036 165 56 610 810

1,199 South America 1,071 239 114 240 240

126 European Union - 28 291 184 131 80 100

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0

101 Middle East 194 232 22 50 50

54 North Africa 1 41 1 5 5


1,655 East Asia 2,650 5,281 11,142 8,005 7,705

13 Southeast Asia 18 46 14 15 15

15 Others 11 15 32 130 130

5,093 Total 6,859 6,761 12,039 9,685 9,730

Production none

11,835 North America 12,467 18,466 17,258 21,758 20,858

312 Central America 339 335 335 335 335

92 Caribbean 92 94 94 94 94

7,247 South America 7,495 7,081 6,349 6,822 6,602

671 European Union - 28 473 703 883 797 769

764 Middle East 814 789 692 635 635

847 North Africa 763 754 755 756 755


2,054 East Asia 2,560 2,895 2,887 2,902 2,902

6,116 South Asia 5,404 5,661 5,553 5,645 5,645


2,239 Oceania 2,230 1,282 2,104 2,200 2,100

176 Others 209 354 224 100 191

57,197 Total 57,609 60,943 64,867 67,608 62,318


12,016 North America 12,896 12,427 9,029 13,043 12,597

320 Central America 325 325 330 340 340

92 Caribbean 92 94 94 94 94

6,104 South America 6,076 5,789 5,749 5,972 5,747

760 European Union - 28 795 880 995 880 870

789 Middle East 1,052 894 865 685 685

908 North Africa 756 793 755 756 755


3,771 East Asia 5,221 7,951 13,911 10,960 10,710

6,148 South Asia 5,283 5,334 5,235 5,825 5,825


1,105 Oceania 1,105 905 505 1,205 1,105

55 Others 80 75 75 55 75

57,025 Total 58,663 58,668 65,308 66,019 61,409

Ending Stocks none

1,001 North America 670 1,511 806 1,893 1,893

23 Central America 30 33 38 28 28

718 South America 1,146 1,427 1,187 1,068 1,142

13 European Union - 28 5 18 23 12 17

56 Middle East 65 47 39 39 39

60 North Africa 66 68 69 74 74


451 East Asia 413 627 736 658 608

206 South Asia 109 364 593 443 443

230 Oceania 195 187 136 131 131

17 Others 25 76 69 14 55

4,651 Total 4,797 6,005 5,722 5,974 5,817




World Oats Trade


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Mar

2015/16

Apr

none

TY Exports

5522213 Argentina

300350270270240174 Australia

1,6001,6001,7291,7321,3511,763 Canada

7575844941106 Chile

230230231291126176 European Union

2020146418 Russia

707046622 Ukraine

1010814107 Others

2,3102,3602,3842,3701,7762,259 Subtotal


2,3402,3902,4072,3991,7942,287 World Total

none

TY Imports

553000 Albania

3030231279 Algeria

554323 Bosnia and Herzegovina

10101227911 Canada

2002501621168768 China

552211 Colombia

202021211922 Ecuador


505047465154 Japan

1001008693108134 Mexico

40402383649 Norway

552222 Serbia

252550191111 South Africa

505049514456 Switzerland

553004 Turkey

5588615 Others

560610478441387442 Subtotal

1801801709252115 Unaccounted

1,6001,6001,7591,8661,3551,730 United States

2,3402,3902,4072,3991,7942,287 World Total



World Oats Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Mar

2015/16

Apr

none

Production

11011011011011067 Algeria

553485525445496345 Argentina

1,3001,3001,0871,2551,1211,262 Australia

400400522352422448 Belarus

350350300380361354 Brazil

3,4303,4302,9793,9062,8303,158 Canada

470470421610680451 Chile

600600600580600600 China

7,5247,6407,8548,3807,9097,927 European Union

244244226305200258 Kazakhstan

909090908451 Mexico

236236236214232231 Norway

4,5274,5505,2674,9324,0275,332 Russia

210210210210210218 Turkey

498490610467630506 Ukraine

349349296318315372 Others

20,89120,95421,33322,55420,22721,580 Subtotal

1,3001,3001,019938892728 United States

22,19122,25422,35223,49221,11922,308 World Total

none

Total Consumption

14014012611811975 Algeria

550500525425500350 Argentina

9509008759509251,100 Australia

400400500375400450 Belarus

340340295375350350 Brazil

1,6501,6501,6731,6601,5921,361 Canada

375375355570600400 Chile

825875750700675625 China

7,5757,6757,6758,0757,7007,800 European Union

245245225275225225 Kazakhstan

190190175185195185 Mexico

270270245245295270 Norway

4,6004,6005,2004,9004,3005,000 Russia

215215215215215215 Turkey

430430600475600500 Ukraine

519519482491451519 Others

19,41619,46619,93320,25419,21719,589 Subtotal

2,7412,8282,4242,7572,7432,499 United States

22,15722,29422,35723,01121,96022,088 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

634565674955 Argentina

1071175710560134 Australia

8718716811,054446805 Canada

474627456125 Chile

122122147135139127 China

582589858894901795 European Union

196219289230203485 Russia

182177179199221225 Others

2,1702,1862,3032,7292,0802,651 Subtotal

947860780359527797 United States

3,1173,0463,0833,0882,6073,448 World Total


Regional Oats Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Mar

2015/16

Apr

2015/16

TY Imports none

1,875 North America 1,472 1,986 1,857 1,710 1,710

31 South America 26 29 30 30 30

3 European Union - 28 4 3 4 5 5

110 Other Europe 84 94 60 105 105


4 Middle East 0 0 3 5 5

9 North Africa 7 12 23 30 30


122 East Asia 138 162 209 300 250

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

2,172 Total 1,742 2,307 2,237 2,210 2,160

Production none

3,937 North America 3,806 4,934 4,088 4,820 4,820

1,191 South America 1,577 1,478 1,274 1,366 1,434

7,927 European Union - 28 7,909 8,380 7,854 7,640 7,524

373 Other Europe 365 348 369 372 372


218 Middle East 210 210 210 210 210

163 North Africa 166 156 147 166 166


602 East Asia 602 582 602 601 601

1,291 Oceania 1,139 1,283 1,122 1,334 1,334

22,308 Total 21,119 23,492 22,352 22,254 22,191


4,045 North America 4,530 4,602 4,272 4,668 4,581

1,167 South America 1,515 1,447 1,235 1,306 1,356

7,800 European Union - 28 7,700 8,075 7,675 7,675 7,575

478 Other Europe 474 434 434 472 472


215 Middle East 215 215 215 215 215

172 North Africa 175 164 163 196 196


685 East Asia 730 750 800 925 875

1,129 Oceania 943 978 910 934 984

21,924 Total 21,885 22,791 22,340 22,152 22,015

Ending Stocks none

1,605 North America 974 1,416 1,463 1,733 1,820

93 South America 128 129 105 109 128

795 European Union - 28 901 894 858 589 582

48 Other Europe 27 41 38 43 43


17 Middle East 12 7 4 7 4

1 North Africa 1 1 1 1 1


134 East Asia 144 138 149 125 125

134 Oceania 60 105 57 117 107

3,448 Total 2,607 3,088 3,083 3,046 3,117




World Rye Trade


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Mar

2015/16

Apr

none

TY Exports

55552525 Belarus

1001008997178159 Canada


501001218379284 Russia

20201359169 Ukraine

000004 Others

325375395445420540 Subtotal


330380398451427548 World Total

none

TY Imports


252518333411 Israel

152522372746 Japan

1010481211 Korea, South

15155162111 Norway

5555250 Russia

556692 Switzerland

006149 Others

145155162202200392 Subtotal

-1525-26456-18 Unaccounted

200200262204221174 United States

330380398451427548 World Total



World Rye Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16

Mar

2015/16

Apr

none

Production


8008008676481,082801 Belarus

225225218223337241 Canada

7,8167,9608,86810,1518,7636,900 European Union

2,0842,1003,2793,3602,1322,967 Russia

350350350350370366 Turkey

394390475638676579 Ukraine

121121144126146137 Others

11,85112,00714,29815,54813,54612,036 Subtotal

292292183194166154 United States

12,14312,29914,48115,74213,71212,190 World Total

none

Total Consumption


8008008506501,000750 Belarus

123123134107127101 Canada

7,8507,8508,9009,6508,7007,400 European Union

252518333411 Israel

373765405030 Kazakhstan

272720282627 Norway

2,1752,1503,2503,1002,0002,850 Russia

350350350350375375 Turkey

400400475625625625 Ukraine

103112104126139161 Others

11,90711,91114,27214,76613,14612,346 Subtotal

481481406424387311 United States

12,38812,39214,67815,19013,53312,657 World Total

none

Ending Stocks

167167172160167110 Belarus

444442444625 Canada

9761,1101,0901,204795747 European Union

424833 Kazakhstan

128140264344153129 Russia

242324181824 Turkey

8076106128166132 Ukraine

213475 Others

1,4251,5631,7051,9101,3551,175 Subtotal


1,4751,6131,7201,9171,3651,186 World Total


Regional Rye Imports, Production, Consumption, and Stocks


2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Mar

2015/16

Apr

2015/16

TY Imports none

174 North America 221 204 262 200 200

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

302 European Union - 28 68 96 96 70 70

14 Other Europe 32 23 11 20 20


14 Middle East 34 33 24 25 25


57 East Asia 39 45 26 35 25

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

566 Total 421 406 424 355 345

Production none

395 North America 503 417 401 517 517

49 South America 47 59 105 69 69

6,900 European Union - 28 8,763 10,151 8,868 7,960 7,816

62 Other Europe 46 53 52 51 51


366 Middle East 370 350 350 350 350


0 East Asia 0 0 0 0 0

40 Oceania 40 20 20 22 22

12,190 Total 13,712 15,742 14,481 12,299 12,143


412 North America 514 531 540 604 604

49 South America 47 59 105 69 69

7,400 European Union - 28 8,700 9,650 8,900 7,850 7,850

76 Other Europe 78 77 66 71 71


386 Middle East 409 383 368 375 375


66 East Asia 37 48 27 35 26

40 Oceania 40 19 20 22 22

12,686 Total 13,503 15,185 14,669 12,416 12,432

Ending Stocks none

36 North America 56 51 57 94 94

0 South America 0 0 0 0 0

747 European Union - 28 795 1,204 1,090 1,110 976

0 Other Europe 0 0 0 0 0


24 Middle East 18 18 24 23 24


5 East Asia 7 4 3 1 2

0 Oceania 0 0 0 0 0

1,186 Total 1,365 1,917 1,720 1,613 1,475




36

HISTORICAL DATA SERIES FOR SELECTED REGIONS AND COUNTRIES

CONTENTS

European Union: Grain Supply and Demand ............................................... 37 China: Grain Supply and Demand ................................................................ 38 Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand .................................................... 39 Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand ........................................ 40 Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 44 Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................... 46 Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ................................ 48 Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters ............................ 49

U.S. Grains: Supply and Distribution……………………………. .... ……..50 Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ................................. 51 World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand ............................... 52 World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand .............................................. 53 World Rice: Supply and Demand ................................................................. 54

DG F/SA &F


European Union: Grain Supply and Demand

Wheat and Coarse Grains Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

Imports Exports Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

147.7 123.959.314.77.15.626.2 2004/05 28.3

132.9 128.263.015.76.85.126.0 2005/06 24.1

125.7 126.260.213.95.25.124.7 2006/07 14.8

120.8 117.252.412.46.84.924.9 2007/08 12.8

151.9 127.660.525.47.75.726.8 2008/09 19.4

139.7 125.657.522.35.45.426.0 2009/10 16.6

136.7 122.852.523.14.65.326.0 2010/11 11.9

138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.5

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.8 123.554.035.46.05.926.7 2014/15 13.8

160.0 128.859.032.06.36.026.8 2015/16 19.3

Coarse Grains

169.1 155.2118.94.83.05.033.9 2004/05 25.6

149.5 150.7112.44.32.74.533.2 2005/06 22.8

140.0 150.6112.94.58.14.332.4 2006/07 15.7

138.7 157.1121.64.520.34.332.6 2007/08 13.1

164.9 154.2116.15.73.14.834.0 2008/09 21.3

157.6 152.4114.83.02.94.832.9 2009/10 26.3

142.9 154.6116.96.28.54.730.2 2010/11 16.9

149.9 151.5113.26.57.05.030.2 2011/12 15.7

145.9 153.1113.77.411.84.731.4 2012/13 13.1

158.9 164.1122.48.616.35.131.4 2013/14 15.5

170.5 162.9121.514.09.05.630.7 2014/15 18.1

150.7 158.8117.511.015.55.030.1 2015/16 14.5

Wheat and Coarse Grains

316.8 279.1178.219.510.05.360.1 2004/05 54.0

282.3 278.9175.420.09.44.859.1 2005/06 46.9

265.7 276.8173.118.513.24.757.0 2006/07 30.5

259.5 274.2174.116.927.14.557.5 2007/08 25.9

316.9 281.8176.631.110.85.260.9 2008/09 40.7

297.3 278.0172.325.38.25.058.9 2009/10 42.9

279.5 277.5169.429.313.15.056.2 2010/11 28.8

288.1 278.7170.723.314.35.156.0 2011/12 29.3

279.9 272.3164.730.217.14.957.3 2012/13 23.8

303.5 281.4171.440.720.25.357.3 2013/14 25.4

327.3 286.4175.549.414.95.757.4 2014/15 31.9

310.7 287.6176.543.021.85.556.8 2015/16 33.8


China: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

92.0 102.04.01.26.74.321.6 2004/05 38.8

97.4 101.53.51.41.14.322.8 2005/06 34.5

108.5 102.04.02.80.44.623.6 2006/07 38.6

109.3 106.08.02.80.04.623.7 2007/08 39.1

112.5 105.58.00.70.54.823.6 2008/09 45.8

115.1 107.010.00.91.44.724.3 2009/10 54.4

115.2 110.513.00.90.94.724.3 2010/11 59.1

117.4 122.524.01.02.94.824.3 2011/12 55.9

121.0 125.025.01.03.05.024.3 2012/13 54.0

121.9 116.516.00.96.85.124.1 2013/14 65.3

126.2 116.516.00.81.95.224.1 2014/15 76.1

130.2 112.010.51.03.05.424.1 2015/16 96.3

Coarse Grains

138.3 141.1100.37.62.14.928.0 2004/05 37.6

147.8 147.1103.53.82.35.128.8 2005/06 36.9

159.0 153.5105.05.51.25.131.1 2006/07 38.0

159.2 157.9106.70.91.25.031.9 2007/08 39.5

172.4 161.2109.10.21.75.432.2 2008/09 52.2

169.8 173.3119.10.23.85.133.4 2009/10 52.3

183.8 188.4128.80.22.75.334.6 2010/11 50.1

198.6 196.2132.00.17.95.635.5 2011/12 60.4

212.2 209.7146.10.15.65.737.1 2012/13 68.4

225.4 223.5157.80.012.45.938.3 2013/14 82.7

222.8 229.1158.80.025.75.739.2 2014/15 102.0

231.6 239.7167.40.117.05.840.2 2015/16 110.8


230.2 243.1104.38.88.84.649.6 2004/05 76.4

245.3 248.6107.05.23.44.851.6 2005/06 71.4

267.4 255.5109.08.21.54.954.7 2006/07 76.6

268.5 263.9114.73.71.24.855.6 2007/08 78.6

284.9 266.7117.10.92.15.155.8 2008/09 98.0

284.9 280.3129.11.15.24.957.6 2009/10 106.7

299.0 298.9141.81.13.65.158.9 2010/11 109.2

316.0 318.7156.01.110.95.359.8 2011/12 116.3

333.2 334.7171.11.18.65.461.3 2012/13 122.3

347.3 340.0173.80.919.25.662.4 2013/14 147.9

349.0 345.6174.80.827.65.563.3 2014/15 178.1

361.8 351.7177.91.120.05.664.3 2015/16 207.1


Other Europe: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

4.6 5.20.90.31.44.31.1 2004/05 1.3

3.8 5.10.90.21.43.81.0 2005/06 1.1

3.5 4.60.70.31.53.61.0 2006/07 1.2

3.7 4.81.00.51.93.81.0 2007/08 1.5

4.0 5.11.20.41.74.40.9 2008/09 1.7

3.8 4.91.00.51.73.91.0 2009/10 1.7

3.2 4.70.80.61.73.70.9 2010/11 1.3

3.6 4.91.00.51.94.20.9 2011/12 1.4

3.4 4.71.00.71.64.00.9 2012/13 1.1

4.1 4.81.11.31.94.40.9 2013/14 0.9

3.9 4.81.10.71.84.20.9 2014/15 1.1

4.0 4.91.11.11.94.50.9 2015/16 1.0

Coarse Grains

10.4 9.58.40.60.55.02.1 2004/05 1.5

10.1 9.78.51.30.64.82.1 2005/06 1.3

9.8 9.68.50.90.84.92.0 2006/07 1.3

6.9 7.96.80.10.93.42.0 2007/08 1.1

9.7 8.77.61.50.64.62.1 2008/09 1.1

9.7 8.77.51.40.74.92.0 2009/10 1.4

10.0 8.77.32.00.75.02.0 2010/11 1.5

9.5 8.47.02.40.84.62.1 2011/12 1.0

6.6 7.15.90.60.73.22.1 2012/13 0.6

8.8 7.76.31.80.94.42.0 2013/14 0.8

10.6 7.96.53.10.85.71.9 2014/15 1.2

8.9 8.16.61.70.94.91.8 2015/16 1.2


15.1 14.89.30.91.94.83.2 2004/05 2.8

13.9 14.89.41.42.04.53.1 2005/06 2.4

13.3 14.29.21.22.34.53.0 2006/07 2.5

10.6 12.67.80.62.73.53.0 2007/08 2.6

13.7 13.88.81.92.34.63.0 2008/09 2.8

13.5 13.78.51.92.44.53.0 2009/10 3.2

13.2 13.48.12.62.44.62.9 2010/11 2.7

13.1 13.28.12.82.74.52.9 2011/12 2.5

10.0 11.87.01.32.43.42.9 2012/13 1.7

12.9 12.57.43.12.74.42.9 2013/14 1.7

14.5 12.77.63.72.55.22.8 2014/15 2.2

13.0 13.07.72.82.84.82.7 2015/16 2.2


Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n


Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

114.0 78.326.637.35.42.252.6 2009/10 26.0

81.0 75.624.413.95.51.845.8 2010/11 23.1

115.0 80.028.439.78.02.349.7 2011/12 26.4

77.8 71.721.625.47.21.844.0 2012/13 14.3

103.9 72.822.737.27.52.247.7 2013/14 15.7

112.7 75.924.740.27.72.446.7 2014/15 20.0

117.6 78.125.846.47.72.449.0 2015/16 20.9

Coarse Grains

67.6 55.039.015.00.42.527.2 2009/10 7.4

47.5 41.828.48.81.12.221.9 2010/11 5.5

78.6 54.438.624.61.02.927.0 2011/12 6.2

68.2 50.235.619.90.72.527.5 2012/13 5.0

87.8 55.740.030.80.83.029.4 2013/14 7.1

91.6 57.941.933.90.83.030.2 2014/15 7.7

82.5 55.740.429.60.82.928.2 2015/16 5.7


Millions of Tons/Hectares

Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Wheat)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n

YieldCountry Mktg Year

Former Soviet Union - 12

Kazakhstan

9.8 6.82.06.30.00.812.4 2012/13 2.9

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.2

13.7 6.92.17.00.11.211.6 2015/16 3.2

Russia

37.7 33.611.911.31.21.821.3 2012/13 4.9

52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.023.00.72.425.6 2015/16 8.0

Ukraine

15.8 11.43.17.20.02.85.6 2012/13 2.6

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 12.04.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.2

27.3 12.54.515.50.13.87.1 2015/16 4.5

Uzbekistan

6.7 8.01.70.41.94.81.4 2012/13 1.6

6.8 8.41.90.32.24.91.4 2013/14 1.9

7.2 8.92.20.22.25.11.4 2014/15 2.2

7.2 9.32.20.22.45.11.4 2015/16 2.3

Other Former Soviet Union - 12

7.8 12.02.90.34.12.43.2 2012/13 2.2

8.8 12.02.90.44.32.63.4 2013/14 2.9

8.8 12.73.50.44.52.63.4 2014/15 3.1

8.3 12.43.00.74.52.53.3 2015/16 2.9

Total Former Soviet Union - 12

77.8 71.721.625.47.21.844.0 2012/13 14.3

103.9 72.822.737.27.52.247.7 2013/14 15.7

112.7 75.924.740.27.72.446.7 2014/15 20.0

117.6 78.125.846.47.72.449.0 2015/16 20.9



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Barley)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

1.5 1.41.20.20.00.91.6 2012/13 0.2

2.5 2.01.70.40.01.41.8 2013/14 0.3

2.4 2.01.70.50.01.31.9 2014/15 0.2

2.7 2.01.70.80.01.32.0 2015/16 0.1

Russia

14.0 12.17.72.20.31.87.6 2012/13 0.7

15.4 12.78.32.70.21.98.0 2013/14 0.9

20.0 14.19.25.30.02.38.8 2014/15 1.5

17.1 13.99.14.00.12.18.0 2015/16 0.8

Ukraine

6.9 5.13.52.10.02.13.3 2012/13 0.9

7.6 5.03.52.50.02.33.2 2013/14 1.0

9.5 4.53.04.50.03.03.2 2014/15 1.5

8.8 4.53.04.40.02.93.0 2015/16 1.3

Uzbekistan

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2012/13 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.03.20.1 2013/14 0.0

0.2 0.30.20.00.13.20.1 2014/15 0.0

0.2 0.30.30.00.13.20.1 2015/16 0.0


3.3 3.52.70.00.12.81.2 2012/13 0.4

3.4 3.52.70.00.12.61.3 2013/14 0.4

3.4 3.62.80.10.22.71.3 2014/15 0.4

3.6 3.83.00.10.22.61.4 2015/16 0.2


26.0 22.315.24.60.41.913.8 2012/13 2.2

29.2 23.516.45.60.32.014.5 2013/14 2.6

35.6 24.516.910.30.32.315.3 2014/15 3.6

32.4 24.517.09.30.32.214.5 2015/16 2.5



Former Soviet Union: Grain Supply and Demand (Corn)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n



Kazakhstan

0.5 0.50.40.00.05.00.1 2012/13 0.0

0.6 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2013/14 0.0

0.7 0.60.50.00.05.30.1 2014/15 0.1

0.7 0.60.50.10.05.30.1 2015/16 0.2

Russia

8.2 6.45.61.90.14.21.9 2012/13 0.3

11.6 7.56.64.20.15.02.3 2013/14 0.3

11.3 8.17.23.20.04.42.6 2014/15 0.4

13.2 8.98.04.10.14.92.7 2015/16 0.6

Ukraine

20.9 8.16.812.70.04.84.4 2012/13 1.2

30.9 9.78.320.00.16.44.8 2013/14 2.5

28.5 9.48.019.70.06.24.6 2014/15 1.9

23.3 8.47.015.70.15.74.1 2015/16 1.2

Uzbekistan

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2012/13 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2013/14 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2014/15 0.0

0.1 0.10.10.00.03.40.0 2015/16 0.0


2.6 3.02.60.40.22.71.0 2012/13 0.5

3.7 3.22.90.60.33.81.0 2013/14 0.6

3.2 3.22.90.30.43.70.9 2014/15 0.7

2.8 3.22.80.20.43.10.9 2015/16 0.6


32.3 18.115.515.00.34.47.4 2012/13 2.0

46.9 21.118.424.80.45.78.3 2013/14 3.4

43.8 21.518.723.20.55.38.3 2014/15 3.1

40.1 21.218.520.00.55.17.8 2015/16 2.4


Million Metric Tons/Hectares

Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Wheat Competitors

Argentina

15.5 6.00.112.90.03.05.2 2011/12 0.7

9.3 6.20.33.60.02.63.6 2012/13 0.3

10.5 6.10.12.30.03.03.5 2013/14 2.5

12.5 6.40.35.30.03.04.2 2014/15 3.4

11.3 6.40.37.50.03.03.8 2015/16 0.9

Australia

29.9 6.53.224.70.12.213.9 2011/12 7.1

22.9 6.73.418.60.11.813.0 2012/13 4.7

25.3 7.03.618.60.22.012.6 2013/14 4.6

23.1 7.23.816.60.21.912.2 2014/15 4.0

24.5 7.23.817.00.21.912.8 2015/16 4.4

Canada

25.3 9.94.717.40.53.08.6 2011/12 5.9

27.2 9.54.319.00.52.99.5 2012/13 5.1

37.5 9.44.223.30.53.610.4 2013/14 10.4

29.4 9.13.824.10.53.19.5 2014/15 7.1

27.6 8.83.622.00.52.99.6 2015/16 4.4

European Union

138.2 127.257.516.77.45.325.8 2011/12 13.5

133.9 119.351.022.85.35.226.0 2012/13 10.7

144.6 117.349.032.04.05.625.9 2013/14 9.9

156.8 123.554.035.46.05.926.7 2014/15 13.8

160.0 128.859.032.06.36.026.8 2015/16 19.3

Kazakhstan

22.7 7.62.611.80.01.713.7 2011/12 6.2

9.8 6.82.06.30.00.812.4 2012/13 2.9

13.9 6.82.08.10.01.113.0 2013/14 2.0

13.0 6.82.05.50.61.111.9 2014/15 3.2

13.7 6.92.17.00.11.211.6 2015/16 3.2

Russia

56.2 38.015.521.60.62.324.8 2011/12 10.9

37.7 33.611.911.31.21.821.3 2012/13 4.9

52.1 34.112.518.60.92.223.4 2013/14 5.2

59.1 35.513.022.80.32.523.6 2014/15 6.3

61.0 37.014.023.00.72.425.6 2015/16 8.0



Wheat Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Ukraine

22.3 15.06.15.40.13.46.7 2011/12 5.4

15.8 11.43.17.20.02.85.6 2012/13 2.6

22.3 11.53.49.80.13.46.6 2013/14 3.7

24.8 12.04.011.30.03.96.3 2014/15 5.2

27.3 12.54.515.50.13.87.1 2015/16 4.5

Total Wheat Competitors

310.2 210.189.7110.68.63.198.6 2011/12 49.7

256.6 193.476.088.77.12.891.4 2012/13 31.2

306.2 192.174.8112.65.53.295.4 2013/14 38.2

318.7 200.580.9121.07.63.494.4 2014/15 43.0

325.5 207.687.3124.07.83.497.1 2015/16 44.7



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

22.0 6.84.914.80.06.53.4 2007/08 2.1

15.5 6.44.510.30.06.22.5 2008/09 0.9

25.0 6.95.016.50.08.33.0 2009/10 2.5

25.2 7.35.316.30.06.73.8 2010/11 4.0

21.0 7.04.817.10.05.83.6 2011/12 0.9

27.0 7.95.318.70.06.84.0 2012/13 1.3

26.0 8.85.817.10.07.63.4 2013/14 1.4

28.7 9.36.018.90.08.23.5 2014/15 1.9

28.0 9.36.019.00.08.03.5 2015/16 1.6

Brazil

58.6 44.037.57.80.74.014.7 2007/08 10.6

51.0 45.538.57.11.13.614.1 2008/09 10.1

56.1 48.541.511.60.44.312.9 2009/10 6.5

57.4 50.043.08.40.84.213.8 2010/11 6.3

73.0 51.544.024.30.84.815.2 2011/12 4.2

81.5 52.544.524.90.95.215.8 2012/13 9.2

80.0 55.046.021.00.85.115.8 2013/14 14.0

85.0 57.048.034.50.45.415.8 2014/15 7.9

84.0 58.049.028.00.65.216.2 2015/16 6.5

China

152.3 150.0106.00.50.05.229.5 2007/08 38.4

165.9 153.0108.00.20.05.629.9 2008/09 51.2

164.0 165.0118.00.21.35.331.2 2009/10 51.3

177.2 180.0128.00.11.05.532.5 2010/11 49.4

192.8 188.0131.00.15.25.733.5 2011/12 59.3

205.6 200.0144.00.12.75.935.0 2012/13 67.6

218.5 208.0150.00.03.36.036.3 2013/14 81.3

215.6 202.0140.00.05.55.837.1 2014/15 100.5

224.6 218.0154.00.12.55.938.1 2015/16 109.5

South Africa

13.2 10.14.82.20.04.03.3 2007/08 1.4

12.6 10.34.71.70.04.32.9 2008/09 2.0

13.4 10.64.92.10.04.13.3 2009/10 2.8

10.9 10.75.02.40.43.82.9 2010/11 1.0

12.8 10.75.01.80.04.13.1 2011/12 1.3

12.4 11.05.12.10.13.83.2 2012/13 0.7



Corn Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


14.9 11.55.52.00.14.93.1 2013/14 2.2

10.6 11.86.10.72.03.53.0 2014/15 2.3

6.5 11.05.50.73.53.41.9 2015/16 0.6

Total Corn Competitors

246.1 210.9153.225.30.84.850.9 2007/08 52.5

245.0 215.2155.719.31.25.049.4 2008/09 64.2

258.5 231.0169.430.31.75.150.4 2009/10 63.0

270.8 248.0181.327.32.25.152.9 2010/11 60.7

299.5 257.2184.843.46.05.455.5 2011/12 65.7

326.5 271.4198.945.83.75.658.1 2012/13 78.7

339.4 283.3207.340.04.15.858.6 2013/14 98.9

340.0 280.1200.154.17.95.759.4 2014/15 112.6

343.1 296.3214.547.86.65.759.7 2015/16 118.2



Barley Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Australia

7.2 3.12.13.40.01.54.9 2007/08 1.7

8.0 4.02.93.20.01.65.0 2008/09 2.4

7.9 4.53.33.90.01.84.4 2009/10 1.9

8.0 4.23.04.70.02.23.7 2010/11 1.0

8.2 3.32.15.40.02.23.7 2011/12 0.5

7.5 3.01.84.50.02.13.6 2012/13 0.5

9.2 2.81.56.20.02.43.8 2013/14 0.7

8.0 2.91.65.20.02.13.8 2014/15 0.6

8.7 2.61.35.80.02.14.1 2015/16 0.9

Canada

10.9 7.86.43.00.12.84.0 2007/08 1.6

11.8 8.97.61.50.03.43.5 2008/09 3.0

9.5 8.77.51.30.03.32.9 2009/10 2.5

7.6 7.56.31.20.03.22.4 2010/11 1.5

7.9 6.95.71.30.03.32.4 2011/12 1.2

8.0 6.85.71.40.02.92.8 2012/13 1.0

10.2 7.76.51.60.03.92.7 2013/14 2.0

7.1 6.55.21.50.13.32.1 2014/15 1.2

8.2 6.65.41.40.13.52.4 2015/16 1.6

European Union

57.8 54.538.93.80.34.213.9 2007/08 5.7

65.8 57.341.73.60.34.514.6 2008/09 11.0

62.4 56.841.71.10.14.514.0 2009/10 15.6

53.7 56.641.34.90.24.312.5 2010/11 7.9

51.9 51.235.83.00.54.311.9 2011/12 6.1

54.9 51.035.55.00.14.412.5 2012/13 5.0

59.7 53.438.05.70.04.812.4 2013/14 5.6

60.6 51.035.59.50.14.912.4 2014/15 5.8

61.3 52.637.09.20.35.012.1 2015/16 5.6



Sorghum Supply and Disappearance: Selected Exporters

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

Total

Consumpti

Feed and

Residual

MY

Exports

MY

Imports

Productio

n


Argentina

2.9 1.21.01.20.04.70.6 2007/08 0.7

1.7 1.11.01.10.03.70.5 2008/09 0.2

3.6 1.91.71.80.04.80.8 2009/10 0.2

4.4 1.91.71.70.04.41.0 2010/11 0.9

4.2 1.91.73.10.04.21.0 2011/12 0.2

4.7 2.32.01.80.04.51.1 2012/13 0.8

4.4 2.72.31.30.04.41.0 2013/14 1.2

3.5 2.82.40.90.04.50.8 2014/15 1.0

3.7 2.82.41.00.04.40.9 2015/16 0.9

Australia

3.8 2.22.20.80.04.00.9 2007/08 0.8

2.7 1.81.81.00.03.50.8 2008/09 0.7

1.5 1.21.20.30.03.00.5 2009/10 0.7

1.9 1.41.40.90.03.10.6 2010/11 0.4

2.2 1.11.11.30.03.40.7 2011/12 0.2

2.2 1.11.11.20.03.40.6 2012/13 0.2

1.3 0.90.90.40.02.40.5 2013/14 0.2

2.1 0.50.51.70.03.20.7 2014/15 0.1

2.1 1.11.11.00.03.00.7 2015/16 0.1


U.S. Grains Supply and Distribution: Wheat, Corn, Sorghum, Barley, Oats, Rye, and Rice

Thousand Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Production

Production Imports TY Imports Exports TY Exports Feed Dom.

Consumption

Domestic

Consumption

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

16,06534,2876,19631,51832,0014,7854,71058,105nr318,345 2013/14

20,47731,5543,32622,75223,2493,9874,06855,147nr318,771 2014/15

26,55931,9323,81021,30021,0923,2003,26655,840nr319,058 2015/16

Corn

31,292292,965128,02350,68448,783727909351,272nr1035,390 2013/14

43,974301,854135,23446,77347,359809804361,091nr1133,644 2014/15

47,286301,532133,35642,00041,9121,2501,270345,486nr1132,678 2015/16

Sorghum

8644,1272,3515,7175,362329,966nr42,665 2013/14

4682,4292,0489,2498,965271010,988nr42,590 2014/15

1,6556,0972,9217,4008,00111012715,158nr53,177 2015/16

Barley

1,7914,7751,4353363115224084,719nr41,230 2013/14

1,7114,2349352923124305133,953nr41,011 2014/15

2,1034,4041,0893003054504354,666nr41,258 2015/16

Oats

3592,7571,69329231,8661,674938nr2408 2013/14

7802,4241,30623261,7591,8521,019nr2419 2014/15

9472,7411,63730291,6001,6371,300nr3516 2015/16

Rye

742418467204234194nr2113 2013/14

1540616436262237183nr2104 2014/15

5048123555200229292nr2146 2015/16

Rice, Milled

1,0253,977nr2,9983,0057557346,1178,6159999 2013/14

1,5524,155nr3,4723,2077587837,10610,07981,187 2014/15

1,3773,853nr3,3253,1757757466,1078,72481,042 2015/16

Notes: Wheat Trade Year (TY) statistics are on July/June years. Barley, corn, sorghum, rye and oats Trade Year (TY)

statistics are on Oct/Sept years. Rice Trade Year (TY) statistics are for the subsequent calendar year; 'Imports' and

'Exports' columns contain data on the local marketing year: wheat, barley, oats and rye are June/May; corn and

sorghum are Sept/Aug; rice is Aug/July.


Total Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand

Millions of Metric Tons/Hectares

Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks


1,347.9 469.11,299.7645.9174.72.4565.2 1986/87

1,285.9 422.81,329.8656.6202.22.4544.3 1987/88

1,218.1 339.11,301.8619.5203.32.2541.9 1988/89

1,327.5 320.31,346.3644.5208.92.4548.2 1989/90

1,417.6 368.31,369.7669.8190.12.6545.7 1990/91

1,355.7 357.91,366.1653.5207.52.5543.3 1991/92

1,431.7 398.51,388.3664.1205.22.6545.9 1992/93

1,356.6 366.01,389.1657.1188.22.5536.1 1993/94

1,392.8 363.21,395.6670.5200.12.6534.1 1994/95

1,338.7 320.31,381.6641.8187.52.5527.2 1995/96

1,490.2 368.71,441.7674.6198.32.7545.7 1996/97

1,490.8 416.11,443.4685.7190.42.8535.2 1997/98

1,481.6 449.01,448.7685.4198.72.8520.2 1998/99

1,465.8 444.11,470.2690.0214.02.9506.2 1999/00

1,446.9 418.71,472.3700.4204.92.8509.3 2000/01

1,480.2 403.21,495.8713.7208.32.9511.7 2001/02

1,445.1 341.81,506.5711.7209.22.9504.7 2002/03

1,472.9 279.11,535.5718.0205.82.9511.2 2003/04

1,642.8 335.71,586.1756.2214.43.2514.8 2004/05

1,599.9 318.51,617.2758.2222.53.1517.4 2005/06

1,584.6 272.91,630.2749.7229.83.1519.1 2006/07

1,692.6 289.91,675.7764.5244.73.2534.6 2007/08

1,791.7 359.71,721.9774.3253.63.3539.4 2008/09

1,803.7 396.11,767.3782.4254.13.4533.5 2009/10

1,747.5 360.01,783.6773.7250.13.3523.4 2010/11

1,853.2 360.01,853.2808.0287.13.4537.8 2011/12

1,794.5 341.01,813.4807.7279.53.4532.0 2012/13

1,994.6 405.31,930.4860.5327.23.7540.4 2013/14

2,028.9 458.51,975.6881.1334.93.7544.7 2014/15

1,994.5 484.41,968.6895.0335.83.7544.9 2015/16

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Wheat and Coarse Grains: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Wheat

558.6 183.3552.5111.0101.72.5221.1 1993/94

523.1 164.7541.7103.0101.52.5213.4 1994/95

537.5 156.6545.696.999.22.5216.7 1995/96

581.3 165.3572.6101.4104.02.6227.1 1996/97

610.2 199.0576.5106.2104.52.7226.4 1997/98

590.5 210.5579.0109.4102.02.7219.2 1998/99

587.5 210.3587.6104.6111.92.8212.7 1999/00

583.3 206.5587.1111.2102.12.7215.6 2000/01

583.9 203.7586.6112.0107.92.7214.5 2001/02

569.7 169.5603.9116.1106.52.7213.9 2002/03

555.3 135.9588.9101.7103.52.7208.0 2003/04

626.8 156.4606.3110.7113.22.9215.8 2004/05

618.8 153.4621.8117.7114.12.8217.5 2005/06

596.7 133.6616.5113.1115.32.8212.3 2006/07

612.6 128.7617.5104.8116.02.8217.1 2007/08

683.7 169.2643.2124.4143.23.1224.1 2008/09

687.0 203.2653.0122.3135.33.0225.6 2009/10

649.3 198.7653.9116.8134.13.0216.9 2010/11

696.9 197.7697.8148.7153.73.2220.9 2011/12

658.3 176.9679.1138.2147.33.1215.8 2012/13

714.9 193.9697.9126.5162.43.3219.6 2013/14

725.4 214.8704.6130.9161.43.3220.5 2014/15

733.1 239.3708.7132.9162.53.3223.8 2015/16

Coarse Grains

798.0 182.7836.6546.186.52.5315.0 1993/94

869.7 198.5853.9567.698.62.7320.8 1994/95

801.2 163.7836.0544.988.32.6310.5 1995/96

908.9 203.5869.1573.394.32.9318.6 1996/97

880.6 217.1866.9579.585.82.9308.8 1997/98

891.1 238.6869.7575.996.73.0301.0 1998/99

878.4 233.8882.6585.4102.13.0293.6 1999/00

863.6 212.3885.2589.3102.82.9293.7 2000/01

896.3 199.5909.1601.6100.43.0297.2 2001/02

875.4 172.3902.6595.6102.73.0290.9 2002/03

917.5 143.1946.7616.3102.33.0303.2 2003/04

1,016.0 179.4979.8645.5101.23.4299.0 2004/05

981.1 165.1995.4640.5108.43.3299.9 2005/06

988.0 139.41,013.7636.6114.53.2306.8 2006/07

1,080.0 161.21,058.2659.8128.73.4317.5 2007/08

1,108.0 190.61,078.7649.9110.43.5315.3 2008/09

1,116.7 192.91,114.3660.1118.83.6307.9 2009/10

1,098.2 161.41,129.7656.9116.03.6306.5 2010/11

1,156.3 162.31,155.4659.2133.43.6316.8 2011/12

1,136.2 164.21,134.3669.5132.23.6316.3 2012/13

1,279.7 211.41,232.5733.9164.84.0320.8 2013/14

1,303.4 243.71,271.1750.2173.44.0324.2 2014/15

1,261.3 245.11,259.9762.0173.33.9321.1 2015/16

Notes: Wheat and coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to

the present, coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Corn and Barley: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Productio

n

TY

Exports

Feed

Dom.

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Corn

476.0 129.4509.3342.057.43.6130.8 1993/94

559.4 153.3535.5371.671.94.1135.2 1994/95

516.5 133.3536.6365.364.83.8135.0 1995/96

593.0 166.3560.0387.966.64.2141.5 1996/97

574.4 167.2573.5400.663.14.2136.3 1997/98

606.1 191.4582.0404.468.74.4139.0 1998/99

608.4 194.4605.3422.672.04.4138.9 1999/00

591.8 175.3610.9427.475.94.3137.1 2000/01

601.8 151.5625.6436.472.74.4137.1 2001/02

603.9 126.8628.6433.476.84.4137.8 2002/03

627.5 104.6649.7445.879.04.4141.6 2003/04

716.9 131.1690.4476.076.04.9145.3 2004/05

700.7 123.5708.3479.682.54.8145.4 2005/06

716.3 108.8731.0480.491.34.8150.5 2006/07

795.5 127.8776.5501.498.25.0160.2 2007/08

799.8 143.5784.1482.083.65.0158.7 2008/09

824.8 140.9827.4492.992.75.2158.3 2009/10

835.5 123.6852.8503.691.75.1164.5 2010/11

889.6 128.3884.8508.6103.75.2172.0 2011/12

869.5 133.4864.4519.0100.54.9177.6 2012/13

990.5 175.0948.9571.1130.45.5180.3 2013/14

1,012.8 207.6980.3583.8128.05.6179.8 2014/15

972.1 208.9970.8598.4133.85.5177.5 2015/16

Barley

169.0 34.9169.1123.818.82.373.2 1993/94

160.7 30.0165.6120.915.32.272.2 1994/95

141.2 20.5150.7107.813.42.166.4 1995/96

153.2 24.1149.5106.317.92.464.3 1996/97

153.9 32.2145.8104.112.82.463.8 1997/98

136.0 29.0139.399.517.82.456.7 1998/99

127.4 23.9132.594.017.82.452.1 1999/00

133.0 22.6134.394.616.32.552.9 2000/01

143.4 29.2136.895.517.22.655.7 2001/02

134.3 27.6135.994.716.32.554.7 2002/03

142.7 23.5146.8103.114.82.458.4 2003/04

152.1 33.1142.5100.017.02.757.4 2004/05

136.2 28.3141.097.317.42.555.2 2005/06

136.8 21.5143.698.414.62.456.3 2006/07

132.7 20.6133.791.018.52.455.7 2007/08

155.0 31.7143.8100.418.22.855.0 2008/09

150.9 37.4145.2101.417.32.854.2 2009/10

123.0 24.3136.191.315.22.647.1 2010/11

133.3 22.7135.091.721.42.749.2 2011/12

128.8 20.4131.188.622.22.649.9 2012/13

144.2 23.9140.797.223.82.950.6 2013/14

141.0 24.1140.896.630.12.849.5 2014/15

147.2 24.6146.698.726.83.049.8 2015/16

Notes: Coarse grains trade data are on July/June years through 1975/76. From 1976/77 to the present,

coarse grains data are on an Oct/Sept trade year.


World Rice: Supply and Demand


Area

Harvested

Yield Rough

Productio

Productio

n

TY

Exports

Domestic

Consumpti

Ending

Stocks

Rice, Milled

464.6 103.3310.412.9316.13.2144.8 1986/87

464.8 105.3313.111.4315.13.3141.4 1987/88

490.8 111.7325.714.0332.13.3146.6 1988/89

510.4 120.6336.311.7345.33.5147.8 1989/90

519.4 126.7345.312.3351.43.5147.0 1990/91

522.8 126.7353.214.4353.23.5147.5 1991/92

524.2 123.2357.514.9354.03.6146.5 1992/93

526.1 119.0358.916.6354.73.6145.3 1993/94

540.0 117.6365.520.8364.13.7147.3 1994/95

547.3 118.1368.319.7368.83.7148.4 1995/96

565.3 120.3379.218.9381.43.8150.1 1996/97

575.2 127.7380.027.6387.43.8151.7 1997/98

587.0 134.0388.724.8394.93.8153.1 1998/99

608.8 143.1400.322.8409.33.9155.9 1999/00

594.1 146.7395.624.3399.33.9152.4 2000/01

594.3 132.9413.327.9399.53.9151.3 2001/02

563.1 103.0408.127.6378.23.8146.9 2002/03

585.4 81.7413.827.3392.53.9149.3 2003/04

596.4 74.0408.528.9400.83.9151.8 2004/05

622.2 76.5415.429.0417.84.0153.9 2005/06

625.0 75.4421.231.8420.14.0154.5 2006/07

643.5 80.9428.129.5433.64.2154.8 2007/08

668.7 92.6437.629.4449.44.2158.2 2008/09

656.2 95.0438.431.8440.74.2155.8 2009/10

672.1 100.0445.336.5450.44.2158.4 2010/11

697.2 106.8460.840.0467.64.3160.7 2011/12

704.4 110.6468.639.5472.44.4158.6 2012/13

713.4 107.4481.644.1478.44.4161.8 2013/14

713.8 103.6482.542.7478.84.4160.7 2014/15

701.5 90.2484.141.7470.64.5157.5 2015/16

Notes: Stocks, exports and consumption are expressed on a milled basis in marketing years.


55

ENDNOTES TO GRAIN: WORLD MARKETS AND TRADE

REGIONAL TABLES

North America: Canada, Mexico, the United States.

Central America: Belize, Costa Rica, El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, Panama.

Caribbean: Anguilla, Antigua and Barbuda, Aruba, Bahamas, Barbados, Bermuda, British

Virgin Islands, Cayman Islands, Cuba, Dominica, Dominican Republic, French West Indies,

Grenada, Guadeloupe, Haiti, Jamaica and Dep, Leeward-Windward Islands, Martinique,

Montserrat, Netherlands Antilles, Puerto Rico, Kitts and Nevis, St. Lucia, St. Vincent and the

Grenadines, Trinidad and Tobago, Turks and Caicos Islands, Virgin Islands of the U.S.

South America: Argentina, Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Falkland Islands (Islas

Malvinas), French Guiana, Guyana, Paraguay, Peru, Suriname, Uruguay, Venezuela.

EU: Austria, Belgium/Luxembourg, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark,

Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Malta,

Netherlands, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom.

Other Europe: Albania, Azores, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Former Yugoslavia, Gibraltar,

Iceland, Macedonia, Montenegro, Norway, Serbia, Switzerland.

Former Soviet Union: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan,

Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan.

Middle East: Bahrain, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia,

Syria, Turkey, United Arab Emirates, Yemen.

North Africa: Algeria, Egypt, Libya, Morocco, Tunisia.

Sub-Saharan Africa: all African countries except North Africa.

East Asia: China, Hong Kong, Japan, South Korea, North Korea, Macau, Mongolia,

Taiwan.

South Asia: Afghanistan, Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Maldives.

Southeast Asia: Brunei, Burma, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Philippines, Singapore,

Thailand, Vietnam.

Oceania: Australia, Fiji, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea.


56

OTHER NOTES

Local Marketing Years (LMY): LMY refers to the 12-month period at the onset of the main

harvest, when the crop is marketed (i.e., consumed, traded, or stored). The year first listed

begins a country's LMY for that commodity (2015/16 starts in 2015); except for summer grains

in certain Southern Hemisphere countries and for rice in selected countries, where the second

year begins the LMY (2015/16 starts in 2016). Key exporter LMY’s are:

Wheat Corn Barley Sorghum

Argentina (Dec/Nov) Argentina (Mar/Feb) Australia (Nov/Oct) Argentina (Mar/Feb)

Australia (Oct/Sep) Brazil (Mar/Feb) Canada (Aug/Jul) Australia (Mar/Feb)

Canada (Aug/Jul) China (Oct/Sep) European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug)

China (Jul/Jun) South Africa (May/Apr) Russia (Jul/Jun)

European Union (Jul/Jun) United States (Sep/Aug) Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

India (Apr/Mar) United States (Jun/May)

Kazakhstan (Jul/Jun)

Russia(Jul/Jun)

Turkey (Jun/May)

Ukraine (Jul/Jun)

United States (Jun/May)

For a complete list of local marketing years, please see the FAS website

(http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx).

Stocks: Unless otherwise stated, stock data are based on an aggregate of differing local

marketing years and should not be construed as representing world stock levels at a fixed point in

time.

Consumption: World totals for consumption reflect total utilization, including food, seed,

industrial, feed, and waste; as well as differences in local marketing year imports and local

marketing year exports. Consumption statistics for regions and individual countries, however,

reflect food, seed, industrial, feed, and waste only.

Trade: All PSD tables are balanced on the different local marketing years. All trade tables

contain Trade Year (TY) data which puts all countries on a uniform, 12-month period for

analytical comparisons: wheat is July/June; coarse grains, corn, barley, sorghum, oats, and rye

are Oct/Sept; and rice is calendar year.

EU Consolidation: The trade figures starting from 1999/00 represent the European Union

(Croatia plus the former EU-27) and exclude all intra-trade. For the years 1960/61 through

1998/99, figures are the EU-15 and also exclude all intra-trade. EU-15 member states' data for

grains are no longer maintained in the official USDA database. Data for the individual NMS-10,

plus Bulgaria, Romania, and Croatia, exists only prior to 1999/00.

Statistics: (1) Wheat trade statistics include wheat, flour, and selected pasta products on a grain

equivalent basis. (2) Rice trade statistics include rough, brown, milled, and broken on a milled

equivalent basis. (3) Coarse grains statistics include corn, barley, sorghum, oats, rye, millet, and

mixed grains but exclude trade in barley malt, millet, and mixed grains.


http://www.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdAvailability.aspx

57

Unaccounted: This term includes grain in transit, reporting discrepancies in some countries,

and trade to countries outside the USDA database.

The Global Commodity Analysis Division, Office of Global Analysis, Foreign Agricultural

Service, USDA, Washington, DC 20250, prepared this circular. Information is gathered from

official statistics of foreign governments and other foreign source materials, reports of U.S.

agricultural attachés and Foreign Service officers, office research, and related information.

Further information may be obtained by writing the Division or telephoning (202) 720-3448.

Note: The previous report in this series was Grain: World Markets and Trade March 2016. For

further details on world grain production, please see World Agricultural Production April 2016.

This circular is available in its entirety on the Internet via the Foreign Agricultural Service Home

Page. The address is: http://www.fas.usda.gov

Questions may be directed to the following staff:

Teresa McKeivier (202) 690-1151 [email protected] Wheat

Daniel Archibald (202) 720-9432 [email protected] Wheat

Rachel Trego (202) 720-1073 [email protected] Rice

Kyle Bonsu (202) 260-8370 [email protected] Rice

Yoonhee Macke (202) 690-4199 [email protected] Coarse Grains

Andrew Sowell (202) 720-0262 [email protected] Coarse Grains

Barrett Bumpas (202) 692-0337 [email protected] Coarse Grains


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United States Department of Agriculture Grainusda.mannlib.cornell.edu/usda/fas/grain-market//2010s/2016/grain...Grain: World Markets and Trade . Approved by the World Agricultural