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AUGUST CROP PRODUCTION Executive Summary August 10, 2012 8:30 AM United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service

United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

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Page 1: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

AUGUST CROP PRODUCTION

Executive Summary

August 10, 2012 8:30 AM

United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service

Page 2: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Contents

Field Crops Fruit Specialty Crops Corn Peaches Dry Beans

Soybeans Apples Tobacco Cotton Pears Sugarbeets Wheat Grapes Sugarcane Oats Hops

Barley Coffee Sorghum

Alfalfa & Other Hay Rice

Peanuts

Page 3: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

Survey Overview

Ag Yield Objective Yield Survey Type Farmer Reported Field Measurement Crops Included Field Crops Corn, Soybeans,

Cotton, and Winter Wheat

Sample Size 28,472 4,504 Collection Period Jul 30 – Aug 6 Jul 25 – Aug 1

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Page 4: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Page 5: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Crop

Unit

August

2012

% Change from

Previous Forecast

% Change from

Previous Season

Corn Planted Mil Ac 96.4 NC + 4.9 Harvested Mil Ac 87.4 - 1.7 + 4.0 Yield Bu/Ac 123.4 --- - 16.2 Production Bil Bu 10.8 --- - 12.8

August 2012 Crop Production

Page 6: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

2012 Corn for Grain HarvestedAcres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast

260NC

640NC

180NC

970-250

187NC

285NC

12600-200

6050NC

13600NC

4200-200 1490

NC

560NC

425NC

2290NC

8250#NC

800NC

3350-50

9100-500

82NC

640NC

780NC

3200#NC

3620-40

330NC

1000NC

300NC

U.S. 87,361-1,490

# Record HighNC = No Change

5300#-250

870NC

1580NC

350NC

125NC

3450NC

Page 7: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

8.97

10.09

11.8

11.1

10.5

13.0

12.1

13.1

12.4 12.4

10.8

8.0

9.0

10.0

11.0

12.0

13.0

14.0

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Billion bushels

U.S. Corn Production

Page 8: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

123

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Bushels/acre

U.S. Corn Yield

Page 9: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Corn for Grain Yields, 2012Bushels and Change From Previous Year

85-29

16018

1905

1352

105-25

175#17

116-41

100-46

141-31

93-14 65

-74

165#30

1101

114-39

155-1

14719

75-39

147-13

1274

119-14

11430

100-5

126-32

10010

1187

118#53

U.S. 123.4-23.8

# Record HighNC = No Change

98-34

82-49

150#57

91-27

225#NC

132-24

Page 10: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Crop

Unit

August

2012

% Change from

Previous Forecast

% Change from

Previous Season

Soybeans Planted Mil Ac 76.1 NC + 1.5 Harvested Mil Ac 74.6 - 0.9 + 1.4 Yield Bu/Ac 36.1 --- - 13.0 Production Bil Bu 2.69 --- - 11.9

August 2012 Crop Production

Page 11: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

2012 Soybeans HarvestedAcres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast

325NC

3200NC

178NC

180NC

8350-220

4990NC

9440NC

3350-200 1380

-10

1110NC

475NC

1990NC

6920NC

2100NC

5150-100

5000-50

93NC

337#NC

1630NC

4550#NC

4580-10

290-90

520#NC

410NC

U.S. 74,635

-680

# Record High

NC = No Change

4450NC

1290NC

85NC

540NC

1680#NC

Page 12: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

2.76

2.45

3.12 3.07

3.20

2.68

2.97

3.36 3.33

3.06

2.69

2.4

2.6

2.8

3.0

3.2

3.4

3.6

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Billion bushels

U.S. Soybean Production

Page 13: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

36.1

20

25

30

35

40

45

50

Bushels/acre

U.S. Soybean Yield

Page 14: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Soybean Yields, August 1, 2012Bushels and Change From Previous Year

33NC

39#1

30-9

286

37-10

37-8

43-7.5

22-5 29

-10

427

37-1.5

36-8

38-0.5

39NC

30-6.5

43-10.5

36-1

42-1

322

28-0.5

42-5.5

207

42-2

261

U.S. 36.1-5.4

# Record HighNC = No Change

31-6

26-6

3516

34-5

36-10

Page 15: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Crop

Unit

August

2012

% Change from

Previous Forecast

% Change from

Previous Season

Cotton Planted Mil Ac 12.6 NC - 14.3 Harvested Mil Ac 10.8 --- + 14.3 Yield Lbs/Ac 784 --- - 0.8 Production Mil Bales 17.7 --- + 13.3

August 2012 Crop Production

Page 16: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

12.6

10.8

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012

Million acres

U.S. All Cotton Acres

Planted Harvested USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Page 17: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

17.2 18.3

23.3 23.9

21.6

19.2

12.8 12.2

18.1

15.6

17.7

8.0

10.0

12.0

14.0

16.0

18.0

20.0

22.0

24.0

26.0

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Million bales

U.S. All Cotton Production

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Page 18: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

784

400

500

600

700

800

900

1000

Pounds/acre

U.S. All Cotton Yield

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Page 19: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

Upland Cotton Yield, August 1, 2012Pounds and Change From Previous Year

719-23

1576#28 101182

1675#201

857113

925#134

53525

87327

926-26

913-56

107213

837221556-41 8291

U.S. 771-1

# Record High Yield

755-41

61829

914238

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Page 20: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Crop

Unit

August

2012

% Change from Previous Forecast

% Change from Previous Season

Winter Wheat Harvested Mil Ac 35.0 NC + 8.4 Yield Bu/Ac 48.0 + 0.6 + 3.9 Production Bil Bu 1.68 + 0.7 + 12.7 Other Spring Harvested Mil Ac 11.7 NC - 3.3 Yield Bu/Ac 42.8 + 5.9 + 13.5 Production Mil Bu 500 + 5.9 + 9.7 Durum Harvested Mil Ac 2.12 NC + 61.7 Yield Bu/Ac 40.5 + 4.9 + 5.2 Production Mil Bu 86.0 + 4.9 + 70.4 All Wheat Production Bil Bu 2.27 + 2.0 + 13.4

August 2012 Crop Production

Page 21: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Winter Wheat Yield - August 1, 2012 Bushels and Change From Previous Month

43-1

55NC

85#NC 37

NC

44NC

82NC

56NC

38NC

42NC 67

NC

37NC 48

NC U.S. 48.00.3

# Record High

NC = No Change

66NC

31NC

65NC

651

631

591

731

621

672 65

2

742

582

712

643

72348

5

55#6

Page 22: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Other Spring Wheat Yield - August 1, 2012 Bushels and Change From Previous Month

69-2

30NC

561

722

533

433

U.S. 42.8

2.4

416

Page 23: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Crop

Unit

August

2012

% Change from

Previous Forecast

% Change from

Previous Season

Oats Mil Bu 66.5 + 1.9 + 24.0 Barley Mil Bu 221 + 2.0 + 41.9 Sorghum Mil Bu 248 --- + 15.5 Alfalfa Hay Mil Tons 54.9 --- - 16.0 Other Hay Mil Tons 65.4 --- - 0.6 Rice Mil Cwt 190 --- + 2.7

August 2012 Crop Production

Page 24: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Crop

Unit

August

2012

% Change from

Previous Forecast

% Change from

Previous Season

Peanuts Bil Lbs 5.29 --- + 45.6 Dry Beans Mil Cwt 27.0 --- + 36.2 All Tobacco Mil Lbs 707 --- + 18.2 Sugarbeets Mil Tons 35.3 --- + 22.6 Sugarcane Mil Tons 31.4 --- + 6.7

August 2012 Crop Production

Page 25: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Crop

Unit

August

2012

% Change from

Previous Forecast

% Change from

Previous Season

Peaches Mil Tons 1.02 --- - 4.5 Apples Bil Lbs 8.07 --- - 14.4 Pears Thou Tons 879 --- - 8.0 Grapes Mil Tons 7.30 --- - 1.1 Hops Mil Lbs 61.5 --- - 5.1 Coffee (HI) Mil Lbs 7.60 - 8.4 -13.6

August 2012 Crop Production

Page 26: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

Upcoming Reports

August 17 Cattle on Feed

August 27 Rice Stocks

August 31 Ag Prices

September 12 Crop Production

United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

Page 27: United States Department of Agriculture National ... · 8/10/2012  · 8-10-12 2012 Soybeans Harvested Acres (000) and Change From Previous Forecast 325 NC 3200 NC 178 NC 180 NC 8350-220

United States Department of Agriculture National Agricultural Statistics Service

USDA-NASS 8-10-12

All Reports Available At

www.nass.usda.gov

For Questions

202-720-2127 800-727-9540

[email protected]