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Dylan Wiliam (@dylanwiliam) Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do www.dylanwiliamcenter.com www.dylanwiliam.net

Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

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Page 1: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

DylanWiliam(@dylanwiliam)

UnderstandingAssessments:WhattheyMeanandWhattheyDo

www.dylanwiliamcenter.com www.dylanwiliam.net

Page 2: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Ini$alassump$ons

•  Anyassessmentsystemshouldbedesignedtoassesstheschool’scurriculumratherthanhavingtodesignthecurriculumtofittheschool’sassessmentsystem.

•  Sinceeachschool’scurriculumshouldbedesignedtomeetlocalneeds,therecannotbeaone-size-fits-allassessmentsystem—eachschool’sassessmentsystemwillbedifferent.

•  Thereare,however,anumberofprinciplesthatshouldgovernthedesignofassessmentsystems,and

•  Thereissomesciencehere—knowledgethatpeopleneedinordertoavoiddoingthingsthatarejustwrong.

2

Page 3: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Assessment:Acau$onarytale

A B C D E F G H Total

Adams 100 30 47 72 40 75 30 47 441

Brown 90 38 43 60 20 65 48 70 434

Collins 61 36 40 45 41 55 62 80 420

Dorkin 63 32 51 90 30 70 47 35 418

Evans 56 55 41 82 45 40 49 41 409

Fuller 80 45 49 64 65 45 38 20 406

Grant 23 47 45 55 60 80 32 60 402

Howell 40 35 52 70 56 20 60 65 398

Iman 85 40 60 40 28 51 55 30 389

Jones 72 54 50 10 25 35 66 75 387

Keller 48 57 55 34 70 60 36 10 370

Lant 10 60 59 20 35 30 70 58 342Mean 61 44 49 54 43 52 49 49

Page 4: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Equalizingtherangeforeachsubject

A B C D E F G H Total

Adams 100 0 35 77 40 92 0 53 397

Brown 89 27 15 63 0 75 45 86 400

Collins 57 20 0 44 42 58 80 100 401

Dorkin 59 7 55 100 20 83 43 36 403

Evans 51 83 5 90 50 33 48 44 404

Fuller 78 50 45 68 90 42 20 14 407

Grant 14 57 25 56 80 100 5 71 408

Howell 33 17 60 75 72 0 75 79 411

Iman 83 34 100 38 16 52 62 29 414

Jones 69 80 50 0 10 25 90 93 417

Keller 42 90 75 30 100 67 15 0 419

Lant 0 100 95 12 30 17 100 69 423Mean 56 47 47 54 46 54 49 56

Page 5: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Andusingclassranksineachsubject…

A B C D E F G H Total

Adams 1 12 8 3 7 2 12 7 52

Brown 2 8 10 6 12 4 7 3 52

Collins 7 9 12 8 6 6 3 1 52

Dorkin 6 11 5 1 9 3 8 9 52

Evans 8 3 11 2 5 9 6 8 52

Fuller 4 6 7 5 2 8 9 11 52

Grant 11 5 9 7 3 1 11 5 52

Howell 10 10 4 4 4 12 4 4 52

Iman 3 7 1 9 10 7 5 10 52

Jones 5 4 6 12 11 10 2 2 52

Keller 9 2 3 10 1 5 10 12 52

Lant 12 1 2 11 8 11 1 6 52

Page 6: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Beforewecanassess…

•  The‘backwarddesign’ofaneducaaonsystem– Wheredowewantourstudentstogetto?

•  ‘Bigideas’– Whatarethewaystheycangetthere?

•  Learningprogressions– Whenshouldwecheckon/reportprogress?

•  Inherentandusefulcheckpoints

6

Page 7: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Bigideas

7

Page 8: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Bigideas8

•  A“bigidea”–  helpsmakesenseofapparentlyunrelatedphenomena–  isgenera)veinthatiscanbeappliedinnewareas

Page 9: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Bigideasinreading

•  Wriangisanafempttocommunicatemeaning•  Makingsenseoftextohenrequiresmakingconnecaonsbetweensentences

•  Writersohenchoosewordsfortheeffecttheyhaveonthelistener/reader

•  Thehero’sjourney(Campbell,1949)•  …

9

Page 10: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Learningprogressions

Whatisitthatgetsbeferwhensomeonegetsbeferatreading?

10

Page 11: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

The“seduc$veallure”ofneuroscience

11

Page 12: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Cor$callanguagelocaliza$on12

•  117individuals(aged4to80)undergoingfrontalorfrontotemporoparietalcraniotomiesasatreatmentforepilepsy

•  Subjectswereshownlinedrawingsoffamiliarobjectsandaskedtonamewhattheyhadseenwhileexposedregionsofthecerebralcortexweresamulatedwithelectriccurrent

•  Namingerrorsweretakenasindicaangthattheregioninquesaonwasessenaaltolanguage

Ojemann,Ojemann,Leatch,andBerger(1989)

Page 13: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

58

6

1417

14

3334

11

1264

8211 45

68 58 51

667261625876

6046 60

5861 44

8

6 10 23 3

Ojemann,Ojemann,Leatch,andBerger(1989)

Numberofpaaentswithasiteineachzone(outof117)

Page 14: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

2037

50

5029

43

4523

18

4236

799 27 19

14 26

293629261914

52 7

1921 32

8

0 0 0 0 0

Ojemann,Ojemann,Leatch,andBerger(1989)

Percentageofpaaentswithasiteineachzonewithsignificantnamingerrorsinthatzone

Page 15: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

“Allmodelsarewrong;someareuseful”

“Sinceallmodelsarewrongthescienastcannotobtaina‘correct’onebyexcessiveelaboraaon.OnthecontraryfollowingWilliamofOccamheshouldseekaneconomicaldescripaonofnaturalphenomena.Justastheabilitytodevisesimplebutevocaavemodelsisthesignatureofthegreatscienastsooverelaboraaonandoverparameterizaaonisohenthemarkofmediocrity.”(Box,1976p.792)

Page 16: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Learningprogressions

•  Whatgetsbeferwhenstudentsgetbeferatreading?–  Phonemicawareness–  Phonics–  Fluency–  Vocabulary–  Textcomprehension

16

NaaonalReadingPanel(2001)

Page 17: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

The“simple”viewofreading17

Scarborough(2001)

Backgroundknowledge

Vocabulary

Languagestructures

Verbalreasoning

Literacyknowledge

Sightrecogniaon

DecodingPhonologicalawareness

Page 18: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Lefers

Translaaonrules

Wordsounds

Syntacacrules

Ideaweb

Spellings

Situaaonmodel

Wordmeanings

Sentencerepresentaaon

Expandedmodelofreading(Willingham,2017)

Page 19: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Copythis19

ЖӘШІК

Page 20: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Readingskills:whataretheyreally?

“Amanifold,containedinanintuiaonwhichIcallmine,isrepresented,bymeansofthesynthesisoftheunderstanding,asbelongingtothenecessaryunityofself-consciousness;andthisiseffectedbymeansofthecategory.”Whatisthemainideaofthispassage?

A.  Withoutamanifold,onecannotcallanintuiaon‘mine.’B.  Intuiaonmustprecedeunderstanding.C.  Intuiaonmustoccurthroughacategory.D.  Self-consciousnessisnecessarytounderstanding

Hirsch(2006)

Page 21: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Lostintransla$on?

•  “Comprehensiondependsonconstrucangamentalmodelthatmakestheelementsfallintoplaceand,equallyimportant,enablesthelistenerorreadertosupplyessenaalinformaaonthatisnotexplicitlystated.Inlanguageuse,thereisalwaysagreatdealthatislehunsaidandmustbeinferred.Thismeansthatcommunicaaondependsonbothsides,writerandreader,sharingabasisofunspokenknowledge.Thislargedimensionoftacitknowledgeispreciselywhatisnotbeingtaughtadequatelyinourschools.”

Hirsch(2009loc.176)

Page 22: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Domainknowledgeandmemory

•  3rd(N=64),5th(N=67)and7th(N=54)gradestudentsfromHeidelberg,Germany,testedonreadingexperaseandsoccerknowledge–  13-itemquesaonnaireonsoccerknowledge–  standardizedreadingcomprehensiontest

•  Studentsheard(twice)andreadawell-structuredreadablestoryonayoungplayer’sexperiencesinasoccergame

•  Tested15minuteslaterwithaclozeversionofthetestwith20blanks

Page 23: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Schneider,Körkel,andWiener(1989)

High

Low

HighLow

Knowledge of socce

rReading ability

16.417.0

11.111.0

Page 24: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Assessment

24

Page 25: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

WriOenexamina$ons

“Theyhavepervertedthebesteffortsofteachers,andnarrowedandgroovedtheirinstrucaon;theyhaveoccasionedandmadewellnighimperaavetheuseofmechanicalandrote

methodsofteaching;theyhaveoccasionedcrammingandthemostvicioushabitsofstudy;theyhavecausedmuchofthe

overpressurechargeduponschools,someofwhichisreal;theyhavetemptedbothteachersandpupilstodishonesty;

andlastbutnotleast,theyhavepermifedamechanicalmethodofschoolsupervision.”

25

(White,1888pp.517-518)

Page 26: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Campbell’slaw

“Themoreanyquanataavesocialindicatorisusedforsocialdecision-making,themoresubjectitwillbetocorrupaonpressuresandthemoreaptitwillbetodistortandcorruptthesocialprocessesitisintendedtomonitor.”(Campbell,1976p.49)–  Allperformanceindicatorslosetheirmeaningwhenadoptedaspolicytargets

–  Thecleareryouareaboutwhatyouwant,themorelikelyyouaretogetit,butthelesslikelyitistomeananything

26

Page 27: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

The“LakeWobegon”effect

3.4

3.5

3.6

3.7

3.8

3.9

4.0

4.1

4.2

4.3

4.4

1986 1987 1988 1989 1990

Grade

equ

ivalen

ts

TestC TestB TestC

Koretz,Linn,DunbarandShepard(1991)

Page 28: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Effectsofnarrowassessment

•  Incenavestoteachtothetest–  Focusonsomesubjectsattheexpenseofothers–  Focusonsomeaspectsofasubjectattheexpenseofothers

–  Focusonsomestudentsattheexpenseofothers(“bubble”students)

•  Consequences–  Learningthatis

•  Narrow•  Shallow•  Transient

28

Page 29: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

GeSngassessmentright

29

Page 30: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Whatisanassessment?

•  Anassessmentisaprocedureformakinginferences– Wegivestudentsthingstodo– Wecollecttheevidence– Wedrawconclusions

•  Keyquesaon:“Onceyouknowtheassessmentoutcome,whatdoyouknow?”

•  Foranytest:–  someinferencesarewarranted(valid)–  somearenot

30

Page 31: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Validity

•  Evoluaonoftheideaofvalidity–  Apropertyofatest–  Apropertyofstudents’scoresonatest–  Apropertyofinferencesdrawnonthebasisoftestresults

•  “Onevalidatesnotatestbutaninterpretaaonofdataarisingfromaspecifiedprocedure”(Cronbach,1971)

•  Consequences–  Nosuchthingasavalid(orindeedinvalid)assessment–  Nosuchthingasabiasedassessment–  Formaaveandsummaavearedescripaonsofinferences

31

Page 32: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Meaningsandconsequencesofassessment

•  Evidenaalbasis– Whatdoestheassessmentresultmean?

•  Consequenaalbasis– Whatdoestheassessmentresultdo?

•  Assessmentliteracy(Saggins,1991)–  Doyouknowwhatthisassessmentresultmeans?–  Doesithaveualityforitsintendeduse?– Whatmessagedoesthisassessmentsendtostudents(andotherstakeholders)abouttheachievementoutcomeswevalue?

– Whatislikelytobetheeffectofthisassessmentonstudents?

Page 33: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Validityrevisited

“Validityisanintegraaveevaluaavejudgmentofthedegreetowhichempiricalevidenceandtheoreacalraaonalessupporttheadequacyandappropriatenessofinferencesandacaonsbasedontestscoresorothermodesofassessment.”(Messick,1989p.13)•  Socialconsequences:–  “Rightconcern,wrongconcept”(Popham,1997)

Page 34: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Qualityinassessment

•  Threatstovalidity–  Construct-irrelevantvariance

•  Systemaac:goodperformanceontheassessmentrequiresabiliaesnotrelatedtotheconstructofinterest

•  Random:goodperformanceisrelatedtochancefactors,suchasluck(effecavelypoorreliability)

–  Constructunder-representaaon•  Goodperformanceontheassessmentcanbeachievedwithoutdemonstraangallaspectsoftheconstructofinterest

Page 35: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

35

Discussio

n •  Workingasagroup,trytoframeonevalidityissueasanissueofconstruct-irrelevantvarianceorofconstructunder-representaaon.

Page 36: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Understandingreliability

36

Page 37: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Understandingtestscores

•  Consideratestofstudents’abilitytospellwordsdrawnfromabankof1000words.

•  Whatwecanconcludedependson:–  Thesizeofthesample–  Thewaythesamplewasdrawn–  Students’knowledgeofthesample–  Theamountofnoacegiven

Page 38: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Samplesandreliability

•  Supposeweaskastudenttospell20ofthewordsdrawnatrandom,atfivedifferentamesoftheday,withthefollowingresults–  15 17 14 15 14–  Onaverage,thestudentscores15outof20–  Ourbestguessisthestudentcanspell750ofthe1000words

•  Iftheresultswere:–  20 12 17 10 16–  Ourbestguessissallthatthestudentknows750ofthe1000spellings

–  Butnowwearemuchlesscertainaboutthis

Page 39: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Someexamples

Example1Actualscore 15 17 14 15 14Differencefromaverage 0 +2 -1 0 -1Averageerror 0(bydefiniaon!)Standarddeviaaonoferrors 1.2

Example2Actualscore 20 12 17 10 16Differencefromaverage 5 -3 +2 -5 +1Averageerror 0(bydefiniaon!)Standarddeviaaonoferrors 4.0

Page 40: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Quan$fyingreliability

•  The“standarderrorofmeasurement”or“SEM”isjustthestandarddeviaaonoftheerrorsaveragedoveralltesttakers

•  Thereliabilityofthetestis:

Page 41: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Rela$onshipofreliabilityanderror

•  Foratestwithanaveragescoreof50,andastandarddeviaaonof15(sothatmostscoresrangefrom20to80),errorsofmeasurementareasfollows:

Reliability Standarderrorofmeasurement

0.70 8.20.75 7.50.80 6.70.85 5.80.90 4.70.95 3.4

Page 42: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Whatdoesthismean?

•  Consideraclassof25studentstakingareadingtest–  withareliabilityof0.85–  anaveragescoreof50–  astandarddeviaaonof15(mostscoresrangefrom20to80)

•  Then–  17studentsgetascorewithin6pointsoftheirtruescore–  7studentsgetascorethatismorethan6points,butlessthan12pointsfromtheirtruescore

–  andonestudentgetsascorethatdiffersfromtheirtruescorebymorethan12points

•  Unfortunately…–  youwon’tknowwhichstudent–  andyouwon’tknowiftheirscorewashigherorlowerthanitshouldhavebeen

Page 43: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Reliability:0.75

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Observedscore

Truescore

Page 44: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Reliability:0.80

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Observedscore

Truescore

Page 45: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Reliability:0.85

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Observedscore

Truescore

Page 46: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Reliability:0.90

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Observedscore

Truescore

Page 47: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Reliability:0.95

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Observedscore

Truescore

Page 48: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Understandingwhatthismeansinprac$ce

48

Page 49: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Groupingstudentsbyability

49

Page 50: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Usingtestsforgroupingstudentsbyability

shouldbein

group1 group2 group3 group4

studentsplacedin

group1 23 9 3

group2 9 12 6 3

group3 3 6 7 4

group4 3 4 8

Usingatestwithareliabilityof0.9,andwithapredicavevalidityof0.7,togroup100studentsintofourabilitygroups:

Only50%ofthestudentsareinthe“right”group

Page 51: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Diagnos$ctes$ng

51

Page 52: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Thelimitsofdiagnos$ctes$ng

•  120-itemmulaplechoicetestforteacherlicensure–  Fourmajorsubjectareas

•  languagearts/reading•  mathemaacs•  socialstudies•  science

–  30itemspersubjectarea–  Sub-scorereliabiliaesrangefrom0.71to0.83

Page 53: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Howreliableare10-itemsubtestscores?

•  Itemsforeachsubjectarearankedinorderofdifficulty(i.e.,1to30)

•  Threeparallel10-itemformscreatedineachsubjectarea:–  FormA:items1,4,7,…28–  FormB:items2,5,8,…29–  FormC:items3,6,9,…30

•  Sub-scorereliabiliaesintherange0.40to0.60•  OnformA,271examineesscored7inmathemaacsand3inscience

Page 54: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Scoresof271studentsonformB

Sciencesubscore1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Mathsubscore

1 0 0 0 1 1 1 0 0 0 0

2 0 0 0 1 3 1 2 0 0 0

3 1 0 0 1 2 4 3 1 1 1

4 0 0 2 7 7 6 4 0 1 0

5 0 1 1 1 10 14 8 5 1 1

6 2 0 1 5 10 11 15 8 1 1

7 0 1 4 4 4 11 10 7 4 0

8 0 1 1 5 12 13 7 5 4 0

9 0 0 1 1 6 3 7 4 3 0

10 0 0 0 1 1 2 1 1 0 0

Sinharay,GautamandHalberman(2010)

110outof271(41%)examineesgotabeferformBscoreinsciencethanmathemaacs

Page 55: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Whatdoesthismean?

•  Astudentscoring7onmathemaacsand3onsciencewouldprobablywanttoimprovethelafer

•  But110ofthe271examineesgotabeferscoreinsciencethanmathemaacsonFormB

•  CorrelaaonofsciencesubscoresonFormsAandBis0.48

•  CorrelaaonofsciencesubscoreonFormAwithtotalscoreonFormBis0.63

•  Inotherwords,thetotalscoreonthetotaltestisabeferguidetothescoreonasub-testthananotherscoreonthesamesub-test

Page 56: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Measuringprogress

56

Page 57: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Reliability,standarderrors,andprogress

Grade Reliability SEMasapercentageofannualprogress

1 0.89 26%2 0.85 56%3 0.82 76%4 0.83 39%5 0.83 55%6 0.89 46%

Average 0.85 49%Inotherwords,thestandarderrorofmeasurementofthisreadingtestisequaltosixmonths’progressbyatypicalstudent

Page 58: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Inotherwords…

•  Inaclassof25students,iftheyhaveallmadeexactlytheexpectedprogress,andtheyaretestedwithatypicalreadingtesteverysixmonths:–  Fourwillappeartohavemadenoprogressorgonebackwards

–  Fourwillappeartohavemadeatleasttwiceasmuchprogressasexpected

–  Andagain,youwon’tknowwhichstudentsarewhich…

Page 59: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Trueandobservedgrowthscores

Pre-testaverage: 50Post-testaverage:60Pre-testSD: 15ChangeSD: 2Testreliability: 0.85Progressreliability:0.04

Trueprogress

Observedprogress

Page 60: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Fortunately…

•  Whileprogressmeasuresforindividualsareratherunreliable,progressmeasuresforgroupsaremuchmorereliable.

•  Asrulesofthumb:–  Forindividualstudents,progressmeasuresaremeaningfulonlyiftheprogressismorethantwicethestandarderrorofmeasurementofthetestbeingusedtomeasureprogress

–  Foraclassof25students,progressmeasuresaremeaningfuliftheprogressismorethanhalfthestandarderrorofmeasurementofthetestbeingusedtomeasureprogress

Page 61: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Curriculum-basedmeasurement

Page 62: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Curriculum-basedmeasurement62

•  Usedforavarietyofpurposesincludingscreening,benchmarking,andprogressmonitoring

•  Avoidstheproblemsofmeasuringchangescoresbecauseitfocusesonmulapleassessmentsofstatus.

•  Dependsonaclearviewofwhatwillbelearnedbytheendoftheinstrucaonalsequence.

•  However,itisnotapanacea

Page 63: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

ReviewofstudiesofCBM-R63

“Suchstudiessuggestthatevenunderthebestcondiaons(i.e.,high-qualityprobesetsandaghtlycontrolledcondiaons),(a)aminimumof5or6weeksofdatawithmulapledatapointscollectedperweekareneededtoinformrouaneinstrucaonaldecisionsand(b)aminimumof12weeksofdatawithmulapledatapointscollectedperweekareneededtomakespecialeducaaoneligibilitydecisions”(p.12)

Ardoin,Christ,Morena,Cormier,andKlingbeil(2013)

Page 64: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

64

“…atthispoint,therearenostudiestosuggestthatanindividualstudent'sprogresscanbeaccuratelydeterminedusingCBM-Rprogressmonitoringdata”(p.14)“Furthermore,trainersandpublishersofCBM-RmaterialsshouldneithersuggesttoschoolteachersandothereducatorsthatCBM-RprogressmonitoringdatacanbeusedasaprimaryoutcomemeasuretoevaluateindividualstudentgrowthovershortperiodsofamenortrainthemincurrentCBM-Rdecisionrules.”(pp.14-15)

Ardoin,Christ,Morena,Cormier,andKlingbeil(2013)

Page 65: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Discussionquesaon65

Discussio

n •  Fromwhatyouhaveheardsofar,whatarethekeychallengesregardingthedesignofreadingassessmentforyourschool/district?

Page 66: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Evidence-centereddesign

66

Page 67: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Evidence-centereddesign

•  Conceptualassessmentframework–  Studentmodel:whatareweassessing?

•  “Degreeofdifficulty”model•  “Marksforstyle”model•  “Support”model

–  Evidencemodel:whatevidencedowewant?–  Taskmodel:wherewilltheevidencecomefrom?–  Four-processarchitecture

•  Taskselecaon•  Taskpresentaaon•  Evidenceidenaficaaon•  Evidenceaccumulaaon

Mislevy,AlmondandLukas(2003);Almond,SteinbergandMislevy(2003)

Page 68: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Taskselec$on

68

Page 69: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

KintherLay$cks

SkondohasohenbeendescribedasoneofthefantemgrowingplaidosintheUKduringthelast10years,butthelureofchemicksaboutintabselhasconanuedtoafracttheafenaonofmooricknumbersofBritons.

Thepercentageriseintranspitansinthelastdecadedoesnotmatchtheskondoboombutincreasingtranspitancyhasbeentakingplacesincetheearlynineaesandthedemandonourtuwoaitchanddadinisrevealsthespectacularmoory.

Unfortunately,unlikeskondo,theplaidooflayackshasafendantsnuffsemfortheenthusiasacbutrudioamateur.Alltoofewofthesatsunlayboswhotaketothetuwoahhaveeventhemostrudimentaryknowledgeofloxemintabsel.

1.  Nametwopopularplaidos.

2.  Havetherebeenmany

deathsfromSkondo?

3.  Whichcountryhasalotof

kintherlayacks?

4.  Writedowntwo

precauaonstotakefor

layacks

5.  Whatissnuffsemabout

skondo?

6.  Whatwouldyoufindin

dadinis?

69

Page 70: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Taskpresenta$on

70

Page 71: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Itemformats

•  “Noassessmenttechniquehasbeenrubbishedquitelikemulaplechoice,unlessitbegraphology”Wood,1991,p.32)

•  Mythsaboutmulaple-choiceitems–  Theyarebiasedagainstfemales–  Theyassessonlycandidates’abilitytospotorguess–  Theytestonlylower-orderskills

Page 72: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Diagnos$cques$onsinEnglish

Inapieceofpersuasivewriang,whichofthesewouldbethebestthesisstatement?

A.  ThetypicalTVshowhas9violentincidentsB.  ThereisalotofviolenceonTVC.  TheamountofviolenceonTVshouldbereducedD.  SomeprogramsaremoreviolentthanothersE.  ViolenceisincludedinprogramstoboostraangsF.  ViolenceonTVisinteresangG.  Idon’tliketheviolenceonTVH.  TheessayIamgoingtowriteisaboutviolenceonTV

Page 73: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Evidenceiden$fica$on

73

Page 74: Understanding Assessments: What they Mean and What they Do

Referentsinassessment

•  Norm-referenced–  agroupwhowereassessedpreviously

•  Cohort-referenced–  thegroupassessedatthesameame

•  Criterion-referenced–  explicitandpreciseperformancecriteria

•  Ipsaave–  definedonlywithinanindividual

•  Construct-referenced–  asharedconstructinacommunityofpracace

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Quality

“Maximscannotbeunderstood,salllessappliedbyanyonenotalreadypossessingagoodpracacalknowledgeoftheart.Theyderivetheirinterestfromourappreciaaonoftheartandcannotthemselveseitherreplaceorestablishthatappreciaaon”.(Polanyi,1958p.50).“Qualitydoesn’thavetobedefined.Youunderstanditwithoutdefiniaon.Qualityisadirectexperienceindependentofandpriortointellectualabstracaons”.(Pirsig,1991p.64).

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Evidenceaccumula$on

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Memoryonlandandunderwater

•  18(5f,13m)studentmembersofauniversitydivingclubweretestedontheirrecalloftwo-andthree-syllablewordsfromfour36-wordliststakenfromtheTorontoWordBankspokentothemtwice.

•  Studentslearned,andweretestedon,thewordswhileunderwater,andwhileontheshore,resulanginfourcondiaons:–  DD(learndry,recalldry)–  DW(learndry,recallwet)–  WD(learnwet,recalldry)–  WW(learnwet,recallwet)

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Memoryiscontext-dependent78

Recallenvironment

Dry Wet

Learningenvironment

Dry 13.5 8.6

Wet 8.4

GoddenandBaddeley(1975)

Nosignificantmaineffects;interacaoneffect:F=22.0;df=1,12;p=<0.001

11.4

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Alcoholandmemory

NumberofitemscorrectDay1 Day2

Day1:sober;day2:sober 17 17Day1:sober;day2:intoxicated 17 11Day1:intoxicated;day2:sober 18 13Day1:intoxicated;day2:intoxicated 16

•  32adults(aged22to43)askedtomemorizeamapanda19-itemsetofinstrucaonsforajourney

•  Halfdidsosoberandhalfatthelegallimitforintoxicaaon•  Thefollowingday,halfofthemweretestedsoberandhalfat

thelegallimitforintoxicaaon.

Lowe(1981)

16

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Discussionquesaon80

Discussio

n •  Howwillyoudecidehowmuchevidenceisneededtodecidewhetherastudenthasreachedlearnedsomething?

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Recording

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SylvieandBrunoconcluded(Carroll,1893)

“That’sanotherthingwe’velearnedfromyourNaaon,”saidMeinHerr,“map-making.Butwe’vecarrieditmuchfurtherthanyou.Whatdoyouconsiderthelargestmapthatwouldbereallyuseful?”“Aboutsixinchestothemile.”“Onlysixinches!”exclaimedMeinHerr.“Weverysoongottosixyardstothemile.Thenwetriedahundredyardstothemile.Andthencamethegrandestideaofall!Weactuallymadeamapofthecountry,onthescaleofamiletothemile!”“Haveyouuseditmuch?”Ienquired.“Ithasneverbeenspreadout,yet,”saidMeinHerr:“thefarmersobjected:theysaiditwouldcoverthewholecountry,andshutoutthesunlight!Sowenowusethecountryitself,asitsownmap,andIassureyouitdoesnearlyaswell.

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Whatisagrade?

“…aninadequatereportofaninaccuratejudgmentbyabiasedandvariablejudgeoftheextenttowhichastudenthasafainedanundefinedlevelofmasteryofanunknownproporaonofanindefinitematerial.”(Dressel,quotedinChickering,1983p.12)

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Repor$ng

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Effectsoffeedback

•  Kluger&DeNisi(1996)•  Reviewof3000researchreports•  Excludingthose:

–  withoutadequatecontrols–  withpoordesign–  withfewerthan10paracipants–  whereperformancewasnotmeasured–  withoutdetailsofeffectsizes

•  leh131reports,607effectsizes,involving12652individuals

•  Onaveragefeedbackdoesimproveperformance,but–  Effectsizesverydifferentindifferentstudies–  In38%(50outof131)ofstudies,effectsizeswerenegaave

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GeSngfeedbackrightishard

Responsetype Feedbackindicatesperformance…

exceedsgoal fallsshortofgoal

Changebehavior Exertlesseffort Increaseeffort

Changegoal Increaseaspira$on Reduceaspiraaon

Abandongoal Decidegoalistooeasy Decidegoalistoohard

Rejectfeedback Feedbackisignored Feedbackisignored

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Meaningsandconsequencesofschoolgrades

•  Tworaaonalesforgrading– Meanings

•  Assessmentasevidenaaryreasoning•  Assessmentoutcomesassupportsformakinginferences

–  (e.g.,aboutstudentachievement)

–  Consequences•  Assessmentoutcomesasrewardsandpunishments•  Assessmentscreateincenavesforstudentstodowhatwewantthemtodo

–  Thesetworaaonalesinteract,andconflict•  achievementgradesforcompleaonofhomework•  achievementgradesforeffort•  penalaesforlatesubmission•  zeroesformissingwork

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Dual-pathwaytheory(Boekaerts,2006)

•  Long-termlearninggoalsaretranslatedintoshort-termlearningintenaons

•  Dynamiccomparisonsoftaskandsituaaonaldemandswithpersonalresources,takingintoaccount:–  Currentpercepaonsofthetask–  Beliefsaboutthesubjectortask–  Beliefsabout“ability”andtheroleofeffortinthesubject–  Interestinthesubject(personalvs.situaaonal)–  Previousexperiencesonsimilartasks–  Costsandbenefits

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Andthenitcomesdownto…

•  Resulangacavaaonofenergyalongoneoftwopathways– Wellbeing–  Growth

•  Weneedassessmentsystemsthatpushourstudentstowardsafocusongrowth,ratherthanwellbeing

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Summary

•  Beforewecanassess,weneedclearmodelsofprogression

•  Validityisnotapropertyoftestsorassessments,butofinferences,whichareweakenedby–  constructunderrepresentaaon–  construct-irrelevantvariance

•  Reliabilityisakeyrequirementforvalidity•  Limitedtestreliabilityhasparacularlysevereconsequencesforchangesscoresanddiagnosis

•  Assessmentsareimportantforwhattheydoaswellaswhattheymean