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24 th Annual Insurance Issues Conference Monday, November 30, 2015 Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystified

Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

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Page 1: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

24th Annual Insurance Issues ConferenceMonday, November 30, 2015

Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTechdemystified

Page 2: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

1

Fundamentally, one side of the coin to the question: “do I build or do I buy?”, once the strategic decision has been made to…

Why undertake M&A?

Enter a new geographic market 1

Provide a new product and service 2Access a new distribution channel to reach customers 3

Equip operations with new tools 4

Capture new customers5

Page 3: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

2

Alternatively, it can be seen as defensive to …

Why undertake M&A?

Protect market position1Prevent challengers from offering products or services2

Restrict access to distribution channels to reach customers3

Avoid others from equipping their operations with tools4

Prevent others from capturing customers5

Page 4: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

3

Or, an opportunity for the deployment of capital …

Why undertake M&A?

To enhance investment returns1

To take advantage of arbitrage opportunities2To consolidate a market and create challengers to large incumbents3

Page 5: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

4

For every buyer, there is a seller…

What about divestitures?

Facing the reality of suboptimal performance or being “stuck in the mud”1

Managing (regulatory) capital2

Passing on the reins of ownership3Encumbered by regulation and compliance costs4

Needing to fund a new/growing venture5

Simply taking advantage of peak pricing6

Page 6: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

5

Divorce is good for business

Sell side share price performance post deal

•On sell side,announcement of a separation results in a share price decrease of c.3%

•1 year after separation however, these organisations have seen a c.12% increase in share price.

Sell Side

Separated organisation share price performance post deal

•The share price of the separated organisation tends to fall by c.2% immediately after IPO

•However, 1 year after separation the organization benefits from c.13% increase in share price.

Buy Side

Page 7: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

6

The Global Perspective

Sustained number of transactions in insurance

229

271254 251

313

211

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 YTD-Aug-15

Source: KPMG analysis

Page 8: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

7

Includes as targets:■ Underwriters

■ Brokers/MGAsBased on information extracted from KPMG’s Financial Services M&A Digest January 2013 to August 2015

The Canadian Perspective

Sustained number of transactions in insurance

12 12 13 1311 11

15 14

19

26

10

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

Q1-13 Q2-13 Q3-13 Q4-13 Q1-14 Q2-14 Q3-14 Q4-14 Q1-15 Q2-15 Q3-15

■ Insurance services: loss adjustors / claims management

■ Employee / HR benefit distributors and servicers

Page 9: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

8

Notable transactions

Desjardins Group acquires State Farm Canada

CPPIB acquires Wilton Re

AJ Gallagher acquires Noraxis

Manulife acquires Standard Life Canada

Lussier Insurance acquires Dale Parizeau Morris McKenzie

Sun Life acquires Ryan Labs

Intact Financial acquires Canadian Direct Insurance

Co-operators acquires Premier Group

PSP acquires AmWYNS Group

Sun Life acquires BentallKennedy

Wilton Re acquires Transamerica Life

Canada

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2

2014

2014

2014

2014 2015

2015

Page 10: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

9

Profile of buyer remains concentrated…

Underwriters:

■ Fairfax Holdings, mostly overseas

■ Intact Financial

Distributors:

■ Hub International

■ Arthur J. Gallagher

Private equity/Pension plan:

■ Canada Pension Plan Investment Board

■ PSP Investment Board

…but non-traditional buyer profiles are emerging

Based on information extracted from KPMG’s Financial Services M&A Digest January 2014 to August 2015

Private Equity/pension plan

5%

10%Service Provider37%

Underwriter

48%Distributor

Page 11: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

10

Underwriters:

■ 67% cross-border

■ Continued consolidation in Canada

– State Farm Canada

– Standard Life Canada

– Metro General Insurance

– Transamerica Life Canada

– Canadian Direct Insurance

Asset management:

■ Focus on the US

Profile of targets remains concentrated …

… heavily focused on distribution

Based on information extracted from KPMG’s Financial Services M&A Digest January 2014 to August 2015

Asset Management

4%

13%Service Provider

26%Underwriter

57%Distributor

Page 12: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

11

Matches made in heaven?

Profile of buyers Profile of targets

Distributor to distributor not necessarily the norm■ Underwriters beefing up distribution

■ Private equity/pension plan seizing opportunities in underwriting and distribution

■ Asset managers attractive to underwriters

■ Buyers and targets are mostly “traditional”

■ Transaction structures also remain “traditional” buy/sell

Asset Management

4%

13%Service Provider

26%Underwriter

57%Distributor

Private Equity/pension plan

5%

10%Service Provider37%

Underwriter

48%Distributor

Page 13: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

12

Significant transaction observations

Valuation remain solid

Sustainability of revenue

Predictability of cost base

Separation and integration

Tax matters

TAX

Page 14: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

13

Drivers and catalysts of Canadian M&A activity

…Yet, alliances and partnerships should not be discounted as future means of achieving the traditional goals of M&A

Succession planning01Investment capital to be deployed02Suboptimal market positioning and/or profitability03P&C demutualization rules04Wealth management 05

Page 15: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

14

What is a/the future of [Canadian] insurance?

Page 16: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

15

The current view

74%

26%

Lack internal core skillsto drive innovation

Page 17: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

16

Applying to the sector of…

What about “Insurance FinTech”?

Insurance Financial

Technology

…The fusion of …

Page 18: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

17

Capital raising in Global Insurance Fintech

130 336 214

685

2,406

23

38

53

71 73

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 YTD-Sept-15

Source: CBInsights

Page 19: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

18

Unicorns and Narwhals in Fintech

Unicorns and narwhals at Q2-15 – global

Source: Finovate

24 22

7 5 5

20

05

1015202530

Lending Payments Real estate Investing Insurance Other

Page 20: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

19

FinTech in the insurance world today

Disaggregation Connections

Source: World Economic Forum – The Future of Financial Services, June 2015

Disaggregateddistribution

Sharingeconomy

Self-drivingcars

Third partycapital

Smarter,cheapersensors

Wearables

Internet-of-Things

Standardplatforms

Page 21: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

20

Our recommendation

Responses

Build Procure Partner Sell to / through Acquire

Internal Partnerships External

Capability

Build innovation capabilities e.g.

Agile

Procurement

Accessing a broaderrange of external

partners/providers

Business Model

New products and business model

opportunities

FinTechcustomers

Selling to or throughFinTech companies

Venturing

Equity stakes in highgrowth businesses

and acquisitions

Governance

Page 22: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. KPMG CONFIDENTIAL.

21

The Final Word

Questions?

Page 23: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

Georges PigeonPartner, Deal [email protected]

Tim PrincePartner, Deal [email protected]

David DowniePartner, Corporate [email protected]

Page 24: Trends in insurance M&A - and FinTech demystifiedDivorce is good for business. Sell side share price performance post deal •On sell side, announcement of a ... The Global Perspective

© 2015 KPMG LLP, a Canadian limited liability partnership and a member firm of the KPMG network of independent member firms affiliated with KPMG International Cooperative (“KPMG International”), a Swiss entity. All rights reserved. 7868

The KPMG name, logo and “cutting through complexity” are registered trademarks or trademarks of KPMG International.