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Trend, opportunity, and challenge Aysha Mareta Karlina

Trend, opportunity, and challenge Aysha Mareta Karlina · Food industry facts (BPS, ... Office: JL RS Gedebage, No. 128, 40295, Ujung Berung, Indonesia Phone: +62 22 7801683 Email:

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Trend, opportunity, and challenge

Aysha Mareta Karlina

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35.377 km2

77% agriculture land

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35.377 km2

77% agriculture land

Climate:

Average temperature: 23.5°C

Average humidity: 74%

Precipitation: 184.7 mm3

Food industry facts (BPS, 2014)

Total no. of establishments: 1011

Local: 125

Foreign: 38

Gross added value: 1.3 billion euro

Main agriculture products:

Paddy, maize, cassava

Banana, mango, durian

Tomatoes, cabbage

Ginger

Tea, coconut, palm oil, sugar cane, rubber

23.7 M 23 M

20.6 M $1.4k/cap

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• GDP increment: 9.86%/yr

• Purchasing power increment: 4.33%/yr

46.7 M

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Wheat

Rice

Fish

Soybean

Poultry

6 2012 2050

Growth:

2.4 – 8%/year

14.6 L/cap/yr

3820 ton/yr

Expected to

double!

THA:

33L/cap/

yr

MY:

50.9L/cap/

yr

49

13

13

8

5

5

7

Milk products in Indonesia (%)

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Powdered milk,

non-infant formula

Sweetened

condensed milk

Liquid milk

Infant formula

Ice cream

Yoghurt

Others

Trending among young people:

Creative, trendy milk products,

more bold with flavors

such as strawberry, melon, watermelon,

cappucinno, matcha, flavored bubble milk tea.

Also cheese as snacks.

source: IFC, 201113 ‘Volume’ and ‘market share’ source: FFI, 2007

Company Location Products Volume (million

l/year) Market

share Frisian Flag

Indonesia West Java Liquid milk, sweetened condensed

milk (SCM), milk powder. 123 27.1

Indomilk West Java Liquid milk, SCM, ice cream 68 15.0 Nestle East Java Condensed milk, milk powder 162 35.8 Ultra Jaya West Java Liquid milk, SCM, milk powder 30 6.6

Sari Husada

(Danone) Central Java Liquid milk, yogurt, milk powder 12 2.7

Greenfields East Java Liquid milk Garuda Food West Java Liquid milk Cimory West Java Liquid milk, yogurt Diamond West Java Liquid milk, ice cream

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Cattle cow:

425.820

Dairy cow:

116.400

28.500

L/day

14.000

L/day

8.000

L/day

> 5.000

L/day

1.500

L/day

GKSI (Joint Milk Cooperative Indonesia): determining the production and the distribution of fresh milk

in Indonesia. Mediator between the small scale farmers with the government and the processing

industries.

Traditional grocery stores

Small convenience stores

Supermarket/hypermarkets

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Domestically, small-scale farming practice produced most of the milk; they have not met the nationally demanded quality and quantity. Thus, almost 75% of the milk demand at 2009 was fulfilled by import.

The challenges of domestic milk production is including the low productivity of cattle (1.4 L/cattle). Meanwhile, Dutch cows produce in average 7.3 L/cattle. (FAOstat)

Another challenge in increasing the domestic milk supply is the limited land availability in Java Island where most of the local fresh milk are produced. Abundant land is available outside Java, however the investors are not interested. This is possibly because the lack of infrastructure outside Java.

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NL ID

There is a huge gap between the demand and the supply of milk in Indonesia, thus a large quantity of milk is being imported on a regular basis.

The domestic milk production can only cover 20% of the national milk demand, 5% less than the previous year (GKSI, 2016).

In 2011 alone, 207.403 ton of milk is imported from New Zealand, Australia, USA, Phillipines, and the Netherlands (EU)18. The imported milk is in the form of skim milk powder, anhydrous milk fat, butter milk powder, dry whey, and butter18.

The volume market share of the exporter countries are: EU (32%), New Zealand (23%), USA (21%), others (24%)19.

This poses as an opportunity for the Dutch/European dairy companies to either join the other companies to import milk to Indonesia, or instead building a milk processing company while increasing the domestic milk production.

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•The main dairy products consumed in Indonesia are milk powder and sweetened condensed milk, and one of the reasons is the lack of cold chain. •Infrastructure quality in Indonesia compared to the neighboring countries (LaSalle, 2013):

•Seaport and airport is very important as Indonesia consists of more than 17000 islands. •The infrastructure for transportation between Java and other islands and the development of the roads such as highways in Sumatra and Sulawesi are continuously being built. •The main distributors are: Aidela Jaya Sejahtera, Kalimas Batu, Anugrerah Pharmindo, Astri Distribusindo, and Mega Medika19.

Country Road Railway Seaport Airport

Indonesia Bad Bad Fair Fair

Malaysia Good Good Good Good

Phillipines Fair Bad Bad Bad

Singapore Good Good Good Good

Thailand Good Good Good Good

Vietnam Fair Fair Bad Bad

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The government’s regulation plays a very significant role on the domestic milk supply.

For example, the number of dairy cows continuously dropped from 2011 to 2013 from 697.000 to 460.000 respectively. This caused the domestic milk production to drop from 0.98 MT to 0.78 MT.

The main cause was indicated to be the government ban to import beef cattle, which caused dairy cows to be slaughtered to meet the beef demand.

Regarding labelling of imported products:

Pre-listed as exporters by Indonesia’s ministry of agriculture

Import permit (SPI)

National agency of drugs and food control (BPOM RI) – can take up to 100 days to obtain

Halal labelling from Indonesian Council of Ulama (MUI)

Label in Bahasa Indonesia, easily understood

Nutrition label not mandatory

For milk imports: sanitary certificate from the ministry of agriculture, health certificate from BPOM, and halal certificate from MUI19.

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BUSEP regulation: there is a fixed ratio of milk import to the domestic milk bought by the milk processing companies. For every ton of imported milk used, 0.5 ton of domestic milk should also be used by the milk processing companies. However, this regulation was erased on 1998, which means that the Indonesian dairy supply is now in a free market system.

Import tariff regulation: for the import of processed milk products such as skim milk powder, anhydrous milk fat, butter milk, cheese and lactose, is taxed 5%.

Milk processing industry is included in one of the food industries which are eligible for income tax facilities in investment (Peraturan Presiden RI No. 62 Tahun 2008).

Regulations from the BPOM (Indonesia National Agency of Drug and Food Control), which regulates the food safety in Indonesia, including:

About food categorization: Keputusan Kepala Badan POM RI No. HK.00.05.23.3644 Tahun 2006

About the supervision of functional foods (including labelling): Peraturan Kepala Badan POM RI No. HK 00.05.52.0685 tahun 2005

About the ban of adding vitamin K to products: Peraturan Kepala Badan POM RI Nomor HK.00.06.1.0256 Tahun 2008

About the supervision of infant formula and milk for special medical purposes: Peraturan Kepala Badan POM RI No. HK.00.05.1.52.3930 Tahun 2009

About the categorization of infant formula and elderly formulas: Peraturan Kepala Badan POM RI No.HK.00.05.1.52.0085 Tahun 2010.

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GKSI (Joint Milk Cooperative Indonesia):Office: JL RS Gedebage, No. 128, 40295, Ujung Berung, Indonesia

Phone: +62 22 7801683

Email: [email protected]

Website: http://gksi-jawabarat.co.id/

GAPMMI Association of food and beverage manufacturers Indonesia (http://www.gapmmi.or.id/?pilih=hal&id=21)

ASRIM Association of soft drinks industry (http://asrim-indonesia.org/contact/)

APMB Association of baby food producers

BPOM National Agency for Food and Drug Control (http://www.pom.go.id/new/index.php/home/en)

Research centers:

LIPI (Indonesian institute of sciences) (http://lipi.go.id/kontak)

Universities: Bogor agricultural university, Gajah Mada University, Brawijaya University.

MUI The Indonesian Council of Ulama ([email protected]; +6221‐3841662) (http://mui.or.id/)

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The Indonesian Consumers Association

Phone: +62 21 798 1858/59

Ministry of Agriculture

Directorate General for Food Crops (+62 21 7806810)

The Ministry of Trade Indonesia

Email: [email protected]

Phone: +62 - 021 – 3858171

Dir. of import: diri‐[email protected] (+6221‐3858194)

Indonesia investment

Office: Vaandelstraat 42, Delft

Phone: +31 (0)6 27 05 85 32

Email: [email protected], [email protected]

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Huge opportunity for business due to increasing purchasing power and large number of consumer.

Milk products consumption is a trend, a lifestyle, and will continue to rapidly increase.

Market who are interested in new creative, tasty products and easy to follow trends.

Huge opportunity for milk export or investing in milk farms/production facility since there is large gap between national demand and local supply (mainly only in Java).

Also, with knowledge from the Netherlands, opportunity for knowledge transfer to increase milk production quantity and quality.

There are less regulations which limits import and international milk companies’ milk production—milk supply is now a free market system. Reduction of tax is also facilitated.

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1 "Agricultural Sector of Indonesia." Indonesia Investments, n.d. Web. 07 June 2016. http://www.indonesia-investments.com/culture/economy/general-economic-outline/agriculture/item378 2 "Corporate Private Sector Investment in Agriculture in Indonesia." Food and Agriculture Organization, n.d. Web. 7 June 2016. http://www.fao.org/fileadmin/templates/tci/pdf/CorporatePrivateSector/Indonesia_-_Private_Corporate_Sector_Investment_in_Agriculture__Final_Report.pdf 3 Dyck, John, Andrea Woolverton, and Fahwani Yuliati Rangkuti. "Indonesia’s Modern Food Retail Sector." USDA, n.d. Web. 7 June 2016. http://www.ers.usda.gov/media/821709/eib97_summary.pdf 4 "EIBN Sector Reports: Food & Beverage." EIBN, n.d. Web. 07 June 2016. 5 "Laporan Akhir Analisis Dinamika Konsumsi Pangan Masyarakat Indonesia." Kementerian Perdagangan Indonesia, n.d. Web. 7 June 2016. http://www.kemendag.go.id/files/pdf/2015/02/27/laporan-dinamika-pola-1425036045.pdf 6 Cahyaningsih, Ratna. "Analisis Pola Konsumsi Pangan Di Provinsi Jawa Barat." Institut Pertanian Bogor, n.d. Web. 7 June 2016. http://repository.ipb.ac.id/bitstream/handle/123456789/2705/A08rca.pdf;jsessionid=EB44095F79F6EFF803DE89E9650EF9C5?sequence=5 7 Badan Pusat Statistik Indonesia. https://www.bps.go.id/linkTableDinamis/view/id/1083 8 http://gksi-jawabarat.co.id/#section-10 10 http://cdn.aphca.org/dmdocuments/PRE_130601_Dairy%20Trends_Ahuja.pdf , data: 2013, accessed 08/06/2016 11 http://www.phnompenhpost.com/business/asean-6-countries-dairy-demand-high accessed 16/08/2016 12 https://www.adpi.org/tabid/74/mid/419/newsid419/2551/Dairy-Consumption-for-ASEAN-Member-States-Will-Double-by-2050/Default.aspx accessed 16/08/2016 13 https://www.adelaide.edu.au/global-food/documents/dairy-production/dairy-industry-west-java-aciar-2014.pdf accessed 16/08/2016 14 Farid, Miftah; Heny Sukesi, “Pengembangan susu segar dalam negeri untuk pemenuhan kebutuhan susu nasional”. 2011. 15 http://www.lrrd.org/lrrd27/7/daud27137.htm accessed 16/08/2016 16 http://cdn.dairyasia.org/dairyasia/dmdocuments/Dairy_Sector_Development_Indonesia.pdf accessed 16/08/2016 17 http://www.kemenperin.go.id/artikel/8890/Konsumsi-Susu-Masih-11,09-Liter-per-Kapita accessed 16/08/2016 18 http://peternakan.litbang.pertanian.go.id/fullteks/semnas/pro13-36.pdf?secure=1 accessed 16/08/2016 19 International Finance Coorporation, Dairy Industry Development in Indonesia. 2011.

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