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TRANSFORMING THE FRANCHISE: UNICREDIT APPROACH Alessandro Profumo - CEO. Goldman Sachs Financials Conference Montecarlo, June 10 th , 2004. FOCUS ON THE RETAIL DIVISION. Weight on 1Q04 Group revenues pre Corporate Centre and elisions. 41.2%. 30.7%. 11.5%. 16.6%. Retail division. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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TRANSFORMING THE FRANCHISE: UNICREDIT APPROACH
Alessandro Profumo - CEO
Goldman Sachs Financials ConferenceMontecarlo, June 10th, 2004
2
FOCUS ON THE RETAIL DIVISION
New Europe division
Private & AM division
Corporate division
Retail division
41.2% 30.7% 11.5% 16.6%
Weight on 1Q04 Group revenues pre Corporate Centre and elisions
(1) CR Carpi and Banca dell’Umbria(2) Delta due to other companies of the division and rounding
1Q04 data, Euro mln
UniCredit Banca
Customer Loans
36,167
Clarima 1,915
Total Division (2) 50,126
Customer Deposits
40,226
-
42,583
2,684
-
2,828
Branches
UniCredit Banca per la Casa 8,007
Other banks (1) 3,998
-
2,347
15
129
23,986
294
25,727
Employees
353
1,091
RETAIL DIVISION KEY HIGHLIGHTS
3
UCI RENEWED APPROACH TO THE RETAIL BUSINESS
Change of customer relations model
Enhance customer loyalty
Improve revenue quality
Change of network management model
Network differentiation in growth/strengthening areas
Test of new branches format/specialised branches (2H04)
Service model restructuring
4
AGENDA
Change of customer relations model
Change of network management model
First results of the new focus
5
A NEW BANKING ENVIRONMENT
Client’s satisfaction decline, due to recent bond defaults and rising awareness of transactional costs
Low client confidence reduces scope for repricing and requires investments to increase banks’ reputation
UniCredit answer:
Start-up of a deep customer care program
Improved revenue mix, less depending from up-front driven sales and more focused on recurring fees…
… and net interest income, thanks to an increased focus on volume growth in 3 key markets:
small business
consumer finance
household mortgages
6
START-UP OF A DEEP CUSTOMER CARE PROGRAM…
120,000 interviews in 2002 (90,000 UCB customers + 30,000 competitors’ customers) to assess the mood of customers and their behaviours
A synthetic measure of satisfaction has been built down to branch level: TRIM index
Monthly interviews (~250,000 on a yearly basis) in 2004 to track customer satisfaction trends down to branch level (approx. 100 per branch)
7
…AND IMPROVED REVENUE MIX, WITH LOWER WEIGHT OF UP-FRONT AND INCREASED IMPORTANCE OF RECURRING REVENUES
Avoidance of re-pricing actions in hi-elasticity demand areas
Commissions more recurring and less up-front (weight of up-front on total net commissions down from 36% in 2003 to a target of 30% in 2004)
Continuous and substantial growth of net interest income, with higher weight on total revenues
Deliberate choice of re-balancing sales (i.e. mutual funds from 21% to 33% of total sales) with positive impact also on bank’s profitability:
NPV of revenues from all asset management products(1) is by far higher than the NPV of the revenues resulting from the sales of structured bonds(1), with the exception of money market mutual funds
As an example, money market mutual funds(1) give a revenue NPV which is 12% lower vs. structured bonds(1), while bond funds(1) already guarantee a 40% higher return for the bank vs. structured bonds(1)(2)
(1) Simulation over 5 years horizon, including only 50% of management fees (the remainder is in Pioneer P&L)(2) Bancassurance is around 100% more profitable than structured bonds and equity mutual funds around 150%
8
SMALL BUSINESS MARKET: NEGLECTED AND PROFITABLE
WHY HOW
Big market
4,8 mln companies(1)
138 bn loans(2)
Profitable
High margins
59% current Cost Income (UCB)
100-125 bp provisioning (diversification)
Neglected by the banking system, squeezed between corporate and retail (asset gathering)
UCB 8% market share on SB vs. 10% branch share
250 Dedicated Small Business Centres / 2,000 Specialist Account Managers
Focus on Business Associations
Dedicated products by industrial sector
X-selling on asset gathering of SB owner (only 50% of SB owners currently have wealth management products with UCB)
Speed of credit response
Very advanced (BIS II) scoring system
Very advanced centralized risk monitoring system
(1) Source: Infocamere 2002 figures, companies with turnover lower than 2.5-3.5 mln Euro(2) Source: internal estimate on Bank of Italy data
9
CONSUMER FINANCE AND HOUSEHOLD MORTGAGE MARKETS: UNDERDEVELOPED, FAST GROWING AND ATTRACTIVE
CONSUMER FINANCE MARKET(1)
OUR OPPORTUNITY
Consumer lending volumes increasing at 15% in 2004 (after a 15.8% increase in 2003)
CLARIMA 150,000 cards of non UCB customers
outstanding (+5,500 a month) Significant opportunities arising from
partnerships 9 new shops to open in 2004 50 new agents in 2004
UNICREDIT BANCAUnder-penetrated customer base now being targeted
Only 2.5% of our mass market customers have a revolving card
Only 7% of our mass market customers have a personal loan
(1) Source: ASSOFIN
Italian market substantially underdeveloped (consumer lending at 3.2% of GDP vs. 6.7% avg. of Eurozone in 2003)
HOUSEHOLD MORTGAGE MARKET(2)
OUR OPPORTUNITY
Household mortgage volumes 03-07 CAGR 9.2% in 2004 (after a 98-03 CAGR of 19.4%(2)
UNICREDIT BANCA PER LA CASA A dedicated and integrated (production +
distribution) “mortgage centre” Significant competitive advantage
coming from the partnerships with real estate agents networks (Tecnocasa, FIAIP, etc.)
15 branches fully dedicated to mortgages
Distribution also through PFAs networksUNICREDIT BANCA
Distribution centre for the division Still under-penetrated customer base
(only 10% of private customers have a residential mortgage)
Italian market still underdeveloped (residential mortgages representing 14.8% of GDP vs. 32.5% avg. of Eurozone in 2003)
(2) Source: Bank of Italy data for historical data, UCI estimate for future growth
10
FURTHER GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES CAN ARISE ALSO FROM EXISTING CUSTOMERS, AS SUGGESTED BY KEY PRODUCTS PENETRATION, ESPECIALLY IN MASS MARKET
AFFLUENTMASS
MARKET
CURRENT ACCOUNT PACKAGE 45% 44%
RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGE 4% 11%
PERSONAL LOAN 2% 7%
BANCASSURANCE (Single premium) 21% 4%
CLARIMA CARD 2% 3%
STANDING ORDERS OF PAYMENT (Utility bills) 16% 8%
ASSET MANAGEMENT 51% 11%
SECURITIES IN CUSTODY 38% 6%
11
AGENDA
Change of customer relations model
Change of network management model
First results of the new focus
12
AFTER ITS CREATION UNICREDIT BANCA HAS STARTED A DETAILED X-RAY OF ITS 2,700 BRANCHES
(1) Excluding mini-branches(2) Excluding headquarter costs (personnel & SG&A)
Branches
High
Low
High
Low
Large
Small
GOP,% of tot
Branch Profitability
Micro-market potential
Branch Dimension
# of branches(% of total(1))
828
(38%)56%
444
(20%)18%
387
(18%)6%
High growth
Medium growth
MAIN TARGET:
SCOPE FOR SUBSTANTIAL GROWTH
SCOPE FOR STRENGTHENING
Cost Income(2)
49%
61%
73%
Large
Small
330
(15%)15%
317
(14%)5%
60%
69%
SCOPE FOR RESTRUCTURING
13
BRANCH NETWORK ORGANISATION REDESIGNED TO BETTER FIT WITH TARGETS ASSIGNED TO STRENGTHENING AND DEVELOPMENT REGIONS…
HEAD OF SALES
Lombardia Head
Lombardia Development (D) Head*
Lombardia Strengthening (S) Head*
DevelopersSmall
business centre
“D” branches
“S” branches
11 Regions
2004 MBO TARGETSRevenues
New Customers
Share of Wallet/X-selling
Customer Satisfaction/Retention
* 1 or 2 in each Region, depending on size of Region
High weight
Mid weight
EXAMPLE
14
… LEVERAGING ON A DEDICATED NETWORK OF DEVELOPERS TO EXPLOIT OPPORTUNITIES IN HIGH-POTENTIAL MICRO-MARKETS
Senior figures coordinating team efforts
Bank’s total employees substantially unchanged in FY 2004
62 specialists hired from outside
418 resources coming from internal transfers
480 developers introduced in 7 months starting from October 2003
High profile resources specifically devoted to increase the customer base in the so called “Golden customer” segments (Affluent and Small Business)
May 04Sept 03
670
190
Dec 03Mid
Feb 04
260
495
CREATION OF DEVELOPERS NETWORK
Initial focus on acquisition of Small Business customers
15
SERVICE MODEL AND GEOGRAPHICAL COVERAGE RESTRUCTURING PRESENT GOOD OPPORTUNITIES TO IMPROVE THE EFFICIENCY PROFILE OF THE DIVISION
MASS MARKET 79%
AFFLUENT 47%
SMALL BUSINESS 59%
EXAMPLE: SUB-SEGMENT CROSS SUBSIDIES IN UNICREDIT BANCA
70 branches already closed in 2003
NETWORK REORGANISATION
~100 further branches to be closed already identified, with a target of 50/60 closures in 2004 (6 already closed as at end of May)
~80 branches to be downsized already identified
~40 branches to be specialized already identified
~15 branches to be opened in 2004 (of which 2 already operating)
Cost income of the different segments
However, further cross subsidies between sub segments exist in each segment
16
AGENDA
Change of customer relations model
Change of network management model
First results of the new focus
17
DECREASE OF TOTAL COMMISSIONS COMPLETELY DUE TO LOWER UP-FRONT, WITH INCREASED WEIGHT OF RECURRING COMMISSIONS IN LINE WITH INTERNAL EXPECTATIONS…
352
4Q03
302
1Q04
338
3Q03
351
2Q03
347
1Q03
Up-front commissions
Recurring commissions
237
67%
223
74%
217
64%
214
61%
223
64%
33%26%
36%39%36%
NET COMMISSIONS
18
…POSITIVELY CONTRIBUTING TO CUSTOMER SATISFACTION IMPROVEMENTS IN PRIVATE AND SMALL BUSINESS SEGMENTS, CONSISTENTLY OUTPERFORMING COMPETITION
PRIVATE CUSTOMERS, TRIM INDEX
UNICREDIT BANCA AVG. TOP 9 COMPETITORS
Stability of front-end relationship with customers
Improved waiting time (shorter queues)
Improved advisory on investment services, with room for further improvement
SMALL BUSINESS, TRIM INDEX
2003 2004 ytd
4751
2003
4638
2003
4245
2003
44
37
UNICREDIT BANCA AVG. TOP 9 COMPETITORS
Dedicated service model
Improved advisory on lending products
Focus on quality of sales
TRI*M indexes calculated by NFO InfratestNote: customer satisfaction analyses at system level are commonly based on ~4,000 interviews (ABI, Eurisko etc.)
~42,000 interviews with UCB customers and ~4,500 interviews with competitors’ customers
~21,000 interviews with UCB customers and ~2,500 interviews with competitors’ customers
Mar 04 2004 ytd
Mar 04
19
+52%
5.8% yearly growth rate
GOOD ACCELERATION IN CUSTOMER ACQUISITION CAPABILITIES…
SMALL BUSINESS CUSTOMERS,MONTHLY ACQUISITION RATE
0.48%0.58%
0.88%
2003 1Q04 APR MAY04(1)
0.86%
1.40%
2003 1Q04
+63%
0.32%0.40%
0.56%
2003 1Q04
+40%
0.70%
TOTAL BANK DEVELOPMENT REGIONS STRENGTHENING REGIONS45% OF STOCK 55% OF STOCK
PILOT REGIONS: Lombardy, Lazio-Umbria-Sardegna, Tuscany-Marche, South
Excellent results driven by the enhanced focus of branch managers and the brand new network of developers
16.8% yearly growth rate
APR MAY04(1)
APR MAY04(1)
(1) Updated to May 15th
20
CONSUMER FINANCE
Continued strong performance in new cards issued by Clarima, with 28,000 revolving cards issued in May (for a total of 168,000 cards issued in 04 vs. 50,000 in FY03)
36 mln new loans issued in May through revolving cards (+16% vs. April) for a total of 120 mln ytd (vs. 95 mln in FY03)
Good increase also in the flow of new personal loans granted by Clarima (330 mln, vs. 690 mln in FY03)
Excellent increase in market share, from 16.8% in December to 17.0% in March
Confirmed good flows of residential mortgages, with ~800 mln in May, thanks to the positive performance of both UCB (~540 mln) and UBCasa (~260 mln)
Y/y comparison showing an excellent 28% increase (~3.4 bn ytd) Growth coming mainly from partnership channel, with 50% y/y increase Avg. amount of mortgage from 93,000 (2003 avg.) to 102,000 Euros (5M04
avg.), up 9.7%
RESIDENTIAL MORTGAGES
… INCREASED MARKET SHARES IN KEY BUSINESSES AND EXCELLENT GRANTING OF NEW LOANS IN MORTGAGE AND CONSUMER FINANCE
MUTUAL FUNDS Good increase in market share on stocks of mutual funds, from 13.39% in Dec03 to 13.49% in May04 (+10 bp)