29
Managed by UT-Battelle for the Department of Energy Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technology Presented to Symposium on Critical National Needs in New Technologies Board on Science, Technology, and Economic Policy The National Academies James B. Roberto Deputy for Science and Technology Oak Ridge National Laboratory Washington, D.C. April 24, 2008

Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    0

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technology

Presented toSymposium on Critical National Needs

in New Technologies

Board on Science, Technology,and Economic Policy

The National Academies

James B. RobertoDeputy for Science and Technology

Oak Ridge National Laboratory

Washington, D.C.April 24, 2008

Page 2: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

2 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Outline

• The energy challenge• Energy R&D at ORNL• Grand challenges in energy technology• Transformative research impacts

Page 3: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

3 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Energy is the defining challenge of our time

• The major driver for– Climate change– National security– Economic competitiveness– Quality of life

• Incremental changes to existing technologies cannot meet this challenge – Transformational advances

in energy technologiesare needed

3 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Global energy consumptionwill increase 50% by 2030

Page 4: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

4 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

World energy consumption is projected to increase 50% by 2030

Source: International Energy Outlook 2007, DOE/EIA-0484(2007), Energy Information Administration, May 2007

308.6 347.3 365.6 399.6 446.7 511.1 559.4 607 653.6 701.6

1985 1990 1995 2000 2004 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030

Qua

drill

ion

Btu

4 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Page 5: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

5 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

United StatesAustralia

IrelandUnited Kingdom

Russia(1992–2005)

MalaysiaChina

IndiaBrazil

Mexico

Greece

FranceJapan

South Korea

Thailand

Emissions and energy (1980–2005)

Today’s technology

New scienceand technology

Technologyimprovement

Courtesy of DOE Energy Information Administration

Page 6: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

6 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Fossil fuels provide most of the nation’s energyTotal U.S. energy consumption, 2006 ~100 quadsNonfossil sources ~15 quads

Source: Annual Energy Review 2006, Energy Information Administration

Quadrillion Btu

Solar, 0.07

Wind, 0.258

Geothermal,0.349

Hydroelectric,2.889

Biomass,3.227

Coal,23%

Nuclearelectric power, 8%

Natural gas,22%

Renewable energy, 7%

Crude oil, 40%

Page 7: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

7 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100

CO2

emiss

ions

(GtC

y-1)

5

10

15

20

25

30Actual emissions: CDIAC450ppm stabilisation650ppm stabilisationA1FI A1B A1T A2 B1 B2

Human activity is affecting global climate

Raupach et al., PNAS 104, 10288 (2007)

1990 1995 2000 2005 2010

6

7

8

9

10Actual emissions: CDIACActual emissions: EIA450ppm stabilisation650ppm stabilisationA1FI A1B A1T A2 B1 B2

CO2

emiss

ions

(GtC

y-1)

• Growth rate of atmospheric CO2 is increasing rapidly– 1990s: 1.3% per year – 2000–2006: 3.3% per year

• Three processes are contributing to this increase: – Growth in world economy– Increase in carbon intensity– Decline in efficiency

of CO2 sinks on landand in oceans

• Climate forcingis both strongerand soonerthan expected

Page 8: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

8 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Meeting the energy challenge: DOE perspective

Energy diversity Increase our energy optionsand reduce dependence on oil

Environmental impacts of energy

Improve environmental qualityby reducing greenhouse gasemissions and environmentalimpacts to land, water, and airfrom energy production and use

Energy infrastructure

Create a more flexible, morereliable, and higher capacityU.S. energy infrastructure

Energy productivityCost-effectively improvethe energy efficiencyof the U.S. economy

We need transformational discoveries and truly disruptive technologies

Page 9: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

9 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

• World’s most powerful complex for open scientific computing

• Nation’s largest concentrationof open source materials research

ORNL is DOE’s largest scienceand energy laboratoryORNL is DOE’s largest scienceand energy laboratory

• $1.1B budget• 4,200 employees• 3,900 research

guests annually• $350 million invested

in modernization

• Nation’s most diverse energy portfolio

• Bringing the $1.4B Spallation Neutron Source into operation

• Managing the billion-dollar U.S. ITER project

Page 10: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

10 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Addressing the energy challenges of today . . . and tomorrowFusion and fission Energy efficiencyBiofuels• Managing the

billion-dollarU.S. contributionto ITER

• Advanced nuclearfuel cycle R&D

• $135M centerfor cellulosic ethanol research

• DOE’s leading lab in transportation, industrial, and superconductor technologies

Page 11: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

11 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Grand challenges in energy technology

• Electrical energy storage• Carbon sequestration• Next-generation nuclear• High-efficiency, low-cost solar• High-efficiency, low-cost solid-state lighting• Cellulosic-based biofuels• Fuel cells• Materials for extreme conditions (enabling)• Hydrogen (long term)• Fusion (long term)• Energy efficiency

Page 12: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

12 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Meeting world energy needs will require efficient electrical energy storage

• Today’s electrical energy storage (EES) technologies fall far short of requirements for efficient use of electrical energy

• Revolutionary improvements are needed– To level the cyclic nature

of intermittent renewable sources– To progress from today’s hybrid

electric vehicles to plug-in hybridsor all-electric vehicles

– To enhance safety and reliability

• This will require transformational advances in materials,chemical processes, and batteryand capacitor technology

Page 13: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

13 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Anode Cathode

Electrolyte

GrapheneCu current collector Li+

Al currentcollectorSolvent

moleculeLiMO2 layer

structure

• Batteries are dynamic systems that changewith every charge/discharge cycle

• The apparently simple interface between electrode and electrolyteis in fact a complex set of phases that change with time

Chemical energy storage

• Store more energyper unit volume

• Tolerate thousandsof charge/discharge cycles

• Long lifetimes• Safety• Low cost• Need a factor of >3 in energy

density and 100 in recharge time

Page 14: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

14 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Negative electrode

Electrolyte/separator

Present-day electrochemicalcell structure

Positive electrode

Chemical energy storage:Novel designs and strategies

3-D battery: Self-assembled electrochemical cell structures containing

multifunctional componentsCourtesy of H. Feil, Philips Research Laboratories, Eindhoven

Page 15: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

15 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

ECs bridge between batteries and conventional capacitors

Adapted from M.S. Halpe and J.C. Ellenbogen, MITRE Nanosystems Group, 2006

Capacitive storage

• Store energy as charge,no chemical reactions,fast charge/discharge cycle,sub-second response time

• High power density,but need a factor of 100in energy density

• Advances will require:– Understanding of charge

storage mechanisms– Tailored multifunctional

materials– New electrolytes

Page 16: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

16 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Solar energy has extraordinary potentialSolar

1.2 x 105 TW at Earth surface>> 600 TW practical

Biomass5–7 TW grossAll cultivatable

land not used for food

Wind2–4 TW extractable

Hydroelectric4.6 TW gross

1.6 TW technically feasible0.9 TW economically feasible

0.6 TW installed capacity

Energy gap~ 14 TW by 2050~ 33 TW by 2100Courtesy of Nathan Lewis, Cal Tech

Tide/ocean currents2 TW gross

Geothermal12 TW gross over land

Small fraction recoverable

Page 17: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

17 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Cost $/m2 (module cost; double for balance of system)

$0.10/Wp $0.20/Wp $0.50/Wp

Effic

iency

%

20

40

60

80

100

100 200 300 400 500

$1.00/Wp

$3.50/Wp

Thermodynamic limit at 1 sun

Shockley-Queisser limit: single junction

Courtesy of Nathan Lewis, Cal Tech

Cost of solar electric power

I. Bulk SiII. Thin film,

dye-sensitized, organic

III. Next generation

Competitive electric power

0.40/Wp($0.02/kWh)

Competitive primary power

0.20/Wp($0.01/kWh)

(assuming no cost for storage)

Page 18: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

18 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Technology needs for solar energy

• Lower cost and higher efficiency

• Multi-junction, multiple exciton technologies

• Organic photovoltaics

• Artificial photosynthesis

• Catalysts for solar-powered fuel formation

18 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Page 19: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

19 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Solid state lighting

• Lighting consumes 22% of U.S. electrical energy (8% of total U.S. energy) and produces 7% of CO2

• Current technology is extremely inefficient:– Incandescent 5%– Fluorescent 20%

• Solid state lighting has potential efficiency of 50% and higher

• Technology needs:– Improved efficiency, lower cost– Improved approaches for white light– Synthesis of solid state lighting materials– Organic LEDs– Hybrid systems

Page 20: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

20 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Transforming the new biologyinto bioenergy

• Potential to replace 30% of U.S. transportation fuels without impacting food crops

• Technology advances in cellulosic-based biofuels are needed– Crops optimized for enzyme degradation– Enzymes that reduce thermochemical

pretreatments and improve efficiencyand thermal tolerance

– Consolidated bioprocessing technologies– Production of diverse biofuels

from diverse feedstocks– Overcoming plant cell

wall recalcitrance

Page 21: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

21 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Research to overcomebiomass recalcitrance

Biomass formationand modification

Biomass deconstruction and conversion

Optimized crops

Consolidatedprocesses

Improved enzymes and microbes

Page 22: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

22 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Current status Challenges

• Engineering investments have been a success

• Limits to performance are materials, which have not changed muchin 15 years

• Membranes– Operation in lower humidity, strength,

and durability– Higher ionic conductivity

• Cathodes – Materials with lower overpotential

and resistance to impurities– Low temperature operation needs

cheaper (non- Pt) materials– Tolerance to impurities:

CO, S, hydrocarbons• Reformers

– Need low temperature and inexpensive reformer catalysts

2 2 2

hpower.com

membrane conducts protons from anode to cathodeProtonExchangeMembrane (PEM)Membrane conducts protons from anode to

cathodeproton exchange membrane(PEM)

2 2 2

hpower.com

membrane conducts protons from anode to cathodeProtonExchangeMembrane (PEM)

2 2 2

hpower.com

membrane conducts protons from anode to cathodeProtonExchangeMembrane (PEM)

2 2 2

hpower.comProtonExchangeMembrane (PEM)Membrane conducts protons from anode to cathodeproton exchange membrane (PEM)

2H2 + O2 → 2H2O + electrical power + heat

Fuel cells

Page 23: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

23 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Hydrogen storageCurrent technology Target applications System requirements

• Tanks for gaseous or liquid H2 storage

• Progress demonstrated in solid state storage materials

• Transportation: On-board vehicle storage

• Non-transportation: applications for hydrogen production/delivery

• Compact, light-weight, affordable storage

• No current storage system or material meets all targets

Gravimetric Energy DensityMJ/kg system

Volu

met

ric E

nerg

y Den

sity

MJ / L

syst

em

0

10

20

30

0 10 20 30 40

Energy Density of Fuels

Proposed DOE goal

Gasoline

Liquid H2

Chemicalhydrides

Complexhydrides

Compressedgas H2

Page 24: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

24 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

http://www.sc.doe.gov/bes/hydrogen.pdf

Technology needsfor the hydrogen economy

• Enormous gap between present state-of-the-art and requirements for a competitivehydrogen economy– Production: 9M tons → 150M tons (vehicles)– Storage: 4.4 MJ/L (10K psi gas) → 9.72 MJ/L– Fuel cells: $3000/kW → $30/kW (gasoline engine)

• Significant R&D efforts are required– Simple improvements of today’s technologies

will not meet requirements– Technical barriers can be overcome

only with high-risk/high-payoff research– Fundamental challenge: New storage materials

(complex hydrides, nanoscale architectures)

Page 25: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

25 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Radiation-induced damage (displacements per atom)

Materials under extreme conditions are a limiting factor for many energy technologies

Courtesy S.J. Zinkle ,ORNL

VHTR

GFR

LFR

Fusion

LFR

MSR

SCWR

Current (Gen II) fission reactors

ITER fusion reactor

1200°C

1000°C

800°C

600°C

400°C

200°C

0°C0 50 100 150 200

Materials requirements for advanced nuclear energy systems

Page 26: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

26 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Materials under extreme conditions: We must do better• Improving materials performance

and reducing development times offer transformative opportunities

• Key research areas– Nanostructured

materials– Lightweight materials– High-temperature

applications– High-radiation environments

Advanced Materials & Processes (2006)

40 years to achievea 55°C improvementin upper operating temperature!

40 years to achievea 55°C improvementin upper operating temperature!

Page 27: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

27 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Energy efficiency savings have been essential to the stabilization of U.S. energy consumption

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

1850 1880 1910 1940 1970 1990 2002

Wood

HydroNuclear

Non-hydro Renewables

Qua

drill

ion

Btu

Natural Gas

Petroleum

Coal

140

160

180

Energy Efficiency Savings

Key research areas• Technology for zero energy

buildings• Combined cooling, heating,

and power• High-efficiency appliances• High-efficiency industrial

processes• Smart grid technologies• Low-emissions, high-

efficiency engine technologies

• Materials for transportation: lightweight, high temperature, power electronics

Page 28: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

28 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

Carbon sequestration Huge potential to expand the use of coal with acceptable CO2 releases

Electrical energy storage Enables electric vehicles and greater reliance on solarand wind power

Solar energy Huge potential when combined with electrical energy storage

Nuclear Huge potential with advanced fuel cyclesFusion Huge long-term potential

Biomass Potential carbon-neutral renewable resourcefor up to 30% of transportation fuels

Solid state lighting Reduce U.S. electrical energy consumption by up to 15%

Fuel cells Clean stationary and transportation powerHydrogen Clean fuel for transportation and fuel cellsMaterials Enabling for many energy technologiesEnergy efficiency Highest potential near-term energy “source”

Transformative research impacts

Page 29: Transformative Research Opportunities in Energy Technologysites.nationalacademies.org/cs/groups/pgasite/documents/... · 2020. 4. 14. · China India Brazil Mexico Greece France Japan

29 Managed by UT-Battellefor the Department of Energy

DOE’s “Basic Research Needs …” workshopsInformation resource for research and technology needs for energy-related applications

Basic Research Needs for a Secure Energy Future• Basic Research Needs for the Hydrogen Economy• Basic Research Needs for Solar Energy Utilization• Basic Research Needs for Superconductivity• Basic Research Needs for Solid State Lighting• Basic Research Needs for Advanced Nuclear Energy Systems• Basic Research Needs for the Clean and Efficient Combustion

of 21st Century Systems Transportation Fuels• Basic Research Needs for Geosciences: Facilitating 21st Century Energy Systems• Basic Research Needs for Electrical Energy Storage• Basic Research Needs for Catalysis for Energy Applications• Basic Research Needs for Materials under Extreme Environments

www.science.doe.gov/bes/reports/list.html