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    WRITING EDITING DESIGN

    www.eastmillstreet.com

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    John Fulmer

    WORK HISTORY

    East Mill Street Studio, Belcamp, MarylandFreelance writing, editing and design. Specializing in trade magazines, business writing and production-oriented graphic

    design with expertise in InDesign, Illustrator, Photoshop, FrameMaker and QuarkXPress. September 2005 to present.

    Mountain Home, Wellsboro, PennsylvaniaManaging editor for regional magazine. As freelance contract employee, managed freelance staff, planned editorial content,

    wrote everything from 5,000-word cover stories to 300-word blurbs, took photographs, and copyedited and laid out 48-page

    book with InDesign, Illustrator and Photoshop. March 2007 to April 2008.

    Electrical Contractor, Security + Life Safety Systems, Bethesda, MarylandEditor of trade magazines from July 2004 to September 2005. Supervised four-person staff, developed editorial calendar and

    writers budget, and gave 20-plus freelancers assignments and story direction. Contributing writer from February 2003 to July

    2004. Associate editor and Products editor from June 2002 to February 2003. Did layout with QuarkXPress and Photoshop.

    The News & Advance, Lynchburg, VirginiaNewspaper copy editor from January 2000 to August 2001. Edited copy and designed pages with Quark and Photoshop.

    The Sun Herald, Biloxi, MississippiEntertainment coordinator for daily newspaper from December 1997 to May 1999. General assignment reporter from March

    1988 to July 1989. Freelance writer from 1995 to 1997.

    University of Southern Mississippi, Hattiesburg, MississippiGraduate assistant and adjunct faculty member. Taught composition, technical writing, creative writing and literature. January

    1994 to October 1998.

    Georgetown ReviewEditor of nationally distributed literary magazine. Coordinated promotions, subscriptions and business operations, and did

    layout with PageMaker. August 1996 to December 1997.

    The Mississippi Press, Pascagoula, Mississippi

    General assignment reporter for daily newspaper. May 1987 to March 1988.

    EDUCATION

    University of Southern Mississippi, Hattiesburg, Mississippi

    Masters degree in English. Creative writing emphasis. Transatlantic Prize winner for ction.

    Loyola University, New Orleans, Louisiana

    Bachelor of Arts degree in Communications. English minor.

    1220 Independence Square

    Belcamp, Md. 21017

    410.272.2352/814.512.1482 cell

    814.975.1144 fax

    [email protected]

    CONTENTS

    ustainable buildingED (The Electrical Distributor)

    ortable generator reviewsonsumers Digest

    oodrow Wilson Bridge project proleectrical Contractor

    05 Construction Forecastectrical Contractor

    04 Prole of the Electrical Contractorectrical Contractor

    EED feature

    onstruction Expo

    onstruction FinancingUILDERnews

    rade show previewSI (Roofng, Siding & Insulation)

    nergy-efcient lightingED (The Electrical Distributor)

    SIS security conferencecurity + Life Safety Systems

    page 3

    page 4

    page 6

    page 9

    page 15

    page 25

    page 26

    page 28

    page 29

    page 30

    Bruce Fowle,FAIA,LEEDSENIORPRINCIPAL,FXFOWLE ARCHITECTS

    OnGreenEnriching theHumanExperience

    SPECIAL SHOW EDITION

    MAY 2007

    constructionmonthly.com

    7Smart StrategiestoCutCosts

    HowtoAvoid theLow BidTrap

    Howdo theyAffectYou?

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    Sustainable buildingalso known as

    green buildingis a constructionprocess that focuses on energy-

    efficient design, products, and

    applications. Integrated building systems,

    a frequently used term in sustainable

    building, typically describes HVAC, elec-

    trical, lighting, security, and other systems

    that work together to minimize energy use.

    For instance, a software-based lighting

    control system can automatically cut off

    fixtures when it senses they arent re-

    quired, or dim electrical light in individual

    rooms as sunlight levels rise.

    Of course, the major problem with

    sustainable building is that sophisticated

    lighting control systems arent cheap

    and contractors and designers have to

    convince owners theyll be blessed with

    long-term energy savings while being

    cursed with expensive initial product

    costs.

    Another issue is that as energy costs

    increase, so does the momentum for

    green buildingand there soon may be

    little choice but to go sustainable, es-

    pecially in public sector construction.This can be problematic, because while

    the average American consumer buying

    a household appliance is aware of the

    Environmental Protection Agencys Ener-

    gy Star rating system, contractors, dis-

    tributors, and manufacturers are some-

    what uniformed about the sustainable

    movement.

    Dick Schmid, vice president of mar-

    keting at Crescent Electric Supply in East

    Dubuque, Ill., said that while he wasnt

    fully versed on the topic of sustainable

    building, he was aware that contractors

    were talking about it.

    I do know they are being pushed from

    the architectural level on the plans and

    drawings and in the specifications,

    Schmid said. Distributors need to under-

    stand that to have an efficient and effec-

    tive supply chain we have to be on the

    same page.

    Many times the contractors seethings before we do, and weve just got

    to be prepared, he continued. Other-

    wise, were going to be in a reaction

    mode. Im concerned because I dont

    think were paying enough attention. For

    us to do our jobs with our channel part-

    nerson both sides, the manufacturers

    and the contractorswe have to be pro-

    active and, if noth-

    ing else, a liaison

    for the information.

    Sustainable

    initiatives

    California, a front-

    runner in environ-

    mental issues, re-

    cently revised its

    Title 24 energy codes (which went into

    effect Oct. 1). Title 24 is a comprehensive

    building code that includes provisions for

    energy-saving electrical products and

    applications. Title 24 dispels the notion

    that all high-efficiency electrical applica-

    tions need to be expensive, as the stan-dards allow a mix of low- and high-

    efficacy products to meet targets. (The

    standards can be downloaded from the

    California Energy Commissions Web site

    at www.energy.ca.gov/title24/index.html.)

    Other states have similar codes. On

    Sept. 22, the Massachusetts House of

    Representatives passed a bill that man-

    dates energy-efficiency standards on a

    wide array of electrical products. In ad-

    dition, the Energy Policy Act signed into

    law this year by Congress has numerous

    energy-efficiency provisions, and certifica-

    tion in the U.S. Green Building Councils

    (GBC) Leadership in Energy and Environ-

    mental Design (LEED) program is increas-

    ingly seen as an important resume builder

    for architects, engineers, and designers.

    LEED looks like the future

    of construction

    LEED sets guidelines for building perfor-mance and the construction partners

    ability to meet sustainability goals. The

    program promotes new methods for sus-

    tainable site development, water and

    material use, and energy efficiency.

    LEED offers project certification, profes-

    sional accreditation, training, and practi-

    cal resources. (Theres much more to

    LEED; learn more

    about it at www.

    usgbc.org.)

    LEED is a volun-

    tary federal pro-

    gram, but as indi-

    vidual states con-

    tinue to set energy

    codes, there will be

    an outcry for na-

    tional standards in energy-efficient de-

    sign and products. The National Elec-

    trical Manufacturers Association (NEMA)

    has already protested the Massachusetts

    legislation, calling it part of a patch-

    work quilt of state laws and saying

    its authors failed to include input frommanufacturers.

    The Massachusetts bill, as it now

    stands, would create barriers to interstate

    commerce and no doubt create conflict

    between Massachusetts standards and

    those of other states, not to mention fed-

    eral standards," said NEMA President

    Evan Gaddis in a press release.

    But Gary Flamm, lighting program lead

    for the California Energy Commission,

    Building a better future

    BY JOHN FULMER

    UPFRONT

    18 T H E E L E C T R I C A L D I S T R I B U T O R D E C E M B E R 2 0 0 5 w w w . t e d m a g . c o m

    Sustainable building is changing the future of business.

    Continued on page 20

    Buildings that meet the highest

    environmental standards are economical

    to run and do not compromise the

    health of the environment, the builders,

    or the buildings occupants.

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    CONTACT US:

    814.512.1482/814.975.1144 fax

    [email protected]

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    40 ELECTRICAL CONTRACTOR JAN.05 www.ecmag.com

    FOCUS

    By John Fulmer

    A group of these gurus assembled at the Reed Con-

    struction Datas North American Construction Forecast

    conference and the McGraw-Hill Outlook 2005 Executive

    Conference in Washington, D.C., last fall. At Reed, the

    consensus was the current economic downturn is tempo-

    rary, but the experts there were cautiously optimistic. They

    felt a recovery would begin this year and gain momentum

    through 2007 in the face of higher interest rates and slow

    job growth. Several industry sectors, such as industrial

    with 14 percent growth and public works with 2 percent,

    will have a good two-year run.

    With the Federal Reserve expected to raise the federal

    fund rates above 3 percent in the last half of 2005 and

    worries over oil and building-supply prices, the McGraw-

    Hill group thinks the economys expansion will idle downto 3.5 percent, down one-half percent from 2004. They

    also spotted some general trends: Moderate job growth will fuel demand for offices and

    multifamily housing, though residential building may scale

    back from 2004s record pace because of higher interest

    rates Looser lending standards will offset higher interest rates

    and free up construction funding An improved economy will ease the states fiscal woes

    and pump up the institutional building sector Bridge and highway construction will rise while electric

    utilities will decline 8 percent. In the latter area, a lossin plant construction will be partly balanced by transmis-

    sion-line work

    The big picture

    So how does this translate into cold, hard cash? Robert

    Murray, vice president of economic affairs at McGraw-Hill,

    said the contract value of total U.S. construction should

    reach $585.5 billion in 2005, a 2 percent jump over last

    years figure, but a rather disappointing number considering

    construction spending rose 9 percent between 2003 and

    2004. (See chart on page 41.)

    Murray noted this all hinges on single-family housing

    and said that sector should drop 3 percent in 2005 after

    achieving double-digit dollar growth the previous three

    years. McGraw-Hills estimate reflects construction starts

    and varies significantly from Reeds figure for 2005s es-

    timated U.S. total construction spending (or put-in-place

    construction), which tops the trillion mark, a 4 percent

    jump from 2004. But, again, the growth rate weakened

    when compared to 2004s estimated 7 percent increase.

    Reed also includes renovation construction, which isnt

    listed in McGraw-Hills estimate. Heres the breakdown

    from Reed: $384 billion in new residential spending; down 4 per-

    cent from 2004 $138 billion in residential improvements; up 7 per-

    cent $317 billion in nonresidential; a 13 percent hike $181 billion in nonbuilding a 7 percent jump

    In general, the economy may decelerate significantly

    in 2005 according to Merrill Lynch chief North Ameri-

    can economist David Rosenberg. He sees a growth rate

    of just 2.5 percent in the first quarter of next year. And

    according to Peter Morici, a University of Maryland busi-

    ness professor: Gross domestic product, the value of all goods and ser-

    vices produced, will grow at a 3.5 percent annual rate,

    down 3/10 to percent from 2004

    The economy will create 144,000 jobs per month andthe unemployment rate will fall only modestly Inflation, influenced by international commodity mar-

    kets, will register at 2.4 percent in 2005, down 1 percent

    from 2004.

    However, Morici projects the consumer price index will

    settle down as gas prices continue to fall.

    That pulls a lot of prices with it, he said.

    Single- and multifamily housing

    David Seiders, the National Association of Home Build-

    ers chief economist, also called housing volume a key to

    the economy and thinks, as Murray does, housing starts

    Last years ELECTRICAL CONTRACTORs Construction Forecast

    went halfway out on a limb to prognosticate that 2005

    may be a big year all around. Its easyand wiseto be

    tentative in predicting this years economy, and some in-

    dustry gurus have done just that, sticking with maybe.

    Construction

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    41 www.ecmag .com JAN.05 ELECTRICAL CONTRACTOR

    will recede. Still, single-family starts will

    remain positivethough unable to match

    the phenomenal growth of the past two

    yearsand multifamily will keep a steady

    pace. The national homeownership rate

    will continue to growalbeit more slowly

    than in the recent pastand will hit a re-

    markable 70 percent by the decades end,

    Seiders said.

    New and existing home prices, accord-

    ing McGraw-Hills Murray, should increase

    by 11 percent, and he envisions burgeoning

    specialty markets for single-family housing,

    including home theater, Internet alcoves

    and separate male/female offices. Reed

    forecasters expect mortgage rates to climb

    a bit from a 5.94 percent annual average

    in 2004 for 30-year fixed rates to 6.43 per-

    cent in 2005.

    In raw numbers, 1,425,000 new single-

    family starts are expected this year, accord-ing to McGraw-Hill, down from 1,530,000

    in 2004, which translates into a 7 percent

    loss. Multifamily will have 445,000 starts,

    a 2 percent gain from 2004s estimate of

    435,000. The contract value of single-

    family will drop to $267.6 billion, a 3

    percent loss from 2004s total of $276.6

    billion, while the 2005 multifamily num-

    ber is $48.8 billion, a 7 percent gain over

    2004s $45.4 billion figure. (See charts

    page 42.)

    McGraw-Hill expects the Midwest to beup 1 percent in single-family starts, the

    only region with an increase. The South At-

    lantic and West will be big losers at minus

    5 percent. The Northeast at minus 7 per-

    cent is the only region facing a decline in

    multifamily starts, while the Midwest and

    West should see double-digit expansion. In

    fact, western states can expect a whopping

    19 percent growth rate spurred by building

    in cities such as Las Vegas.

    The metro markets will be amazing,

    said Murray.

    2005Forecast

    0 50 100 150 200 250 300

    BILLIONS OF DOLLARS

    350 400 450 500 550 600

    2001 186.9 103.1 83.690.8

    8.1 24.1

    2002 214.2 94.0 87.990.0

    5.4 12.0

    2003 242.3 99.5 82.889.9

    6.5 8.9

    2004 276.6 110.0 85.991.2

    7.0 6.0

    2005 267.6 119.7 87.497.4

    8.0 5.5

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    42 ELECTRICAL CONTRACTOR JAN.05 www.ecmag.com

    Haughey wrote. In the leasing market, va-

    cancy rates for leased buildings, while still

    high, are declining. Overall rents are now

    stable or slightly rising. This increase in

    cash flow for building owners is prompting

    more construction.

    He outlined some other signs for nonresi-

    dential expansion: Hotels reacting to rising room and oc-

    cupancy rates Retailers adding space after a 7 percent

    annual-sales jump Office expansion due to higher employ-

    ment levels

    Retail, industrial and real estate

    At Reed, Glenn Mueller, Johns Hopkins

    University professor and Legg Mason Inc.

    real investment strategist, noted a physi-

    cal real estate cycle reflects supply and

    demand for space and drives occupancy

    and vacancy. That sets rents and stimu-

    lates construction. In the financial cycle,

    changes in real estate capital affect build-

    ings prices. In these cycles, sluggish expan-

    sion is followed by precipitous decline.

    We bottomed out in 1990, then peaked

    in 2000. But it only took three years to go

    back to the bottom. Well now start climb-

    ing back up. This is a typical cycle, he

    said.

    Rental growth, he said, is slow nearly

    everywhere except Southern California

    and Florida, but should start moving up by

    2006. Mueller believes the nations indus-

    trial sector will grow in 2005, and as thejob market improves, so will the multifamily

    and real estate. His colleague at the confer-

    ence, Edward J. Sullivan, the Portland Ce-

    ment Associations (PCA) chief economist,

    has even higher hopes. He sees industrial

    climbing strong and steady, reaching $35

    billion by 2008, up from 2004s level of

    just over $10 billion. Its a height industrial

    hasnt reached since 1998.

    Its optimistic, Sullivan said. But I

    dont know if many will agree with that.

    The chart on this page, Industrial Con-

    struction Outlook, shows this dramatic up-

    swing, with separate projections for spring

    and summer of 20032008. In an e-mail,

    Sullivan explained: I make three forecasts

    per year. The spring forecast refers to my

    projections made in the spring and the

    summer [forecast], my forecasts made in

    the summer. The intent was to show what,

    if any, changes I have made regarding my

    outlook for each of the sectors.

    Despite good vital signs, Mueller thinks

    hotel occupancy wont pass the 65 percent

    average until 2007. Retail is the stron-

    gest, most recession-proof market, and low

    interest rates and home refinancing have

    given consumers a lot of spending cash.

    The average retail occupancy86 per-

    centwill begin to grow in 2005.

    Warehouses and RFIDIn 2000, warehouse construction hit 304

    million feet but dropped to 184 million in

    2003, a stunning 40 percent loss. What

    happened? In the 1990s, a strong retail

    sector and Internet sellers looking for stor-

    age space boosted construction. But the

    fabled dot-com bust and lukewarm retail

    activity put speculative warehouse projects

    on hold indefinitely and slowed build-to-

    suit projects.

    But vacancy rates, which peaked at

    11.7 percent in third-quarter 2003 and fellto 11.2 percent a year later, are turning

    around. Successful retailers are planning

    distribution centers, and McGraw-Hill says

    this sector, after 5 percent growth in 2004

    (193 million square feet) will leap 14 per-

    cent in 2005 to 220 million.

    With warehouse construction, the Mc-

    Graw-Hill report noted the rapidly develop-

    ing use of radio frequency identification

    (RFID) tags in tracking inventory. As Thom-

    as E. Glavinich wrote in ELECTRICAL CONTRACTOR

    in April 2004: Wal-Mart is requiring itstop 100 suppliers to put RFID tags on their

    pallets and cases by Jan. 1, 2005. Simi-

    larly, the Department of Defense (DOD) is

    requiring suppliers to put RFID tags on its

    shipments by 2005.

    For electrical contractors, RFID technol-

    ogy could mean limited opportunity in Cat

    5 hard-wiring for stationary scanning sys-

    tems and unlimited opportunities in wire-

    less network installations. But the technol-

    ogy is evolving and its potential is as yet

    untapped.

    2004 2005

    Millions of starts

    2.0

    1.8

    1.6

    1.4

    1.21.0

    0.8

    0.6

    0.4

    0.2

    0.0

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    44 ELECTRICAL CONTRACTOR JAN.05 www.ecmag.com

    To what extent the use of RFIDs will af-

    fect warehouse demand is uncertain, the

    report stated, but at the least it will increase

    our need for new warehouse designs to be

    able to accommodate new technology.

    The institutional sector

    Normally a steady performer, institutional

    building has stumbled since 2002 and re-

    corded its third straight decline in 2004

    with minus 4 percent. McGraw-Hill blames

    state and local governments poor health

    and their taxing structure, which is, in turn,

    tied to the economy. The states fiscal for-

    tunes are irregular, but, in general, condi-

    tions are improving, the bad times having

    peaked. The report said: This should set

    the stage for an improved performance by

    institutional building in 2005, and the

    broader forces affecting the pattern of in-

    stitutional building are generally positive.

    These forces are the following:

    Rising student enrollments A growing elderly population

    The population shift to the Sunbelt A large number of bond issues passed

    recently The residential sectors strength in

    20012004 will introduce need for insti-

    tutional facilities

    In short, the report stated institutional

    will have a 3 percent gain to 518 million

    square feet with slight improvement in

    schools, healthcare facilities and trans-

    portation terminals. Public buildings, such

    as courthouses and churches, will suffer a

    decline.

    Building in education

    In response to escalating student enroll-

    ments and heavy state and local funding,

    education construction hit a peak with

    273 million square feet in 2001. But in

    two years, it slid 12 percent to 241 million

    square feet with the biggest losers being

    Midwestern and Northeastern states. Cali-

    fornia was the exception to the trend, rack-

    ing up an increase of 3.2 million square

    feet in 20012003.

    In 2004, the pattern continued. Uni-

    versity-related construction fell 19 percent,

    triggering an 11 percent drop in high school

    construction, a 13 percent decline in el-

    ementary schools and a 14 percent skid in

    junior high school construction. Community

    colleges had a slight increase, but museums,

    libraries and labs were down. At the time

    of the report, educational construction was

    a facing a possible 10 percent across-the-

    board drop to 217 million square feet, the

    skimpiest total since 1998s 203 million.

    McGraw-Hill predicts that though in re-

    treat, this sector will bounce back. Growing

    enrollments in 2005 will continue through

    2013. The bulk of this activity will happen

    in the West, with an 11 percent gain, and in

    the South, with a 5 percent increase.

    Healthcare and other institutional

    Healthcare construction in 2003 took a step

    backward, dropping 5 percent to 92 million

    square feet, according to the McGraw-Hill

    report, and dropped 1 percent in 2004 to

    91 million. Though this sector has seen de-

    clines recently, it has grown considerably

    in the past seven years. In 1997 through

    2003, new construction averaged 93 mil-

    lion square feet, up 28 percent from 1990

    1997s 73 million-square-feet average.

    Several factors will help this area grow an

    estimated 3 percent to finish 2005 with 94

    million square feet in new construction: Medicare reform and corresponding big-

    ger reimbursements

    Hospitals are investing in new technology

    and replacing older facilities in the face of

    competition from specialty outpatient clin-

    ics

    Bigger demand for healthcare exists as

    baby boomers grow older

    The fiscal woes of governments have

    squeezed financing of prisons, police sta-

    tions, courthouses, and post offices. Steady

    at 44 million square feet in 20002001,

    this building type took a cut to 35 million

    in 2003 but was expected to rebound 10

    The China, oil, green axisIF A THEME DEVELOPED at McGraw-

    Hill and Reed, it was a concern over

    fuel prices, Chinas emergence as

    an economic giant, and the impor-

    tance of green building, which

    was especially apparent by frequent

    mention of the Leadership in Energy

    and Environmental Design (LEED) ac-

    creditation. A voluntary, consensus-based national standard for develop-

    ing high-performance, sustainable

    buildings, LEED seemed to be on

    everyones mind. During a McGraw-

    Hill panel discussion with three of

    the countrys leading architects,

    Carl Roehling, president and CEO

    of SmithGroup, said many younger

    architects see a LEED accreditation

    as an essential resume-builder and

    half of our clients ask for a LEED

    building. (For more visit www.us-

    gbc.org/leed/leed_main.asp)

    At the time of the conferences,

    oil prices were hovering at $55 a

    barrel, yet Jim Haughey, in Reed

    Construction Forecast Monthly,

    said high energy prices, reduced

    consumer confidence and lower

    capital spending were mere bumps

    in the road to continued economic

    development. Job losses such asthose that occurred in previous oil

    crises should not be a factor, his

    report said.

    As oil price-shocks go, this one is

    minimal. Prices are higher but sup-

    plies are readily available without

    waiting or searching. Gasoline prices

    would have to rise more than 60

    centsto above $2.50 per U.S.

    gallonto match the impact on the

    economy of the 1991 oil shock. This

    is very unlikely to happen, Haughey

    reported.

    China and commodities

    Though Chinas commodity gobbling

    caused building-material shortages

    here, Haughey asaid Chinas oil

    thirst was slaking and an absence

    of lineups at the gas station would

    seem to indicate the price of oil is

    headed down soon.

    He supposed the price per bar-rel would drop $5 in the next few

    months, which proved to be pre-

    scient. On Dec. 10, 2004, the price

    of light, sweet crude for January

    delivery had fallen to $42.53.

    Also in late 2004, the oil markets

    continued volatilitythe tensions

    and troubles in Iraq, Russia and

    other production areashad Edward

    J. Sullivans Portland Cement Asso-

    ciation adjusting its 2004 gross do-

    mestic product projection, dropping

    it from 4.4 percent to 3.9 percent,

    and lowering 2005s GDP estimate

    from 3.8 percent to 3.4 percent.

    The downward adjustment to the

    current forecast primarily reflects

    significantly higher oil price as-

    sumptions, the PCA reported in a

    revised forecast. PCA fully incor-

    porates the likelihood of continued

    oil supply disruptions in the context

    of strong global demand conditions,

    resulting in a downward rigidity in

    current oil price levels. The higher

    oil price scenario will weaken over-

    all economic growth. With higher

    oil prices, consumer spending will

    be partially compromised, inflation

    will run stronger, job gains will be

    smaller, and sentiment in both the

    consumer and business areas will

    be more sedate. Combined, these

    factors lead to roughly a 50 basis

    point reduction in PCAs previous

    forecast for real GDP growth.

    FOCUS / CONSTRUCTION FORECAST 2005

    http://www.usgbc.org/leed/leed_main.asphttp://www.usgbc.org/leed/leed_main.asphttp://www.usgbc.org/leed/leed_main.asphttp://www.usgbc.org/leed/leed_main.asp
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    45 www.ecmag .com JAN.05 ELECTRICAL CONTRACTOR

    percent to 38 million square feet in 2004,

    before dipping to 36 million in 2005. Other

    points for these institutional areas: In 2002, religious building reached 52

    million square feet, a high not seen since

    the early 1960s. It dropped to 43 million

    in 2004 Amusement-related buildingconven-

    tion centers, sports arenas, theaterswas

    at 94 million square feet during 19952000

    but fell sharply in recent years, landing at

    65 million in 2003. Its expected to make a

    minor comeback to 73 million square feet

    in 2005.

    Manufacturing

    For several long years in the recent past,

    manufacturing was a wasteland, hitting the

    skids at 67 million square feet in 2002.

    There are reasons for the falla strong dol-

    lar in the late 1990s that made U.S. exports

    more expensive and manufacturers who

    moved production overseasbut whatever

    the case, this depressing decline has been a

    sore point for many electrical contractors.

    But remember the good old days? In

    1997, this sector was at 191 million square

    feet. A small part of that was regained in

    2003 with a hike to 71 million square feet,

    and 2004 saw another small increase to

    73 million, spurred in part by auto plant

    construction in Oklahoma, Texas and Mis-

    sissippi; the $600-million conversion of

    an Arizona Intel semiconductor plant; and

    a $300-million expansion to a California

    biotech manufacturer. These projects, and

    others like them, will help manufacturing

    reach 80 million square feet in 2005, a 10

    percent jump, according to McGraw-Hill.

    Public works, electric utilities

    Moribund government spending affected

    this sector, too, as public works money be-

    gan drying up in 2003 after several years

    of growth. But in 2004, prompted by the

    need for water and sewer works, these proj-

    ect types jumped 4 percent to reach $85.9

    billion.

    A 2004 bill by Congress set forth these

    spending levels: Highways up 4 percent (from 2003 lev-

    els) to $33.6 billion

    Mass transit increased 1 percent to $7.3

    billion

    Airport grants didnt budge, remaining

    at $3.4 billion

    Army Corps of Engineers construction

    funding cut 3 percent

    EPA water infrastructure grants raised

    3 percent

    The EPA Superfund account received an

    8 percent bump upward

    But in 2005, President Bush set a 0.5

    percent limit on discretionary funding and

    things look tight, except for the Transpor-

    tation Security Administrationhomeland

    security was exempt from the limitwhich

    received a 20 percent increase, including

    $250 million slated for airport upgrades.

    At the time of the report, 2005 levels were

    not set by Congress, but they look similar

    except for a 13 percent EPA cut and a 7

    percent raise for the Corps.

    Closing the books

    Sullivan, who delivered the U.S. construc-

    tion overview at Reed, noted many signs

    of a brighter economy. After a 20012003

    drought, investment spending has made a

    strong return and will no doubt help replen-

    ish funding for manufacturing construction

    and other sectors that have fallen on hard

    times. Job growth looks good. The fiscal cri-

    sis in most states, he said, is fading. Still,

    the signs portend only a modest recovery in

    most sectors and slight declines in some

    others. And oil prices are the most frighten-

    ing bugbear, the biggest wild card for many

    an economic pundit. Not a real boom year,

    yet certainly not a bust. Just a time to be

    cautiously optimistic. EC

    FULMER is editor of ELECTRICAL

    CONTRACTOR and SECURITY+LIFE SAFETY SYSTEMS.

    He can be reached at 301.215.4516

    [email protected].

    Still China was a focal point.

    Haughey said Chinas decision to

    cool down its blistering-hot economy

    caused cuts in worldwide orders in

    every sector.

    China accounted for more than 25

    percent of world economic growth in

    the last year, so the canceled orders

    had a significant impact immedi-

    ately, Haughey wrote.

    Because China had been hoardinginventory of many commodities, the

    countrys MayJuly (2004) orders

    were probably below their consump-

    tion and will have to rise later in the

    summer Haughey added.

    The Green Approach

    The oil price spike, Chinas grow-

    ing needs and green building are

    related. Limited supplies of fossil

    fuels and competition from nascent

    economic giants such as China for

    those supplies have forced U.S.

    builders into innovative design prac-

    tices. During a Reed industry panel

    discussionand throughout the

    conferenceit was common to hear

    talk such as this, which comes from

    the Greenway Group Inc., whose

    chairman, James P. Cramer, was the

    conference moderator:

    Green and sustainable design

    and development are shifting

    gears into increasingly high

    demand.

    Intelligent and integrated build-

    ings are becoming the norm.

    Some dont have a clue about

    [LEED] but its coming to this

    industry.

    In short, contractors will be forced

    into using new and unfamiliar

    design criteria if they wish to com-

    pete, especially for government

    contracts, a sector that will most

    certainly employ the most stringent

    green guidelines for sustainable

    buildings.

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

    Most Significant Design Trends Over Next 5 Years

    % of respondents

    Smart growth/livable communities

    Building security

    Increased use oftechnology in design

    Rehabilitation vs.new construction

    Integrated internationalbuilding code

    Other

    Green architecture

    Healthy buildings; mold

    SOU

    RCE:McGRAW-HILLCONSTRUCTION

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    CONTACT US:

    814.512.1482/814.975.1144 fax

    [email protected]

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    The 2004 Profile ofIn journalism,

    its conventional

    to tell readers the

    who, what, where,

    how and why of

    a story, and thats

    what weve done

    in interpreting the

    survey results

    from the 2004

    PROFILE OF THE

    ELECTRICAL

    CONTRACTOR.

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    23 www.ecmag .com JUL.04 ELECTRICAL CONTRACTOR

    By John Fulmer

    A COMPREHENSIVEPICTURE

    THE BIA NNUAL PRO FILE, a feature of

    this magazine for more than four decades,

    aims for a comprehensive picture of con-

    tracting from your perspective, providing an indi-

    cation of where your business fits into the overall

    industry, while giving us a guide to the news and

    information that is important to you.

    The survey garnered 865 respondents, an

    increase of 152 from the last survey in 2002. Itwas the first time we employed the Internet, and

    the majority of responses (505) came through

    that source. Is that a coincidence? Probably not.

    Our survey reveals most of you have discovered

    the business benefits of computers. Since 2002,

    a slightly higher percentage of respondents used

    computers for word processing, Internet access

    (including buying supplies online), accounting,

    e-mail and other basic office functions. However,

    technology as a construction tool has grown by

    leaps and bounds:

    Estimating-software use is up from 54 percent

    to 70 percent Job-cost control and analysis use grew by 20

    percent CAD use doubled from 20 to 40 percent.

    Why? Because construction softwares ability

    to streamline and consolidate project manage-

    mentfrom estimating to change orderscan

    give a competitive edge. And the construction-

    software industry has responded to contractors

    needs by improving existing programs, delvinginto new areas, and designing lite or graduated

    versions of their products to fit contractors of

    all sizes.

    And heres a programming note: Weve des-

    ignated small firms as those with up to nine

    employees; mid-size with 10 to 19; large

    with 20 to 99; and very large as those with

    100 or more. Sixty-two percent of responses

    came from small firms while 10 percent came

    from mid-size, 15 percent from large and 11

    percent from very large firms.

    theELECTRICAL

    ELECTRICAL CONTRACTOR has taken this mountain

    of data and explained:

    WHO YOU ARE(size and revenue of company,and its race and gender breakdown)

    WHAT YOU DO(project type)

    WHERE YOU DO IT(new construction, retrofitor maintenance)

    HOW YOU DO YOUR WORK (working with specs,material purchasing and computer use)

    WHY YOU CHOOSE THE WORK YOU DO

    CON

    TRAC

    TOR

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    2004 CONTRACTOR PROFILE

    WHO ARE YOU?

    SEVENTY-ONE PERCENT of firms

    interviewed took in annual revenues

    of $1 million or less and just 10 per-

    cent made $10 million or more (See Figure

    2). The majority of contractors have some

    college education (8 percent who responded

    had electrical engineering degrees) and their

    firms are diverse in race and gender, though

    in somewhat surprising ways. For instance,

    while 42 percent of firms polled employ

    women, they are woefully underrepresented

    in traditional job categories such as jour-

    neymen at 3 percent or apprentices at 4

    percent. As you might expect, women make

    up a sizable portion of clerical workers, but

    the executive category, which includes

    owners, has the next-highest percentage of

    women employed at 13 percent. Its doubt-

    ful all of them are owners and therefore

    probable many are hired into marketing,

    accounting and human resources.

    This is the first time our survey takes race

    and gender into account, so its hard to draw

    big-picture conclusions about the work force

    in those two areas, except that Caucasians

    at 87 percentand males dominate. We can,

    however, parse the data to find 37 percent of

    firms have minorities in management or field

    positions, and those with women (in execu-

    tive or field positions) or minorities are usually

    mid-size to very large contractors with $1 mil-

    lion plus annual revenue. Also, firms hiring

    minorities for management or field positions

    often hire females for nonclerical jobs, sug-

    gesting the firms are either more diverse or

    these employees may be minority females.

    Firms hiring minorities tend to be located

    in the West and South with Northeast firms

    lagging behind in minority personnel. Texas,

    with its large Hispanic population, charts as

    one the states with the most diverse electri-

    cal-contracting work force.

    An educated work force

    Its pretty safe to compare education data

    for 2004 with those from 2002; the fig-

    ures havent changed appreciably. Two

    years ago we reported 68 percent of survey

    respondents had some college, 18 percent

    had a BA degree and

    14 percent an AA

    degree. Our 2004

    survey shows: 60 percent of you

    have had some college 13 percent earned

    an AA degree 15 percent a BA

    degree.

    As noted earlier,

    8 percent of contrac-

    tors had an engineer-

    ing degree, a figure

    that doubled since

    2002 and which may point to a growing

    trend in integrating power distribution and

    low-voltage projects and the continued high

    popularity of design-build. (But more about

    that later, when we talk about what you do.)

    In general, firm size has little to do with

    higher education; the figures are more or

    less evenly distributed. The biggest gap is in

    BA degrees and occurs between very large

    firms where 24 percent of employees had a

    bachelor degree and small firms where 13

    percent of employees earned one.

    To get a more personal perspective, we

    asked about hobbies, also a first-time ques-

    tion. About half the respondents engaged in

    four or more of the leisure-time activities

    listed, and we found the highest percent-

    age, 59 percent of those surveyed, like to

    work around the house in their spare time.

    Yet another why, but one thats pretty

    easy to answer. Contractors work hard

    and feel a sense of accomplishment in

    what they do for a living, in building and

    improving things. So its no surprise that

    home improvement tops the list and that

    a contractors work ethic and pride in a job

    well done is put to good use on days off.

    Contractors love to travel (51 percent) and

    enjoy the great outdoors: 39 percent chose

    hunting and fishing as the third-favorite

    hobby. Watching sports came in fourth, musicand theater placed fifth and woodworking

    came in sixth, indicating there are some sofa

    spuds, culture vultures and closet carpenters

    in our ranks. The eternally frustrating game

    of golf notched in at seven, followed by clas-

    sic/antique cars, playing sports, cooking and

    wine, and last, a group listed auto racing as

    their favorite pastime. A diverse and interest-

    ing bunch, indeed.

    FIGURE 1. Firm Size: Number of Employees

    19

    62%

    1019

    10%2099

    15%

    100+

    11%

    FIGURE 2. Revenue Less than$250k44%

    $250k to$1 million

    27%$1 million

    to $2.5 million10%

    $2.5 millionto $10 million

    9%

    $10 millionto $25 million

    6%

    $25 million+4%

    FIGURE 3. Racial Composition of Firms

    Otherincluding Asian

    3%Black orAfrican-American

    4%

    Hispanic6%

    White orcaucasian

    87%

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    25 www.ecmag .com JUL.04 ELECTRICAL CONTRACTOR

    WHAT DO YOU DO?

    THESE DAYS, contractors are

    involved in more types of projects,

    especially with the growth of high-

    tech and security and life/safety systems.

    Our survey listed 17 project types and asked

    contractors which they performed in 2003

    (See Figure 6). On average, 50 percent of

    firms worked in eight of the 17 categories

    and very large, large and mid-size contrac-

    tors were more apt than small ones to work

    in multiple categories. In fact, 84 percent

    of very large firms worked in eight or more

    categories, compared with 40 percent of

    small contractors. In all, more than 90 per-

    cent of the firms surveyed worked in four or

    more of the categories.

    The old standbys

    While emergingand mergingtechnologies

    will be a huge part of the industrys future,

    contractors know power distribution and

    lighting, which we subdivided into controls,

    fixtures, ballasts and lamps, is todays bread

    and butter. These five traditional categories

    top their lists, and are performed by between

    81 and 90 percent of firms surveyed while

    25 www.ecmag .com JUL.04 ELECTRICAL CONTRACTOR

    Contractor age, employee diversity remain a problemThe average contractor age continues to be a cause for

    concern. For example, the 2004 survey shows:

    Most of you are middle-aged (48.6 years old on average)

    You have spent an average of 24.6 years in the industry,

    most of your working life

    Only 8 percent were 25 to 34 years old, almost exactly the

    number (7 percent) of respondents 65 and older

    These figures hew closely to those of the 2002 report, which

    also noted that contractors under 35 were notably absent.

    An inclusive work force

    Other factors may significantly affect the industry. The Aspen

    Institute, as reported in The New York Times, says enormous

    demographic changes are afoot for the next two decades.

    With declining birth rates, a leveling off of women entering the

    work force and baby-boomer retirements at hand, the Institute

    predicts: The labor force may grow as little as 16 percent

    The percentage of native-born workers ages 25 to 54 wont

    grow at all

    Workers with any college education might increase by only

    4 percent.

    Contractors already know how difficult it is to find educated and

    qualified workers, and these projected changes could have a big

    impact on the available labor pool and productivity. Atul Dighe, a

    futurist with Social Technologies LLC and recent NECA convention

    speaker, thinks inclusion, looking at everyone as a possible

    employee, is vital. Hispanic and Asian workers are quickly

    becoming a large and influential part of the labor poolold

    news to folks in California and the Southwest, but something

    novel in other parts of the countryand President Bushs newimmigration policies would allow 8 million undocumented

    immigrants to obtain renewable, three-year visas.

    In an e-mail, Dighe wrote that young people today are the most

    ethnically diverse in our history and if any industry wants to attract

    talent in the future, they will have to figure out how to make their

    industry reflective of this more diverse population mix.

    Todays youth, he wrote, will seek employment situations that

    have a diverse work force. Quite simply, todays youth will seek

    employment situations that have a diverse set of people in it.

    As your research indicates, many of the current contractors are

    entering their 50s and 60s and, unlike in the past when the nextgeneration was ready to take the baton of ownership/leadership,

    many contractors are finding that the next generation is not

    interested, Dighe added. Inclusivity here could mean thinking

    about passing the business on to someone outside of the family.

    Contractors need to think carefully about identifying whos next in

    the leadership pipeline and working with those people to develop

    their skills and abilities. Looking outside the family to longtime

    associates, key supervisors, and even in the current labor pool may

    be a potential solution.

    FIGURE A. Respondent Age

    50%45%

    40%

    35%

    30%

    25%

    20%

    15%

    10%

    5%

    0%

    Company SizeTotal 19 1019 2099 100+

    AGE

    1824

    2534

    3544

    4554

    5564

    65+

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    2004 CONTRACTOR PROFILE

    alternative-energy projects such as fuel cells

    at 3 percent and wind generation at 4 per-

    cent barely registered. We also discovered,

    regardless of company size, just about every-

    one worked in the four lighting categories.

    Rounding out the Top 10: datacomm systems at 62 percent backup power at 61 percent fire/life safety systems at 46 percent CCTV or access/motion security systems

    at 38 percent energy management/power quality at 34

    percent.

    Future workWe also wanted to know what type of work

    contractors expect to do, and which cat-

    egories they think will change in volume

    over the next few years, regardless of

    what they do now. In general, contractors

    expect to increase or stay the same across

    all categories. Few expect a decrease in

    any category.

    If a contractor doesnt work in a cer-

    tain category, we found theyre unlikely to

    express an opinion about a future there. So

    we focused first on firms participating in a

    given area, then looked at those who hadnt

    done that same type of work in 2003.

    Among those who worked in a particular

    category, large and very large firms usually

    predict increases in all categories, except

    ballast and lamps, where we find no dif-

    ferences by company size, and home auto-

    mation/theater/security, where small firms

    expect greater future volume compared tomid-size, large and very large firms.

    On average, small firms that dont work

    in backup power, datacomm and fiber optics

    pick those as growth areas more frequently

    compared to all others firms not working in

    these areas. In contrast, 16 percent of very

    large firms predicted growth in fuel cells and

    17 percent predicted an increase in wind gen-

    eration projects compared with all other firms.

    Overall, alternative-energy projects, including

    solar at 10 percent, wireless networks (11 per-

    cent), home automation/theater/security and

    energy management (both at 9 percent) were

    anticipated to be high-growth areas for firms yet

    to tap into those sectors.

    On the leading edge

    We also compiled a list of seven leading-

    edge projects ranging from configuring a

    CISCO router (7 percent of firms) to com-

    munications/data systems moves, adds andchanges at 34 percent, a type of work done

    frequently by contractors of all sizes; however,

    these percentages are even higher for large

    and very large firms. Overall, 51 percent said

    their firm performed this kind of work in 2003

    compared to 37 percent two years ago.

    FIGURE 4. Respondent Education

    Total

    19

    1019

    2099

    100+

    Attended HS HS Grad Apprentice, Trade, Vocational Attended College AA Degree BA Degree MA Degree +

    0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%

    FIGURE 5. Volume will increase among those working and not already working in category

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

    Power (60-HZ)

    Lighting Controls

    Lighting Fixtures

    Ballasts

    Lamps

    Backup Power

    Energy Management/Power Quality

    Biometrics (CII)

    Fire/Life Safety Systems (CII)

    Security Systems (CCTV/Access/Motion) (CII)

    Home Automation/Security/Theaters (Res)

    Communications/Data Systems

    Fiber Optics (Datacomm and Lighting)

    Wireless Networks

    Fuel Cells

    Solar/Photovoltaics

    Wind Generation

    Currently working in categoryCurrently not working in category

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    2004 CONTRACTOR PROFILE

    A simple formula for success: E=PC2

    As we said, 84 percent of very large firms worked in

    eight or more categories compared with 40 percent of

    small contractors. In all, more than 90 percent of the firms

    surveyed worked in four or more of the categories.

    This points to an ever-developing integration trend, one

    thats seen strong growth for the last decade and has affected

    commercial/industrial/institutional projects and single-family

    residential contractors alike. Dr. Tom Glavinich, a regular

    contributor to ELECTRICAL CONTRACTOR, has devised the formula

    E=PC2 to explain this simply. That translates into E for markets,

    P for traditional power projects, and C stands for control and

    communications work. The contractor that puts P and C together

    will have plenty of Gs. And that stands for greenbacks.

    The ability of a contractor to group traditional power

    installations with various combinations of security, lighting

    controls, fire alarm systems, automated building systems,

    datacomm and even biometrics is a powerful sales tool,

    providing a one-stop shop where an owner can get 120V

    power, Category 5 cabling, HVAC thats computer-controlled

    for optimum efficiency, an energy-saving lighting system that

    dims at peak sunlight and spotlights an after-hours intruder

    with the help of the integrated security system, and amenities

    such as state-of-the-art home theater and sophisticated

    sound systems.

    Figure B shows 95 percent of our respondents did some type

    of traditional power or lighting project and 65 percent did

    a power-quality project, which includes backup power and

    energy management. We also found some interesting figures

    on what we call core integration projects: almost two-thirds of our contractors did some type of

    automation/control systems project for commercial/industrial/

    institutional (CII) or residential markets 55 percent of respondents did a CII automation/controls

    system project almost one-third did a residential automation/security/

    theater project 66 percent did a communications low-voltage project

    and 10 percent of all contractors did a alternativeenergy project with 20 percent of very large firms involved in

    this sector.

    Home-theater work is an especially lucrative niche market, and

    many, if not most, new homes are being wired for more than

    120V power these days. Residential contractors who cant do

    more complex wiring tasks could be left in the dust.

    FIGURE B. Contractors work in many areas in addition to traditional power

    Total 19 employees 1019 employees 2099 employees 100+ employees

    Any Traditional Power/Lights

    Any Power Quality

    Any CII or Res Automation/Controls

    Any CII Automation/Controls Systems

    Residential: Home Automation/Security

    Any Communication/Low Voltage

    Any Alternative Energy

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

    Regardless of whether their firm per-

    formed this type of leading-edge work in

    2003, respondents were asked to predict

    their future volume in each area over the

    next few years. Almost all expect to stay

    the same, few predict a decrease, and

    firms not working in a given area usually

    didnt guess about a future there. However,

    we discovered mid-size and large firms are

    most likely to predict increases in all cat-

    egories. For those not yet performing work

    in these areas, 3 percent of very large firms

    predicted a rise in low-voltage systems-inte-

    grator work, and 10 percent predicted a rise

    in datacomm work for a CLEC.

    The whys for all of these predictions

    are hard to discern, but surely, some con-

    tractors for any number of reasonssecurity

    in whats known, how local markets shape

    up, etc.stick with their bread and butter

    and probably will say the same when we

    conduct our next survey. Were sure they

    do what they do well, have a good business

    reputation and a streamlined operation

    that keeps the contracts coming, and see

    no need to expand their business into more

    arcane or risky projects.

    Thats not to say fruitful opportunities dont

    exist for the more adventurous contractor or

    one whose market is rife with low-voltage or

    alternative-energy work. As our survey shows,

    those jobs and the number of contractors

    performing them may rise in the future.

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    2004 CONTRACTOR PROFILE

    WHERE YOU DOYOUR WORK

    OUR CONTRACTORS repor t

    they get 41 percent of revenue

    from new construction, 31 percent

    from modernization/retrofit and 28 percent

    from maintenance/service/repair. However,

    maintenance is a high-revenue generator

    for small firms, while the percentages for

    new construction rises as firms grow larger

    (See Figure 7). In what could be seen a

    disturbing trend, the portion of new con-

    struction has dipped 9 percent from our

    2000 survey when we proclaimed it was a

    good year to be an electrical contractor.

    Its still good. Many think voice/data/

    video will make a strong comeback and

    renovation will be the wave of the future.

    When baby boomers latch on to their

    parents inheritancea sum estimated

    in the low trillionssome experts think a

    good chunk of that will be spent on real

    estate, especially if empty nesters leave the

    suburbs for the cities to take advantage of

    FIGURE 7. Types of work by sector

    Total 19 employees 1019 employees 2099 employees 100+ employees

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0%

    New construction Modernization/retrofit Maintenance/Service/Repair

    FIGURE 8. Types of electrical projects by firm size

    Total 19 employees 1019 employees 2099 employees 100+ employees

    80%

    70%

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0%

    Electrical power/distribution Communications/data systems Security/Life Safety Systems Total building automation Sound and video

    FIGURE 6. Currently Work in Category

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

    Power (60-HZ)

    Lighting Controls

    Lighting Fixtures

    Ballasts

    Lamps

    Backup Power

    Energy Management/Power Quality

    Biometrics (CII)

    Fire/Life Safety Systems (CII)

    Security Systems (CCTV/Access/Motion) (CII)

    Home Automation/Security/Theaters (Res)

    Communications/Data Systems

    Fiber Optics (Datacomm and Lighting)

    Wireless Networks

    Fuel Cells

    Solar/Photovoltaics

    Wind Generation

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    2004 CONTRACTOR PROFILE

    their culture, nightlife and restaurants. If

    this prognostication proves true, renovation

    work should turn up aplenty.

    In general, our 2004 survey showed: regardless of company size, electri-

    cal/power distribution is by far the largest

    revenue source, accounting for an average

    of 69 percent of sales total building automation registered at 11

    percent and accounts for more revenue of

    mid-size firms than firms of any other size communications/data systems (low volt-

    age) at 10 percent, is less important to

    small firms similarly, security and life safety work, only

    6 percent of total sales, grows in importance

    as the company size grows; it accounts for 4

    percent of small-firm revenue and 9 percent

    of very large-firm sales sound and video accounts for 4 percent

    of revenue on average with no significant

    difference by company size.

    But there are no huge gaps anywhere;

    the biggest difference is only 9 percent in

    power distribution sales, with small firms

    at 71 percent and mid-size firms at 62

    percent (See Figure 8).

    Residential vs. commercial

    Across the total sample, contractors get 34

    percent of their work from single-family resi-

    dential, 8 percent from residential multifam-

    ily, and 52 percent for business from com-

    mercial, industrial, institutional and public

    places (CII). Airports, highways, power lines

    and other nonbuilding projects account for

    a mere 4 percent of the business.

    The biggest difference in work performed

    comes when comparing company size. Small

    firms report 46 percent of their work comes

    from single-family residential, while very

    large firms say its a miniscule 5 percent of

    their business. CII projects, however, account

    for 79 percent of the work for very large firms

    and 41 percent for small firms. Very large

    firms also do four times as much nonbuild-

    ing work as small firms. No big shock here.

    Big firms take on big nonbuilding projects

    and residential construction has always been

    a mainstay of small firms.

    HOW YOU DO YOURWORK

    C

    ONT RA CTO RS SAY 46 per-

    cent of their revenue comes from

    design/build, which allows con-

    tractors total or near-total control of their

    job. Its particularly important to small

    firms, which claim it makes up 53 per-

    cent of their work. (Mid-size, large and very

    large firms all claim its 35 percent.) We

    designated three more categories related to

    engineering and design: work in which the contractor made sub-

    stantive changes to specs and drawings work in which slight changes were

    made work in which someone elses specs and

    drawings were followed.

    Contractors said they made substantive

    changes in 13 percent of their jobs, and

    also made slight changes in 13 percent of

    their work, but in a hefty 28 percent of their

    work, they followed specs and drawings to

    the letter.

    An even closer look shows small firms

    FIGURE 9. Building categories

    Total 19 employees 1019 employees 2099 employees 100+ employees

    90%

    80%70%

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0%

    Residential (single family) Residential (multifamily) Commercial/industrial/institutional Non-building (e.g., airports/highways/power lines)

    FIGURE 10. Extent of contractors changes to specs and drawings

    Total 19 employees 1019 employees 2099 employees 100+ employees

    60%

    50%

    40%

    30%

    20%

    10%

    0%

    Design/build Made substantive changes Made slight changes Followed others specs and drawings

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    34 ELECTRICAL CONTRACTOR JUL.04 www.ecmag.com34 ELECTRICAL CONTRACTOR JUL.04 www.ecmag.com

    2004 CONTRACTOR PROFILE

    use design/build on 53 percent of their proj-

    ects; couple that percentage with the small

    firms propensity to do single-family resi-

    dential (remember, it took up 46 percent of

    their work) and its a good guess deign/build

    is being used in a lot of home construction.

    Small firms say they followed specifications

    faithfully only 23 percent of the time, a

    percentage thats at least 12 percent lower

    than that of the bigger firms.

    Also, mid-size, large and very large firms

    score much higher percentages than small

    firms when asked if they followed specs and

    drawings faithfully. Another why? An edu-

    cated guess is that public-sector projects,

    normally off-limits to design-build, are done

    less often by small firms.

    How contractors purchase

    Respondents were given four specifications

    options for installation and asked how their

    company had to fulfill obligations on the

    job. We found: a single brand is specified 21 percent

    of the time multiple brands are used at 28 percent or equal to products can be used at a

    37 percent rate performance-specified brands are

    required 15 percent of the time.Note that a single-brand specification is

    a requirement for small firms 25 percent

    of the time, a rate that falls incrementally

    as companies get larger, dropping to 13

    percent for very large firms.

    Its no revelation that distributors get the

    lions share74 percentof the market,

    with warehouse home centers lagging far

    behind at 14 percent. As companies get

    bigger, home centers play a smaller role:

    very large firms buy only 5 percent of their

    supplies from that source.

    Almost all contractors surveyed buy from

    multiple sources, the number of which

    climbs with firm size. For example, 11

    percent of small firms and 32 percent of

    very large firms buy from all four sources;

    however, a majority of small firms54 per-

    centsay they buy from just two sources,

    perhaps because larger companies are both

    located in more places and involved in more

    different types of work. Online purchasing

    is still a small factorjust 6 percent of

    all firms buy over the Internetbut very

    large firms do 9 percent of their purchasing

    online.

    Computer use

    Computer use is no longer the way it will be

    done; its the way it is done. Forty percent of

    large and 74 percent of very large firms use

    computers in eight ways or more compared

    to 15 percent of small firms and 10 percent

    of mid-size firms. This patternmore useby small than mid-sizesuggests a concen-

    tration of small firms that specialize and

    need the tools to compete in selected areas.

    The fact that almost all very large firms said

    they used computers for four or more tasks

    hints at the opposite, that they are involved

    in many different sectors.

    As noted earlier, Internet access/e-mail

    is used almost universallyin fact, all large

    and very large firms say they use it. Also: 97 percent of large and very large com-

    panies use computerized accounting a whopping 94 percent of very large

    firms use computers for estimating and

    job-cost analysis and 88 percent say they run AutoCAD.

    This part of the survey yields some puzzling

    and interesting data. There are some unex-

    pected results in computer-program use that

    on the surface dont seem to be cost-effective

    for small firms. For example, 34 percent of

    small firmsthats just one to nine employ-

    ees, remembersay they have computerized

    equipment and tool inventory, and 9 percent

    say they use computers for fleet management.

    Now that could be something as simple as a

    customized Excel spreadsheet or it could be

    specialized software. In any case, contractors

    have put their computers to good use.

    This data is probably skewed toward nor-

    mal office use of computers, but PDAs and

    laptops have been common tools in the field

    for some time. Reported use for field laptops

    is 42 percent and 33 percent for PDAs, andwe found 23 percent of firms order material

    with handheld devices. In the future, large

    and very large firms expect increased com-

    puter use from these already high levels.

    You as key specifier in supply procurement

    Our 2004 survey found con-

    tractors choose the brand

    72 percent of the time. Small

    firms choose more often (74

    percent) than very large firms

    at 65 percent. In the latter

    case, we hypothesize the

    projects may be far larger and

    more complex, and purchas-

    ing may be controlled by the

    general contractoror that

    small firms are involved more

    in single-family residential

    design-build and have more

    purchasing control.

    Guesswork aside, we think the

    electric contractors capacity

    to make product choices is

    terribly importantin terms

    of costs savings and getting

    the job done on time with a

    minimum of change orders.

    When it comes to purchasing

    electrical material and sup-

    plies, they know whats best.

    Unless there are overriding

    reasons, why should someone

    else choose for them?

    In his report to the Electri21

    Council, Procurement

    Chain Management in the

    Construction Industry, Perry

    Daneshgari, a consultant and

    contributor to this magazine,

    said general contractors con-

    tend it saves money, provides

    faster occupancy and wider

    product selection when they

    control procurement. Danesh-

    gari disagrees somewhat.

    While his study admits the

    general contractor procurement

    method (GCPM) adds value

    through bulk purchases and

    by cutting out the distributor

    or subcontractor (and their

    markup), and allows procure-

    ment earlier in the project, this

    method may cause lost time

    later in the job due to lack of

    expertise. Daneshgari says the

    specialty contractor procure-

    ment method (SCPM) provides

    the owner value through service

    and knowledge. These are some

    of his crucial points when it

    comes to SCPM vs. GCPM:

    A subcontractors product

    knowledge and installation

    skill is vital to most owners

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    35 www.ecmag .com JUL.04 ELECTRICAL CONTRACTOR 35 www.ecmag .com JUL.04 ELECTRICAL CONTRACTOR

    Tools and vehicle use

    Of course, almost every one of you owns a

    company vehicle and youd much rather buy

    one than lease, though the latter option is

    more prevalent as firms grow in size. The

    same goes for tools. Youd rather own than

    lease. We asked about the tools purchased

    most frequently in 2003 and found 90 per-

    cent of firms bought power tools followed by

    hand tools at 89 percent, multimeters at 79

    percent of firms and mobile phones/two-way

    radios at 57 percent. Lifts and scaffolding

    (23 percent) and digging and boring equip-

    ment (16 percent) were at the bottom. Its

    no shock that these two types of heavy,

    construction-site equipment were the most-

    leased tools in our survey, the only ones to

    have a lease rate higher than 10 percent.

    FIGURE 11. Specification options

    Total 19 employees 1019 employees 2099 employees 100+ employees

    50%

    45%

    40%

    35%

    30%

    25%

    20%

    15%10%

    5%

    0%

    Single brand Multiple brand Or equal to Performance specified

    in managing, validating and

    optimizing equipment speci-

    fied in the design; general

    contractors lack the electrical

    knowledge to pass on impor-

    tant new product information Distributors provide a

    valuable role for manufactur-

    ers; with no distributor, man-

    ufacturers need to increase

    customer sales and support

    roles thus adding cost; dis-

    tributors offer services that

    can dramatically reduce the

    specialty contractors labor

    cost

    Owner may experience

    project delays or additional

    cost from material delays or

    material handling; electrical

    contractors know importance

    of fast job-site delivery andavailable inventory

    GCPM assumes general

    contractors can bypass dis-

    tributors and contractors and

    buy manufacturer-direct; but

    many manufacturers require

    all customers to go through

    distribution, thus limiting

    product selection

    General contractors order

    material and have it shipped

    from the manufacturer to

    the job site where its stored

    until it is installed; in SCPM,

    distributors and specialty

    contractors schedule mate-

    rial flow to the job site. It isdelivered as needed and can

    be packaged according to the

    area where it will be installed

    We feel you should be the key

    specifier for electrical products

    and supplies. You know what

    works best in a given applica-

    tion, and you have developed

    relationships with distributors

    that ultimately work to the

    owners advantage. Job-site

    roles have become more

    flexible in the past decade,

    leading some general contrac-

    tors to believe they should

    make all purchasing decisions.

    But this same flexibility canallow you to take the reins

    of a project, especially if the

    traditional general contractor

    has become nothing more

    than a dealmaker who puts

    projects together on paper. This

    flexibility also relates to the

    ascendancy of design-build

    where, from the very beginning,

    you work with a team to map

    out design and procurement.

    METHODOLOGY/ABOUT THE SURVEY

    The survey was conducted by postal mail

    and via the Internet between April 8 and

    May 10, 2004, among a random sample of

    ELECTRICAL CONTRACTOR subscribers.

    During that period of time, a total of 865usable surveys were completed, 505 via

    the Internet and 360 via postal mail. There

    were no follow-up mailings. An incentive

    was offered for participation in the survey:

    For each completed survey,ELECTRICAL

    CONTRACTOR magazine would contribute $5

    to charity.

    The margin of error on the total sample of

    865 respondents is +/- 2.8 percent at the 90

    percent level of confidence.

    Tables and figures contained in this article

    come from the data generated by this

    years Electrical Contractor Survey, whichwas conducted by New York, N.Y-based

    Renaissance Research & Consulting Inc.

    an independent marketing research firm

    that specializes in construction. They can be

    reached at [email protected].

    CONCLUSION

    WHAT LIES AHEAD? Its a pretty good

    betin fact, bet the housecom-

    puter use, especially with sophisti-

    cated construction software, will grow. The

    rumored death of VDVto borrow from Mark

    Twainhas been greatly exaggerated. As we

    said, look for more contractors to integratelow-voltage with traditional power and light-

    ing. And we think three key areas will affect

    contractors in years to come: contractor age,

    procurement control and a possible decline

    in new construction. An infusion of minorities

    in the workplace could cure the stagnation

    in average contractor age, and were sure

    youll seize greater control in procurement

    and adapt to a possible retrofit/renovation

    upswing. All of these somewhat cloudy issues

    may have a bright, shiny copper lining. We

    say 2004and beyondwill be very good

    years to be an electrical contractor. EC

    FULMER, a Baltimore, Md.-based

    freelance writer, can be reached at

    [email protected].

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    0 CONSTRUCTION MONTHLY l new york 2007

    why not LEED?

    For a long time, most people believed greenor sustainable buildingwas the province of granola-gobblers who built homes ou t of recycledtires and equipped them with hideous-looking solar panels the size of

    garage doors. Perhaps they used hay bales for insulation. And they all

    lived in California.

    Then, environmentally conscious construction began to enter the

    mainstream, and some early adopters in the commercial sector went

    with the ow. The problem green-leaning contractors always had was

    convincing owners that higher initial construction costs would pay

    o in the long run with a buildings reduced energy consumption.

    The feel-goodfactor, prodding owners to a loftier level of ecological

    awareness, was an even harder sell, especially in a low-bid world.

    All that has changed in an incredibly short time. The U. S. Green Build-

    ing Councils Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design (LEED)

    designation, which got its start in the late 1990s, may be the biggest

    single development in this arena. As little as two years ago, mentioning

    LEED to contractors and vendors was often met by blank stares. Now

    LEED Professional Accreditation is seen as an important resume-builder

    for architects and designers and many forward-thinking contracting

    rms have accredited professionals (LEED AP) on sta, individuals

    who have passed an exam in one of three areas: new construction,

    commercial interiors and existing construction.

    More important, every contractor should be aware of the LEED rating

    system. While the USGBC is a nonprot, nongovernmental agency and

    achieving LEED statusthere are dierent levels and categoriesis

    strictly voluntary, many public-sector projects are beginning to require

    LEED-based guidelines.

    By John Fulmer

    LEED 101

    So what exactly is LEED? The USGBC (www.usgbc.org) describes itself as a community of more than 7,500 organi-

    zations from every sector of the building industry united by a common purpose to transform the building market-

    place to sustainability by rating construction practices. LEED divides construction into eight categories, such as

    residential, schools, and new commercial construction. If you wanted to try for LEED certication, rst register

    your projecttheres an online form on the Web siteand begin accumulating points in the six categories listed

    on the rating system documents, which are also available online.

    The categories for new commercial building are:

    sustainable site

    water eciency

    energy & atmosphere

    material & resources

    indoor environmental quality

    innovation & design process

    0 CONSTRUCTION MONTHLY l new york 2007 new york 2007 l CONSTRUCTION MONTHLY 3

    GETTING BROWNIE POINTS

    Each of these categories has a total number of availablepoints. For instance, its possible to score a high of

    17 points in Energy and atmosphereand a low of 5 pointsin Water eciency.There are subcategories that explainhow a builder/developer can amass points. Some criteriaare required, such as a fundamental commissioning of theenergy system. An advanced commissioning will award

    builders an extra point.

    The new commercial rating system has a total of 69 points,but a builder need not hit every target. The USGBC rates the

    performance, tallies up the points and awards the certica-tion in four levels:

    Platinum 52-69 points

    Gold 39-51 points Silver 33-38 points Certied 26-32 points

    SCORING POINTS

    Some of the ways points are awarded would seem obvious,such as energy-ecient lighting systems and buildingenvelopes with advanced insulation techniques. But LEEDis a comprehensive program that awards points in often

    arcane and oblique ways.

    For instance, in a commercial project, LEED gives pointsfor easy access to public transportation and installation

    of bike racks, with the idea that gasoline consumption isreduced. Builders would losepoints if they had equipmentand materials trucked in beyond a 500-mile radius becausethat increases diesel-fuel use. A quick look at a ratingsystem.maybe not that quick since the new-constructionPDF is 81 pages longwill outline requirements for carpet

    systems and adhesives use. It will prohibit developmentin proximity to wetlands and in ood plains. Fenestrationthat maximizes daylightingand cuts the electric bill willput you in LEEDs good graces. It blesses construction that

    implements recycled and regionally produced materialsand curses HVACR systems lled with refrigerants that cause

    ozone depletion.

    WHATS THE POINT?

    Whats does it matter if you get a gold or silver star on yournew building? Why go green at all? Well, how about tax

    breaks? The New York State Green Building Tax Credit for(GBTC) provides $25 million in income-tax credits over nineyears for several types of construction, including manycommercial classications, with a minimum building sizeof 20,000 square feet. GBTC criteria could even be consid-

    ered more stringent than the LEED system, but the two arevery similar. In fact, the USGBC was among the parties thatprovided input on the New York requirements.

    New York is one of dozens of U.S. cities that have LEED-based building requirements or incentives, and mostexperts agree that green-building momentum is unstop-pable. In various jurisdictions, LEED oers other benetssuch as grants, fast-track permitting and special loans. In

    some cases, building-permitting fees are slashed in half forLEED projects and zoning variances are allowed for higherdensity. Why? Because LEED seeks to improve interiorenvironments, and one of the intangible benets that green

    building proponents point to is that LEED-type buildings areconsidered more healthy. This may, in turn, cause insurancecompanies to drop mold-exclusion clauses and cut premi-ums, another example of the type of softbenets greenieslike to talk about.

    Youll have partners, among them the New York StateEnergy Research and Development Authority. NYSERDA canassist with computer modeling and charrette coordination,help you gain LEED certication, and guide you on Execu-

    tive Order 111, Gov. Patakis 2001 directive to state agenciesand authorities to become more aware of sustainable build-ing principles. NYSERDAs Web site highlights The Bank ofAmerica Building under construction in midtown Manhat-

    tan. The two million-square-foot oce building is the rsthigh-rise to go for a LEED Platinum rating.

    And a trend has emerged in which RFPs, owners andprojects all look for a rm with LEED APs. Yet this is a

    simplistic overview. LEED certications and requirementsare complex, and estimators need to gure in LEED admin-istrative costs. However, as energy prices skyrocket andresources are depleted, owners will beginhave alreadybegunto understand that long-term energy savings

    may outweigh savings on cheaper but less-energy-ecient construction.

    new york 2007 l CONSTRUCTION MONTHLY 3

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    w w w . t e d m a g . c o m J A N U A R Y 2 0 0 6 T H E E L E C T R I C A L D I S T R I B U T O R 55

    Ask those in the electrical industry

    about the retail market and theyll

    tell you its mostly about lighting.

    Ask what kind of lighting, andtheyll answer the energy-efficient kind

    which should be obvious, since energy

    costs are astronomical and lighting eats

    up a big chunk of a retailers utility bill.

    But there are nuances to retail lighting

    and a storeowners desire to cut energy

    costs. For instance, it cant be lousy light.

    Ideally, retailers want light with a high

    color rendering index (CRI), a one to 100

    value that indicates an artificial light

    sources ability to replicate natural light.

    They also want components to last and to

    be near zero maintenance. And, as if all

    of that werent enough, they want a part-nership between form and function: The

    lighting fixtures and design scheme must

    be attractive as they are essential in en-

    ticing customers into the store and luring

    them closer to the merchandise.

    Storeowners look at a lot of energy-

    efficient applications, but in retail, its

    about whats the best lighting application

    for the customer to display their prod-

    ucts, said Ken Hawley, vice president of

    sales at Venture Lighting.

    Property management

    Replacing cheaper, less energy-efficient

    fixtures, lamps, ballasts, and controls with

    more expensive but energy-squeezing

    retrofits is a big issue. Its often difficult for

    a distributor to upsell an end-user when

    the price of new-generation fluorescents

    and HIDs seems prohibitive. Sometimes

    the deck is stacked against a retailer who

    wants to be a good environmental stew-

    ard. As Mike Lancaster, sales develop-

    ment manager for retail and property

    management at GE Consumer & Indus-

    trial, explained, many mall stores have

    leases that require them to pay a prede-

    termined assessment or share of the

    malls total energy consumption based on

    their square footage.

    Lancaster has one customer with hun-

    dreds of stores across the country. In some

    stores the company uses an energy-

    efficient 50W lamp that allows it to reap the

    benefits of reduced energy savings. How-

    ever, in malls where stores arent individu-

    ally metered, the retailer continues to use

    older, less expensive but less efficient

    75W lamps. Theres no incentive to the

    store to reduce its individual energy con-

    sumption, said Lancaster. As a result,

    were seeing malls adding submetering

    equipment that allows better manage-

    ment of costs and more equitable billing

    of individual stores.

    Retail construction

    Retrofits are only part of the retail land-

    scape, and malls represent the declining

    side of new store construction. Enclosed

    malls are losing favor with consumers

    and being replaced by open-air lifestyle

    centers that aim for a smaller footprint

    MARKET FOCUS BY JOHN FULMER

    When it comes to retail, energy efficient is what theyre shopping for.

    MARKETS &TRENDS

    While retailers desire lighting that entices customers into stores and lures them closer tomerchandise, they are also beginning to appreciate the benefits of energy-efficient lighting.

    Know whats in store

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    56 T H E E L E C T R I C A L D I S T R I B U T O R J A N U A R Y 2 0 0 6 w w w . t e d m a g . c o m

    and a cozy, village-square approach, ac-

    cording to the McGraw-Hill Construction

    Outlook 2005.

    McGraw-Hill said retail turned the

    corner in 2003, with a 10% increase in

    construction, followed by a 4% increase

    in 2004. In 2005, the figure dropped to

    1%, but that still means 297 million

    square feet of new retail space was

    added. The report ties retail to new home

    starts, which McGraw-Hill expects to

    drop 5%, and projects new retail con-

    struction to also fall 5%, but that still

    translates into an additional 283 million

    square feet.

    Reed Construction Data backs up

    those growth figures and projected that

    $70.4 billion would be spent on retailconstruction put in place in 2005. Reed

    expects put-in-place growth to continue

    in 2006 with $72.9 billion spent and in

    2007 with $76.7 billion spent. Spending in

    this sector had been growing steadily

    until the post-9/11 downturn, when it

    slumped to $63.2 billion in 2002 and

    $62.1 billion in 2003, after hitting $67.9

    billion in 2001. In 2004, retail construction

    put in place began moving upward

    again, ending with $66.6 billion spent.

    If you look at market segments, retail

    spaces are the largest in terms of square

    footage, and lighting can represent more

    than 50% to 60% of the electric load in the

    facility on average, said Nick Bleeker,manager of business de-

    velopment for Day-Brite/

    Capri/Omega. With those

    statistics, retailers need to

    know how important light-

    ing can be to address

    their particular needs.

    Design and

    implementation

    Bleeker said his lighting

    companies use a tailored

    approach to customers

    needs, taking into con-

    sideration the stor