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Trade Payments Analysis September Quarter 2011 Dun & Bradstreet (New Zealand) Pty Ltd November 2011

Trade Payments Analysis

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Page 1: Trade Payments Analysis

Trade Payments Analysis – September Quarter 2011 Dun & Bradstreet | dnb.co.nz | September 2011 | 1

Trade Payments Analysis

September Quarter 2011

Dun & Bradstreet (New Zealand) Pty Ltd November 2011

Page 2: Trade Payments Analysis

Trade Payments Analysis – September Quarter 2011 Dun & Bradstreet | dnb.co.nz | September 2011 | 2

Kiwi businesses took on average 44 days to pay their bills during the September quarter of 2011.

This was an improvement of more than four days since the onset of the Global Financial Crisis.

Payment terms have improved by nearly two days since the start of 2011, indicating a steady recovery in the post-crisis period.

Kiwi firms outperformed Australian firms, with the number of firms paying bills more than 90 days overdue dropping 24 percent in the past 12 months.

This was in comparison to the Australian figure which increased by 15 percent over the same period of time.

The number of payments more than 90 days overdue also fell by 32 percent since the June quarter 2011 and the number of payments 61-90 days overdue dropped by five percent in the past 12 months.

Key findings

Page 3: Trade Payments Analysis

Trade Payments Analysis – September Quarter 2011 Dun & Bradstreet | dnb.co.nz | September 2011 | 3

Key findings

Industry

The slowest paying industries were the Communications and Electric, Gas & Sanitary Services with average payment terms of 50 days each.

The fastest paying industries were Forestry and Mining at 39 days each.

The most significant deteriorations occurred in the Communications (4 days) and the Finance, Insurance & Real Estate sectors (2 days).

Of the firms that were 60+ days late with payments: 24 percent of them were in the Services sector, 19 percent were in Retail and 15 percent were in the Manufacturing sector.

Business Size

Large corporations experienced the worst deterioration in the September quarter

Firms with 50 – 500 staff took 44 days to pay their bills, down from 47 days in the June quarter 2011.

Firms with more than 500 employees averaged a payment time of 47 days, up from 46 days a year ago

Smaller firms (6 - 50 employees) were the fastest payers at 42 days, on par with payment terms a year ago

Firms with one to five employees improved their payment time by three days since the previous quarter.

Page 4: Trade Payments Analysis

Trade Payments Analysis – September Quarter 2011 Dun & Bradstreet | dnb.co.nz | September 2011 | 4

Key findings

Public | Private

Public companies took 49 days on average to pay their bills, up four days in the past year

Private companies took 44 days on average to pay their bills, up one day in the past year.

Location

South Island firms were faster payers at 43 days, as compared to North Island firms at 45 days.

All three major cities experienced an improvement in payment terms since the June quarter but all experienced a slight deterioration since the Q3 2010.

Christchurch businesses were the worst performers with average payment terms of 46 days, down one day since Q1 2011 (Canterbury earthquakes)

However, payment terms for Christchurch firms were up 3.2 days in the past 12 months.

Auckland businesses took 46 days to pay their bills while Wellington businesses were the best payers at 45 days.

Page 5: Trade Payments Analysis

Trade Payments Analysis – September Quarter 2011 Dun & Bradstreet | dnb.co.nz | September 2011 | 5

Businesses are taking four days less to pay their bills since the start of the GFC in 2008

Average Quarterly Payment Terms

43.1

48.2

45.4

46.2

50.8

48.4

45.7

44.3 44.6

46.6

44.143.5

44.1

46 45.8

44.2

40

42

44

46

48

50

52

2007 Q4

2008 Q1

2008 Q2

2008 Q3

2008 Q4

2009 Q1

2009 Q2

2009 Q3

2009 Q4

2010 Q1

2010 Q2

2010 Q3

2010 Q4

2011 Q1

2011 Q2

2011 Q3

No.

of d

ays

Page 6: Trade Payments Analysis

Trade Payments Analysis – September Quarter 2011 Dun & Bradstreet | dnb.co.nz | September 2011 | 6

Kiwi businesses took nine days less to pay their bills than their Australian counterparts

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

2010 Q3 2010 Q4 2011 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3

No.

of d

ays

Payment terms for Australian and NZ firms, 2010 Q3 - 2011 Q3

Australia New Zealand

Average Payment Term: 30 days

Page 7: Trade Payments Analysis

Trade Payments Analysis – September Quarter 2011 Dun & Bradstreet | dnb.co.nz | September 2011 | 7

55 percent of New Zealand firms took longer than 30 days to pay their bills

Average Payment Term: 30 days

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

Prompt 1‐30 days late 30‐60 days late 60‐90 days late 90+ days late

% of e

ntities

Payments made in September quarter 2011

2010 Q3 2011 Q2 2011 Q3

Page 8: Trade Payments Analysis

Trade Payments Analysis – September Quarter 2011 Dun & Bradstreet | dnb.co.nz | September 2011 | 8

Businesses took a day longer to pay their bills than 12 months ago

Average Payment Term: 30 days

40

41

42

43

44

45

2010 Q3 2011 Q3

No.

of d

ays

Payment terms, 2010 Q3 and 2011 Q3

Page 9: Trade Payments Analysis

Trade Payments Analysis – September Quarter 2011 Dun & Bradstreet | dnb.co.nz | September 2011 | 9

A number of industries took longer than the national average payment term of 44 days

35

40

45

50

55

Agr

icul

ture

Fore

stry

Fish

ing

Min

ing

Con

stru

ctio

n

Man

ufac

turin

g

Tran

spor

tatio

n

Com

mun

icat

ions

Ele

ctric

, Gas

, And

S

anita

ry S

ervi

ces

Who

lesa

le T

rade

Ret

ail T

rade

Fina

nce,

Insu

ranc

e, A

nd

Rea

l Est

ate Ser

vice

s

Pub

lic A

dmin

istra

tion

No

. of d

ays

Average payment terms by industry, 2010 Q3 – 2011 Q3

2010 Q3 2011 Q2 2011 Q3

National Average: 44 days

Page 10: Trade Payments Analysis

Trade Payments Analysis – September Quarter 2011 Dun & Bradstreet | dnb.co.nz | September 2011 | 10

Of the firms 60+ days late with payments, 24 percent were in the services sector

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

% o

f ent

ities

Firms paying 60+ days late by industry

2010 Q3 2011 Q3

Page 11: Trade Payments Analysis

Trade Payments Analysis – September Quarter 2011 Dun & Bradstreet | dnb.co.nz | September 2011 | 11

Private firms were faster payers than publicly-listed firms

40

41

42

43

44

45

46

47

48

49

50

2010 Q3 2011 Q3

No.

of d

ays

Payment terms for public and private firms

Private Public

Page 12: Trade Payments Analysis

Trade Payments Analysis – September Quarter 2011 Dun & Bradstreet | dnb.co.nz | September 2011 | 12

Larger firms were worse payers than smaller firms and recorded payment terms of 47 days

39

40

41

42

43

44

45

46

47

48

1 to 5 6 to 19 20 to 49 50 to 199 200 to 499 500 and over New Zealand

No.

of d

ays

Payment terms by employee size

2010 Q3 2011 Q3

Page 13: Trade Payments Analysis

Trade Payments Analysis – September Quarter 2011 Dun & Bradstreet | dnb.co.nz | September 2011 | 13

Christchurch firms took the longest to pay at 46 days

41

42

43

44

45

46

47

Auckland Wellington Christchurch New Zealand

No.

of d

ays

Payment terms by location

2010 Q3 2011 Q3

Page 14: Trade Payments Analysis

Trade Payments Analysis – September Quarter 2011 Dun & Bradstreet | dnb.co.nz | September 2011 | 14

The predictive power of trade data

Business-to-business payment information is a highly predictive data set and a critical element in credit risk scores and business failures forecasting.

The distinct advantage of trade information over other forms of company data is its ability to provide insight into current performance. Company financials, which are considered to be critical to effective decision making, are reported relatively infrequently and as a consequence, organisations may be required to make decisions using data that is up to 12 months old. Conversely, because trade information is reported monthly, it reveals how an organisation is paying its existing obligation.

Trade data is also effective across all business sizes, being the most predictive element in SME scores and the second most predictive (behind financials) in other credit scores.

The predictive nature of trade data combined with its timely availability enables businesses to properly assess credit risk. This includes the identification of both high and low risk customers, thereby enabling firms to minimise the risk of late payments and bad debts and identify the good credit accounts that will create long-term, profitable credit relationships.

Page 15: Trade Payments Analysis

Trade Payments Analysis – September Quarter 2011 Dun & Bradstreet | dnb.co.nz | September 2011 | 15

About D&B

Dun & Bradstreet is the world’s leading provider of credit, marketing and purchasing information and receivables management services.

D&B manages the world’s most valuable commercial database with information on more than 195 million companies, including 3 million in Australia, and millions of consumers.

Information is gathered in 193 countries, in 95 languages or dialects, covering 186 monetary currencies. The database is refreshed more than 5 million times daily as part of D&B’s commitment to provide accurate, comprehensive information for its more than 150,000 customers.

D&B’s data provides insights which improve business decision-making and outcomes.