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AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
The African Transformation Report – a preview Francis Mulangu, Agricultural Economist, ACET October 28 @ODI
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AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
Where Africa stands
Growing fast
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ACET on transformation?
AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
Growth
Diversification Export competitiveness Productivity Technology Human well-being
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AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
The African Transformation Report (ATR)
AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
Overview
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AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
What drives transformation?
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• property rights, macroeconomic management, public goods delivery, regulation etc.
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The state
AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
Agent for transformation?
The case of Lagos State office of PPP
Questions Arising
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AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
Exports
AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
Still the way out?
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•The case of export promotion agencies
Questions Arising
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AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
Skills
AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
How to get them
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The case of Digital Media Academy in Nigeria
Questions Arising
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AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
Pathways to Africa’s transformation
AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
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Agroprocessing
The case of Blue Skies in Ghana
Questions Arising
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AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
Pathways to Africa’s transformation
AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
…and opportunities for investment
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Oil, gas, & minerals
The case of De Beers in Botswana
Questions Arising
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AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
Pathways to Africa’s transformation
AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
…and opportunities for investment
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Tourism
The case of Eco-tourism in West Africa
Questions Arising
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AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
Pathways to Africa’s transformation
AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
…and opportunities for investment
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Light manufacturing
Questions Arising
The case of Shoe City in Ethiopia
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AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
1. How do countries compare on each indicator of transformation, and on the composite index of the indicators?
2. Over time, how does a country’s performance on each indicator and on the composite indicator change, and how do countries compare in terms of the changes in performance?
Measuring and tracking transformation
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AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
African Transformation Index
AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
Indicators
• Production Sector Diversification: Share of manufacturing value added in GDP • Exports Commodity Diversification: One minus the share of top 5 exports • Exports Sector Diversification: Share of manufacturing and services exports in total exports
Country’s share of world exports of goods and services divided by country’s share of world GDP
• Manufacturing: MVA per manufacturing worker (constant 2000 US$) • Agriculture: Cereal yield (kg per hectare)
Compares African countries on economic transformation levels and progress over time
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AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION AFRICAN CENTER FOR ECONOMIC TRANSFORMATION
• Production: Share of Medium and High Technology products in manufacturing value-added (MVA)
• Exports: (Share of Medium and High Technology products in exports)
• Level of GDP per capita • Ratio of formal sector employment to the labor force • Maternal Survival rate (i.e. 100 – maternal mortality rate in %) • Child survival rate (i.e. 100 - under-5 mortality rate in %)
African Transformation Index Indicators (cont’d)