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The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective: An Overview of Child Well-being in Rich Countries Jonathan Bradshaw International Society for Child Indicators Inaugural Conference June 26-28 2007 Allerton Hotel, Chicago, USA

The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

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Jonathan Bradshaw. The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective: An Overview of Child Well-being in Rich Countries. International Society for Child Indicators Inaugural Conference June 26-28 2007 Allerton Hotel, Chicago, USA. Background. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7

Child poverty in perspective: An Overview of Child Well-being in Rich Countries

Jonathan Bradshaw

International Society for Child IndicatorsInaugural Conference

June 26-28 2007Allerton Hotel, Chicago, USA

Page 2: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Background

UNICEF Innocenti Centre has been publishing Report Cards since 2000

League Tables of rich (OECD) nations 1 and 6 on income poverty 2 on child deaths 3 on teenage births 4 on educational inequality 5 on abuse and neglect

Latest 7 on child well-being “to encourage monitoring, to permit comparison and to stimulate the discussion and development of policies to improve children’s lives.”

Page 3: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Child poverty in perspective

EU, OECD, LIS (and UNICEF) have most commonly compared child well-being using relative income measures.

Flawed Income is not well-being Income data unreliable Income poverty thresholds arbitrary and Level of living different Equivalence scales contested Income poverty rates hide gaps and persistence.

RP 7 an attempt to move beyond income – to put it into perspective

Page 4: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

We can compare inputs for children

OECD comparisons of welfare state effort – social expenditure on families with children

Page 5: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

Denmark

France

Sweden

Austra

lia

Norway

Icelan

d

Austri

a

Finlan

d

German

y

United

Kin

gdomIre

land

Belgiu

m

Czech

Rep

ublic

New Z

ealan

d

Netherl

ands

Spain

Japa

n

United

Stat

es

Canad

a

Mex

icoKor

ea

0.0

0.5

1.0

1.5

2.0

2.5

3.0

3.5

4.0

4.5

Cash Services Tax breaks Average total (2.4%)

Public spending on family benefits in cash, services and tax measures Percentage of GDP, in 2003

Page 6: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Child poverty rate (circa 2000) by family exp. as % GDP 2003 (OECD data)

Page 7: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Background: We can compare inputs

OECD comparisons of welfare state effort – social expenditure on families with children

Child tax/benefit packages

Page 8: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

“Average” child benefit package in Euros purchasing power parities. Jan 2004

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

Euro

ppp

s pe

r mon

th

Page 9: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Background:

OECD comparisons of welfare state effort – social expenditure on families with children

Child tax/benefit packages

Better to have data on outcomes – well-being

Page 10: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Background

Luxembourg Presidency: Atkinson recommends “child mainstreaming” and development of child well-being indicators for EU.

We develop of an index of child well-being based on existing comparative data sources for EU (Bradshaw, J., Hoelscher, P. and Richardson, D. (2007) An index of child well-being in the European Union 25, Journal of Social Indicators Research, 80, 133-177.)

UNICEF asks us to adapt it for Innocenti Report Card 7

Now working on Index for CEE/CIS countries for UNICEF: Geneva

Page 11: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Conceptualisation of child well-being

Multi-dimensional approach Based on children’s rights as outlined in the

UN CRC Drawing on national and multi-national

experiences in indicator development

Page 12: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Data Sources I: Surveys

Health Behaviour of School Aged Children (HBSC) 36 countries at 2001

Programme for International Student Assessment (PISA) 32 countries at 2000, 41 at 2003

Page 13: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Data Sources II: Series

WHO mortality data base 1993-1999, all countries except DK & CY

World Bank World Development Indicators 2003, all countries

OECD (2004) Education at a Glance, 2002 data Other OECD sources World Bank (2002) Health, Nutrition and Population

Data

Page 14: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Structure

40 indicators organised into 19 components making 6 dimensions

Material Health and safety Education Peer and family relationships Behaviours and risks Subjective well-being

Page 15: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Overall child well-being

Country Average rank

Material Situation

Health and

Safety

Education Children’s relationships

Subjective Well-being

Behaviour and

lifestyles

Netherlands 4.2 10 2 6 3 1 3 Sweden 5.0 1 1 5 15 7 1 Finland 7.3 3 3 4 17 11 6 Spain 8.0 12 5 16 8 2 5 Switzerland 8.0 5 9 14 4 6 10 Denmark 8.2 4 4 8 9 12 12 Norway 8.3 2 8 9 10 8 13 Belgium 10.0 7 12 1 5 16 19 Italy 10.0 14 6 20 1 10 9 Ireland 10.2 19 19 7 7 5 4 Germany 11.2 13 11 10 13 9 11 Greece 11.8 15 18 17 11 3 7 Canada 12.0 6 14 2 18 15 17 France 12.5 9 7 15 12 18 14 Poland 12.5 21 16 3 14 19 2 Czech Republic 12.7 11 10 11 19 17 8 Austria 13.7 8 20 19 16 4 15 Portugal 14.0 16 15 21 2 14 16 Hungary 14.5 20 17 13 6 13 18 United States 18.0 17 21 12 20 20 United Kingdom 18.5 18 13 18 21 20 21

Page 16: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Overall child well-being all countries

75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120

Swe Net Ice Fin Nor Den Swi Spa Bel

Aus Ire Ita

Ger Gre Fra

Can Pol

Cze Jap Por Aut Hun NZ

USA UK

12

34

56

78

910

1112

1314

1516

1718

1920

2122

2324

25

Page 17: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Child well-being by child poverty r=0.75

Page 18: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Material

Relative child income poverty OECD Child deprivation

Lacking car, own bedroom, holidays last year, a computer HBSC

Lacking a desk, quiet for study, a computer, calculator, dictionary, text books PISA

Less than ten books in the home PISA Parental worklessness OECD

Page 19: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Health

Health at birth Infant mortality rates (WDI 2003) Low birth weight (OECD Health Data)

Immunisation Measles WDI (2003) DPT3 WDI HNP (2002) Pol3 WDI HNP (2002)

Child mortality All child deaths: All under 19 deaths per 100,000

children, WHO mortality database, 3 year averages, MRD

Page 20: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Behaviours and Risks Health behaviour

Eating fruit every day (HBSC) Eating breakfast before school (HBSC) Physical activity (HBSC) Obesity and pre obesity (HBSC)

Experience of violence Young people who were involved in physical fighting at least once in

the previous 12 months 11, 13 and 15 years (%) - HBSC 2001/02 Young people who were bullied at least once in the previous couple

of months 11, 13 and 15 years (%) - HBSC 2001/02 Risk behaviour

Teenage pregnancy (adolescent fertility rate), adolescent fertility rate, births per 1000 women 15-19 - WDI, 2003.

Young people who have had sexual intercourse, 15 years (%) - HBSC 2001/02

Young people who used a condom during their last sexual intercourse, 15-year-olds (%) - HBSC 2001/02

Cigarette smoking at least once per week HBSC 2001 Drunk two or more times HBSC 2001 Cannabis used in the last 12 months HBSC 2001

Page 21: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Child well-being and teenage fertility rate

r = 0.82***

Page 22: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Subjective Well-being

Personal well-being Young people with scores above the middle of a life

satisfaction scale 11, 13 and 15 years (%) - HBSC 2001/02 Students who agree or strongly agree to 'I feel like an

outsider (or left out of things)', 15 years (%) - PISA 2003 Students who agree or strongly agree to 'I feel awkward

and out of place', 15 years (%) - PISA 2003 Students who agree or strongly agree to 'I feel lonely', 15

years (%) - PISA 2003 Well-being at school

Young people liking school a lot 11, 13 and 15 years (%) - HBSC 2001/02

Self defined health Young people rating their health as fair or poor 11, 13 and

15 years (%) - HBSC 2001/02

Page 23: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Peer and family relationships

Quality of family relations Students whose parents eat the main meal with them

around a table several times a week, 15 years (%) - PISA 2000

Students whose parents spend time just talking to them several times a week, 15 years (%) - PISA 2000

Family structure Young people living in 'single parent' family structures 11,

13 and 15 years (%) - HBSC 2001/02 Young people living in 'Stepfamily' family structures 11, 13

and 15 years (%) - HBSC 2001/02

Peer relationships Young people finding their peers kind and helpful 11, 13

and 15 years (%) - HBSC 2001/02

Page 24: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Overall child well-being and % of young people saying they lived in a lone parent family

Page 25: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Education

Achievement Reading literacy achievement, 15 years - PISA, 2003 Mathematics literacy achievement, 15 years - PISA, 2003 Science literacy achievement, 15 years - PISA, 2003

Participation Full-time and part-time students in public and private

institutions, by age: 15-19 as a percentage of the population of 15 to 19-year-olds (2003) LU SK (2002)

Aspirations Percentage of the youth population not in education, not in

the labour force or unemployed - age 15-19 - OECD, 2003 Proportion of pupils aspiring to low skill work, 15 years -

PISA, 2000

Page 26: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Child well-being and educational attainment

r = 0.15 (ns)

Page 27: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

What explains these variations?

Very difficult Probably depends on domain – need for

more detailed work National wealth matters

Page 28: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Overall child well-being and GDP per capita complete countries

Page 29: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

WHY?

Very difficult Probably depends on domain – need for

more detailed work National wealth matters Policy effort matters

Page 30: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Child well-being and expenditure on social protection benefits as % GDP 2003

Page 31: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

WHY?

Very difficult Probably depends on domain – need for

more detailed work National wealth matters Policy effort matters Direction of that effort matters

Page 32: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Child well-being by expenditure on family benefits and services as % GDP all countries

Page 33: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Self criticism

Partly data driven Countries dropped Indicators missing for some countries - USA Some well-being indicators not available – housing,

citizenship…. Validity and reliability of indicators Focus on older children Out of date Summarising indicators

Z scores Implied weights Weighting equal except differences in indicators per dimension No direct access to HBSC Cumulating % without regard to confidence intervals No measures of dispersion

Page 34: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

Thoughts about further work

Obviously good if Australia, Iceland, Japan and NZ were in HBSC And US asked HBSC questions about sexual behaviour

and children’s feelings!

Also to have HBSC data more quickly and direct access

Also OECD updated their poverty estimates more regularly

Further analysis worthwhile – data available Is it pie in the sky to ask for a better international

survey of children? ISCI?

Page 35: The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7 Child poverty in perspective:

The UNICEF Innocenti Report Card 7

Child poverty in perspective: An Overview of Child Well-being in Rich Countries

[email protected]

International Society for Child IndicatorsInaugural Conference

June 26-28 2007Allerton Hotel, Chicago, USA