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August 28 – September 7, 2017 The San Francisco Survey Number XIV

The San Francisco Survey · after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City. •Homelessness, cost of living, and

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Page 1: The San Francisco Survey · after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City. •Homelessness, cost of living, and

August 28 – September 7, 2017

The San Francisco Survey Number XIV

Page 2: The San Francisco Survey · after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City. •Homelessness, cost of living, and

About The San Francisco Survey

• The San Francisco Survey is a project of the Committee on Jobs, conducted by EMC Research. Our goals are to develop an on-going tool to gauge public opinion and to help inform elected officials and interested parties of the public’s views on policy issues. The San Francisco Survey uses an open and transparent platform and will release the results of each of the surveys it conducts.

• In addition to providing survey results, the San Francisco Survey will release demographic and voter data on a regular basis to help inform policy discussions in San Francisco.

2

Page 3: The San Francisco Survey · after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City. •Homelessness, cost of living, and

Methodology• Web Survey of San Francisco Voters

• Offered in English, Chinese, and Spanish

• Demographics closely match the demographics of the registered voters in the city

3

Please note that due to rounding, percentages may not add up to exactly 100%

Date # of Interviews

Survey I* September 10-16, 2013 553

Survey II* November 4-7, 2013 631

Survey III* February 11-17, 2014 616

Survey IV* April 30 – May 6, 2014 582

Survey V August 4 – 12, 2014 622

Survey VI September 2 – 7, 2014 646

Survey VII February 9-16, 2015 687

Survey VIII April 27-May 1, 2015 710

Survey IX August 27- Sept 3, 2015 844

Survey X October 21-27, 2015 565

Survey XI February 17-22, 2016 886

Survey XII September 6-11, 2016 644

Survey XIII January 31- February 8, 2017 631

Survey XIV August 28 – September 7, 2017 604

*Surveys only offered in English

and Chinese.

Page 4: The San Francisco Survey · after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City. •Homelessness, cost of living, and

Key Findings

• After slight improvements in mood last February after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City.

• Homelessness, cost of living, and housing remain as the most prominent top of mind issues for San Francisco voters.

• Addressing homelessness is overwhelmingly an important priority for local voters.

4

Page 5: The San Francisco Survey · after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City. •Homelessness, cost of living, and

GENERAL ATTITUDES ABOUT SF

5

Page 6: The San Francisco Survey · after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City. •Homelessness, cost of living, and

Right Direction/Wrong Track

30%

51%

Sept.'13

Nov.'13

Jan.'14

Mar.'14

May'14

July'14

Sept.'14

Nov.'14

Jan.'15

Mar.'15

May'15

July'15

Sept.'15

Nov.'15

Jan.'16

Mar.'16

May'16

July'16

Sept.'16

Nov.'16

Jan.'17

Mar.'17

May'17

July'17

Sept.'17

Right Direction Wrong Track

Q3. Do you think things in San Francisco are generally going in the right direction, or do you feel that things are pretty seriously off on the wrong track?

6

About half of San Francisco voters think the city is off on the wrong track.

Page 7: The San Francisco Survey · after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City. •Homelessness, cost of living, and

Excited about Future/Worried about Changes

19%

26%

15%

24%

27%

19%

29%

29%

28%

31%

30%

31%

30%

31%

29%

27%

27%

33%

34%

31%

33%

35%

34%

36%

44%

37%

51%

46%

42%

42%

34%

34%

34%

29%

31%

28%

6%

6%

5%

4%

4%

6%

3%

6%

5%

6%

5%

6%

Sept. '17

Feb. '17

Sept. '16

Feb. '16

Oct. '15

Sept. '15

May '15

Feb. '15

Sept. '14

Aug '14

May '14

Feb. '14

Excited about Future of SF

Excited & Worried Unhappy or Worriedabout Changes in SF

Don't know

7

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?Q25. I am unhappy or worried about changes happening in SFQ26. I am excited about the future of SF

Some voters are both worried and excited about the future of SF.

Page 8: The San Francisco Survey · after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City. •Homelessness, cost of living, and

San Francisco Attitudes8

I am likely to move out of San Francisco in the next few years

Do you agree or disagree with each of the following statements?Q29. I am likely to move out of San Francisco in the next few years

Strongly disagree –

Strongly agree

Some voters indicate that they are likely to move out of the City.

24%

18%

20%

20%

18%

21%

19%

18%

17%

14%

23%

24%

19%

22%

23%

21%

23%

23%

25%

20%

13%

17%

12%

10%

12%

9%

10%

10%

10%

12%

14%

15%

16%

16%

17%

16%

18%

16%

12%

18%

26%

25%

34%

32%

31%

34%

29%

33%

37%

36%

+2

+7

+13

+12

+13

+13

+10

+15

+20

+22

Sept. '17

Feb. 17

Sept. '16

Feb. '16

Oct. '15

Sept '15

May '15

Feb. '15

Aug. '14

Feb. '14

Stronglyagree

Somewhatagree

Don'tknow

Somewhatdisagree

Stronglydisagree

Page 9: The San Francisco Survey · after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City. •Homelessness, cost of living, and

Top Three Problems in San Francisco

Q4. What would you say are the most important problems facing San Francisco today? (up to 3 responses accepted – percentages total over 100%)

9

Housing concerns appear to be growing again, as the number who say transportation is a top problem is falling.

Homelessness, 65%

Cost of living, 50%

Housing, 49%

Transportation, 15%

Crime/Safety, 24%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

Sep

-13

No

v-13

Jan

-14

Mar

-14

May

-14

July

-14

Sep

t-1

4

No

v-14

Jan

-15

Mar

-15

May

-15

July

-15

Sep

t-15

No

v-15

Jan

-16

Mar

-16

May

-16

July

-16

Sep

t-1

6

No

v-16

Jan

-17

Mar

-17

May

-17

July

-17

Sep

t-1

7

Page 10: The San Francisco Survey · after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City. •Homelessness, cost of living, and

Most Important Problem in San Francisco

Q4b. What would you say are the most important problems facing San Francisco today? (top ranked response)

10

Concern for homelessness has risen and is the issue is most frequently mentioned as the top problem facing SF.

Homelessness, 29%

Cost of living, 22%

Housing, 20%

Transportation, 1%

Education, 2%

Economy/Jobs, 1%0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

35%

Sep

-13

No

v-13

Jan

-14

Mar

-14

May

-14

July

-14

Sep

t-14

No

v-14

Jan

-15

Mar

-15

May

-15

July

-15

Sep

t-15

No

v-15

Jan

-16

Mar

-16

May

-16

July

-16

Sep

t-16

No

v-16

Jan

-17

Mar

-17

May

-17

July

-17

Sep

t-17

Page 11: The San Francisco Survey · after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City. •Homelessness, cost of living, and

PRIORITIES

11

Page 12: The San Francisco Survey · after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City. •Homelessness, cost of living, and

General Priorities12

Addressing homelessness and controlling the cost of living are top priorities for SF voters.

Q30-38. On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is not at all important and 7 is extremely important, how important do you feel each of the following should be in San Francisco right now?

70%

57%

54%

51%

45%

38%

36%

34%

31%

21%

27%

29%

32%

28%

26%

42%

35%

43%

91%

84%

83%

83%

73%

64%

78%

70%

74%

Addressing homelessness & street behavior

Controlling the cost of living

Supporting quality education at local public schools

Public safety and crime prevention

Building more housing

Protecting SF residents from increased fees and taxes

Improving public transportation

Creating local jobs

Improving streets and roads

Extremely Important (7) Important (5-6) Total Importance

Page 13: The San Francisco Survey · after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City. •Homelessness, cost of living, and

General Priorities – Trend Over Time13

Addressing homelessness remains the top priority among SF voters.

Q30-38. On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is not at all important and 7 is extremely important, how important do you feel each of the following should be in San Francisco right now?

Mean

6.38

5.99

5.60

5.89

5.96

4.5

4.7

4.9

5.1

5.3

5.5

5.7

5.9

6.1

6.3

6.5

Sept.'13

Nov.'13

Feb.'14

May'14

Sept.'14

Nov.'14

Feb.'15

May'15

Sept.'15

Oct.'15

Feb.'16

May'16

Sept.'16

Nov.'16

Feb.'17

Sept.'17

Me

an Im

po

rtan

ce R

atin

g

Homelessness/Street behavior

Quality Publicschools

ImprovingPublictransportation

Publicsafety/Crimeprevention

Controlling Costof living

Page 14: The San Francisco Survey · after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City. •Homelessness, cost of living, and

General Priorities – Trend Over Time, cont.14

Creating local jobs is less of a concern for SF Voters, while a desire for more housing is up slightly.

Q30-38. On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is not at all important and 7 is extremely important, how important do you feel each of the following should be in San Francisco right now?

Mean

5.25

5.54

5.42

5.16

4.50

4.70

4.90

5.10

5.30

5.50

5.70

5.90

6.10

6.30

6.50

Sept.'13

Nov.'13

Feb.'14

May'14

Sept.'14

Nov.'14

Feb.'15

May'15

Sept.'15

Oct.'15

Feb.'16

May'16

Sept.'16

Nov.'16

Feb.'17

Sept.'17

Me

an Im

po

rtan

ce R

atin

g

Creating localjobs

Building morehousing

Improvingstreets androads

Protecting SFresidents fromincreasedfees/taxes

Page 15: The San Francisco Survey · after the Election, many San Francisco voters are back to feeling more pessimistic about the direction of the City. •Homelessness, cost of living, and

Contacts15

Ruth [email protected]

510.550.8922

[email protected]: @SanFranciscoSu1