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The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching Ove Hoegh-Guldberg Centre for Marine Studies University of Queensland Ove Hoegh-Guldberg Centre for Marine Studies University of Queensland

The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

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Page 1: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching

The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching

Ove Hoegh-GuldbergCentre for Marine StudiesUniversity of Queensland

Ove Hoegh-GuldbergCentre for Marine StudiesUniversity of Queensland

Page 2: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

Saudi ArabiaIndian Ocean IslandsFloridaPapua & New Guinea

Page 3: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

OutlineOutline

1. Patterns of change

2. Physiology of thermal stress.

3. Thresholds and global change

4. Acclimation and adaptation

5. Conclusion

1. Patterns of change

2. Physiology of thermal stress.

3. Thresholds and global change

4. Acclimation and adaptation

5. Conclusion

Page 4: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

Reasons behind current change in reef health include a complex cocktail of direct and indirect factors

Reasons behind current change in reef health include a complex cocktail of direct and indirect factors

– Coastal development• Nutrients, toxin, and sediments from agriculture and urban

development– Over-exploitation of marine species

• Loss of critical functional groups– Marine pollution

• Sewage, petrochemicals, plastics– Physical destruction

• Tourism; destructive fishing– Climate change

• Rising sea temperatures, falling alkalinities• Perceived by many as the primary threat to coral reefs

– Coastal development• Nutrients, toxin, and sediments from agriculture and urban

development– Over-exploitation of marine species

• Loss of critical functional groups– Marine pollution

• Sewage, petrochemicals, plastics– Physical destruction

• Tourism; destructive fishing– Climate change

• Rising sea temperatures, falling alkalinities• Perceived by many as the primary threat to coral reefs

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Page 5: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

The biosphere is already changing (after an increase of only 0.8oC)

The biosphere is already changing (after an increase of only 0.8oC)

– Walther et al. (2002)• Notes the exponential increase in palm forests in alpine

Switzerland, US & European butterflies and birds now up to 200 km more poleward than 50 years ago. Most ecosystems are changing.

– Parmesan and Yohe (2003)• Build statistical case for climate change trends

– Walther et al. (2002)• Notes the exponential increase in palm forests in alpine

Switzerland, US & European butterflies and birds now up to 200 km more poleward than 50 years ago. Most ecosystems are changing.

– Parmesan and Yohe (2003)• Build statistical case for climate change trends

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“Although we are only at an early stage in the projected trends of global warming, ecological responses to recent climate

change are already clearly visible.”

A “diagnostic (climate related) fingerprint was found for 279 species. This suite of analyses generates ‘very high

confidence’ (as laid down by the IPCC) that climate change is already affecting living systems.

– Environmental changes• Increasing sea temperatures and sea levels• Decreasing carbonate alkalinities• Changing currents and global circulation

– Biotic responses abundant already• Warm-water fish populations have advanced poleward

(Holbrook et al 1997)• Intertidal communities moved poleward over the past 70

years (Southward et al. 1995).• Krill populations in Antarctica are 10% of what they were

40 years ago – salps, more open water species, have increased 10 fold. Impacts on penguin populations reported (Barbraud and Weimerskirch 2001).

• Mangroves have expanded and salt marsh contracted.• Many other examples.

– Environmental changes• Increasing sea temperatures and sea levels• Decreasing carbonate alkalinities• Changing currents and global circulation

– Biotic responses abundant already• Warm-water fish populations have advanced poleward

(Holbrook et al 1997)• Intertidal communities moved poleward over the past 70

years (Southward et al. 1995).• Krill populations in Antarctica are 10% of what they were

40 years ago – salps, more open water species, have increased 10 fold. Impacts on penguin populations reported (Barbraud and Weimerskirch 2001).

• Mangroves have expanded and salt marsh contracted.• Many other examples.1

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e Marine ecosystems are also changing rapidlyMarine ecosystems are also changing rapidly

Page 6: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

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0123456789

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1974

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Year

Reg

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CHAMP-Reef Base (2003)

Page 7: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

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Genetic variabilityGenetic

variability

MutualismMutualism Thermal sensitivityThermal

sensitivity

Page 8: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

X

1. Model largely correct

2. Explains wide array of phenomena such as light (PAR, UVR), flow effects

3. Explains how short-term acclimation can come about through acclimation to light

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Page 9: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

• General stress response to thermal stress in the presence of light

• Complex responses –indicating general oxidative response –ie bleached corals suffer from enormous quantities of active oxygen.

• General stress response to thermal stress in the presence of light

• Complex responses –indicating general oxidative response –ie bleached corals suffer from enormous quantities of active oxygen.

Montastraea annularis (Florida keys)

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.Downs et al (2003)Downs et al (2003)

Page 10: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

• Irradiance is needed to get up-regulation of stress proteins

• No light , no bleaching

• Irradiance is needed to get up-regulation of stress proteins

• No light , no bleaching

+L +L+L

XMumby et al 2001 – deviation from expected impacts due to cloud.

Mumby et al 2001 – deviation from expected impacts due to cloud.

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. Carolyn Smith (in prep.)

Page 11: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

• Superoxide dismutase(SOD) is stimulated under heat and light (HL)

• Functional D1 protein (from PSII) is much lower when coral is subjected to heat and light.

• Superoxide dismutase(SOD) is stimulated under heat and light (HL)

• Functional D1 protein (from PSII) is much lower when coral is subjected to heat and light.

0

5

10

15

20

Opt

ical

Den

sity

(± S

D)

Re LL HL

Treatment

D1

D

A

B

B

0

10

20

30

40

50

Opt

ical

Den

sity

(± S

D)

Re LL HL

Treatment

Cu/Zn SOD

A

A

B

B

Michael P Lesser (in press)

X

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Montastrea (Bemuda)

Page 12: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

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.

Nakamura, Yamasaki & Van Woesik. Mar Ecol Prog Ser (In Press)

Weeks

Zoox

anth

ella

e pe

r are

a (#

/cm

2 ) x 1

0000

Still (<3cm/s)

5

10

15

20

25

30

0 3 5 7 control Flow (20cm/s)

0 3 5 7 control

Acropora digitifera (SST 26.2 - 33.6ºC)

0

20

40

60

80

100

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Time (days)

Sur

viva

l % (S

E, n

=15)

Flow (50-70 cm/sec)

Minimum flow (<3 cm/sec)

Acropora digitifera (SST 26.6 - 29.7 ºC)

0

20

40

60

80

100

0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14

Time (days)

Surv

ival

% (S

E, n

=11)

Flow (50-70 cm/sec)

Minimum flow (< 3cm/sec)

Low flow interacts to cause a greater impact of thermal stress.

High flow causes greater recovery

Page 13: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

Dunn et al. (2002)Programmed cell death?Programmed cell death?

• PCD involves activation of ‘cell removal’ pathways.

• Many of the markers for PCD have been found in bleaching symbiotic associations

• Sequence:

• PCD involves activation of ‘cell removal’ pathways.

• Many of the markers for PCD have been found in bleaching symbiotic associations

• Sequence:

Environmental stress

Photosynthetic dysfunction

Removal by PCD

Oxidative damage

Page 14: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

OutlineOutline

1. Patterns of change

2. Physiology of thermal stress.

3. Thresholds and global change

4. Acclimation and adaptation

5. Conclusion

1. Patterns of change

2. Physiology of thermal stress.

3. Thresholds and global change

4. Acclimation and adaptation

5. Conclusion

Page 15: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated
Page 16: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

1860 210020001900 1950 2050

29

28

27

30

31

32

33

Acropora

Porites

Acropora

Porites

Begins to bleach

Dies

Year

Sea

Tem

pera

ture

(oC

)

Sub-lethal impacts

Lethal impacts

Reef scale mass mortalities

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1. While a coral colony will have a single thresholds determined bytemperature and contributing factors (light, history, genetics, acclimation etc), a reef will have a band of thresholds that wil vary according to different species tolerances.

2. At the lower end of this band, community change will be seen. At the higher end, reef scale mass mortalities will eventuate.

1. While a coral colony will have a single thresholds determined bytemperature and contributing factors (light, history, genetics, acclimation etc), a reef will have a band of thresholds that wil vary according to different species tolerances.

2. At the lower end of this band, community change will be seen. At the higher end, reef scale mass mortalities will eventuate.

Page 17: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

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3. Th

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Degree Heating Months = Intensity of anomaly X timeDegree Heating Months = Intensity of anomaly X time

Page 18: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 21000123456789

10

1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100

Tahiti

Degree Heating Months (oC mth-1) Events per Decade (mth-1)

Remnant corals

Degraded reefs

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Bleaching

Mass death

Not yet experienced

DHM and the future (B2 scenario)DHM and the future (B2 scenario)

Two categories of response can be defined:

Degraded Reefs: Reefs that experience 0.5 Degree Heating Months (DHM) during the summer months will experience mass bleaching. They will recover if stress levels return to previous levels.

Remnant coral reefs: Reefs that experience near total coral mortality: Reefs that are exposed to 3.2 DHM per year or more will experience almost complete mortality of their coral populations. Logic – corals don’t recruit and grow fast enough to have reefs recover within 3 years from a total mortality.

HM) during the summer months will experience mass bleaching.

Two categories of response can be defined:

Degraded Reefs: Reefs that experience 0.5 Degree Heating Months (DThey will recover if stress levels return to previous levels.

Remnant coral reefs: Reefs that experience near total coral mortality: Reefs that are exposed to 3.2 DHM per year or more will experience almost complete mortality of their coral populations. Logic – corals don’t recruit and grow fast enough to have reefs recover within 3 years from a total mortality.

Page 19: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100

0123456789

10

1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100

0123456789

10

1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100

0123456789

10

1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100

A. Jamaica

B. Phuket

C. Tahiti

Degree Heating Months (oC mth-1) Events per Decade (mth-1)

Remnant corals

Degraded reefs

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3. Th

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Page 20: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

OutlineOutline

1. Patterns of change

2. Physiology of thermal stress.

3. Thresholds and global change

4. Acclimation and adaptation

5. Conclusion

1. Patterns of change

2. Physiology of thermal stress.

3. Thresholds and global change

4. Acclimation and adaptation

5. Conclusion

Page 21: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

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Thermalthreshold

Page 22: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

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tion Acclimation: Short-term phenotypic change

• Reviewed extensively by Brown and others• Habeeb and Edmunds (in press) show acclimation of corals to short-

term stresses.Acclimatization: Phenotypic change to natural environment

• Berkelmans and Willis (2000) have demonstrated seasonal acclimatization in several species.

Adaptation: Genetic change in coral population• Glynn (1983) and many others have observed that different species of

corals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated that corals are

adapted to the temperature conditions around them – corals at different latitudes have different thermal thresholds.

• Berkelmans (2002) – latitudinal variation in thresholds in a single ecosystem

Adaptation: Genetic change by swapping symbionts• Recent reviews by Baker, LaJeunesse• Definite switches in evolutionary time

– Loh et al. (2002): Pocillopora damicornis has clade A in Japan, D in Indonesia and C in Australia

– Rodriquez-Lanetty et al. (2001): Plesiastrea versipora has clade A and B in Southern Australia and C on the Great Barrier Reef

– Among others

Acclimation: Short-term phenotypic change• Reviewed extensively by Brown and others• Habeeb and Edmunds (in press) show acclimation of corals to short-

term stresses.Acclimatization: Phenotypic change to natural environment

• Berkelmans and Willis (2000) have demonstrated seasonal acclimatization in several species.

Adaptation: Genetic change in coral population• Glynn (1983) and many others have observed that different species of

corals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated that corals are

adapted to the temperature conditions around them – corals at different latitudes have different thermal thresholds.

• Berkelmans (2002) – latitudinal variation in thresholds in a single ecosystem

Adaptation: Genetic change by swapping symbionts• Recent reviews by Baker, LaJeunesse• Definite switches in evolutionary time

– Loh et al. (2002): Pocillopora damicornis has clade A in Japan, D in Indonesia and C in Australia

– Rodriquez-Lanetty et al. (2001): Plesiastrea versipora has clade A and B in Southern Australia and C on the Great Barrier Reef

– Among others

Acclimation, acclimatization and adaptation (definitions are critical) have been demonstrated in reef-building corals.

Acclimation, acclimatization and adaptation (definitions are critical) have been demonstrated in reef-building corals.

Page 23: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

Evidence of adaptation to sea temperatureEvidence of adaptation to sea temperature

Daydream Is

0

10

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30

40

50

60

27.5 28 28.5 29 29.5 30 30.5 31 31.5 32 32.5Av. daily temperature (°C)

# d

ays

at t

emp

erat

ure

Halfway Is

Daintree

Magnetic Is

Berkelmans (2002)Berkelmans (2002)

Page 24: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

Evidence of rapid adaptation (past 20 years)?Evidence of rapid adaptation (past 20 years)?

• Glynn et al. (2001)– Observed less bleaching and mortality in Eastern Pacific in 1997-98 than

in 1982-83. Despite fact that temperatures may have been higher in 1997-98

• Obura (in prep)– Lower impacts in recent bleaching (2003) in East Africa to that seen in

1997-98. Similar speculation to Glynn et al. (2001)• Baker (2001)

– Possible switching of symbionts (or is this re-mixing of existing types)

Problems:• Sample design between times?

– E.G. site variability within locations not strictly controlled• Low precision measurements of bleaching (bleached, non-bleached, normal)

– Jones 1997, Fitt et al. 2001, Warner et al. (2002) all point to the fact that up to 30% of the cells can be missing before a coral will be classified as bleached.

• Environmental conditions complicated by secondary factors – As shown by Mumby and others – clouds can ameliorate the effect of thermal

stress

• Glynn et al. (2001)– Observed less bleaching and mortality in Eastern Pacific in 1997-98 than

in 1982-83. Despite fact that temperatures may have been higher in 1997-98

• Obura (in prep)– Lower impacts in recent bleaching (2003) in East Africa to that seen in

1997-98. Similar speculation to Glynn et al. (2001)• Baker (2001)

– Possible switching of symbionts (or is this re-mixing of existing types)

Problems:• Sample design between times?

– E.G. site variability within locations not strictly controlled• Low precision measurements of bleaching (bleached, non-bleached, normal)

– Jones 1997, Fitt et al. 2001, Warner et al. (2002) all point to the fact that up to 30% of the cells can be missing before a coral will be classified as bleached.

• Environmental conditions complicated by secondary factors – As shown by Mumby and others – clouds can ameliorate the effect of thermal

stress

Page 25: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

A. Maximum rates of change in carbon dioxide (using data from Barnola et al. 1999). Period ppmv per 100 yr 24,315 to 9.523 yr BP 0.52 + 0.080 130,653 to 143,732 yr BP 0.72 + 0.034 240,006 to 248,364 yr BP 0.96 + 0.097 325,400 - 355,795 yr BP 0.30 + 0.043 Recent (last 100 yrs) 100 Projected (B1) - 2002-2100 150 Projected (A1T) - 2002-2100 330 Projected (A1B) - 2002-2100 530

B. Maximum rates of change in temperature (using data from Petit et al. (1999). Period oC per 100 y 11,191 - 16,808 BP 0.092 + 0.005 130,467 - 145,006 yr BP 0.135 + 0.003 237,866 - 241, 792 yr BP 0.227 + 0.005 322,638 - 332,164 yr BP 0.117 + 0.003 Recent (last 100 yrs) 0.600 Projected (B1) - 2002-2100 2.500 Projected (A1T) - 2002-2100 2.400 Projected (A1B) - 2002-2100 2.800

Table 1. Regression slopes calculated for periods of rapid change in Antarctic (interglacial-glacial transitions) within the Vostok ice core. Also shown in table are rates of change over thelast 100 years and that projected to occur from climate change over the next century.

150

200

250

300

350

400

0 100000 200000 300000 400000Years before present

Ca

rbo

n d

iox

ide

(p

pm

v)

Present day

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pera

ture

dif

fere

nce

fro

m p

resen

t d

ay (

oC

)

0

-3

-6

-9

3

6

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Rate of change versus possible rate of responseRate of change versus possible rate of response

Page 26: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

• Two or more partners (genomes) not one

• Dinoflagellate contributes a major part of thermal tolerance. Perhaps changing symbiont can result in tougher holobiont (host-symbiont genotype)

• Includes de novo acquisition or remixing of symbionts

• And - perhaps - bleaching is adaptive (Buddemeier and Fautin 1993)?

• Two or more partners (genomes) not one

• Dinoflagellate contributes a major part of thermal tolerance. Perhaps changing symbiont can result in tougher holobiont (host-symbiont genotype)

• Includes de novo acquisition or remixing of symbionts

• And - perhaps - bleaching is adaptive (Buddemeier and Fautin 1993)?

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Adaptive Bleaching Hypothesis?Adaptive Bleaching Hypothesis?

Page 27: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

Direct acquisition of new symbionts is probably debatable. However, remixing of existing ones has been observed.

Direct acquisition of new symbionts is probably debatable. However, remixing of existing ones has been observed.

. ... .

.. .

..

..

...

..

.

... ... ... ... ... ..

Baker (2002, Nature) shows this mechanism to operate. However, no new combination arises from this process (its phenotypic in nature)

Baker (2002, Nature) shows this mechanism to operate. However, no new combination arises from this process (its phenotypic in nature)

Resident more tolerant genotypeResident more tolerant genotype

oCoC

Page 28: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

Davies Transplants

Keppel TransplantsD

avies Native

CladeC

CladeD

CladeC

30°C

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

Fv/

Fm

31°C

0.00.20.40.60.8

10-A

pr

12-A

pr

14-A

pr

16-A

pr

18-A

pr

20-A

pr

22-A

pr

24-A

pr

26-A

pr

28-A

pr

30-A

pr

Fv/F

m

32°C

0.0

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.810

-Apr

12-A

pr

14-A

pr

16-A

pr

18-A

pr

20-A

pr

22-A

pr

24-A

pr

26-A

pr

28-A

pr

30-A

pr

Fv/F

m

Maggie

Davies

Davies transpl.

Keppels

Keppels transpl.

Control

0.00.20.40.60.8

Fv/F

m

Effect of zoox. clade on thermal tolerance Acropora millepora

Effect of zoox. clade on thermal tolerance Acropora millepora

Berkelmans and van Oppen (in press.)Berkelmans and van Oppen (in press.) Native Keppels = Clade C

Page 29: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

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0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

100

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12State 1 State 2 State 3X

Y X

Y

X

Y

Phenotypic change via increase in

proportion of heat tolerant X symbionts

Further change in X:Y ratio impossible unless new symbiosis forms (adaptation). Mortality

increases.

Acclimated to T1 Acclimated to T2Unable to

acclimate to T3Pe

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Increasing sea temperature

Page 30: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

FisheriesTourism

Economic/SocialSubsistence

Reduced diversity

Mangroves, seagrassmeadows

(Reduced coastal protection)

Contributing factors (light, flow) and

stresses (nutrients, reduced grazing)

Managing for ecological resilienceManaging for ecological resilience

Contributing factors (light, flow) and

stresses (nutrients, reduced grazing)

• Evidence that healthy reef systems recover faster from bleaching

• Factors that impact growth and reproduction of corals will ensure more immediate and devastating impacts of climate change.

• Grazers play a role in avoiding “permanent” phase shifts

• Evidence that healthy reef systems recover faster from bleaching

• Factors that impact growth and reproduction of corals will ensure more immediate and devastating impacts of climate change.

• Grazers play a role in avoiding “permanent” phase shifts

l

Page 31: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

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sPATTERNS OF CHANGE• Climate change (of only 0.8oC) has changed the biosphere• Projected changes (2-6oC) have major implications for all ecosystems including coral reefsPHYSIOLOGY• Warmer than normal sea temperatures trigger bleaching• Thermal stress results in failure of photosynthetic apparatus, which leads to oxidative stress in

host and symbiont.• This may trigger apoptosis (programmed cell death)• PAR, UVR and flow play important secondary roles• The increase in disease is probably related directly or indirectly to rising stressTHRESHOLDS • Thermal thresholds form a band of sea temperatures in which responses range from community

change to mass mortality.• Projected increases under even the mildest climate scenarios will rapidly exceed the known

thermal thresholds of populations of corals• Corals and coral reefs will experience conditions that have not seen for 400,000 years (if not at

least 20 million years)• The weight of evidence indicate serious modifications to the function of coral reef ecosystems.ACCLIMATION AND ADAPTATION • Acclimation is limited ultimately by genotype and therefore is not a “solution” to climate change.• Corals and their symbionts have adapted to sea temperature in the past• Corals have swapped their symbionts to adapt to environmental conditions in the past.• Re-mixing existing ratios of symbionts is a phenotypic not genotypic change.• Changes, however, have occurred in evolutionary time not the ecological timeframe of bleaching.RESPONSES • Reefs must be urgently managed for maximum ecological resilience• Factors contributing to climate change must be rapidly brought under control.

PATTERNS OF CHANGE• Climate change (of only 0.8oC) has changed the biosphere• Projected changes (2-6oC) have major implications for all ecosystems including coral reefsPHYSIOLOGY• Warmer than normal sea temperatures trigger bleaching• Thermal stress results in failure of photosynthetic apparatus, which leads to oxidative stress in

host and symbiont.• This may trigger apoptosis (programmed cell death)• PAR, UVR and flow play important secondary roles• The increase in disease is probably related directly or indirectly to rising stressTHRESHOLDS • Thermal thresholds form a band of sea temperatures in which responses range from community

change to mass mortality.• Projected increases under even the mildest climate scenarios will rapidly exceed the known

thermal thresholds of populations of corals• Corals and coral reefs will experience conditions that have not seen for 400,000 years (if not at

least 20 million years)• The weight of evidence indicate serious modifications to the function of coral reef ecosystems.ACCLIMATION AND ADAPTATION • Acclimation is limited ultimately by genotype and therefore is not a “solution” to climate change.• Corals and their symbionts have adapted to sea temperature in the past• Corals have swapped their symbionts to adapt to environmental conditions in the past.• Re-mixing existing ratios of symbionts is a phenotypic not genotypic change.• Changes, however, have occurred in evolutionary time not the ecological timeframe of bleaching.RESPONSES • Reefs must be urgently managed for maximum ecological resilience• Factors contributing to climate change must be rapidly brought under control.

Page 32: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated
Page 33: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated
Page 34: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

– Environmental changes• Increasing sea temperatures and sea levels• Decreasing carbonate alkalinities• Changing currents and global circulation

– Biotic responses abundant already• Warm-water fish populations have advanced poleward

(Holbrook et al 1997)• Intertidal communities moved poleward over the past 70

years (Southward et al. 1995).• Krill populations in Antarctica are 10% of what they were

40 years ago – salps, more open water species, have increased 10 fold. Impacts on penguin populations reported (Barbraud and Weimerskirch 2001).

• Mangroves have expanded and salt marsh contracted.• Many other examples.

– Environmental changes• Increasing sea temperatures and sea levels• Decreasing carbonate alkalinities• Changing currents and global circulation

– Biotic responses abundant already• Warm-water fish populations have advanced poleward

(Holbrook et al 1997)• Intertidal communities moved poleward over the past 70

years (Southward et al. 1995).• Krill populations in Antarctica are 10% of what they were

40 years ago – salps, more open water species, have increased 10 fold. Impacts on penguin populations reported (Barbraud and Weimerskirch 2001).

• Mangroves have expanded and salt marsh contracted.• Many other examples.1

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e Marine ecosystems are also changing rapidlyMarine ecosystems are also changing rapidly

Page 35: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated
Page 36: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

4. A

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4. A

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ati

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4. A

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an

d a

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an

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tion Acclimation: short- term physiological changes that

lead to increased tolerance.

Acclimatization: longer-term phenotypic changes in response to changes in the natural environment.

Adaptation: Changes in the genetic structure of a population a species in response to environmental changes. Usually the result or natural selection or migration.

Note – a change in community structure in response to environmental change does not fall under the definition of adaptation.

Acclimation: short- term physiological changes that lead to increased tolerance.

Acclimatization: longer-term phenotypic changes in response to changes in the natural environment.

Adaptation: Changes in the genetic structure of a population a species in response to environmental changes. Usually the result or natural selection or migration.

Note – a change in community structure in response to environmental change does not fall under the definition of adaptation.

Definitions are critical here …Definitions are critical here …

Page 37: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

Colour chart project (to be launched in July 2003)Siebeck, Marshall, Hoegh-Guldberg

2-types of useful data collection

Time-series of selectedcolonies

“fingerprints” of a reef at different times: Data of many random corals

Heron reef flat during and after the 2002 bleaching

010203040506070

1 2 3 4 5 6colour number categories

frequ

ency

[%]

Heron_MarchHeron_July

0

1

2

3

4

5

27.3

8.4

13.4

17.4

24.4

8.5

16.5

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3.9

9.9

sample dates

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rainstorm

p < 0.05

p > 0.05

(comparison before and after rainstorm: p < 0.05)

Page 38: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

Swapping genotypesSwapping genotypes

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.

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oCoCBleaching rids coral host of one genotype which is replaced by a second more tolerant genotype.Bleaching rids coral host of one genotype which is replaced by a second more tolerant genotype.

Page 39: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

Rainforests in Switzerland?Rainforests in Switzerland?

Page 40: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

35

1850 1900 1950 2000 2050 2100

A. Southern GBR

Degree Heating Months (oC mth-1)

Not yet experienced

Mass death

Bleaching

Page 41: The Physiological Ecology of Mass Coral Bleaching 1 PDF/4-Ove Hoegh-Guldberg.pdfcorals have different thermal thresholds. • Coles et al. (1976) and later authors have demonstrated

At greater time scales – corals can acquire completely new symbionts

At greater time scales – corals can acquire completely new symbionts

• Loh et al. (2002)– Pocillopora damicornis has clade A in Japan, D in Indonesia and

C in Australia• Rodriquez-Lanetty et al. (2001)

– Plesiastrea versipora has clade A and B in Southern Australia and C on the Great Barrier Reef

Evidence that swapping does occur. However, this is not evidence that this happens in the ecological time frame of a bleaching event. Given the complexity of endosymbiosis, establishing novel symbioses probably will take decades and centuries as opposed to years.

• Loh et al. (2002)– Pocillopora damicornis has clade A in Japan, D in Indonesia and

C in Australia• Rodriquez-Lanetty et al. (2001)

– Plesiastrea versipora has clade A and B in Southern Australia and C on the Great Barrier Reef

Evidence that swapping does occur. However, this is not evidence that this happens in the ecological time frame of a bleaching event. Given the complexity of endosymbiosis, establishing novel symbioses probably will take decades and centuries as opposed to years.