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Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance. THE IMPORTANCE OF STATISTICS ON TRADE IN SERVICES by Ramonette B. Serafica. Outline. Background B asic concepts and trends Various user needs for services statistics (trade and others). What are services?. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation
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Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance
THE IMPORTANCE OF STATISTICS ON TRADE IN SERVICES
by Ramonette B. Serafica
Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance
Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance
Outline
• Backgroundo Basic concepts and trends
• Various user needs for services statistics (trade and others)
Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance
What are services?
Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance
How important are services?
Source of data: http://data.worldbank.org/
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Services, Percent Share in GDP
High income HIC Low income LIC Lower middle income LMCUpper middle income UMC World WLD
HICWLD
UMCLMC
LIC
Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance
What are its characteristics?• Intangible• Non-storable• Variable• Proximity• Different ways to trade – four
modes of supply
Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance
How are services traded? Cross-border trade The service (1) , the consumer or his/her property (2), or the supplier (4) crosses the border Trade by foreign
affiliatesThe service is supplied through the establishment of commercial presence (3) in the host country
Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance
Trends in services trade
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
4000
4500
10%
12%
14%
16%
18%
20%
22%
World trade in commercial services, total exports, 1980-2010USD billion and percentage
Commercial ServicesShare of Commercial Services in total exports (goods + services)
USD
bill
ion
Source of data: http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/statis_e.htm
Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance
Commercial Services (World)
Share of Transporta-
tion37%
Share of Travel28%
Share of Other Commercial
Services35%
1980
Share of Transportation
21%
Share of Travel26%
Share of Other Commercial
Services53%
2010
Source of data: http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/statis_e.htm
Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance
Growing share of Asia in services trade
Source: Asian Development Outlook 2012 Update Services and Asia’s Future Growth (ADB 2012)
Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance
Mode 3 is significant
1986
1989
1992
1995
1998
2001
2004
2007
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
Services Supplied by the US to Foreign Markets through Cross-Border Trade and through Affiliates
Through cross-border trade (U.S. exports)Through foreign affil-iates of U.S. com-panies
Year
Bill
ions
of d
olla
rs
http://www.bea.gov/international/international_services.htm#summaryandother (Table A. Services Supplied to Foreign and U.S. Markets Through Cross-Border Trade and Through Affiliates)
Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance
Uses of data and statistics
– Policy analysis and formulation– Negotiations (trade &
investment)– Stakeholder engagement– Monitoring & Evaluation of
initiatives
Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance
Policy analysis and formulation
Example: Sector development• Trade performance (what if not a major
category in EBOPS? e.g. environmental services)
• Other indicators such as labor productivity, prices, quality, variety, and access
• Inter-sectoral linkages (backward & forward linkages)
Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance
Negotiations (trade & investment)
Example: Assessment of export and import interests across 160 services sub-sectors and 4 Modes of Supply (MOS)
• Priority sub-sectors and MOS to request MA/NT commitments
• Priority sectors for investment, technology transfer, capacity building/technical cooperation
Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance
Stakeholder engagement
Example: The contribution of foreign companies to the economy
• Domestic employment generated and compensation of employees
• Value-added • Purchases of local goods and services• R&D expenditures
14
Australia Indonesia Partnership for Economic Governance
M&E of initiatives
Example: Assessment of the effectiveness of initiatives for SME service exporters
• Determine baseline and set specific targets for increasing the number of service exporters
• Track and analyze growth of SME service exporters by sector, by destination
15
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