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The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Director, Environment and Energy Division, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau, Research and Development Bureau, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT) Science and Technology (MEXT) 14 th March, 2012

The Green Innovation Policy in Japan · 2013-09-02 · 0 The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau,

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Page 1: The Green Innovation Policy in Japan · 2013-09-02 · 0 The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau,

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The Green Innovation Policy in Japan

Yasushi TAGUCHIDirector,Director,

Environment and Energy Division,Environment and Energy Division,Research and Development Bureau, Research and Development Bureau,

Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT)Science and Technology (MEXT)

14th March, 2012

Page 2: The Green Innovation Policy in Japan · 2013-09-02 · 0 The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau,

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CONTENTS

・・IntroductionIntroduction

・・Recent Major Action in Japanese GovernmentRecent Major Action in Japanese Government

・・MEXTMEXT’’s Strategy for Green Innovations Strategy for Green Innovation

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IntroductionIntroduction

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The observed increase in global average temperatures is very likely due to the observed increase in GHG.Continued GHG emissions would cause further warming and induce changes in the global climate system.

The observed increase in global average temperatures is very likely due to the observed increase in GHG.Continued GHG emissions would cause further warming and induce changes in the global climate system.

GHG emissions will undermine the sustainable society.

1950

2100

(IPCC AR4(IPCC AR4 / 2007/ 2007))

by by ““Earth SimulatorEarth Simulator””

Page 5: The Green Innovation Policy in Japan · 2013-09-02 · 0 The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau,

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MULTI-MODEL AVERAGES AND ASSESSED RANGES FOR SURFACE WARMING

The best estimate for the low scenario(B1) is 1.8 ℃ (likely range is 1.1℃ to 2.9℃),

The best estimate for the high scenario(A1FI) is 4.0 ℃ (likely range is 2.4℃ to 6.4℃).

The best estimate for the low scenario(B1) is 1.8 ℃ (likely range is 1.1℃ to 2.9℃),

The best estimate for the high scenario(A1FI) is 4.0 ℃ (likely range is 2.4℃ to 6.4℃).(IPCC AR4(IPCC AR4 / WG1/ WG1))

Glo

bal s

urfa

ce w

arm

ing(℃

)

Page 6: The Green Innovation Policy in Japan · 2013-09-02 · 0 The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau,

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How much CO2 Emission ?How much CO2 Emission ?2009 Major countries’ share of CO2 Emissions and CO2 Emissions per

capita

25.4%

17.8%

5.3% 5.2%3.6%

2.5% 1.8% 1.7%

5.83

17.67

1.38

11.23

8.649.3

16.15

10.89

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

30.0%

China UnitedStates

India Russia Japan Germany Canada Korea,South

Shar

e

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

20

ton p

er

cap

ita

Share of CO2 Emissions CO2 Emissions per capita

<Source : In ternat ional Energy Stat ist ics>

4.49 ton per capita (World Average)

Page 7: The Green Innovation Policy in Japan · 2013-09-02 · 0 The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau,

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Recent Major Action in Japanese Recent Major Action in Japanese GovernmentGovernment

Page 8: The Green Innovation Policy in Japan · 2013-09-02 · 0 The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau,

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For the purpose of redesigning the strategy for Energy and Environment, The Energy and Environment Council was set up in June, 2011 and is considering an innovative strategy for energy and environment. (Based on the Decision by the Cabinet in May, 2011)

[Member of the Energy and Environment Council]Chairman :Minister of State for National PolicyVice Chairman :Minister of Economy, Trade and Industry

Minister of Environment (holding concurrently Minister for the Restoration from and Prevention of Nuclear Accident and Minister of State for the Nuclear Power Policy and Administration)

Member :Minister of Foreign Affairs Minister of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and TechnologyMinister of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries Minister of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and TourismMinister of State for Economic and Fiscal Policy Assistant Chief Cabinet Secretary appointed by the Chairman

Secretariat Director :Vice Minister of State for National Policy

The Energy and Environment Council

The Energy and Environment Council(Chairman : Minister of State for National Policy)

Consideration of Innovative Strategy for Energy and Environment

The Council on National Strategy and Policy (Chairman : Prime Minister)Important Basic Policy, National Vision

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The Schedule for Innovative Strategy for Energy and the Environment

The Advisory Committee for Natural Resources and Energy Report was issued on

Dec. 20

Atomic Energy Commission

Central Environment

CouncilReport was issued on

Dec. 9

Jun. 7, 2011

Set up the Energy and Environment Council as a subcommittee of the Council on the Realization of the New Growth Strategy

Jul. 29, 2011

Interim Compilation of Discussion Points for the Formulation of “Innovative Strategy for Energy and Environment was decided.

It was decided to create specific scenarios for reducing dependency of nuclear power and to seek to realize distributed energy systems

Oct. 3, 2011

The Third Energy and Environment CouncilSet up “Cost Estimation and Review Committee”

Cost Estimation and Review CommitteeReport was issued on

Dec. 19

Summer : The Energy and Environment CouncilDecision on the Innovative Strategy for Energy and the Environment

Dec. 22 The Fifth Council on National Strategy and PolicyAbove elements are reflected on The Strategy for Rebirth of Japan

Dec. 21, 2011 : The Fifth Energy and Environment CouncilBasic Policy towards the presentation of choices on the strategy for Energy and Environment was decided.

The Energy and

Environment Council

Consideration of Green Growth Strategy

The Advisory Committee for

Natural Resources and Energy

Original Plan of choices for

Energy Mix

Atomic Energy Commission

Original Plan of choices for

Nuclear Energy Policy

Central Environment

CouncilOriginal Plan of

choices for Global

Warming

The Energy and

Environment CouncilGreen

Growth Strategy (Draft)

The Advisory Committee for

Natural Resources and Energy New Energy Basic Plan

(Draft)

Atomic Energy Commission

General Principle of New Nuclear Power Policy

( Draft)

Central Environment

CouncilNew counter-measures on

global warming

(Draft)

Spring : The Energy and Environment CouncilPresentation of choices on Energy and Environment Strategy→ Promotion of national discussion

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1. Basic principle 2. Drastic enhancement of basic research 3. Development of S&T-related human

resources 4. Formation of an international-standard

research environment and foundations

1. Basic principle 2. Drastic enhancement of basic research 3. Development of S&T-related human

resources 4. Formation of an international-standard

research environment and foundations

1. Basic principle 2. Deepening relationship between society and STI 3. Promotion of effective STI policy 4. Expansion of R&D investment

1. Basic principle 2. Deepening relationship between society and STI 3. Promotion of effective STI policy 4. Expansion of R&D investment

1. The unprecedented crisis in Japan and changes in the world

2. Positioning of the Basic Plan

I.  Basic UnderstandingI. I.  Basic UnderstandingBasic Understanding

1. Basic policy2. Reconstruction and revival from the

disaster 3. Promoting green innovation4. Promoting life innovation 5. System reforms directed at promoting

STI

1. Basic policy2. Reconstruction and revival from the

disaster 3. Promoting green innovation4. Promoting life innovation 5. System reforms directed at promoting

STI

1. Basic principle2. Promoting measures for achieving the priority issues 3. System reforms directed at achieving the priority issues 4. Strategic development of international activities

1. Basic principle2. Promoting measures for achieving the priority issues 3. System reforms directed at achieving the priority issues 4. Strategic development of international activities

II. Achieving Sustainable Growth and Development toward the Future

IIII. . Achieving Sustainable Growth and Achieving Sustainable Growth and Development Development towardtoward the Futurethe Future

III. Coping with the Major ChallengesFacing Japan

III. III. Coping with the Major ChallengesCoping with the Major ChallengesFacing JapanFacing Japan

3. Achievements and issues from the 3rd Basic Plan

4. Principles for the 4th Basic Plan

The 4th Science and Technology Basic Plan

IV. Reinforcing of Basic Research and Human Resources Development

IV. IV. ReinforcReinforcinging of Basic Research and of Basic Research and Human Resources DevelopmentHuman Resources Development

V. Creating and Promoting Policies together with Society

V. Creating and Promoting Policies V. Creating and Promoting Policies together with Societytogether with Society

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Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology (MEXT) Other Ministries

Coordination

Universities Research Institutes

Research Funding Agencies

Cooperation

Prime Minister

Cabinet OfficeCouncil for Science and Technology Policy (CSTP)

S&T Basic Plan , Resource Allocation Policy ……

Administrative Structure of Science & Technology Policy

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METI16.2%

MHLW4.1%

MAFF3.0%

MOD2.7%

Others6.8%

MEXT67.1%

Science and Technology Related Budget in FY2011

S&T Related BudgetMinistry

JPY Tri. USD Bil.

MEXT Ministry of Education, Culture, sports, Science and Technology 2.45 (30.63)

METI Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry 0.59 (7.38)

MHLW Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare 0.15 (1.88)

MAFF Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Fisheries 0.11 (1.38)

MOD Ministry of Defense 0.1 (1.25)

Others Others 0.25 (3.13)

Total Total 3.65 (45.63)

Note The exchange rate : USD 1 = JPY 80

Page 13: The Green Innovation Policy in Japan · 2013-09-02 · 0 The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau,

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MEXTMEXT’’s Strategy for Green Innovation s Strategy for Green Innovation

Page 14: The Green Innovation Policy in Japan · 2013-09-02 · 0 The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau,

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Social System Transformation for Low Carbon SocietySocial System Transformation for Low Carbon SocietySocial System Transformation for Low Carbon Society

Other ministries &Local governments

IPCC GEOSSUniversities

&Research Institutes

Global Global ContributionContribution

ScenarioScenario

R&D of Nuclear Energy ( FBR & Fusion)

Strategic Basic Research Programs

Field ExperimentsField Experiments

Social System Reformation

ProgramMitigationMitigation AdaptationAdaptation

Social Scenario Research for Low Carbon Society

Establishment of the “Low Carbon Social Strategy Center” (JST)

To develop “Game Changing Technologies”

Advanced Low CarbonTechnologies (ALCA)Biomass Engineering (Riken)Environmental Materials (NIMS)

Climate Change Adaptation Strategy Initiative

Earth Simulator

DIAS

Comprehensive Earth Observation System

Climate Change Projection Program (KAKUSHIN Program)

Global“Environment-

Leaders”Training Program

MEXT’s Strategy for Green Innovation

Technology Transfer to other countries

Program for Risk Information on Climate Change

RECCA

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The LCS has set the objective of realizing a low carbon society by 2100. To achieve this objective, we will create scenarios and strategies for achieving milestones at 2030 and 2050 by means of Japanese knowledge on technologies inclusive of the humanities and social science.

The role of LCS is to draw an integrated scenario for realizing a low carbon society and publish widely for use by households, companies and national and regional governments.

PURPOSE

METHOD

1. Propose Regional Social SystemsWe study sustainable low carbon society systems that suit the characteristics of each region.

2. Create economic and social scenariosWe study optimal economic and social systems for 2030 and 2050.

3. Create technological scenariosWe study ways to promote the wider use of solar cells, storage batteries, fuel cells and other low carbon technologies.

RESEARCHES

Three Main Research Topics

Center for Low Carbon Social Strategy (LCS)ScenarioScenario

Page 16: The Green Innovation Policy in Japan · 2013-09-02 · 0 The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau,

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Promotion of R&D subject

Stage Gate Evaluation Additional

Adoption

Concentrated Investment

R&

D

R&D subject

Creation of “G

ame C

hanging Technology”

Break Through

Selection of R&D subject

Advanced Low Carbon Technology R&D Program (ALCA)

Creation of Cutting Edge Technology for Realization of the Low Carbon Society over the World in FuturePromote R&D, under competitive funding, of new basic high potential scientific knowledge and discovery to realize continual and steady reduction of greenhouse gas emission in middle and long term. We expect to obtain fruits of research leading to the Green Innovations. Making Conceptual Breakthrough and Creation of “Game Changing Technology”ALCA contributes to the reduction of Greenhouse Gas Emission in middle and long term (2030~2050) and the realization of low carbon and wealthy society.

What we do

Designated Research Areaa. Solar Cell and Solar Energy Systemb. Superconducting Systemc. Electric Storage Deviced. Ultra Heat-Resistant Material and High Quality Recycling Steele. Biotechnology Non-Designated Research area

Research Area (FY2011)

R&D subject

・R&D Period : Maximum 10 Years ・Research Fund : 10M ~ 100M yen/Year・Subject to tough Stage Gate Evaluation

Scheme

MitigationMitigation

Page 17: The Green Innovation Policy in Japan · 2013-09-02 · 0 The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau,

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• Creation of Innovative Technologies to Control Carbon Dioxide Emissions (2008-2015)

• Innovative Technology and System for Sustainable Water Use (2009-2016)

• Creation of Basic Technology for Improved Bioenergy Production through Functional

Analysis and Regulation of Algae and Other Aquatic Microorganisms (2011-2019)

• Creation of essential technologies to utilize carbon dioxide as a resource through the

Enhancement of plant productivity and the exploitation of plant products (2011-2019)

• Establishment of core technology for the preservation and regeneration of

marine biodiversity and ecosystems (2011-2019)

• Phase interfaces for Highly Efficient Energy Utilization (2011-2019)

Strategic Basic Research ProgramsPolicy Oriented Funding Program for Basic Research :

MEXT (Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology)

designate “Strategic Sectors”

JST set “Research Areas” and fund for R&D activities in the areas.

Examples of Research Areas for Promoting Green Innovation

MitigationMitigation

Page 18: The Green Innovation Policy in Japan · 2013-09-02 · 0 The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau,

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R&D on Nuclear Energy : Fusion

Nuclear fusion R&D

IFMIF/EVEDA (Engineering Validation and Engineering Design Activities for International Fusion Materials Irradiation Facility)

(IFERC)International Nuclear Fusion Energy Research Center

Leading-Edge R&D for Realizing the Energy of TomorrowUtilize and promote internationally collaborative R&D such as the ITER Project which consists of 7parties including Japan, China and Korea and the Broader Approach Activities for the realization of fusion energy other than the framework of ITER Project, which is abundant in resources, inherently safe, environmentally friendly, and has the potential to resolve global energy and environmental issues.

Promotion of Nuclear Fusion R&D

MitigationMitigation

Satellite TokamakProgramme

The ITER Project

Parties

Japan, EU, U.S.A., Russia, China,Korea, India

Location

Cadarache (France)

Director-GeneralofITER Organization

Mr. Osamu Motojima(Japanese)

The Broader Approach Activities

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Science and Technology Research Partnership for Science and Technology Research Partnership for Sustainable Development (SATREPS)Sustainable Development (SATREPS)

Universities and

Research Institutions

in Developing Countries

Universities and

Research Institutions

in Japan

Research PartnershipResearch Partnership

MOFA/JICAMOFA/JICA Collaboration

R&D Funding Support

Technical Cooperation

MEXT/JSTMEXT/JST

ODA

International Joint Research International Joint Research on on

EEnvironment and Energy, nvironment and Energy, Bioresources, Natural Bioresources, Natural Disaster Prevention, Disaster Prevention,

Infectious Diseases controlInfectious Diseases control

Global Global ContributionContribution

Page 20: The Green Innovation Policy in Japan · 2013-09-02 · 0 The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau,

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Policies for supporting foreign exchange students

Foreign exchange students

Collaborations

Learning together and close exchanges

Training Center(Universities)

Corporations, etc.

Developing Abilities for“Environment-Leaders”

Japanese students

Global Global ContributionContribution Global Global ““EnvironmentEnvironment––LeadersLeaders”” Training ProgramTraining Program

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Outline of GEOSS 10-year Implementation PlanThrough int’l cooperation, integrate satellite, ground and ocean earth observation and information systems to put in place a comprehensive and sustainable global earth observation system of systems within 10 years

Aim to produce information necessary for policy-making in fields that will benefit society: disasters, health, energy,climate, water, weather, ecosystems, agriculture, biodiversity

Establish intergovernmental meetings on earth observation (Group on Earth Observations:GEO), an int’l framework for the promotion of GEOSS

Group on Earth Observations (GEO)

GEO SecretariatIn WMO building, Geneva

GEO ministerial meetings (Earth Observation Summit) once every few years

GEO Plenary (86 countries + EC, 61 participating organizations), as of April 2011

4 Co-chairs from 2 developed and 2 developing countries (US, EC, South Africa, China)

Executive Committee (13 countries) (China, Korea, Japan, New Zealand) (EC, France, Germany)

(Russia) (South Africa, Niger) (US, Brazil, Chile)

Architecture and Data CommitteeCapacity Building CommitteeScience and Technology CommitteeUser Interface Committee

Committees

GEOSS : Global Earth Observation System of SystemsGlobal Global

ContributionContribution

Data Integration and Analysis Systems (DIAS)Data Integration and Analysis Systems (DIAS) : The University of Tokyo, JAXA, JAMSTEC

Activities for GEOSS in JapanActivities for GEOSS in JapanActivities for GEOSS in Japan

Asian Water Cycle Initiative (AWCI)Asian Water Cycle Initiative (AWCI) : The University of Tokyo (UT)

Forest Carbon TrackingForest Carbon Tracking( ALOS Kyoto & Carbon Initiative)( ALOS Kyoto & Carbon Initiative) : JAXA, NIES

Global Monitoring of Greenhouse Gases from Global Monitoring of Greenhouse Gases from Space (GMGG)Space (GMGG) : JAXA, NIES

GEO GridGEO Grid : AIST

Global Mapping Project Global Mapping Project : MLIT, GSI

Japanese Biodiversity Observation NetworkJapanese Biodiversity Observation Network(J(J--BON)BON) :J-BON Community

GEOSS Asia Pacific Symposium (GEOSSGEOSS Asia Pacific Symposium (GEOSS--AP)AP) :

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CSIRO(Australia), BMWF(Austria), FAPESP(Brazil), NSERC(Canada), NSFC(China), EC, ANR(France), BMBF/DFG(Germany), MoES(India), MEXT/JST(Japan), RCN(Norway), NRF(South Africa), NERC(UK),NSF(USA), ICSU, ISSC

‘the Belmont Challenge’delivering knowledge needed for action to avoid and adapt to detrimental

environmental change including extreme hazardous events

The Belmont Forum has developed a funders’ vision for the priority knowledge and capabilities derived fromenvironmental research that society needs, and the underpinning research challenges over the next decade to deliver them.

Belmont Forum

• Coastal vulnerability • Freshwater Security • Ecosystem Services • Carbon Budgets • Most vulnerable societies

Global Global ContributionContribution

PURPOSE

MEMBERS

PRIORITY RESEARCHES

Page 23: The Green Innovation Policy in Japan · 2013-09-02 · 0 The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau,

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・Providing the scientifically and socially valuable information by processing various kinds of earth observation data to foreign or domestic institutes

Overseas Institutes

・Generating projection information applicable to adaptation using the Earth Simulator which is one of the world highest performance super computers

・Monitoring the global temperature, concentration of Greenhouse gases, soil moisture, forest and land use, precipitation, three-dimensional distribution of cloud and aerosol by earth observing satellites.

・Observing the ocean, land and atmosphere by research vessels, buoy etc.

Earth Simulator

①Satellite observation data ②Ocean Observation data Triton buoy

③Land observation dataMoisturization of Siberian Area

Satellite remote sensing Argo float

GOSAT

Contribution to social needs

Prom

otion of data use/sharing

DIAS

Earth Observation, Projection, Integration適応戦略適応戦略AdaptationAdaptation

Integration

Projection

Earth Observation

Observation based on needs

Climate Change, Water resource management, Prevention or reduction of disastersWeather, Energy, Agriculture/Desert, Ecology, Biodiversity, infectious disease

Needs

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Earth Observation MissionsGreenhouse gases Observing SATellite(GOSAT)

Launch: 2009.1.23Mission:Greenhouse Gases Monitoring (CO2 、CH4)

Global Change Observation Mission (GCOM)

<GCOM-W>Launch:2012(FY)Mission:Global Sea Surface Temperature, Precipitation, Sea Ice etc

<GCOM-C>Launch:2014(FY)Mission:Global Cloud,

Moisture, Vegetation etc

Oceanographic Research Vessel M/V MiraiMissions: Water temperature, Salt, Current Speed etc

Global Precipitation Measurement (GPM)/Dual-frequency Precipitation

Radar (DPR)Launch:2013(FY)Mission:Global Precipitation

Monitoring (Japan develop DPR on board GPM)

EarthCARE/Cloud ProfilingRadar(CPR)

Launch:2013(FY)Mission:cloud and aerosol particles observation

(Japan developCPR on board ESA’s EarthCAREmission.

AdaptationAdaptation

Advanced Land Observing Satellite-2 (ALOS-2)

Launch:2013(FY)Missions:Global Land

monitoring (Radar)

Algo FloatsMissions: Water temperature, Salt, Dissolved oxygen etc

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Innovative Program of Climate Change Projection for the 21st century (KAKUSHIN Program)

Earth SimulatorJAMSTEC

Extreme Event Extreme Event ProjectionProjection

Long Term Global Long Term Global Change ProjectionChange Projection

Near Term Climate Near Term Climate PredictionPrediction

Cloud ModelingCloud Modeling

Long-term global environmental projection- Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology (JAMSTEC) et al.Near-term climate prediction

- Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute of the University of Tokyo et al.Extreme Event Projection

- Meteorological Research Institute (MRI) et al.Cloud Modeling

- Hydrospheric Atmospheric Research Center, Nagoya UniversitySubgrid-Scale Parameterization

- Department of Earth and Planetary Science, the University of Tokyo

Participating groups and their studies

Program planProgram plan

AdaptationAdaptation

A 5-year initiative (FY 2007-2011) by the MEXT(Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology ) launched in April 2007The Program is to follow-up and develop the “Kyo-sei” Project (FY 2002-2006)The Earth Simulator (to be updated) be further utilized.The Program intends to contribute to the possible AR5.Coordination with studies outside the Program in

impact, adaptation and response strategies to be closely kept.

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Innovative Program of Climate Change Projection for the 21st century (KAKUSHIN Program) ~ Latest Findings ~

AdaptationAdaptation

•• LongLong--Term Global Change ProjectionTerm Global Change Projection ::

CO2 emission rate from fossil fuels required to realize RCP2.6 concentration scenario have to be almost zero or negative in the latter half of 21st century.

•• NearNear--Term Climate Prediction Term Climate Prediction ::With various prediction experiments, we found that some of decadal climate changes are predictable for lead time more than 5 years.

•• Extreme Event Projection Extreme Event Projection ::We found an eastward shift of typhoon tracks and an increase in maximum surface wind velocity approaching coastal regions.

•• Contribution to IPCC AR5 Contribution to IPCC AR5 ::The experiments follow the CMIP5 protocol, and the outputs will be distributed through the CMIP5 servers.

RMS errors of 3-7-yr-lead prediction

Typhoons approaching land 【2075-2099 vs 1979-2003】

CO2 emission rate from fossil fuels required

MIROC-ESM

Page 27: The Green Innovation Policy in Japan · 2013-09-02 · 0 The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau,

26○ Generating risk information by sophisticating climate change projection and impact

assessment methods○ Contributing to the solution of global issues through international collaborative research

• Long-term climate projection considering carbon-nitrogen cycle and based on emission scenarios

Program for Risk Information on Climate Change

◯ Japan has suffered frequently from natural disasters. (typhoon, earthquake, flood, landslip, etc.)

○ Climate change increased risks preventing sustainable development.

○ It is important to set the target value based on scientific researches in frameworks on climate change.

Back GroundBack Ground

Generating a basic information regarding climate change risk management with climate change projection methods.

MissionMission

Program ContentsProgram ContentsⅠⅠ. Global environmental change . Global environmental change projection, detection and projection, detection and attributionattribution

• Precise prediction of climate change over the next some decades

Typhoon Water SecurityCoastal

Vulnerability Ecosystem

ⅡⅡ. Climate change projection . Climate change projection contributing to stabilization contributing to stabilization targettarget

ⅢⅢ. Research for . Research for risk information risk information on climate changeon climate change

ⅣⅣ. Research for climate . Research for climate change impact assessmentchange impact assessment

ⅤⅤ. International collaborative . International collaborative research for climate change research for climate change risksrisks

• Probabilistic projection of climate change

• Impacts of climate change on issues regarding sustainable development

• Contribution to cost benefit analysis

• Providing risk information and capacity building to vulnerable nations

• Concerning the worst case scenario

AdaptationAdaptation

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It is to develop multiple downscaling methods including dynamic and statistical ones, and new forward-thinking techniques. The goal is to take advantage of global climate change projection model for local-scale one and for impact assessments.

R&D for climate change adaptation simulation technology for regional climate change impact assessments and adaptation measures planning.

It is to develop an assimilation technology for observation data to reduce uncertainty of the simulation model. The model supplies scientific knowledge to review regional climate change impact assessment and adaptation

①ビルの人工排熱

②住宅の人工排熱

③車の人工排熱

④工場の人工排熱

⑤樹木の伐採等による

蒸発冷却能力の減少

⑥都市の凹凸

による日射捕捉率の増加

⑦天空率の減

少による放射冷却量の減少

⑨アスファルト・コンクリートの蓄熱

⑩風の遮断に

よる熱のよどみ

⑧大気汚染による下向き長波放射の増加

Simulation Technology for Climate Change AdaptationSimulation Technology for Climate Change Adaptation

Data Assimilation TechnologyData Assimilation Technology

Advanced Data Downscaling MethodsAdvanced Data Downscaling Methods

Climate Change Adaptation Strategy InitiativeClimate Change Adaptation Strategy Initiative

Data Integration and Analysis System (DIAS)

■ Construction of database collaboration in ministries, institutes etc.■Clearinghouse function for earth observation data■Storage function for large scale data such as earth observation data■Empirical research for data integration and analysis

The mission of DIAS is to produce the scientifically and socially valuable information by integrating and analyzing earth observation data, numerical model outputs and socio-economic data effectively.

AdaptationAdaptation

Research Program on Climate Change Adaptation (RECCA)

Page 29: The Green Innovation Policy in Japan · 2013-09-02 · 0 The Green Innovation Policy in Japan Yasushi TAGUCHI Director, Environment and Energy Division, Research and Development Bureau,

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Thank you very much!

有り難うございました。謝謝!고마웠습니다.

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