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THE DETERMINANT OF MSME FINANCING
DISTRIBUTION OF INDONESIA SYARIAH BANKS
By
Ulfah Noor Hasanah
ID No. 014201300152
A skripsi presented to the
Faculty of Business President University
In partial fulfillment of the requirements for
Bachelor Degree in Economics Major in Management
January 2017
PANEL OF EXAMINERS
APPROVAL SHEET
The panel of Examiners declare that skripsi entitled “THE DETERMINANT OF
MSME FINANCING DISTRIBUTION OF INDONESIA SYARIAH
BANKS” that was submitted by Ulfah Noor Hasanah majoring in Management
from Faculty of Business was assessed and approved to have passed the Oral
Examination on January 13th
2017.
___________________________
Chair – Panel of Examiners
___________________________
Examiner 1
___________________________
Examiner 2
ii
SKRIPSI ADVISER
RECOMMENDATION LETTER
The skripsi entitled “THE DETERMINANT OF MSME FINANCING
DISTRIBUTION OF INDONESIA SYARIAH BANKS” prepared and
submitted by Ulfah Noor Hasanah in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the
degree of Bachelor in the Faculty of Business has been reviewed and found to
have satisfied requirement for a skripsi fit to be examined. I therefore recommend
this skripsi for Oral Defense.
Cikarang, Indonesia, December 18th
2016
Acknowledged by, Recommended by,
Dr. Dra. Genoveva, M. M Dr. Drs. Chandra Setiawan, M. M., Ph. D
Head of Management Study Program Skripsi Adviser
iii
DECLARATION OF ORIGINALITY
I declared that this skripsi, entitled “THE DETERMINANT OF MSME
FINANCING DISTRIBUTION OF INDONESIA SYARIAH BANKS” is, to
the best of my knowledge and belief, and original piece of work that has not been
submitted, either in a whole part, to another university to achieve a degree.
Cikarang, Indonesia, January 18th
2017
Ulfah Noor Hasanah
iv
ABSTRACT
This study aimed to determine the factors that influence the MSME Financing
Distribution of Indonesia Syariah banks period 2011-2016. This research has
applied fixed effect model, used data taken from the bank’s financial reports.
Syariah banks have responsibility in creating social welfare and can be done
through the allocation of funding to MSME. The finding of this research, the
MSME Financing Distribution conducted Syariah bank are partially and
simultaneously affected simultaneously by the Inflation Rate, Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) Rate, Non-Performing Financing (NPF) and Return On Asset
(ROA). The variation of those four independent variables can explain 85.9% of
the variation influence MSME Financing Distribution variable.
Keywords: MSME Financing Distribution, Inflation Rate, Gross Domestic
Product (GDP) Rate, Non-Performing Financing (NPF) and
Return On Asset (ROA).
v
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
Gratefulness to Allah SWT who never stops giving His mercy and bless to the
researcher. With the ease and help of Allah SWT, researcher can finished the
skripsi entitled "The Determinant of MSME Financing Distribution of
Indonesia Syariah Banks". In the preparation of this skripsi, the researcher
aware of the limitations, capabilities, and knowledge of the researcher in the
preparation. But the difficulties can be assisted by several parties. Therefore the
researcher would like to thank the various parties that have provided assistance in
the form of energy and mind. A big thank you goes to the honorable:
1. Researcher’s family, mom, dad, and sister who are always sending
prayers, as well as provide assistance both moral and material in the
preparation of this skripsi.
2. Mr. Chandra Setiawan, as the researcher’s advisor, who has provided
advice, help, and guidance during this process until finish this thesis.
Thank you for your time and thought has been given all this time.
3. Researcher’s lecturers and seniors, Mr. Purwanto, Mrs. Isfandayani, Mr.
Dece Kurniadi, and Kak Bagas Bhirawa who have provided very useful
feedback from skripsi proposal until the researcher was able to finish
writing this skripsi.
4. Shafira Yustianita, Shabrina Ulfah, Wike Andrianti, and Trianisa Zulianti,
extraordinary friends in the college life who always provides
encouragement. Thank you for all the suggestions and inspiration that has
been given.
5. Sara Amalia Sadendra, Izazi Nur Shabrina, and Lolita Nataya, researcher’s
best friend who is always listening to the story and the complaint, a friend
who is always waiting for her to come home.
6. Selly Magdalenna Sherwin, Onie Insany Kodratillah, Sophia Dwi Ratna,
Agatha Risdani, Jonathan Arifin, Zerlinda Thariah Ulfa, and Rahmi Zuha
Emdi, friends who has always been a place to share stories and dreams.
All Banking and Finance Management 2013 and friends from other major
vi
and batch who cannot be mentioned here one by one, thank you for the
kindness and the friendship in this journey.
7. Other parties which cannot be mentioned one by one, which has provided
assistance to the researcher, so that the skripsi can be done well.
The author is fully aware that this skripsi still have many shortcomings,
although the researcher has sought the best possible way. Therefore, the
researcher expects the criticism and constructive suggestions to improved.
The author hopes that this skripsi is useful and can expand the knowledge
for us all.
Regards,
Ulfah Noor Hasanah
vii
TABLE OF CONTENT
PANEL OF EXAMINERS ...................................................................................... i
SKRIPSI ADVISER ............................................................................................... ii
DECLARATION OF ORIGINALITY .................................................................. iii
ABSTRACT ........................................................................................................... iv
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT ...................................................................................... v
TABLE OF CONTENT ........................................................................................ vii
CHAPTER 1 - INTRODUCTION .......................................................................... 1
1.1. Background .............................................................................................. 1
1.1.1. Problem Identification ....................................................................... 4
1.1.2. Research Question ............................................................................. 4
1.1.3. Research Objectives .......................................................................... 5
1.2. Significance of Study ............................................................................... 5
1.3. Limitation ................................................................................................. 6
1.4. Research Outline ...................................................................................... 6
CHAPTER 2 - LITERATURE REVIEW ............................................................... 8
2.1. Introduction .............................................................................................. 8
2.2 Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises ..................................................... 8
2.3. Inflation Rate ............................................................................................ 9
2.4. Growth Domestic Product (GDP) Rate .................................................. 10
2.5. Non-Performing Financing (NPF) .......................................................... 10
2.6. Return on Assets (ROA) ......................................................................... 10
2.7. Previous Research .................................................................................. 11
2.8. Research Gaps ........................................................................................ 12
2.8.1. Inflation Rate ................................................................................... 12
2.8.2. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Rate .............................................. 12
viii
2.8.3. Non-Performing Financing (NPF) .................................................. 13
CHAPTER 3 - METHODOLOGY ....................................................................... 14
3.1. Research Methods .................................................................................. 14
3.2. Theoretical Framework .......................................................................... 14
3.3. Hypotheses ............................................................................................. 15
3.4. Operational Definition of Variables ....................................................... 16
3.5. Instrument ............................................................................................... 17
3.6. Sampling ................................................................................................. 18
CHAPTER 4 - RESULT AND DISCUSSSION ................................................... 20
4.1. Descriptive Analysis ............................................................................... 20
4.2. Inferential Analysis ................................................................................ 21
4.2.1. Panel Data Regression..................................................................... 21
4.2.2. Classical Assumption Test .............................................................. 22
1. Normality Test ........................................................................................ 22
2. Autocorrelation Test ............................................................................... 23
3. Multicollinearity Test ............................................................................. 23
4. Heteroscedasticity Test ........................................................................... 24
4.2.3. Multiple Regression Analysis................................................................. 25
4.2.4. Hypotheses Testing ......................................................................... 27
4.2.4.1. Coefficient of Determination ........................................................ 27
4.2.4.2. F-test ............................................................................................. 27
4.4.3 T-test ................................................................................................ 28
4.3. Discussion .............................................................................................. 29
CHAPTER 5 - CONCLUSION ............................................................................ 32
5.1. Hypotheses Answer ................................................................................ 32
5.2. Recommendations .................................................................................. 33
REFFERENCE ...................................................................................................... 34
ix
APPENDICES........................................................................................................38
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
1.1. Background
Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises (MSME) have an important role and
strategic for the country's economic growth, both developing and developed
countries. The strategic position of the small business sector and the informal
sector has several advantages over large enterprises. MSME is very productive in
generating new employment and also can increase the amount of new business
units that support household income of the business. SMEs also tend to have more
flexibility when compared with large-capacity business (Citra, 2013). Various
strategic role owned by MSME sectors, but this sectors are also faced various
problems. Among other obstacles and problems are capital, business management
skills, and the quality of human resource managers. Obstacles and problems of
small and informal businesses were also due to the difficulty of access to
information and productive resources such as capital and technology, which
resulted in the limited ability of small businesses to thrive.
Attempts of progression and reinforcing of MSME today got critical thought from
the government. This is induced by the measure of basic and some key portion of
MSME in national monetary related progression. Other than a section in monetary
advancement and businesses, MSME also accepts a section in dispersing change
comes about. MSME sector has proved resilient, when the Economic Crisis of
1998, only the MSME sector that survived the collapse of the economy, while the
larger sector actually fell by crisis. It also happened when the second crisis in
2008, MSME proved resistant to the crisis and be able to survive because, first,
they do not have foreign debt. Secondly, not a lot of debt to banks because they
are considered unbankable. Third, the use of local inputs. Fourth, export-oriented
(Kuncoro, 2008).
2
Central Statistics Agency data shows, after the economic crisis of 1997-1998 the
number of MSME is not reduced, it increases steadily, even capable of reaching
51.3 million units, 90.9 million workers, and accounted for GDP amounted to
2,609 trillion IDR (55.6%). As well as providing foreign exchange contribution
amounted to 183.8 trillion (20%) (Bank Indonesia. 2015). The data proved,
MSME is a very potential market for the financial services industry, especially
banks to channel financing due to the fact, approximately 60-70% MSME do not
have access to bank financing.
Unfortunately, the huge potential of MSME are not in line with the Syariah bank
for the distribution of the MSME Financing Distribution. Can be seen from the
data below, the MSME Financing, Distribution of the three governments, banks,
Bank Negara Indonesia (BNI) Syariah, Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI) Syariah and
Bank Syariah Mandiri (BSM) experience the decreasing.
Figure 1.1 MSME Financing Distribution
Source: Financial Reports
According to Law No. 21 of 2008 concerning Syariah banking is anything that
concerns about the Syariah banks and Syariah business units, covering
institutional, business activities, as well as the manner and process of carrying out
its business activities. The regulation allows the development of Syariah banking
0
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BSM BNI Syariah BRI Syariah
3
very quickly. The growing number of branches of Syariah banks both from a
syariah bank and syariah division of conventional commercial banks (Karim,
2010).
Syariah banks ought to have the capacity to enable MSME for the most part
oversaw as per Syariah banks. In this way, the essential mission of Syariah banks
is to move the genuine area, particularly MSME, if the bank can do as such then
industry Syariah keeping money will decidedly affect the future improvement of
the national economy. Combined with the way that the most of the Indonesian
population is Muslim which reflects the state of the lion's share populace in the
MSME segment, properly Syariah keeping money framework could make a huge
commitment to the part. In addition, it is trusting the act of Syariah Managing an
account and its items are as per the business atmosphere in the MSME area.
Essential standards of theory for Syariah improvement bank in the advancement
of Small and Medium in the public eye is, help allowed without insurance or
underwriter, the objective gathering is a little group of poor underprivileged that
can possibly build up the business economy. Regarding loaning, Syariah banks
will offer need to the gatherings of individual who truly require the assets to
bolster its business achievement. In addition, help advances conceded by the
Syariah bank don't require any security or assurance individuals. Significantly,
Syariah bank's strategy is to keeping in mind that the end goal is to give monetary
help for little groups that identified with the administration of credit help itself
ought to be directed transparently and professionally with the rule of, by and for
the individuals. Furthermore, in the execution of the program, attempting to utilize
the gatherings that as of now exist in the group as a method for diverting credit
help.
Based on these descriptions, it is necessary to study how the influence of internal
and external variables, especially Inflation Rate, Growth Domestic Product (GDP)
Rate, Non-Performing Financing (NPF) and Return on Assets (ROA) to the
MSME Financing Distribution of Syariah bank. Therefore, the researcher takes
the title: The Determinant of MSME Financing Distribution of Indonesia
Syariah Banks.
4
1.1.1. Problem Identification
Funding and lending is the main activity of Syariah banks in providing facilities
for provision of funds to meet the needs of the community in need of funds
derived from the collection of funds that have been collected from people who
have excess funds. Because financing is the most important function of the use of
funds for Syariah banks, the bank needs to consider a variety of factors and what
aspects should be considered in making decisions on financing or distribution
problems there in the community (Siswati, 2013).
According to the background, the decreased of MSME Financing Distribution in
Indonesia Syariah Bank is regretting since how the MSME can survive from the
crisis that happened in Indonesia and got a small impact rather than the bigger
enterprises. The factors that implies some effects that divided by external factors
and internal factors should be reflect the MSME Financing Distribution.
1.1.2. Research Question
Based on the background described above, then the researcher formulate the
problem as follows:
1. Is there any significant partial influence of:
a. Inflation Rate towards MSME Financing Distribution in Indonesia
Syariah banks?
b. GDP Rate towards MSME Financing Distribution in Indonesia Syariah
banks?
c. NPF towards MSME Financing Distribution in Indonesia Syariah
banks?
d. ROA towards MSME Financing Distribution in Indonesia Syariah
banks?
2. Is there any simultaneous significant influence of Inflation Rate, GDP
Rate, NPF, and ROA toward the MSME Financing Distribution of
Indonesia Syariah Bank?
5
1.1.3. Research Objectives
The researcher has decided to conduct a research with the title “The Determinant
of MSME Financing Distribution of Indonesia Syariah Banks” The research
objectives of the study are:
1. To reach out whether it is significant partial influence of:
a. Inflation Rate towards MSME Financing Distribution in Indonesia
Syariah banks.
b. GDP Rate towards MSME Financing Distribution in Indonesia Syariah
banks.
c. NPF towards MSME Financing Distribution in Indonesia Syariah
banks.
d. ROA towards MSME Financing Distribution in Indonesia Syariah
banks.
2. To know whether there is any simultaneous significant influence of
Inflation Rate, GDP Rate, NPF, and ROA toward the MSME Financing
Distribution of Indonesia Syariah Bank.
1.2. Significance of Study
The research of "The Determinant of MSME Financing Distribution of Indonesia
Syariah Banks" could have a significant importance for the researcher itself to
provide a reference to conduct further research in the future. This research also
has importance to society as follows:
1. To represent a beneficial reference for knowledge for other studies.
2. For consideration in knowing the factors that inhibit and determine how to
maximize the MSME Financing Distribution.
3. This research could be used as a knowledge in terms of financing portfolio
and become a reference in the future.
6
1.3. Limitation
The limitation of this study is the big-three Syariah government bank based on
assets that published the financial report during the period of 2011-2016.
1.4. Research Outline
This research is presented with the contents that categorized into five chapters.
The chapters are:
CHAPTER I – INTRODUCTION
This chapter explains the background of this research. The decreasing of MSME
Financing Distribution growth of the Indonesia Syariah Bank has become an
attractive topic to be discussed since the importance of these matters that give
profitability for the government. This chapter is very essential in defining the
problems and finding out the main objectives in conducting this research.
CHAPTER II – LITERATURE REVIEW
This chapter is the collection of theories, concept, philosophies, and previous
researches which have been conducted related to the variables which will be
analyzed in this research. The theoretical review describes the definition of each
variable and the theory which supports this research.
CHAPTER III – METHODOLOGY
Methodology of research describes about the research method, hypotheses,
operational definition of the variables, instrument, and sampling method. The data
will be taken from the Syariah government bank. As this research is using
secondary data, the sources are retrieved from books, journals, websites, or case.
This chapter also includes a theoretical framework as the basis framework of this
research.
7
CHAPTER IV – RESULT AND DISCUSSION
This chapter outlines the main content of the research objectives by discussing
and analyzing the result of raw data and interpreting the result. The data will be
processed using Eviews 9.5 by undergoing several testing. This result will be
interpreted to prove the hypotheses and find out the influences of independent
variables toward dependent variable by having in-depth analysis.
CHAPTER V – CONCLUSION
This chapter will conclude all the analysis and interpretation in the previous
chapter. There will be also a recommendation from the result and advice to the
related parties regarding the results of research which has been accomplished
8
CHAPTER 2
LITERATURE REVIEW
2.1. Introduction
This chapter contains the literature review about a description of the theory,
findings and other research materials obtained from reference materials to be used
as a foundation of research activities to formulate a clear framework of the
formulation of the problem to be observed.
2.2 Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises
According to the Law on Micro, Small and Medium Enterprises of the Republic
of Indonesia number 20 of 2008 the definitions of MSME are:
Micro is a productive enterprise belonging to individuals and/or entities
individuals who meet criteria of micro enterprises as stipulated in this Act.
Small businesses are the economic efforts productively stand-alone, conducted by
an individual or business entity that is owned, controlled, or be a part either
directly or indirectly from medium or large businesses that meet the criteria of a
small business as defined in this Act.
Medium-sized businesses are productive economic activities that stand alone,
carried out by an individual or business entity that is not a subsidiary company or
not the brother of companies owned, controlled, or be a part either directly or
indirectly from a small business or large enterprise with total net assets or annual
sales revenue referred to in this Act.
Based on Law No. 20 of 2008 on SMEs, the criteria of micro, small and medium
enterprises are:
9
1. Criteria Micro:
a. Having a net worth of IDR 50,000,000,- (fifty million rupiah),
excluding land and buildings; or
b. It has an annual sales turnover of IDR 300.000.000,- (three hundred
million rupiah)
2. Criteria for Small Business:
a. Having a net worth of more than IDR 50,000,000,- (fifty million
rupiah) up to a maximum of IDR 500,000,000,- (five hundred million
rupiah) not including land and buildings; or
b. It has an annual sales revenue of more than IDR 300.000.000,- (three
hundred million rupiah) till the maximum of IDR 2.500.000.000,- (two
billion five hundred million rupiah).
3. Criteria Medium Enterprises:
a. Having a net worth of IDR 500,000,000,- (five hundred million rupiah)
up to at most IDR 10,000,000,000,- (ten billion rupiah), excluding land
and buildings; or
b. It has an annual sales revenue of more than IDR 2.500.000.000,- (two
billion five hundred million rupiah) to a maximum of IDR
50,000,000,000,- (fifty billion rupiah).
2.3. Inflation Rate
Inflation is a procedure of rising costs of merchandise all in all and continually
connected with market instruments that can be brought about by different
elements, similar to the ascending of utilization, overabundance liquidity in the
market that set off the utilization of even theory, to incorporate likewise because
of the absence of dispatch dispersion of products. It can likewise be said to
diminish the estimation of a coin is proceeding (Wibowo and Edhi Satrio, 2012).
In this study, the authors use the inflation data obtained from the official website
of the Otoritas Jasa Keuangan (OJK).
10
2.4. Growth Domestic Product (GDP) Rate
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is utilized to gauge of all merchandise and
ventures created by a nation in a given period. Components in the GDP is income,
expenditure or investment, government spending, and the difference in export
import (Wong, 2011).
The extent of the Gross domestic product is impacted by numerous things,
including household consumption (C), investment (I), government spending (G)
and net exports (X-M) (Kusumawardhani et al, 2012). The GDP data that the
researcher use is obtained from the official website of the Otoritas Jasa Keuangan
(OJK).
2.5. Non-Performing Financing (NPF)
Non-Performing Financing (NPF) is an estimation of the proportion of business
risk that the bank demonstrating the greatness of the danger of credit or money
related issues that exist in a bank (Sulistianingrum, 2013). Financing problems
describe a situation where the approval of the financing repayment is at risk of
failure, and even tend to experience a potential loss. The greater the NPF ratio the
greater the financial risk borne by the bank. Vice versa, if the NPF is getting
smaller, the credit risk of the bank is also smaller. In this case, after the financing
is given, then the banks are required to monitor the use of funding and compliance
capabilities and customer to meet its obligations (Sari, 2013).
NPF can be searched by the formula:
(Eq. 2.1)
2.6. Return on Assets (ROA)
Return on Assets (ROA) is the proportion used to quantify the bank's capacity to
make a benefit. This proportion shows administration's capacity to expand
benefits or benefits at the level of salary, resources, and certain share capital and
in addition to evaluate the capacity of administration to control costs.
11
In other words, it can describe the bank's productivity. The more prominent the
estimation of this proportion demonstrates the level of benefit of bank business is
improving or more advantageous. The stable of ROA proportion reflects the
security of the measure of capital and bank benefits. Stable keeping monetary
conditions will upgrade the capacity of banks in augmenting credit
(Meydianawati, 2007).
The ROA formula:
(Eq. 2.2)
2.7. Previous Research
1. Annisa Nurlestari in her research by the title "Analysis of Factors
Affecting MSME Lending (Study on Commercial Banks Listed in
Indonesia Stock Exchange 2009-2013).” The result of this research was
the CAR variable influence negatively and significantly to the distribution
of MSME credit, ROA variable influence negatively and significantly to
the distribution of MSME credit and DPK and NPL variable influence
positively and not significant to the distribution of MSME credit. Interest
spreads negatively influence variable and not significant to the distribution
of MSME credit.
2. Sulis Estiyani in her research by the title "Factors Affecting Financing
Small and Medium Enterprises In Syariah Banks and Syariah Business
Unit in Indonesia”. The result of the research showed that Third Party
Fund and Inflation simultaneously effect on MSME financing and partial
effect on Third Party Fund, NPF, and Inflation has a significant effect on
the financing of MSME sector in Indonesia
3. Wuri Arianti and Harjum Muharam in their research, “Analysis of the
Influence of Third Party Funds, Capital Adequacy Ratio, Net Performing
Financing and Return On Assets Of Financing In Syariah Banking (Case
Study at Bank Muamalat Indonesia Period 2001-2011)” From the results
12
of the analysis show that only DPK has positive significant influence to
financing, while CAR, NPF, and ROA have not influence to financing.
Stimulatingly the DPK, CAR, NPF, and ROA have significances influence
to financing.
4. Nurhidayah and Any Isvandiari in their research, “Internal Factors and
External Factors that Affecting the Allocation of Small and Medium
Enterprises Financing (Study of Indonesia Syariah bank).” From the
research found that the financing of MSME conducted Syariah bank is not
affected by the Inflation factor, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), the
margin for the result but it is only influenced and Financial Deposit to
Ratio (FDR).
5. Jamilah in her research, “Factors that Affecting the Mudharabah Financing
in Indonesia Syariah Banks” Based on the result of multiple regressions, it
shows that Third Party Funds (DPK) and capital adequacy ratio has
positive influence to the mudharabah financing, while Return on Assets
and Non-Performing Financing and Operating cost to the Operating
Revenue (OER) has negative influence to the mudharabah financing
2.8. Research Gaps
2.8.1. Inflation Rate
The result of Sulis Estiyani (2016), Harera Angga Kusuma (2014), and Sunaryati
and Yazid Afandi (2013) with the results of the Inflation Rate that has a positive
effect on MSME Financing Distribution, while Hafidh Wahyu Purnomo and
Arief Lukman Santoso (2013) and Nurhidayah and Any Isvandiari (2016)
researched, found that the inflation rate has insignificant effect towards MSME
Financing Distribution.
2.8.2. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Rate
According to research Nurhidayah and Any Isvandiari (2016), GDP Rate has
positive significant effect, but Hafidh Wahyu Purnomo and Arief Lukman
Santoso (2013) point out that the GDP rate has no significant relationship towards
MSME Financing Distribution.
13
2.8.3. Non-Performing Financing (NPF)
Based on Siti Nugraha (2014), Sulis Estiyani (2016), and Sunarsih and Slamet
Hilmi (2013)result, they got negative significant influence, whie for Yuwono and
Meiranto (2012) and Supiatno (2012), they stated that the NPF has no significant
effect towards MSME Financing Distribution.
2.8.4. Return on Assets (ROA)
Siti Nugraha (2014), Sulis Estiyani (2016), and Jamilah and Wahidahwati (2016)
resulted that ROA has negative significant influence, but Yuwono and Meiranto
(2012) and Wuri Arianti and Harjum Muharam (2011) stated that ROA has
insignificant relationship toward MSME Financing Distribution.
14
CHAPTER 3
METHODOLOGY
3.1. Research Methods
This research is in the form of an explanation regarding the relationship between
one variable with other variables through hypotheses testing. This research was
conducted using secondary data, which is the financial reports that published
quarterly, issued by Syariah Bank period 2011 to 2016 from three Syariah Bank
government; Bank Syariah Mandiri (BSM), Bank Negara Indonesia (BNI) Syariah
and Bank Rakyat Indonesia (BRI) Syariah.
This research will be conducted by adopting a quantitative approach to analyzing
determinant factors of MSME Financing Distribution in Indonesia Syariah Bank.
The quantitative method is selected because this research will focus on calculating
by inputting data to find out the result and conclude from the statistical result.
This research emphasize on measuring variables and testing hypotheses to find the
effect of independent variables towards dependent variable.
3.2. Theoretical Framework
Based on the variables mentioned, the variable which influences the MSME
Financing Distribution of Indonesia Syariah Bank can be described as follows,
15
Figure 2.1 Theoretical Framework
Source: Adjusted by Researcher
Based on figure 2.1 on the theoretical framework, this study consists of four
independent variables, Inflation Rate, GDP Rate, NPF, and ROA toward the
dependent variable, MSME Financing Distribution.
3.3. Hypotheses
Testing the hypotheses would be conducted by regression using panel data. These
analyses are used to examine the effect of Inflation Rate, GDP Rate, NPF, and
ROA towards MSME Financing Distribution. Hypotheses from this research as
follows:
Ho1: There is no significant effect of Inflation Rate toward the MSME Financing
Distribution.
Ha1: There is a significant effect of Inflation Rate toward the MSME Financing
Distribution.
Ho2: There is no significant effect of GDP Rate toward the MSME Financing
Distribution.
Inflation Rate [X1]
GDP Rate [X2]
NPF [X3]
MSME Financing
Distribution [Y]
ROA [X4]
16
Ha2: There is a significant effect of GDP Rate toward the MSME Financing
Distribution.
Ho3: There is no significant effect of NPF toward the MSME Financing
Distribution.
Ha3: There is a significant effect of NPF toward the MSME Financing
Distribution.
Ho4: There is no significant effect of ROA toward the MSME Financing
Distribution.
Ha4: There is a significant effect of ROA toward the MSME Financing
Distribution.
3.4. Operational Definition of Variables
Table 3.1 Operational Definition of Variables
Variable Operational
Definition Formula Scale
MSME
Financing
Distributi
on (Y)
Credits allocated
for the
development of
MSME that are
economically
feasible, but have
not bankable
Logarithm of the amount of MSME
financing of commercial banks at each
quarter of the year
Ratio
Inflation
Rate (X1)
Influenced by the
rising of
consumption,
excess liquidity in
the market
Ratio
17
GDP Rate
(X2)
The total of
consumption (C),
investment (I),
government
spending (G) and
net exports (X-M)
GDP = Consumption + Investment +
Government Spending + (Exports -
Imports)
Ratio
NPF (X3)
The amount
classified into
loans that have
the doubtful and
loss to total loan
collectibility
Ratio
ROA (X4)
Comparison of
net profit after tax
to total assets
Ratio
Source: Adjusted by Reseacher (2016, Nurlestari (2013), and Nurhidayah and Isvandiari (2016)
3.5. Instrument
This research will gather data from the bank quarter financial reports, OJK quarter
reports, journals, and websites related, therefore this research will only use those
for analysis. The main tool used is Econometric Views (Eviews) 9.5. Eviews
helps the researcher to make scientific and reliable research (Schwert, 2010). This
data use reviews to process the raw data statistically in order to get the result to be
interpreted in this research, such as normality, heteroscedasticity, autocorellation,
multicolleniarity, and multiple regressions.
Microsoft Excel 2007 also used to process the raw data obtained, as well as
Microsoft Word 2007 which used to compose the research.
18
3.6. Sampling
Sampling Testing is the way toward selecting a proper number of the correct
subjects from the populace as the agents of the examination (Sekaran and Bougie,
2011). If a sampling is done correctly, the result of statistical analysis can be used
to conclude a whole population. The population of this study was taken from the
data bank financial report with data samples per quarter period January 2011 to
June 2016. The population used in this study are all Syariah banking in Indonesia
during the period 2011- 2016 with a total of 12 banks. The samples in this study
were done by using purposive sampling. Purposive sampling technique is done by
selecting a sample in accordance with the criteria that have been set. Criteria in
sampling with purposive sampling technique in this research are to consider
Syariah banking is included in government bank during the period 2011-2016, the
government of Syariah banking are included in the category of large 3, and the
bank providing complete financial ratios in accordance with the variables to be
observed during the period of the study, which was in 2011-2016. Based on these
criteria, then of a total population of 12 Syariah banks, used the total sample of
three banks, namely, PT. Bank Syariah Mandiri Tbk., PT. Bank Negara Indonesia
Syariah Tbk., PT. Bank Rakyat Indonesia Tbk Syariah. The method used in this
research is multiple regression analysis. Multiple regression analysis was utilized
to foresee substantial factors (dependent variable) utilizing information from at
least two free factors (independent variable) were already known to the magnitude
(Santoso, 2010). This quantitative data analysis begins with collecting data and
then processed using Eviews. Eviews is a computer application that can analyze
data and perform statistical calculations to test normality, heteroscedasticity,
autocorellation, multicolleniarity, and multiple regression. The data used in this
research is time series data with the quarterly period. Multiple linear regression
equation is as follows:
Y = 0 + 1X1 + 2X2 + 3X3 + 4X4 + ε
Where:
Y = MSME Financing Distribution
(Eq.1)
19
0 = Intercept/constant
1-4 = Partial regression coefficient
X1 = Inflation Rate
X2 = GDP Rate
X3 = NPF
X4 = ROA
ε = Random Error
20
CHAPTER 4
RESULT AND DISCUSSSION
4.1. Descriptive Analysis
Descriptive statistic provides general information for each variable which includes
the minimum value, maximum value, mean value and standard deviation value
can be seen in Table 4.1 below:
Table 4.1 Descriptive Statistic
MSME
Inflation
Rate GDP Rate NPF ROA
Mean 39.03939 5.820455 5.644545 3.688636 1.195303
Median 30.81000 5.165000 5.745000 3.255000 1.215000
Maximum 77.72000 10.60000 6.500000 6.890000 3.420000
Minimum 16.71000 3.370000 4.670000 1.860000 0.030000
Std. Dev 19.80334 1.978215 0.672035 1.456410 0.713799
Observation 66 66 66 66 66
Source: Eviews 9.5
Based on Table 4.1 it can be seen that the amount of data that examined as many
as 66 observations with Micro, Small Medium Enterprises (MSME) Financing as
the dependent variable, which has a minimum value of 16.71, a maximum value
of 77.72, standard deviation of 19.8 and an average value of 39.04. The greater of
average value than the standard deviation value indicates that the data is spread
out well.
Inflation Rate has a minimum value of 3.37, maximum value of 10.6, standard
deviation of 1.98 and an average value of 5.82. The greater of average value than
the standard deviation value indicates that the data is spread out well.
21
Growth Domestic Product (GDP) Rate has a minimum value of 4.67, the
maximum value of 6.5, the value of a standard deviation of 0.67 and an average
value of 5.64. The greater of average value than the standard deviation value
indicates that the data is spread out well.
Non-Performing Financing (NPF) has a minimum value of 1.86, the maximum
value of 6.89, and the average value obtained is equal to 3.69, while the standard
deviation of 1.45. With a standard deviation appear smaller than the mean and the
mean value of the standard NPF variable on the data spread well NPF.
Return on Assets (ROA) has a minimum value of 0.3, the maximum value of 3.42,
and the average value obtained is at 1.20, while the standard deviation of 0.71.
The greater of average value than the standard deviation value indicates that the
data is spread out well.
4.2. Inferential Analysis
There are three basic approaches used in estimating the regression model with
panel data which are common effect, fixed effect, and random effect. In order to
choose the right approach to be used, the model should pass the Chow test.
4.2.1. Panel Data Regression
1. Chow Test (Likelihood Ratio)
Chow test is used to select whether the approach used is common or fixed
effect.
Table 4.2 Chow Test
Redundant Fixed Effects Test
Equation: Untitled
Test cross-section fixed effects
Effect Test Statistic d.f. Prob
Cross-section F 114.510908 (2.59) 0.0000
Cross-section Chi-Square 104.642919 2 0.0000
Source: Eviews 9.5
22
Based on the table 4.2 the probability value of Chow test is significant at
0.000, less than 0.05, it is mean that the fixed model is preferable for this
research.
4.2.2. Classical Assumption Test
In this study, researcher conducted tests on some classical assumptions used
because using a secondary data. The classical assumption is Normality Test,
Multicolinearity Test, Heteroscedasticity Test, and Autocorrelation Test.
1. Normality Test
The normality test aims to determine whether the regression model, or
residual confounding variables have a normal distribution of data
(Ghozali, 2011)
Table 4.3 Normality Test
Series: Standardized Residuals
Sample 2011Q1 2016Q2
Observation 66
Mean 2.66ee-16
Median -0.011330
Maximum 16.24851
Minimum -20.10671
Std. Dev 7.062086
Skewness -0.422466
Kurtosis 3.161797
Jarque-Bera 2.035241
Probability 0.361454
Source: Eviews 9.5
23
Based on Table 4.3, Normality Test showed that the regression model
already has a residual value that is normally distributed. This is indicated
by probability value is above 0.05, which is 0.36. The amount of data
which produces the residual value that is normally distributed as many as
66 samples. Thus the regression model to meet the assumption of
normality.
2. Autocorrelation Test
This test aims to test whether there is a correlation between an error bullies
period t to the previous period (t-1) in a linear regression model that was
used. If there is a correlation, then there is a problem of autocorrelation.
The autocorrelation problem should not happen if you want to get a good
regression model (Ghozali, 2011). How to detect the presence or absence
of autocorrelation is using the Durbin-Watson test (D-W test). The result
of the Durbin-Watson test calculation that there will be compared with the
value of the Durbin-Watson tables. For this study, the test results
autocorrelation can be seen in table 4.4 below:
Table 4.4 Durbin-Watson Test
Weighted Statistics
Durbin-Watson stat 0.738027
Source: Eviews 9.5
Durbin Watson test calculation results obtained amounted to 0.74 which
lies between -2 and +2. From the calculation above, it can be stated that
the study is free from the autocorrelation problem.
3. Multicollinearity Test
This test aims to examine the correlation between the independent
variables in the regression model. The lack of correlation between the
independent variables indicates the good regression model.
24
Table 4.5 Multicollinearity Test
Inflation_Rate GDP_Rate NPF ROA
Inflation_Rate 1.000000 0.061479 -0.029390 0.111278
GDP_Rate 0.061479 1.000000 -0.459582 0.447093
NPF -0.029390 -0.459582 1.000000 -0.398747
ROA 0.111278 0.447093 -0.398747 1.000000
Source: Eviews 9.5
From Table 4.5 above, it can be seen that each independent variables have
the result of less than 0.7. The highest yield was between GDP Rate and
the NPF, which only reached 0.46. So it can be ascertained that the study
is free from multicollinearity problems.
4. Heteroscedasticity Test
This test aims to see whether there is inequality residual variance from one
observation to another observation. A good regression model and the
expected data are having a similar variance or called homoscedasticity
(Ghozali, 2011).
Table 4.6 Heteroscedasticity Test
Dependent Variable: MSME
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 11/25/16 Time 22:10
Sample: 2011Q1 2016Q2
Periods included: 22
Cross-section included: 3
Total panel (balanced) observation: 66
White cross-section standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected)
Source: Eviews 9.5
25
From the table 4.6 above, it shows that “White cross-section standard
errors & covariance (d.f. corrected)” appears in the result, because the
researcher choose to tick the “white test” in the Eviews software to solve
the heteroscedastisity problem that may exist in this research
4.2.3. Multiple Regression Analysis
Multiple linear regression analysis is an analytical tool to determine and analyze
how much influence an independent variables on the dependent variable. In this
research, the dependent variable used is the MSME Financing Distribution while
the independent variables are Inflation Rate, GDP Rate, NPF, and ROA
Table 4.7 Multiple Regression Analysis
Dependent Variable: MSME
Method: Panel Least Squares
Date: 11/25/16 Time 22:10
Sample: 2011Q1 2016Q2
Periods included: 22
Cross-section included: 3
Total panel (balanced) observation: 66
White cross-section standard errors & covariance (d.f. corrected)
Variable Coefficient Std. Error T-statistic Prob
Inflation_Rate 1.090954 0.306114 3.563887 0.0007
GDP_Rate 4.564523 1.018670 4.480867 0.0000
NPF -3.728057 0.605234 -6.159695 0.0000
ROA -6.893221 1.986048 -3.470823 0.0010
C 28.91582 5.758504 5.021413 0.0000
Source: Eviews 9.5
Based on the output data from Table 4.7 it can be arranged multiple linear
regression equation as follows:
Y = 28.91582 + 1.09095*INFLATION_RATE + 4.56452*GDP RATE –
3.72805*NPF– 6.89322*ROA
(Eq. 2)
26
From the regression equation above, we can interpret as follows:
1. The value of the above equation is constant at 28.92 which means that
MSME Financing Distribution will be worth of 28.92 if variables such as
Inflation Rate, GDP Rate, NPF and ROA were not there.
2. Inflation variable has a positive regression coefficient that is equal to 1.09.
Positive coefficient values indicate that the number of Inflation has a
positive effect toward the MSME Financing Distribution. This illustrates
that if an increasing rate of Inflation as much as one percent, it will cause
the increase in the value of MSME of 1.09 percent, assuming the other
independent variables are constant.
3. The GDP Rate variable has a positive regression coefficient that is equal to
4.56. Positive coefficient values indicate that the GDP Rate have a positive
effect toward the MSME Financing Distribution. This illustrates that if
GDP Rate is increased by one percent, it will cause the increase in the
value of MSME at 4.56 percent, assuming the other independent variables
are constant.
4. NPF variable has a negative regression coefficient that is equal to -3.73.
This negative coefficient value indicates that the NPF influence on the
number of MSME Financing Distribution is negative. This illustrates that
if there is an increase NPF value as much as one percent will lower the
value of MSME amounted to 3.73 percent, assuming the other independent
variables are constant.
5. ROA variable has a negative regression coefficient that is equal to -6.89.
Negative coefficient values indicate that ROA negative effect on MSME
Financing Distribution. This illustrates that if there is an increase ROA
value as much as one percent, it will cause the value of MSME Financing
Distribution will lower the value MSME Financing Distribution to 6.89
percent, assuming that the other independent variables are constant.
27
4.2.4. Hypotheses Testing
4.2.4.1. Coefficient of Determination
Based on these results, it can be shown that the determinant coefficient value (R2)
Table 4.8 Coefficient of Determination
R-squared 0.872829
Adjusted R-squared 0.859896
S.E. of regression 7.412482
Source: Eviews 9.5
According to Table 4.8, the magnitude of an Adjusted R Square is 0.859 this
means that 85.9% of the variation MSME Financing Distribution can be explained
by the variation of the four independent variables, Inflation Rate, GDP Rate, NPF,
and ROA while the remaining 14.1% is explained by other variables outside
research.
4.2.4.2. F-test
The statistical test F (simultaneously) is used to test whether all the independent
variables are the Inflation Rate, GDP Rate, NPF, and ROA were included in the
model have influence together with the dependent variable, MSME Financing
Distribution.
Table 4.9 F-test
Sum squared resid 3241.748
Log likelihood -222.1590
F-statistic 67.49023
Prob(F-statistic) 0.000000
Source: Eviews 9.5
According to Table 4.9 obtained calculated F value of 67.49 with probability of
0.0000. Since the probability is less than 0.05, then the independent variables such
as Inflation Rate, GDP Rate, NPF, and ROA simultaneously affect the MSME
Financing Distribution
28
4.4.3 T-test
Based on Eviews 9.5 outputs, partial influence of four independent variables,
namely Inflation Rate, GDP Rate, NPF, and ROA as shown in Table 4.7. Based
on the test results of T-test, then the result is as follows:
1. T-tests on Inflation Rate.
The first hypothesis states that the Inflation rate positive effect on the
MSME Financing Distribution. Based on the calculation on the result that
the probability of Inflation rate at 0.0007 to the T-statistic value at 3.56.
The probability that lower than 0.05 means that the Inflation rate has a
significant effect partially to MSME Financing Distribution. The positive
result in the T-statistic, the which is 3.56 means that the Inflation rate has
positive effect and significant to MSME Financing Distribution.
Therefore, the Ha1 is accepted (Ho1 rejected).
2. T-tests on Gross Domestic Product (GDP) Rate.
The second hypothesis states that GDP Rate has a positive effect on the
MSME Financing Distribution. Based on the calculation on the result that
GDP Rate variable amounted to probability 0.0000 with a value of T-
statistic of 4.48. The probability is lower than 0.05 means that GDP Rate
has a significant effect partially to MSME Financing Distribution. The
positive result in the T-statistic, the which is 4.48 means that GDP Rate
has positive and significant effect to MSME. Therefore, the Ha2 is
accepted (Ho2 rejected).
3. T-tests on the Net Performing Finance (NPF).
The third hypothesis states that NPF has a negative effect on the MSME
Financing Distribution. Based on the calculation on the result that the
probability of 0.0000 with the NPF variable T-statistic value of -6.16. The
probability which is lower than 0.05 means that NPF has a significant
effect partially to MSME Financing Distribution. The negative result in
the T-statistic, which is -6.16 means that NPF has a negative effect and
29
significant to MSME Financing Distribution. Therefore, the Ha3 is
accepted (Ho3 rejected).
4. T-test of Return On Asset (ROA).
The fourth hypothesis says that ROA negative effect on the MSME
Financing Distribution. Based on the calculation on the result that the
probability of ROA amounted to 0.0010 by T-statistic value of -3.47. The
probability is lower than 0:05 means that the ROA has a significant effect
partially to MSME. The negative result in the T-statistic, which is -3.47
means that ROA has a negative effect and significant to MSME Financing
Distribution. Therefore, the Ha4 is accepted (Ho4 rejected).
4.3. Discussion
1. Inflation Rate has a positive effect on MSME Financing Distribution, Ha1
proven. These results support the results of the study of Sulis Estiyani
(2016), Harera Angga Kusuma (2014), and Sunaryati and Yazid Afandi
(2013) with the results of the Inflation Rate that has a positive effect on
MSME Financing Distribution, and the researcher could not found the the
negative effect result. The greater the level of Inflation rate that occurred
in Indonesia happened, the higher rate of the MSME finance portfolio.
That is because the rate of inflation is very influential in the economy,
particularly in the banking activities. Conditions of high inflation led the
Bank Indonesia issued regulations to raise interest rates on deposits of
banks in Indonesia. This is in order so that inflation can be controlled.
However, because of that, banks are forced to raise interest rates on loans.
2. GDP Rate has a positive effect on MSME Financing Distribution, Ha2
proven. These results support the results of research Nurhidayah and Any
Isvandiari (2016), but the results are different from the results of Harera
Angga Kusuma (2014) research with the result that GDP Rate has a
negative effect. The greater the level of this independent variable that
occurred in Indonesia led to the high rate of the MSME finance portfolio.
30
That is because the economic condition of a country has a positive
relationship with the bank's ability to absorb and distribute public funds.
This indicates that the economic instability of a country which is reflected
in the GDP Rate will lead to goods and services produced within the
community to grow and increase the prosperity of society. The increase of
economic activity will encourage increase public revenue, an increase of
those revenues will promote the ability of people to invest which means
the need for funding to be increased including making requests toward the
MSME Financing Distribution.
3. NPF negatively affects MSME Financing Distribution, Ha3 proven. These
results support the results Siti Nugraha (2014), Sulis Estiyani (2016), and
Sunarsih and Slamet Hilmi (2013) but the results are different from the
results of the research of Annisa Nurlestari (2015) and Nana Nofianti et.
all (2015). Financial problems are inversely proportional to the
distribution of funding, whereby the NPF reflects the level of cost control
and policy or credit, which is run by the bank, so the lower the NPF, the
higher the amount of financing that will be distributed by banks. The
higher the NPF shows the lack of ability of banks to collect the credit
issuance. The less money loan back to the bank, it will cause the bank
funds available for distribution on the wane. As a result, the bank will
reduce the amount of funds that will be distributed to the public.
4. ROA negatively affect MSME Financing Distribution, Ha4 proven. These
results support the results of the study Siti Nugraha (2014), Sulis Estiyani
(2016), and Jamilah and Wahidahwati (2016), but these results differ from
the results of the research of Annisa Nurlestari (2015), and Dwi Fitriani
(2012). The results of this study are not in accordance with the theory that
the higher the ROA then cause the value of financing to be increased. It
means when the ROA is higher, it is because of the lower of MSME
Financing Distribution is channeled by a bank, and when the distribution
of MSME Financing Distribution increased, it will lowered the ROA level.
The difference is probably due to the high value of NPF in three banks that
are used as sample. More and more credit problems reflected in the NPF
ratio indicates the lack of ability of banks to raise funds disbursed. The
31
less money back to the bank financing will lead to bank funds available for
distribution decreasing.
Besides that, It also because of the inconsistency between the increase or
decrease in ROA on the amount of financing on each period. As happened
in Bank Syariah Mandiri’s ROA in 2014 second quarter two were
increased from by 11.49% from the quarter before, but the MSME
Financing Distribution has decreased up to 77.27%, the opposite happened
in Bank Rakyat Indonesia Syariah in 2012 second quarter that declined
ROA of 1.05% from the first quarter followed by a rise in MSME
Financing Distribution by 85% as well as Bank Negara Indonesia Syariah
in 2015 fourth quarter that declined ROA amounted to 4.97% from the
previous quarter, an increase of 7.69% MSME Financing Distribution
happened.
There is also the difference between the financing of banks used as
sample. BSM used their fund more to the consumer banking financing,
BNIS financing more to the retail business, while BRIS is the one who
used their fund mostly in micro financing.
32
CHAPTER 5
CONCLUSION
5.1. Hypotheses Answer
Based on test results and the discussion of the effect of independent variables in
the form of the Inflation Rate, Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rate, Non-
Performing Financing (NPF), and Return on Assets (ROA) towards Micro, Small
Medium Enterprises (MSME) Financing of Indonesia Syariah Government Bank,
the conclusions about the research, are:
1. Regarding the T-test result, it shows that several independent variables
reveal significant influence partially to dependent variable as follow:
a. In the first hypothesis testing, Inflation Rate has a positive and
significant effect toward MSME Financing Distribution. The rate of
inflation is very influential in the economy, particularly in the banking
activities. Conditions of high inflation led Bank Indonesia issued
regulations to raise interest rates on deposits of banks, in order to make
inflation controlled. However, because of that, banks are forced to
raise interest rates on loans.
b. In the second hypothesis testing, GDP Rate has a positive and
significant influence on MSME Financing Distribution. That is
because The economic condition of a country has a positive
relationship with the bank's ability to absorb and distribute public
funds. The increased economic activity will encourage the increased of
public revenue, and then will promote the ability of people to invest,
therefore the need for funding will be increased including the MSME
Financing Distribution.
c. In the third hypothesis testing, it is known that the NPF has a
significant negative effect on the distribution of the MSME Financing
Distribution. The high NPF lead to reluctance of banks to extend
33
credit because they have to use a lot of bank reserves so the financing
tends to be low.
d. In the fourth hypothesis testing, it is known that the ROA has a
significant negative effect on MSME Financing Distribution. The
possibility reason because the only experience bank on MSME
Financing Distribution among the sample is BRIS. The other two
banks; BSM more focus on consumer banking financing and BNIS
more focus in the retail business financing.
2. According to F-statistic test result, Inflation Rate, GDP Rate, NPF, and
ROA have significant value of 0.000. It means that the independent
variables are simultaneously significant influence the dependent variable.
5.2. Recommendations
Future studies should analyze the factors affecting the financing portfolio
that is more diverse, because based on previous research referenced in this
research, the type of variables used are still very limited. There should be
more external factors such as the macroeconomic factors, so that the result
can explain the variation of dependent variable higher than this research
finding.
34
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Non Performing Financing (NPF) terhadap Return On Asset (ROA). Jakarta:
Universitas Islam Negeri Syarif Hidayatullah. Jakarta.
Wibowo, Edhi Satrio. (2012). Analisis Pengaruh Suku Bunga, Inflasi, CAR,
BOPO, NPF terhadap Profitabilitas Bank Syariah. Semarang. Universitas
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Websites / Electronic Sources
Schwert,G. W. (2010). Descriptive Statistic & Test. Retrieved December 2016,
from Eviews 7 User’s Guide I: http://schwert.ssb.rochester.edu/a425/EV71.pdf
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Terdaftar di Bursa Efek Indonesia Pada Tahun 2009 – 2011 . Portalgaruda.org
37
www.bi.go.id
www.syariahmandiri.co.id
www.bnisyariah.co.id
www.brisyariah.co.id
www.ojk.go.id
38
APPENDICES
Appendix 1: Descriptive Statistic
39
Appendix 2: Multiple Regression Analysis
40
Appendix 3: Normality Test - Histogram
41
Appendix 4: Multocollinearity Test
42
Appendix 5: Chow Test
43
Appendix 6: Table
(%)
Bank Year MSME NPF ROA GDP Inflation
Rate
BSM 2011Q1 34,54 3,3 2,22 6,5 10,6
BSM 2011Q2 34,47 3,49 2,21 6,5 8,5
BSM 2011Q3 30,76 3,21 2,03 6,5 4,93
BSM 2011Q4 24,48 2,42 1,95 6,5 4,15
BSM 2012Q1 25,35 2,52 2,17 6,32 3,37
BSM 2012Q2 25,67 3,04 2,25 6,33 4,49
BSM 2012Q3 25,35 3,10 2,22 6,29 4,48
BSM 2012Q4 33,76 2,82 2,25 6,26 4,41
BSM 2013Q1 33,29 3,44 2,56 5,99 5,26
BSM 2013Q2 32,88 2,90 1,79 5,85 5,65
BSM 2013Q3 32,9 3,40 1,51 5,76 8,60
BSM 2013Q4 31,65 4,32 1,53 5,73 8,36
BSM 2014Q1 27,35 4,88 1,17 5,16 7,76
BSM 2014Q2 30,9 6,46 0,66 5,11 7,09
BSM 2014Q3 30,86 6,76 0,8 5,07 4,35
BSM 2014Q4 30,1 6,84 0,17 5,06 6,47
BSM 2015Q1 29,05 6,81 0,44 4,71 6,54
BSM 2015Q2 33,83 6,67 0,55 4,67 7,07
BSM 2015Q3 27,02 6,89 0,42 4,74 5,07
BSM 2015Q4 27,86 6,06 0,56 5,04 3,95
BSM 2016Q1 26,97 6,42 0,56 4,91 3,50
BSM 2016Q2 26,2 5,58 0,62 5,18 3,45
BRIS 2011Q1 75,41 2,43 0,23 6,5 10,6
BRIS 2011Q2 74,89 3,4 0,2 6,5 8,5
BRIS 2011Q3 77,23 2,8 0,4 6,5 4,93
BRIS 2011Q4 77,72 2,77 0,2 6,5 4,15
BRIS 2012Q1 76,79 3,31 0,17 6,32 3,37
44
BRIS 2012Q2 75,99 2,88 1,21 6,33 4,49
BRIS 2012Q3 75,06 2,87 1,34 6,29 4,48
BRIS 2012Q4 74,49 3,00 1,19 6,26 4,41
BRIS 2013Q1 76,79 3,04 1,71 5,99 5,26
BRIS 2013Q2 68,81 2,89 1,41 5,85 5,65
BRIS 2013Q3 68,91 2,98 1,36 5,76 8,60
BRIS 2013Q4 63,43 4,06 1,15 5,73 8,36
BRIS 2014Q1 71,08 4,04 0,46 5,16 7,76
BRIS 2014Q2 69,72 4,38 0,03 5,11 7,09
BRIS 2014Q3 71,14 4,79 0,2 5,07 4,35
BRIS 2014Q4 42,93 4,60 0,08 5,06 6,47
BRIS 2015Q1 41,27 4,96 0,53 4,71 6,54
BRIS 2015Q2 42,21 5,31 0,78 4,67 7,07
BRIS 2015Q3 41,79 4,90 0,8 4,74 5,07
BRIS 2015Q4 42,67 4,86 0,76 5,04 3,95
BRIS 2016Q1 42,64 4,84 0,99 4,91 3,50
BRIS 2016Q2 43,4 4,87 1,03 5,18 3,45
BNIS 2011Q1 18,79 4,44 3,42 6,5 10,6
BNIS 2011Q2 18,42 4,17 2,22 6,5 8,5
BNIS 2011Q3 16,71 3,6 2,37 6,5 4,93
BNIS 2011Q4 17,42 3,62 1,29 6,5 4,15
BNIS 2012Q1 19,71 4,27 0,63 6,32 3,37
BNIS 2012Q2 21,18 2,45 0,65 6,33 4,49
BNIS 2012Q3 22,96 2,33 1,31 6,29 4,48
BNIS 2012Q4 23,34 2,02 1,48 6,26 4,41
BNIS 2013Q1 25,45 2,13 1,62 5,99 5,26
BNIS 2013Q2 27,89 2,11 1,24 5,85 5,65
BNIS 2013Q3 29,46 2,06 1,22 5,76 8,60
BNIS 2013Q4 30,56 1,86 1,37 5,73 8,36
BNIS 2014Q1 35,17 1,96 1,22 5,16 7,76
BNIS 2014Q2 30,21 1,99 1,11 5,11 7,09
BNIS 2014Q3 30,76 1,99 1,11 5,07 4,35
45
BNIS 2014Q4 24,28 1,86 1,27 5,06 6,47
BNIS 2015Q1 29,97 2,22 1,2 4,71 6,54
BNIS 2015Q2 22,81 2,42 1,3 4,67 7,07
BNIS 2015Q3 22,17 2,54 1,32 4,74 5,07
BNIS 2015Q4 21,12 2,53 1,43 5,04 3,95
BNIS 2016Q1 19,31 2,77 1,65 4,91 3,50
BNIS 2016Q2 19,3 2,80 1,59 5,18 3,45