15
Morgan Housel Interview -February 2021- Ted Oakley Managing Partner

Ted Oakley Managing Partner - oxbowadvisors.com

  • Upload
    others

  • View
    3

  • Download
    0

Embed Size (px)

Citation preview

Page 1: Ted Oakley Managing Partner - oxbowadvisors.com

Morgan Housel Interview-February 2021-

Ted Oakley

Managing Partner

Page 2: Ted Oakley Managing Partner - oxbowadvisors.com

Getting Wealthy vs Staying Wealthy

“…there’s only one way to stay wealthy: some

combination of FRUGALITY and PARANOIA.”

“If I had to summarize money success in a

single word it would be SURVIVAL.”

Source: The Psychology of Money

Page 3: Ted Oakley Managing Partner - oxbowadvisors.com

Financially Unbreakable > Big Returns“More than I want big returns, I want to be

financially unbreakable. And if I’m unbreakable I

actually think I’ll get the biggest returns, because I’ll

be able to stick around long enough for

compounding to work.”

“I think of my own money as barbelled. I take risks

with one portion” and prioritize safety with the

other.Source: The Psychology of Money

Page 4: Ted Oakley Managing Partner - oxbowadvisors.com

Give Yourself Some Room for Error

“Leverage is the devil here.”

“Leverage – taking on debt to make your

money go further – pushes routine risks into

something capable of ruin.”

Source: The Psychology of Money

Page 5: Ted Oakley Managing Partner - oxbowadvisors.com

Nothing’s Free

“Market returns are never free and never will be.”

The price is “volatility, fear, doubt, uncertainty, and regret.”

This price “feels like a fine for doing something wrong.”

Instead, view it like a ticket fee – “the cost of admission” –

to get the reward of higher returns.Source: The Psychology of Money

Page 6: Ted Oakley Managing Partner - oxbowadvisors.com

Have a Good Sense of Your Future Regret

Don’t realize “where the boundaries of your risk tolerance are

by going past them”

“You know exactly how much risk to take if you know exactly

when you will cry Uncle when things don’t work out.”

Source: Morgan Housel – “Unfortunate Investing Traits”

Page 7: Ted Oakley Managing Partner - oxbowadvisors.com

Have a Good Sense of Your Future Regret

“Manage your money in a way that helps you sleep at night.”

“Go out of your way to find humility when things are going

right and forgiveness/compassion when they go wrong.”

Source: The Psychology of Money

Page 8: Ted Oakley Managing Partner - oxbowadvisors.com

The Boom-Bust Cycle

“What kind of person makes their way to the top of a successful company?”

“Someone who is determined, optimistic, doesn’t take ‘no’ for an answer, and is

relentlessly confident in their own abilities.”

“What kind of person is likely to go overboard, bite off more than they can

chew, and discount risks that are blindingly obvious to others?”

“Someone who is determined, optimistic, doesn’t take ‘no’ for an answer, and is

relentlessly confident in their own abilities.”

Source: Morgan Housel – “Death, Taxes, and Three Other Inevitable Things”

Page 9: Ted Oakley Managing Partner - oxbowadvisors.com

The Boom-Bust Cycle

“Part of the reason the boom-bust cycle occurs is because the

same traits needed to propel huge growth are the same traits

that cause collapse.”

Source: Morgan Housel – “Death, Taxes, and Three Other Inevitable Things”

Page 10: Ted Oakley Managing Partner - oxbowadvisors.com

What’s Enough?

“The hardest financial skill is getting the goalpost to stop moving.”

If having more “increases ambition faster than satisfaction…You

feel as if you’re falling behind, and the only way to catch up is to

take greater and greater amounts of risk.”

Source: The Psychology of Money

Page 11: Ted Oakley Managing Partner - oxbowadvisors.com

Play Your Own Game

“…few things matter more with money than understanding your

own time horizon and not being persuaded by the actions and

behaviors of people playing different games than you are.”

Source: The Psychology of Money

Page 12: Ted Oakley Managing Partner - oxbowadvisors.com

Committing to a Strategy

“There are few financial variables more correlated to

performance than commitment to a strategy during its lean

years”

“The reasonable investors who love their technically imperfect

strategies have an edge, because they’re more likely to stick with

those strategies.”

Source: The Psychology of Money

Page 13: Ted Oakley Managing Partner - oxbowadvisors.com

Shut Up and Wait

$5,000 $10,000 $140,000 $1,400,000 $3,400,000 $8,000,000 $25,000,000 $43,000,000 $376,000,000 $1,400,000,000

$3,800,000,000

$17,000,000,000

$36,000,000,000

$90,000,000,000

14 15 19 21 26 30 32 33 34 35 36 37 39 43 44 47 52 56 58 59 66 72 83 89

AGE

Warren Buffett's Net Worth

Source: Morgan Housel

Page 14: Ted Oakley Managing Partner - oxbowadvisors.com

Mastering the Conflicting Skills of Confidence and Paranoia

“Being right is the enemy of staying right, partly because it makes

you overconfident, even more importantly because it leads you to

forget the way the world works.”

--- Jason Zweig

Source: Morgan Housel – “Common Causes of Very Bad Decisions”

Page 15: Ted Oakley Managing Partner - oxbowadvisors.com

Teaching Kids About Money

“The best way to teach your kids about money is to make them

feel the power of its scarcity.”

“…I get nervous around big allowances and parents who always

say ‘yes.’”

“Making sure your kids understand the scarcity of money teaches

them the difference between necessary and desirable.”

Source: Morgan Housel – “Personal Finance Philosophies”