TAARIFA YA HALI YA HEWA

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    THE UNITED REPUBLIC OF TANZANIAMINISTRY OF TRANSPORT

    TANZANIA METEOROLOGICAL AGENCY

    Telegrams:"METEO"DAR ES SALAAM.Tele!#e: $%% &'( $$ $)*'+'*,-

    Telea/: $%% &'( $$ $)*'+0% P.O. BO1 0'%*

    E,ma2l: me34me3e.g.35 DAR ES SALAAM.!3366777.me3e.g.35

    O8r re: TMA/1622 27thFebruary, 2014

    PRESS RELEASE

    CLIMATE OUTLOO9 FOR MARCH MAY; $'

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    PROGRESS OF RAINFALL FROM ?ANUARY TO FEBRUARY $'# i%wa@=*6 mm !24*6># an& 5ongea 2# of rainfa%%*

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    NB: It should be noted that: Rainfall amounts below 75% of long term averages arecategorized as below normal, 75% to 15% as near normal and greater than 15% of longterm averages are categorized as above normal!

    C: CLIMATE SYSTEMS OUTLOO9This out%oo' is base& on a review of the current an& epecte& state of g%oba% c%imate systems an&their %i'e%y impacts on the upcoming (arch to (ay !()(#, 2014 rainfa%% season in the country*

    urrent%y, the 5ea 5urface Temperatures !55Ts# in&icate anoma%ous warming con&ition over the5outhwestern :n&ian Ocean an& epecte& to gra&ua%%y increase throughout the season*(eanwhi%e, near norma% &eve%oping into s%ight%y warm 55Ts con&ition over western :n&ian an&eBuatoria% ?acific Oceans are epecte& &uring the season. On the other han&, coo%ing con&itionover eastern )t%antic Ocean are %i'e%y to be sustaine& throughout the season* These con&itions are%i'e%y to favor enhance& wester%y win&s over western an& centra% parts of the country particu%ar%y&uring the months of )pri% to (ay, 2014 thus enhancing moisture inf%ow from the ongo 3asin*

    urrent anoma%ous warming con&ition off the southern tip of )frica is epecte& to continue&uring (arch to (ay 2014 thus %i'e%y to wea'en the southern high pressure systems* Thesecon&itions suggest the possibi%ity of &iffuse& :nterTropica% onvergence Aone !:TA# over thecoasta% areas of the country %ea&ing to suppresse& rainfa%%* +owever, towar&s the en& of theseason an& beyon&, enhance& easter%y win&s are %i'e%y to inf%uence enhance& occasiona% rains overthe coasta% areas*

    D: MAM $'

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    F2g8re

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    E: E1PECTED IMPACTS AND AD=ISORY

    E: E1PECTED IMPACTS AND AD=ISORY

    Agr28l38re a#@ F@ Se8r235ufficient soi% moisture is epecte& over most areas of the country ecept a%ong the oast, Cngu8aan& ?emba is%es an& few areas of the northeastern high%an&s where soi% moisture &eficit is %i'e%yto occur* )reas over the a'e ictoria basin !agera, -eita, (wan.a, 5hinyanga, 5imiyu an&(ara regions# together with (orogoro region, farmers are a&vise& to continue with their norma%agricu%tura% activities* +owever, above norma% rains are %i'e%y to pro&uce ecessive soi% moisturecon&itions which can impe&e crop pro&uction, therefore farmers are encourage& to see' a&visefrom etension officers in their respective areas*

    Over the northern coast !ar es 5a%aam, ?wani an& Tanga regions inc%u&ing Cngu8a an& ?embais%es# an& north eastern high%an&s !(anyara, )rusha an& i%iman8aro regions#, farmers are a&vise&to p%ant &rought to%erant an& ear%y maturing crops* On the other han&, sufficient soi% moisture isepecte& over unimo&a% areas !igoma, Tabora, 9u'wa, atavi, o&oma, :ringa, in&i, an&(twara together with southern parts of (orogoro region#D farmers are a&vise& to continue withtheir norma% cropping season activities an& to sa%vage the remaining part of the season* +owever,above norma% rains over some areas !5ingi&a, (beya, "8ombe an& 9uvuma regions#, are %i'e%y tocause ecessive soi% moisture which can affect crops at maturity an& harvesting therefore farmersare a&vise& to ta'e necessary precautions*

    E#erg a#@ 7a3er

    :n areas where above norma% rains are epecte&, water %eve%s over the %a'es, &ams an& river f%ow&ischarge are epecte& to increase &uring (arch to (ay, 2014 rainfa%% season* (oreover, it isa&vise& that water harvesting systems an& storage structures be improve& to stoc' the ecesswater &uring the season* )reas with be%ow norma% rains, water harvesting an& storage techniBuesare encourage&*

    Pas38re a#@ >a3er r L2es3 a#@ 72l@l2e?asture an& water avai%abi%ity for %ivestoc' an& wi%&%ife are %i'e%y to be goo& over most areas ofthe country ecept a%ong the coasta% areas where be%ow norma% rains are epecte&* )reasepecte& to receive be%ow norma% rains, pastora%ists an& agropastora%ists are a&vise& to harvestan& conserve pasture for use &uring &ry season* +owever, pastora%ists an& agropastora%ists arestrong%y encourage& to see' more a&vice from %ivestoc' etension officers* On the other han&,

    areas epecte& to receive norma% to above norma% rains are %i'e%y to have improve& bio&iversity,p%ant f%owering, honey/wa pro&uction an& re&uce& anima% migration thus epecte& to re&ucehuman wi%&%ife conf%icts*

    Lal A83!r232esuring the (arch to (ay 2014, rainfa%% season episo&es of heavy rains are epecte& to occur an&

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    may resu%t into &isasters* Therefore, (unicipa%s are a&vise& to ta'e precautions inc%u&ing open upan& c%ear of &rainage systems to avoi& water accumu%ation &ue to surface runoffs so as to re&ucethe impacts of heavy rains that may resu%t into f%oo&s* 5ame precautions shou%& be ta'en for)reas epecte& to receive norma% an& be%ow norma% rains !coasta% be%t an& some areas of thenorth eastern high%an&s#, &ue to the fact that there is %i'e%ihoo& of heavy rain fa%% episo&es*

    Heal3! se3r:n areas where above an& be%ow norma% rains are epecte&, there is a %i'e%ihoo& of waterbornean& water re%ate& &iseases such as ma%aria, trachoma an& cho%era thus necessary precautionsshou%& be ta'en by communities an& the responsib%e authorities*

    Pla##2#g5ocioeconomic sectors are a&vise& to proper uti%i.e (arch to (ay, 2014 rainfa%% out%oo' in their&ai%y activities an& &uring the imp%ementation of "ationa% eve%opment ?%an in or&er to re&uceris' that may occur*

    D2sas3er Ma#ageme#3

    isaster management authorities an& other sta'eho%&ers are a&vise& to ta'e necessary measuresthat wou%& ensure prepare&ness, response, an& mitigation of any negative impacts resu%ting fromthe epecte& weather an& c%imate con&itions*

    'he *genc$ strongl$ advices all users including agriculture, food securit$, livestoc#, wildlife,water resources, energ$, health sectors, etc to see# more advice from e+&erts in theirres&ective sectors!

    r* )gnes * i8a.i

    DIRECTOR GENERAL

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