Upload
others
View
7
Download
0
Embed Size (px)
Citation preview
SyQic Plc - Pay TV on the GOInitiation note – December 04, 2013
Matt [email protected]
Myles [email protected]
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 2 of 48
This document is a marketing communication which has been produced by Allenby Capital Limited. It is non-independent research and has not been prepared in
accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research. Accordingly Allenby Capital Limited is not subject to any
prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of this document.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 3 of 48
Table of Contents
Page
Investment overview 4
Video over the internet – setting the scene 6
Template for success in the video streaming industry 8
SyQic’s history 9
YooMob – SyQic’s first foray into video streaming 10
Yoonic – taking YooMob to the next level 12
Yoonic goes OTT 14
Content is key 16
The target market 18
Pricing - predicated on subscriptions not advertising 19
Strategy 20
Competition 21
Risks 23
Financial summary- profit & loss account 24
Financial summary – cash flow and balance sheet 28
Use of proceeds 31
Valuation 32
Shareholder structure and board member profiles 34
Appendix I – Peer group profiles 36
Amino Technologies Plc 37
Destiny Media Technologies Inc 38
Mobile Streams Plc 39
Netflix Inc 40
One Media iP Group Plc 41
Pace Plc 42
PeerTV Plc 43
Youku Tudou Inc 44
Disclaimer 47
08 Fall
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 4 of 48
Investment Overview
SyQic - Online video streaming
Consumption of media over the internet, be it live streaming or video on demand
(“VOD”), is experiencing rapid growth as consumers choose to watch increasing
amounts of media away from the traditional household television set. SyQic operates
in this field and is predominantly focused on the streaming of Asian media (TV and
film) to mobile devices. To be successful in this industry we believe providers need to
have the correct i) Content, ii) Technology and iii) Pricing model.
Profitable business model – even on a restricted audience
SyQic currently delivers its content to customers through distribution relationships
with major Telecom operators (“Telcos”). The Telcos make the service available to
their mobile phone subscribers who, upon subscription, are able to download an App
providing access to SyQic’s content. As such, SyQic’s current potential audience is
somewhat restricted to the client base of the Telco partner. That aside, SyQic has built
a profitable business which is rare for players in this nascent industry. In 2012 the
company made a profit after tax of £625k on revenues of £3.9m.
Blue-sky potential from move to an OTT offering
In late 2013 SyQic will launch a full Over The Top (“OTT”) version of its platform.
An OTT offering means access won’t be restricted to a subscription via a specific
Telco but instead it will be available across all networks and channels of internet
access – essentially to anyone who subscribes via the website. The full OTT offering
will run alongside the Telco delivery model, exponentially expand the potential
customer pool and increase returns as OTT subscription income will not be shared
with the Telcos.
Content - providers want to access SyQic’s distribution platform
Content providers (such as TV broadcasters) want to maximise their viewing audience
as this gives them the opportunity for higher advertising revenues. SyQic’s platform
allows content providers to expand their viewing audience to those wishing to watch
programs over the internet. At the same time these content providers earn a share of
SyQic’s subscription fees. SyQic’s senior management evolved from many years
spent in senior positions in the broadcast industry and hence understand the industry’s
dynamics and how best to maximise relationships with these content owners.
Content – aggregation of multiple channels creates wider customer offering
The ideal scenario for users is that all desired content is available in one place. Whilst
many of SyQic’s competitors are focused on Hollywood or on one International genre
(e.g. Indian or Filipino) SyQic’s platform currently has access to a library of over
20,000 titles of online VOD content and has access to 70 live television channels
featuring content from Malaysia, The Philippines, Bangladesh, Pakistan, India,
Indonesia, Turkey and Eastern Europe with new regional content being added on a
continual basis.
Technology – accessible on inferior networks and to more devices
SyQic uses adaptive bitrate technology that can stream at low bitrates of 80kbps
versus most video content providers which operate at 150kbps upwards. Because of
the ability to stream at low bitrates, SyQic can deliver video in a non-3G environment
thus allowing accessibility in areas served by inferior networks. Given that circa 75%
of Asia (SyQic’s current core area of focus) is still on 2.5G, we see this as key in
driving fast take-up of the product. A further benefit of the low bit rate streaming
technology is that it makes the service accessible to a broad range of mobile devices
such as the more basic feature phones in addition to Smartphones and Tablets.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 5 of 48
Pricing model - predicated on subscriptions, not advertising
If the product is of sufficient high quality (content and delivery) then customers will
pay for access. The alternative model, namely advertising based, is proving
uneconomic for even some of the most popular media producers that have tens of
millions of viewers. We see YouTube’s recent introduction of subscription based
channels as vindication of this. SyQic is not in the competitive ‘Hollywood’ space and
content licensing arrangements are mainly on a revenue share basis thus minimalising
costs. SyQic charges for access to its platform based on period options from daily up
to monthly access with an average per transaction value of approximately 70p. In
September 2013 SyQic experienced approximately 840,000 subscription transactions.
Expected demand from migrant communities in the West
Currently, SyQic’s typical customer is an Asian national living in their home country
and watching local and international content whilst on the move. This is mainly due to
SyQic’s content portfolio and the arrangements in place with Telcos in the region.
However, there are a substantial number of migrants and expatriate communities
living in the Middle East, Europe and the US. In May 2011 the SyQic CEO relocated
to London to set up the UK office to act as a gateway for bringing international
content to migrant audiences in these new regions. Content will not be restricted to
being from Asia and the group is already adding content for Europe’s and the US’
migrant populations – for example by providing Turkish content to Turkey’s large
migrant population in Western Europe.
Core focus on delivery to mobile devices
The SyQic mobile video streaming platform has evolved and the latest platform can
be watched on a greater amount of devices and is also offering more features to help
maintain user retention. The full OTT launch will extend the company’s reach to other
devices such as the latest Tablets, Personal Computers (“PCs”) and Smart TVs. The
Company believes that consumers are more willing to pay for content on mobile
devices and in smaller denominations as opposed to the home space where consumers
have numerous other choices. SyQic has found that the majority of user activity takes
place when out of home and, as such, this supports the belief that mobile functionality
remains key to the Group’s success.
AIM listing to accelerate roll out of the platform, fair value of 130p
SyQic is profitable and is capable of funding a steady expansion through organically
generated cash. However, the market is nascent and there exists a land grab
opportunity and therefore SyQic has listed on AIM and raised £2.5m of new equity.
The funds will be used to accelerate the growth of the business and, in particular, to
finance the launch of the Group’s services in the UK, Continental European and US
markets. The Group is headquartered in the UK, where its key operations and R&D
functions are located and therefore the Company has selected to list on AIM. We feel
the Company should trade on a 2014 P/E Ratio of around 15x which would imply a
fair value of 130p.
Source: Company data, Allenby Capital forecasts
Exhibit 1: Financials and valuation summary based on IPO price of 62p
Y/E Dec. £'000 2010A 2011A 2012A 2013E 2014E 2015E
Revenue 978 2,842 3,911 4,700 7,800 11,000
YoY Growth 190.6% 37.6% 20.2% 66.0% 41.0%
EBITDA 164 458 764 1,132 2,490 4,050
Margin 16.7% 16.1% 19.5% 24.1% 31.9% 36.8%
EPS 3.68 8.68 14.50
Net Margin 2.7% 12.8% 16.3% 18.2% 25.8% 30.6%
P/E Ratio 16.9 7.1 4.3
EV/Sales 2.9 1.8 1.2
EV/EBITDA 12.1 5.5 3.4
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 6 of 48
Video over the internet – setting the scene
Driven by better quality internet connections and the increased ownership of
internet ready devices, there is growing demand by consumers for access to video
content over the internet. In particular, the widespread ownership of internet
enabled phones and the rapid roll out of 3G and 4G services is leading to
increasing demand for video whilst on the move. In fact, in some of SyQic’s core
markets in Southeast Asia, more people own internet enabled phones than any
other similar device for accessing the internet such as a desktop PC or a laptop.1
In summary, demand for video over the internet is growing, particularly to
mobile devices and SyQic has positioned itself to take advantage of this trend.
A definition of SyQic’s market place
As of September 2013, SyQic’s media content is accessible on a wide range of
internet accessible devices but only through certain telecom providers. However, the
SyQic platform is on the verge of going fully OTT where essentially the service will
be accessible to anyone who has access to a broadband internet connection be it, for
example, DSL, Cable, WiFi, or mobile broadband (e.g. 2.5G/3G/4G). We note that the
SyQic platform is already OTT enabled and can be accessed via a browser but only
for customers with an activated subscription through a Telco. The ‘full’ OTT service
will be launched in late 2013 when SyQic has completed integration with a payment
service provider (we note that SyQic has recently signed an agreement with AIM
listed Bango plc to process its direct OTT payment capability). As such, when we
discuss SyQic’s market we refer to the OTT industry. Furthermore, when we refer to
content we mean professionally produced content that is usually found on network TV
channels, i.e. not user–generated content (“UGC”) such as typically found on
YouTube.
Large and growing market - greatest demand for use on mobile devices
According to Generator,2 revenues for OTT internet TV services in 2013 will be
around $9.1bn, a figure forecast to increase to $49.8bn by 2017. Within these figures,
paid for services will dominate the revenue mix with advertising only accounting for
18.7% of total service revenues in 2013 and 20.4% in 2017.
The Generator research also explains how in contrast to broadcast television, which is
viewed on a television set, OTT internet TV is accessible through four main delivery
routes:
I. Connected TVs. e.g. through the use of a Set top box (“STB”), Smart TV or
Games Console
II. Personal Computers. At home, office or for example connecting a notebook
to a TV set using an HDMI cable
III. Media Tablets. Such as iPads
IV. Smartphones. Such as iPhones and Android Smartphones
Exhibit 2 illustrates how PCs currently represent the main means of accessing OTT
internet TV services. However, between now and 2017 the market share held by PCs
is expected to decline, predominantly at the expense of access via Tablets and
Smartphones. Tablets and Smartphones are rising in popularity for content viewing,
partly as both enable users to view content privately without disturbing others nearby
i.e. ideal for use when in a busy public location, whilst on the move or in a higher than
average household size.
1 Nielson: The digital media habits and attitudes of Southeast Asian consumers, October 2011 2 Generator Research Ltd: Over the Top (OTT) Internet Television, Detailed Worldwide Analysis & Forecasts, July 2013
Exhibit 2: OTT internet TV access (viewing time)
Source: Generator Research Ltd
2013 2017
Connected TV 6.00% 14.0%
PCs 76.0% 48.0%
Media Tablets 8.00% 22.0%
Smartphones 10.0% 16.0%
100.0% 100.0%
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 7 of 48
Further evidence illustrating the increasing demand for viewing video content over
mobile devices is illustrated by recent data on the BBC iPlayer – the BBC’s OTT
internet TV product. The BBC iPlayer had around 171 million requests in June 2013,
representing 38% growth on the prior year. In the 12 month period to June 2013,
requests from tablets as a % of all requests grew from 10% to 21% and from mobile
devices from 11% to 18%. In contrast, over the same 12-month period, access by PCs
fell from 54% to 37% of all requests.
Finally, according to Cisco Systems, two-thirds of the world's mobile data traffic will
be video by 2017. Cisco estimates that mobile video will increase 16-fold between
2012 and 2017, equivalent to a CAGR of 75% over the period, the highest growth rate
of any mobile application category that the company forecasts.3
Considering these points we think it is clear that demand for video over the internet is
growing strongly and that it is critical that any player in the video streaming market
has a strong mobile delivery presence. Hence we concur with SyQic’s strategy of
initially focusing on content delivery to mobile devices. That said, we note that with
the fully OTT roll out of the SyQic platform, the offering will become available on a
wider range of devices in addition to being accessible to a much wider audience.
3 Cisco Visual Networking Index: Global Mobile Data Traffic Forecast Update, 2012–2017, February 2013, www.cisco.com
Exhibit 3: BBC iPlayer TV requests by device type (June 2012 – June 2013)
Source: BBC iStats
0
50
100
150
200
Jun
-12
Jul-1
2
Au
g-1
2
Sep
-12
Oct-1
2
No
v-1
2
Dec-1
2
Jan
-13
Feb
-13
Mar-1
3
Ap
r-13
May
-13
Jun
-13
Mobile Devices
Tablets
Computers
Games Consoles
TV Platform Operators
Internet TV/Connected Devices
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 8 of 48
Template for success in the video streaming industry
Although a relatively nascent industry there are already many participants in the
video streaming market, many of which we understand have yet to achieve
profitability. We list below what we believe are the key ingredients for success -
predominantly focused on content, technology and pricing.
i) High demand content is key for attracting viewers
The two basic business models are i) to provide the service for free and subsidise
through advertising, and ii) to charge subscriptions. Without providing high demand
product, it is obvious that advertisers won’t pay and users won’t subscribe. An issue
for many providers is that they do not have access to high demand content.
Broadcasters do not want to give away what they are currently charging customers to
view in their existing business model. Similarly OTT players cannot generally afford
to pay large sums to broadcasters to secure high demand content. Some players have
begun to create their own content, such as Netflix with its House of Cards TV series,
but this requires significant upfront investment. Participants must devise a business
plan that provides end users with access to high demand content at a realistic price.
ii) Need to incentivise content owners to share access
A share of revenues or increased advertising opportunity is not all that appeals to
content providers. It is essential that the content can be delivered over the internet as
seamlessly as possible. Owners want their content delivered in whatever way that
users desire, be it live streaming, VOD or download-to-go. They will want to use a
service that has a wide device reach (and can adapt to future devices), is scalable,
secure and has the same reliability as when delivered over broadcast networks.
iii) Technology – high quality and accessible to multiple devices
Consumers lose patience if the video image is of low quality or continually stops to
buffer. In particular for mobile video providers, where a user on the move may
experience varying levels of bandwidth, it is necessary for service providers to have
technology that allows the picture to remain of high quality regardless of the
bandwidth available. It is also important that the service is accessible on a wide range
of devices to increase the potential target market such as Smart TVs, feature phones,
Smartphones, PCs, Tablets etc.
iv) User experience – increasing expectations of consumers
Consumers of different demographics have varying demands and expectations of
internet video. To increase customer appeal we believe providers must offer a range of
services beyond VOD such as live streaming and/or downloading ability.
Furthermore, increasingly consumers expect websites and Apps to be easy to navigate
and for the product to have features such as links with social media, high quality
audio, HD availability and the ability to pause and fast forward.
v) Pricing
The decision is whether to go for an advertising model, a subscription based model or
a combination of the two. Quite commonplace is a freeview service with adverts but
for a subscription the adverts are removed. For the advertising route the strategy is
clearly to get the right balance between generating revenue and not aggravating
viewers. For a subscription based model we believe it is vital that pricing offers value
for money, is transparent and easy to execute/transact. With many customers using the
technology for the first time we believe that insisting on lengthy minimal contract
periods will be highly detrimental to user sign ups.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 9 of 48
SyQic’s history
SyQic’s origins are in the media industry and include the provision of technology
solutions to the Television production industry. This progressed to working with
Telcos where the Company noticed the demand and opportunity for developing
technology to enable the live streaming of television over the internet, specifically
to mobile devices.
The business was founded in 2004 by CEO and major shareholder Jamal Hassim.
Jamal’s prior experience included founding and then selling the Malaysian TV station
‘Channel 9’. Initially SyQic was focused on providing consultancy services to newly
forming TV stations – building on the experiences gained at Channel 9 and other
major regional networks where Jamal was a senior member of the management teams.
An additional early source of revenue was from subtitling work as SyQic had
developed video subtitling software that was used to produce subtitle content for and
on behalf of a number of content companies.
Through working with various TV stations SyQic began to build relationships with
several Telcos that were looking at the provision of TV content over the internet.
Customers at this time included Telekom Malaysia and Philippine Long Distance
Telephone Company (“PLDT”). The original focus of the relationships with the
Telcos was on the in-home audience as SyQic developed technology that enabled TV
content to be viewed on multiple at-home devices such as TV STBs, PCs and laptops.
The solution was a downloadable App which could be used to view programmes,
similar to earlier versions of the BBC iPlayer.
The original product was popular with Telcos looking for their first move into the
online content provision business as it was a straightforward offering that enabled
quick market entry. Essential for efficient use of the product was a strong internet
connection to download content. This was a further attraction for the Telcos as
customers would tend to upgrade their home broadband solutions, which drove an
increase in both Average Revenue Per User (“ARPU”) and client retention.
The drawback with this model for SyQic was that it lacked scalability. SyQic would
get a renewable licence fee from the Telco for the software but received no benefit
from increasing user numbers. Furthermore, the technology that had been developed
enabled users to download whole films (VOD). Anticipating consumers changing
demands, SyQic wanted to build software to enable live streaming of content. SyQic
therefore began to focus its business on the design of a subscriber based platform that
would enable users to access live streaming of video content, specifically to mobile
devices.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 10 of 48
YooMob – SyQic’s first foray into video streaming
The technology developed in the early days for the Malaysian Telcos enabled
users to download whole films or TV shows to PCs. However, SyQic, seeing the
emerging demand for live streaming, wanted to develop technology for the live
streaming of video and in particular on mobile devices. As such, SyQic developed
a completely new technology and delivery platform. In 2011 SyQic launched a
scalable low bitrate mobile video streaming platform called YooMob.
The product was launched in conjunction with the Telcos and SyQic’s first client was
Maxis in Malaysia. Maxis makes the service available to its mobile phone subscribers
who, upon subscription, are able to download the YooMob App and then have access
to the YooMob content. Subscribers pay through their mobile phone bills and are
charged around £1.25 per month depending on the number of channels to which they
subscribe. The fee is then split between SyQic, the Telco and the content provider.
Whilst all three parties benefit financially, the content providers also benefit by
increasing their viewing audience (potential for increased advertising revenues) and
the Telcos benefit by providing an additional service to clients to help increase ARPU
and customer retention.
Proprietary compression technology - Low bit-rate streaming
The YooMob product utilises SyQic’s proprietary compression methodology which
enables media content streaming at a bitrate of 80kbps against most video content
providers which operate at 150kbps upwards. Because of the low bitrate, YooMob can
deliver video in a non 3G environment. It is therefore able to deliver video streaming
on GPRS (2.5G) and EDGE (2.75G) networks. Given that circa 75% of the Southeast
Asia region is still on 2.5G4, we see this as being key behind its success to date.
Furthermore, the way the stream is delivered is device friendly as it reduces the
amount of processing power required and therefore the amount of battery
consumption.
A further benefit of the low bitrate streaming technology is that it makes YooMob
accessible to internet enabled feature phones (more advanced than ‘basic’ mobiles, but
inferior to Smartphones). Competing products at the time of launch were and still are
generally only accessible on high end Smartphones. Targeting such feature phones
(which use legacy operating systems such as Symbian) makes the product available to
the high number of feature phone users in the Southeast Asia region. In Indonesia for
example, nearly four in every five mobile phones sold in the country are still feature
phones due to their greater affordability5. However, targeting the feature phone market
carries the downside that as mobile users upgrade to Smartphones there is a risk that
YooMob customers will be lost.
Cooperation with Telcos further increases viewing performance
Advantages of working in conjunction with the Telcos are that the Telcos take care of
the customer billing side and actively promote the service. A further benefit is that the
Telcos are highly incentivised to aid the user’s viewing experience wherever possible.
One way they can do this is by prioritising bandwidth for YooMob customers. A
Telco is able to track the IP addresses of registered users and, for example, if it detects
that one of its clients is streaming YooMob content it can prioritise the IP address in
order to ensure a better streaming experience. The YooMob user would take priority
over other users consuming bandwidth which does not directly benefit the Telco, for
instance those watching YouTube video clips.
4 https://wirelessintelligence.com/images/analysis/entries/2013-02-25-3g-4g-infographic.png 5 https://www.gfkrt.com/asia/news_events/news/news_single/010345/index.en.html
2G mobile networks, which replaced 1G analogue
mobile networks, are provided over protocols on
the Global System for Mobile Communications
network (“GSM”). Over the GSM network,
traditional mobile services are supplied such as
voice calls and SMS.
The General Packet Radio Service core network
(“GPRS”) is an overlaying extension of GSM,
providing additional services to network users,
including mobile access to the internet, MMS and
WAP services. GPRS is referred to as a 2.5G
network.
The 2.75G environment comes through Enhanced
Data rates for GSM Evolution (“EDGE”), a bolt-
on enhancement for GSM and GPRS networks. In
essence, EDGE improves data transmission rates
for GSM/GPRS networks, increasing capacity and
performance.
Exhibit 4: 1G to 2.75G explained
Source: Company data, Allenby Capital
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 11 of 48
Expanding the list of partners
From its initial launch with Maxis in Malaysia the group has gone on to launch in
other jurisdictions such as with PLDT and Globe Telecommunications (Philippines)
and PTNP in Indonesia. Increasing the number of partners increases the YooMob
target audience by providing access to their respective customer bases.
The standard contract between SyQic and a Telco is for an initial period of 12 months
and a 60 day notice period for renewal thereafter. The Telcos take responsibility for
distributing the product within their region and produce monthly usage reports for
SyQic. The standard payment terms from the Telco to SyQic range from 60-90 days
although in Indonesia it is around 120 days. SyQic pays the content providers within
around 60-90 days.
Limitations of the YooMob product
YooMob has proven to be extremely successful for SyQic. It has been the key revenue
generator for the group and in 2012 helped SyQic to produce revenues of £3.8m and a
profit after tax of £625k. We view this as impressive given the Company (and the
industry) is still in its early growth stage. That said, YooMob has a number of
shortcomings which will likely restrict its future growth potential:
i) Restricted to the feature phone market
The YooMob product targets the feature phone market. At one end of the
phone spectrum we have basic phones (few or no features beyond dialling or
messaging) and at the other end we have the high end Smartphones
(application rich and generally expensive). In the middle are feature phones
which have additional functions over basic phones such as internet
accessibility but which are priced well below Smartphones. Whilst there
remains a high volume of feature phone users in SyQic’s core market of
Southeast Asia, the general trend is for users to upgrade to Smartphones such
as Apple’s iPhone or those running on Android operating systems.
ii) Relative basic functionality
Whilst YooMob offers users key features such as live streaming and VOD of
a wide array of video content, there are certain features missing which users
increasingly expect. YooMob is not available in High Definition (“HD”) nor
is it linked in with social media sites such as Facebook. Additionally it lacks
adaptive bitrate capability and features such as multi-language functionality.
With these limitations in mind, in 2012 SyQic set about designing a new and
improved version of YooMob that would have a wider appeal and hence drive
increased revenues.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 12 of 48
Yoonic – taking YooMob to the next level
As previously explained, YooMob has proven a success for SyQic and has been
its key revenue generator to date. That said, it has its limitations and in June
2013 SyQic launched a new mobile video streaming platform called Yoonic -
essentially a superior version of YooMob. Yoonic is accessible on a greater
number of handsets, has additional features and supports HD content. YooMob
continues to be available but we feel in time most users, if not all, will migrate
over to Yoonic. The user base is expected to accelerate as Yoonic is launched into
new territories, on more networks and be accessible on a wider range of mobile
devices. Furthermore, in late 2013, a fully OTT version of Yoonic is to be
launched thus further increasing the addressable audience.
Handset coverage – from 25% to 80% of addressable market
The YooMob platform is targeted at the more basic feature phones. With the
increasing prominence of Smartphones we believe the YooMob service is only
available on around 25% of the addressable market.
The new Yoonic offering, on the other hand, possesses the ability to utilise multiple
operating systems, including those used for Smartphones such as Apple’s iOS,
Blackberry’s OS and Google’s Android OS amongst others. Furthermore, it retains the
proprietary compression method present in the YooMob service, meaning that it is
still able to function on the older operating systems designed for feature phones
working on 2G networks, such as the legacy Symbian operating system. Thus, merely
in terms of mobile devices, the introduction of Yoonic will substantially broaden
SyQic’s addressable market.
Additional features improve user experience
Yoonic will shortly have interactive features such as content sharing, commentary and
social networking (links with platforms such as Facebook and Twitter) to create a
more distinctive user experience. Further features such as blogging, chatting, playing
games, online shopping, Catch-up TV and Pause TV will also be made available over
the next few months. Additionally, Yoonic already supports HD content. Other
community building features such as chat forums, virtual cinemas and content sharing
features shall be introduced in phases over the next 12 to 18 months with a view to
building communities of international viewers around the content.
Adaptive bitrate streaming
To ensure an optimal viewing experience, the Yoonic platform includes support for
adaptive bitrate streaming to make sure that the quality of the video content matches
bandwidth availability and that there is a constant video stream. This technology has
been developed by the Group internally utilising open-source and licenced software
and is a proprietary product of the Group. The adaptive bitrate streaming technology
behind Yoonic means that the quality of the video stream can be changed depending
on the network availability. For example, if there is 4G then the user will be able to
watch content in HD; however, if the network switches to 2.5G then the video will
adapt to 80kbps but the video stream will not drop.
New territories for Yoonic, as with YooMob launched in conjunction with Telcos
Yoonic is currently available in three countries (Malaysia, Philippines and Indonesia)
and available from five different Telcos. In addition to these regions, over the next six
months, SyQic is in discussions to roll out in Pakistan, Bangladesh, Myanmar and
Western Europe.
Similar to YooMob, Yoonic is being rolled out in conjunction with Telcos which
promote it as a service to their customers. Customers sign up and pay through their
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 13 of 48
mobile phone bills based on the amount of content they have subscribed for. The
revenue is shared between the Telco, SyQic and the content provider.
SyQic and the Telco partners work together to profile the subscriber base of the Telco
and then use SMS messaging to target potential subscribers. Customers can then reply
to the SMS to download the App and receive the service. The Telcos also place
promotional banner advertisements on their websites, hold competitions to attract new
users and upsell channels to existing customers.
In summary, Yoonic has taken the product offering from SyQic to a higher level and
increased the potential customer base by being accessible on more devices than its
forerunner YooMob. Although both YooMob and Yoonic are in operation, as the
advertising emphasis is more on Yoonic and given its superior attributes, we expect
Yoonic to be the key revenue driver from Q4 2013 onwards.
Despite the improvements there are still areas where Yoonic lags behind other internet
TV offerings, namely that access requires a Telco contract in the relevant jurisdiction.
Although still providing a huge market opportunity for SyQic it is potentially
excluding a large proportion of customers. To combat this, in late 2013 SyQic intends
to launch a fully OTT offering of the service as detailed in the following pages.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 14 of 48
Yoonic goes fully OTT
Historically, SyQic has focused on the delivery of its service exclusively to mobile
devices and through relationships with Telcos. However, SyQic is now on the
verge of providing a full OTT offering where users will be able to access the
Yoonic platform on additional devices and across all networks i.e. there will be
no need for a Telco contract. The SyQic platform is already OTT enabled and
can be accessed via a browser but only for customers with an activated
subscription through a Telco. Therefore, the missing link for SyQic is the
establishment of its own OTT payment processing system. The Company has
recently signed an agreement with AIM listed Bango to provide such a facility.
The main benefits of going fully OTT are expected to be threefold, namely: i)
potential for improved margins, ii) increased accessibility of the service and iii)
ability for SyQic to get closer to the end customer.
Potential for increased margins
Access to YooMob or Yoonic currently requires users to have an account with a Telco
through which they would subscribe to receive the service and pay additional charges
on their mobile phone bill. The additional fee is subsequently split between the Telco,
SyQic and the content provider. Without a subscription the service is not accessible.
This is set to change when SyQic launches its full OTT service. In simple terms,
customers will be able to access the Yoonic product at www.yoonic.tv. This Business
to Consumer (“B2C”) model will enable SyQic to reach the end user directly and will
allow users to pay direct to SyQic, i.e. not have to go through a Telco. This ability to
accept payments directly from users (albeit through a third party payment partner)
rather than via a commission share with the Telcos will provide the opportunity to
earn enhanced margins.
OTT service targeting high end customers – not cutting out the Telcos
It is expected that the full OTT service will be priced around 25% higher than the
current access price through a Telco and hence there should be minimal
cannibalisation of the existing ‘Telco’ client base. The service will be targeting the
higher spending consumers who will likely want to view the service on Smartphones
or Tablets. We expect that users who have access to payment services such as via a
credit card will likely be of higher spending capability. However, SyQic is keen to
maintain its strong relationships with the Telcos as they remain key to promoting the
‘non-fully OTT’ service and ensuring that increased bandwidth consumption can take
place for customers without any ‘throttling’ of data as described earlier.
The demographics of the two target markets, based on the channel to market, are
summarised in Exhibit 6 below.
Exhibit 6: Channel to market
Over The Top (“OTT”) services are offered to end users by content providers (e.g. BBC
through its iPlayer) or third party providers (e.g.
Hollywood films via Netflix). The service is provided over an ‘open’ network (networks not
managed by a network operator) e.g. Netflix
customers can access the service regardless of the network they subscribe to.
In an OTT environment, the network operator’s sole job is to transport the contents of the
internet protocol (“IP”) packets to the end user:
the operator is unable to control copyrights,
distribution or viewing ability of such contents.
Exhibit 5: OTT explained
Source: Company data, Allenby Capital
Source: Company data, Allenby Capital
Via Telco OTT
Device Feature phones or Smartphones Feature phones, Smartphones and Tablets
Network 2.5G & 3G 2.5G, 3G & 4G
Data Typically without high-end data plans Typically with high-end data plans and/or Wi-
Fi enabled capability
Income Lower income group Medium and higher income groups
Regions Urban and Rural Urban and Rural
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 15 of 48
Increased accessibility of the service
Yoonic OTT will allow for direct access by users via Apps or browser based access
(we compare this with when Sky TV in the UK launched Sky Now which made parts
of the Sky TV service available to anyone with internet access, regardless of whether
they were an existing Sky customer or not). As such the fully OTT launch will
exponentially expand the potential customer pool.
As well as being accessible to a wider audience, the Yoonic fully OTT offering will
allow for access on a significantly broader range of devices. Whereas currently the
Yoonic platform can be accessed on mobile devices including feature phones and
smartphones, tablets and computers, the OTT service will in time be available on
Smart TV's and game consoles.
Yoonic OTT will bring SyQic closer to its customers
The current delivery model is very much B2B2C – SyQic deals with the Telcos and
the Telcos deal with the consumer. SyQic has no direct contact with the consumer.
Although SyQic can track which content is being viewed and when, it knows little
about the end consumer demographics. With Yoonic going fully OTT, SyQic will be
better able to engage directly with the end users through the Yoonic storefront. The
Yoonic platform incorporates a powerful database that will enable SyQic to track user
profiles more efficiently. This will provide SyQic with essential customer profile data
from which it will be able to better tailor its products and services.
Full OTT offering will make the video viewing network agnostic
As with the service through the Telco networks, the full OTT service will take
advantage of SyQic’s technology to allow adaptive bitrate streaming which ensures
the quality of the video content matches bandwidth availability. For example, in the
OTT environment a viewer could watch uninterrupted video while the device switches
between WIFI, 3G, GPRS etc., depending on the strongest signal available.
Marketing responsibility with SyQic
When delivered in conjunction with a Telco partner the marketing is predominantly
done through SMS blast messaging and WAP push marketing. When Yoonic goes
fully OTT, the Company intends to market the product through the strategic
placement of content on YouTube, viral promotions via social networking sites,
utilisation of location based advertisement engines such as Facebook and MSN
Messenger and the creation of adwords and mobile admobs (for words such as “Ethnic
Movies” and “Live TV”) for advertising through Google.
In addition, the Group is seeking to engage with local business representatives in each
new territory to pursue partnerships including: media partners (such as TV stations for
barter deals to exchange air time); exploring marketing partnerships for special live
events; marketing partnerships with content providers; and using specific targeted
marketing channels (such as neighbourhood flyers to specific ethnic areas and local
daily newspapers).
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 16 of 48
Content is key
It is an obvious assumption that without providing high demand content,
companies such as SyQic will struggle to build a customer base. Whilst many of
SyQic’s competitors are focused on Hollywood or on one international genre (e.g.
Indian or Filipino) SyQic’s content range is both expansive and diverse. The
range includes TV channels, Films, Cartoons, Documentaries, TV Series, Variety
shows, Music, Sport and User Generated Content. It has access to over 20,000
titles of VOD content, 70 ‘live’ television channels and features content from
Malaysia, The Philippines, Bangladesh, Pakistan, India, Indonesia, Turkey and
Eastern Europe. New regional content continues to be added which serves to
increase the potential audience.
The Group was founded by a group of broadcasting executives and SyQic’s guiding
principle has always been to secure relevant and in-demand content for the service
that it delivers. Indeed, many of the key content relationships have been in place with
the Group’s senior management team for a number of years.
SyQic’s content team collaborates with some of the biggest international content
providers and aggregators. In addition to the in-house content team, in a number of
cases SyQic also deploys content agents "on the ground" in specific countries such as
the Philippines, Indonesia and Pakistan to build even deeper relationships with the
content partners.
Aggregators facilitate access to content
SyQic typically secures the online distribution rights to most of its content through the
use of content aggregators such as JJJ Media in Singapore rather than going direct to
rights holders such as the BBC. Content aggregators tend to serve not just SyQic and
other online platforms but also parties such as DVD distributors in the region and as
such have better bargaining power. Furthermore, it would be time consuming for
SyQic to negotiate directly with all the various rights holders in the regions. The
content aggregator obtains the rights from the regional rights holder and SyQic
licenses from the content aggregator, typically on a non-exclusive basis.
Longer term, once SyQic has developed a longer track record of proven results and
has increased resources in its content team, the Company will look to negotiate and
work directly with the rights holders to improve margins. With regional content such
as Turkish content and Indonesian content, the Company deals direct with the main
rights holders who are typically locally based and do not have international
distributors of their content.
The contracts with content providers tend to run for between two and three years at a
time and have historically been renewed at the end of their terms. The content team
negotiates licences to distribute the content online and the licenses tend to be for a
specified geographical region and on a revenue sharing basis. SyQic’s model of
revenue sharing means that SyQic does not need to pay large upfront costs for
securing access to the content thus de-risks the business model. The content list from a
content provider is regularly updated with new titles and once the titles are made
available to SyQic for distribution, it has access until the term of the agreement
expires.
The Group’s services are designed to be attractive to content providers since they only
need to send the content in digital format to the Group and the Group then reformats
this (which is predominately an automated process) for use on mobile devices.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 17 of 48
Production of own content
Some industry participants have begun to create their own content, such as Netflix
with its House of Cards TV series. Whilst incurring an upfront cost, the returns can
clearly be huge if the content proves successful. The vast majority of SyQic’s content
is made by third parties but recently the Company started producing content
internally.
The Company has established an internal content team to develop "templates" and
"case studies" of short, interesting and localised content to spur its viewers to also
generate and place content on Yoonic for sale. Over time this will help Yoonic
differentiate itself even more from other available video content offerings in the
market.
Exhibit 7 below lists some of the channels currently available on the Yoonic platform,
their genre and some of the content titles.
Exhibit 7:Sample of available content
Channel Name Genre Example Content Title
Channel News Asia News English language Asian TV News channel
RT News Russian English-language news channel
Fashion TV Lifestyle Fashion, beauty & lifestyle programs
Indo TV General entertainment (Indonesian) My Blackberry Girlfriend series, Ratu Kostmopolitan (Movie) 2010
Mens TV Lifestyle TopGear series
Fight TV Sports WWE Friday Night Smackdown, UFC series
Hollywood TV General entertainment (Hollywood) CSI Miami series, Walking Dead series
Bollywood TV General entertainment (Bollywood)3 Idiots (Movie) 2009, Kuch Kuch Hota Hai (Movie) 1998, Dabangg (Movie)
2010
Football TV Sports Matches and clips from top leagues around the world
Laugh TV General entertainment (humour) Mr Bean Series, Just for Laughs Gags
Mistik TV Documentaries (supernatural) UFO Hunters series, Ghost Hunters series
YooMusic Music videos Latest popular music videos
Clubbing TV Music videos Clubbing music videos
ZonKu General entertainment (Malaysian) Kau Yang Terindah (Series) 2012
Korea TV General entertainment (Korean) 풀하우스 - Full House (Series) 2004, 도둑들 - The Thieves (Movie) 2012
Japan TV General entertainment (Japanese)Watashi ga Renai Dekinai Riyuu - The Reason I Can't Find My Love (Series)
2011, KARASIA 2013 Happy New Year in Tokyo Dome Concert
Dragons TV General entertainment (Chinese) JayChou - Incomparable Concert Live 2004, Ip Man (Series) 2013
Source: Company data
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 18 of 48
The Target market
SyQic predominantly targets customers that have a desire to watch Asian media
(TV and film) on mobile devices. Customers may be based in their home country
but the content also appeals to Asians living in other jurisdictions who have a
desire to view home country media. The service is currently accessible in Asia but
the service is shortly to launch in Europe, the Middle East and the Americas and
the roll out of the fully OTT service will make the service potentially accessible to
a global audience.
SyQic currently delivers its products to users through agreements with Telcos.
Therefore the potential customer pool is limited to that of the Telcos. At the end of
2012 the service was available with five Telcos in three regions namely Malaysia, the
Philippines and Indonesia. We estimate that the customer base of the five Telcos
engaged with SyQic in these regions totalled around 200m. By the end of 2013 SyQic
estimates that it will have rolled its products out with a further two Telcos in the
Southeast Asia region adding an estimated 50m users to the potential target audience.
Roll out of service outside of Asia to further increase potential customer base
With the content on the SyQic platform predominantly of Asian origin it is a logical
progression for the Group to target customers with a desire for Asian content but that
are living outside of the region. The Group’s strategy is to target promising territories
for Asian migrant communities which SyQic believes are to be found in Europe, the
Middle East and North America.
For example, one target market of particular interest is Qatar which has a population
of 1.9 million of which 80% are foreign born. A further breakdown of the Qatari
population reveals that 11% are Filipinos, 24% Indian, 5% Bangladeshi and 4%
Pakistani – all nationalities for which SyQic has home country content readily
available to stream. Indeed, the Group currently has content available in nine
languages, including Urdu.
Similarly in the UK, 20% of the population is either foreign born or of foreign
nationality with migrant and expatriate communities from Southeast Asia making up
approximately 4% (or around 2.5m people) of the UK population. The strategy with
regards to the Middle East, UK and Continental Europe is at the outset to roll out the
product in these regions via the OTT offering without Telco partnerships.
The OTT market size potential, adding of non-Asian content
When Yoonic goes fully OTT the addressable market will become, in theory, anyone,
anywhere with an internet connection – the customer base will no longer be restricted
to that of the partnering Telco. The typical customer will initially likely be someone
with an interest in Asian content.
However, management appreciates the desire for individuals (not just those from
Asia) to access home country content when overseas. As such, content will not be
restricted to being from Asia and the group is already adding content for Europe’s and
the US’ migrant populations – for example by providing Turkish content to Turkey’s
large migrant population in Western Europe.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 19 of 48
Pricing - predicated on subscriptions, not advertising
The overriding pricing strategy is to put paid premium content within the reach
of the masses who cannot or do not want to access more expensive and
conventional pay TV content. The Group operates a subscription rather than an
advertising based model. For the Telco distribution model the subscriptions are
shared between Syqic, the Telcos and the content providers. For the full OTT
service SyQic will bill the users through a payment service provider and share
the fees with only the content providers. The Group remains committed to its
subscription based model although it is currently exploring the possibility of
offering a ‘freemium’ version of its products to increase awareness which would
be subsidised by advertising.
Subscription over advertising
SyQic’s belief has always been that if the product is of sufficient high quality (content
and delivery) then customers will pay for access. The alternative model, namely
advertising based, is proving uneconomic for even some of the most popular media
producers. We view examples of print media that have gone online, initially for free
but then having to migrate to a subscription model, as evidence that it is hard for
media providers to succeed with an advertising based model. Of more relevance to
SyQic we view YouTube’s recent introduction of subscription based channels as
vindication that the advertising based model is proving uneconomic for even some of
the most popular media producers that have tens of millions of viewers.
YooMob and Yoonic - subscriptions through Telcos
The current services are offered through relationships with Telcos. For example a
Maxis Malaysia customer can register for the service and download the YooMob or
Yoonic App on their phone. The user can then access the service and in return will be
charged around £1.25 per month direct to their mobile phone bill. The fee is then
shared between SyQic, the Telco and the content provider. The monthly fees in the
different regions reflect the purchasing power of customers from the jurisdiction. In
general, SyQic’s customers have been at the low end of the purchasing power scale
and so subscriptions are seen as affordable for the mass market.
The amount of £1.25 quoted above for access to the service is an average price for
subscription to a package of channels for one month. However, the subscriptions taken
by customers vary widely as it is very much an ‘a la carte’ offering. Fixed bundles of
packages are available but customers tend to select their own blend of channels and
decide the length of the time that they desire access be it daily, weekly or monthly.
Full OTT service to expand reach beyond what Telcos can provide
The full OTT offering will be available to more users (anyone with access to the
internet) and hence will greatly expand the reach of SyQic’s offering. It is envisaged
that the OTT service will be charged at an average 20% premium to the Telco model.
The reasoning behind this is two-fold. Firstly, SyQic does not want to cannibalise the
existing Telco model which works well and has led to the establishment of good
working relationships between the company and the Telcos. Secondly, the target
market for the OTT business is higher earners who will likely access the service on
higher price point products such as Tablets and therefore who will tend to have greater
purchasing power.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 20 of 48
Strategy
In order to drive revenue and profitability over the next few years the Company
intends to execute the following strategies:
i) Further launches of the Telco channel model in Asia. Yoonic was
launched at the end of June 2013 in Malaysia followed by launches in the
Philippines in July 2013 and Indonesia in August 2013 - providing a reach to
a potential customer base of c. 150m throughout the three countries. The
Group plans to continue to work with further Telco partners to provide users
with low cost access to an extensive range of live and VOD media content.
By end 2014 SyQic intends to have launched the platform with a total of 9
Telcos and for the service to also be available in Pakistan, Bangladesh and
Myanmar.
ii) Expand Yoonic into Western markets. In addition to, and in conjunction
with, rolling out the product with more Telco operators in Asia, the Company
intends to expand its geographical footprint westward. Specifically the
Company intends to roll out the service to higher ARPU countries such as in
Europe, North America and Australia.
In Q4 2013 the service will be rolled out in the EU starting with the UK. In
Europe the strategy is, in addition to the full OTT offering, to work with
second-tier Telcos, catering to the migrant markets such as Lycamobile and
Lebara. This will enable the Group to target the migrant community more
effectively since the first-tier Telcos in the EU are more focused on premium
content which is seen as a more competitive and hence less lucrative market.
The Company intends to adopt the same strategy in relation to a launch of the
Group’s service in the US in the second half of 2014.
iii) Roll-out of the Yoonic OTT platform. The Company expects to launch the
Yoonic full OTT model in late 2013. This will have the opportunity to
exponentially expand the potential customer pool as access will no longer be
restricted to a subscription via a specific Telco as users will be able to pay via
payment platforms that are not Telco based. Additionally, it will allow the
content to be viewed on more devices thus further increasing its attraction.
The service is already OTT ready and it is just the implementation of an
independent payment processing partner system that is required ahead of the
OTT launch. SyQic recently signed an agreement with AIM listed Bango to
provide this system.
iv) Further international diversification of content. The content currently
available on the SyQic platform has a high Asian focus. However, in the last
twelve months content has been added from Turkey and other Eastern
European countries. By adding content from other regions the attraction of
the service will naturally increase due to its appeal to consumers’ demand for
access to home country content when overseas. For example, adding the
Turkish content is not necessarily to target Turkish nationals living in their
homeland but instead some of the 5m Turks estimated to be working
overseas6.
6 http://www.mfa.gov.tr/the-expatriate-turkish-citizens.en.mfa
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 21 of 48
Competition
Although a relatively nascent industry there is already a multitude of players in
the market place with a variety of business models. Some are content owners
looking to distribute their own content to a wider audience (e.g. BBC iPlayer,
ESPN Player), others, like SyQic, take third party generated content and make it
available on-line (e.g. LOVEFiLM, YouTube). Finally, some are a combination of
the two such as Netflix which now produces its own content in addition to
streaming third party product.
In exhibit 8 below we summarise the activities of some of the larger and better known
players in the media streaming industry. However, in addition to these household
names there are numerous smaller players operating in the Asian content space that
compete more closely with SyQic.
Examples of some of the smaller players include WatchIndia TV, StarHub Mobile
TV, Maaduu and Viki (recently sold to Japan’s Rakuten for $200m). WatchIndia
provides live streaming of over 70 Indian channels as well as Indian video-on-demand
across multiple devices (including iOS and Android devices). StarHub Mobile TV
provides access to a wide range of content (Asian and Western) on multiple devices
however access is restricted to StarHub (Singaporean info-communications provider –
broadband, TV, Phone, Mobile) customers. Maaduu provides Korean content to
Indonesia, Singapore and Malaysia, and Viki provides Korean content in Southeast
Asia.
Despite numerous competitors the Directors believe that there is no single direct
competitor to SyQic in terms of breadth of content for multiple nationalities.
However, SyQic is fully aware that competition is highly likely to emerge and it is
essential that the Company continues to build on its key strengths (as listed below) in
order to maintain and build its customer base:
i. the ability to stream at low bandwidths (down to 80kbps);
ii. products offering a compelling and simple user experience;
iii. innovative R&D with the capability to add new features rapidly (including
the planned upcoming content discovery applications via recommendations
and search functions to enable users to quickly find their desired content);
iv. an affordable cost of service;
v. content provider relationships which enables access to the best ethnic
content;
vi. multi device delivery via one subscription – easy and flexible; and
vii. a fully operating mobile service.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 22 of 48
Exhibit 8: Competitive landscape
Source: Generator Research Ltd, Company data, Allenby Capital
Name Overview Content Devices Cost
Amazon
(Amazon
Instant Video)
The service was launched in 2006 and has an
estimated customer base of around 10m.
Currently only available in the United States.
c. 145k movie & TV shows for rental or purchase. Deals with
Warner Bros., Turner Broadcasting, CBS, BBC and others. Some
deals on an exclusive basis. Also features original programming
developed by Amazon Studios (educational and comedy).
Accessible on a range of devices including connected TV
sets, Blu-ray players, STBs, games consoles. Mobile
devices: Includes Kindle Fire, iPad and iPhone. Android
devices not currently supported. Streaming or downloading
option, downloads to a PC require the Amazon Unbox Video
Player to be installed.
A la carte payment - users pay for each view. Amazon
Prime Instant Video ($79 pa, free unlimited streaming of
a limited range of content portfolio) also includes free
postage on purchases from Amazon.com and Kindle
eBook loans.
Apple TVApple TV was launched in 2007 and has an
estimated customer base of 5m.
c. 15k movies and 90k TV episodes from the iTunes store in addition
to content available from Netflix, YouTube, and several news and
sports channels (some require individual subscription).
Product consists of a Wi-Fi media streaming box that works
in combination with a PC or Mac and allows users to play
movies and TV shows on their TV.
Box costs $99 but key revenue comes from sales of
content from the iTunes store.
BBC iPlayer
Launched in 2007 the service is available to UK
users only and currently averages around 2.5m
users per day.
Access to practically all television and radio content broadcast by the
BBC for the last 7 days (some for longer).
Available on PCs, Mobile devices, Tablets, Games Consoles,
Connected TVs. Live streaming and many programmes can
be downloaded but these remain captive within the service.
Fee to UK TV licence payers, currently being trialled
internationally at $60 pa.
CBS
(CBS.com)
Launched in 2006 the service served 630k online
video adverts in March 2013, +50% on march
2012.
CBS TV Network content available within 24 hours, primetime
programmes availble 8 days after broadcast. TV episodes and films
are available for purchase via partners, iTunes, Amazon Instant
Video and Vudu. CBS also distributes its own content via licensing
agreements with OTT TV service providers, Netflix, Amazon Instant
Vido and Hulu.
Available on Apple devices, similar Apps for Android and
Windows 8 devices are expected later in 2013.
Ad supported VOD streaming service. CBSSports.com
$17.95 pm (live streaming of US college sports).
CNNThe sevice was launched in 2005 and had 101m
video streams in Jan 2013.
Free access to VOD content across news, business, sport, culture,
travel and the environment. Live streamming of full CNN content is
reserved for CNN pay-TV subscribers.
Aceess online and via mobile devices. Apps available for
Android, iOS, Nokia and Windows. Tablet Apps available
for Android tablets, Kindle Fire, Ipad and Nook. Available in
the US on selected smart TVs and Blu-ray players.
Advertising based, subscription service abandoned in
2007.
ESPN PlayerESPN Player is ESPN's primary OTT internet
TV platform and is directed at European users.Offers live and on-demand access to a wide range of sports video.
Access via PC and Apple devices and selected Android
devices, Xbox gaming platform, connected tvs.$6-$8 for 24-hour or weekly access.
Hulu
Launched in 2007, Hulu is a jointly owned by
NBC Universal, Fox Entertainment Group and
Disney-ABC Television Group. The service is
currently available in the US & Japan and had 4m
subscribers by Q1 2013.
Includes more than 60k TV episodes, 2.3k TV series and 50K hours
of video on Hulu and Hulu Plus from 430 content partners.
Range of devices including PCs, Smart TVs, Blu-ray
players, gaming consoles, Smartphones and Tablets.
Offered free on an ad-supported basis to PC users or
under a subscription , Hulu Plus, which provides access
to more content on a wider selection of devices for $7.99
per month.
LOVEFiLM
Web based DVD and online movie rental service
available in the UK, Germany, Denmark, Sweden
& Norway. The business was acquired by
Amazon in Jan 2011 for $317m and has over 2m
users.
Over 70k titles available acrosss Blu-ray, DVDs and video games. In
2009 the company introduced LOVEFILM Instant , which is an OTT
streaming service , accessible using a range of connected devices.
The service is available on over 175 Internet-enabled
devices including: PCs, Macs, notebooks, Kindle Fire HD,
iPad, gaming machines and connected TVs. In Feb 2012,
LOVEFiLM announced that streaming views overtook
physical rentals for the first time.
LOVEFiLM Instant costs $7.90 a month for unlimited
streaming, also provides a pay-per-view service,
LOVEFiLM Box Office.
Netflix
Nasdaq quoted Netflix was launched in 1997, the
service now has an estimated 36m users, it is
available in 40 countries but c.80% of subscribers
are in the US.
Netflix has some exclusive content agreements such as US
distribution for selected Walt Disney action and animated feature film
debuts. Also makes original content such as House of Cards series, a
drama released in Feb 2013.
Online streaming was launched in Jan 2008 and Netflix is
now one of the world's leading OTT TV service providers. It
now derives over 75% of its revenues from online streaming.
Netflix's original DVD 'rental-by-mail' business is only
available in the US: all international businesses are
focussed on the company's online streaming service.
Sky (NOW
TV)
Sky is the UK's leading pay TV provider and has
penetrated around 40% of UK households. In
2006 Sky launched Sky Player (rebranded Sky
Go) which allows existing Sky TV subscribers to
access programme content online.
Sky GO effectively repackages content already sold to Sky's regular
pay-TV customers. In 2012 Sky launched Pay As You Go internet
TV service NOW TV which is available to non-Sky subscribers . The
USP for NOW TV is that it can offer movies 12 months earlier than
rivals such as LOVEFilm and Netflix.
Accessible on Laptops, PCs, Macs, Smartphones, Tablets,
Androids, iPhones, Connected TVs and gaming consoles.
Sky Go to non Sky TV subscribers ranges from $24-$63
pm. NOW TV - Sky movie pass ($24 pm) - all 600 sky
movies. Sky sports day pass $16 pd 24 hours all 6 sky
sports channels.
Youku Tudou
Inc.
Youku Tudou ("YT") is the leading OTT service
in China in terms of revenue and is estimated to
have c.400m unique viewers every month, the
vast majority of which are in China. YT is listed
on the NYSE.
The original focus was on user generated content ("UGC") but now
streams licensed professional content and also self produced content.
By Nov 2012 YT had signed deals with all the major hollywood
studios and content includes more than 4.5k movies, 2.7k TV titles,
900 variety shows and 33 popular american TV dramas and variety
shows.
Accessible on PCs, Andrid, iOS, Windows phones,
Blackberry Smartphones, Android and iOS tablets and STBs
using Android operating system.
Income is primarily generated through online advertisng
and to a limited extent from subscription or pay per view
based online video services. Streaming or download of
ad supported UGC, Films and TV programmes is free.
Subscription access to ad-free content $2.38 pm, single
movie rentals from $0.79.
(YouTube)
YouTube is the world's leading video-sharing
website. It was launched in 2005 and acquired by
Google in 2006. it currently has around 1bn
uniques users per month.
Although best known for its UGC, YouTube now offers movies and
TV shows . Over 50 YouTube channels are now available with
content including British programming, children's entertainment and
sports. Additonally over 6000 movies are available for rental as
YouTube has deals with ABC, NBC and Sony.
Available on PCs, Tablets, Smartphones, Games consoles,
Smart TVs and via certain satelite and Cable TV services.
Although primarily an ad-supported service, YouTube
also derives income from transactional fees to rent
movies and shows on offer. This business model was
developed in May 2013 and includes 54 monthly channel
subscriptions, with YouTube retaining 45%
of these subscription fees. Subscriptions start from
$0.99pm.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 23 of 48
Risks We see the following as the key risks to the SyQic business model:
i) Loss of access to content
The Group provides content that it licenses from third parties. The success of the
service depends largely upon the volume and quality of content. The Group currently
licenses from content aggregators as well as directly from media companies. The
Group may not be able to renew these licences on terms that are favourable to it, or at
all. However, the fact that the Group has had long-standing relationships with its
existing major suppliers, its senior executives are experienced broadcast executives
with good ties in the industry and SyQic is focused on niche ethnic content (which
reduces competition) helps mitigate this risk.
ii) Move to OTT model has negative impact on Telco relationships
SyQic currently has strong distribution relationships with a number of Telcos
throughout Asia. The launch of the full OTT model will enable customers to pay
SyQic direct and thus reduce revenue for the Telcos. This could potentially lead to
Telcos cutting the service for any remaining customers and hence a negative financial
impact for SyQic. To mitigate this, the full OTT offering will be priced higher than
the Telco offering and marketing will be targeting ‘non-Telco’ regions. SyQic will
also continue to collaborate with the Telcos for the full OTT service in terms of traffic
prioritisation for the Yoonic service on various networks. These collaborations will
work to maintain partnerships between SyQic and the Telcos albeit on a smaller level
than before.
iii) Technological evolution
The market for mobile media services is characterised by rapid technological change,
evolving industry standards, frequent device and service introductions and short life
cycles. The Group’s success depends upon its ability to enhance its current solutions
and to develop and introduce new solutions. The Group’s inability to keep up to date
with technological advances could harm its operating results or could result in its
services becoming obsolete. We view it as essential that the Group maintains a
technically skilled R&D team and adapts to technological changes and advances in the
industry, including providing for the continued compatibility of its technology
platform with evolving industry standards and protocols.
iv) Competition and market development
The market for mobile video solutions is rapidly evolving and the Group expects
competition to intensify in the future. This market is characterised by rapidly changing
technologies and an abundance of potential market participants. As the market,
technologies and industry evolve and as the Group introduces additional technical
solutions, the Directors expect to face significantly increased competition from other
companies in the broader Internet media market, including wireless carriers, cable and
satellite operators, and other television service providers with in-house developed
solutions, including those with whom the Group currently has business relationships.
Such increased competition could harm its revenue and operations.
v) Failure to recover certain trade receivables
As detailed later in the document, SyQic ended 2012 with an outstanding trade
receivable of £2.4m. The receivable is now under a repayment plan and the Company
has taken receipt of the first scheduled monthly payments totalling around £300k by
end September 2013. There is a risk that this receivable may not be paid back in full
which would negatively impact future profitability and cash flows. We take comfort
that the Company’s auditors have visited the counterparty in Indonesia and believe
that the debt will be settled in accordance with the terms of the repayment plan.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 24 of 48
Financial summary – profit & loss account
Historically, SyQic’s revenues were derived from the provision of consultancy
services and the sale of licences for the use of its technology. In 2011 the revenue
model changed with the launch of YooMob and SyQic commenced revenue share
agreements with Telcos. At that point, revenues became more directly linked to
user activity levels. The revenue model will be adjusted further in late 2013 when
the Company goes fully OTT and SyQic will be able to bill users directly. SyQic
does not pay upfront costs for the content it distributes but instead shares the
revenue with the content providers. Whilst this revenue share model somewhat
caps the earnings upside, it also limits the downside and we see it as one of the
key reasons that SyQic has been able to move into profitability so early in its
development.
Exhibit 9: SyQic summary financials
SyQic no longer earns consultancy and license fee income but instead the driver of
revenues has become end-user subscriber numbers and the levels of their transactions.
The revenue model is quite simple in that the customer pays a fee to the Telco to
allow access to an amount of video (e.g. four channels for two weeks) and this
revenue is then shared as per a pre agreed formula with SyQic and the content
provider. In late 2013, the Company intends to go fully OTT where users will have the
opportunity to subscribe direct with SyQic (albeit through a third party payment
processing partner) rather than via a Telco.
Revenue growth has been driven by an increasing customer base and as the product
has been rolled out with more Telcos. From the initial launch with PLDT in the
Philippines in 2010 (which was essentially a white labeling of the SyQic product
under the ‘Watchpad’ brand) the service, as of September 2013, is now available from
six different Telcos in three different countries. Further launches are planned over the
next twelve months thus further increasing the potential client base. By end 2014 we
estimate that the product will be launched with at least nine Telcos and a potential
customer base of 230m users.
Volume of transactions drive revenues
As described earlier, in late 2013 SyQic plans to go fully OTT, i.e. the service will be
available to users regardless of their Telecoms service provider. In a fully OTT
scenario a user will pay SyQic directly through a web based payment system. SyQic’s
operations have had OTT capability from launch but it has been a strategic initiative to
firstly partner with Telcos to leverage off their distribution capability.
Whether users access via a Telco or OTT, key to revenue generation will be the
number of transactions and the cost per transaction. SyQic’s model is a ‘pay as you
go/a la carte’ model: a typical user will pay for access to a set group of channels for
say one month (one transaction) but then may add, for example, a sports channel for
one week (another transaction) or a music channel (another transaction) for one week.
The average access fee is 20p for one day’s access, 40p for one week and £1 for one
month’s access. Approximately fifty five per cent of transactions are for one week
with the rest mainly for one month.
Source: Company data, Allenby Capital
Exhibit 10: 2013 transaction volumes
Source: Company data, Allenby Capital
Y/E Dec. £'000 2010A 2011A 2012A 2013E 2014E 2015E
Revenue 978 2,842 3,911 4,700 7,800 11,000
YoY Growth 190.6% 37.6% 20.2% 66.0% 41.0%
Gross profit 899 1,695 2,242 2,632 4,290 6,050
Margin 91.9% 59.6% 57.3% 56.0% 55.0% 55.0%
EBIT 64 336 635 882 2,190 3,750
Margin 6.5% 11.8% 16.2% 18.8% 28.1% 34.1%
Profit after tax ("PAT") 64 366 625 854 2,015 3,363
Margin 7.1% 21.6% 27.9% 32.4% 47.0% 55.6%
PAT Growth 471.9% 70.8% 36.6% 136.0% 66.9%
78 70 70 80120
147
344
483
840
1,040
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct
Yoonic launch June 2013
(K)
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 25 of 48
In the first six months of 2013, an average of 94k transactions were executed every
month. This figure rose to 550k per month in Q3 as Yoonic was launched. In October
2013 the figure was approximately 1.04m.
2013 revenue growth impressive but could have been higher
We forecast full year revenues for 2013 of £4.7m. Although this is an impressive 20%
growth on 2012, the true growth of the business is being masked due a reduction in
the business generated in Indonesia through PT Nextnation Prisma (“PTNP”).
In 2012, SyQic’s Indonesian operations generated revenues of around £2m. However,
as detailed in the section on the balance sheet (page 28), at the end of the 2012 there
was a large unpaid trade receivable due from PTNP. In the first four months of 2013,
whilst the repayment terms of this receivable were being negotiated, SyQic did
minimal promotion of the product in Indonesia. Consequently, a nominal amount of
revenues were achieved.
In May 2013, once repayment of the receivable had commenced, the business was
reactivated. In total we forecast 2013 revenues of £0.75m from Indonesia, a drop of
£1.25m on 2012. Had this issue not occurred and revenues from the region had been
in line with 2012 (£2m) then the overall revenue forecast for 2013 would instead be
£5.95m, a rise of 52% on 2012.
Confidence in 2013 forecasts based on strength of Q3
Given the issues described above with PTNP it is not surprising that the 1H 2013
numbers were weak. Furthermore, as the Company prepared for the launch of Yoonic,
promotion on YooMob was reduced which also negatively impacted revenues. The
end result was that in 1H 2013 SyQic recorded revenues of just £0.9m, equivalent to
22% of revenues achieved in the whole of 2012 and 18% of our full year 2013
revenue forecast. We do note however that despite these low revenue numbers the
Company, due to its flexible business model, still recorded a net profit, albeit small, of
£35k.
The issue with PTNP has now been resolved and PTNP is both paying back the
receivable and also trading again with SyQic. More importantly, in June 2013 Yoonic
was launched. The impact on revenues has been dramatic. After £0.9m of revenues in
the whole of 1H 2013, revenues have been recorded of £0.32m, £0.35m, £0.65m and
£0.76m in July, August, September and October respectively. Management is
confident of continued month on month growth and hence we forecast full year
revenues of £4.7m.
For 2014, we have taken the September 2013 revenue figure of £0.65m and
annualised it to give us £7.8m, growth of 66% on 2013. These numbers should prove
conservative given that monthly revenue figures of greater than £0.65m have already
been achieved in October 2013. Assuming that SyQic achieves half of our 2014
forecast in 1H 2014, i.e. £3.9m then the Company would be announcing 1H 2014
revenues showing year on year growth of over 300%, albeit from a low base.
Source: Company data, Allenby Capital
Exhibit 11: 2013 monthly revenue and forecasts (£k)
Source: Company data, Allenby Capital
Exhibit 12: SyQic revenue forecasts through 2015 (£k)
978
2,842
3,911
4,700
7,800
11,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
2010A 2011A 2012A 2013E 2014E 2015E
93 87 87
195 196 217
315352
651
760
825
921
0
250
500
750
1,000
1,250
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 26 of 48
Relative predictability of gross margins
Revenues are stated by SyQic gross of any revenue sharing. The pay away to the
Telcos and content providers is treated as a cost of sale. Given that the revenue
generation and cost of sales base is rather formulaic, margins are relatively
predictable. This model differs to many others operating in the internet TV space who
often pay for content upfront or indeed produce their own content. Whilst these
alternative models offer greater upside due to the content cost being a fixed amount,
they also carry greater risk if the demand for the content does not materialise. We
believe that SyQic’s choice of business model has been key to it being able to move
into profitability early in its life cycle.
Although the gross margins were significantly higher in 2010 than in 2011 and 2012,
we note that the business model was different in 2010. In 2010 revenues were
generated predominantly by the provision of licensing, maintenance and support
services where direct costs were much lower and accordingly margins were higher. It
was in 2011 that SyQic launched the current B2B2C model with revenues being
shared with the Telcos and content providers. Gross margins have thus declined,
although an increase in revenues has more than compensated for this, with overall
gross profits having increased.
Given the revenue share agreements by which SyQic operates, we expect relative
gross margin stability in 2013 in the core business with the small contraction at the
Group level caused by the continued reduction in the high margin consultancy and
licence fee business. Going into 2014 and 2015 we conservatively forecast relatively
stable margins despite the potential for increased margins from OTT revenues which
will not require a revenue share with Telcos.
Operating and administrative expenses
Research expenditure is recognised as an expense when it is incurred. Development
expenditure is capitalised if such expenditure is expected to generate future economic
benefits. The development expenditure is amortised on a straight-line method over
three years. All of the capitalised expenditure on YooMob has now been amortised
and the amortisation of the capitalised development expenditure in relation to Yoonic
has now begun.
Administrative expenses predominantly comprise salaries and consultancy costs. The
Group employs 32 persons comprising of 28 full time staff and 4 consultants.
Geographically, the employees (staff and consultants) are located as follows: UK – 7;
Malaysia - 17; Philippines - 4; Singapore 3 and Indonesia – 1. Although the cost base
is increasing as the company expands we expect the cost base relative to the levels of
sales to fall to around 21% in 2015 from close to 50% in 2011.
Multimedia Super Corridor (“MSC”) designated company
SyQic’s principal operating company is domiciled and incorporated in Malaysia and is
a qualifying company for MSC Pioneer status. This provides 100% exemption from
income tax on qualifying income. Pioneer status is granted by the Malaysian
Investment Development Authority and runs for an initial period of five years which
has been extended for a further five years.
SyQic was initially awarded Pioneer status in January 2007 and the status was
renewed for a further five years from January 2012. As such, we expect the Company
to maintain a low tax rate for the foreseeable future although taxes will be paid on
profits generated outside of Malaysia.
Exhibit 13: Gross Margin analysis
Source: Company data, Allenby Capital
Exhibit 14: Gross Margin Revenue contribution (£k)
Source: Company data, Allenby Capital
Exhibit 15: Expenses profile
Source: Company data, Allenby Capital
835
1,375
1,620 1,750
2,100
2,300
85.4%
48.4%
41.4%37.2%
26.9%
20.9%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
200
700
1,200
1,700
2,200
2010A 2011A 2012A 2013E 2014E 2015E
£k
Operating & Admin expenses as a % of sales
91.9%
59.6%57.3% 56.0% 55.0% 55.0%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2010A 2011A 2012A 2013E 2014E 2015E
899
1,695
2,2422,632
4,290
6,050
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2010A 2011A 2012A 2013E 2014E 2015E
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 27 of 48
Exhibit 16: Profit & loss statement
Source: Company data, Allenby Capital forecasts
Profit & Loss £k £k £k £k £k £k Comments
Year End December FY 2010A FY 2011A FY 2012A FY 2013E FY 2014E FY 2015E
Turnover 978 2,842 3,911 4,700 7,800 11,000
Growth na 190.6% 37.6% 20.2% 66.0% 41.0%
Cost of Sales (79) (1,147) (1,669) (2,068) (3,510) (4,950)
Gross Profit 899 1,695 2,242 2,632 4,290 6,050
Margin 91.9% 59.6% 57.3% 56.0% 55.0% 55.0%
Other Income - 16 13 - - -
Admin and other Operating Expenses (835) (1,375) (1,620) (1,750) (2,100) (2,300)
as a % of sales 85.4% 48.4% 41.4% 37.2% 26.9% 20.9%
EBIT 64 336 635 882 2,190 3,750 Predominatly comprises salaries and consultants' fees.
Margin 6.5% 11.8% 16.2% 18.8% 28.1% 34.1%
Net Finance Expense (11) (11) (10) (11) (12) (13)
Profit Before Tax 53 325 625 871 2,178 3,737
Tax 11 41 - (17) (163) (374)
Tax Rate -20.8% -12.6% 0.0% 2.0% 7.5% 10.0%
Profit After Tax 64 366 625 854 2,015 3,363
Margin 6.5% 12.9% 16.0% 18.2% 25.8% 30.6%
FX translation differences (38) (2) 13 - - -
Net Profit 26 364 638 854 2,015 3,363
Margin 2.7% 12.8% 16.3% 18.2% 25.8% 30.6%
Growth 1300% 75% 34% 136% 67%
Attributable to:
Equity holders of SyQic 26 364 640 854 2,015 3,363
Non-controlling interest - - (2) - - -
Exceptional item - IPO expenses - - - (600) - -
Comprehensive income/(loss) for the year 26 364 638 254 2,015 3,363
EPS (Pre exceptional items)
Basic (p) 3.7 8.7 14.5
Diluted (p) 3.7 8.7 14.5
Shares
Basic (m) 23.2 23.2 23.2
Diluted (m) 23.2 23.2 23.2
EBITDA 164 458 764 1,132 2,490 4,050
Margin 16.72% 16.10% 19.52% 24.09% 31.92% 36.82%
Despite the set back in Indonesia in 1H 2013 we still forecast
over 20% growth in 2013. Growth in 2014 and 2015 will be
driven by a continuation of the strong demand seen for Yoonic
in 2H 2013 and the launch of the full OTT offering.
Turnover reported Gross, CoS mainly pay aways to Telcos and
content providers.
Earlier revenues were mainly generated by the provision of high
margin consultancy and licensing. In 2011 SyQic launched the
current B2B2C model with revenues being shared with the
Telcos and content providers. Gross margins are lower but
offset by greater revenues.
MSC status through 2017 will lead to minimal tax charged on
Malaysian generated profits. Profits generated outside of
Malaysia will be taxed at local rates.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 28 of 48
Financial Summary – Cash Flow & Balance Sheet
SyQic has a strong record of profitability and with the business having relatively
low capital requirements there is an opportunity for strong cashflow generation.
However, a build up in trade receivables with one customer in particular has
held back cashflow generation. The aforementioned trade receivable is now
subject to a repayment plan and prior financing facilities (convertible bonds and
preference shares) have been converted into new ordinary shares at the IPO.
Combined with the gross £2.45m IPO proceeds the Company is in a strong
position to take advantage of a fast growing market.
Increase in trade receivables has held back cashflow generation
At the end of December 2012 trade receivables stood at £2.55m, £2.4 million of which
was due from PT Nextnation Prisma (“PTNP”). PTNP operates the SyQic licensing
agreement in Indonesia providing marketing and support of the YooMob service.
In 2011 and 2012 SyQic generated revenues of £3.8m in Indonesia through PTNP but
received cash payments of just £1.4m. This was largely attributable to a regulatory
issue in Indonesia that emerged in late 2011 affecting all mobile service content
providers in the country. The issue was an industry wide investigation by the
Indonesian telecommunications regulator on the sale of add-on services to cellular
end-users in Indonesia. The investigation has since been concluded (without penalty
on either SyQic or PTNP) but it did result in delays in collections of revenue shares
for sales from mobile operators by PTNP.
The Group addressed the matter in early 2013 which included a decision to temporary
suspend services managed by PTNP in order to reduce risk. A payment plan was
agreed in May 2013 for the settlement of the then outstanding £2.45m over a three
year period. In summary the payments to SyQic are due to be £0.5m in 2013, £0.9m in
2014 and £1.05m in 2015. We understand that at the end of September 2013 c.£0.3m
had been received by the Company, as expected, under the repayment plan. Additional
new revenues that are generated with PTNP are expected to be paid within 120 days.
Cash generation supported by issue of convertible bonds and preference shares
Operating cash flow was supplemented in 2011 and 2012 by the issue of £1.3m of
preference shares and £0.3m of convertible bonds (5% coupon). This has enabled the
Company to invest in the development of new products and services (YooMob and
Yoonic). Both the convertible bonds and preference shares converted into ordinary
shares at the IPO.
Financing in 2013 has come in the form of a Directors’ loan (unsecured and interest
free) and an overdraft facility. Amounts due to Directors totaled £590k at end June
2013. In September 2013 the Group obtained a RM500k (c.£100k) overdraft facility
from Malaysian finance institution Maybank Islamic Berhad.
IPO raised gross proceeds of £2.45m to enable further expansion
The receivable from PTNP is now being paid back under a repayment plan and the
Company is expected to show strong levels of profitability in 2013 with a profit after
tax margin of 18%. That said, cashflow generation will remain under pressure for the
time being as SyQic continues to invest for growth. Post IPO we forecast the low
point for cash levels will be end December 2013 when the Company will have an
estimated cash position of £1.35m.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 29 of 48
Exhibit 17: Cashflow statement
Source: Company data, Allenby Capital forecasts
Cash Flow Statement £k £k £k £k £k £k Comments
Year End December FY 2010A FY 2011A FY 2012A FY 2013E FY 2014E FY 2015E
Profit for the period before taxation 53 325 625 871 2,178 3,737
Adjustments for:
P,P&E written off - 32 - - - -
Depreciation of P,P&E 97 74 84 100 50 50
Amortisation of intangible assets - 48 47 150 250 250
Bad Debts written off - 178 - - - - Project in Columbia that did not materialise
Waiver of trade payables - (5) - - - -
Gain on disposal of P,P&E - - (4) - - -
Finance costs 3 9 10 11 12 13
Fair value loss on trade receivables - - 177 - - -
Operating cash flows before movements in working capital 153 661 939 1,132 2,490 4,050 Strong cash generation prior to movements in working capital
(Increase)/decrease in trade and other receivables (67) (1,439) (1,101) (2,205) 1,302 (168)
Increase/(decrease) in trade and other payables 63 352 (316) 451 361 360
Amounts from / (paid to) Directors (394) (111) 62 500 (150) (150)
Amounts from / (paid to) shareholders (252) (82) (37) (27) - -
Cash generated from operating activities (497) (619) (453) (149) 4,003 4,092
Income tax (paid)/received (10) - (6) (17) (163) (374)
Interest paid (3) (9) (10) (11) (12) (13)
Net cash generated from operating activities (510) (628) (469) (177) 3,827 3,705
Purchase of P,P&E (20) (30) (18) (100) (100) (100)
Acquisition of intangible assets (183) (155) (290) (350) (150) (150) Build up in expenditure on Yoonic.
Adjustments arising from acquisition of subsidiary 713 - - - - -
Net cash used in investing activities 510 (185) (308) (450) (250) (250)
Advances from related companies - - 4 - - -
Proceeds from the issue of convertible bonds - 291 - - - -
Proceeds from government grants 36 2 - - - -
Repayment of lease obligations (23) (25) (10) - - -
Proceeds from the issue of preference shares - 666 619 - - -
Net Proceeds from the issue of ordinary shares - - - 1,850 - -
Bank financing - - - 75 - -
Net cash used in financing activities 13 934 613 1,925 - - The Company raised £2.45m Gross/£1.85 net proceeds at IPO.
Net increase/(decrease) in Cash 13 121 (164) 1,298 3,577 3,455
Effect of FX rate changes (41) (5) 3 - - -
Cash and equivalent at beginning of period 127 99 215 54 1,352 4,929
Cash and equivalent at end of period 99 215 54 1,352 4,929 8,384
SyQic has generated steady levels of operating cash flow (pre
working capital movements) in each year of trading. However,
overall cashflow has been held back by a build up in
receivables in 2011 and 2012 in its Indonesian operations. A
repayment plan is now in place which will aid cashflow
generation in 2014 and 2015.
Financing to date has been from the issue of convertible bonds,
preference shares and Directors' loans (see above). Both the
convertible bonds and the preference shares converted into
new Ordinary shares at IPO.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 30 of 48
Exhibit 18: Balance sheet
Source: Company data, Allenby Capital forecasts
Balance Sheet £k £k £k £k £k £k
Year End December FY 2010A FY 2011A FY 2012A FY 2013E FY 2014E FY 2015E
ASSETS
Non-current assets
Property, plant & equipment 276 210 144 144 194 244 Capitalised development expenditure in relation to Yoonic.
Intangible assets 183 287 532 732 632 532
Non-current trade receivable 0 0 1,724 1,724 824 0
Deferred tax 11 52 52 52 52 52
470 549 2,452 2,652 1,702 828
Current Assets
Trade receivables 192 1,360 615 2,820 2,418 3,410
Other receivables, deposits and prepayments 59 146 107 107 107 107
Cash 99 215 54 1,352 4,929 8,384
350 1,721 776 4,279 7,454 11,901
Total Assets 820 2,270 3,228 6,931 9,156 12,729
LIABILITIES
Current liabilities
Trade payables 116 294 66 517 878 1,238
Other payables & accruals 301 492 412 412 412 412
Amounts owing to Directors 179 65 127 627 477 327 Amounts owed to Directors are unsecured and interest free.
Amounts owing to shareholders 147 64 27 - - -
Lease obligations 26 16 17 17 17 17
Income tax payables - - - - - -
Bank overdraft - - - 75 75 75
769 931 649 1,648 1,859 2,069
Non-current liabilities
Convertible redeemable bonds - 290 292 - - -
Lease obligations 96 96 80 80 80 80
Other 34 - - - - -
Equity
Share capital 4,997 5,663 6,282 9,024 9,024 9,024
Merger deficit (3,286) (3,286) (3,286) (3,286) (3,286) (3,286)
Translation reserve/(deficit) (9) (11) 1 1 1 1
Minority interest - 2 - - - -
Accumulated profits/(losses) (1,781) (1,415) (790) (536) 1,478 4,842
(79) 953 2,207 5,203 7,217 10,581
Total Equity & Liabilities 820 2,270 3,228 6,931 9,156 12,729
Balance Sheet Ratios FY 2010A FY 2011A FY 2012A FY 2013E FY 2014E FY 2015E
Short term financial debts - 129 154 702 552 402
Long term financial debts - 290 292 - - -
Gross debt - 419 446 702 552 402
Cash and cash equivalents 99 215 54 1,352 4,929 8,384
Net debt / (cash) (99) 204 392 (650) (4,377) (7,982)
Trade receivable days 72 175 57 219 113 113
Trade payable days 536 94 14 91 91 91
Trade receivab le days = clo s ing trade receivab les d ivided by turnover and mult ip lied by 365
Trade payab le days = clo s ing trade payab le days d ivided by cos t o f sales and mult ip lied by 365
Comments
Relates to the non-current element of the PTNP receivable
which stood at £2.4m at end June 2013. The receivable will
be repaid; £0.5m in 2013, £0.9m in 2014 and £1.05m in 2015.
By end September 2013 £0.3m had been received.
The 5% convertible bonds converted into new ordinary
shares at IPO.
The Company has a RM0.5m (c.£100k) facility with
Maybank Islamic Berhad.
Trade receivables days are distorted in 2013 by the
relatively strong operating performance in Q4 2013 leaving
high receivables at the year end.
Includes amounts due to Directors, shareholders and bank
overdraft
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 31 of 48
Use of proceeds
The company raised gross proceeds of £2.45m on its AIM IPO. The Directors
intend to use these funds, along with its existing cash resources, for business
expansion, in particular to launch the Group’s services in the UK, Continental
European and US markets.
In order to achieve their strategy, the Directors initially intend to focus on the
following areas of business development:
i) Content acquisition (15%)
The Directors consider that content is the key reason why users choose to subscribe
for the Group’s services. The Group remains committed to acquiring relevant, in-
demand content as economically as possible and its primary method of doing so will
continue to be on a revenue share basis. That said, as SyQic continues to license
premium migrant and expatriate content, on occasion these licences may require
partial upfront payments in order to secure the necessary rights. Additionally, funds
will be used for funding the creation of original programming.
ii) Research & development (40%)
The core principle behind the Group’s R&D is centered around the user’s video
experience and keeping the video delivery element of the service as up-to-date as
possible. The Group is continually looking to reduce the bandwidth required by the
Group’s platform, thereby reducing latency and buffering as well as enabling users to
access the platform in areas of poorer connectivity. The Group attributes much of its
past success to the strength of its R&D and the Directors believe that investment in
R&D is of fundamental importance to the Group’s future prospects. The Group’s
R&D function is located in the UK with maintenance and enhancements based in
Malaysia.
iii) Capital expenditure (20%)
Tied-in with the Group’s expansion into new territories, the Group plans to establish
local and regional content distribution hubs in each strategic area starting with the UK.
These hubs will provide a mirror of the content stored on the Group’s primary servers
(located in Tier 3 data centres in Asia) and will have the dual benefit of decreasing
latency and delays as well as providing back-up in the event of the failure of any of
the Group’s other hubs and/or servers.
iv) Sales and marketing (15%)
The Group intends to increase its marketing capabilities including advertising and
promotions via various media outlets. The Directors believe that by investing in these
areas the Group will be able to increase both its market share and its revenues.
v) Working capital (10%)
The Directors currently intend to deploy funds to help finance its day-to-day
operations as it seeks to launch its services in new territories and grow both
organically and by selective acquisition.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 32 of 48
Valuation
SyQic’s sector is still in its infancy and hence an established group of listed peers
to provide comparable valuation multiples does not yet exist. Instead, many of
the peers are either private (e.g. WatchIndia or StarHub Mobile) or form a
minority part of a listed company (e.g. Apple TV or the subscription part of
YouTube – itself a part of Google). Those that are listed often tend to be focused
on different genres and target different end clients such as Netflix’s focus on
higher spending customers seeking Hollywood movies.
Listed players in the internet TV value chain
With few, if any, direct listed comparables we have taken a look at some listed players
that are involved elsewhere in the internet TV value chain. Whilst these companies
have different business models to SyQic, they will all benefit from the overall market
growth.
Amino Technologies (AMO.LN), PeerTV (PTV.LN) and Pace (PIC.LN) are
focused on the production of set top boxes and PayTV hardware. Destiny Media
(DSNY.5) is focused on video streaming security and Mobile Streams (MOS.LN)
and One Media (OMIP.LN) are content owners/providers. Finally, Youku Tudou
(YOKU.US) could be described a blend of YouTube and Netflix focused on the
Chinese market. The common theme across these companies is that they are
experiencing growing revenues and are optimistic for further growth. As is common
with early stage growth companies, not all are profitable and many have only just
broken into profitability.
Whilst interesting to monitor the performance of other players in the value chain to get
a feel for industry trends, unfortunately we do not think they are such useful valuation
comparators. The main reason for this is that the business model of SyQic differs
markedly to the players mentioned above. The incremental cost of an additional client
signing up for the SyQic service is essentially the pay away to the Telco and content
providers. We compare this to, for example, the capital intensity of the set top box
manufacturers or the capex required to acquire content.
In summary, we see the SyQic model as relatively unique. It is low risk (no large
upfront payments required for content) and has high operational gearing (each
incremental £1 sale adds around 50p to gross profits and has minimal impact on
administration costs). It is this lightweight business model which has enabled it to
reach profitability at such an early stage.
The closest business model is probably that of Netflix (NFLX.US) in that it similarly
has high earnings gearing relative to its user numbers. That said its target market is
different and its model of acquiring content or producing its own rather than revenue
share differs to SyQic. Outside of the internet TV value chain it is interesting to look
at Bango (BGO.L), SyQic’s payment partner. Bango develops mobile web payment
systems and so, like SyQic, has earnings highly geared to the number of mobile
transactions that take place. Earnings forecasts are not available for Bango but in 1H
2013 it recorded gross revenues of £6.6m (+27% on the prior year) and a loss after tax
of £1.7m. Bango has a current market capitalisation of £63m and a net cash position
of £7.2m. Despite the losses, the market clearly places a premium value on the
operational gearing potential of the business model and the on-going growth in mobile
web payments.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 33 of 48
In summary, given the lack of direct comparables with regards to valuation we believe
SyQic should be appraised on its own merits. Despite the one off issue incurred in 1H
2013 (as previously detailed) the Company is still forecast to increase revenues by
more than 20% year on year for the full year. The 2014 revenue forecast of £7.8m
(66% year on year growth) is an annualisation of the revenues achieved in September
2013 of £0.65m i.e. it conservatively assumes no growth from September 2013
onwards which we view as highly unlikely given that month on month growth of 17%
was achieved in October 2013. The business is achieving gross margins in excess of
50% and the cost base is under control so that the Company is delivering growing
levels of profits after tax.
Fair value at 130p
With 10 months of the year complete we are confident in our 2013 forecasts and feel it
is appropriate to look to our 2014 forecasts for a basis of valuing SyQic. That said,
given that the Yoonic product was only launched in June of this year, the Company is
yet to launch the fully OTT version of its products and that the market is experiencing
rapid growth, we feel that there is substantial earnings upside potential in excess of
our current forecasts. We gain further comfort that the revenue share business model
ensures that even in periods of reduced revenues the Company has operated
profitably.
SyQic operates in a nascent but rapidly growing industry but it has established itself as
a potential major player given that it has the key ingredients for success, namely
quality content, delivery technology and an attractive price point for consumers. The
Company is producing steadily increasing profitability and is on the verge of
launching an OTT offering that has the potential for producing blue sky returns. As
such, we think that it is not too demanding to expect the Company to trade on a 2014
PE Ratio of 15x (rather than the current 7.1x). A 15x 2014 valuation would imply a
fair value for SyQic of 130p.
Exhibit 19: Peer group valuation summary
Source: Thomson Reuters, Company data, Allenby Capital forecasts
Company Price TickerMarket
Cap (£m)
2012 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014 2012 2013 2014
Amino Technologies Plc 0.88 AMO.LN 48.4 -18.2 30.2 17.6 14.7 12.6 0.73 0.70 0.68 4.84 4.73 4.30
Destiny Media Technologies Inc 1.96 DSNY.5 63.7 -0.50 63.2 181.9 328.5 58.5 25.39 30.07 18.82 117.50 252.62 43.93
Mobile Streams Plc 0.69 MOS.LN 25.1 -2.80 22.3 32.3 9.6 8.4 1.01 0.41 0.34 12.05 4.64 3.72
Netflix Inc 355.2 NFLX.US 13,080 -68.6 13,012 1,224.8 240.0 104.8 5.77 4.80 4.10 11.88 68.41 43.72
One Media iP Group Plc 0.159 OMIP.LN 10.18 -1.92 8.26 21.7 24.8 15.9 3.95 3.20 2.60 15.01 12.90 8.60
Pace Plc 3.19 PIC.LN 999.1 42.6 1,041.7 27.6 16.4 14.2 0.69 0.68 0.69 5.84 7.12 6.86
PeerTV Plc 0.0188 PTV.LN 1.50 3.70 5.20 -0.3 na na 2.66 na na -1.34 na na
Youku Tudou Inc 27.02 YOKU.US 2,182 -339.8 1,842 -52.0 -67.6 150.1 10.05 5.88 3.98 932.80 -70.60 41.34
Average 181.7 80.9 52.1 6.28 6.54 4.46 137.3 40.0 21.8
Median 24.7 16.4 15.9 3.30 3.20 2.60 11.96 7.12 8.60
£m
SyQic 0.62 SYQ.L 14.38 -0.65 13.73 22.5 16.9 7.1 3.51 2.92 1.76 18.0 12.1 5.5
Net
Debt/(Cash)
(£m)
Enterprise
Value (£m)
Price / Earnings EV / Sales EV / EBITDA
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 34 of 48
Shareholder structure & Board member profiles
The Company has primarily been funded by the issue of ordinary shares,
preference shares and a convertible bond. Ahead of the AIM IPO the preference
shares and the convertible bond were both exchanged into ordinary shares. The
company raised £2.45m at IPO through the issue of further ordinary shares and
exhibit 20 below sets out the shareholder structure post this fundraise. We also
list below the profiles of the board members.
Exhibit 20: Shareholder structure
William Liu Wei Hai (aged 65), Non-Executive Chairman
William Liu started his career in IT in 1970 after graduating with a degree in
Mechanical Engineering from the University of Manchester and a MSc from Imperial
College. He is currently the Chairman and Managing Partner of Stream Global Pte
Ltd, a Singaporean venture capital firm whose main objective is to invest in and
partner with entrepreneurs and assist them in realising their potential. William is
currently a board member of SISTIC.com Pte Ltd, GreenDot Energy Pte Ltd, Payment
Link Pte Ltd., and was previously a board member of the National Library Board,
Singapore Computer Systems and the National Computer Board. He was also a past
Chairman of the Singapore Federation of the Computer Industry (SFCI) from 1995 to
1998 and a Board member of the Singapore National Computer Research Society of
Singapore. William was inducted into the Singapore Computer Society’s Hall of Fame
in 2007.
Jamal Hassim (aged 48), Chief Executive Officer
After graduating with a Bachelor of Laws degree from the University of Wales,
Aberystwyth in 1990, Jamal gained experience in taxation and corporate finance with
Ernst and Young (Singapore) and Price Waterhouse (Malaysia). In 1995, Jamal joined
ntv7 Malaysia, a terrestrial broadcasting station and his success at ntv7 was the reason
the Malaysian Government later appointed Jamal to help with the operation of TV3
and also the restructuring of its RM800 million debt. In 2000, Jamal was headhunted
to become the Chief Operating Officer of SPH Mediaworks Ltd in Singapore and later
led a project that involved the restructuring, reorganisation and successful sale of
Metrovision, an indebted Malaysian terrestrial television station to the TV3 Media
Group.
Jamal’s broadcast career culminated in him becoming the Founder, Managing
Director and owner of Channel 9, at that time Malaysia’s last independent terrestrial
television station. He was also responsible for raising the necessary capital (RM70
million) to launch and operate the station. Jamal created a multi-media platform to
deliver Channel 9’s content via the television, the internet and mobile devices. Jamal
and investors successfully exited their investment in Channel 9 via a trade sale. Jamal
had also invested in and operated Capital FM, a urban themed FM radio station based
Source: Company data
NameNumber of
ordinary shares
% of issued
ordinary shares
Jamal Hassim (CEO) 8,838,940 38.10%
Emanuele Angelidis 2,258,771 9.74%
Stream Global Incubators Private Limited (SGI) 1,752,864 7.56%
Stream Global Pte Ltd 1,365,382 5.89%
Valley View Holdings Ltd 1,364,792 5.88%
Liew Tze Min 1,108,954 4.78%
Dicky Tjokrosaputro (Chairman) 753,755 3.25%
Other 5,755,387 24.81%
Total number of shares 23,198,845 100.0%
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 35 of 48
in Malaysia. He also successfully exited this investment via a trade sale. In 2004,
following the sale of Channel 9, Jamal founded SyQic.
Steve Elliff (aged 44), Finance director
Steve Elliff is a Chartered Accountant with over 20 years of financial experience. He
started his career in 1990 at KPMG London and his tenure included an 18 month
secondment to KPMG, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. In 1996, Steve joined Lex Service
plc as Group Operations Auditor, where he was responsible for managing the
completion accounting exercise as part of its sale to Pendragon Motor Group. In 1998,
he joined Dexion Group and after five years joined Mercedes Benz Retail Group as
Divisional Financial Controller where his responsibilities were, amongst others,
management reporting for the three Mercedes-Benz Retail Corporate Sales operations
in London, Manchester and Birmingham. In 2009, Steve joined Epson UK Limited as
Financial Controller and in November 2013 Steve will join SyQic ahead of the AIM
listing. Steve has a degree in Economics from the University College of Wales,
Aberystwyth and a Certificate in Business Administration from the University of
Warwick.
David Vernon Cotterell (aged 60) Non-Executive Director
David Cotterell has nearly 30 years’ experience in the information technology
software and service sector. He has held senior management roles with firms such as
ACT Financial Systems, DST, Advent and AIM listed SQS Group plc where he was
also responsible for investor relations. This wide ranging experience includes senior
roles in international start-ups, organisations requiring change and mature businesses
with established brands. Mr Cotterell has led and successfully implemented two trade
sales of technology companies. He holds other IT related board level positions
including with AIM listed Incadea and RapidCloud International plc. He is also
Director of Europe for Qualitest services.
Dicky Tjokrosaputro (aged 42), Non-Executive Director
Dicky graduated from the University of Southern California with a degree in Business
Administration in 1992 before commencing his career in the textile manufacturing
business. From 1996 to 2008 he was the CEO of PT. Hanson International Tbk
(Indonesia) a company involved in textile manufacturing. He has been a Director of
PT Power Telecom (Indonesia), a company involved in telecommunication services
from 2004 till present and a Director of Valley View Holding Ltd (Samoa), an
investment holding company with investments in IT businesses from 2009.
Chak Kong Soon (aged 49), Non-Executive Director
Chak Kong Soon started his career in the systems integration division of Andersen
Consulting (now known as Accenture), and is currently a Managing Partner of Stream
Global Pte Ltd. He is the President of the Singapore Computer Society, a professional
body with 27,000-strong membership. Chak has founded and run several companies
and currently serves as a board member on several technology companies in the
Southeast Asia region.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 36 of 48
Appendix I – Listed peer group profiles
Although not identical peers to SyQic, the following companies operate within the video
streaming industry and have their equity listed:
I. Amino Technologies Plc (AIM)
II. Destiny Media Technologies Inc (TSX, OTC US)
III. Mobile Streams Plc (AIM)
IV. Netflix Inc (NASDAQ)
V. One Media IP Group Plc (AIM)
VI. Pace Plc (LSE main market)
VII. PeerTV Plc (AIM)
VIII. Youku Toudu Inc (NYSE)
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 37 of 48
Amino Technologies Plc
Summary Data
Share price (p) 88.00
Reporting currency GBP
Ticker AMO.LN
Exchange London
Market cap (USD m) 77.5
Market cap (GBP m) 48.4
Last reported net debt/(cash) (GBP m) -18.2
Enterprise value (GBP m) 30.2
Share price performance
Source: Thomson Reuters
Key data (Y/E Nov) - (GBP m)
2011A 2012A 2013E 2014E
Revenue 51.82 41.70 43.17 44.77
EBITDA 2.09 6.19 6.40 7.03
EBIT -0.61 2.83 3.17 3.73
Pre Tax Profit -0.62 2.89 4.17 3.77
Net Profit -0.21 2.84 4.25 3.65
EPS 4.00 5.00 6.00 7.00
DPS 2.00 3.00 4.00 4.00
Net Debt/(Cash) -14.12 -17.10 -19.07 -20.50
Margins/Ratios
2011 2012 2013 2014
EBITDA Margin 4.0% 14.8% 14.8% 15.7% Key Shareholders
EBIT Margin -1.2% 6.8% 7.3% 8.3% Schroder Investment Management Ltd 21.1%
Net Profit Margin -0.4% 6.8% 9.8% 8.2% Azini Capital Partners LLP 14.3%
P/E Ratio 22.00 17.60 14.67 12.57 Miton Capital Partners Ltd 11.1%
EV/Sales 0.58 0.73 0.70 0.68 Kestrel Partners LLP 9.1%
EV/EBITDA 14.47 4.89 4.73 4.30 BlackRock Investment Management (UK) Ltd 8.0%
Revenue Growth 17.8% -19.5% 3.5% 3.7% AMO Employee Benefit Trust 5.3%
EPS Growth na 25.0% 20.0% 16.7% Ari Charles Zaphiriou-Zarifi 5.2%
Sources: Thomson Reuters, Allenby Capital
Share price as of 26/11/2013
Amino Technologies is an international provider of digital
entertainment solutions, specifically for Internet Protocol
Television (‘IPTV’), Over The Top services (‘OTT’), and in-
home media distribution. The Company was founded in 1994
and listed on AIM in 2004. Based in Cambridge, its products
are sold to a base of over 850 customers spanning 85
countries, including global corporations such as Ericsson and
Intel. The Group specialises in the area of set top boxes.
Although consequently not a competitor of SyQic, it is
nevertheless a peer in that it operates in the field of PayTV via
IPTV and OTT services.
Amino’s principal product, the high definition set top box
Aminet A140, is regarded as an industry benchmark, owing to
its performance, flexibility and competitive pricing. The Aminet
A540 adds a high performance PVR functionality to the
Aminet range. Amino’s technology allows its customers –
ranging from IPTV service providers to major network
operators – to more efficiently bring their entertainment
services to their own consumers.
Amino is also establishing itself as a player in the pure OTT
market, whereby operators deliver their entertainment services
directly over the open internet. In the past six months,
contracts to supply the Group’s proprietary OTT products
have been secured with KartinaTV (a Russian language TV
service) and Maxcom (a Mexican fibre network operator).
Recent market developments have lifted prospects for both the
IPTV and OTT segment of the business – with regard to
IPTV, the continued rollout of fibre optic networks in an
increasing number of regions gives Amino’s clients a greater
reach for more advanced entertainment services; for OTT,
regulatory changes will further broaden entertainment
providers’ target addressable market.
In October, Amino entered into an agreement with VUDU, an
industry leading subscription-free, video-on-demand movie
service, which allows Amino to offer VUDU's extensive
catalogue of blockbuster films through its IPTV platform.
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12
(p)(K)
Volume Price
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
120.0
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Jan-12 Apr-12 Jul-12 Oct-12 Jan-13 Apr-13 Jul-13 Oct-13
(p)(K)
Volume Price
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 38 of 48
Destiny Media Technologies Inc
Summary Data
Share price (USD) 1.96
Reporting currency USD
Ticker DSNY.US
Exchange OTCMKTS
Market cap (USD m) 162.9
Market cap (GBP m) 101.8
Last reported net debt/(cash) (USD m) -0.8
Enterprise value (USD m) 162.2
Share price performance
Source: Thomson Reuters
Key data (Y/E Aug) - (USD m)
2011A 2012A 2013E 2014E
Revenue 4.01 3.98 3.36 5.37
EBITDA 0.87 0.86 0.40 2.30
EBIT 0.81 0.77 0.33 2.19
Pre Tax Profit 0.81 0.77 0.41 2.26
Net Profit 0.64 0.56 0.31 1.74
EPS 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.03
DPS 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Net Debt/(Cash) -1.24 -1.28 na na
Margins/Ratios
2011 2012 2013 2014
EBITDA Margin 21.7% 21.6% 11.9% 42.8%
EBIT Margin 20.2% 19.3% 9.8% 40.8% Key Shareholders
Net Profit Margin 16.0% 14.1% 9.2% 32.4% Steven E Vestergaard 21.66%
P/E Ratio 159.13 181.86 328.52 58.53 Fidelity Management & Research Company 3.02%
EV/Sales 40.44 40.74 48.26 30.20 Frederick Vandenberg 1.05%
EV/EBITDA 186.38 188.55 405.38 70.50
Revenue Growth 6.4% -0.7% -15.6% 59.8%
EPS Growth na -12.5% -44.6% 461.3%
Sources: Thomson Reuters, Allenby Capital
Share price as of 26/11/2013
Destiny is a provider of distribution technology services for
content over the Internet. Specifically, these services are
focused on watermarking and security, and media streaming
technologies. Founded in 1991, the Group was originally a
video game developer, before moving into video streaming
solutions in 1999. 95% of Destiny’s revenues are now
generated by its Play MPE distribution service, which the
recording industry uses to distribute music and video content in
a safe, protected environment. The Company’s shares are
traded on the TSX, the OTCBB and OTCQX, as well as on
several German exchanges. Although not involved in direct
streaming, it a useful peer to analyse for SyQic as it does
operate in the area of transferring media content over the
Internet (albeit not to the end user).
Destiny’s principal product is Play MPE. It is an automated
service used by record label companies in delivering their
music and video content to its customers. The range of the type
of client that Destiny caters to is broad, including radio
stations, film and television studios, DJs, news agencies and
sports stadiums, amongst others. Play MPE’s technology
compresses and encrypts the file, enables a rapid transfer and
download by the recipient, and then locks the content to said
recipient’s computer. The technology possesses a digital
watermark, which acts as forensic trace and corrupts files if
someone attempts to remove it. The technology also allows the
record label companies to monitor the recipient’s use of the
media content. Revenues are generated for Destiny through
charging the record labels for the service.
Destiny is also developing a new technology called Clipstream.
This is an instant play video streaming solution. The USP of
Clipstream is that can be accessed on all browser types on all
computers and internet enable devices without the need for the
plug-ins or streaming servers. The target customer base
includes websites featuring video content and advertisers
looking to run video ads on other sites, amongst others.
Management believes that Clipstream’s novel technology will
be able to challenge the $3 billion content delivery network
industry.
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12
(p)(K)
Volume Price
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-13 May-13 Aug-13
(USD)(K)
Volume Price
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 39 of 48
Mobile Streams Plc
Summary Data
Share price (p) 68.50
Reporting currency GBP
Ticker MOS.LN
Exchange London
Market cap (USD m) 40.1
Market cap (GBP m) 25.1
Last reported net debt/(cash) (GBP m) -2.8
Enterprise value (GBP m) 22.3
Share price performance
Source: Thomson Reuters
Key data (Y/E Jun) - (GBP m)
2011A 2012A 2013E 2014E
Revenue 10.33 22.05 53.94 65.00
EBITDA 0.34 2.01 4.83 6.00
EBIT 0.08 1.64 4.80 5.00
Pre Tax Profit 0.08 1.64 4.78 5.00
Net Profit -0.14 0.77 2.61 3.00
EPS -0.59 2.12 7.13 8.19
DPS 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Net Debt/(Cash) -1.10 -1.76 -2.85 -5.00
Margins/Ratios
2011 2012 2013 2014
EBITDA Margin 3.3% 9.1% 8.9% 9.2% Key Shareholders
EBIT Margin 0.8% 7.4% 8.9% 7.7% Simon David Buckingham 46.44%
Net Profit Margin -1.4% 3.5% 4.8% 4.6% TruePosition Inc 15.59%
P/E Ratio -116.10 32.31 9.61 8.36 Cave & Sons Ltd 2.09%
EV/Sales 2.16 1.01 0.41 0.34 TD Asset Management USA Inc 0.54%
EV/EBITDA 65.56 11.07 4.62 3.72 Roger Parry 0.50%
Revenue Growth 45.3% 113.5% 144.6% 20.5%
EPS Growth na -459.3% 236.2% 14.9%
Sources: Thomson Reuters, Allenby Capital
Share price as of 26/11/13
Mobile Streams (‘MOS’) was founded in 1999. Originally
operating as a mobile ring tones provider, it moved into the
nascent industry of mobile video services in 2005. The Group
listed on AIM in 2006, and soon expanded into games, music,
and wallpaper for mobiles. MOS now operates on a global
scale, with offices in London, New York, Hong Kong and
Singapore.
The Company is essentially a general mobile content provider,
providing apps, games, music, videos and eBooks. MOS
licences and distributes its content through more than one
hundred channels around the world. For videos and pictures, it
provides content to such publishers as National Geographic,
Cellfish Media, and Convisual; music is provided to The
Orchard and Skint, amongst others. Over 200,000 eBooks
are distributed by the Group from more than 600 publishers in
multiple languages.
The Group’s traditional business of providing content to mobile
network operators has been complimented in recent years by
management’s decision to begin also providing content directly
to consumers’ mobile devices. This was due to a decline in the
number of consumers visiting operator channel portals. Despite
the trend, however, MOS has been successful in maintaining
revenue streams from mobile network operators at relatively
stable levels. This segment of the business has witnessed a shift
in revenue origination from music to games and other apps.
The B2C segment has been expanding at a rapid rate, with
mobile internet revenues rising 201% in FY 2013 to £49.6m.
MOS operates this segment through its storefront, Appitalism.
The Company is highly cash generative but as much of the cash
is generated in Argentina it is currently unable to repatriate the
funds due to currency controls. Management is mitigating this
risk by moving into other South American countries in order to
diversify revenue streams.
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12
(p)(K)
Volume Price
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
40.0
50.0
60.0
70.0
80.0
90.0
100.0
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-13 May-13 Aug-13 Nov-13
(p)(K)
Volume Price
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 40 of 48
Netflix Inc
Summary Data
Share price (p) 355.2
Reporting currency USD
Ticker NFLX.US
Exchange NASDAQ
Market cap (USD m) 20,928
Market cap (GBP m) 13,080
Last reported net debt/(cash) (USD m) -109.7
Enterprise value (USD m) 20,819
Share price performance
Source: Thomson Reuters
Key data (Y/E Dec) - (USD m)
2011A 2012A 2013E 2014E
Revenue 3,205 3,609 4,336 5,079
EBITDA 1,219 1,753 304 476
EBIT 376.6 50.5 192.5 363.5
Pre Tax Profit 359.5 30.5 146.0 331.8
Net Profit 226.1 17.4 92.6 206.9
EPS 4.26 0.29 1.48 3.39
DPS 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Net Debt/(Cash) -397.8 -109.7 -457.2 -763.3
Margins/Ratios
2011 2012 2013 2014
EBITDA Margin 38.0% 48.6% 7.0% 9.4% Key Shareholders
EBIT Margin 11.8% 1.4% 4.4% 7.2% T. Rowe Price Associates Inc 10.81%
Net Profit Margin 7.1% 0.5% 2.1% 4.1% Icahn Associates Corporation 9.40%
P/E Ratio 83.4 1,224.8 240.0 104.8 Capital Research Global Investors 9.32%
EV/Sales 6.50 5.77 4.80 4.10 The Vanguard Grop Inc 5.87%
EV/EBITDA 17.08 11.88 68.41 43.72 State Street Global Advisors 3.76%
Revenue Growth 48.2% 12.6% 20.1% 17.1% BlackRock Institutional Trust Company 3.41%
EPS Growth 43.9% -93.2% 410.3% 129.1% Technology Crossover Ventures 3.19%
Sources: Thomson Reuters, Allenby Capital
Share price as of 26/11/2013
Netflix is the world’s leading online subscription service for
streaming films and TV episodes over the Internet, with over
36 million customers based in 40 countries as at April 2013.
29.2m of those customers were US based. The Group also
operates throughout the rest of the Americas, the Caribbean,
the UK, Ireland, Denmark, Sweden, Norway and Finland.
Founded in 1997, the Group listed on NASDAQ in 2002
raising $82.5m in the process.
The Company’s content is obtained from studios via revenue
sharing agreements, fixed-fee licences or simply through direct
purchases. It is then distributed via an OTT service, available
on all Internet enabled devices. Content is typically comprised
of Western entertainment, i.e. American and British films and
TV shows. The Group’s unique selling point is the huge size
and quality of its library (as at end July 2013, the Netflix library
contained over 75,000 films alone).
Netflix offers unlimited content viewing for a flat rate of £5.99
or $7.99 pm. The Group dominates the subscription based
video streaming market, with a market share of 90%. For
exclusively television shows (i.e. not films), which account for
80% of the overall video streaming market, Netflix has an 89%
share. The Group has never altered its model and gone down
the advertising or pay per view route.
In April, the Group revealed plans to roll out a slightly altered
subscription service. Prices are to be hiked to $11.99 pm for a
‘family’ service: the limit for simultaneous streams originating
from one account will be upped from two to four. To curb
piracy, some analysts are also of the opinion that the Group
should limit the number of devices attached to a single account,
or else charge a fee for attaching additional devices.
Nevertheless, CEO Reed Hastings has previously said that the
Group does not plan to alter its current low-end pricing
strategy. Netflix's share price has increased substantially over
the past year, having risen 332.9% in the twelve months to 26
November 2013.
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12
(p)(K)
Volume Price
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
350.0
400.0
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-13 May-13 Aug-13
(USD)(K)
Volume Price
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 41 of 48
One Media iP Group Plc
Summary Data
Share price (p) 15.88
Reporting currency GBP
Ticker OMIP.LN
Exchange London
Market cap (USD m) 16.3
Market cap (GBP m) 10.2
Last reported net debt/(cash) (GBP m) -1.9
Enterprise value (GBP m) 8.3
Share price performance
Source: Thomson Reuters
Key data (Y/E Oct) - (GBP m)
2011A 2012A 2013E 2014E
Revenue 1.66 2.09 2.58 3.18
EBITDA 0.43 0.55 0.64 0.96
EBIT 0.33 0.43 0.49 0.74
Pre Tax Profit 0.33 0.43 0.51 0.80
Net Profit 0.25 0.34 0.41 0.64
EPS 0.39 0.73 0.64 1.00
DPS 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Net Debt/(Cash) -0.41 -0.37 na na
Margins/Ratios
2011 2012 2013 2014
EBITDA Margin 25.9% 26.3% 24.7% 30.3% Key Shareholders
EBIT Margin 19.9% 20.6% 19.0% 23.3% Michael Anthony Infante 46.82%
Net Profit Margin 15.1% 16.3% 15.9% 20.1% Cairn Financial Advisers LLP 17.16%
P/E Ratio 40.71 21.75 24.82 15.90 IS Partners Investment Solutions AG 9.70%
EV/Sales 4.97 3.95 3.20 2.60 Hugh Martin Oliver Bett 7.51%
EV/EBITDA 19.20 15.01 12.96 8.58 Roman Poplawski 7.22%
Revenue Growth 14.5% 25.9% 23.4% 23.3% Robin Abeyesinhe 2.75%
EPS Growth na 87.2% -12.4% 56.1% Nigel Smethers 2.46%
Sources: Thomson Reuters, Allenby Capital
Share price as of 26/11/2013
One Media iP (‘OMIP’) is a provider of digital music and
video content to over 600 online digital stores such as
Amazon, Youtube, Spotify and iTunes. Although not a direct
peer of SyQic as it does not stream its content to the end
customer, OMIP’s content nevertheless is downloaded or
streamed by retail customers via Internet enabled devices from
the digital stores. OMIP is thus useful to analyse in relation to
SyQic’s own back-end operations, i.e. the library content
segment.
OMIP was founded in 2005 with a strategy to acquire media
content and monetize the industry-wide shift from physical to
digital format. Having previously been listed on the ISDX
market, the Company floated on AIM in April 2013 in order
to both raise its profile and to enhance its fundraising
capabilities. The latter is important as OMIP has an aggressive
growth strategy in place and is set on acquiring more
catalogues (since its founding, the Group has invested £1.7m in
over seventy catalogues). It specialises in content that
management describes as ‘nostalgic music and TV
programmes’.
The Group primarily operates a business-to-business model. It
currently supplies digital stores with over 170,000 music tracks
and 5,000 video programmes. OMIP’s technical team is
responsible for re-compiling, processing and digitally
packaging its acquired content. The Group also creates
artwork for releases, manages digital sales campaigns, and
polices its content.
As it is not a streaming operator, OMIP does not charge
subscription fees but rather generates its revenues from two
sources. The first is in the process of repackaging acquired
content into digital format, ready for the digital distributors to
sell to retail customers. The second revenue stream comes
through licensing music content for TV shows, movies, adverts,
games and websites. Management believes that OMIP sits in
an exciting position as a back-end supplier to the fast growing
online entertainment streaming industry.
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12
(p)(K)
Volume Price
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Apr-13 May-13 Jun-13 Jul-13 Aug-13 Sep-13 Oct-13 Nov-13
(p)(K)
Volume Price
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 42 of 48
Pace Plc
Summary Data
Share price (p) 318.60
Reporting currency USD
Ticker PIC.LN
Exchange London
Market cap (USD m) 1,598.6
Market cap (GBP m) 999.1
Last reported net debt/(cash) (GBP m) 42.6
Enterprise value (GBP m) 1,041.7
Share price performance
Source: Thomson Reuters
Key data (Y/E Dec) - (USD m)
2011A 2012A 2013E 2014E
Revenue 2,309.3 2,403.4 2,450.0 2,409.9
EBITDA 218.3 285.2 234.0 243.0
EBIT 11,139.0 158.1 159.0 166.0
Pre Tax Profit 54.70 80.10 132.90 157.17
Net Profit 38.80 58.40 99.60 119.58
EPS (p) 8.49 11.56 19.38 22.50
DPS (p) 2.22 3.13 3.13 4.38
Net Debt/(Cash) 322.52 163.30 -7.92 -9.03
Margins/Ratios
2011 2012 2013 2014
EBITDA Margin 9.5% 11.9% 9.6% 10.1% Key Shareholders
EBIT Margin 482.4% 6.6% 6.5% 6.9% M&G Investment Management Ltd 13.29%
Net Profit Margin 1.7% 2.4% 4.1% 5.0% Schroder Investment Management Ltd 12.87%
P/E Ratio 37.53 27.55 16.44 14.16 David Richard Hood 8.39%
EV/Sales 0.45 0.43 0.43 0.43 Norges Bank Investment Management 6.04%
EV/EBITDA 4.77 3.65 4.45 4.29 Henderson Global Investors Ltd 4.80%
Revenue Growth 12.9% 4.1% 1.9% -1.6% Capital Research Global Investors 4.40%
EPS Growth na 36.2% 67.6% 16.1% BlackRock Advisors (UK) Ltd 3.88%
Sources: Thomson Reuters, Allenby Capital
Share price as of 26/11/2013
Pace is a developer and supplier of PayTV hardware. The
Group was founded in 1989, originally as a distributor of
Apple software. Having listed on the Main Market of the LSE
in 1996, Pace has since become a world leader in the
development of residential gateways, set top boxes, as well as
software and services for the PayTV and broadband
industries. Pace is not a direct competitor to SyQic in that it
does not develop products that allow the streaming of video
content to mobile handsets. However, it is nevertheless a
relevant peer, as it designs the technologies and products by
which PayTV is streamed to all internet enable devices within
the home, including TVs, laptops and tablets.
Pace has a global customer base, boasting as clients leading
players in the cable, satellite, IPTV and Telco markets.
Examples of these are DirecTV, BT, Sky, and Comcast. The
Group’s core business is in PayTV hardware (Media Servers,
Telco Gateways and set top boxes (‘STB’)). Beyond North
America (the largest of the markets), an increase in demand
for Media Servers is driving growth in this business segment.
GetTV and Liberty Global have both recently begun using
Pace’s Media Server products in their European operations. In
addition, Telefonica has selected Pace to provide services and
products for its IPTV operations in Latin America. The
software segment of the business is also growing strongly. The
User Interface software allows operators to create their own
tailored end user experience, and deliver content to their
customers from multiple sources, ranging from OTT to
broadcast. Management is of the opinion that the concept of
OTT should not be viewed as a ‘killer’ for the PayTV industry.
In fact, the use of OTT services in tandem with STBs is
beneficial to PayTV operators, as it increases the quantity and
quality of accessible media content for their customers.
In October, Pace announced the intended acquisiton of Aurora
Networks Inc., a leading developer and manufacturer of
advanced, next-generation Optical Transport and Access
Network solutions for broadband networks, for a
consideration of $310m, payable entirely in cash.
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12
(p)(K)
Volume Price
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
350.0
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13
(p)(K)
Volume Price
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 43 of 48
PeerTV Plc
Summary Data
Share price (p) 1.88
Reporting currency GBP
Ticker PTV.LN
Exchange London
Market cap (USD m) 2.4
Market cap (GBP m) 1.5
Last reported net debt/(cash) (GBP m) 3.7
Enterprise value (GBP m) 5.2
Share price performance
Source: Thomson Reuters
Key data (Y/E Dec) - (GBP m)
2011A 2012A 2013E 2014E
Revenue 5.07 1.96
EBITDA -7.88 -3.88
EBIT -9.33 -4.45
Pre Tax Profit -12.05 -5.85
Net Profit -11.63 -5.17 No available forecasts
EPS -34.10 -6.15
DPS 0.00 0.00
Net Debt/(Cash) 2.95 3.70
Margins/Ratios
2011 2012 2013 2014
EBITDA Margin -155.4% -198.0% Key Shareholders
EBIT Margin -184.0% -227.0% CSS Partners LLP 2.38%
Net Profit Margin -229.4% -263.8% James Helgason Ltd 2.33%
P/E Ratio -0.05 -0.30 Michael David Harrison 2.33%
EV/Sales 1.03 2.66 No available forecasts John Roger Beresford Gould 2.33%
EV/EBITDA -0.66 -1.34 Haim Bechor 2.14%
Revenue Growth -4.3% -61.3% Eatamar Drory 2.14%
EPS Growth -98.6% -99.8% BCTG Ltd 1.83%
Sources: Thomson Reuters, Allenby Capital
Share price as of 26/11/13
PeerTV is a provider of technology solutions for the OTT
market, as well as being a solutions provider to the printed
circuit board (‘PCB’) production industry. It joined AIM in
January 2011 as a pure set top box (‘STB’) provider to end
consumers. In September of the same year, it acquired Digitek
Holdings Ltd in a reverse takeover deal. Digitek was an
outsourced electronics manufacturing business, and had been
assisting PeerTV with production management in China, where
PeerTV’s set top boxes were being manufactured. The two
divisions give the Group a diverse revenue stream, as well as
benefitting from one another through synergistic means.
The Israeli based company’s principal product is currently
eTV, an Android 4.0 based set top box that the Group
launched in March of this year and manufactures through its
subsidiary, Digitek. The product has been designed to maintain
the familiar experience that a traditional television gives, but
also to offer the user the benefits of the Android Operating
System, Android Applications and Internet connectivity. Upon
joining the AIM market PeerTV was focused on developing
products that were designed to bring entertainment services to
particular ethnic communities. Following the completion of
development of eTV in 2012, however, the Group is now
targeting a wider market, notably the larger telecom operator
market, while maintaining its traditional ethnic market customer
base.
PeerTV has a potential pipeline of over 400,000 STBs to be
rolled out over the next two to three years. This would equate
to a market opportunity of over $30m. The Digitek business
has also built up an impressive order flow for 2013, which
should amount to $7 million from three new major accounts. In
November, Digitek asked for its loan note holders to accept a
delay in interest payments, or else accept payment in PeerTV
shares, due to the recent strain it was experiencing on cash
resources. This was caused by improvements in winning orders
which increased working capital requirements.
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12
(p)(K)
Volume Price
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12 Feb-13 May-13 Aug-13
(p)(K)
Volume Price
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 44 of 48
Youku Tudou Inc
Summary Data
Share price (USD) 27.02
Reporting currency USD
Ticker YOKU.US
Exchange NYSE
Market cap (USD m) 3,491.3
Market cap (GBP m) 2,182.0
Last reported net debt/(cash) (GBP m) -543.60
Enterprise value (USD m) 1,842.3
Share price performance
Source: Thomson Reuters
Key data (Y/E Dec) - (USD m)
2011A 2012A 2013E 2014E
Revenue 146.65 293.35 501.03 741.00
EBITDA -22.48 3.16 -41.75 71.31
EBIT -29.94 -78.20 -78.36 10.99
Pre Tax Profit -28.12 -69.83 -69.47 22.15
Net Profit -28.12 -69.27 -69.25 20.05
EPS -0.25 -0.52 -0.40 0.18
DPS 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Net Debt/(Cash) -600.70 -269.31 -415.00 -377.00
Margins/Ratios
2011 2012 2013 2014
EBITDA Margin -15.3% 1.1% -8.3% 9.6% Key Shareholders
EBIT Margin -20.4% -26.7% -15.6% 1.5% T. Rowe Price Associates, Inc 7.18%
Net Profit Margin -19.2% -23.6% -13.8% 2.7% Capital Research Global Investors 5.61%
P/E Ratio -108.08 -51.96 -67.55 150.11 Janus Capital Management LLC 5.23%
EV/Sales 12.56 6.28 3.68 2.49 Morgan Stanley Investment Management, Inc (US) 5.21%
EV/EBITDA -81.95 583.00 -44.13 25.83 Brookside Capital Investors LP 4.94%
Revenue Growth 131.9% 100.0% 70.8% 47.9% Platinum Investment Management Ltd 4.39%
EPS Growth na na na na Oppenheimer Funds, Inc 4.02%
Sources: Thomson Reuters, Allenby Capital
Share price as of 26/11/2013
Youku Tudou Inc is the leading Internet television company in
the People’s Republic of China (with a market share of well
over 50%), and the second largest in the world, behind only
YouTube. The Group was founded in March 2006, and
launched later that year in December. In December 2010,
Youku listed on the NYSE at a value of over US$3 billion. In
2012 Youku acquired Tudou, the second market leader in
China, in an all stock deal worth over US$1 billion. As well as
offering professionally produced content, Youku also operates
the YouTube model in which users can upload their own
homemade videos. As at end 2012, the Group had 400m
viewers per month. Although not a direct competitor to SyQic,
Youku is a useful peer to analyse as it is a pure internet
television company, and furthermore generates revenues both
via subscriptions and advertising.
Primarily, the Group is a provider of high quality VOD content.
Youku has partnered with over 1,500 content licence holders
such as film and TV production companies, TV stations and
distribution houses. The video library includes films and TV
series of both Asian and Western origin. As at end December
2012, the library amounted to 4,500 films, 2,700 TV episodes
and over 900 variety shows. User-supplied videos only make
up c.15% of the Group’s content library.
Youku’s technology enables customers to stream content via
an OTT service to any internet enabled device. International
viewers are able to watch the Group’s library of content for
free, albeit often with Chinese subtitles built in. This is due to
the fact that Youku predominantly operates via an advertising
model. With only YouTube maintaining higher viewing
numbers, the Group is able to offer a premium advertising
environment that possesses cross media marketing capabilities.
More recognised branded advertisers that have partnered with
Youku include Coca Cola, Samsung and Apple.
In 2010, the Group also launched an add-free, subscription
based service. As at end 2012, Youku had already signed up
2 million paying customers.
0.0
50.0
100.0
150.0
200.0
250.0
300.0
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
Feb-11 May-11 Aug-11 Nov-11 Feb-12 May-12 Aug-12 Nov-12
(p)(K)
Volume Price
0.0
5.0
10.0
15.0
20.0
25.0
30.0
35.0
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
Dec-11 Mar-12 Jun-12 Sep-12 Dec-12 Mar-13 Jun-13 Sep-13
(USD)(K)
Volume Price
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 45 of 48
This page has been left blank intentionally
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 46 of 48
This page has been left blank intentionally
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 47 of 48
Disclaimer
This document is issued by Allenby Capital Limited (Incorporated in England No.6706681), which is authorised and regulated in the United Kingdom by the
Financial Conduct Authority (“FCA”) for designated investment business, (Reg No. 489795) and is a member of the London Stock Exchange.
This document is for information purposes only and should not be regarded as an offer or solicitation to buy the securities or other instruments mentioned in it. It
or any part of it do not form the basis of and should not be relied upon in connection with any contract.
Allenby Capital Limited uses reasonable efforts to obtain information from sources which it believes to be reliable but the contents of this document have been
prepared without any substantive analysis being undertaken into the companies concerned or their securities and it has not been independently verified. No
representation or warranty, either express or implied, is made nor responsibility of any kind is accepted by Allenby Capital Limited, its directors or employees
either as to the accuracy or completeness of any information stated in this document.
Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on this material only. The information and opinions are provided for the benefit of Allenby
Capital Limited clients as at the date of this document and are subject to change without notice. There is no regular update series for research issued by Allenby
Capital Limited.
No personal recommendation is being made to you; the securities referred to may not be suitable for you and should not be relied upon in substitution for the
exercise of independent judgement. Neither past performance nor forecasts are a reliable indication of future performance and investors may realise losses on any
investments.
Allenby Capital Limited and any company or persons connected with it (including its officers, directors and employees) may have a position or holding in any
investment mentioned in this document or a related investment and may from time to time dispose of any such securities or instrument. Allenby Capital Limited
may have been a manager in the underwriting or placement of securities to the issuers of securities mentioned in this document within the last 12 months, or have
received compensation for investment banking services from such companies within the last 12 months, or expect to receive or may intend to seek compensation
for investment banking services from such companies within the next 3 months. Accordingly recipients of this document should not rely on this document being
impartial and information may be known to Allenby Capital Limited or persons connected with it which is not reflected in this material. Allenby Capital Limited
has a policy in relation to the management of the firm’s conflicts of interest which is available upon request.
Allenby Capital Limited shall not be liable for any direct or indirect damages, including lost profits arising in any way from the information contained in this
material. This material is for the use of intended recipients only and only for distribution to professional and institutional investors, i.e. persons having
professional experience in investments who are authorised persons or exempted persons within the meaning of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 of the
United Kingdom (such persons who do not have professional experience in matters relating to investments should not rely on this material), or persons who have
been categorised by Allenby Capital Limited as Professional Clients or Eligible Counterparties. It is not intended for Retail Clients.
This document is being supplied to you solely for your information and may not be reproduced, re-distributed or passed to any other person or published in whole
or in part for any purpose. The material in this document is not intended for distribution or use outside the European Economic Area except, in the circumstances
mentioned below to recipients in the United States and Hong Kong. This material is not directed at you if Allenby Capital Limited is prohibited or restricted by
any legislation or regulation in any jurisdiction from making it available to you and persons into whose possession this material comes should inform themselves
about, and observe, any such restrictions.
Allenby Capital Limited may distribute research in reliance on Rule 15a-6(a)(2) of the Securities and Exchange Act 1934 to persons that are major US Institutional
investors, however, transactions in any securities must be effected through a US registered broker-dealer. Any failure to comply with this restriction may constitute
a violation of the relevant country’s laws for which Allenby Capital Limited does not accept responsibility.
WARNING - The contents of this document have not been reviewed by any regulatory authority in Hong Kong. If you are a person situated in Hong Kong, you
are advised to exercise caution in relation to the offer. If you are in any doubt about any of the contents of this document, you should obtain independent
professional advice. This document is delivered to the recipient solely for the purpose of evaluating a possible investment in the Company and may not be used,
copied, reproduced or distributed in whole or in part, to any other person (except if permitted to do so under the securities laws of Hong Kong). This document
may not be passed on and applications from any person other than the person to whom it is addressed will not be accepted. The arrangements for the issue of
Ordinary Shares have not been authorised by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong ("SFC"), nor has this document (no matter whether in draft
form or in its finalised version) been approved by the SFC pursuant to section 105(1) of the Securities and Futures Ordinance (Chapter 571 of the Laws of Hong
Kong) ("SFO") or section 342C(5) of the Companies Ordinance (Chapter 32 of the Laws of Hong Kong) ("HKCO") or registered by the Registrar of Companies of
Hong Kong pursuant to section 342C(7) of HKCO or been prepared in accordance with the requirements of HKCO. Accordingly, the content and use of this
document must comply with each of the following SFO and HKCO restrictions, namely:
SFO: this document is not and does not contain, contrary to section 103 of SFO, an invitation to the public of Hong Kong to acquire or subscribe for Ordinary
Shares, other than (1) an invitation only to professional investors (as defined in SFO) to do so or (2) to the extent that this Admission Document is not a prospectus
(as defined in the HKCO) by virtue of any of the maximum offeree number, minimum investment amount or other exclusions set out in the 17th Schedule to the
HKCO ("Prospectus Exclusions"); and
HKCO: this document must not, contrary to sections 342 and 342C of HKCO, be issued, circulated or distributed to any person in Hong Kong other than: (1) to
persons whose ordinary business is to buy or sell shares or debentures, whether as principal or agent; or (2) to professional investors (as defined in the SFO); or (3)
in circumstances in which this document is not a prospectus (as defined in the HKCO) by virtue of any of the Prospectus Exclusions; or (4) otherwise in
circumstances that do not constitute an offer to the public.
Persons in Hong Kong not falling within the restrictions set out in (a) and (b) above may not use or otherwise act upon this document.
SyQic – Initiation note
Page 48 of 48
This document has not been registered as a prospectus with the Monetary Authority of Singapore. Accordingly, this document and any other document or material
in connection with the offer or sale, or invitation for subscription or purchase, of the Ordinary Shares may not be circulated or distributed, nor may the Ordinary
Shares be offered or sold, or be made the subject of an invitation for subscription or purchase, whether directly or indirectly, to persons in Singapore other than (i)
to an institutional investor under Section 274 of the Securities and Futures Act, Chapter 289 of Singapore ("SFA") in accordance with the conditions set out in
Section 276 of the SFA, (ii) to an accredited investor pursuant to Section 275(1) of the SFA in accordance with the conditions set out in Section 276 of the SFA or
(iii) otherwise pursuant to, and in accordance with the conditions of, any other applicable provisions of the SFA.
This document has not been reviewed and approved by the Securities Commission of Malaysia and will not be registered as a prospectus with the Securities
Commission of Malaysia but a copy of this document will be deposited with the Securities Commission of Malaysia in accordance with section 229(4) of the
Capital Markets and Services Act, 2007 ("CMSA").
Any investment to which this document relates in Malaysia is available only to a person falling within paragraph 7, 8, 9, 11, 12, 13 or 14 of Schedule 6 to CMSA
through a holder of Capital Markets Services License granted under the CMSA who carries on the business of dealing in securities.
Research Recommendation Disclosures
Matt Butlin is the author of this Investment Research. Matt is employed by Allenby Capital Limited as an Investment Research Analyst.
Tel: 0203-328-5666
Email: [email protected]
There is no planned update to this research.
Unless otherwise stated the share price used in this publication is taken at the close of business for the day prior to the date of publication.
Information on research methodologies, definitions of research recommendations, and disclosure in relation
to interests or conflicts of interests can be found at www.allenbycapital.com