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SWIFT INSTITUTE SWIFT INSTITUTE WORKING PAPER NO. 2017-001 THE FUTURE OF CORRESPONDENT BANKING CROSS BORDER PAYMENTS RUTH WANDHÖFER BARBARA CASU PUBLICATION DATE: 10 OCTOBER 2018 The views and opinions expressed in this paper are those of the authors. SWIFT and the SWIFT Institute have not made any editorial review of this paper, therefore the views and opinions do not necessarily reflect those of either SWIFT or the SWIFT Institute.

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Page 1: SWIFT INSTITUTE · 2018. 10. 11. · SWIFT INSTITUTE SWIFT INSTITUTE WORKING PAPER NO. 2017-001 THE FUTURE OF CORRESPONDENT BANKING CROSS BORDER PAYMENTS RUTH WANDHÖFER BARBARA CASU

SWIFT INSTITUTE

SWIFT INSTITUTE WORKING PAPER NO. 2017-001

THE FUTURE OF CORRESPONDENT BANKING

CROSS BORDER PAYMENTS

RUTH WANDHÖFER

BARBARA CASU

PUBLICATION DATE: 10 OCTOBER 2018

The views and opinions expressed in this paper are those of the authors. SWIFT and the SWIFT Institute have not made any editorial review of this paper, therefore the views and opinions do not necessarily reflect those of either SWIFT or the SWIFT Institute.

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The Future of Correspondent Banking Cross Border Payments

Ruth Wandhöfer

Cass Business School & TIAS

Barbara Casu

Cass Business School

10 October 2018

Abstract

This paper explores whether and how technological innovation, in conjunction with policy

measures, can improve the process of correspondent banking cross-border payments. The

paper builds on the empirical validation of existing shortcomings in this area of business

by using a questionnaire and industry expert focus group sessions. Having identified the

key areas of concern (e.g. cost, transparency, speed), several new network models for cross-

border payments are assessed, in terms of their ability to address existing problems.

Among the possible models, we also explore the use of innovative technologies such as

distributed ledger technology (DLT). As a final step, we evaluate the different models and

complement our findings with policy recommendations, in particular with a view to

further streamlining Anti-Money-Laundering (AML) and Counter-Terrorist-Financing

(CTF) as well as conduct of business rules in payments and supporting information sharing

on suspicious transactions between institutions globally.

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TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. INTRODUCTION ....................................................................................................................................... 5

2. CORRESPONDENT BANKING: CROSS-BORDER PAYMENTS ...................................................... 8

2.1 DEFINITION OF CORRESPONDENT BANKING .............................................................................................................. 8 2.2 KEY RISKS AND CHALLENGES IN CORRESPONDENT BANKING ................................................................................. 9 2.3 THE CROSS-BORDER PAYMENTS PROCESS FLOW ................................................................................................... 11

3. LITERATURE REVIEW .......................................................................................................................... 16

3.1 CORRESPONDENT BANKING ............................................................................................................................ 16 3.2 SETTLEMENT RISK AND FINALITY ................................................................................................................. 18 3.3 INNOVATION IN PAYMENTS ............................................................................................................................. 20

4. PROPOSITIONS AND RESEARCH METHODS ....................................................................................... 21

5. EMPIRICAL FINDINGS: SHORTCOMINGS IN CROSS-BORDER PAYMENTS ............................... 22

5.1 ON-LINE QUESTIONNAIRE ............................................................................................................................... 22 5.2 FOCUS GROUPS .................................................................................................................................................. 24

6. KEY REQUIREMENTS FOR A FUTURE CROSS-BORDER CORRESPONDENT BANKING PAYMENTS MODEL .......................................................................................................................................... 25

6.1 KEY REQUIREMENTS: ...................................................................................................................................... 25 6.1.1 Settlement (including synchronisation) ......................................................................................... 25 6.1.2 Liquidity Efficiency ................................................................................................................................. 26 6.1.3 Availability (technical access and uptime) ................................................................................... 26 6.1.4 Ubiquity (relevant connectivity between systems and players) ........................................... 27 6.1.5 Transparency ............................................................................................................................................ 27 6.1.6 Predictability ............................................................................................................................................ 27 6.1.7 Interoperability of systems .................................................................................................................. 27

6.2 POLICY, STANDARDS AND BEST PRACTICE .................................................................................................... 28

7. DESIGN SCENARIOS FOR AN IMPROVED CROSS-BORDER PAYMENT PROCESS .................... 29

7.1 SCENARIO 1: SWIFT GLOBAL PAYMENTS INNOVATION (GPI) ................................................................ 30 7.2 SCENARIO 2: A ‘NARROW’ CLEARING BANK ................................................................................................ 34 7.3 SCENARIO 3: INTERCONNECTED AUTOMATED CLEARING HOUSES (ACHS) ......................................... 36 7.4 SCENARIO 4: INTEGRATION OF REGIONAL RTGS SYSTEMS ...................................................................... 38 7.5 SCENARIO 5: GLOBAL SETTLEMENT UTILITY MODEL ............................................................................... 40 7.6 SCENARIO 6: SYNCHRONISATION AND INTERCONNECTIVITY OF RTGS SYSTEMS ................................ 42 7.7 SCENARIO7: GPI NEXT GENERATION ........................................................................................................... 47 7.8 DESIGN SCENARIO EVALUATION.................................................................................................................... 49

8. POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS ................................................................................................................. 50

9. CONCLUSION ................................................................................................................................................. 52

10. BIBLIOGRAPHY.......................................................................................................................................... 54

ANNEX 1: CROSS BORDER PAYMENTS INNOVATION QUESTIONNAIRE............................ 56

ANNEX 2: CROSS BORDER PAYMENTS INNOVATION QUESTIONNAIRE RESULTS .................... 60

ANNEX 3: CONTRIBUTORS .......................................................................................................................... 63

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ABBREVIATIONS ACH = Automated Clearing Houses AML = Anti Money Laundering APIs = Application Programming Interfaces BIS = Bank for International Settlements CHIPS = Clearing House Interbank Payments System CIPS = China International Payment System CBDC = Central Bank Digital Currencies CBCC = Central Bank Crypto Currencies CLS = Continued Linked Settlement CPMI = Committee on Payments and Market Infrastructures CTF = Counter Terrorism Financing DLT = Distributed Ledger Technology DNS = Deferred Net Settlement DvP = Delivery versus Payment EACHA = European Automated Clearing House Association FATF = Financial Action Task Force FI = Financial Institution FMI = Financial Market Infrastructure FSB = Financial Stability Board FX = Foreign Exchange G-SIFIs = Globally Systemically Important Financial Institutions gpi = Global Payments Innovation IMF = International Monetary Fund IPFA = International Payments Framework Association ISO = International Organization for Standardization KYC =Know Your Customer LEI = Legal Entity Identifier MM = Money Market PMI = Payment Market Infrastructure PSP = Payment Services Providers PvP = Payment versus Payment QU = Quantitative Easing RMA = Relationship Management Application RTGS = Real Time Gross Settlement SEPA = Single Euro Payments Area SIC = Swiss Interbank Clearing SLAs = Service-Level Agreements SME = Small and Medium-size Enterprise SWIFT = Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication UETR =Unique End-to- End Transaction Reference

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1. INTRODUCTION

The ability to transfer money across borders in a safe and secure way is

an indispensable requirement for the global economy. One of the main methods

of executing money transfers globally is via correspondent banking

arrangements. Correspondent banking covers the three pillars of cross-border

payments, foreign exchange (FX) transactions and trade services. More than

11,000 financial institutions (FIs) engage with each other across more than 1

million bilateral correspondent banking relationships (CPMI, 2016).

In this paper we will examine the area of cross-border payments. There is

no clear-cut definition of what constitutes cross-border payments and a

multitude of scenarios could fall under this category. Broadly speaking, cross

border payments can be defined as payments where the financial institutions of

the payer and the payee are located in different countries. This is definition

adopted by the EU payments legislation, such as the Payment Services Directive,

according to which a payment is considered cross-border when the sending and

the receiving Payment Service Provider (PSP) are located in different countries.

However, from an operational point of view, a payment can be considered as

cross-border when either the sending, receiving or intermediary PSP are located

in different countries – i.e. for a USD payment between two German banks, when

the payment transaction is processed via an intermediary bank in the US and

settled in the US. For the purposes of this paper, we will consider a payment

transaction to be cross-border if any of the involved PSPs involved in the

transaction chain are located in different countries.

Cross-border payments are very relevant for the banking industry. At the

global aggregate level these transactions reached 22 billion in volume, and $22

trillion in value based on figures from 2016 (Boston Consulting Group, 2018).

According to McKinsey (2016) cross-border payments “represent 20 percent of

total transaction volumes in the payments industry, yet they generate 50 percent of

its transaction-related revenues”, (i.e. transaction related fees, float income and

FX fees), which amounted to more than $350 billion in global revenues in 2014.

In recent years, new technologies and infrastructures have been

developing, presenting both opportunities and challenges. For example, several

new types of cross-border payment solutions have emerged both in the retail

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and wholesale payments space. In retail, we have seen the rise of non-bank

payment intermediaries, which leverage various technologies and network types

(including mobile networks, e.g. M-Pesa in Kenya) and the emergence of schemes

such as the Asian WeChat Pay (owned by Tencent) and AliPay (owned by Ant

Financial, an affiliate of Alibaba), in addition to more established players such as

Transferwise and Paypal. However, cross-border payment intermediaries often

rely on correspondent banking structures to provide FX and settlement services.

Furthermore, regional initiatives exist or are being explored for both Automated

Clearing Houses (ACH) and Real-Time-Gross-Settlement (RTGS) system linkages.

The Single Euro Payments Area (SEPA) is a good example of an initiative to

simplify cross-border retail payments across a single currency area and beyond

(Wandhöfer, 2010).

In addition, we have seen the emergence of cryptocurrencies such as

Bitcoin (and 1000+ other types of altcoins). These solutions are offering a

banking-free way to transfer value across borders and have found some appeal

in the context of non-government controlled transactions as well as with regard

to financial inclusion objectives across emerging economies. Focussing on the

underlying distributed ledger technology (DLT), we also begin to see

experiments that look to reengineer fiat currency based cross-border payments.

With the emergence and maturing of new technologies, including

cryptography, cloud computing, the Internet of Things, as well as techniques

such as homomorphic encryption and the prospect of Quantum computing,

developing rapidly, there is a need to evaluate how far and in what manner a

future global banking system can leverage these new digital pillars. At the same

time the industry needs to address key questions, such as how to support

business activities resulting from these new technologies and the business

models that emerge, many of which require seamless integration of payments

into service models (e.g. Uber). Whilst some of these emerging technologies will

play a key role in the future, it is essential to align the deployment of those with

clear regulatory, compliance and governance models as well as legal rules to

ensure a practically workable and legally enforceable system that can be

effectively – and efficiently - supervised. Other questions around technological

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maturity, scalability and interoperability between DLT and existing systems as

well as between DLT implementations will also need to be addressed.

The overarching rationale to strengthen cross-border payments, and in

particular the settlement of payments, is reflected in their importance for

financial stability as cross-border bank flows can increase the vulnerability of

domestic banks and non-banks to external shocks. Despite the enhanced capital

and liquidity requirements, including intraday liquidity requirements, as well as

leverage limits imposed on financial institutions (FIs) by the Basel framework

(Basel III), the potential risks to financial stability lie with the actual assets that

FIs hold. As the quantitative easing (QE) strategies initiated by major central

banks in the aftermath of the global financial crisis are now slowly coming to a

halt, liquidity becomes only available through pledging government bonds to

central banks. If those bonds become “junk” – such as during the Greek crisis -

then the cash they can generate is minimal, which could lead to another Lehman

Brothers scenario for many FIs. This is why the ability to settle with finality even

during stress events will become more important going forward as otherwise

bank failures could once again trigger systemic risk.

Against this background, the paper seeks to develop the building blocks

for a future blue print for cross-border payments. A particular focus will be

placed on the wholesale aspects of these flows, as they constitute a systemically

important area of business with FI and corporate transactions representing 80%

of the cross-border transaction value with 20% of the overall transaction

volumes.

A first step in our analysis consists of the identification of the current

challenges of the existing correspondent banking model. We then propose ways

in which the industry can leverage new technologies and processes,

complemented by standards, governance and policy recommendations in order

to be able to deliver a substantial improvement in cross-border wholesale

payments.

The remainder of this paper is organised as follows. Section 2 provides an

overview of the current way that cross-border wholesale correspondent banking

payments operate. It develops the context of regulatory and market challenges of

this business and explains the way in which the correspondent banking market

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is organised. Section 3 presents a review of the literature on key developments

in the payment space. Section 4 sets out the propositions of this paper and

describes the research methodology. Section 5 provides a summary of the

empirical findings, covering the identified pain points and shortcomings in cross-

border correspondent banking payments resulting from an on-line survey.

Section 6 sets out the key requirements for the future of cross-border

correspondent banking payments. Section 7 develops a set of design scenarios

for an improved global cross-border payment process, based on the outcome of

focus group meetings with key stakeholders (banks, central banks, regulators,

technology providers). Section 8 combines an evaluation of the discussed

scenarios with a set of policy and standards recommendations that will enable or

support the delivery of improvements in the cross-border payments market.

Section 9 concludes.

2. CORRESPONDENT BANKING: CROSS-BORDER PAYMENTS

In order to develop a set of design and policy proposals with a view to

improving the state of correspondent banking cross-border payments, we will

need to first of all understand what correspondent banking payments are and

how they operate.

2.1 Definition of correspondent banking

There are various definitions of correspondent banking in the market

today. In general terms, correspondent banking can be defined as “an

arrangement under which one bank (correspondent) holds deposits owned by

other banks (respondents) and provides payment and other services to those

respondent banks” (BIS, 2016). Further expanding on this concept, we

particularly like the definition that was developed by the Wolfsberg Group,

which states that “[c]orrespondent banking is the provision of a current or other

liability account, and related services, to another financial institution, including

affiliates, used for the execution of third-party payments and trade finance, as well

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as its own cash clearing, liquidity management and short-term borrowing or

investment needs in a particular currency.” (The Wolfsberg Group, 2014)1.

Essentially, the correspondent banking model operates via an

international network of FIs, which have bilateral account relationships with

each other. A bank that is obtaining correspondent banking services from

another bank holds a so-called Nostro (Italian: ours) account with such provider

bank - i.e. ‘our account with you’ - where the account is denominated in a foreign

currency. From the provider bank’s side this same account is called Vostro

(Italian: yours) account, i.e. ‘your account with us’. Furthermore, there is a third

term called Loro account (Italian: theirs), which refers to ‘their account with

them’, or in other words an account held by a third-party bank. In the absence of

the sending bank holding a direct account relationship with the receiving bank,

the sending bank can transact via its correspondent bank, where that latter holds

an account with the beneficiary bank. This tightly woven network of FIs, in which

trust plays a central role, has developed to global dimensions over the last

centuries. Despite the distributed nature of correspondent banking, the fact that

FIs are holding balances with each other, extend credit lines to each, are exposed

to vulnerabilities of operational failures and are highly interdependent does

create systemic risk potential, which can be significant as we have seen during

the banking crisis, which is why improving financial stability in this space is of

crucial importance.

2.2 Key risks and challenges in correspondent banking

Key risks of the correspondent banking cross-border payments business

include: market, FX, credit and counterparty and regulatory risk (e.g. Anti-Money

Laundering (AML) and Counter Terrorism Financing (CTF)). Furthermore,

technology and operational risks, as well as risks regarding the availability and

cost of liquidity to support the business, do arise. In addition, correspondent

banking cross-border payments are relevant for financial stability.

In today’s cross-border high value interbank payment space, FIs often

lack real time visibility as to the settlement status of transactions as these

1 The Wolfsberg Group is an association of 13 global banks which aims to develop frameworks and guidance for the management of financial crime risks

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payments move along the correspondent banking Nostro/Vostro account chain.

High value transactions that are not properly settled could create a chain

reaction in case of default of one of the parties, for example, when a significant

payment amount does not reach the beneficiary bank, which has already

credited its client. This could lead to a shortfall of liquidity in that bank, which in

turn would be unable to settle its own obligations to other banks, therefore

triggering a chain reaction, which could lead to default of this bank as well as

other banks in the chain. Furthermore, the opportunity cost of wrongly assessed

and misplaced intraday liquidity, as well as costs associated with missed

deadlines for payments, create further challenges in cross-border payments. The

risk associated with correspondent banks’ intraday credit lines (usually

uncommitted) versus truly funded positions is an area that will remain a risk

management priority for clearing banks as long as there is no visibility on how a

payment is funded.

An important challenge for the industry, as well as for regulators, is the

continued decrease in correspondent banking relationships which results in

lengthening of payment chains and increasing reliance on fewer correspondent

banks (FSB, 2017). In addition, it may affect a country’s or jurisdiction’s ability to

send and receive international payments. This, in turn could drive some payment

flows into the unregulated sector, with potential negative consequences for

international trade, growth, financial inclusion, as well as for financial stability.

This process, often described as “de-risking” (see Section 3 for a

discussion), has many causes, but regulatory compliance is certainly playing a

role. Because of increasingly tightening regulatory requirements (AML and CTF

as well as regulatory sanctions requirements that bring with them the risk of

regulatory fines) by key jurisdictions, such as the US and Europe, seventy-five

per cent of global bank providers in this space have reduced their correspondent

banking relationships (IMF, 2017) or withdrawn from this business altogether.

As a consequence, the market has seen an increasing concentration trend, where

almost half of the banks that took part in the Financial Stability Board (FSB)

survey in 2017 reported reliance on no more than two correspondents for the

majority of their cross-border wire payments traffic (FSB, 2017). We will be

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developing a set of policy recommendations in Chapter 8 to address these

challenges.

2.3 The cross-border payments process flow

Despite the risks and challenges described above, cross-border

correspondent banking payments is a business characterised by ubiquity and its

ability to provide reach, a core advantage over current alternative solutions. At

the heart of the correspondent banking payments process we have the two key

pillars of messaging and settlement.

For messaging in cross-border payments, the most widely used solution is

provided by SWIFT, which enables payment messaging via its secure interbank

network.2 The payment message then normally flows through an entry posting

system, which creates a debit to the sender’s account in its books and either a

credit to the beneficiary’s account if this is held with the same correspondent or

a posting to the payment system queue for settlement over the RTGS or other

payment system, depending on value.

Settlement can be defined as “the discharge of an obligation in accordance

with the terms of the underlying contract” (BIS, Glossary), which can happen in

commercial bank or central bank money. Settlement in the correspondent

banking space is usually performed in commercial bank credit via the

Nostro/Vostro accounts across the payment chain. The final settlement of

payment, however, is in central bank money via an RTGS system.

For international settlement in central bank money there is a system that

supports centralised settlement finality for cross-border payments, CLS - a

Payment versus Payment (PvP) settlement system. CLS was established to

mitigate settlement risk in the FX market under the auspices of major central

banks and enables settlement of FX transactions between participating

members, and indirectly on behalf of end users, including FIs.3 CLS significantly

2 National payment systems do not generally use SWIFT and can operate on a variety of messaging systems. Even for cross-border payments there are alternatives to SWIFT. 3 Although CLS is undoubtedly the most important global counterparty for cross-border FX transactions, it must be noted that it covers only a subset of the world’s currencies (18 of the most actively traded currencies globally).

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reduces the gross intraday liquidity required to settle individual FX transactions

for an active FX bank on a daily basis but it does introduce a time specific

intraday liquidity position, the pay-in/pay-out time for each currency – which in

many instances is outside ‘normal’ settlement times. CLS is primarily concerned

with FX settlement and addresses the well-known Herstatt Risk but does nothing

for the greater value of securities payment legs or clean payment settlements

(i.e. not involving FX).4 Today (2018) around 50% of cross-border FX

transactions are processed via CLS.5

From a process perspective, correspondent banking cross-border

payment transactions can include multiple banks and can be executed via two

different methods: the “serial method” and the “direct plus cover” method.6

1) The “serial method”, a step by step process of payment instructions, e.g.

a supply chain payment from Tokyo to Mexico, using SWIFT MT 103 messages,

where the USD will be cleared and settled via an FMI in the US (where the US FMI

uses an MT 103 equivalent message type) and then credited to the beneficiary

Bank D in Mexico, by its USD correspondent Bank C (see Figure 1).

4 “Herstatt risk” is an alternative term for settlement risk, with particular reference to FX transactions. The name comes from the collapse of the German bank Herstatt in the 1970s. 5 https://www.cls-group.com 6 Here we refer to transactions that are executed via the SWIFT network.

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Figure 1: Correspondent Banking Payments Process “USD Serial Payment from a Payer in Japan to a

Payee in Mexico”

2) The “direct plus cover” method, where the client payment instruction will go

directly from Payer bank A to Payee bank D (using a SWIFT MT 103 message),

whilst the settlement of USD will again take place between the two USD

correspondent banks via the FMI. A SWIFT MT 202 COV message is used

between the Payer bank A, the Payer’s USD correspondent Bank B and the

Payee’s bank’s USD correspondent Bank D, where in the latter case an MT 202

COV equivalent message is used for settlement across the US FMI. In this second

scenario the payment instruction and the settlement of funds therefore travel

separately (see Figure 2). Bank C then sends an MT 910 advice message or a MT

940/950 statement message to Payee Bank D. Please note that depending on the

RMA (Relationship Management Application) the client payment instruction

could also go directly from the USD correspondent bank B to Bank D in Mexico

(using a SWIFT MT 103 message). Some banks may leverage their

correspondents for this as large Global Transaction Banks have a broader RMA

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network and bilateral RMAs are necessary between banks to communicate

directly via SWIFT.

Figure 2: Correspondent Banking Payments Process “USD Direct and Payment from a Payer in Japan

to a Payee in Mexico”

To avoid the transparency issues that were associated with the use of the

MT 202 format for cover payments, where the clearing banks were generally not

aware of the actual payment instruction and only ‘blindly’ operated the

settlement of the financial flow and associated FX (see BCBS, 2009 and CPMI,

2016), the MT 202 COV message was introduced in 2009, so that the underlying

settlement could be sanction screened, similar to the original MT 103 message.

Counterparty risk may arise as banks can chose to credit the next bank in the

chain before having received the cover payment.

There has been historically a lack of transparency related to the status of

payments. There are many factors that can influence the speed of a payment, for

example Spot FX if banks do not have the liquidity in the correct currency or the

fact that an RTGS is closed when sending the payment. Depending on the parties

and systems involved, several SWIFT messages could be used in the process. In

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addition, some national payment systems (e.g. Fedwire and CHIPS in US, the

Australian, Swiss and Japanese RTGS systems) do not use SWIFT messages.

In terms of costs of cross-border payments, transaction fees can be

charged by each bank in the chain. Various charging models based on different

charge codes exist (e.g. OUR/BEN/SHA)7 and charging can depend on the market

that the payment is being sent to and whether for example credit fee deduction

practices are widely used or not. KYC/AML/CTF checks are conducted by each

bank and manual intervention is often necessary if the payment stops. Given the

fact that multiple banks are involved in the payment chain, multiple break points

can arise, thus resulting in payment delays.

In addition, network and liquidity costs are involved in maintaining

correspondent relationships. Costs arise for each bank that is involved in the

process of funding interbank accounts and managing exposures. The majority of

frictions and inefficiencies tends to emerge in the context of local market

regulatory requirements, time zone issues and restricted FX in certain markets.

Whereas a large portion of payments are processed straight through (STP

processing), the remainder tends to increase costs due to various types of

exceptions such as a sanction hit, returns or missing information. From a

financial stability perspective, the fact that banks often operate on the basis of

uncommitted intraday credit lines creates another level of complexity and risk,

which resulted in significant problems during the financial crisis, because

suddenly these credit lines that banks relied upon for liquidity purposes were

closed by the providing banks in order to stop further contagion. This led to

further stress in the market, bankruptcies and an overall reduction in world

trade (Yan et al., 2016).

To summarise, despite the importance of correspondent banking

relationships to facilitate global trade and economic activity, the current model

presents a number of challenges. In the next section, we aim to identify and

validate these pain points.

7 Charge code OUR means that the payer bears all the transaction charges; charge code BEN refers to the payee paying all the transaction charges and charge code SHA represents the sharing of the transaction charges between sender and receiver of the payment.

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3. LITERATURE REVIEW

There has been a growing literature on correspondent banking over the

last decade. Primarily as a consequence of regulatory fines applied in the AML

and CTF context, governments and market participants had to deal with the

increasing challenge of correspondent banking providers withdrawing services

from banks and PSPs that they deemed to be too risky. However, while there are

a number of policy papers addressing the topic (see, for example, Alleyne et al.

(2017), FSB (2017) and various consultancy reports), little attention has been

paid so far by the academic literature, both theoretical and empirical.

On the other hand, there is a growing interest and emerging research

literature on financial technology (or FinTech) and on crypto-currencies and

crypto-assets. The way in which new technology is transforming access to

finance for individuals, start-ups, Small and Medium Enterprises (SMEs) or

corporates (for example through online platforms for crowd funding,

marketplace/peer-to-peer lending, and third-party payment systems) is also

gaining attention. There are a number of descriptive works covering these

emerging issues, particularly in the form of consultancy reports or books (see,

for example PwC (2017) Global Fintech Report).

For the purpose of this analysis, we will focus our literature review on

three related areas: correspondent banking; settlement risk and finality; and

new technologies in payments.

3.1 Correspondent banking

The decline in the number of correspondent banking relationships is a

source of concern for the international community, as evidenced by the attention

paid to the issue by supra-national organisations, such as the FSB, the BIS, the

IMF and the World Bank, as well as leading central banks. Regulators worry that,

in affected regions, the decline of correspondent banking may impact the ability

of firms and households to send and receive international payments. This may

drive some payment flows outside the regulated banking system, with potential

adverse consequences for the stability and integrity of the financial system (FSB,

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2017). In particular, the risks associated with money laundering and terrorist

financing form a key part of the risk of flows passing through informal systems.

Another risk is that those banks that have been de-risked could become ‘nested’

correspondents, i.e. they would maintain correspondent accounts through those

banks that have managed to maintain their correspondent relationships. This

would translate into longer interbank chains and the risks of separation of

related inter-bank payment messages.

To find out whether such a range of de-risking is indeed happening, the

World Bank (2015), with support from FSB and the CPMI, surveyed banking

authorities and banks worldwide to examine the extent of withdrawal from

correspondent banking, its drivers, and its implications for financial

exclusion/inclusion. The participants in this survey, carried out in 2015,

included 110 banking authorities, 20 large banks, and 170 smaller local and

regional banks. The World Bank survey confirmed that most of the participants

were experiencing a decline in correspondent banking relationships, particularly

international banks. In terms of products and services, the most affected by the

withdrawal of correspondent banking are: international wire transfer; clearing

and settlement; check clearing; trade finance; cash management services;

investment services and, to a smaller degree, foreign exchange services and

lending. In addition, the ability to conduct foreign currency denominated capital

or current account transactions in US dollars (USD), Euro, pound sterling (GBP),

and Canadian dollar (CAD) in particular has also has been significantly affected.

Most respondents indicated the following as the main reasons driving their

decisions to end correspondent banking relationships: economic slowdown in

some regions and regulatory risk (AML/CTF), including concerns about

international and national sanctions. Overall, the results of the survey indicated

that, while large banks might be cleaning up their balance sheets and ending

relationships with customers deemed to be risky, the risks might end up in

sectors that are less transparent and less regulated, thereby increasing systemic

risk. This is a cause for concern for regulators. To address these concerns

Grolleman and Jutrsa (2017) present a framework to monitor the development

of correspondent banking relationships, to be used by national central banks and

supervisory authorities, based on the fact that national authorities can access

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more granular, bank level data, and are better placed to conduct detailed market

analyses. The monitoring framework proposed by Grolleman and Jutrsa (2017)

includes two scenarios: (1) a Minimum Scope Template for collecting data from

banks and the conduct of a full assessment of the domestic banking system’s

ability to access the international payment system, and (2) an Expanded Scope

Framework, which includes the values and volumes of individual transactions

using banks’ SWIFT payment data.

In March 2018, the FSB published a progress report addressing the

decline in correspondent banking, following its four-point action plan of

November 2015 (examining dimensions and implications of the issue; clarifying

regulatory expectations; building domestic capacity and strengthening tools for

due diligence in correspondent banking). The progress report highlights

promising developments. These include the Wolfsberg Group updating its

correspondent banking due diligence questionnaire, which will support a more

standardised collection of information on correspondent banks. It is important to

note however, that whilst increasing the efficiency by streamlining the due

diligence process, the practical problem in the market is that there are banks

seeking correspondent services that do not have the necessary controls in place.

The FSB also reports on the latest additional steps including: (i) data collection

and analysis: the update of global data on correspondent banking relationships,

using data provided by SWIFT as of end-June 2017; (ii) clarifying regulatory

expectations through new guidance by the Financial Action Task Force (FATF)

and revised guidance by BCBS; (iii) further steps to promote the coordination of

domestic capacity building to improve and build trust in the supervisory and

compliance frameworks of affected jurisdictions; (iv) develop technical solutions

aimed at improving the efficiency of due diligence procedures and reducing

compliance costs; and (v) stocktake on remittance service providers’ access to

banking services, including recommendations to improve accessibility.

3.2 Settlement Risk and Finality

Settlement risk is the risk that settlement in a funds or securities transfer

system will not take place as expected and may comprise, credit and liquidity

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risk, as well as operational and legal risk, where all of these have the potential to

trigger systemic risk (ECB, 2010). Secure settlement of payments is therefore at

the heart of protecting the stability of the financial system. It is in this context

that the role of payments has gained such importance over the last decades.

In order to remove settlement risk, settlement needs to be final. Final

settlement is defined as “the irrevocable and unconditional transfer of an asset or

financial instrument, or the discharge of an obligation by the FMI [financial

market infrastructure] or its participants in accordance with the terms of the

underlying contract. Final settlement is a legally defined moment.” (BIS Glossary,

2018).

Settlement finality can occur in different qualities of settlement assets,

reflecting different levels of risk. For example, settlement in central bank money

is considered as the safest settlement asset (BIS, 2003) but can only occur in

central bank RTGS systems and between direct participant accounts in the books

of the central bank. Unless an FI holds an account at the central bank, all other

settlement is in commercial bank credit, represented by commercial bank

account balances (King, 2016). To note here is that FIs settling in central bank

money can also be leveraging intraday liquidity lines for this purpose, meaning

that they settle on the basis of central bank provided intraday credit lines.

Settlement in commercial bank credit, where this money represents a

liability of a commercial bank, “…carries a risk: settlement funds may not be

available in the event of the insolvency of the commercial bank that is providing

the settlement services.” (Francioni and Schwartz, 2017). This represents a key

risk in correspondent banking payments.

In parallel to the work of central bankers and policymakers, there has also

been an increased academic interest in payment economics, a strand of the

literature which examines the purpose of the payment infrastructure and its

design in terms of mitigating settlement risk that can arise between

counterparties as well as in view of providing efficiencies and the ability of

economic actors to transact. Wandhöfer and Berndsen (forthcoming) provide a

comprehensive review of the literature on payment finality and settlement.

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3.3 Innovation in payments

Beyond these developments, the payment services sector has seen

considerable technological change and has been subject to increased regulatory

scrutiny and reforms. Examples of significant innovation in the retail payment

space include the SEPA initiative in Europe (Wandhöfer, 2010) and the arrival of

real-time retail payment systems. At the same time, the wholesale payment

space has moved from deferred net settlement systems (DNS) to real time gross

settlement systems (RTGS) and several central banks are currently in the

process of renewing their systems (e.g. Bank of England RTGS review). The

payments sector has also seen the emergence of a range of new providers, such

as Google, Amazon, Apple and PayPal, offering various digital wallet or e-wallet

products, specific methods for payments over the internet and mobile payment

services and applications.

There is now a rather sizable volume of research on FinTech, largely

produced by consultancy companies, incumbent firms, industry associations and

regulators, although academic studies are also emerging. The past decade has

seen an increasing number of FinTech start-ups and non-bank PSPs entering the

payment arena, taking advantage of regulatory change (such as the European

Payment Services Directive 1 and 2) and new technologies, including cloud-

based solutions and application programming interfaces (APIs).

Many economists agree that the future of money will be digital. Bofinger

(2018) identifies four major areas where digitalisation could modify the

traditional forms of money and credit and as a consequence modify the theory

and practice of monetary policy:

the substitution of cash with electronic money (in a retail payments

context);

the substitution of traditional bank deposits and bank notes with

cryptocurrencies;

the substitution of bank deposits with central bank deposits for everyone

(‘universal reserves’);

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the substitution of bank lending with peer-to-peer lending on the basis of

digital platforms.

Banks face new challenges, and their central role in the payment system

could be diminished. The impact of new technology in payments, particularly

digital and crypto currencies, is still unclear. The potential of DLT for wholesale

payments is increasingly interesting and a number of players believe that DLT

can be leveraged to transform the payment industry, including correspondent

banking.

4. PROPOSITIONS AND RESEARCH METHODS

Against the background of technology innovation, the question of what

the future of cross-border payments will look like is becoming more and more

relevant and will be explored throughout the remainder of this paper.

With the arrival of technologies such as DLT and digital tokens or crypto

currencies, the question is whether we may be able to create a tool that would

deliver a global payment system that is fit for the global market? Our research

provides a step forward on this quest by posing the following questions:

1) What are the correspondent banking industry’s major pain points with the

current way the market operates?

2) What key requirements an improved future cross-border payments model

would need to satisfy?

3) What could a viable design for future cross-border payments look like?

4) Which standards, regulatory and governance related principles should be

applied in order to support such a future model?

Our research strategy includes a combination of theoretical and empirical

work. To address the first question, we have designed and carried out an on-line

questionnaire aimed at industry participants. For the other three questions we

have held industry focus group meetings.

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5. EMPIRICAL FINDINGS: SHORTCOMINGS IN CROSS-BORDER

PAYMENTS

5.1 On-line questionnaire

We begin with a review of the existing technologies and try to assess the

key frictions as perceived by market participants. To this end, a short online

survey (see Appendix 1) designed to identify the key pain points and issues faced

by banks in the cross-border payment space was sent to more than 2,000 bank

contacts during the months of September and October 2017. We targeted

industry participants across the banking, financial institutions and non-bank

payment service providers, as well as the industry expert universe.

The questionnaire had two main aims:

Validation of pain points

Innovation approach

Although the number of respondents was lower than we anticipated (with

a response rate of around 5%) we had nonetheless 95 respondents, from 37

countries. Please note that such a high non-response rate is quite common for

these types of online surveys. Most respondents’ organisations were

headquartered in Europe (over 50%), with organisations from the Asia-Pacific

region second, followed by the U.S.A. Most respondents work for banking

institutions (around 90%). We had an almost even split between Providers

(45%) and Users (55%) of correspondent banking services, as illustrated in

Figure 3.

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Figure 3: Characteristics of respondents

Tables A2.1 to A2.3 in Appendix illustrate the answers to the on-line

questionnaire. Table A2.1 reports all respondents; Table A2.2 illustrates possible

divergences of views between users and providers while Table A2.3 illustrates

views and perceptions in different regions (Europe, Asia & Africa, Americas).

The on-line survey allowed us to identify, validate and rank the key pain

points, as illustrated in Figure 4. The strength of problem has been categorised

as the ratio of respondents who agreed with the proposed statement to those

who disagree.

Figure 4: Pain points identification and ranking

North America

Latin America

Middle East

Europe

Asia Pacific

Africa

Region covered by organisation

North America Latin America

Middle East

Europe

Asia Pacific

Africa

Location of HQ

User

Provider

Users vs Providers

Bank

Non-bank

Responder's organisation

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

Direct costs for Messaging Fees charged by the network are too high

Fees charged by my bank provider are too high

Liquidity related costs for this business are too high

Costs related to counterparty and liquidity limits, fails in STP and incorrect processing aretoo high

Capital related costs for this business are too high

There is a lack of enhanced data and Incomplete transaction reference data createsproblems to reconcile transactions

There is a lack of information throughout the lifecyle of the payment

There is a lack of visibility of transaction related costs, i.e. who has paid which fees towhom for validation of AML/CTF, counterparty risk, liquidity reporting and credit limit

Ratio of respondents who agree with the statement to those who disagree

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As summarized in Figure 4, respondents felt the strongest about the lack of

visibility of transaction related costs, followed by the lack of information

throughout the lifecycle of the payment and lack of data and/or incomplete

transaction reference data, which create problems to reconcile transaction. From

these results, it emerges that pain points related to information and

transparency are even more relevant than cost-related frictions, such as liquidity

and capital costs, and costs for messaging fees and costs charged by the provider.

The survey results then constituted our starting point of discussion with the

focus group, where the aim was to propose a potential approach to remove the

identified pain points.

5.2 Focus groups

Following the results of the survey, we engaged in a number of focus

group meetings. At the first focus group, held on 15 January 2018 in London,

participants’ views were sought on the survey results and the ranking of pain

points and whether the latter was in line with the current observations on de-

risking in the market. The output of this meeting was an agreement on key

requirements for an improved future of cross-border payments, as set out in

Section 6.

The second focus group meeting was held on the 7 March 2018, following

a conference call held in February. This meeting focused on elaborating and

discussing a set of potential design scenarios for the future of cross-border

payments with the objective to align as much as possible with the set of key

requirements that had been previously identified. As a second step the group

also discussed a number of areas that could be improved through policy,

regulation and standards with a particular view on the regulatory challenges

associated to cross-border payments. The output of these discussions has been

used as a basis to develop Section 7.

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6. KEY REQUIREMENTS FOR A FUTURE CROSS-BORDER

CORRESPONDENT BANKING PAYMENTS MODEL

Building on the identified shortcomings and pain points from an industry

practitioner point of view, the first focus group sessions developed a set of key

requirements that a future cross-border payments model would need to be able

to satisfy.

Based on the experiences of the financial crisis of 2008/2009, when the

lack of transparency on where market liquidity actually was, combined with a

significant shortage of liquidity supply, an overall need to safeguard financial

stability in this space became apparent. Against this broader background the

discussions of the focus group arrived at the following key success criteria for a

sounder and more efficient future cross-border payments model.

6.1 Key Requirements:

1. Settlement (including synchronisation)

2. Liquidity efficiency

3. Availability (technical access and uptime)

4. Ubiquity (relevant connectivity between systems and players)

5. Transparency

6. Predictability

7. Interoperability of systems

We will discuss these key requirements in detail below. In addition, focus

group participants recommended that particular attention should be paid to

policy, standards and best practice in the industry, as to achieve a blueprint for a

substantial improvement in cross-border payments.

6.1.1 Settlement (including synchronisation)

Settlement of transactions with finality is a key requirement in order to

mitigate credit risk. Settlement can occur in commercial bank credit as well as

central bank money, which have different risk factors. Irreversibility of

transactions and legality of settlement is determined by law. The

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recommendation from the focus group is that for significantly high value

transactions, settlement in central bank money should be the preferred option

from a financial stability perspective. This would exclude transactions across an

individual FI’s own network.

In the context of emerging technologies such as DLT one of the central

questions to address is ‘how to create both PvP and Delivery versus Payment

(DvP) outcomes in this new environment’, i.e. atomic settlement’ via code, rather

than law. The early conversations around ‘synchronisation’ are starting to point

in that direction.8

6.1.2 Liquidity Efficiency

Managing the balance sheet cost of supporting payment flows through

efficient use of collateral/cash to safely process payments is a crucial

requirement for an improved global cross-border payment process. Liquidity

management tooling and cash/collateral movement would be features that

enhance a commercial bank’s ability to manage liquidity. Transparency of

participants’ balance sheet exposures at any point in the chain should be a key

priority for banks. Furthermore, in order to reduce exposures between

commercial parties and resultant cash/collateral needs, whether bilateral or

multilateral, netting solutions have the potential to support efficiency of

participants across payments and FX. This would implicitly add some delay in

the transaction against the benefit of reducing cost and counterparty risk.

6.1.3 Availability (technical access and uptime)

This requirement is essential in order to make payments, as relevant

systems – messaging, internal bank systems, CLS, etc. – will need to operate (i.e.

be live) and do so properly and safely. In the scenarios developed in Section 7,

availability will specifically indicate the live status of the respective scenario

(that is, the technology/system is available today, at least in some form, rather

than being potentially available in the future).

8 Synchronisation in this context is the concept of a payment (or group of payments) settling if and only if another payment (or set) also settles (Bank of England, 2018).

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6.1.4 Ubiquity (relevant connectivity between systems and players)

Connectivity is at the heart of a network industry such as payments. This

criterion looks at the existing network of connected parties and the network

dependencies, as well as the ease of connection to additional parties (e.g.

scalability and potential access), including other networks or DLT like structures.

6.1.5 Transparency

This key requirement considers primarily the traceability of transactions,

complemented by data around fees. The relevance of transparency as a key

requirement was also evidenced in our empirical questionnaire, as respondents

indicated that frictions around information and transparency were considered

the most relevant pain points (see Section 5.1).

6.1.6 Predictability

In line with the empirical questionnaire results, this requirement

considers service-level agreements (SLAs), rulebooks and process timescale-

guarantees that enable certainty of sufficient data to facilitate automated

reconciliation and postings. This implies operation and technology stacks at any

end point to handle the transactions quickly, automatically and at any time of

day.

6.1.7 Interoperability of systems

To reduce fragmentation, complexity and associated costs and risks, a

long-term goal is to improve interoperability between PMIs and FIs, with a view

to supporting convergence on the global ISO 20022 standard, which enables the

exchange of larger data sets in a more harmonised way.9 This will also help

mitigate risks around AML/KYC/CTF and reduce the occurrence of exceptions

and transaction fails.

9 ISO 20022 is the international standard that defines the ISO platform for the development of financial message standards. Its business modelling approach allows users and developers to represent financial business processes and underlying transactions in a formal but syntax-independent notation. The first focus of ISO 20022 is on international (cross-border) financial communication between financial institutions, their clients and the domestic or international 'market infrastructures' involved in the processing of financial transactions. (https://www.iso20022.org).

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6.2 Policy, standards and best practice

Beyond these criteria, the overarching objective of a future blueprint for

correspondent banking transactions is to support financial stability and increase

trust and direct communication between FIs around the world, such that more

customers and markets can be reached. In addition, a more efficient way to

manage regulatory risk across KYC/AML/CTF and sanctions-related assurance,

as well as cyber resilience, will need to be addressed with the help of policy,

standards and best practice recommendations. These will be elaborated further

in Chapter 8.2.

Future cross-border payments models also need to consider the FIs’

challenge to replace, interoperate with, or reuse infrastructure at a time of

increasing costs and competition. The complexity and risk of wholesale systemic

change is high and new models will need to take into account prolonged

coexistence of traditional technologies and approaches. Furthermore, various

central banks around the world are working on renewing their payment system

infrastructure; for example, the Bank of England’s RTGS renewal program; the

new Canadian high value payment system; Australia’s New Payment

Infrastructure, among others. A big ambition in all of these system upgrade

initiatives is the perspective of potential future cross-border coordination and

interoperation between for example central bank RTGS systems.

In some regions of the world, the problems of de-risking, cost and lack of

speed in cross-border correspondent banking and/or the desire to promote

inter-regional trade lead central banks to step in and provide a connection to

non-domestic/regional FIs (e.g. Gulf States). Whilst this has been perceived as a

challenge by FIs in terms of removing the specific income stream associated with

this business, future opportunities for FIs are in the area of data driven value-

added solutions. As these forces of change transform the commercial model for

banks in the correspondent banking business, it can be expected that the

transaction fee model will be further simplified with a view to removing

deductions and that over time value-added and data centric pricing models will

come to the fore.

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The evolution of cross-border payments will also need to consider the

reality of the payment markets moving into the “real time” space. With the

expectations of end users moving to a near real time service provision, the

current trend in retail payment systems becoming near-real time is poised to

become the norm in the future. There is rapid growth of Faster/Immediate

Payments in many countries, filling the gap between traditional ACH and RTGS

and perhaps constituting the beginning of a potential merging of

Faster/Immediate Payment Systems and RTGS Systems.

A challenge for banks will be the fact that they usually don’t have 100%

real time availability of liquidity but instead manage their liquidity to the

minimum necessary to cover for the payments they make. Liquidity has a cost to

providers and hence any increase in the amount needed will drive up costs for

banks and therefore users. Real time payments, where payments include final

settlement, require greater liquidity as there is limited opportunity to smooth

peaks and troughs of demand through netting and offsetting. As the boundaries

between wholesale and retail payments continue to blur, and the future of real

time unfolds globally, real time intraday liquidity management will become the

central building block to make this business safer and more efficient. And as long

as liquidity costs are below potential banking charges, the market is poised to

become more efficient.

In the next section we develop a number of scenarios, reflecting existing

and future cross-border payment design models and see how far these can

respond to the identified challenges, requirements and trends in the market.

7. DESIGN SCENARIOS FOR AN IMPROVED CROSS-BORDER PAYMENT

PROCESS

Our main objective is to propose a blueprint to take correspondent

banking into the digital age. This can translate either into a new model altogether

– i.e. correspondent banking arrangements will be replaced by something else –

or it can represent changes to the way correspondent banking works today, for

example in relation to the messaging system/type/content, the introduction of

utilities etc.

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In this section, we will explore alternative cross-border payment design

models, both existing models and emerging ones, as well as potential/theoretical

scenarios. We will then assess these scenarios in terms of how well they would

address our set of requirements. Our evaluation of these models will also

consider the need for practical feasibility, stakeholder buy-in and execution

viability to actually implement these changes in the near to medium-term future.

Ultimately, we aim to propose solutions that can have a meaningful and practical

impact on the way the industry operates.

Table 1: Design Scenarios for Cross-Border Payments

Scenario 1 SWIFT Global Payments Innovation (gpi) Scenario 2 A ‘narrow’ Clearing Bank Scenario 3 Interconnected Automated Clearing Houses Scenario 4 Integration of regional RTGS Systems Scenario 5 Global Settlement Utility Model Scenario 6 Synchronisation and Interconnectivity of RTGS Systems Scenario 7 gpi Next Generation

In the remainder of this section, we will review these scenarios in detail, and

highlight pros and cons.

7.1 Scenario 1: SWIFT Global Payments Innovation (gpi)

The launch in early 2017 of the SWIFT Global Payments Innovation (gpi)

solution shows that some of the drawbacks of the current system of

correspondent banking can be removed by collaboration, business rule discipline

and a willingness of FIs to deliver improved services for end-users.

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Figure 5: GPI model (source: SWIFT)

With the objective of reducing friction and enabling FIs to work better

together, gpi provides a cloud-based service, accessible via APIs or MT 199

messages, which enables FIs to track their payment transactions in real time by

deploying a Unique End-to-End Transaction Reference (UETR) for every gpi

transaction. This will bring transparency along the chain around payment fees

and final payment amount that will reach the beneficiary, along with the

commitment by beneficiary institutions to credit – within their time zone – the

beneficiary same day. Such an outcome supports payment users in better

managing the accounts payable component of their company’s working capital

equation. Those FIs and PSPs participating in gpi start to see significant

reductions in their payment enquiry costs, as counterparties now first consult

the payment status in the cloud. There is also an enhanced perception by

customers, as they receive an improved service for cross-border payments.

Correspondents are now increasingly being asked to provide their ‘gpi

compliance score’ by potential customers.

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Figure 6: Illustration of UETR (source: SWIFT)

Thus far more than 200 banking groups of the roughly 3,000 banking

groups on SWIFT, initiating cross-border payments, have signed up to gpi,

including 49 of the top 50 institutions in terms of value of transactions

processed. 75 FIs are live with gpi as of October 2018. gpi payments cover more

than 700 country corridors and represent a value of over 100 billion USD per

day, or 30% of SWIFTs total cross-border payments in over 120 currencies. In

order to achieve the strategic objective of extending gpi to all cross-border

payments on SWIFT by 2020, the large clearing providers will need to bring their

own global branch networks into gpi. In addition, smaller or more occasional

users will need to implement a basic gpi service where the outcome of a cross-

border payment is provided to the gpi tracker.

Despite the absence of an empirical market benchmark around pre-gpi

speed of cross-border correspondent banking payments, there is a perception

that transactions have become faster due to the peer pressure resulting from the

transparency of the tracker. In addition, there is a requirement in the gpi SLA

that payments are credited same day (depending on the receiver’s time zone and

cut off time). While for some banks this is not a challenge, others had to make

changes to their daily operations in order to be able to conform to the gpi SLA.

To complement the gpi rulebook and tracker, the ‘gpi Observer’ provides the

critical success ingredient by objectively measuring gpi participants' compliance

against the gpi rulebook. gpi statistics now indicate that almost 50% of gpi

payments result in a credit to end-customers within 30 minutes, with 90% of gpi

payments being credited within 24 hours. For the remainder, the reason for

delay can objectively be attributed to particular regulatory and compliance

requirements, such as extra document checks and local FX controls.

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From a financial stability perspective, it is important to mention that a

correspondent banking payment message is only passed on to the next bank in

the chain once the relevant Nostro/Vostro balances have been updated, i.e. each

bank has to settle its position with the previous bank in commercial bank credit.

In response to demands of major cross-border banks for gpi support by market

infrastructures (MIs) such as Fed, CHIPS and TARGET2, relevant steps were

taken in 2017. At this point in time (October 2018), more than 55 SWIFT-based

market infrastructures are able to clear gpi payments (with 17 used in

production); 20 more SWIFT-based MIs will be able to transport the UETR (and

become full gpi if interested) as of November 2018, and local gpi market

practices for Fedwire Funds Service (USA), CHIPS (USA), CIPS (China), SIC and

EuroSIC (Switzerland) and FXYCS (Japan) have been made available (3 used in

production), allowing the gpi to cover at minimum the top 10 currencies used for

cross-border payments today.

In November 2018, following the next annual SWIFT Standards Release,

generating, passing on and receiving the UETR will become a compulsory

requirement for all SWIFT users. This will permit gpi customers to track any gpi

transaction they are party to from an end-to-end perspective, unlike the current

situation where the gpi message flow stops at the non-gpi FI in the chain. This

will also enable those non-gpi FIs and PSPs to immediately adopt the UETR as

the de-facto common language for enquiries and investigation events such as

AML/CTF requests or requests for information, supporting all players in

improving their risk management capabilities. FIs are exploring innovative ways

to use the cloud database, for example in order to reconcile their own

transactions with their own transaction records. From 2020 all SWIFT FI users

will have to provide a mandatory end beneficiary credit confirmation.

Moreover, as part of planned improvements gpi will include the ability for

gpi-enabled FIs to immediately stop and recall a payment, irrespective of where

this payment is in the gpi-inter-bank chain. This is a vital feature in the fight

against fraud as well as error management. In addition, the transaction’s

progress on FIN will also be tracked, helping the FI beneficiary of the cover to

track whether the cover was initiated – which is particularly useful from a

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counterparty risk perspective (tracking of cover is planned for November 2018;

tracking of institutional payments is to be confirmed).

In sum, the gpi scenario does address some of the key pain points

expressed by market participants, which means that our recommendation is for

participating FIs in correspondent banking to embrace and implement gpi to

their own benefit and to the benefit of their clients. SWIFT gpi does not require

structural changes to the current correspondent banking Nostro/Vostro account-

based model and has a value and technology roadmap to help the community

address the fundamental challenges of cross-border payments, as opposed to

models introducing disruptive technologies and thus requiring banks to rethink

and replace their front-to-back office infrastructures.

Table 2: Benchmarking gpi against key requirements

Settlement gpi is only a messaging solution and does not deliver settlement per se. However, it does support transparency and risk management in commercial credit settlement.

Liquidity Efficiency gpi reduces payment delays and thus can improve liquidity efficiency.

Availability Yes Ubiquity Limited to SWIFT users and their clients. Transparency Yes Predictability SLAs and Rulebooks deliver key improvements. More

work is on-going to deliver ‘up front transparency’. Interoperability gpi is technology agnostic. Once SWIFT messages move

to ISO 20022, gpi will also become ISO 20022 compliant.

7.2 Scenario 2: A ‘narrow’ Clearing Bank

This is a scenario that captures the situation where a clearing bank –

narrow bank - connects individual banks and corporates to an ACH and allows

them to exchange funds in real time, leveraging the bank’s messaging network.

This scenario is already a live scenario in the UK10 and even though it is currently

10 Clear Bank, launched in 2017, is the UK’s first new clearing bank in more than 250 years. It offers banking services to financial service providers, FCA-regulated businesses and FinTech.

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restricted to the UK, we have listed this as a potential scenario as the ambition is

to expand this model globally.

Settlement is achieved in near-real time in commercial bank credit and all

positions are pre-funded, such that counterparty credit risk is managed. Ultimate

settlement in central bank money would happen through the RTGS system that

the clearing bank is connected to. From a financial stability perspective, as the

Clearing Bank acts as a connection layer between corporates and banks one the

one hand and clearing systems on the other, even if critical volumes of high value

transactions were to be processed via the clearing bank, such an entity would

not need to become an FMI governed by settlement finality legislation and

subject to CPMI-IOSCO principles for systemically large FMIs.

From a structural perspective this model combines the features of

traditional correspondent banking, i.e. banks holding Nostro/Vostro accounts,

and centralisation (i.e. banks connecting to the central clearing bank), which

achieves the outcome of seamless STP. Additional services and functionality,

such as KYC/AML/sanctions checking could be built on top and messaging

should be based on IS0 20022 standards to enable global alignment and facilitate

the use of a larger data set to facilitate improved predictability and transparency

as well as reconciliation. For banks not directly connected to the clearing bank,

there is the option to indirectly connect via entry point banks, which means that

the service is likely to be slower than real time. In addition, institutional end

users, such as corporates, would have the option to directly connect to the

clearing bank, resulting in a shorter end-to-end payment chain and lower

associated operational and regulatory risks.

Whilst the solution provides commercial money settlement, the liquidity

and settlement dimension could become more challenging as higher value

transactions start to be processed in this way, given both the need to pre-fund

and the fact that per transaction settlement does not occur in central bank

money. At a structural level, this scenario flips the traditional correspondent

banking Nostro/Vostro model on its head by replacing the inter-bank account

chain with a direct FI or corporate to clearing bank connectivity via

Nostro/Vostro accounts. Hence this scenario is disruptive but may in practice be

complementary to correspondent banking cross-border payments. The success

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of this model depends on the extent to which there is network adoption. This is

likely to be a challenge, as would be costs arising from KYC/AML risk

management, in particular at a cross-border level. The difference to traditional

ACHs competing for market share lies in the fact that the narrow bank acts as an

aggregator that provides access to clearing, rather than being an ACH itself.

Whilst this solution is limited to a domestic scenario today, the objective is to

expand this to the cross-border space, i.e. expand the connection to other ACHs.

Table 3: Benchmarking a “narrow” clearing bank against key requirements

Settlement Yes, but only in commercial bank credit; deferred net settlement in RTGS (BoE).

Liquidity Efficiency From a liquidity perspective pre-funding could be costly unless FIs have efficient intraday liquidity management processes in place. Netting will only become efficient if this gets broad adoption.

Availability Yes. Ubiquity Subject to adoption levels; no international level. Transparency Yes. Predictability Rulebook based but possibly less predictable than gpi. Interoperability Yes as based on ISO 20022.

7.3 Scenario 3: Interconnected Automated Clearing Houses (ACHs)

Rather than having one and the same clearing bank facilitating real-time-

payments with the option to expand to cross-border, a more complex but also

more network-effect friendly way would be the interconnection of national

Automated Clearing Houses (ACHs), reflecting an increasing number of those

already operating in a near real-time environment today (reflecting the blurring

of ACH and Faster/Instant Payment Systems). Examples of this exist, e.g. in

Europe where we have an interlinking of ACHs under the EACHA – the European

Automated Clearing House Association – Framework, which connects 27

member institutions across SEPA on the basis of the international ISO 20022

messaging standard. In this regard it is important to remember that the SEPA

scheme rulebooks, covering credit transfers and direct debits in euro, still reflect

a lack of harmonisation, given the many options for banks and communities to

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define different approaches, e.g. in relation to remittance data and associated

field structure, etc.

Mexico on the other hand has created a hybrid structure by interlinking

its domestic RTGS to the United States ACH (NACHA), enabling cross-border

payments between these two markets.

At a global level, we have the example of the International Payments

Framework Association (IPFA), a global interoperability scheme rulebook for

cross-border retail payments, based on the ISO 20022 standard, similar to SEPA.

This scheme leverages the existing correspondent banking network for cross-

border low value transactions and payment aggregators deliver retail

transactions via the different bank accounts they hold across more than 60

countries, often relying on the existing local payments infrastructures.

The difference between this model and the clearing bank model is

reflected in the need to have an overall interoperability scheme rulebook,

complemented by harmonised messaging standards. At the same time, end users

are usually not directly connected to the respective local ACH, which means that

the payment chain would be longer and more complex compared to the clearing

bank scenario. In the case of IPFA, the reliance on the underlying inter-bank

‘rails’ indicates the dependency on correspondent banking.

Overall, the Clearing Bank and ACH interconnectivity models have limited

application in the context of managing settlement risk in the high value cross-

border inter-bank space. ACH transactions are not immediate and irrevocable in

all instances and systems usually have transaction amount limits.

Table 4: Benchmarking Interconnected ACHs against key requirements

Settlement Settlement in commercial bank credit deferred net settlement in RTGS

Liquidity Efficiency Cross-border netting capability (tbd) Availability Yes for EACHA; IPFA closing down in 2018 Ubiquity Inter-ACH connectivity difficult and not proven at scale

in cross-border context. SEPA/EACHA is most significant example in Europe

Transparency No tracking, unless based on gpi Predictability Yes, rulebook based (e.g. SEPA, IPFA) Interoperability Would need to be ISO 20022 based (SEPA, IPFA are)

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7.4 Scenario 4: Integration of regional RTGS Systems

A parallel approach at the wholesale payment level would be to directly

connect national RTGS systems with each other, creating almost an analogy to

commercial banks being connected to each other via correspondent banking.

Such a model is for example currently in roll-out mode across six

countries in the Middle East under the Cooperation Council for the Arab States of

the Gulf (GCC) (please note that another variant of cross-border payments via

RTGS has been developing across two African countries). The connection of the

six Gulf state RTGS systems across Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia

and the United Arab Emirates has been established on a legal basis, with the

objective of supporting economic development and trade within the region. This

will address the issues of end-to-end costs for users and the time taken from

initiation of a payment to final delivery.11

Whilst the participating countries have not created a monetary union

with a single currency, five out of the six countries have had a fixed peg to the

USD for many years with Kuwait having a peg against an undisclosed basket of

currencies, where that basket is assumed to be heavily weighted by the USD.

Many of the USD intra-GCC payments executed today start life as a debit

to a local currency account of the sender, are then converted to USD, remitted as

USD and then converted back from USD to local currency in order to credit the

account of the receiver. There are also a number of pure USD-to-USD intra-GCC

payments debiting and crediting USD accounts. An underlying rationale for the

Gulf-RTGS initiative is represented by the objective to reduce the power of the

USD as a reserve currency, given the nature of its risk profile and regulatory

burden.

The Gulf model provides a central RTGS system, which links all

participating RTGS systems and thus provides a full cross-border RTGS solution.

The domestic RTGS systems in the region have accounts in each other’s books,

enabling transactions via the system to settle immediately with finality in central

bank money. This will provide financial stability.

11 The integration of regional RTGS system is not unique to the Gulf, there are other examples among African states, for example between Kenya and Uganda.

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Central banks will deal with each other at a daily fixed currency

translation rate. The reserve management operations of each participating

central bank can decide whenever they want to settle or trade currency, or hold,

or buy bonds etc. The central banks don't cover positions transaction by

transaction; they will build up balances in each other’s books and will choose at

intervals when to trade out these balances either to USD, their own currency or

any other currency depending on their reserve management policy. Regulatory

KYC and AML/CTF compliance responsibility for transactions settled in the RTGS

remains with commercial banks.

Funds are co-mingled at FI direct participant level, meaning that domestic

and cross-border liquidity is managed in the same pot, but is then being routed

either nationally or cross-border. Enhanced liquidity management tools will be

available, going hand in hand with the centrally aggregated liquidity. The list of

eligible collateral is not the same across the different RTGS systems, which is an

issue if it were to be a single standalone system. There is currently no netting

foreseen, but this could be developed for the future.

The Gulf system is also being built for other countries to join if they wish

to do so. It could ultimately provide settlement of a single Gulf currency in the

region, if/once available. The new system will also support USD payments and

the settlement agent for these transactions could be a commercial bank

settlement agent but that is still to be resolved.

The Gulf example reflects the development from commercial bank

correspondent banking to “central bank correspondent banking”. In addition, it

is a good example that shows that a monetary union is not a prerequisite to

achieving a multi-country and currency RTGS.

However, the GCC model is very specific to this region and it is unlikely

that this can be easily replicated at a global scale, given the legal, regulatory and

political as well as standards and operational related challenges of alignment.

Still, the formation of regional RTGS hubs should be encouraged with a view to

creating interoperability bridges between the regions, which would allow for an

increasingly global coverage.

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Table 5: Benchmarking an integration of regional RTGS Systems against key requirements

Settlement Yes, in central bank money Liquidity Efficiency Depends on ILSM. In addition, netting solutions could be

added on top of the infrastructure Availability Not yet Ubiquity Good within the subset of participating RTGSs. Transparency Yes Predictability Yes Interoperability Will become ISO 20022 once participating RTGSs will

switch to ISO 20022

7.5 Scenario 5: Global Settlement Utility Model

Expanding the regional RTGS System hub creation – exemplified by the

Gulf model - one could also consider the creation of a global market utility that

facilitates settlement in central bank money by connecting country RTGS

systems on the one hand and commercial banks on the other. At the same time

optionality could be developed such that funds could either be settled on a net or

gross basis. In addition, various value-added services could be connected to the

market utility in order to allow for a platform approach, which would enhance

competition and innovation as well. Services could include foreign exchange,

information exchange – in particular intraday liquidity management related data

– and the netting and offsetting solutions. This could deliver a payments and

settlement utility for global trade and trading.

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Figure 7: Cross-border Market Utility Model

A global settlement utility should be developed in a way that would cover

all of the identified requirements. However, its implementation would face a

number of non-trivial challenges, ranging from network adoption to agreement

on a common scheme rulebook and compliance with multiple regulatory

regimes. The entity would have to be a regulated FMI under settlement finality

legislation and in compliance with CPSS-IOSCO principles for systemically large

FMIs. In order to manage the risk of “too big to fail” specific contingency

measures would also need to be put in place. Open questions include: “In what

currency would settlement take place? Which FMI would manage and control the

settlement? How would liquidity across the system be managed? Would the FMI

be responsible for sanctions/AML/CTF etc.? In which currency would FIs have to

fund their accounts with the FMI in? Would the FMI accept relationships with

every bank globally and how would this be practically managed?”

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Table 6: Benchmarking a Global Settlement Utility model against key requirements Settlement Yes; would need to be provided in central bank money Liquidity Efficiency Would need to offer multilateral netting solutions Availability No, but global infrastructure does exist for FX. Ubiquity Would be good within the participant subset Transparency Yes, this would be required Predictability Yes, SLAs and Rulebooks would need to deliver this

(similar to existing global FX infrastructure). Interoperability Yes, it should be ISO 20022 and aligned with gpi

7.6 Scenario 6: Synchronisation and Interconnectivity of RTGS Systems

A variant of the global settlement utility model could be the deployment

of the method of synchronisation, leveraging emerging (e.g. DLT) or existing

technologies. Such a model is currently being discussed in central bank circles.

The objective is to create a “third party provider model”, where an RTGS

would have the functionality required for such trusted third party, the

“Synchronisation Operator”, to connect and offer synchronisation services to the

market. The operator would have permissions to earmark and transfer funds

between participating institutions’ accounts in the RTGS, but would not hold an

account itself. The service could be used by multiple Third Party Providers, and

the functionality designed would be ‘agnostic’ to what the fund movements were

being synchronised with, and so could be PvP or DvP, domestic or cross border.

In a cross-border context Synchronisation Operator(s) could be working with

multiple national RTGS systems to synchronise cross border payments.

Furthermore, the design of the RTGS functionality could be agnostic to the

technology used by the Synchronisation Operator. Therefore, no particular

technology, for example DLT, would need to be deployed in order to make the

model work, as it will be for the Synchronisation Operator to determine the

appropriate method, technology etc. for delivering their particular service.

Figure 8 below depicts the steps of synchronisation, provided by the Bank

of England.

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Figure 8: Synchronisation via RTGS System (source: Bank of England)

1 Bank A notifies operator than it wishes to make a synchronised payment with Bank B in

order to pay Bank C

2 Operator earmarks funds in Bank A’s RTGS account

3 Operator notifies Bank B that funds are earmarked in RTGS

4 Bank B confirms that it is happy for funds to be earmarked in Ledger 1

5 Operator earmarks funds in Bank B’s Ledger 1 account

6 Operator confirms to all parties that funds are earmarked

7 Operator simultaneously orders RTGS and Ledger 1 to release the earmarked funds to Bank

B and Bank C respectively

The potential benefits of such an approach could be a simplification of

some existing processes and the reduction of operational risk. There could be a

reduction of credit risk by enabling DvP and PvP, whilst participants could avoid

the need to prefund some large corporate transactions. Furthermore, this

approach could lead to increased competition, particularly for new entrants, and

allow participants to offer new products to new customers.

There are however also potential risks and challenges. For example, FIs

are likely to want to retain control over payments (i.e. to have option to stop a

payment), particularly where large sums are involved. Earmarking of funds

would have implications for managing available liquidity and may in practice not

represent a performance guarantee in itself. Processes for ‘exceptions’ will need

to be very clearly defined and the service functionality will need to be attractive

enough to result in broader market adoption, which may be challenging if new

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technologies such as DLT are being deployed (due to migration complexity and

potential associated costs). The Reserve Bank of Australia is already deploying

synchronisation with regard to domestic housing transactions.

Building on the concept of synchronisation, design scenario 6 (see Figure

9) provides a perspective of how cross-border flows could be managed, by

combining earmarking and synchronisation capabilities between central banks

with the flow of correspondent banking payments.

Figure 9: Global RTGS System Interconnectivity

In this model we chose to use a private DL structure, where central banks

connect with each other for purposes of earmarking funds. The abovementioned

Synchronisation Operator would thus be represented by the DL itself in this

example. Alternatives could also include leveraging the Utility Settlement Coin

model, which would enable a more efficient flow of inter-bank balances held in

RTGS systems. The asset on the DL would be a reference representing the

earmarked amount, based on relevant central bank balances held by the sending

bank (or on its behalf by the intermediary provider). The transaction steps

depicted in Figure 9 are as follows:

(1) Customer initiates a payment instruction in USD

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(2) EUR originator bank makes a request to reserve USD for the transaction

towards the ECB

(3) If the ECB can reserve the funds on behalf of the EUR originator bank, it

sends a positive acknowledgement – with a reservation ID

(4) EUR originator bank sends the payment message (credit transfer) to USD

Beneficiary bank, which includes the ECB reservation ID

(5) USD beneficiary bank validates the request and asks for a confirmation from

the Federal Reserve if the payment can go through

(5*) The Federal Reserve confirms if the reservation at the ECB is guaranteed via

the DL, which connects the two central banks

(6) The Federal Reserve informs the beneficiary bank that the payment can go

through / is guaranteed

(7) The beneficiary customer is credited

(8) The EUR ordering bank receives the confirmation that the beneficiary has

received the funds

(9) The ordering bank releases a ‘cover’ payment (e.g. MT 202 COV)

(10) The USD correspondent bank debits the Vostro of the EUR originator bank

and settles the payment via Fedwire; the correspondent also provides the FX to

the EUR originator bank

(11) The ECB/Target2 is informed that the reservation can be released, using

DLT

(12) The USD beneficiary bank receives the funds

When discussing this scenario, several key questions and issues were

identified. The objective of this scenario is to increase financial stability and

lower the risks associated with commercial bank credit settlement for cross-

border correspondent banking payments by leveraging central banks’ support

through earmarking. However, in the context of the current potential model for

synchronisation, as explained above, earmarking funds may not be equivalent to

extending a central bank guarantee. Synchronising the earmarking process with

the actual payments flow in the correspondent banking space is a further

challenge. Therefore, it is likely that liquidity risk would still be an issue for the

beneficiary bank, i.e. in the situation where the beneficiary customer is credited

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before the beneficiary bank itself has received the funds from the correspondent

bank (i.e. induced settlement risk). Additional questions around time zones and

difference in value dating remain (e.g. the US to Australia corridor). It is equally

unclear who would be responsible for sanctions screening in this model.

Potential issues around application of funds, repairs, rejects and returns would

equally need to be considered. Operations and reconciliation could potentially be

streamlined using DLT, but technology alone cannot satisfactorily fix the set of

identified issues in correspondent banking payments.

In a hypothetical future scenario, a potentially viable way to enable

central bank money settlement for cross-border transactions leveraging DLT

would be if central banks were to issue fiat currency on the DL and, via the

establishment of Interledger protocols, provide central bank settled cross-

border payments via atomic settlement. However, such an approach could

potentially have significant implications on the way the payment industry

operates. Despite regional RTGS hub initiatives, discussed in scenario 4, a large-

scale approach of RTGS connectivity via DLT deployment and issuance of Central

Bank Digital (or Crypto) Currencies (CBDC/CBCC) is an unlikely scenario in the

short to medium term. As proposed by the Bank of England synchronisation

model, other technologies could be explored for this purpose, allowing for ease

of migration and adoption. Cross-border legal and regulatory questions as well

as the extent to which such as solution could truly reduce inter-bank settlement

and counterparty risk, would need to be tackled.

Table 7 summarises which requirements such a scenario is likely to be

able to cover under the circumstances.

Table 7: Benchmarking Synchronisation and Interconnectivity of RTGS Systems against key requirements

Settlement Yes, in commercial credit Liquidity Efficiency No specific improvements unless gpi supports indirectly

through predictability and transparency Availability N/A; DLT is not yet mature, and Interledger connectivity

would need to be established Ubiquity This would be a key requirement to ensure reach Transparency Yes, this would be required Predictability Yes, a Rulebook would be required Interoperability Should be ISO 20022 based

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7.7 Scenario7: gpi Next Generation

A final scenario, which we will call gpi next generation, looks further at

reducing systemic risk in the critical area of inter-bank high value payments.

The aims of reducing settlement and counterparty risks in correspondent

banking is being tackled from a gpi perspective with the roll out of the gpi

Financial Institution Transfer (gFIT) service, tentatively planned for the

beginning of 2019. In order to bring transparency and real time information to

these critical high value transactions, the service will provide tracking of

institutional payments (over FIN) by tracking MT 202 and MT 205 messages,

followed by the plan to issue a rulebook for participants that will enable tracking

of these transactions over non-FIN networks and market infrastructures and will

include business rules. The rulebook will require FIs to confirm to the tracker

once the beneficiary’s Agents Nostro account has been credited, or flag any

processing issues inside the FI, such that FI intraday liquidity management can

become more accurate and reconciliations of payments can improve. This step,

in combination with gpi-compliant infrastructure settlement in RTGS, would

deliver significant benefit in managing systemic and counterparty risk, despite

the reality of the continued practice of operating often undisclosed and

uncommitted intraday credit lines – where these are ultimately more liquidity

efficient than pre-funding of every transaction. This is likely to be the best

possible outcome in light of the impossibility to establish harmonised

bankruptcy laws across the globe that would otherwise define that positive

funds held in Nostro accounts cannot be clawed back by the respondent FI (the

User of correspondent banking services) in a scenario of intraday failure of such

institution.

By 2022/2023 SWIFT is planning to migrate to the ISO 20022 standard,

including gpi, which will allow parties to send more data in the payment

message, allowing for more clarity on purpose of payment and the parties

involved (such as on-behalf-of payments). This will bring a substantial risk

related improvement compared to today’s MT messages, which are limited in the

number of characters and often create AML compliance challenges for FIs. ISO

20022 will allow FI’s to optimally include ‘Know your Transaction’ – KYT – data.

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This move also ties in with the increasing use of ISO 20022 in FMI/PMIs and will

enable improved compliance in correspondent banking payments.

A planned “pre-validation service” (for 2019 and beyond) will further

support preventing STP and data gap related issues (e.g. missing clearing codes)

as well as problems with closed or wrong beneficiary accounts down the

payment chain. And finally, to complement Case Resolution service currently

under exploration would further support FIs in the context of missing

information in payments and specifically support sanctions related requests,

given that sanctions information cannot be pre-validated at the start of a

payment. This move would also support enquiries related to repairs, rejects,

returns, and transactions that cannot be applied to an account. An important

element here is that this service will directly connect banks that need to resolve

the issue rather than requiring them to go back through the banking chain.

Furthermore, an audit trail of communication would be provided.

SWIFT has also experimented with DLT in the context of a Proof-of-

Concept to deliver real time Nostro/Vostro account reconciliation. The exercise

demonstrated that business requirements were met but point to the challenge of

industry adoption, such as the prerequisite for FIs to move from batch to real-

time liquidity processing and reporting as well as requiring IT back office

upgrades. It also showed that DLT is only one of several potential technologies

that could be deployed, which indicates that technology itself is not the

determining factor (SWIFT DLT PoC Findings, 2018).

Table 8: Benchmarking gpi Next Generation against key requirements

Settlement gpi is only a messaging solution and does not deliver settlement per se. However, it will further support transparency and risk management in commercial credit settlement for high value payments

Liquidity Efficiency gpi reduces payment delays and thus can improve liquidity efficiency

Availability In future Ubiquity If on SWIFT network, limited to users and their clients Transparency Yes Predictability Yes, Rulebooks would be in place Interoperability gpi is technology agnostic. Once SWIFT messages move

to ISO 20022, gpi will also become ISO 20022 compliant.

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7.8 Design Scenario Evaluation

In this section we discuss the results of our design development

exercise. We have ranked the outcomes in line with the set of key requirements

as defined in Section 6. To complement these practical design scenarios, we have

also developed a set of policy recommendations (Section 8) that would be key

enablers for delivering improved cross-border payments. Table 9 provides a

ranking and high-level evaluation of the different cross-border payment design

scenarios discussed in this paper with a particular view on time to delivery and

associated effectiveness of the measure.

Table 9: Ranking and Evaluation of scenario

Ranking Scenario Commentary 1 gpi Easiest to implement and impactful. Remaining

settlement risk on clearing banks but increased adoption by FMIs, including RTGS systems helps end-to-end transparency. Limitation: to SWIFT users and their clients (but represent the majority of cross-border market players); importance of contingency/resilience/security of network and established multibank governance model.

2 gpi Next Generation Potentially very impactful in terms of achieving messaging-based transparency for high-value interbank transactions. Could meaningfully reduce settlement risk on clearing banks. Expected future benefits in the context of AML/CTF compliance and sanctions screening once those solutions will come into place. Limitation: to SWIFT users (but represent the majority of cross-border market players); importance of contingency/resilience/security of network and established multibank governance model. The planned move to ISO 20022 will further add benefits as discussed.

3 Regional RTGS Impactful in terms of financial stability but restricted to the region; very difficult and time-consuming to design and implement; disruptive impact on business models of traditional correspondent banks; potential to interlink regional hubs as they emerge (e.g. GCC with Eurozone)

4 Clearing Bank Positive as it reduces the length of the interbank chain and hence complexity and risk; commercial bank credit settlement only and mainly focused on retail, low value transactions. As boundaries blur between retail and wholesale with high value transactions being managed in a low risk way, relevance could increase; needs network adoption and currency

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expansion; use of ISO 20022 positive. 5 ACH Interconnectivity In place globally for some time with the IPFA scheme

but little adoption (now being decommissioned); commercial bank credit settlement only and main focus on retail transactions – once boundaries blur between retail and wholesale with high value transactions being managed in a low risk way, relevance could increase; use of ISO 20022 positive.

6 Market Utility Whilst addressing settlement finality in central bank money, the utility could become too big to fail/centralising flows and risks; operational contingency important; question whether this should be a non-commercial FMI; governance/regulatory/investment challenge to set this up.

7 RTGS Interconnectivity leveraging DLT/Synchronisation

Model discussed does not sufficiently address the market problems. Additional challenge of technology adoption of DLT and no clear picture as to how this could really improve financial stability and settlement finality, unless we move into a CBDC/CBCC and Interledger Protocol world. If everything becomes real time, there is no possibility for liquidity optimisation as there is no ability to net. Synchronisation element looks theoretically promising but will require more in-depth development.

8. POLICY RECOMMENDATIONS

In order to complement the above design recommendations and with the

objective of addressing the challenge of AML/KYC/CTF and sanctions in cross-

border payments, the following actions are recommended.

First of all, for the purpose of ensuring a harmonised process of

identification of payers and payees in a transaction and consistent with the

views of the CPMI (CMPI, 2016) we recommend FIs to use the global Legal Entity

Identifier (LEI) – a standard identifier for legal entities - in the payment message.

As a complementary measure, the development of a second standard identifier

for individuals could be considered, and this information could also be carried in

the payment message. ISO might be an appropriate entity to look into such

standardisation work, given the need for global consistency.

Furthermore, national regulators tend to require information on business,

customer address, Business Identifier Codes (BIC), or bank account identifiers,

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tax identification numbers, etc. All of this information could be stored in a

national KYC registry, which could serve as a golden copy for customer KYC data

in that particular country – an approach that is also supported by the CPMI

(CPMI, 2016). Note that various types of local and regional registry solutions

have already started to emerge over the last few years (e.g. SWIFT registry,

Nordic banks registry, Singapore etc.). Such registries would need to be

continuously updated by banks with fresh information including fraud alerts and

other relevant data. One could even consider putting registries on a DL and

allowing the government to validate legal identifier information. In order to

establish the required legitimacy and effectiveness of use of such registries for

the purpose of enhancing trust in cross-border payments, the Basel Committee

in collaboration with the FATF could consider developing a set of key

requirements that these national KYC registries would need to fulfil.

Benchmarking alignment with these criteria could be performed via a peer

review process, similar to the Basel Accord compliance peer review process,

highlighting which countries have made the required efforts. The end goal would

be that transactions between countries with ‘reviewed and endorsed’ KYC

registries can flow more easily across borders, helping to support more trust

between FIs. An essential item to address in all of this is legal liability for KYC in

the context of outsourcing. Unless we have liability ownership of KYC utility (and

other relevant compliance solution) providers that service FIs, we will continue

to see limited success of those initiatives in bringing about the desired efficiency

for this business.

A further measure, also endorsed by the CPMI (CPMI, 2016), could be an

improved process of information sharing between FIs across borders, in relation

to their due diligence and AML/CTF/KYC and sanctions related obligations. The

challenge of FIs today is that local data privacy legislation and unclear messages

from various national regulators make it difficult for FIs (which in some cases

require due diligence information on their customers’ customers – also known as

“KYCC”) to share related information with each other. FATF clarified in October

2016 that FATF recommendations do not require financial institutions to

conduct customer due diligence on the customers of their customer (KYCC).

However, in cases where there is any unusual activity or transaction on the part

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of the respondent, or any potential deviations from the agreed terms of the

arrangements governing the correspondent banking relationship, the FATF

noted that, in practice, the correspondent institution will follow up with the

respondent institution by making a request for information on any particular

transaction(s), possibly leading to more information being requested on a

specific customer or customers of the respondent bank. Information sharing is a

key area that will need to be fostered further.

With a view on the regulatory and policy angle, cross-border payments of

any kind would significantly benefit from a harmonised set of rules when it

comes to the conduct of FIs/PSPs - as inspired by the European Payment

Services Directive (PSD 2 - Directive (EU) 2015/2366). In particular, the

requirement of transparency around fees, deductions and FX rates applied as

well as the prohibition to take float on incoming customer payments would have

the potential to further enhance the practical messaging initiative of SWIFT gpi

as well as to improve those payment transactions that remain outside SWIFT.

9. CONCLUSION

In this paper we took a pragmatic approach to addressing the challenges

surrounding cross-border correspondent banking payments. We engaged with

practitioners to establish a set of agreed areas of challenge and associated design

criteria. These have fed into the development of a set of design scenarios and

options – some live and some planned or theoretical. We reviewed seven

scenarios and evaluated the potential benefits and drawbacks of each.

Our conclusion shows that gpi implementation by FIs has the potential to

deliver more transparency to cross-border payments. This enhanced

transparency, complemented by increasing predictability and discipline over

time as additional rulebooks and SLAs are put in place, will be able to help

institutions to better manage counterparty and financial stability related risks in

the interbank space. Even though the risk associated with extending intraday

credit to FIs will not be directly reduced via gpi, the transparency will help

participants to see where the cover funding is in the payment chain and based on

that information decide whether to pay out or not. The early visibility will allow

any emerging problem to be tackled before it risks going out of control (i.e. avoid

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a Lehmann scenario). Furthermore, we will have to be alert to the dynamics of

peer group pressure and whether this transparency and predictability will

encourage “good” or “bad” behaviour by institutions.

Regulators will play a key role in further promoting the adoption of ISO

20022 and the LEI as well as taking measures in support of the industry’s ability

to comply with AML/KYC/CTF (e.g. KYC registries), harmonisation of rules and

provision of more clarity and encouragement for inter-FI information sharing.

Based on experience, liability ownership of solution providers in the context of

KYC utilities and other relevant solutions will be the only way to truly unlock the

benefits of these solutions. This will need to be complemented by FIs taking

active steps in addressing shortcomings in group level intraday liquidity

management, both at the correspondent bank and user bank side.

We also highlight that the deployment of new technologies, such as DLT,

is no panacea. Apart from the lack of maturity of this technology, there are only a

few international bodies that have thus been successful in delivering distributed

network management across a range of diverse stakeholders. Network

governance is a key requirement that cannot be delivered by technology alone

and there is a need – as identified and addressed by gpi – to deliver more SLAs

and transparency between FIs.

Before we can consider moving into a new technology stack based on

DLT, we will need to prove that the technology can work in the intended way at a

scale, and that the technical migration challenge is feasible for the size of the

network we need to cover. Future plans for central bank RTGSs to leverage

Synchronisation Operators to facilitate cross-border payment connectivity whilst

delivering the financial stability benefit of settlement finality will need to be

developed further, before any practical steps for implementation can be taken.

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10. BIBLIOGRAPHY

Alleyne, T., Bouhga-Hagbe, J., Dowling, T., Kovtun, D., Myrvoda, A., Okwuokei, J., Turunen, J. (2017) “Loss of Correspondent Banking Relationships in the Caribbean: Trends, Impact, and Policy Options” IMF Working Paper, WP/17/209.

Bank for International Settlements (BIS) “Glossary” Available on line at: https://www.bis.org/cpmi/publ/d00b.htm

Bech, M. Shimuzu, Y., Wong, P., (2017) “The quest for speed in payments” BIS Quarterly Review, March 2017. Available on line at: https://www.bis.org/publ/qtrpdf/r_qt1703g.pdf

Bank for International Settlements (BIS) (2003) “The role of central bank money in payment systems”, Committee on Payment and Settlement Systems (ISBN 92-9131-654-7). Available on line at: https://www.bis.org/cpmi/publ/d55.pdf

Bank of England (2018) “RTGS Renewal Programme: Synchronisation Workshop” Available on line at: https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/-/media/boe/files/minutes/2018/synchronisation-workshop-feb-2018

Bofinger, P. (2018) “Digitalisation of money and the future of monetary policy” Available at: https://voxeu.org/article/digitalisation-money-and-future-monetary-policy

Boston Consulting Group (2018) An Interactive Guide to Global Payments. Available on line at: https://www.bcg.com/en-gb/publications/interactives/global-payments-interactive-edition.aspx

Committee on Payments and Market Infrastructures (CPMI) (2016) “Correspondent Banking” Bank for International Settlements (ISBN 978-92-9197-616-4). Available on line at: https://www.bis.org/cpmi/publ/d147.pdf

Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (2009) “Due diligence and transparency regarding cover payment messages related to cross border wire transfers” May. Available on line at: https://www.bis.org/publ/bcbs154.pdf

Francioni, R., Schwartz, R.A. (Eds) (2017). Equity Markets in Transition: the value chain, price discovery, regulation, and beyond. Springer International Publishing, Switzerland.

Financial Stability Board (FSB) (2017) “Correspondent Banking Data Report), July 2017. Available on line at: http://www.fsb.org/2017/07/fsb-correspondent-banking-data-report/

Financial Stability Board (FSB) (2018) “Progress Report on Correspondent Banking and Remittances” March 2018.

European Central Bank (ECB) (2010) “The Payment System. Payments, Securities and Derivatives and the Role of the Eurosystem”. T. Kokkola (Ed). Available on line at: https://www.ecb.europa.eu/pub/pdf/other/paymentsystem201009en.pdf

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International Monetary Fund (IMF) (2017) “Recent trends in correspondent banking relationships – Further Considerations”. Available on line at: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/Policy-Papers/Issues/2017/04/21/recent-trends-in-correspondent-banking-relationships-further-considerations

Grolleman, D. J., Jutrsa, D. (2017) “Understanding Correspondent Banking Trends: A Monitoring Framework” IFM Working Paper, WP/17/216. Available on line at: https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2017/10/04/Understanding-Correspondent-Banking-Trends-A-Monitoring-Framework-45318

SWIFT (2018) “gpi real-time Nostro Proof of Concept” Available on line at: https://www.swift.com/news-events/press-releases/swift-completes-landmark-dlt-poc

King, M. (2016) The End of Alchemy: Money, Banking, and the Future of the Global Economy. W.W. Norton and Company, London.

McKinsey (2016) “Rethinking correspondent banking”, McKinsey&Company, Financial Services Practice, Payments Volume 9, No. 23, June 2016.

PwC (2017) Redrawing the Lines: FinTech’s Growing Influence and Financial Services” Global Fintech Report 2017. Available on line at: https://www.pwc.com/jg/en/publications/pwc-global-fintech-report-17.3.17-final.pdf

The Wolfsberg Group (2014), “Wolfsberg Anti-Money Laundering Principles for Correspondent Banking”. Available on line at: www.wolfsberg-principles.com/pdf/home/Wolfsberg-Correspondent-Banking-Principles-2014.pdf.

The World Bank (2015) “Withdrawal from Correspondent Banking. Where, Why, and What to do about it” Finance and Markets Global Practice, The World Bank Group. Available on line at: http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/113021467990964789/pdf/101098-revised-PUBLIC-CBR-Report-November-2015.pdf

Yan, C., Phylaktis, K. and Fuertes, A. (2016). “On Cross-Border Bank Credit and the U.S. Financial Crisis Transmission to Equity Markets”. Journal of International Money and Finance, 69, pp. 108-134.

Wandhofer, R., Berndsen, R. J. (2018), ‘Proof-of-Work blockchains and Settlement Finality: a functional interpretation’. (forthcoming publication).

Wandhöfer, R. (2010) EU payments integration: SEPA, PSD and other milestones along the road. Palgrave MacMillan, London.

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Annex 1: CROSS BORDER PAYMENTS INNOVATION QUESTIONNAIRE

ABOUT YOUR ORGANISATION

1. Please indicate the type of organisation

Bank Non-bank if “Non-bank” please indicate

Payment services Other financial services (e.g. FinTech) Central Bank Other _________

2. Which geography does your organisation cover? (Please tick as many

as appropriate) Europe Middle East Africa North America Latin America Asia Pacific

3. Please indicate the country of your organisation (location of HQ) [dropdown list countries]

4. Is your organisation a SWIFT user? Yes No 5. Whilst most banks are both providers and buyers of correspondent

banking services, please identify which is your PRIMARY focus: Provider User ABOUT YOUR ROLE 6. Please indicate your job title [free text]

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7. Please indicate your job function (select the one where you spend most your time on)

Network Management Cash Clearing Product Management Operations Product Development / Innovation Other, please specify: _____________________________ VALIDATION OF PAIN POINTS 8. As user and/or provider of correspondent banking services do you

agree with the following pain points in the context of costs?

STRONGLY AGREE

AGREE UNDECIDED DISAGREE STRONGLY DISAGREE

A) DIRECT COSTS FOR MESSAGING FEES CHARGED BY THE NETWORK ARE TOO HIGH

B) FEES CHARGED BY MY BANK PROVIDER ARE TOO HIGH

C) LIQUIDITY RELATED COSTS FOR THIS BUSINESS ARE TOO HIGH

D) CAPITAL RELATED COSTS FOR THIS BUSINESS ARE TOO HIGH

E) COSTS RELATED TO COUNTERPARTY AND LIQUIDITY LIMITS, FAILS IN STP AND INCORRECT PROCESSING ARE TOO HIGH

9. As user and/or provider of correspondent banking services do you

agree with the following pain points in the context of transparency?

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STRONGLY

AGREE AGREE UNDECIDED DISAGREE STRONGLY

DISAGREE A) THERE IS A LACK OF INFORMATION THROUGHOUT THE LIFECYLE OF THE PAYMENT

B) THERE IS A LACK OF ENHANCED DATA AND INCOMPLETE TRANSACTION REFERENCE DATA CREATES PROBLEMS TO RECONCILE TRANSACTIONS

C) THERE IS A LACK OF VISBILITY OF TRANSACTION RELATED COSTS, I.E. WHO HAS PAID WHICH FEES TO WHOM FOR VALIDATION OF AML/CTF, COUNTERPARTY RISK, LIQUIDITY REPORTING AND CREDIT LIMITS

INNOVATION APPROACH

10. Is your organisation currently participating or planning to participate in any of the below SWIFT Innovation Initiatives? Please tick as appropriate.

GPI DLT PoC Nostro/Vostro Reconciliation None

11. Do you believe that Blockchain/Distributed Ledger Technology could be deployed as the basis for a new generation cross-border payment network?

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STRONGLY

AGREE AGREE UNDECIDED DISAGREE STRONGLY

DISAGREE

12. Does your organisation experiment with or already deploy blockchain/Distributed Ledger Technology?

Yes, please provide some high level detail on the area of application: _____________________________ No

13. Would you be available to be contacted in order to participate in our research?

Yes No 14. If yes, please provide your name, organisation, e-mail and/or phone

number where we can contact you. [data fields]

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Annex 2: CROSS BORDER PAYMENTS INNOVATION QUESTIONNAIRE

RESULTS

Table A2.1: Percentage of respondents that strongly disagree, disagree, are undecided, agree or strongly agree with statements describing costs, information provision and technology development (all)

Statement Strongly disagree Disagree Undecided Agree Strongly agree

1A 2 14 34 28 19

1B 0 12 28 42 16

1C 3 9 23 45 18

1D 0 5 34 42 16

1E 0 12 13 45 27

2A 0 6 8 42 42

2B 0 6 8 49 34

2C 0 0 7 43 48

3A 5 7 33 38 15

1A) Direct costs for Messaging Fees charged by the network are too high. 1B) Fees charged by my bank provider are too high. 1C) Liquidity related costs for this business are too high. 1D) Capital related costs for this business are too high. 1E) Costs related to counterparty and liquidity limits, fails in STP and incorrect processing are too high. 2A) There is a lack of information throughout the lifecycle of the payment. 2B) There is a lack of enhanced data and Incomplete transaction reference data creates problems to reconcile transactions. 2C) There is a lack of visibility of transaction related costs, i.e. who has paid which fees to whom for validation of AML/CTF, counterparty risk, liquidity reporting and credit limit. 3A) Do you believe that Blockchain/Distributed Ledger Technology could be deployed as the basis for a new generation cross-border payment network?

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Table A2.2: Percentage of respondents that strongly disagree, disagree, are undecided, agree or strongly agree with statements describing costs, information provision and technology development (Users v Providers)

Statement

Disagree Undecided Agree Disagree Undecided Agree

1A 21 31 47 11 41 47

1B 11 24 63 17 38 44

1C 6 27 65 23 14 61

1D 3 34 62 11 26 61

1E 6 9 83 23 17 58

2A 6 9 83 2 5 91

2B 6 8 85 8 8 82

2C 1 8 90 2 8 88

3A 9 36 54 23 32 44

Users Providers

1A) Direct costs for Messaging Fees charged by the network are too high. 1B) Fees charged by my bank provider are too high. 1C) Liquidity related costs for this business are too high. 1D) Capital related costs for this business are too high. 1E) Costs related to counterparty and liquidity limits, fails in STP and incorrect processing are too high. 2A) There is a lack of information throughout the lifecycle of the payment. 2B) There is a lack of enhanced data and Incomplete transaction reference data creates problems to reconcile transactions. 2C) There is a lack of visibility of transaction related costs, i.e. who has paid which fees to whom for validation of AML/CTF, counterparty risk, liquidity reporting and credit limit. 3A) Do you believe that Blockchain/Distributed Ledger Technology could be deployed as the basis for a new generation cross-border payment network?

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Table A2.3: Percentage of respondents that strongly disagree, disagree, are undecided, agree or strongly agree with statements describing costs, information provision and technology development (World Regions)

Statement

Disagree Undecided Agree Disagree Undecided Agree Disagree Undecided Agree

1A 20 34 45 28 24 48 4 44 52

1B 18 29 52 16 16 68 4 40 56

1C 13 22 63 12 16 72 12 32 56

1D 6 22 70 12 24 64 0 56 44

1E 11 9 79 12 8 80 16 24 60

2A 2 6 90 12 8 80 4 12 84

2B 4 6 88 12 8 80 4 12 84

2C 2 13 84 0 4 96 0 4 96

3A 20 43 36 12 28 60 8 28 64

Europe Asia & Africa Americas

1A) Direct costs for Messaging Fees charged by the network are too high. 1B) Fees charged by my bank provider are too high. 1C) Liquidity related costs for this business are too high. 1D) Capital related costs for this business are too high. 1E) Costs related to counterparty and liquidity limits, fails in STP and incorrect processing are too high. 2A) There is a lack of information throughout the lifecycle of the payment. 2B) There is a lack of enhanced data and Incomplete transaction reference data creates problems to reconcile transactions. 2C) There is a lack of visibility of transaction related costs, i.e. who has paid which fees to whom for validation of AML/CTF, counterparty risk, liquidity reporting and credit limit. 3A) Do you believe that Blockchain/Distributed Ledger Technology could be deployed as the basis for a new generation cross-border payment network?

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Annex 3: Contributors to Focus Groups

Michael Aragona - Mizuho Bank Ltd Simon Bailey - Finarchy Atle Fjereide - DNB Mark Hewlett - Ebury Richard Pattinson – A&T Advisory Limited Steve Barton - independent consultant Klaus Löber R3 – various contributors Beat Bannwart – UBS Kenneth T.P. Wong – Toronto Dominion Daniel Verbruggen, Monika Aminiova – BNY Mellon Marcus Treacher and Ryan Zagone - Ripple Jonathan Bell and Frederic Barbaix - RedCompass Alastair Milne - Loughborough University Payam Simko – Natwest Kirstine Nilsson - Swedbank Karl Turnbull and Ryan Mcauliffe - SWIFT Marco Venturella -Earthport John Jackson and Clare Griffiths - Bank of England Mark Zanger- Deutsche Bundesbank Ivana Ponzio - Intesa Sanpaolo Bernhard Pelzmann - Raiffeisen Bank International Ashley Somerville and Andrew Whiteley – CLS Mary Ann Callahan Payam Simko – Natwest Jason Dodokin – RBC Sophia Bantanidis, Simon McConnell, Saad Ur Rahman, Tony McLaughlin - Citi