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‘Svalbard issue’: the struggle goes on Pavel Prokhorov ‘Expert North-West’ Business Journal St. Petersburg [email protected]

‘Svalbard issue’: the struggle goes on Pavel Prokhorov ‘Expert North-West’ Business Journal St. Petersburg

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Do we need a global leader? Arctic Meltdown From Foreign Affairs, March/April 2008 Thanks to global warming, the Arctic icecap is rapidly melting, opening up access to massive natural resources and creating shipping shortcuts that could save billions of dollars a year. But there are currently no clear rules governing this economically and strategically vital region. Unless Washington leads the way toward a multilateral diplomatic solution, the Arctic could descend into armed conflict. SCOTT G. BORGERSON is International Affairs Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and a former Lieutenant Commander in the U.S. Coast Guard.

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Page 1: ‘Svalbard issue’: the struggle goes on Pavel Prokhorov ‘Expert North-West’ Business Journal St. Petersburg

‘Svalbard issue’: the struggle goes on

Pavel Prokhorov‘Expert North-West’ Business Journal

St. Petersburg

[email protected]

Page 2: ‘Svalbard issue’: the struggle goes on Pavel Prokhorov ‘Expert North-West’ Business Journal St. Petersburg

Disputes in the Arctic

Page 3: ‘Svalbard issue’: the struggle goes on Pavel Prokhorov ‘Expert North-West’ Business Journal St. Petersburg

Do we need a global leader?

Arctic Meltdown

From Foreign Affairs, March/April 2008

Thanks to global warming, the Arctic icecap is rapidly melting, opening up access to massive natural resources and creating shipping shortcuts that could save billions of dollars a year. But there are currently no clear rules governing this economically and strategically vital region. Unless Washington leads the way toward a multilateral diplomatic solution, the Arctic could descend into armed conflict.

SCOTT G. BORGERSON is International Affairs Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and a former Lieutenant Commander in the U.S. Coast Guard.

Page 4: ‘Svalbard issue’: the struggle goes on Pavel Prokhorov ‘Expert North-West’ Business Journal St. Petersburg

European Commission – new Arctic policy

Climate change may spark conflict with Russia

Javier Solana, the EU's foreign policy supremo, and Benita Ferrero-Waldner, the commissioner for external relations, call on the EU to draw up an Arctic policy "based on the evolving geostrategy of the ... region, taking into account access to resources and the opening of new trade routes".

Page 5: ‘Svalbard issue’: the struggle goes on Pavel Prokhorov ‘Expert North-West’ Business Journal St. Petersburg

Five Arctic states onlyWe therefore see no need to develop a new comprehensive international legal regime to govern the Arctic Ocean.

THE ILULISSAT DECLARATION ARCTIC OCEAN CONFERENCE

ILULISSAT, GREENLAND, 27 – 29 MAY 2008

Page 6: ‘Svalbard issue’: the struggle goes on Pavel Prokhorov ‘Expert North-West’ Business Journal St. Petersburg

More than just a line?

Page 7: ‘Svalbard issue’: the struggle goes on Pavel Prokhorov ‘Expert North-West’ Business Journal St. Petersburg

Why did Russia want an agreement now?

• Settle dispute with Norway before new submission to Commission.– But settlement with Canada and Denmark more

important• A good example of a peaceful solution of a

potential conflict.• Russia has not got any clear position on 200

mile zone around Svalbard.

Page 8: ‘Svalbard issue’: the struggle goes on Pavel Prokhorov ‘Expert North-West’ Business Journal St. Petersburg

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Status of Svalbard’s 200 mile zone

1977 – creation of a ‘Fishery Protection Zone’Kjetil Skogrand: “Something less than EEZ”.

No recognition of the status by Spitsbergen Treaty parties.

The judge of court on the trawler ‘Electron’.

Page 9: ‘Svalbard issue’: the struggle goes on Pavel Prokhorov ‘Expert North-West’ Business Journal St. Petersburg

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МП, прилегающие к Шпицбергену, подпадают под действие положений Парижского договора, в частности, его статьи 3, которая предусматривает, что Шпицберген будет открыт на условиях равенства для всех участников Парижского договора, и статьи 8, которая, между прочим, устанавливает налоговый режим, применяемый при разработке минеральных ресурсов Шпицбергена.

Anglo-Saxon fightback

Page 10: ‘Svalbard issue’: the struggle goes on Pavel Prokhorov ‘Expert North-West’ Business Journal St. Petersburg

Will Norway break off with the last rudiment of The Versailles Treaty?

Page 11: ‘Svalbard issue’: the struggle goes on Pavel Prokhorov ‘Expert North-West’ Business Journal St. Petersburg

Thank you for your attention!