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Villa Valmer, Marseille, 19 October 2018 Fiscal Reforms for Low Carbon Growth in the Mediterranean Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries Dr. Emanuela Menichetti Director, Electricity and Renewable Energy

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Page 1: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

Villa Valmer, Marseille, 19 October 2018

Fiscal Reforms for Low Carbon Growth in the

Mediterranean

Support schemes in the South and East

Mediterranean countries

Dr. Emanuela Menichetti

Director, Electricity and Renewable Energy

Page 2: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

Geographical coverage

2

Eleven countries of the South and East

Mediterranean (SEMCs)

SOUTH EAST

Israel

Jordan

Lebanon

Palestine

Syria

Turkey

SOUTH WEST

Algeria

Egypt

Libya

Morocco

Tunisia

Page 3: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

RE capacity evolution in the SEMCs

3

RE technologies have been progressing at a c.a.a.g.r. of 10% over the last

ten years

Cumulative RE capacity in 2017 was more than double the amount of 2008

SEMCs host 2% of total RE capacity worldwide

Source: OME

Page 4: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

Zoom on selected RE technologies

4Source: OME

Page 5: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

Net electricity capacity additions by type

5

Natural gas is still dominating the electricity mix in terms of

cumulative capacity

However, net additions of hydro and non-hydro RETs were higher

than natural gas in 2017 vs. 2016 (5 GW vs. 4 GW)

RETs capacity grew by more than 24 GW since 2010, a net addition

of 3 GW per year

Source: OME

Page 6: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

RET geographical distribution in the SEMCs

6

Market still concentrated in few countries

Turkey accounting for almost 80% of total capacity

in the SEMCS

Source: OME

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RETs capacity by GDP and population

7

GDP and per capita indicators show a less concentrated

distribution

We start seeing the results of policies in place, e.g.:

Morocco, Lebanon

Source: OME

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SEMCs slowly getting attractive

8

In 2017, RE investments in the SEMCs were 2% of the total,

about 20 times lower than China’s, 5 times less than in Europe

but larger than the investment size in Brazil

Egypt and Turkey attracted the largest investment flow in 2017,

but things are moving ahead in several countries (e.g.: Jordan,

Lebanon, Israel, Morocco)

Source: UN Environment, Bloomberg New Energy Finance, and OME

SEMCs: ~7 USD bn (2017)

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Competitive long-term prices for RETs

9

SEMCs among the lowest bids for solar PV and wind

Average awarded contract prices, USD/MWh

Onshore wind

Offshore wind

Solar PV

Canada 29

Mexico 2929

Peru 3748

Brazil 2035

Morocco

30

Jordan 25

UAE 24

Saudi Arabia

24

India 3840

Zambia 69

SA 5265

Senegal 29

Denmark 53

UK 77

Germany 4553 50

The Netherlands 68

China 55

Sources: OECD/IEA, 2018

Turkey 73

Egypt 30

Page 10: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

Established RE targets in the SEMCs

10

Almost + 120 GW of non-hydro

capacity required to meet the

announced targets, 8 times more

than current (2016) levels

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Country Energy efficiency Renewable Energy CO2 mitigation

Algeria -9% of energyconsumption

27% of electricitygeneration

Min of -7% (up to -22% if intern. financing)

Egypt -8% of energyconsumption

42% of electricitycapacity (2035)

Israel -17% of electricityconsumption (vs. BAU)

17% of electricitygeneration

-23% compared to BAU

Jordan - 11% of the energy mix (2025)

Min of -1.5% (up to -14% if intern. financing)

Lebanon -3% in electricitydemand vs. BAU (up to -10% conditional target)

15% of electricity and heat (up to 20% conditional)

Min of -15% comparedto BAU (up to -30% conditional)

Morocco -15% of energyconsumption

50% of electricitycapacity (2025)

Min. of -13% comparedto BAU (up to -32%)

Palestine -5% in electricitydemand by 2020 (-384 GWh/yr)

33% of electricity fromsolar PV

-12.8% compared to BAU (up to -24.%)

Tunisia -30% of energy demandvs. BAU (2010)

30% of electricitygeneration

Min of -13% comparedto BAU (up to -28%)

Turkey - 26 GW + full hydro potential (~36 GW)

-21% compared to BAU

Sustainable energy & climate measures

11

Source: UNFCCC Nationally Determined Contributions to the 2030 horizon

No quantification for Egypt in its NDC; data gathered from the Integrated Sustainable Energy Strategy to 2035

No NDCs for Libya, Syria

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Policy Support Schemes in SEMCs

12

Regulatory schemes

Fiscal incentives and

public financing

Renewable

energy

targets

Feed-in

tariff/Premium

Quota

obligatio

n

Net

metering/

billing Tendering

Reductions

in sales,

energy CO2,

VAT or other

taxes

Public

investment,

loans, grants,

capital

subsidies or

rebates

AlgeriaYes Yes Yes Yes Yes

EgyptYes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes

IsraelYes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes

JordanYes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes

LebanonYes Yes Yes Yes

LibyaYes Yes

MoroccoYes Yes Yes Yes

PalestineYes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes

SyriaYes Yes Yes Yes

TunisiaYes Yes Yes Yes Yes

TurkeyYes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes

Page 13: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

Selected case studies from the

South&East Mediterranean region:

Egypt

Lebanon

Morocco

Tunisia

Page 14: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

Algeria

Page 15: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

RE Policy Framework in Algeria

15

National RE Plan issued in 2011 and revised in 2015

Main law for RE promotion is law No. 04-09 of August 14th of 2004,

setting a feed-in tariff scheme

An Executive Decree No. 13-218 of 18 June 2013 laying down the conditions

for granting premiums for the costs of diversification of electricity production

was adopted by the Government and published in Official Gazette No. 33 of 26

June 2013

A dedicated fund – National Fund for Renewable Energy and Cogeneration -

has been created for financing RE projects. The fund is financed by a 1% of

total oil royalties.

The Ministerial Orders of 2 February 2014 have fixed PPAs for production of

electricity from PV and wind plants with guaranteed tariffs for 20 years. Other

projects of other technologies will be financed after 2021 from 50% to 90%

based on the technology by the fund.

Institutional framework: Ministry of Energy and Mining is the main institution

responsible for energy issues. SKTM – Company of Electricity and Renewable

Energy, subsidiary of Sonelgaz - is the executing company. The Algerian

Electricity and Gas Regulation Commission (CREG) is responsible for defining

prices. Other institutions are: the Renewable Energy Development Centre

(CDER), New Energy Algeria (NEAL), Institute for Renewable Energy and

Energy Efficiency (IAER) and the Agency for the Promotion of the

Rationalization of the Use of Energy (APRUE).

Page 16: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

Algerian Renewable Energy Development Program

Solar thermal (CSP) Photovoltaic (PV) Wind Total (MW)

7200 2800 2000 12000

2011 (MW)

2015 (2011 up-dated)

Total: 22000 MW

Page 18: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

RE Policy Framework in Egypt

18

RE Targets: 20% RE of the electricity generation in 2022 & 42% RE in 2035

(Integrated Sustainable Energy Strategy, 2015)

Main laws & regulations: Law No. 203 of 2014 on the production of

electricity from renewable energy sources, electricity law of 2015, Cabinet

Decree No. 1947 of 2014 on Feed-in Tariff (1st round), Prime Ministerial

Decree No. 2532 of 2016 on Feed-in Tariff (2nd round), and Prime Ministerial

Decree No. 37/4/15/14 of 2015 on allocating land for RE projects

Main support schemes:

- A) competitive bidding

- B) Merchant scheme

- C) Feed-in Tariff

Source: Egyptian Holding Electricity company

Page 19: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

RE Deployment under the different schemes

19

Competitive auctions (BOO scheme), managed by EETC

Gov’t projects, (EPC scheme),managed by NREA

FIT Net metering

Wind Solar Wind Solar Wind Solar Win

d

Solar

250 MW in

Gulf of

Suez under

construction

About 1250

MW in Gulf

of Suez in

pipeline.

250 MW in

West Nile in

pipeline.

200 MW PV in

Kom Ombo under

contracting.

200 MW PV in

West Nile in

pipeline.

600 MW PV in

West Nile in

pipeline.

100 MW CSP in

West Nile in

pipeline

About

1000

MW

Wind

Energy

About 50

MW Solar

Energy

NO

wind

energy

project

has

been

comple

ted.

About

1500

MW

Solar

PV

projects

in

Benban

under

construc

tion

n/a Regulatio

ns

establishe

d for

Solar PV

projects

less than

20 MW

Other RE measures include: Net metering for solar PV projects less than 20

MW; land allocation and permits (7650 Km2 of land), long-term PPA,

governmental guarantees, reduced custom duties (2% only) and conduct of

environmental impact assessment studies and others.

~6 GW under

development

Page 21: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

RE Policy Framework in Lebanon

21

Main laws & regulations: The government policy paper of 2010, and

mainly the National Renewable Energy Action Plan (NREAP) of 2016.

RE Targets: 200 MW wind, 250 MW solar PV, 50 MW solar CSP,

331.5 MW hydro, 771.5 GWh of bio-energy and 1.3 MW geothermal

(by 2020).

Main RE support mechanisms: Financing mechanism through the National

Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Action (NEEREA).

Other RE measures include: Net metering, LEEREFF (Fund by EIB and AFD).

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Hydro

Solar PV

Wind

Solar CSP

Geothermal

RE Targets in Lebanon, 2020

RE Installed Capacity (MW) in 2017 RE Target (MW) by 2020

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22

What is NEEREA?

NEEREA is the National Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy Action

•A national financing mechanism initiated by the Central Bank of Lebanon in collaboration with the Ministry of Energy and Water, the Ministry of Finance, UNDP, the EU, and the LCEC.

•It was officially launched with the issuance of Circular No. 236 by the Central Bank of Lebanon on 25 November 2010.

•Provides subsidized loans for any type of EE and/or RE projects to private sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies).

• Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with 0.6% interest rate and a repayment period of up to 14 years, in addition to a grant amount released after the project is implemented.

Source: LCEC, 2018

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23

• MEW sets the strategic guidance andpriority in energy efficiency and renewable energy

Architecture of NEEREA

• As the national financing institution, BDL sets the framework ofoperation and offers benefits to banks

• MoF defines the subsidies on interest rates for the different sectors ofthe economy

• EU has offered BDL a grant of 12 Million Euros to encourage SME’sin applying for NEEREA

• UNDP partnered with BDL to offer technical support, training,marketing, and awareness raising activities

• LCEC is the technical consultant to BDL, reviewing loan applications,and setting quality control criteria

Source: LCEC, 2018

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24

Investments Under NEEREA

2018:

• Approved Loans:

889 (2017 + 200) Projects

511 million USD

(2017 + 110m)

• 56 Pipeline Projects:

50 million USD

Source: LCEC, 2018

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25

Distribution of Investments Under NEEREA

NEEREA Indicators - Statistics

RE: Renewable Energy Projects, EE: Energy Efficiency Projects, R3E: Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency Projects, GB: Green Certified Buildings Projects

Loans Amount per Category

• 667 PV projects:

Total capacity of 32.5 MWp

• Green building loans:

A total of 252 million USD

Source: LCEC, 2018

Page 27: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

RE Policy Framework in Morocco

28

An energy strategy was enacted in 2009, a law on renewable energy 13-09,

amended in 2016

RE targets: 42% of electric installed capacity by 2020 and 52% by 2030

An evolving institutional framework; the establishment of the Moroccan

Agency for Sustainable Energy (formerly known as the Moroccan Agency for

Solar Energy), the establishment of an energy investment company (SIE), and

the recent establishment of an independent electricity regulator (ANRE)

Main support scheme (Tendering): Rationale: i) search for the cheapest KWh

through competition and the involvement of the private sector, ii) reduce the

burden on state energy budget, and iii) embed local requirements to benefit

from socio-economic externalities

Other RE measures include: Net metering (EnergiPro for self-production at

HV), indirect subsidies through state-owned companies/agencies (ONEE &

MASEN), land allocation for wind and solar integrated programmes, etc…

Key success factors: an enabling regulatory framework with renewable

energy targets, a consolidated institutional framework, attractive financing

conditions through the involvement of several international financial institutions

and development banks (reducing risk and financing cost).

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RE Deployment by Technology in Morocco

29

Solar

CSP

NOOR I: Technology - CSP trough; Capacity - 160 MW; Storage - 3 hours (operational since 2016)

Considered as a show-case of the CSP technology with storage in Morocco to gain experience and

draw lessons for future developments of similar projects in Morocco and in the whole region.

A public-private partnership, bringing together public institutions, private investors and the finance

community, including international financial institutions and development banks. This was key in risk

allocation among stakeholders.

Local industrial integration requirements: around 30%-35% - civil engineering , metal frames and

mounting structures, etc.

NOOR II: Technology - CSP trough; Capacity - 200 MW; Storage - >7 hours & NOOR III: Technology -

CSP Tower; Capacity - 150 MW; Storage - >7 hours. More experience is gained, including ready

workforce and economies of scale, especially benefiting from the already existing infrastructure

developed during the first phase. Further fall of cost, but still has not reached grid parity (Between 130

& 140 $/MWh). Status: testing phase and expected to be commissioned by end of this year 2018

Perspectives: NOOR Midelt – hydrid CSP/PV (evaluation of the bids on going), NOOR Tata, etc.

Solar

PV

NOOR IV: Technology – PV with tracking system; Capacity - 70 MW; (Price – around $40/MWh); Status:

Operational (October 2018). Perspectives: NOOR PV2

Wind Taza (150 MW): under development

The 850 MW auction was launched by ONEE (Office National de l’Electrcite et de l’Eau Potable).

Projects covered under this tender: (Midelt - 150 MW, Tanger - 100 MW, Jbel Ladid - 200 MW, Tiskrad -

300 MW, Boujdour – 100 MW). Awarded in March 2017, price competitiveness and local content

(attributed an important weight in scoring) were key in awarding the tender to the winning consortium.

Page 30: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

RE Regulatory Framework in Tunisia

31

Main laws & regulations: Law No. 2015-12 on electricity production from

RE sources (May 2015), Decree No. 2016-1123 on the realization of projects

and sale of RE electricity (August 2016), and Orders on technical specifications

and contracts (February 2017).

RE Targets: increasing the share of RE in electricity generation to 30% in

2030, whereas it stood at only 3% in 2015. To achieve this target, Tunisian Solar

Plan (TSP) aims to achieve an installed RE capacity of 3,815 MW in 2030.

An evolving institutional framework including the Ministry in charge of energy

(Ministry of Industry and SMEs), National Energy Conservation Agency (ANME)

and the Tunisian Electricity and Gas Company (STEG).

Main support schemes :

Tendering: search for the cheapest kWh through competition and the

involvement of the private sector. Applied for Authorizations (RE projects

<=30 MW) and Concessions (RE projects >30 MW) regimes.

Net metering for self-generation at HV/MV and LV.

Other RE support measures include:

Subsidies through state-owned funds :

➢ Energy Transition Fund (FTE): for self-generation RE projects.

➢ Tunisian Investment Fund (FTI): targeting the authorizations &

concessions regimes projects.

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RE Policy Framework in Tunisia

32

THREE REGIMES

Self generation

Industries & Services

allowed to produce

electricity for their own

needs and sell the excess

to STEG.

Access to electricity

network in case the R.E

generation site is different

from the consumption site.

Authorizations

For less then :

30 MW Wind,

10 MW PV,

15 MW Biomass,

5 MW other

sources.

Concessions

For higher

capacities,

either to satisfy the

needs of the local

market or for

exportation.

RE deployment under different regimes: Calls for projects

Authorizations: 1st round / May 2017 : 70 MW Wind and 70 MW PV

Authorizations: 2nd round / May 2018 : 130 MW Wind and 70 MW PV

Concessions: May 2018 : 500 MW Wind and 500 MW PV

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RE deployment in Tunisia

33

RE deployment under

different regimes :

Updated program for 2020

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Conclusions

34

SEMCs represent a minor share of RE capacity at global

level

Their energy mix is still largely dominated by fossil fuels

Although not dramatically, the rate of penetration of RE in

the power sector has been increasing in the past few

years, thanks to dedicated support measures and Energy

Transition/Climate policies associated with an evolving

regulatory framework

Record low levels of electricity price observed in some

countries for wind and solar PV

The reported case studies show deep commitment and

awareness of decision makers and stakeholders

Best practices at international levels applied to design the

regulatory regimes

Page 34: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

32 bis boulevard Haussmann75009 Paris - France

We acknowledge the

contribution of OME

members and partners of

the Energy Transition

Committee, and

particularly:

- CDER, Algeria

- EETC and NREA, Egypt

- LCEC, Lebanon

- ONEE, Morocco

- STEG, Tunisia

Page 35: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

22 000 MW for local electricity needs, 27% of national electricity share.

Source: Ministère de l’Energie et des Mines

13575

5010

2000

1000 400

15

Solar PV

Geothermal

Wind

Solar Thermal

Biomasse Cogeneration

National Renewable Energy Program

(2015 – 2030)

Source: Energy Ministry

Page 36: Support schemes in the South and East Mediterranean countries · sector entities (individuals, SME’s, or corporate bodies). •Covers loans by any Lebanese commercial bank with

NEAL

Hybrid CSP-gas: 150 MW; 25 MW solar

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Creation in 2013 of SKTM, a branch from SONELGAZShariket Kahraba wa Taket Moutadjadida forimplementing the program of renewable energy inAlgeria

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Pilot Plants of 1.1 MW in the region of Ghardaïa to test in

situ the following four technologies:

✓ Monocristalline silicon (452 kWc)

✓ Polycristalline silicon (452 kWc)

✓ Thin film CdTe (100 kWc)

✓ Amorphous a-Si (100 kWc)

In service since July 2014.

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Wind farm of 10.2 MW at Kabertenne (Adrar):

Number of wind turbine: 12.

The capacity of each: 850KW

In service since July 2014

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Mois Site to connect to

RIN

Site to connect

PIAT

Site to connect to

RIS

Capacity (%)

December

2014

Souk Ahras-Laghouat

-Naâma

Kaberten-In Salah-

TimimouneDjanet 75 MW 22 %

January

2015Djelfa

Adrar-Zaouiat Kounta-

Reggane- 36 MW 32 %

February

2015Ouargla-Elbayadh - Tamanrasset 66 MW 51 %

Marsh

2015

Sétif-Batna-Tigharghar-

M-Sila-SaidaAdrar-Aouelef Tindouf 119 MW 85%

April

2015

BBA-Mila-Sidi

Belabbes- - 47 MW 100%

Total 265 MW 53 MW 25 MW 343 MW 100%

Deployment of 343 MW solar PV in High plateaus and in the South

RIN: Réseau interconnecté (interconnected grid)PIAT: Pôle In Salah-Adrar-TimimouneRIS: Réseaux Isolés du Sud (isolated grid of the south)