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Supervised Rank Aggregation Approach for Link Prediction in Complex Networks Manisha Pujari & Rushed Kanawati A3 [email protected] 17/10/2012

Supervised Rank Aggregation Approach for Link Prediction ... · PDF fileSupervised Rank Aggregation Approach for Link Prediction in Complex Networks Manisha Pujari & Rushed Kanawati

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Page 1: Supervised Rank Aggregation Approach for Link Prediction ... · PDF fileSupervised Rank Aggregation Approach for Link Prediction in Complex Networks Manisha Pujari & Rushed Kanawati

Supervised Rank Aggregation Approach for LinkPrediction in Complex Networks

Manisha Pujari & Rushed Kanawati

[email protected]

17/10/2012

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

1 Link Prediction

2 New Approach: Supervised Rank Aggregation

3 Experiment

4 Conclusion

M. Pujari & R. Kanawati Link Prediction by Supervised Rank Aggregation 2/28

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Link Prediction Problem

Link Prediction

Predicting missing/hidden/new links between nodes of a graph.

Applications

Recommender systems

Academic/Professionalcollaborations

Identification of structures ofcriminal networks

Biological networks

M. Pujari & R. Kanawati Link Prediction by Supervised Rank Aggregation 3/28

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Link Prediction Approaches

Dyadic: Computation of link score for unlinked vertices

Structural: Mining rules for evolution of sub-graphs

Topology based: Attributes computed for graph

Node-feature based: Attributes computed for nodes

Hybrid: Combination of the two

Temporal: Consider dynamics of the networks

Static: Do not consider the dynamics of a network

M. Pujari & R. Kanawati Link Prediction by Supervised Rank Aggregation 4/28

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Link Prediction Approaches

Dyadic: Computation of link score for unlinked vertices

Structural: Mining rules for evolution of sub-graphs

Topology based: Attributes computed for graph

Node-feature based: Attributes computed for nodes

Hybrid: Combination of the two

Temporal: Consider dynamics of the networks

Static: Do not consider the dynamics of a network

M. Pujari & R. Kanawati Link Prediction by Supervised Rank Aggregation 4/28

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Dyadic Topological Approaches

Work of [Liben-Nowell & al.,2007]

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Dyadic Topological Approaches

Work of [Liben-Nowell & al.,2007]

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Combining the effect of different topological measures:Application of supervised machine learning algorithms

Work of [Hasan & al., 2006]

Examples:(Nodex ,Nodey ) −→[a0, a1, ...., an]

[3, 1,Positive][1, 0.33,Negative]

...

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Combining the effect of different topological measures:Application of supervised machine learning algorithms

Work of [Benchettara & al.,2010]

M. Pujari & R. Kanawati Link Prediction by Supervised Rank Aggregation 8/28

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Combining the effect of different topological measures:Application of supervised machine learning algorithms

Work of [Benchettara & al.,2010]

Can we apply rank aggregation methods ?

M. Pujari & R. Kanawati Link Prediction by Supervised Rank Aggregation 9/28

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Combining the effect of different topological measures:Application of supervised machine learning algorithms

Work of [Benchettara & al.,2010]

Can we apply rank aggregation methods ?M. Pujari & R. Kanawati Link Prediction by Supervised Rank Aggregation 9/28

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Rank Aggregation (Social choice theory)

Combining various lists of ranked candidates to find a single listwith minimum possible disagreement

Expert1 =⇒ L1 = [A,B,C ,D]Expert2 =⇒ L2 = [B,D,A,C ]Expert3 =⇒ L3 = [C ,D,A,B]

...

...

...Expertn =⇒ Ln = [D,C ,A,B]

———————————————Laggregate = [?, ?, ?, ?]

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Supervised Rank Aggregation

Combining different rankings to get an aggregation giving differentweights to the experts

w1 ← Expert1 =⇒ L1 → [k elements]w2 ← Expert2 =⇒ L2 → [k elements]w3 ← Expert3 =⇒ L3 → [k elements]

...

...

...wn ← Expertn =⇒ Ln → [k elements]

We propose

Link prediction based on

1 Supervised Borda

2 Supervised Kemeny

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Supervised Borda Aggregation

Borda score:

B(x) =n∑

i=1

BLi (x) ;where BLi (x) = {count(y)|Li (y) > Li (x)&y ∈ Li} (1)

Supervised Borda score:

B(x) =n∑

i=1

wi ∗ BLi (x) (2)

NOTE: Li (x) represent the

rank (or index) of element x

in input list Li . The lower the

value of rank, the higher is

the preference. U is the set

of all elements in the lists.

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Kemeny Optimal Aggregation [Dwork & al.,2001]

Based on relative ranking of elements

NP-hard

Approximate Kemeny

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Supervised Kemeny Aggregation

Inputs: Ranked lists [L1, L2, . . . , Ln], Weights [w1,w2, . . . ,wn] , each listwith m elements (U)Steps:

1 Initial aggregation R

2 ∀(x , y) ∈ R, Compute

score(x , y) =∑n

i=1(wi ∗ Prefi (x , y)) where

Prefi (x , y) =

{0 if y � x i .e. Li (x) > Li (y)

1 if x � y i .e. Li (x) < Li (y)

3 If score(x , y) >wT

2where wT =

∑ni=1 wi , then x �w y

4 Apply a sorting algorithm on R: Swap(x , y) only if y �w x

5 R is the final aggregation.

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Supervised Kemeny Aggregation

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Link Prediction based on Supervised Rank Aggregation

Examples: (Nodex ,Nodey ) −→ [a0, a1, a2, ...., an]

Steps:

Learning

1 Rank learning examples by attribute values

2 Consider only top t examples and compute attribute weight wai

Validation

1 Rank test examples by attribute to get n ranked lists

2 Apply supervised rank aggregation

3 Consider only top k examples of the aggregate list and computeperformance.

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Link Prediction Based on Supervised Rank Aggregation

Computation of attribute weights:

Maximization of identification positive examples:

Wai = n ∗ Precisionai (3)

where n is the total number of attributes and Precisionai is the precisionof attribute ai .

precision = fraction of retrieved examples that are really positive

Minimization of identification of negative examples:

Wai = n ∗ (1− FPRai ) (4)

where n is the total number of attributes FPRai is the false positive rateof attribute ai .

false positive rate = fraction of negative examples retrieved as positive

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

DBLP data

Author-Document bipartite graphs

Datasets Training TimeGraph

Authors Publications EdgesDataset1 [1970,1973] 2661 1487 6634Dataset2 [1972,1975] 4536 2542 10855

Projected graphs

DatasetsAuthor Graph Publication Graph

Nodes Edges Nodes EdgesDataset1 2661 2575 1487 1520Dataset2 4536 4510 2542 2813

Examples

DatasetsTraining Labeling Testing Training examples Test examples

Time Time Time Pos Neg Pos NegDataset1 [1970,1973] [1974,1975] [1971,1974] 30 1663 41 3430Dataset2 [1972,1975] [1976,1977] [1973,1976] 87 19245 82 18675

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Topological Attributes

Neighborhood-based attributes:

Common neighbors : VC(x , y))=‖ Γ(x) ∩ Γ(y) ‖Jaccard’s coefficient : JC(x , y))= ‖Γ(x)∩Γ(y)‖

‖Γ(x)∪Γ(y)‖Adamic Adar: AD(x , y)=

∑z∈Γ(x)∩Γ(y)

1log‖Γ(z)‖ [Adamic & al.2003]

Preferential attachment: AP(x , y)=‖ Γ(x)× Γ(y) ‖[Huang & al., 2005]

Distance-based attributes:

Shortest path distance(Dis)

Katz: Katz(x , y) = Σ∞l=1β

`× ‖ path(`)x,y ‖, where path

(`)x,y is the

number of paths between x and y of length ` and β is a positiveparameter which favours shortest paths [Katz,1953]Maximum forest algorithm (MFA) [Fouss & al., 2007]

Centrality-based attributes:

Product of PageRank (PPR)[Brin & al., 1998]Product of degree centrality (PCD)Product of clustering coefficient (PCF)

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Results

Results(average precision) obtained by ranking the test examples byattribute values

Attributes Dataset1 Dataset2Katz 0 0MFA 0.0244 0.0732PPR 0.0244 0.0244PCF 0.0732 0.0244PCD 0 0VC 0.5122 0.4268JC 0.2195 0.1707AD 0.1463 0.1463AP 0.0488 0Dis 0 0.0122

Attributes Dataset1 Dataset2Indirect Katz 0.1220 0.1098Indirect MFA 0.0488 0.0732Indirect PPR 0.0488 0Indirect PCF 0.4878 0.4756Indirect PCD 0.0244 0.0122Indirect VC 0.0488 0.0488Indirect JC 0.0488 0.1098Indirect AD 0.0976 0.0488Indirect AP 0.0244 0Indirect Dis 0.6098 0.5366

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Experiment-1

Performance measure:

Precision =|Positive links ∩ Predicted links|

|Predicted links|

Figure: Precision for complete test set by learning on complete training set

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Experiment-2(a): Performance of supervised Kemeny byvarying K for validation

Dataset-1

Figure: Precision Figure: Recall

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Experiment-2(b): Performance of supervised Borda byvarying K for validation

Dataset-1

Figure: Precision Figure: Recall

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

Conclusion

X Link prediction and temporal dyadic approaches

X A new definition for supervised Kemeny aggregation

X Application of supervised rank aggregation to link prediction

Perspectives

⇒ Application of top − k aggregation[Kumar & al., 2009]: Reducecomplexity caused due to rank aggregation

⇒ Use of communities and community based information (work withZied Yakoubi)

⇒ Application on heterogeneous scientific collaboration network

⇒ Application for tag recommendation in folksonomy

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

MERCI

et

QUESTION ?

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

References I

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Outline Link Prediction Supervised Rank Aggregation Experiment Conclusion

References II

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