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Superposter Behavior in MOOC Forums Jonathan Huang Stanford Anirban Dasgupta Yahoo! Labs Arpita Ghosh Cornell Jane Manning Stanford Marc Sanders Stanford ACM’s Learning @ Scale, Atlanta, GA March 4-5, 2014

Superposter Behavior in MOOC Forums

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Superposter Behavior in MOOC Forums. Jonathan Huang Stanford. Anirban Dasgupta Yahoo! Labs. Arpita Ghosh Cornell. Jane Manning Stanford. Marc Sanders Stanford. ACM’s Learning @ Scale, Atlanta, GA March 4-5, 2014. 10 TAs. 2,500 TAs (???). Stanford ML-class. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

Superposter Behavior in MOOC

ForumsJonathan Huang

StanfordAnirban Dasgupta

Yahoo! LabsArpita Ghosh

Cornell

Jane ManningStanford

Marc SandersStanford

ACM’s Learning @ Scale, Atlanta, GA

March 4-5, 2014

Page 2: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

10 TAs2,500 TAs (???)

Stanford ML-class

Page 3: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

Benefits of asynchronous online discussions

Scaffolding for learners

Benefits for motivation, social presence, belonging

Gains in learning outcomes

e.g., Wood et al., ’76, Zhu, ‘96

e.g., Rourke et al., ‘07, Walton et al., ‘12

e.g., Schellens and Valcke, ‘06

Page 4: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

MOOC forumsLarge scale roster, small scale staff => distributed, asynchronous means of communication

Scale is an advantage: chances are better that someone out there will know the answer!

Page 5: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

“What's truly amazing about this new medium is that while Amy was helping herself learn, she was a tremendous (some might say indispensable!) resource to tens of thousands of others at the same time.”

“…a key ingredient in the success of db-class was Amy Cunningham. Amy answered almost 900 questions on the Q&A Forum -- each one patiently, correctly, and at just the right level of detail. I couldn't have done a better job myself.”Amy Cunningham went on to become a superposter in a number

of other MOOCs afterwards…

Page 6: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

The ubiquitous heavy tail

# fo

rum

par

ticip

ants

Few contributions

Many, many contributions

e.g., Wilkinson, ‘08, Wu et al., ‘09

Page 7: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

Superposters: The good…(not to be confused

with Superman posters)

Support staff in answering questions

Start conversations

Contribute to “critical mass” of forum participation

Inspire peers by example

Page 8: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

the bad…

Can superposting behavior lead to a “chilling effect” on MOOC forums?

Page 9: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

and the ugly!

“I will predict in advance that the Diamond's analysis of the US will be about 99.9% wrong.”“You don't know much about history. The US has done more to promote democracy than any other country in the history of the world. Ever. That ain't bragging. It's fact.”

“Someone can't handle the truth.”

“English is a civilized language. Not Hindi.”

Page 10: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

Should we encourage superposters?

What things are characteristic of superposters?

Do superposters create value on forums?

Do superposters suppress forum activity of others?

Hopefully!

Hopefully Not.

Highly engaged? High scoring?Course designers,

pay attention!!

Page 11: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

Option to “subscribe” to thread

Post #1

Post #2

Comments (optionally) attached

to posts

Anatomy of a thread

Option to vote (up or down) for post

Page 12: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

# MOOC offerings 44Total # threads 70,419

Total # contributions 325,071

Total # unique contributors 116,028

Median # registered students per course

40,674

Median # unique contributors per course

2181

Median # threads per course 1,297

CompilersAlgorithmsProbabilistic Graphical ModelsGame TheoryAutomataChild NutritionUnderstanding Einstein: The

Special Theory of RelativityCS101Design

Human Computer InteractionMachine LearningMathematical ThinkingGamificationOrganizational AnalysisCrytographyWriting in the SciencesWorld MusicDemocratic DevelopmentIntroduction to Logic

Writing in the SciencesNon-STEM~91,000 enrolled1432 threads3607 forum participants

Child NutritionNon-STEM~32,000 enrolled1183 threads1959 forum participants

AlgorithmsSTEM~44,500 enrolled1233 threads2305 forum participants

Intro to LogicSTEM~33,500 enrolled1021 threads2665 forum participants

Caveat Emptor: Data collected in wild! Draw causal conclusions at your own

risk!

Page 13: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

Superposters Characterizations

Top 5% in course w.r.t. average number contributions per week

Quantity Superposters

Quality SuperpostersTop 5% in course w.r.t. ratio of user’s # votes to average # votes for other users in thread (averaged over threads)Reputation SuperpostersTop 5% in course w.r.t. sum of square roots of votes across all contributions

Page 14: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

Superposterhood

Value creation

Relationship with overall forum activity

Page 15: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

Superposter Demographics

15-19

20-24

25-29

30-34

35-39

40-44

45-49

50-54

55-59

60-64

65-69

70-74

0

0.05

0.1

0.15

0.2

0.25

0.3

Age

Frac

tion

of p

oste

rs

Superposters Non-Superposters

See also: https://signalblog.stanford.edu/forumdemographics/

Page 16: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

Superposters take more courses

1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 100.00001

0.0001

0.001

0.01

0.1

1

All PostersSuperposters by QuantitySuperposters by ReputationSuperposters by Quality

Number of classes registered

Freq

uenc

y (p

ropo

rtio

nal t

o #

stud

ents

)

Page 17: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

Cross-course forum behavior

Non-SP in

Course #2

SP in Course

#2

Non-SP in Course #1

5328 386

SP in Course #1 386 128

~116,000 total forum participants~8000 forum participants enrolled in >1 courses~6200 forum participants enrolled in 2 courses

Students > 3X more likely to be SP in both courses than expected if SPness was independent across

coursesχ2 = 205.34, p ≤ .01

Page 18: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

Superposters outscore peers

Quantity Reputation Quality0

0.20.40.60.8

11.21.41.6

# gr

ade

stan

dard

de-

viat

ions

** To control for time of engagement, only considered students who watched > 90% lectures for a course.

Quantity SPs outscored other forum posters by ~1.3 standard

deviations

Page 19: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

Grade disparity is subject dependent

maththi

nk-00

2

compil

ers-00

3

compil

ers-20

12-00

2

pgm-00

3 ml

introl

ogic-

2012

-002

introl

ogic-

003

algo

crypto

-005

crypto

-2012

-003

crypto

hci-2

012-0

02

gameth

eory-

2012

-002

0

1

2

3

Courses that were run more than once

# gr

ade

stan

dard

de

viat

ions

ML Superposters don’t outperform other forum

participants by much

** footnote: baseline is average grade of forum participants, not average grade of all students

Logic Superposters significantly outperform other forum

participants!

Page 20: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

Superposterhood

Value creation

Relationship with overall forum activity

Page 21: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

“You're in good shape at line 26, but then you go off on a bit of a tangent. For line 27, try assuming ~(~p | ~q) instead in order to prove ~(~p | ~q) => ~(p & q) for your contradiction…”“You're really exactly where you want to be Rowena (you just have p and q flipped from the way I did it, which may be why you're not seeing the hint)… …So you can do two assumptions of q and use reiteration… …and the rest of the proof will collapse down to your conclusion in short order.”

Intro to Logic; Superposter #1; 251 posts

Up close and personal

** names have been changed to protect the innocent

Page 22: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

“…A little smarter is always better. Learning is always a fun journey.”“…Thanks to all the people who post the test cases… …thanks to all the programmer gurus who are willing to help out people in the cloud and make this online course possible as well as enjoyable.”

Algorithms; Superposter #2; 127 posts“sorry I don't get this. The arcs are pre-determined at the beginning. If an arc is set to go forward, it doesn't matter what algorithm you use, it still goes forward… …What have I got wrong?”

Up close and personal

Page 23: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

# posts from top

3 SPs

% on-content

posts from top 3 SPs

Child Nutrition 521 81%Algorithms 380 80%Intro to Logic 551 79%Writing in the Sciences

544 39%Content from superposters models the behavior we hope to see in any study group, whether online or in-person.

and tend to write longer posts…and respond earlier within threads…

Superposters…

** see stores (paper) for details

and get fewer downvotes…give more than they receive…

Page 24: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

Superposterhood

Value creation

Relationship with overall forum activity

Page 25: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

No suppression of activity from others: more posts

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70

0.20.40.60.8

11.21.4

R² = 0.665772701924262

Superposter contributions per active student in course

Non

sup

erpo

ster

co

ntri

buti

ons

per

acti

ve s

tude

nt in

co

urse

** Active students = students who watched > 5% lectures for a course.

Page 26: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

No suppression of activity from others: more threads initiated

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.70

0.020.040.060.080.1

0.120.140.160.18

R² = 0.531906336209648

Superposter responses per active student in course

Non

-sup

erpo

ster

th

read

s in

itia

ted

per

acti

ve s

tude

nt in

co

urse

Page 27: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

No suppression of activity from others: more votes received

0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.60

0.10.20.30.40.50.60.70.8

R² = 0.498488232417301

Superposter responses per active student in course

Num

ber

of u

pvot

es

per

acti

ve s

tude

nt

in c

ours

e

Page 28: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

TakeawaysSPs exhibit high engagement,

performance SP-hood is to some extent an inherent

traitSPs respond faster, write longer posts, are

less likely to be down-voted, generally contribute on-content posts

SPs do not suppress activity by other posters

Page 29: Superposter  Behavior in MOOC Forums

Thank You!