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Supernova Cosmology Program Saul Perlmutter Mar 2, 2006

Supernova Cosmology Program

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Supernova Cosmology Program. Saul Perlmutter Mar 2, 2006. Expansion History of Leonard Parker. SN factory. SNLS. HST Cluster SN. SNAP. Baryon Osc. SCP Staff. Current Collaborators Stockholm ESO/Chile IN2P3/Paris Tokyo STScI Toronto Vanderbilt JPL Chicago Michigan. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Supernova Cosmology Program

Saul Perlmutter

Mar 2, 2006

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SN fa

ctor

y

SNLS

Bary

on O

sc.

SNAP

HST

Clust

er S

N

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SCP StaffSCP FTE

Faculty/Senior staffS. Perlmutter 50%M. Strovink 17%G. Goldhaber (ret) 5%

Division FellowD. Schlegel 33%

StaffG. Aldering 20%A. Spadafora 100%

Term/Post docM. Kowalski 100%K. Dawson 50% (50% SNAP)V. Fadeyev (100% SCP on NASA grant)N. Suzuki (100% SCP on NASA grant)N. Kuznetsova (SNAP with SCP analysis)

Grad StudentsK. Barbary 47% (full time GSRA)D. Rubin 47% (full time GSRA)

Current Collaborators

StockholmESO/ChileIN2P3/ParisTokyoSTScITorontoVanderbiltJPLChicagoMichigan

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CMAGIC intrinsic dispersion & CMAGIC in other colors

Wang, Strovink, Goldhaber, Siegrist, Perlmutter, Conley

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Apply CMAGIC to high redshift SNe

A. Conley, PhD thesis. March 2005

• Alternative method provides systematic cross check of previous results

• SCP + literature SNe • 21 high z, 31 low z

• Cosmology fit done as “blind” analysis - conceal final results while developing analysis

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Cosmological Parameters

A. Conley, PhD thesis. March 2005

ApJ submitted

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SuperNova Legacy Survey at CFHTFirst-year results: Astier et al., A&A 447, 31 (2006)

71 SNe Ia

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SuperNova Legacy Survey at CFHT

• Started March '03.

• 40 (d) nights/year for 5 years

• 4 square degrees : u’, g’, r’, i’, z’

• g’,r’,i’,z’ every 2-3 nights for 10 months/yr

• 15’, 30’, 1h, 30’

• Detection up to z = 1.2 -1.3

• Multicolor LC follow- up up to z=0.9

• 2000 SN Ia + 2000 SN II ? + AGNs ? + ..

• 600 well measured SNIa 0.3<z<0.9

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SuperNova Legacy Survey at CFHT

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SNe Ia Spectra from Keck

Spectra of some of the SNLS SN candidates obtained during the 2005A Keck LRIS observing campaign. The light-blue lines show the data after host galaxy subtraction (if necessary),rebinned to 10Å. Overplotted in black are the best fit SN templates. The spectra are confirmed by Keck to be Type Ia SNe.

Data from LBL group:KowalskiSchlegelPerlmutter Aldering

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First-year results from SNLS

Hubble diagram of SNLS and nearby SNe Ia, with variouscosmologies superimposed. The bottom plot shows theresiduals for the best fit to a flat cosmology.

The Supernova Legacy Survey: Measurement of M, and w from the First Year Data Set

P. Astier, et al., astro-ph/0510447

71 high redshift type Ia supernovae

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First-year results from SNLS

Contours at 68.3%, 95.5% and 99.7% confidence levels for the fit to an (M, L ) cosmology from the SNLS Hubble diagram(solid contours), the SDSS baryon acoustic oscillations(Eisenstein et al. 2005, dotted lines), and the joint confidence contours (dashed lines).

Contours at 68.3%, 95.5% and 99.7% confidence levels for the fit to a flat (M, w) cosmology, from the SNLS Hubble diagram alone, from the SDSS baryon acoustic oscillations alone (Eisenstein et al. 2005), and the joint confidence contours.

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Knop et al (ApJ, 2003)

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Before Extinction Correction

After Extinction Correction

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Sullivan, et al. (2003)

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Decelerating and Dustfree: Targeting SNe in Very High Redshift Galaxy Clusters

• Major 219-orbit year-long HST Program in progress in collaboration with several galaxy cluster groups

• searching ~ 24 massive galaxy clusters at z > 1 with ACS

• Why clusters?

• Dominated by nearly dust-free early type galaxies.

• 5 times higher density of early type galaxies

• SNe in these galaxies have negligible dust extinction

• Our Program

• image clusters with cadence ~ 20-23 day in z’, i’ bands

• follow SNe with NICMOS (J band)

• spectroscopy: 20 half-nights on Subaru, ~ 4 nights on Keck

• Scientific goals

• Significantly improve SN constraints of dark energy - statistical and systematic uncertainties

• Cluster studies: weak lensing, galaxy morphology, and color-magnitude relationship.

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New large (219-orbit) HST progam underway: A SN search targeting dustfree elliptical galaxies in high redshift clusters

Cycle 14 observations began July 2005

SCP Recent Accomplishments: HST

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(a) Left Panel: Simulated 68% confidence region on w' vs. w0 for the current literature SN sample but with underlying cosmology(w0 = -1; w’ = 0). The parameters are poorly constrained because color errors are magnified by RB ~ 4.

(b) Middle Panel: The solid red contour shows reduced uncertainties (excluding systematic bias) using a Bayesian prior on the extinction distribution prior to suppress color errors.The filled gray contour is from Riess et al. 2004 using this prior. The short-dashed contour shows that this approach is also sensitive to shifts in RB with redshift; the example shifts from 4.1to 2.6.

(c) Right Panel: The goal of this project is shown as a confidence region for a simulated new sample of 10 z > 1 SNe Ia found in cluster ellipticals, together with 5 in ellipticals from the past and ongoing GOODS searches, as well as 120 SNe Ia in ellipticals at the lower redshifts now being produced by the ground-based CFHT SN Legacy Survey, the CTIO Essence survey, and (at z < 0.1) the Nearby SN Factory

SNe in Very High Redshift Galaxy Clusters

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First SN discovered in a cluster in this search

Cluster RCS0221-03

at z = 1.02

preliminary

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SNe discovered in ongoing search

z=0.926

z=1.316

preliminary

preliminary

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SLIDE WITH SUMMARY OF CLUSTER SEARCH TO DATE - FROM TWIKI

PAGE:

Current Cluster Rate Summary

We have 9 SNe to date (15 Feb 2006)

* 3 field z<1, hosted by spiral galaxies

o N-010, z=0.203: Caught on the way down, can be any type

o Lauren, z=0.821: redshift from host

o Gabe, z=0.92: redshift from nebulous host, only have z band data

* 2 z>~1, hosted by cluster ellipticals

o Frida, z=1.01: spectroscopically confirmed

o K-000, z=1.41?: no redshift, but host is likely cluster member, low stretch, low peak mag?

* 1 z>1, hosted by cluster spiral

o Midge, z=0.98: spectroscopically confirmed (thought host was @1.09 though)

* 2 z>1, hosted by background elliptical

o Maggie, z=1.31: Redshift from host

o C-000, z=1.09: Redshift from host, low stretch, little low peak mag, z=1.09 may be in background cluster???

* 1 possible z>1.5 SN (X-018) seen only in one epoch (#5)

New Candidates:

* F-003: host is early type galaxy with photo z >1, low SNR possible SN detection in discovery epoch

* F-004: host is early type galaxy with photo z >1, low SNR possible SN detection in discovery epoch

* T-000: Bright 23mag on core, host appears to be low redshift E

* E-003: on core of likely cluster elliptical, z=1.03

* C-007: Good candidate, off-core in foreground spiral

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Placing SNe on Hubble Diagram

These SNe are found in elliptical galaxies - no extinction correction

preliminary

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Polarization versus lightcurve timescale

slow fast

Wang, et al. submitted

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SCP 1999 Low-z SN campaign

SN 1999aa

SN 1999ac SN 1999ao

SN 1999awSN 1999bp

Lightcurves - Cross calibration of multiple telescopes

—20 nearby SN observed (0.02 < z < 0.24)— ~2600 images in UBVRI—17 different instruments

M. Kowalski, B. Farris

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Spectra of High Redshift Type Ia Supernovae and a Comparison with their Low Redshift Counterparts

I. Hook et al., AJ in press, astro-ph/0509041

The time sequence of high redshift SN spectra in order of rest-frame date relative to maximum light as determined from the light curve. Spectra of the nearby Type Ia, SN 1992A are interspersed for comparison.

We find no evidence for evolution in SN Ia properties between low and high redshift samples.

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Detailed spectroscopic studies of 2 SNe• Spectroscopic Observations and

Analysis of the Peculiar SN 1999aa, – G. Garavini et al., AJ 128, 387

High S/N spectra allow for identification and temporal evolution of intermediate mass elements

• Spectroscopic Observations and Analysis of the Unusual Type Ia SN 1999ac,

– G. Garavini et al., AJ in press. astro-ph/0507288

SN 1999aa

SN 1999ac

Synthetic spectrum (SYNOW) compared with SN 1999ac spectrum for day -15

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SCP SN studies using Subaru 8.2m

• Intensive SN search with Subaru/ Suprime-Cam in 2002

– 5 nights in Spring/11 nights in Fall

– coordinated spectroscopy with Keck, Gemini, and VLT

• Widest field imaging camera on an 8-10m class telescope

– FOV of 33 x 26 arcmin. Candi-dates

Spectrum SNe Spec. Confirmed SNe Ia

HST

Spring 01 22 8 7 3 1

Spring 02 55 13 7 5 4

Fall 02 44 22 25 5 3

Total 121 48 39 13 8

Spectroscopy Obtained

S. Perlmutter, G. Goldaber, K. Dawson, V. Fadeyev, D.Schlegel, A. Spadafora, Tokyo group

Un-typed SNe

SNe Ia

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Adding SNe to Hubble diagram at the highest redshifts

SCP Subaru data will provide a significant SN sample at z > 1.

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Recent SCP Accomplishments: high z

• Narrowing in Cosmological parameters:

– New Constraints from HST-observed SNe

– SNe in elliptical galaxies - study effect of dust

• Spectroscopy of high redshift SNe:

– Published large data set in 2 papers

• Important data sets completed, analysis in progress:

– SN “Albinoni” from Keck/HST (z = 1.2)

– ~40 SNe from Subaru/HST (0.8 < z < 1.5)

– 2 SNe discovered with HST (z ~ 1.6)

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• SCP Low-z campaign

– Detailed Analysis of spectra of 2 SNe published

– Lightcurves obtained from cross-calibrating telescopes used in extensive observing campaign

• Other studies of systematics

– First Restframe I-band Hubble diagram submitted for publication

– CMAGIC: new analysis approach developed with low-z SNe, applied to a set of high-z SNe for cosmology

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1. Spectra of High Redshift Type Ia Supernovae and a Comparison with their Low Redshift Counterparts.

– I. Hook et al., AJ in press. astro-ph/0509041

2. Spectroscopic confirmation of high-redshift supernovae with the ESO VLT, – C. Lidman et al., A&A 430, 843 (2005) astro-ph/0410506

3. Spectroscopic Observations and Analysis of the Unusual Type Ia SN 1999ac, – G. Garavini et al., AJ in press. astro-ph/0507288

4. Restframe I-band Hubble Diagram for Type Ia Supernovae up to Redshift z ~ 0.5,

– S. Nobili et al.,  A&A, 437, 789 (2005). Also available at astro-ph/0504139

5. Photometric selection of high-redshift type Ia supernovae, –

M. Sullivan et al., AJ accepted, astro-ph/05010857 6. The Supernova Legacy Survey: Measurement of , and w from the First

Year Data,–

P. Astier et al., A&A accepted, astro-ph/0510447 7. Gemini Spectroscopy Of Supernovae From SNLS: Improving High Redshift

SN Selection and Classification,– A. Howell et al, ApJ accepted, astro-ph/0509195

SCP Publications in past year (1)

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8. Measurement of , from an analysis of Type Ia SNe with CMAGIC,

– A. Conley et al., ApJ submitted.

9. Nonlinear Decline-Rate Dependence and Intrinsic Variation of Type Ia Supernova Luminosities,

– L. Wang, M. Strovink, A. Conley, G. Goldhaber, M. Kowalski, J. Siegrist, and S. Perlmutter, ApJ submitted

10. Dust around type Ia supernovae, 8. L. Wang. ApJL in press. astroph/0511003

11. Spectropolarimetry Diagnostics of Thermonuclear SNe, 8. L. Wang, D. Baade, F. Patat, Science submitted.

12. Estimation of the Cosmological Parameters from an Analysis of Type Ia

Supernovae with CMAGIC, – A. Conley, PhD thesis UC Berkeley

SCP Publications in past year (2)

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Recent SCP Publications

• Spectroscopic Observations and Analysis of the Peculiar SN 1999aa, Garavini, G., et al., AJ, 128, 387 (2004).

• Spectroscopic confirmation of high-redshift supernovae with the ESO VLT., Lidman, C., et al., A&A, 430, 843 (2005).

• Restframe I-band Hubble Diagram for Type Ia Supernovae up to Redshift z~ 0.5”, Nobili, S., et al., submitted to A&A.”

• New Spectra of High Redshift Type Ia Supernovae and a Comparison with their Low Redshift Counterparts, Hook, I., et al., submitted to AJ.

• Cosmological Constraints from the First Supernova Discovered above Redshift of One., Fadeyev, V., et al., AAS, 205, (2004).

• A Set of Nearby SNe Ia Lightcurves, Kowalski, M., et al., AAS, 205, (2004).

• Various conference presentations• 7 PhD thesis since 2003! (2 LBNL, 3 Stockholm, 2 Paris)

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Near Term Goals• Complete analysis and publication of recent

data– Subaru data - large sample z> 1 SNe !– HST/ACS SNe - some of the highest redshift SNe !– Albinoni – Low-z data set

• Ongoing Observing Program– SNLS - hundreds of SNe at accelerating redshifts– Major program (219 orbits) proposed for next

HSTcycle - forming new collaboration with experts on high-redshift clusters

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Long-term Plans

Before SNAP/JDEM• Large SCP programs continue

– SNLS– HST program– Subaru program– Farther in future: Dark Energy Camera program

• Strategic planning exercise now underway for our supernova cosmology / particle cosmology program up to JDEM.

• Resources needed:– additional postdoc(s), graduate students to make best use of new data for cosmology

studies– instrumentation development for next programs

Next: JDEM!

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Internal Assessments: SCPSummary of comments from the Director’s Review (Nov 04)

• …the committee agrees with the Division’s decision to shift resources to ATLAS and SNAP. However, the committee also emphasizes the importance to the Division of involvement in experiments that are actively recording and analyzing data, especially for the training of graduate students and post-doctoral researchers.

• The outstanding success of the dark energy program at LBNL has made it the premier center for cosmology studies using supernova (SN) measurements, and there is also appropriate interest at LBNL in complementary observational techniques such as lensing.

• There are three related but distinct activities on supernovae: the Supernova Cosmology Project (SCP), the Nearby Supernova Factory (SNfactory), and JDEM/SNAP. All three efforts are going well, and it is extremely impressive that three state-of-the art projects in this high-profile area are being maintained in a productive and mutually-reinforcing manner.

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Internal Assessments: SCP• The SCP, which pioneered the SN measurements,

continues to be very productive. The Color Magnitude Intercept Calibration (CMAGIC) technique appears to be very promising, and there have been a number of significant publications in the last year. The highest-redshift SN measurements, which probe the “decelerating” era and which have the possibility of informing the planning for SNAP, are particularly important to pursue. The group is quite productive in spite of being relatively small and with several key people time-shared on other efforts.

• …additional access to expertise at NERSC could significantly benefit CMB, SCP, and SNfactory productivity.

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Dark Energy Survey Overview

• DES Science Goals: Study dark energy with four techniques

– Galaxy cluster surveys (with SPT)– Weak lensing– Galaxy angular power spectrum– SN Ia distances

• Instrument and schedule– New 3 deg2 camera on the Blanco

4m on Cerro Tololo– Construction: 2004-2009– Survey Operations: 2009-2013– “Precursor” to SNAP, LSST

• Two linked, multiband surveys– 5000 deg2 g’, r’, i’ and z’– Repeated observations of 40 deg2

– Catalogs made available to community after one year

Image credit: Roger Smith/NOAO/AURA/NSF

Blanco 4m Telescope on Cerro Tololo

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SNAP co-PI’s: Perlmutter & Levi

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“SNAP”:SuperNova

Acceleration Probe

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LBNL G. Aldering, S. Bailey, C. Bebek, W. Carithers, T. Davis†, K. Dawson, C. Day, R. DiGennaro, S. Deustua†, D. Groom, M. Hoff, S. Holland, D. Huterer†, A. Karcher, A. Kim, W. Kolbe, W. Kramer, B. Krieger, G. Kushner, N. Kuznetsova, R. Lafever, J. Lamoureux, M. Levi, S. Loken, B. McGinnis, R. Miquel, P. Nugent, H. Oluseyi†, N. Palaio, S. Perlmutter, N. Roe, H. Shukla, A. Spadafora, H. Von Der Lippe, J-P. Walder, G. Wang

Berkeley M. Bester, E. Commins, G. Goldhaber, H. Heetderks, P. Jelinsky, M. Lampton, E. Linder, D. Pankow, M. Sholl, G. Smoot, C. Vale, M. White

Caltech R. Ellis, R. Massey†, A. Refregier†, J. Rhodes, R. Smith, K. Taylor, A. Weinstein

Fermi National Laboratory

J. Annis, F. DeJongh, S. Dodelson, T. Diehl, J. Frieman, D. Holz†, L. Hui, S. Kent, P. Limon, J. Marriner, H. Lin, J. Peoples, V. Scarpine, A. Stebbins, C. Stoughton, D. Tucker, W. Wester

Indiana U.

IN2P3-Paris -Marseille

C. Bower, N. Mostek, J. Musser, S. Mufson

P. Astier, E. Barrelet, R. Pain, G. Smadja†, D. VincentA. Bonissent, A. Ealet, D. Fouchez, A. Tilquin

JPL D. Cole, M. Frerking, J. Rhodes, M. Seiffert

LAM (France) S. Basa, R. Malina, A. Mazure, E. Prieto

University of Michigan

B. Bigelow, M. Brown, M. Campbell, D. Gerdes, W. Lorenzon, T. McKay, S. McKee,M. Schubnell, G. Tarle, A. Tomasch

University of Pennsylvania

G. Bernstein, L. Gladney, B. Jain, D. Rusin

University of Stockholm

R. Amanullah, L. Bergström, A. Goobar, E. Mörtsell

SLAC W. Althouse, R. Blandford, W. Craig, S. Kahn, M. Huffer, P. Marshall

STScI R. Bohlin, D. Figer, A. Fruchter

Yale U. C. Baltay, W. Emmet, J. Snyder, A. Szymkowiak, D. Rabinowitz, N. Morgan

†Institutional affiliation

SNAP Collaboration

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A multidimensional parameter space: Clustering of physically significant observables

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SNAP: Observing supernovae withlightcurves and spectra

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SNAP SurveysSNAP Surveys

Synergy of Supernovae + Weak Lensing

• Comprehensive: no external priors required!

• Independent test of flatness to 1-2%

• Complementary (SNe + WL only): conservative:

w0 to ±0.05, variation w to ±0.12 (with systematics) modelw0 to ±0.03 variation w to ±0.06 (with systematics)

SUGRA modelAdding panoramic survey and better systematics:

w0 to ±0.03, variation w to ±0.06 (with systematics) modelw0 to ±0.015 variation w to ±0.03 (with systematics)

SUGRA model

• Flexible: Panoramic is available if improved systematics in space warrant greater than 1000 sq. deg.

Survey Area(sq.deg) Depth(AB mag) ngal(arcmin-2) Ngal

Deep/SNe 15 30.3 250 107

Wide 1000 28.0 100 108.5

Panoramic 7000-10000 26.7 40-50 109

Baryon Oscillations:

would need R > ~250 to do the radial Baryon Oscillations, but get tangential Baryon Oscillations “for free” with Wide or Panoramic Survey

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Albrecht, Andy UC-Davis

Barish, Barry CalTech

Baltay, Charlie Yale

Bennett, Chuck GSFC

Bernstein, Gary Penn

Caldwell, Robert Dartmouth

Cheng, Ed Conc. Anal.

Deustua, Susana AAS

Donahue, Megan MSU

Eisenstein, Dan Arizona

Ellis, Richard CalTech

Freedman, Wendy Carnegie Obs.

Frieman, Josh FNAL

Gardner, Jon GSFC

Glazebrook, Karl JHU

Griest, Kim UCSD

Kirshner, Robert Harvard

Lauer, Tod NOAO

Levi, Michael LBNL

Linder, Eric LBNL

Lupton, Robert Princeton

Moos, Warren JHU

Morse, Jon ASU

Perlmutter, Saul UCB/LBNL

Rauscher, Bernie GSFC

Riess, Adam STScI

Salamon, Michael NASA

Seiffert, Mike JPL

Turner, Kathy DOE

Wheeler, Craig Texas-Austin

Wright, Ned UCLA

ScienceCo-chair

ScienceCo-chair

AgencyCo-chair

AgencyCo-chair

DOE/NASA Joint Dark Energy MissionScience Definition Team

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HOUSE COMMITTEE ON RULES

CONFERENCE REPORT ON H.R. 2419, ENERGY AND WATER DEVELOPMENT APPROPRIATIONS ACT, 2006

-- (House of Representatives - November 07, 2005) [Page: H9813] ---

“High Energy Physics.--The conference agreement provides $723,933,000 for high energy physics research. The control level is at the High Energy Physics level. An additional $10,000,000 is provided for research on the international linear collider and for upgrades to the neutrino research program. The conferees support the DOE/NASA Joint Dark Energy Mission (JDEM) and encourage the Department to move JDEM forward aggressively to accomplish this important research.”

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SN fa

ctor

y

SNAP

Bary

on O

sc.

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WMAP

Tegmark, Oliveira-Costa, Hamilton (2003)

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SDSS

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Luminous Red Galaxies are the brightest + reddest galaxies in the Universe.

Easily seen to z=0.6 for M<-21 in SDSS.

Luminous Red Galaxies are the brightest + reddest galaxies in the Universe.

Easily seen to z=0.6 for M<-21 in SDSS.

Baryon acoustic oscillations: The tool is large galaxy redshift surveys.

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SDSS main survey(too small!)

Baryon acoustic oscillations: The tool is large galaxy redshift surveys.

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SDSS main survey

SDSS red galaxies(too small!)

Baryon acoustic oscillations: The tool is large galaxy redshift surveys.

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SDSS main survey

SDSS red galaxies

SDSS red galaxies(photo-z only)

(too small!)

Baryon acoustic oscillations: The tool is large galaxy redshift surveys.

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Baryon acoustic oscillations: First Results!

Eisenstein et al. 2005SDSS spectro-z40,000 red galaxies0.15 < z < 0.403.5-sigma detection

Padmanabhan & Schlegel 2005SDSS photo-z (less accurate)900,000 red galaxies0.15 < z < 0.602.5-sigma detection

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2006: Double volume of SDSS/LRG photo-z survey at z<0.4 --> 2 million galaxies2007: Double volume of SDSS/LRG spectro-z survey at z<0.6 --> 100,000 galaxies2008: First results from PanSTARRS survey using photo-z’s

2006: Double volume of SDSS/LRG photo-z survey at z<0.4 --> 2 million galaxies2007: Double volume of SDSS/LRG spectro-z survey at z<0.6 --> 100,000 galaxies2008: First results from PanSTARRS survey using photo-z’s

Baryon acoustic oscillations: Future Results??

2010: First results possible from Thousand Points of Light at Lick spectro-z survey at 0<z< 1.12012: First results possible from next-gen survey at Keck 2.2<z<3.22012: SNAP sat. fills the gap using photo-z survey at 1.1<z<2.2

2010: First results possible from Thousand Points of Light at Lick spectro-z survey at 0<z< 1.12012: First results possible from next-gen survey at Keck 2.2<z<3.22012: SNAP sat. fills the gap using photo-z survey at 1.1<z<2.2

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5 years from nowNow

Ground

Space

SN Factory

SNLS

Subaru SNe

Baryon Acoustic Oscillations

HST Cluster SNeSNAP

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SN fa

ctor

y

SNLS

Bary

on O

sc.

SNAP

HST

Clust

er S

N

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BACKUP SLIDES

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Combined

Riess et al. (2004)

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2 year survey

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2 year survey

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Holz & Linder (2004)

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Current Concept: Compact & Extremely Simple

• 90 deg Symmetric Focal Plane allows continuous year round science data taking

– one side always sunward, allowing fixed solar panels hence a rigid spacecraft

– other side always dark, allowing fixed passive thermal radiator serving sensor array

• Innovative telescope design does IR imaging with room temperature optics

– three mirror anastigmat has accessible exit pupil and complete cold stop baffling

• Built in end-to-end optical test capability simplifies Integration and Testing

• The fixed telemetry antenna eliminates a major mission risk:

– no gimbals

– rigid spacecraft eases ACS task

• No onboard data analysis: all images are downlinked to Earth

– lossless onboard compression via hardware

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Supernova/Weak LensingMission Simulator

…science-driven requirements

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8-meter

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Cosmological Parameter Determination

• Shown is the w0,w' confidence region of this Monte Carlo realization of the SNAP experiment. There is a prior on M and 300 low-z SNe. An irreducible systematic is included.

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PSF Number counts vs size

Finer PSF resolves more

galaxies at higher redshifts

courtesy of J. Rhodes

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SNAP Surveys

Synergy of Supernovae + Weak Lensing

• Comprehensive: no external priors required!

• Independent test of flatness to 1-2%

• Complementary (SNe + WL only): conservative:

w0 to ±0.05, variation w to ±0.12 (with systematics) modelw0 to ±0.03 variation w to ±0.06 (with systematics)

SUGRA modelAdding panoramic survey and better systematics:

w0 to ±0.03, variation w to ±0.06 (with systematics) modelw0 to ±0.015 variation w to ±0.03 (with systematics)

SUGRA model

• Flexible: Panoramic is available if improved systematics in space warrant greater than 1000 sq. deg.

Survey Area(sq.deg) Depth(AB mag) ngal(arcmin-2) Ngal

Deep/SNe 15 30.3 250 107

Wide 300-1000 28.0 100 108.5

Panoramic 7000-10000 26.7 40-50 109

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Circumstellar dust as a cause of the extinction of SNe Ia

This figure shows that the circumstellar dust model (the solid red lines) provides an excellent fit to the observed light curves of SN 1999cl, whereas the commonly used interstellar extinction law gives extinction corrections that are several magnitudes off from the observed value in different filters.

L. Wang

astroph/0511003

SN 1999cl

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• Complete analysis and publication of recent data

– Subaru data - large sample z> 1 SNe !

– HST/ACS SNe - some of the highest redshift SNe !

– Albinoni

– Low-z data set

• Ongoing Observing Program

– SNLS - hundreds of SNe at accelerating redshifts

– Major program (219 orbits) proposed for next HSTcycle - forming new collaboration with experts on high-redshift clusters

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Before SNAP/JDEM

• Large SCP programs continue

– SNLS

– HST program

– Subaru program

– Farther in future: Dark Energy Camera program

• Strategic planning exercise now underway for our supernova cosmology / particle cosmology program up to JDEM.

• Resources needed:

– additional postdoc(s), graduate students to make best use of new data for cosmology studies

– instrumentation development for next programs

Next: JDEM!

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Demographics

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The Time Series of Spectra is a “CAT Scan” of the Supernova

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Saul has a new version

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Bacon, Ellis, Refregier (2000)

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PSF Number counts vs size

Finer PSF resolves more

galaxies at higher redshifts

courtesy of J. Rhodes

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DAVID’S BACKUP SLIDES

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Baryon acoustic oscillationsPrimordeal sound wave,“frozen in” at 500 million light yearswhen H atoms combined in the early Universe.

This is the same physics seen in the CMB at z=1100.

Use this as as standard rulerof angular diameter distance DA

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Power spectra from galaxy surveysPower spectra from galaxy surveysWhat’s left to be learned?What’s left to be learned?

Turn-over depends upon horizon size at matter-radiation equality

Baryon oscillations depend upon sound horizon at recombination

(Eisenstein & Hu ‘98)

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Photo-z’s for Luminous Red GalaxiesPhoto-z’s for Luminous Red Galaxies

4000-Ang break4000-Ang break

* Uniform SEDs* Uniform SEDs* Strong 4000-Ang break* Strong 4000-Ang break

* Very little evolution* Very little evolution

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Complication #4: Redshift errors must be small + well-understood

Complication #4: Redshift errors must be small + well-understood

Truth test: We havespectroscopic z’s for ~40,000 LRGs.

Truth test: We havespectroscopic z’s for ~40,000 LRGs.

Use these galaxies to understand the photo-z errors.

Use these galaxies to understand the photo-z errors.

dz~0.025dz~0.025

dz~0.050dz~0.050

SDSS

SDSS

SDSS

-2dF

SDSS

-2dF

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SDSS Telescope

Fiber spectograph

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SN fa

ctor

y

SNAP