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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF I.T. SECTOR
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION
1.1 India Infoline Company Profile
India Infoline is a one-stop financial services shop, most respected for quality of its advice,
personalised service and cutting-edge technology.
India Infoline Group:
The India Infoline group, comprising the holding company, India Infoline Limited and its
wholly-owned subsidiaries, straddle the entire financial services space with offerings ranging
from Equity research, Equities and derivatives trading, Commodities trading, Portfolio
Management Services, Mutual Funds, Life Insurance, Fixed deposits, GoI bonds and other small
savings instruments to loan products and Investment banking. India Infoline also owns andmanages the websites www.indiainfoline.com and www.5paisa.com
The company has a network of 976 business locations (branches and sub-brokers) spread across
365 cities and towns. It has more than 800,000 customers.
India Infoline Ltd:
India Infoline Limited is listed on both the leading stock exchanges in India, viz. the Stock
Exchange, Mumbai (BSE) and the National Stock Exchange (NSE) and is also a member of both
the exchanges. It is engaged in the businesses of Equities broking, Wealth Advisory Services and
Portfolio Management Services. It offers broking services in the Cash and Derivatives segments
of the NSE as well as the Cash segment of the BSE. It is registered with NSDL as well as CDSL
as a depository participant, providing a one-stop solution for clients trading in the equities
market. It has recently launched its Investment banking and Institutional Broking business.
A SEBI authorized Portfolio Manager; it offers Portfolio Management Services to clients. These
services are offered to clients as different schemes, which are based on differing investment
strategies made to reflect the varied risk-return preferences of clients.
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India Infoline Media and Research Services Limited:
The content services represent a strong support that drives the broking, commodities, mutual
fund and portfolio management services businesses. Revenue generation is through the sale of
content to financial and media houses, Indian as well as global.
It undertakes equities research which is acknowledged by none other than Forbes as 'Best of the
Web' and 'a must read for investors in Asia'. India Infoline's research is available not just over
the internet but also on international wire services like Bloomberg (Code: IILL), Thomson First
Call and Internet Securities where India Infoline is amongst the most read Indian brokers.
India Infoline Commodities Limited:
India Infoline Commodities Pvt Limited is engaged in the business of commodities broking. Our
experience in securities broking empowered us with the requisite skills and technologies to allow
us offer commodities broking as a contra-cyclical alternative to equities broking. We enjoy
memberships with the MCX and NCDEX, two leading Indian commodities exchanges, and
recently acquired membership of DGCX. We have a multi-channel delivery model, making it
among the select few to offer online as well as offline trading facilities.
India Infoline Marketing & Services:
India Infoline Marketing and Services Limited is the holding company of India Infoline
Insurance Services Limited and India Infoline Insurance Brokers Limited.
(a) India Infoline Insurance Services Limited is a registered Corporate Agent with the Insurance
Regulatory and Development Authority (IRDA). It is the largest Corporate Agent for ICICI
Prudential Life Insurance Co Limited, which is India's largest private Life Insurance Company.
India Infoline was the first corporate agent to get licensed by IRDA in early 2001.
(b) India Infoline Insurance Brokers Limited India Infoline Insurance Brokers Limited is a newly
formed subsidiary which will carry out the business of Insurance broking. We have applied to
IRDA for the insurance broking licence and the clearance for the same is awaited. Post the grant
of license, we propose to also commence the general insurance distribution business.
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India Infoline Investment Services Limited:
Consolidated shareholdings of all the subsidiary companies engaged in loans and financing
activities under one subsidiary. Recently, Orient Global, a Singapore-based investment
institution invested USD 76.7 million for a 22.5% stake in India Infoline Investment Services.
This will help focused expansion and capital raising in the said subsidiaries for various lending
businesses like loans against securities, SME financing, distribution of retail loan products,
consumer finance business and housing finance business. India Infoline Investment Services
Private Limited consists of the following step-down subsidiaries.
(a) India Infoline Distribution Company Limited (distribution of retail loan products)
(b) Moneyline Credit Limited (consumer finance)
(c) India Infoline Housing Finance Limited (housing finance)
IIFL (Asia) Pte Limited:
IIFL (Asia) Pte Limited is wholly owned subsidiary which has been incorporated in Singapore to
pursue financial sector activities in other Asian markets. Further to obtaining the necessary
regulatory approvals, the company has been initially capitalized at 1 million Singapore dollars.
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1.2 Management:
Chairman & Managing Director
Mr. Nirmal Jain (MBA, CA, Cost Accountant)-1995
Previously:1. Hindustan Levers commodity export business (1989)
2. Associated with Inquire-Indian Equity Research (1994)
Executive Director
Mr. R. Venkataraman (B- Tech& MBA)-1999
Previously:
1. Held senior managerial positions in ICICI Limited, including
ICICI Securities Limited,
2. Joint venture with J P Morgan of USA and with BZW and Taib Capital Corporation
Limited
3. Assistant Vice President with G E Capital Services India Limited
Vision:
To be the most respected company in the financial services space.
Key Features:
Membership on the Bombay Stock Exchange Limited and the National Stock Exchange
Registered with the NSDL as well as CDSL as a depository participant, providing a one-
stop solution for clients trading in the equities market
Broking services in cash and derivative segments, online as well as offline.
Presence across 350 cities and towns with a network of over 850 business locations
Equity client base of over 5,00,000 clients Provision of free and world-class research to all clients.
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1.3 History of India Infoline Ltd:
Previous Name New Name
Probity Research and Probity Research and
Services Private-Limited Services Limited
Probity Research and India Infoline.com Limited
Services Limited
India Infoline.com Limited India Infoline Limited
Date of Change Reason for Change
April 28, 2000 Conversion from Private to
Public Limited Company
May 23, 2000 To focus on the retail financial
intermediary business through
an online set-up.
March 23, 2001 To focus on the retail financial
intermediary business through
offline as well as online set-up.
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1.4 Product & Services:
Equity Trading
Derivative Trading
Commodity Trading
Mutual Funds Trading
Depository Services
Margin Financing
NRI Desk Management
Research & Technical Analysis
Portfolio Management Services
International Equity & Commodity
Institutional Business
Investing Banking
Internet Trading (TRADE TERMINAL ADVANCED SOFTWARE)
Trader Terminal (TTK - Advanced):Trader Terminal is almost a substitute for NSE NEAT terminal and VSAT. In fact, it has many
more powerful features that only a premium trader can appreciate. Target customer segments are
It is for dedicated day traders, who churn their portfolio on minor movements in the
market, sometimes several times a day. Their rapid and high volume trading requires a
powerful interface for lightening fast order execution.
High Net worth Individuals with large and active equities portfolio who need to monitor
and action swiftly.
Large corporate or trusts who have dedicated staff to monitor, analyze and shuffle their
portfolios.
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7
TTK ADVANCED SOFTWARE
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Few popular features of trader terminal are:
o Fast trade execution with instant trade confirmation.
o Live streaming quotes and price watch on any number of stocks.
o Intra day charts, updated live, tick-by-tick.
o Live margin, position, marked to market profit & loss report.
o Set any number of price alerts on any number of scrips.
o Flexibility to customize screen layout and setting.
o Facility to customize any number of portfolios & watch lists.
o Facility to cancel all pending orders at one click.
o Facility to square off all transactions at one click.
o Top Gainers, Top Losers, Most Active, updated live.
o Index information; index chart, index stock information live.
o Market depth, i.e. Best 5 bids and offers, updated live for all stocks.
o Online access to both accounts and DP to check live updated Order and Trade
Book.
o Facility to place after market orders.
o Online fund transfer facility from leading Banks including ICICI, HDFC, CITI
and UTI banks.
o Online intra-day technical calls.
o Historical charts and technical analysis tools.
o India Infoline's world - acclaimed news service and research.
o And many more.
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Equities:
India Infoline provided the prospect of researched investing to its clients, which was hitherto
restricted only to the institutions. Research for the retail investor did not exist prior to India
InfolineIndia Infoline leveraged technology to bring the convenience of trading to the investors
location of preference (residence or office) through computerised access. India Infoline made it
possible for clients to view transaction costs and ledger updates in real time.
Over the last five years, India Infoline sharpened its competitive edge through the following
initiatives:
Multi-channel delivery model:
The Company is among the few financial intermediaries in India to offer a complement of online
and offline broking. The Companys network of branches also allows customers to place orders
on phone or visit our branches for trading.
Integrated middle and back office:
The customer can trade on the BSE and NSE, in the cash as well as the derivatives segment all
through the available multiple options of Internet, phone or branch presence.
Multiple-trading options:
The Company harnessed technology to offer services at among the lowest rates in the
business.Membership: The Company widened client reach in trading on the domestic and
international exchanges.
Technology:
The Company provides a prudent mix of proprietary and outsourced technologies, which
facilitate business growth without a corresponding increase in costs.
Content:
The Company has leveraged its research capability to provide regular updates and investment
picks across the short and long-term.
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Service:
Clients can access the customer service team through various media like toll-free lines, emails
and Internet- messenger chat for instant query resolution. The Companys customer service
executives proactively contact customers to inform them of key changes and initiatives taken by
the Company. Business World rated the Companys customer service as Best in their survey of
online trading sites carried out in December 2003.
Key features:
Membership on the Bombay Stock Exchange Limited and the National Stock Exchange
Registered with the NSDL as well as CDSL as a depository participant, providing a one-
stop solution for clients trading in the equities market
Broking services in cash and derivative segments, online as well as offline.
Presence across 350 cities and towns with a network of over 850 business locations
Equity client base of over 500,000 clients
Provision of free and world-class research to all clients.
For the first time INDIAINFOLINE brings investing community the power to be associated with
the elite dealing rooms and freedom to execute trade on their own. That is, one may trade from
their branches or trade on your own over the net and with that expertise and assistance.
NOW AND ODIN as the name suggests is the perfect partner for savvy investors. Clients opting
for this service would be provided services managed by a team of dedicated relationship
managers and experienced trade dealers. They would not only assist the client in information
dissemination but would also take care of all post trade requirements.
The other one is TT ADVANCED gives the power of trading from home, office or while
traveling and trade in the market of equity and derivatives. One can log on and get started from
computers or mobile devices. These products have very exciting features like integrated DP, hot
key functions etc.
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Depository Services:
INDIAINFOLINE is among the few major Depository Participants holding securities worth
more than Rs.6000 crore under its management. India Infoline provides depository services to
investors as a Depository Participant with NSDL and CDSL.
Commodity Trading:
Commodities as a word originated from the French word commdite meaning benefit, profit.
Indiainfoline Commodities Limited is a member of both the exchanges (MCX & NCDEX) that
allows to trade in all the commodities traded at both the exchanges. At present, trading in
commodities is restricted to futures contracts only.
India Infolines extension into commodities trading reconciles its strategic intent to emerge as a
one stop solutions financial intermediary. Its experience in securities broking has empowered it
with requisite skills and technologies. Increased offering: The Companys commodities business
provides a contra-cyclical alternative to equities broking. The Company was among the first to
offer the facility of commodities trading in Indias young commodities market (the MCX
commenced operations only in 2003). Average monthly turnover on the commodity exchanges
increased from Rs 0.34 bn to Rs 20.02 bn. The commodities market has several products with
different and non-correlated cycles. On the whole, the business is fairly insulated against cyclical
gyrations in the business.
Key Features:
Enjoys memberships with the MCX and NCDEX, two leading Indian commodities
exchanges
Recently acquired membership of the DGCX
Multi-channel delivery model, making it among the select few to offer online as well as
offline trading facilities
Extended commodity trading to retail investors, among the few Indian financial
intermediaries to do so
Online business at 80% of revenues dominates commodities trading revenues
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Provides regular commodity updates pertaining to the Indian and international
environment
Mutual Funds Services:
Indiainfoline is also promoting mutual funds of all companies.
Corporate advisory group:
Corporate Advisory Group provides various solutions to corporate, banks and FIs on the
management of debt, equity and investments. The services extend from advising clients to earn
maximum profits by investing through selected papers/schemes like MF/PMS etc. The CAG can
help in:
Equity Management:
Placement of equity
Public offers and right issues
Promoter funding
Private placement of shares
Capital Restructuring
Debt Services:
Syndication of loans from Banks/FI and project financing
Bridging short term working capital
Other Debts like Inter Corporate Deposits etc
Placement of long/short term debt papers like debentures & bonds
Sourcing medium/short term papers
Investment Solutions:
Treasury operations
Non- SLR investments
Cash flow Management
Mutual Fund Investments
Portfolio Management Services
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Group Insurance for your Staffs
General Insurance for your assets
Equity and commodity & on line trading
Portfolio Management System:
Portfolio Management Services manage clients wealth more efficiently, reduce risk by
diversifying across assets, sectors and funds, and maximizing returns. Expert Portfolio Managers
find best of avenues to achieve optimum returns at managed levels of risk. This service could
also be called as transparent collective investments.
Indiainfoline provides innovative, integrated and best-fit solutions to their corporate customers, it
is continuous endeavor to provide value enhancement through diverse financial solution on an
on-going basis, through products like corporate debt, private equity, IPO, ECB, FCCB,
GDR/ADR etc.
Corporate Finance:
They focus on finding partner for client, who not only help in adding value but also improve the
future valuation of the organization. They specialize in structured financing and providing
advisory services related to financial planning, modeling and advising on financial requirement.
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1.5 Account Opening Guidelines:
1. Kindly fill account opening form after going through account opening instruction given
in the account opening form.2. Please submit your duly filled & signed account opening form with one photograph,
proof of identity and proof of address documents of account holder(s) as may be required.
3. Kindly sign agreement with DP (agreement will state rights & obligations of both parties)
and Schedule of Charges for Depository Services.Indiainfoline will send a copy of
agreement and schedule of charge along with Welcome kit for your records.
4. Indiainfoline would intimate "Client Id" (account no.) through a welcome letter once
your depository account is opened. This 'Client Id' number along with your 'DP Id'
number forms a unique combination. Both these numbers should be quoted in all your
future dealings with Indiainfoline Limited.
Indiainfoline will give you instruction slips for depository services viz., dematerialization,
delivery instruction for trades, etc. These instruction slips will bear pre-printed serial numbers
and your pre stamped client-id. Kindly preserve these carefully.
1.6 Communications:
The company has its disposal, an efficient network of advance communication system and
intends to install CRM facility; besides this it is implementing interactive client information
dissemination system which enables clients to view their latest client information on web. It has
an installed multiple WAN to interconnect the branches to communicate on real time basis.
The company is equipped with most advanced systems to facilitate smooth functioning of
operations. It has installed its major application on IBM machines and uses latest state of art
financial software.
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF I.T. SECTOR
CHAPTER 2 FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Fundamental analysis is used to find the value of a stock and technical analysis is used to find the
price of stock.
Fundamental analysis serves to answer questions, such as:
1 Is the companys revenue growing?
2 Is it actually making a profit?
3 Is it in a strong-enough position to beat out its competitors in the future?
4 Is it able to repay its debts?
5 Is management trying to "cook the books"?
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
ECONOMY ANALYSIS COMPANY ANALYSISINDUSTRY ANALYSIS
GLOBAL ECONOMY INDIAN ECONOMY
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CHAPTER 3 GLOBAL ECONOMY OVERVIEW
The world economy is in the middle of most severe financial crisis since the Great Depression
after the end of World War II. There is a massive change at a global level. In December 2008,the World Bank projected slight global growth of 0.9 per cent. Just 3 months later, in their 30
March update, they had revised that figure down to a 1.7 per cent decline. Others say it could be
a 2 per cent plus decline.
Early responses to prevent the crisis from spreading from source of origin to rest of the world has
failed and now the crisis is spreading from developed countries to the developing nations also.
Even if effective and better coordinated measures are taken, it will take some time to show
appropriate response.
In the baseline scenario, income per capita for the whole world is expected to decline in 2009 as
shown in above figure. This will be the case not only in the developed economies but also in
many developing countries; where per capita income growth will be negative or well below what
is required according to estimates of economists.
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3.1 Economic and Financial Market Outlook:
The global economy sagged in the first quarter of 2009 with many countries reporting record
quarterly declines in real output. The IMF updated its global economic forecast to show a 1.3%
contraction in world GDP 2009, the sharpest drop in the post-war period. Emerging economies
are expected to grow, but just barely, with an average 1.6% increase in GDP. The advanced
economies are forecast to contract by 3.8% on average.
The service sectors performance was less even, but its index level still rose to 43.5 in April/
May, higher than the first quarters 40.4 average. Even though these indicators point to continued
contraction in output, they also suggest that the pace of decline slowed from the dismal first-
quarter performance.
With the worst for the global economy looking as though it may have passed, investors risk
appetite increased and volatility in financial markets eased. Equity markets had an impressive
run, with the world market index up 44% from its March low, commodity prices rallying and
credit spreads narrowing all indicative of a change in attitude by investors.
The global economy posted a sharp decline in early 2009.
Leading indicators hint that the worst has passed for the global recession.
Recovery is still expected to take hold in late 2009, with momentum building in 2010.
Extraordinarily low interest rates and government stimulus to lift economic activity.
U.S. economy still staggering but showing some signs of life.
Housing market recession looks as though it is in the final stage.
Consumer confidence gets a lift from the stock market rally, lower energy costs and low
interest rates.
Moderate rebound in U.S. consumer spending ahead as households repair their balance
sheets.
U.S. recovery will be modest compared to history.
The extent to which the supply and demand side developments will weigh on the recovery
beyond 2010 depends on many factors.
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3.2 Systemic Reforms Need to Focus on Four Core Areas:
a) The establishment of a credible and effective mechanism for international policy
coordination. To guide a more inclusive process, adequate participation and representation of
developing countries in the process of policy coordination and in the institutions of global
governance is required, implying the need for a fundamental revision of the governance
structure and functions of the IMF and the World Bank;
b) Fundamental reforms of existing systems of financial regulation and supervision leading
to a new internationally coordinated framework that can avoid the excesses of the past;
c) Reform of the present international reserve system, away from the almost exclusive
reliance on the United States dollar and towards a multilaterally backed multi-currency
system which, perhaps, over time could evolve into a single, world currency-backed system;
d) Reforms of liquidity provisioning and compensatory financing mechanismsbacked
through, among other things, better multilateral and regional pooling of national foreign-
exchange reserveswhich avoid the onerous policy conditionality attached to existing
mechanisms.
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CHAPTER 4 INDIAN ECONOMY OVERVIEW
According to the World Fact Book, India is among the world's youngest nations with a median
age of 25 years as compared to 43 in Japan and 36 in USA. Of the BRICBrazil, Russia, Indiaand Chinacountries, India is projected to stay the youngest with its working-age population
estimated to rise to 70 per cent of the total demographic by 2030, the largest in the world. India
will see 70 million new entrants to its workforce over the next 5 years.
With the largest number of listed companies - 10,000 across 23 stock exchanges, India has the
third largest investor base in the world.
India's healthy banking system with a network of 70,000 branches is among the largest in the
world.
According to a study by the McKinsey Global Institute (MGI), India's consumer market will be
the world's fifth largest (from twelfth) in the world by 2025 and India's middle class will swell by
over ten times from its current size of 50 million to 583 million people by 2025.
Indian economy has been witnessing a phenomenal growth since the last decade. The country is
still holding its ground in the midst of the current global financial crisis.
Foreign institutional investors (FIIs) turned net buyers in the Indian market in 2009. Direct
investment inflows also remain strong, prompting official expectations that foreign direct
investment (FDI) inflows in 2009 would better the realized inflows of US$ 33 billion in 2008
and touch US$ 40 billion.
According to the Asian Development Bank's (ADB) 'Asia Capital Markets Monitor' report, the
Indian equity market has emerged as the third biggest after China and Hong Kong in the
emerging Asian region, with a market capitalization of nearly US$ 600 billion.
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Despite the global financial crisis, inflow of foreign capital to the country has increased sharply
in 2008-09.
The shrinkage in the international markets has hit countrys total external trade.
However, exports from special economic zones (SEZs) rose 33 per cent during the year
to end-March 2009.
In April 2009 aggregate deposits were seen to increase by 2.4% as compared to 0.1%
recorded in the previous year. Investments in government and approved securities
stepped up by 6% in the month of April 2009 from 4% recorded in the previous year.
India's foreign exchange reserves increased by US$ 4.2 billion to US$ 255.9 billion for
the week ended May 8, 2009, according to figures released in the Reserve Bank of India's
(RBI) weekly statistical supplement.
FIIs have made investments of around US$ 2 billion as of May 14, 2009, including a
record single day net purchase of US$ 824.72 million on May 13, 2009, according to the
Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI).
The WPI based inflation has softened to below zero level. However, prices of items of
mass consumption (food articles) show not signs of softening and have risen substantially
due to supply side constraints.
Stock markets are still in the readjustment mode after the budget announcements and
fears over the rising deficits due to increased borrowings to aid the industry and to
support schemes in the social sector.
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4.1 Development Indicators:
1. Industrial Growth:
The recent data released on the Industrial growth continues to show weakness .
The industry grew by 2.7% in May 2009 as compared to the growth of 4.4% posted in the
corresponding month of the previous year. The industry segments that continued to post negative growth even in the second month
of 2009-10 were food products, cotton textiles, wool, silk and manmade fibre textiles,
Jute products, leather products and metal products. Two more industry segments that
came in the negative category were beverages & tobacco and paper industry.
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2. Infrastructure industries:
The data during the first two months of 2009-10 on infrastructure industry indicated
improvement in output. The main drivers of growth seen in the infrastructure industry
during the period were cement, power and coal posting growth of 11.7 % , 5.1% and
11.8% respectively in April- May 2009-10 compared to the growth of 5.4% , 1.7% and
9.5% respectively during the same period of previous fiscal. However, production of
crude petroleum and petroleum refinery were badly hit.
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3. Inflation Trends:
Slowdown in the economy and rapid decline in global commodity prices toned down the
overall inflation to below 0 levels for the first time in 35 years. However, it was found
that prices of some of the items of mass consumption were still rising. While, the average
overall inflation numbers for the month of June 2009 turned negative however, food
articles falling within the category of primary commodities continue to rise by 8.6% in
June 2009 on YoY terms compared to 6% in the previous year. Furthers food articles was
also seen to get dearer (m-o-m basis) over May 2009.
In June 2009 prices of non food articles, fuel leather and basic metals dropped by
2%, 12.6%, 1% and 14% respectively from positive growth of 17%, 16%, 1.6% and
21% seen in the previous year.
4. Stock Market Trends:
The Indian stock market plunged below ( BSE Sensex) 10 K points in December
2008 from a high 20K in January 2008 and it took more than a quarter to get the index
back to above 10K level . The BSE index scaled to 15K points after the elections
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however the budget announcements weakened the investment sentiments, only to
readjust.
5. Foreign Exchange Reserves
An expansion was seen in the countrys forex reserves as it crossed USD 260 billion from
USD 250 billion about a month back. This was on the back of foreign currency assets
which is expressed in US dollar terms and includes appreciation or depreciation of non-
US currencies and increase in the inflows of foreign institutional investments in the
country
6. GDP Growth Rate: 7. Interest Rate:
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4.2 Sectoral Performance:
IT and ITES:
It was not business as usual for the big four IT players, although the first three quarters
proved profitable with revenues hitting all time high of 4 bn for companies like TCS and
star performer Infosys acquiring London based AXON, the SAP service and consultant.
The sub-prime mortgage crises in the US triggered the worst of liquidity crunch and the
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bankruptcy of the huge financial units which fed business for the IT biggies along with initial
strengthening of the rupee to as much as 38 per dollar led to severe financial and business
losses in this famed sector. Ill effects were abrupt cost-cutting measures evident by lay-offs
and salary cuts especially in the top management. Despite all this, the sector is expected to keep
its upward journey on the back of growing domestically evolving banks, micro finances
and SMEs with a hope that downturn in developed markets will encourage more
institutions to take cost cutting measures and would create demand for the IT enablers.
Infrastructure:
Infrastructure, the very basic requirement for growth and sign of prosperity has
also been threatened by the downturn. But this sector which needs a huge pile of money to cater
to growing economy of India has seen a withdrawal of more than $13 bn by the foreign
investors. Several expansion plans in steel, auto, fertilizers, refineries and oil and gas
exploration are facing capital shortages creating an urge for the govt. to set up a Rs 1 trillion
revolving fund to help infrastructure funds weather global economic cycles.
Auto Industry:
The ceremonious launch of Tata Nano and the acquisition of UK based Jaguar and Landrover by
Tata motors exemplified the growing and diverse needs of the consumer and also the
ability of the industry to spurn such deals and invite huge companies to invest as FDIs. The
setting up of assembly plants by high end international companies like Audi, BMW kick-
started the growth of a well developed auto sector. Despite these highs, there has been an
overall demand slowdown across all the companies and across all the models in Auto industry.
Also due to credit crises, much hyped Tata takeovers are finding their business in trouble and
financing difficult with much hope riding on the Nano scheduled to launch shortly. All the major
companies have cut down production to avoid the rising inventories and cut costs.
BFS:
The global meltdown and the financial fiasco which lead to the disappearance of old
investment banks like Lehman, the acquisition of Merrill Lynch by BOA, and commercialization
of Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley had their own effects. Though most of Indian banks were
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not over leveraged thanks to our bit more tight regulatory frameworks, but some of the major
banks like ICICI and SBI had to bear some losses. But Indian banking sector was able to
shed of the crises and especially nationalized banks saw an increase in savings and fixed
deposits as the stock market turned unviable for investments. The cycle of increasing
inflation and slowdown forced the RBI to implement monetary policy of decreased
interest rates, CRR and Repo rate to boost up investments and spending. But the stock
market investors ( better call speculators) who were busy investing in small and mid sized
financial companies last year with the stock prices progressing 2-3 % daily, have suffered
huge losses even to the tune of 90%, a horrifying figure by any standard.
Realty and Retail:
The realty sector had not seen many buyers as inflation lead to higher interest rates. This
reduced liquidity lead to lower demand and slowed down the in sector. The land value did not
depreciate and spending on land purchase was only burdensome. The retail sector had a similar
story as there was reduced consumer spending owing to high interest rates.
Some sectors like the evergreen telecom have seen boom while some have been hard-
hit. The meltdown in the US and its effects on the various sectors in India shows that the
economy is not decoupled from the world economy. At the same time its no-brainer that India is
on a high growth path given the pool of investments in Auto, Infrastructure and domestically
emerging institutions. Proper planning and resource management will help India race towards a
better position world-wide in the years to come.
CHAPTER 5 INTRODUCTION TO I.T. SECTOR:
Information Technology (IT) industry in India is one of the fastest growing industries. Indian IT
industry has built up valuable brand equity for itself in the global markets. The Indian
Information Technology sector can be classified into the following broad categories - IT
Services, Engineering Services, ITES-BPO Services and E Business.
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IT Services can further be categorized into Information Services (IS) outsourcing, packaged
software support and installation, systems integration, processing services, hardware support and
installation and IT training and education.
Engineering Services include Industrial Design, Mechanical Design, Electronic System Design
(including Chip/Board and Embedded Software Design), Design Validation Testing,
Industrialization and Prototyping.
IT Enabled Services are services that use telecom networks or the Internet. For example, Remote
Maintenance, Back Office Operations, Data Processing, Call Centers, Business Process
Outsourcing, etc.
E Business (electronic business) is carrying out business on the Internet; it includes buying and
selling, serving customers and collaborating with business partners.
IT sector is attracting considerable interest not only as a vast market but also as potential
production base by international companies. Therefore India is considered as a pioneer in
software development and a favorite destination for IT-enabled services. The rapid growth in the
sector is a consequence of access to trained English speaking professionals, cost competitivenessand quality telecommunications infrastructure. Companies operating from India are able to
leverage the advantage of the Indian time zone to offer 24 x 7 services to their global customers.
Several world leaders including General Electric, British Airways, American Express, and
Citibank, have outsourced call centre operations to India.
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The Indian IT industry has a prominent global presence today largely due to the software sector.
It has recorded a production of Rs. 68,850 crore during the year 2000-01, and has achieved a
production of Rs. 368,220 crore during the year 2008-09. Thus the industry has grown by a
factor over by five times during the last eight years. The software industry which was worth Rs.
37,750 crore in 2000-01 has achieved a production of Rs. 273,530 crore during the year 2008-09.
Software exports have become an important part of Indias exports, and Indias international
image. Indian Software exports have risen from Rs. 28,350 crore in 2000-01 towards figure of
Rs. 216,300 crore in 2008-09. This success in software has been built on the foundations of
public investments in human capital, outward orientation in policies, and a highly competitive
private sector industry. The Economic Planning Group maintains a database of production and
exports data relating to Electronics and IT-ITeS industry. This data is collected from different
manufacturing and service industry and industry associations. The data is released on as annual
basis through the Annual Report of DIT.
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5.1 Electronics and I.T. Exports:
During the year 2008-09, electronics and IT exports are estimated to be Rs. 235,300 crore, as
compared to Rs. 177,600 crore in 2007-08, showing a growth of 32.5 per cent. The software and
services industry continues to show a robust growth and the total value of software and services
export are estimated at Rs. 216,300 crore (US $ 47 billion) in 2008-09, as compared to
Rs.164,400 crore (US $ 40.4 billion) in the year 2007-08, an increase of 31.6 per cent in rupee
terms and 16.3 per cent in dollar terms.
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5.2 SWOT Analysis:
Strengths:
Highly skilled human resource;
Low wage structure;
Quality of work;
Initiatives taken by the Government (setting up Hi-Tech Parks and implementation of e-
governance projects);
Many global players have set-up operations in India like Microsoft, Oracle, Adobe, etc.
Following Quality Standards such as ISO 9000, SEI CMM etc.;
English-speaking professionals;
Cost competitiveness;
Quality telecommunications infrastructure.
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Weaknesses:
Absence of practical knowledge;
Dearth of suitable candidates;
Less Research and Development;
Contribution of IT sector to Indias GDP is still rather small;
IT development concentrated in a few cities only.
Opportunities:
High quality IT education market
Increasing number of working age people
India 's well developed soft infrastructure
Upcoming International Players in the market
Threats:
Lack of data security systems
Countries like China and Philippines with qualified workforce making efforts toovercome the English language barrier
IT development concentrated in a few cities only
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5.3 Regulatory Regime and Laws relating to the IT sector:
Department of Information Technology (DIT):This department which is under the Ministry of Communications and Information Technology is
responsible for the formulation, implementation and review of national policies in the field of
Information Technology including hardware and software, standardization of procedures,
internet, e-commerce and information technology education and development of electronics.
Initiatives for development of Hardware/Software industry including knowledge based
enterprises; measures for promoting IT exports and competitiveness of the industry are looked
after by the Electronics Export and Computer Software Promotion Council (ESC) and National
Informatics Centre (NIC) along with DIT.
The Department of Information Technology undertakes the following functions:
Policy matters relating to Information Technology; Electronics; and Internet (all matters
other than licensing of Internet Service Provider).
Promotion of Internet, IT and IT enabled services.
Assistance to other departments in the promotion of E-Governance, ECommerce, E-
Medicine, E-Infrastructure, etc.
Promotion of Information Technology education and Information Technology-based
education.
Matters relating to Cyber Laws, administration of the Information Technology Act. 2000
(21 of 2000) and other IT related laws.
Matters relating to promotion and manufacturing of Semiconductor Devices in the
country; The Semiconductor Integrated Circuits Layout Design Act, 2000 (37 of 2000).
Interaction in IT related matters with International agencies and bodies e.g. Internet for
Business Limited (IFB), Institute for Education in Information Society (IBI) and
International Code Council - on line (ICC).
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Initiative on bridging the Digital Divide: Matters relating to Media Lab Asia.
Promotion of Standardization, Testing and Quality in IT and standardization of procedure
for IT application and Tasks.
Initiatives for development of Hardware / Software industry including knowledge-based
enterprises, measures for promoting IT exports and competitiveness of the industry.
All matters relating to personnel under the control of the Department.
National Association of Software and Services Company (NASSCOM):
NASSCOM acts as an advisor, consultant and coordinating body for the IT-BPO industry in
India, and has played a key role in enabling the government in India to develop industry friendly
policies. NASSCOM was set up in 1988 to facilitate business and trade in software and services
and to encourage advancement of research in software technology. It is a not-for-profit
organization, registered under the Indian Societies Act, 1860. NASSCOM has been proactive in
pushing this cause for ensuring that the Indian Information Security environment benchmarks
with the best across the globe. As a part of its Trusted Sourcing initiative, NASSCOM is in the
process of setting up the Data Security Council of India (DSCI) as a Self Regulatory
Organization (SRO) to establish, popularize, monitor and enforce privacy and data protection
standards for Indias ITeS-BPO industry. DSCI shall function as an enabler to the IT and ITeS
industry to grow at a rapid pace by facilitating the adoption and enforcement of the prescribed
security standards and best practices.
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Information Technology Act, 2000:
The legal enactment which governs the process and dissemination of information digitally in
India is the Information Technology Act, 2000. The Act along with its Rules legalizes the
acceptance of electronic records and digital signatures providing a legal backbone to e-
commerce.
The Indian Information Technology Act addresses the following issues:
Legal Recognition of Electronic Documents;
Legal Recognition of Digital Signatures;
Offenses and Contraventions;
Justice Dispensation System for Cybercrimes.
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5.4 Government Initiatives
The Foreign Trade Policy 2004 - 2009 permits import of all kinds of computers (except second
hand computers) in India without any licenses. In order to promote domestic investment, foreigndirect investment, transfer of technology / process know-how, technical collaboration, joint
venture etc in India and export IT software products and services from India to the global
market, both Government of India and State Governments in India have been offering a series of
policy packages including tax breaks, import duty concessions etc under various schemes which
include:
Export Oriented Units (EOUs) Scheme:
The purpose of the scheme was basically to boost exports by creating additional production
capacity.
Electronics Hardware Technology Parks (EHTPs):
Electronics Hardware Technology Park (EHTP) complexes can be set up by the Central
Government, State Government, Public or Private Sector Undertakings or any combination
thereof, duly approved by theInter- MinisterialStanding Committee (IMSC) in the Ministry of
Communication and Information Technology (Department of Information Technology).
Software Technology Parks (STPs):
The Software Technology Parks of India (STPI) have been set up by the Ministry of Information
Technology, Government of India and the International Technology Park in a joint project by the
State Government.
Special Economic Zone (SEZ) Scheme:
SEZs are being set up to enable hassle free manufacturing and trading for export purposes. Sales
from Domestic Tariff Area (DTA) to SEZs are being treated as physical export. This entitles
domestic suppliers to Drawback/ DEPB benefits, CST exemption and Service Tax exemption.
Certain exemptions like Income Tax exemption on export profits is available to SEZ Units for 5
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years, 50% for next 2 years and 50% of ploughed back profits for 3 years thereafter are available
for units in these designated areas/zones.
Export Promotion Capital Goods (EPCG) Scheme:
The EPCG Scheme allows import of capital goods for pre-production, production and
postproduction (including CKD/SKD thereof) at 5% customs duty subject to export obligations.
Units undertaking to export their entire production of goods and services may be set up under the
Export Oriented Unit (EOU) Scheme, Electronic Hardware Technology Park (EHTP) Scheme or
Software Technology Park (STP) Scheme. The Export Promotion Industrial Park, built near
International Technology Park, gives an exclusive 288 acres of area for export oriented business.
GE has its India Technology Center located at this park and employs hundreds of multi
disciplinary technology development activities. An industrial park, known as Electronic City was
set up in 1991 taking more than a hundred electronic industries including Motorola, Infosys,
Siemens, ITI, and Wipro, in an area of around 330 acres. The IT Corridor project, conceptualized
by Singapores Jurong Town Corporation Private Ltd, was initiated by the Department of IT and
the Bangalore Development Authority in order to develop state of the art facilities for the
development of knowledge based industries.
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5.5 Government Initiatives for the ITes Sector:
The government of India has already set up a single-window facility for attracting foreign direct
investments in this sector. Recognizing the potential of this sector, the government has provided
many incentives including a tax holiday up to 2010 and competitive duty structures. In addition
to the central government incentives, respective state governments have also developed attractive
incentive packages to target investors. The government is also actively trying to reduce
international communication cost. The telecommunications ministry has already started phased
liberalization programme. In order to support IT-related services, the government is providing
some special incentives and is also providing infrastructure support through organizations such
as the Software Technology Parks (STP). Financial institutions and venture capitalists in the
country are willing to provide funds at competitive rates for expansion in ITes businesses. All
these factors collectively create a number of opportunities in the IT sector.
According to NASSCOM, Indian IT-BPO industry shows resilience; to grow by 4-7 percent in
FY09-10:
Industry revenues gross USD 58.8 billion in FY 08-09; export revenues US$46.3
billion; Domestic: USD 12.5 billion
Export revenues in FY 09-10 estimated at USD48-50 billion; domestic revenues to grow
by 15-18%
Industry rankings released for FY08-09
o
Genpact, WNS and TCS BPO lead the NASSCOM Top 15 BPO rankings
o TCS, Infosys and Wipro are Top 3 players in the NASSCOM Top 20 IT services
export rankings and NASSCOM Top 20 IT-BPO employers.
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FY 08-09 highlights:
FY 08-09 export revenues aggregate USD 46.3 billion recording a growth of 16.3%
Domestic IT-BPO market clocks INR 570 billion; exhibits 21% growth
Offshore component to increase
Growth in emerging geographies, APAC, RoW 3X of US & UK
Domestic market drives growth - Large transformation deals in telecom, e-governance
NASSCOM announced the findings of its annual survey on the performance of the Indian IT-
BPO services sector for FY08-09 and outlook for FY09-10. According to the findings, the sector
reached USD 58.8 billion in FY08-09 up from USD 52 billion in FY07-08. Export revenues for
the Indian IT-BPO industry recorded growth of 16.3 percent and clocked revenues of USD 46.3
billion in FY08-09 up from USD 40.4 billion in FY07-08. The domestic segment grew by 21%
to register revenues of INR 570 billionin FY08-09 from INR 470 billion in FY07-08.
Within the export segment, IT services have grown by 14.7% to clock revenues of USD 26.5
billion; BPO exports are up by 16.5% registering revenues of USD 12.7 billion. Engineeringservices and product exports clocked revenues of USD 7.1 billion, growing at 11% in FY 08 -09.
The domestic market witnessed enhanced focus in FY 08-09, with large transformational deals in
telecom and e-governance and contract value of outsourcing deals growing by 32%. Domestic
BPO got a special boost with over 40 percent growth in this period.
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FY 09-10 trends/estimates:
FY09-10 Export revenue projected to grow at ~4-7% to reach ~USD 48-50 billion
Domestic IT-BPO market to reach ~INR 650-670 billion growing at ~ 15 18 %
Core markets, North America and BFSI started to stabilize
Decision making starting to happen but buyers remain cautious; large deals missing
Analysts continue to downgrade IT spending for 2009
Q1 result of FY 09-10 demonstrate sustained focus with growth in operating margins and
high utilization
The last few weeks have witnessed some stabilization in the demand environment with
improvements in GDP growth rates, stock indices upswing that could indicate early signs of
recovery. However, worldwide IT spending growth is expected to decline in 2009 and 2010. The
environment continues to be challenging with global demand ecosystem being weak; absence of
large deals; vendor consolidation and pricing pressures.
The industry in its first quarter results has demonstrated sustained focus with increased
operating margins and enhanced utilization. The NASSCOM survey estimates that the IT-BPO
export revenues will grow by ~ 4-7% to reach ~ USD 48-50 billion in FY09-10. said Mr.
Bhasin. IT-BPO Domestic revenues are expected to grow by 15-18%, to reach INR 650-670
billion.
Global sourcing is today an essential component for organizational competitiveness. The
industry in India will continue to invest in offering transformational solutions and enhance its
value proposition in sync with client requirements.
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Note:
Includes IT Services, Engg Services, Software Products and Offshore Product
Development revenues
Ranking is based on companies that have submitted the detailed form. It does not include
Mahindra Satyam whose revised audited revenues are not available
This list does not include some companies whose corporate headquarters are located
outside India, but have significant India-centric delivery capabilities, and have not shared
their India-centric revenue figures. Had they been ranked based on their India revenues,
companies such as Accenture, Cognizant, HP and IBM and would have also appeared in
this ranking.
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5.6 Tech Pulse Index:
The Tech Pulse Index published by Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, which reflects
IT sector activity in the US, has shown consistent recovery since December 2008. Since
December the rate of decline has come down on month-to-month basis.
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5.7 Key Factors for Growth of IT in India:
Some of the major factors which played a key role and will be growth driving factors in India'semergence as global IT player are:
Indian Education System:
The Indian education system places strong emphasis on mathematics and science, resulting in a
large number of science and engineering graduates. Mastery over quantitative concepts coupled
with English proficiency has resulted in a skill set that has enabled India to reap the benefits of
the current international demand for IT.
High Quality Human Resource:
Indian programmers are known for their strong technical and analytical skills and their
willingness to accommodate clients. India also has one of the largest pools of English-speaking
professionals.
Competitive Costs:
The cost of software development and other services in India is very competitive as compared to
the West.
Infrastructure Scenario:
Indian IT industry has also gained immensely from the availability of a robust infrastructure
(telecom, power and roads) in the country.
In the last few years Indian IT industry has seen tremendous growth. Destinations such as
Bangalore, Hyderabad and Gurgaon have evolved into global IT hubs. Several IT parks have
come up at Bangalore, Hyderabad, Chennai, Pune, Gurgaon etc. These parks offer Silicon Valley
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type infrastructure. In the light of all the factors that have added to the strength of Indian IT
industry, it seems that Indian success story is all set to continue.
According to a recent World Bank study, India is the preferred location for software vendors for
its quality and cost. India has strong UNIX base which provides opportunity for the development
of products for internet based applications. Further, India has global connectivity with
international dialing facility from over 13220 locations, Leased/switched high-speed data links
from major centers through STPs and VSNL for point-to-point communication are also
available.
Abundant investment opportunities exist in the following thrust areas in India:
Communication Infrastructure
Optic Fiber Cable
Gateways
Satellite based Communication Wireless
Software Development
IT-enables Services
IT-enabled education
Data Centers & Server Farms
Hence IT sector is attracting considerable interest not only as a vast market but also as potential
production base by international companies. And it is one of the fastest growing segments of the
Indian industry both in terms of production and exports.
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CHAPTER 6 COMPANY ANALYSIS
6.1 Infosys Technologies Ltd.
Infosys Technologies Ltd. (NASDAQ: INFY) was started in 1981 by seven people with US$250. Today, we are a global leader in the "next generation" of IT and consulting with revenues of
over US$ 4 billion.
Infosys defines, designs and delivers technology-enabled business solutions that help Global
2000 companies win in a Flat World. Infosys also provides a complete range of services by
leveraging our domain and business expertise and strategic alliances with leading technology
providers.
Infosys' offerings spanbusiness and technology consulting,application services, systems
integration,product engineering,custom software development, maintenance, re-
engineering,independent testing and validation services,IT infrastructure services andbusiness
process outsourcing
Infosys pioneered the Global Delivery Model (GDM), which emerged as a disruptive force in the
industry leading to the rise of offshore outsourcing. The GDM is based on the principle of taking
work to the location where the best talent is available, where it makes the best economic sense,
with the least amount of acceptable risk.
Infosys has a global footprint with over 50 offices and development centers in India, China,
Australia, the Czech Republic, Poland, the UK, Canada and Japan. Infosys and its subsidiaries
have 103,905 employees as on June 30, 2009.
Infosys takes pride in building strategic long-term client relationships. Over 97% of our revenues
come from existing customers.
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Vision:
"To be a globally respected corporation that provides best-of-breed business solutions,
leveraging technology, delivered by best-in-class people."
Mission:
"To achieve our objectives in an environment of fairness, honesty, and courtesy towards our
clients, employees, vendors and society at large."
Values:
We believe that the softest pillow is a clear conscience. The values that drive us underscore our
commitment to:
Customer Delight: To surpass customer expectations consistently
Leadership by Example: To set standards in our business and transactions and be an
exemplar for the industry and ourselves
Integrity and Transparency: To be ethical, sincere and open in all our transactions
Fairness: To be objective and transaction-oriented, and thereby earn trust and respect
Pursuit of Excellence: To strive relentlessly, constantly improve ourselves, our teams,
our services and products to become the best
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Management:
N. R. Narayana Murthy
Chairman of the Board and Chief Mentor, Infosys Technologies
Mr. N. R. Narayana Murthy is the Chairman of the Board and Chief Mentor of Infosys
Technologies Limited. He founded Infosys in 1981 along with six other software professionals
and served as the CEO of Infosys for 21 years till March 2002. Under his leadership, Infosys was
listed on NASDAQ in 1999. He served as the Executive Chairman of the Board and Chief
Mentor from 2002 to 2006.
S. Gopalakrishnan
Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director, Infosys
Technologies
Gopalakrishnan (Kris to his colleagues) is one of the founders of Infosys Technologies Limited.
As Chief Executive Officer, he plays a key role in defining the company strategy and using
technology and innovation continuously to maintain its leadership in the industry.
On June 22, 2007, Kris took over from Nandan M. Nilekani as the CEO and Managing Director
of Infosys Technologies Limited. Kris previously served as Chief Operating Officer (since April
2002), and as the President and Joint Managing Director (since August 2006). His
responsibilities included customer services, technology, investments and acquisitions.
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48
STOCK DATA:
Market CapRs1,000bnBook Value
per shareRs311Eq Shares O/S (FV
Rs5)573.3mnFree Float82%Avg
Traded Value (6
mnths)Rs3600mn52 week
High/LowRs1,910 / 1,040
TOP SHAREHOLDERS:
Name% holdingLife Insurance
Corporation of
India3.8Oppenheimer Funds
Inc1.7Government of
Singapore1.6Abu Dhabi
Investment Authority1.1Fidelity
Mgmt & Research Company1
PERFORMANCE (%):
1M3M 12MAbsolute 13.536.5-
4.9Relative 11.8-15.4-1.2
RELATIVE
PERFORMANCE:
Increased exposure to India & ROWInfosys is eyeing potential business in India and other emerging markets.This will help the company to capture the untapped markets and result in ahigher new client addition. Geographies like APAC, EMEA presentlyaccount for 10% of its total revenues. The company expects to double thisover the next 3-5 years.Cash - Might be deployed for inorganic growthInfosys has a strong cash balance of USD2.08bn as on FY09 which can beutilized for acquisitions in the near term. The company is reported to beeyeing acquisitions in the emerging markets in the healthcare vertical.
Revision of guidanceInfosys has guided an EPS of Rs 98.8 for FY09, which is likely to berevised upwards if the global economic environment continues to showsigns of recovery.Pricing pressure to alleviateThe company believes that it will take time to win new contracts. Howeverthey notice a possibility of pricing becoming stable. The clients feel that theworst is behind them and there are chances of increased spending by themin the near term.RISKSAppreciating rupee, deterioration in the demand environment, absence oflarge business transformational deals and competition from the globalpeers could drag the earnings downwards.
VALUATIONS
KEY FINANCIALS
Rs mnFY07FY08FY09Net Sales138,930166,920216,930YoY Gr.
(%)45.920.130Op.Profits43,91052,38071,950OPM
(%)31.631.433.2Adjusted Net Profit38,56046,59059,880YoY Gr.
(%)56.720.828.5
KEY RATIOSFY07FY08FY09Dil. EPS (Rs)67.381.3104.5ROCE
(%)34.233.832.8ROE (%)343433PER (x)25.521.416.7EV/Net Sales
(x)6.85.64.2EV/EBIDTA (x)24.32014
INFOSYS TECHNOLOGIES LTD.
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF I.T. SECTOR
SWOT Analysis:
Strengths:
Excellent project and services execution
Excellent internal processes
Weaknesses:
Reliance on less experienced talent pool for lower costs and therefore better financial
results. This precludes certain types of work
Over reliance on India as delivery geography, has not diversified delivery capability to
other offshore locations
Opportunity:
Extend delivery and process strengths to other global locations apart from India
Massive demand for additional work in all areas of services spectrum with many existing
contracts now coming up for renewal - approx $100 billion in next few years. Infosys can
get a chunk of this if they are willing to take on additional delivery risk and become a
true global player
Threats:
Extremely high expectations from their investor community for growth and profitability.
Will be difficult to manage this as competition begins to undercut their pricing
MNCs have come of age in India and other offshore destinations. They can and do
compete with Infosys from a level playing field.
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF I.T. SECTOR
6.2 TCS:
TCS provides IT services, business solutions, and outsourcing of a level of certainty that no other
competitor can match. TCS meets the requirements of clients on-time, within budget, and with
high quality; greater efficiency and responsiveness to clients business; and the ability to shift
investment to strategic initiatives rather than tactical functions.
The TCS Difference:
TCS understands the needs of clients need and thus responds quickly to the needs of their
markets and get more strategic advantage from IT. TCS is uniquely able to help clients solve
these business challenges. Whether it's IT services, business solutions, or outsourcing, TCS
provides a level of certainty that others can't match.
TCS serves large and fast growing organizations who share a common set of objectives:
Increase profitability and efficiency by doing more with less
Rapidly and effectively respond to changing market demands, thereby improving
organizational agility
Leverage IT as a strategic driver for competitive advantage, not just as a business utility
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF I.T. SECTOR
Management:
Ratan N. Tata
(Chairman)
Ratan N. Tata has been the Chairman of Tata Sons, the holding company of the Tata Group,
since 1991. He is also the Chairman of the major Tata companies including Tata Motors, Tata
Steel, Tata Consultancy Services, Tata Power, Tata Tea, Tata Chemicals, Indian Hotels and Tata
Teleservices. During his tenure, the Groups revenues have grown over 13-fold to annualized
Group revenues of over $ 80 bn.
Mr. Tata joined the Tata Group in December 1962. After serving in various companies, he was
appointed the Director-in-Charge of The National Radio & Electronics Company Limited
(NELCO) in 1971. In 1981, he was named Chairman of Tata Industries, the Groups other
holding company, where he was responsible for transforming it into a Group strategy think-tank,
and a promoter of new ventures in high technology businesses. He is also the Chairman of two of
the largest private sector promoted philanthropic trusts in India.
S. Ramadorai
(Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director )
S. Ramadorai, Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director of Tata Consultancy Services
Limited, has been associated with the Company for the past 38 years. Joining as a trainee
engineer, Ramadorai took over as CEO in 1996 and has been instrumental in building TCS to a
$6 Billion global software and services company.
As an individual deeply committed to the House of Tatas, Ramadorai holds Chairmanships and
Directorships of other Group companies. He is also on the Board of Directors of premier
companies: Tata industries, Hindustan Unilever Limited, Nicholas Piramal Industries Limited
and the MIT Executive Board (EMSAB) to name a few.
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF I.T. SECTOR
52
STOCK DATA:
Market CapRs717 bnBook
Value per shareRs 136Eq
Shares O/S (FV Rs5)1957
mnFree Float25.2%Avg Traded
Value (6 mnths)Rs1344mn52
week High/LowRs 471 / 207
TOP SHAREHOLDERS:
Name% holdingLife Insurance
Corporation of India2.3
PERFORMANCE (%):
1M3M 12MAbsolute13.447.4(14.5)Relative
11.7(8.6)(11.1)
RELATIVE
PERFORMANCE:
Offshoring - the new growth engineTCS has shifted majority of its work offshore to save costs of the clients.The move towards off shoring is expected to benefit in the long run. Offshoring could dent the operating margins of the company due to lowerrealisations.Robust demand for IMSIn these times of uncertainty when all clients are cutting down ondiscretionary spend, work from the infrastructure management services isexpected to show robust growth. The clients will go slow on developing newIT infrastructure, however the demand for maintaining the existing ITinfrastructure will continue to be strong.
Acquisition of CGSL - Long term gainsThe acquisition of CGSL will continue to contribute to the increased growthrate in the long term. It will help in strengthening the client base in the BFSIvertical. Since BFSI has now shown signs of recovery this acquisition willhelp the company to reap benefits.Slow and steady increase in visibilityThe deal pipeline has witnessed improvement in the telecom,energy,government and utility verticals.The company had already factoredin the worsening situation due to the reduced spending by their top clients.With things improving globally, the positive sentiment would improve thecompany's visibility in terms of new deals.RISKSAppreciating rupee, deterioration in the demand environment, absence oflarge business transformational deals and competition from the globalpeers could have an adverse impact on the bottomline.
VALUATIONS:
KEY FINANCIALS
Rs mnFY07FY08FY09Net Sales186,332228,614278,128YoY Gr.
(%)412322Op.Profits46,44553,65166,014OPM (%)252324Adjusted
Net Profit41,31550,19151,708YoY Gr. (%)43213
KEY RATIOSFY07FY08FY09Dil. EPS (Rs)42.251.352.8ROCE
(%)474040ROE (%)464032PER (x)8.77.16.9EV/Net Sales
(x)1.91.61.3EV/EBIDTA (x)7.16.24.9
TCS
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF I.T. SECTOR
SWOT Analysis:
Strengths:
Cost advantage
Loyal customers
Strong brand equity
Strong financial position
Pricing
Real estate
Reputation management
Weaknesses:
Diseconomies to scale
Over leveraged financial position
Not diversified
Ubiquitiouegory, products, services
Opportunity:
Acquisitions
Asset leverage
Financial markets (raise money through debt, etc)
Emerging markets and expansion abroad
Innovation
Online
Product and services expansion
Threats:
Competition
Cheaper technology
Economic slowdown
External changes (government, politics, taxes, etc)
Exchange rate fluctuations
Maturing categories, products, or services
Price wars
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF I.T. SECTOR
Product substitution
6.3 Wipro:
Wipro changed with the times and created history along the way. The #1 provider of integratedbusiness, technology and process solutions on a global delivery platform.
At Wipro, every initiative, every partnership and above all project execution levels are built
around being the best. Wipro has been achieving from the start - a beginning from where
continuous evolution has made Wipro, the technology partner of choice for growing, established
and nascent businesses.
Wipro is the first CMMi Level 5 certified software services company and the first outside USA
to receive the IEEE Software Process Award. The achievement speaks words for the 55+
Centers of Excellence that create customized solutions, no matter the domain involved.
The India and Middle East IT business unit of Wipro Limited is one of the fastest growing
companies in the Middle East. This unit offers a 360 degree service portfolio spanning the entire
IT life cycle. This includes Consulting, Business Solutions, System Integration, Infrastructure
and Application Management and Total Outsourcing services where we service all IT needs of a
customer, end-to-end.
The Quality Markers:
SEI-CMM Level 5, World's first IT Services company, 1998
Six Sigma, World's first IT Services company, 1999
PCMM Level 5, World's first software company, 2001
CMMi Level 5 ver 1.1, Worlds first company, 2002
ISO 9001, TL 9000
Wipros Quality Team:
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF I.T. SECTOR
15,000+ employees trained in Six Sigma methodologies
180+ certified Black Belts & 850+ live Six Sigma projects
Over 200 PMI certified consultants
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF I.T. SECTOR
Fact Sheet
Wipro becomes the first Indian IT Service Provider to be awarded Gold-Level Status in
the Microsoft Windows Embedded Partner Program
Wipro is the worlds largest independent R&D Services Provider
Worlds first PCMM Level 5 software company
Wipro one among the few companies in the world to be assessed at maturity Level 5 for
CMMI V1.2 across offshore and onsite development
Worlds first IT Services Company to use Six Sigma
The pioneers in applying Lean Manufacturing techniques to IT services
Worlds first SEI CMM/CMMI Level 5 IT services company
The first to get the BS15000 certification for its Global Command Center
Functional RFID Enabled Concept Store and Global Data Synchronization Laboratory
BS7799 and ISO 9000 certified
Among the top 3 offshore BPO service providers in the world
Wipro is a strategic partner to five of the top ten most innovative companies in the world
Technology Review Innovation Index 2005
Over 55 industry facing Centers of Excellence'
95000+ employees
54 development centers across globe
No. 2 in Indian Domestic IT Services Market
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF I.T. SECTOR
Management:
Azim H. Premji
Chairman, Wipro Limited
Azim Premji is a graduate in Electrical Engineering from Stanford University, USA. Azim
Premji has led Wipro since 1966. Then a $2 million hydrogenated cooking fat company, Wipro
Limited is today a $5 billion revenue IT, BPO and R&D Services organization with presence in
over 50 countries. Premji started at Wipro with one basic idea - to build an organization which
was deeply committed to Values, in the firm belief that success in business would be its
inevitable, eventual outcome. Unflinching commitment to Values continues to remain at the core
of Wipro.
Girish S. Paranjpe
Jt. CEO, IT Business
Member of the Board
Wipro Ltd.
Girish S Paranjpe is the new Jt. Chief Executive Officer of Wipros IT Business alongside
Suresh Vaswani and is an Executive Director in the Board of Wipro Limited. He jointly carries
the overall responsibility for the strategy and operations of Wipros IT Business. He takes over
this new role effective April 2008 and will report into the Chairman of the Company Mr. Azim
Premji.
Suresh Vaswani
Jt.- CEO, IT BusinessMember of the Board
Wipro LimitedSuresh Vaswani is the Jt. Chief Executive Officer of Wipros IT Business and is a Member of the
Board of Wipro Limited. He jointly carries the overall responsibility for the strategy and
operations of Wipros IT Business. Suresh has been with Wipro for 23 years in various
leadership positions and has been responsible for Wipros leadership position in differentiated
global practices and emerging markets.
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF I.T. SECTOR
58
STOCK DATA:
Market Cap (bn)Rs 553Book
Value per share (Rs)79Eq Shares
O/S (FV Rs5) (mn)1455Free
Float (%)25Avg Traded Value (6
mnths) (Rs mn)57652 week
High/Low (Rs)494/180
TOP SHAREHOLDERS:
Name% holdingHSBC Global
Investment Funds1.7Life
Insurance Corporation of
India1.3
PERFORMANCE (%):
1M3M 12MAbsolute
(1.2)64.0(22.5)Relative
(2.7)1.6(19.5)
RELATIVE
PERFORMANCE:
Unwavering new client additionThere is no significant fall in the new client addition in spite of the challengingenvironment in FY 09. This was an effect of the CGSL in the last financialyear. However the strong business model and significant uptake in largedeals have led to the steady new client addition.Hiring Freeze in FY09- Helps it emerge as a winner amongst its peersThe company had adopted a hiring freeze after observing the challengingglobal scenario. The utilisation rate stood at 75.8% and the company expectsit to improve further after the full impact of lower headcount will be witnessedin the next few quarters. With abundant supply of human resources in themarket, Wipro can hire according to their requirements and thus poised at abetter position than its peers who are opting for techniques like benching thestaff due to slowdown in the business.Large deals in the pipeline expected to provide volume growthThe company has witnessed a significant uptake in the large deals pipeline.These deal flows are mainly from verticals like telecom, energy & utilities.The Total Contract Value for the company has been a lot better in FY09 thanprevious years. The growth from EMEA & emerging markets has alsocontributed to this deal pipeline.RISKSAppreciating rupee, deterioration in the demand environment, absence oflarge business transformational deals and competition from the global peerscould drag the earnings downwards.
VALUATIONS:
KEY FINANCIALS
Rs mnFY07FY08FY09Net Sales149,433197,428254,564YoY Gr.
(%)40.832.128.9Op.Profits30,15333,56543,288OPM
(%)20.21717Adjusted Net Profit29,17032,24135,078YoY Gr.
(%)43.910.58.8
KEY RATIOSFY07FY08FY09Dil. EPS (Rs)20.222.223.6ROCE
(%)29.222.924.3ROE (%)28.824.724.3PER (x)18.417.015.9EV/Net
Sales (x)3.52.72.0EV/EBIDTA (x)15.913.210.1
WIPRO LTD.
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF I.T. SECTOR
SWOT Analysis:
Strengths:
Cost advantage
Innovation
Strong management team
Strong brand equity
Strong financial position
Reputation management
Weaknesses:
Management Weaknesses
Low R&D
Weak, damaged brand
Opportunity:
Emerging markets and expansion abroad
Innovation
Online
Product and services expansion
Threats:
Competition
Economic slowdown
External changes (government, politics, taxes, etc)
Exchange rate fluctuations
Lower cost competitors or imports
Maturing categories, products, or services
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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF I.T. SECTOR
6.4 HCL TECH:
HCL Technologies is a leading global IT services company, working with clients in the areas
that impact and redefine the core of their businesses. Since its inception into the global landscapeafter its IPO in 1999, HCL focuses on 'transformational outsourcing', underlined by innovation
and value creation, and offers integrated portfolio of services including software-led IT solutions,
remote infrastructure management, engineering and R&D services and BPO. HCL leverages its
extensive global offshore infrastructure and network of offices in 20 countries to provide holistic,
multi-service delivery in key industry verticals including Financial Services, Manufacturing,
Aerospace & Defense, Telecom, Retail & CPG, Life Sciences & Healthcare, Media &
Entertainment, Travel, Transportation & Logistics, Automotive, Government, Energy &
Utilities. HCL takes pride in its philosophy of 'Employee First' which empowers our 54,216
transformers to create a real valu