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Strategies to Reap Operational Gains From
Smart Manufacturing and Industrial IoT
SAP Forest Products, Paper, and Packaging Forum October 22nd, 2015
Valentijn de Leeuw
Vice President
ARC Advisory Group
2© ARC Advisory Group
What ARC Does
ARC helps Suppliers
• Accelerate Revenue Growth & Manage Costs
• Bring Products & Services to Market Faster and more Effectively
ARC helps Industrial Companies
• Understand the Value of Emerging Technologies
• Choose Appropriate Suppliers for their Unique Needs
• Implement Operational Best Practices
Blog: Newsletter:http://industrial-iot.com http://industrial-iot.com/subscribe-to-newsletter/
3© ARC Advisory Group
Contents
Smart Manufacturing and Industrial IoT
• A winning strategy?
Initiatives, Technologies and Application Examples
• Vocabulary
• Key Initiatives SMLC, Industrie 4.0 and Horizon 2020
• Innovators’ application examples
Industrial data analytics
IoT Reference Architectures and Standards
• Standards-based integration
People and IoT
• Social sustainability
• Human – machine integration
5© ARC Advisory Group
Smart manufacturing or Industrial IoT: A strategy for growth?
Strategy for growth?
Hype?
Miss the train?
6© ARC Advisory Group
If Germany can, others can as well!
Manufacturing contributes over-proportionally to
• Trade, export
• R&D, Innovation
• Productivity growth
Multiplier effect on the rest of the economy
Source: McKinsey Manufacturing report 2012
7© ARC Advisory Group
Innovation, Manufacturing and Growth
Value of EU manufacturing has been declining
• Price decreases related to productivity growth!
Comparative international advantage
• Industries with high manufacturing complexity, technology content and quality
Energy cost and price have a significant impact on industrial competitiveness
Source: EU Competitiveness report 2014
8© ARC Advisory Group
Manufacturing Innovation as economic engine
Innovation improves non-cost competitiveness
• Product, process and productivity innovation
• Value-based competiveness raises value of output
• Productivity growth has a net positive impact on employment
Source: McKinsey Manufacturing report 2012, EU Competitiveness report 2013
Source: EU Competitiveness report 2014
R&D and down-turn resilience
Manufacturing and Service innovators have
• More employment growth during upturns
• Less employment decline during downturns
9© ARC Advisory Group
Manufacturing growth and competitiveness
Manufacturing
• Resilience
• Competitiveness
• Growth
Are correlated with a High degree of
• Technology intensity
• Technology/manufacturing complexity
• Quality
DE
Complexity index 2010 versus 1995
SEUK
FRIT
ES
Impacted by Smart Manufacturing
11© ARC Advisory Group
Smart Manufacturing
• Advanced Manufacturing
• Modular production
• Additive production
• …
• Smart Manufacturing Technologies
• Industrial Internet of Things (IIoT)
• IT and Automation based technologies
• …
Smart Manufacturing Initiatives
vo•cab•u•la•ry (vō-kăbˈyə-lĕrˌē)
12© ARC Advisory Group
Smart Manufacturing Initiatives
Smart Manufacturing Leadership Coalition (US)
(High Value Manufacturing) Catapult (UK)
Industrial Internet Consortium (International)
Industrie 4.0 (Germany, Intl.)
Industrie du Futur (France)
Horizon 2020 (EU)
SPIRE (Sustainable process industries by Resource and Energy Efficiency
Factory of the Future
Alliance for IoT Innovation (EU)
Confederation of Indian Industries’ Smart Manufacturing (India)
Made in China 2025 (China)
Different visions for different outcomes
13© ARC Advisory Group
Key Characteristics
• Revitalize US manufacturing since 2006, innovation
• Oil and Gas, Process and Hybrid focused
• Engineering, Manufacturing and Supply Chain
• Private-public partnerships
• Open SM platform, test beds, market place (standards)
• Step-change improvements• Project cost and
duration• Efficiency, productivity,
cost reduction• Flexibilty and agility• Sustainability and safety
Smart Manufacturing Leadership Coalition
14© ARC Advisory Group
Industrie 4.0
Key Characteristics• German > International
• Rather discrete focused
• ALM, Manufacturing and Supply Chain
• Private-public partnerships
• Technology / Approach
• Digitalization
• IT/OT/Process integration
• Ubiquitous sensing / CPS
• Big data – analytics
• Step change or gradual change
• Industry growth, biz models
• Project cost and duration
• Efficiency, productivity, cost reduction
• Flexibilty and agility
• Sustainability and safety
15© ARC Advisory Group
Interpretation by ThyssenKrupp
More flexible reaction on customer requests
Reduce cost
Increase quality
Increase throughput
Reduce environmental footprint
Goals
Source: R. Achatz, ThyssenKrupp, Orlando 2015
16© ARC Advisory Group
Interpretation by ThyssenKrupp
(Industrial) IT security
Seamless vertical integration
Smart Tools
Smart Factory
Cross-factory Exchange
Seamless Engineering
Support and skill development
Actions
Source: R. Achatz, ThyssenKrupp, Orlando 2015
17© ARC Advisory Group
Increased throughput in existing plant
Industrie 4.0 at ThyssenKrupp
Supply chain
integration
• Thyssen-Krupp and clients
• Pull manufacturing
• Throughput increase
• Avoid equipment/ surface size increase
Other SC examples: Supply Chain Operating Networks
Source: R. Achatz, ThyssenKrupp, Orlando 2015
18© ARC Advisory Group
Improve flexibility and time-to-marketPlug & Produce!
Unit
Line Controller
MES
SAP
PackML
Industrie 4.0: ISA-88 based PackML at Arla Foods
• Standard integration of equipment in packaging process
• Reduced engineering and integration with several months
Source: Arla Foods
19© ARC Advisory Group
Intermezzo: implications of industry trends
Industry pressures
• Increased pressure on flexibility, agility, sustainability and productivity
• Smaller batches
• Shortened time-to-market
Requirements for Paper and Packaging
• Flexibility, agility, reactivity and smaller batch sizes
• Reduced environmental footprint and cost
• Increased service levels
• Shortened time to market, product changes, etc.
21© ARC Advisory Group
Predictive maintenance at Storaenso
Red
uce m
an
ual erro
r
A
uto
mate
d t
rig
ger o
f m
ain
ten
an
ce
B
en
efi
t: R
ed
uced
do
wn
tim
e
Source: JP Vande Maele, Storaenso, OSIsoft EMEA UC 2015
22© ARC Advisory Group
Optimizing Manufacturing with IoT at IntelExample of Industrial Quality Analytics
IoT solution in parallel with MES
• Flat architecture
• Processing at the ‘edge’
• Controller connection to Cloud
• Storage, analytics and predictions
Complex partner network
Case 1: predictive combined asset and quality analytics: 9M$ benefits
• Reduce non-genuine off-spec (losses -25%)
• Predictive maintenance (cost -20%)
Two other cases with major benefits
Lessons for other sectors
• Incremental Industrial IoT application
• Large data streams from ubiquitous sensing need large bandwidth
• Data selection at controller level
• Wide range of analytics applications possible
http://www.intel.com/content/www/us/en/internet-of-things/white-papers/industrial-optimizing-manufacturing-with-iot-paper.html
23© ARC Advisory Group
Emerging Architecture – Analytics
Plant Operations
CorporatePurchasingEngineering
Central Central Headquarter
Maintenance
Central
Device buses
Production Management
Logic & Motion
Discrete ControlProcess Control
Infrastructure (Networks…)
Wireless
HMI / Workstations
Fieldbus
Application Specific
Appliances
Safety
Production site
Machine Manufacturer
3rd Parties
Service Provider
Physical asset with sensors, actuators
Local IoT Compute and Communicate module
Smart Machine
IoT Smart Module
Connected Assets Using IIoT
New IoT Analytics and Applications
Purdue Hierarchy
IIoT Hierarchy
Enterprise
24© ARC Advisory Group
From MRPII to Advanced P&S and Analytics
Collaborative
Forecasting
and
Demand
Management
Supply
&
Demand
Balancing
Scheduling
And
Capable to Promise
Rough Cut Capacity Planning
Distribution RequirementsPlanning
Sales and Operations Planning
Master Production Scheduling
Material Requirements Planning
Infinite CapacityScheduling
Available toPromise
Statistical Forecastin
g
Towards
Predictive
Supply Chain
Analytics and
Network
Optimization
25© ARC Advisory Group
1bData Points
Storaenso Langerbrugge site, Belgium. Source: JVandeMaele OSIsoft EMEA UC 2015
27© ARC Advisory Group
Your Grandfather’s BI & Analytics…
OperationalSystems
(ERP, MES, SCM,Financials etc.)
DataWarehouse
12
6
39
1
2
5
4
7
8
10
11
28© ARC Advisory Group
Add Velocity, Volume and Variety…
OperationalSystems,
M2M Data, Partner
Data, PublicData, Textual…
DataWarehouse
12
6
39
1
2
5
4
7
8
10
11
29© ARC Advisory Group
…Has Too Much Latency for IIoT
OperationalSystems
(ERP, MES, SCM,Financials etc.)
DataWarehouse
Events Insight
30© ARC Advisory Group
Cutting Latency
OperationalSystems,
M2M Data, Partner
Data, PublicData, Textual…
DataWarehouse
1. MergedDatabase
31© ARC Advisory Group
Cutting Latency
2. Stream Processing (CEP)3. Predictive Analytics
OperationalSystems
(ERP, MES, SCM,Financials etc.)
DataWarehouse
32© ARC Advisory Group
Complex Event Processing
Complex Event Processing(aka Event Streaming)
Real-TimeAutomatedDecisions
Data Streams
33© ARC Advisory Group
What Predictive Analytics Isn’t…
3834
5117
6448
7908
9181
1149710788
10021
8341
Dow JonesIndustrial Average
35© ARC Advisory Group
Energy AnalyticsHistorical data analysis, process knowledge, actions
Real-time energy performance monitoring
• Heat recovery at AbitibiBowater Kenogami
• Analysis – Operational rules
• Savings 600.000 Euro/annum
• no CAPEX
Source: PEPiTE, Belgium
36© ARC Advisory Group
Value from Variety (Unstructured Data)
OperationalSystems,
M2M Data, Partner
Data, PublicData, Textual…
DataWarehouse
4. Text Analytics
37© ARC Advisory Group
Process AnalyticsComparison of real-time and historical fingerprint
S
toraen
so
’sexp
erim
en
t w
ith
D
Sq
uare’s
TR
EN
DM
IN
ER
Source: JP Vande Maele, Storaenso, OSIsoft EMEA UC 2015
39© ARC Advisory Group
The Cloud
Industrial Data Analytics
• Smart manufacturing technology
In the Cloud
• Industrial IoT application
43© ARC Advisory Group
Analytics Levels and Methodologies
Level 1
: h
isto
ric
al rep
orti
ng
•Report
ing,
analy
sis
Level 2
: p
red
icti
ve a
naly
tics
•Fore
casting
Level 3
: p
rescrip
tive a
naly
tics
•Recom
mendations,
optim
ization
Source: Tim Sharpe, Energy management at Sabic UK, Sabisu, EIF 2015
45© ARC Advisory Group
Reference Architecture Model Industrie 4.0 (RAMI4.0)
VDI/VDE, ZVEI, and Industrie 4.0 Plattform WG 2
• Progress report April 2015 / Update July 2015
• Builds upon• IEC 62264 and 61512 (ISA-88 and ISA-95)
• Extends to connected device and value chain network
• IEC 62890 (life cycles Design/Production/Usage)
• I40 components can be built from existing objects plus I40 Admin shell (connector)
• Requirements definition
46© ARC Advisory Group
Overview of ISA 88/ ISA 95 standards (1)Levels and functions used in ISA-95 family of standards
Level 4
Level 1
Level 2
Level 3
Business Planning & LogisticsPlant Production Scheduling,Operational Management, etc.
Manufacturing
Operations ManagementDispatching Production, Detailed ProductionScheduling, Reliability Assurance, ...
Batch
Control
Discrete,
Packaging
Control
Continuous
Control1 - Sensing the production process, manipulating the
production process
2 - Monitoring, supervisory control and automated control of the production process
3 - Work flow / recipe control to produce the desired end products. Maintaining records and optimizing the production process.
Time FrameDays, Shifts, hours, minutes, seconds
4 - Basic plant schedule - production, material use, delivery, and shipping. Determining inventory levels.
Time FrameMonths, weeks, days
Level 0 0 - The actual production process
Level 5Business Management
5 - Strategic level, long term business planning,Financial, HR ..
Time FrameYears, Quarters, Months, Weeks
Adapted from ISA95 and A. Svendsen, Arla Foods
47© ARC Advisory Group
The rationale for using open standard integration
Proprietary Solutions
PI-PCS ……
SAP Business Connector / XML
MESSystem X Plant A,B,C ..
MESSystem Y Plant M,N,..
MESSystem ..Plant ..
PLC PCS
Open Standards
SAP R/3 MM – PP-PI – QM
PLCPLC PLC
SAP R/3 MM – PP-PI – QM
MES/PCSPlant X
MES/PCSPlant Y
MES/PCSPlant ..
PI-PCS …
MES/PCS
…
ISA-95/WBF standard (B2MML XML)
Source: A. Svendsen, Arla Foods
48© ARC Advisory Group
Overview of ISA 88/ ISA 95 standards (2)Zoom in on Levels 3 – 4
Business Planning & LogisticsPlant Production Scheduling,Operational Management, etc
ManufacturingOperations & ControlDispatching Production, Detailed ProductionScheduling, Reliability Assurance, ...
BatchControl
DiscreteControl
ContinuousControl
PI-PCS ……
SAP XI
MESSystem X Plant A,B,C ..
MESSystem Y Plant M,N,..
MESSystem ..Plant ..
PLC PCS
SAP R/3
MM – PP-PI – QM
PLCPLC PLC
ISA-95/WBF standard
(B2MML XML)
Adapted from ISA95 and A. Svendsen, Arla Foods
49© ARC Advisory Group
Efficient intra-company integration
Scenario 1: Company1 acquires Company 2
• Most likely ERP2 will be replaced over time• Most likely several MES platform will remain (cost)
Scenario 2: Company1 outsources part of mfg. to Company 2
• All systems will remain => even more new interfaces ..
Adapted: A. Svendsen, Arla Foods
MES 1 MES 2
MES 3
ERP 1 ERP 2 Company 2Company 1
50© ARC Advisory Group
Costs and benefits of standards-based integration
Specification:
• 2 domains, 2 projects, double project management!
R/3-configuration
• needed extra configuration for integration minimal
xMII
• Hourly rates on xMII/MES at acceptable 85 Euro/hour
Site-implementation, approx. 8-900 hours total (2007) + License costs pr. site
2003-2006 2007 2008
Specification
R/3 -config
MES-config
Testing +
go-live
24
x7
XI-config
24
x7Specification
R/3 -config
MES-config
Testing + go-live
24
x7
xMII-config24x7
R/3 -config
MES-config
Testing +go-live
24
x7
xMII-config
24x7
Specification
Adapted from A. Svendsen, Arla Foods
52© ARC Advisory Group
Improve productivity AND well-being
Social sustainability at work
• Johnsonville Foods
• Harley Davidson (motor cycles)
• Zappos shoes
• Chronoflex (ind. Services)
• Auchan (retail)
• Fabi (automotive components)
• Belgian ministry of social security
53© ARC Advisory Group
We continue to need unique human skills
, collaborative forecasts,
engaged social networking, motivation,
sustainable value eco-systems, decision making …
54© ARC Advisory Group
Human-Machine Integration
Human
• Provide data to the system
• Need to develop trust
• Assesses, delegates, interprets, judges and decides with consciousness and skill
Cognitive agents unload the human
Semantic interaction: meaningful human-
system communication
Source: Maurice Wilkins, Valentijn de Leeuw
Machine
• Allows focusing on problem solving and decision making
• Provide context
• Ecological interface design
Predictive analytics proposes actions
Acts ethically and with compassion
55© ARC Advisory Group
Implementation Strategies
Target radical efficiency improvements
• Start small
Choose areas of innovation in line with business strategy and sector needs
• Per production type, process or plant type
Set goals, define KPI’s
• Improve product, material, substance performance if possible
• Innovate business models (e.g. circular) and value creation ecosystem
• Sustainability
Assessment methodology and Roadmap
• Maturity model, business case, roadmap
• Feasible roadmap, with regular updates
56© ARC Advisory Group
Take away and recommendations For competitiveness, growth and resilience,
• Use the possibilities offered by smart manufacturing, smart supply chains and IIoT
Brace for more volatile and agile supply chains
• Use supply chain analytics and supply chain management to dampen volatility
Modern analytics reduce latency to decision making
• In memory merged data warehouse, stream or complex event processing
• Include unstructured information, data science and domain experts for optimal discovery, predictive and prescriptive analytics
Standards-based integration of OM, SCM and ERP
• Can substantially reduce integration cost (of M&A)
Make/update a IoT/Smart Manufacturing strategy and roadmap
Change management
• Sustainable culture change requires multi-level leadership qualities
Acknowledgement
David White
Senior Analyst
ARC Advisory Group
@addicted2data
IIoT Newsletter: http://industrial-iot.com/subscribe-to-newsletter/
Logistics Viewpoints: http://logisticsviewpoints.com
Thanks to David for the analysis and survey on IIoT, big data and analytics