Stock Market Liquidity and Country Fundamentals

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Stock Market Liquidity and Country Fundamentals. Ser-Huang Poon Michael Rockinger Konstantinos Stathopoulos. Risk Management Consideration. Amihud (2002) Illiquid if price impact is high:. What drives liquidity (in different countries)?. Country fundamentals - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • Stock Market Liquidity and Country FundamentalsSer-Huang PoonMichael RockingerKonstantinos Stathopoulos

  • Risk Management Consideration

  • Amihud (2002)Illiquid if price impact is high:

  • What drives liquidity (in different countries)?Country fundamentalsComputer technology, automated tradingLiquidity funding management and territory of operationRisk regulations and territorial divide

  • Liquidity Black HoleLiquidity dries up during sell-off and asset can be sold only at a fire-sale price (price decline scenario).Computer models used by different traders are similar.Financial institutions are regulated in the same way and respond the same way to changes in volatility and correlation.HerdingLiquidity funding management

  • Amihuds emailVolatility of economic variablesLegal variablesCountry economic variables

  • Legal VariablesLegal originFinancial regulationInsider trading and other lawsEnforcement variables

  • Volatility of Economic VariablesVolatility of industrial production or other index of economic activityVolatility of monetary variables Various definition of moneyInterest rate

  • Country Economic VariablesPer capita income, growth, new investment, new firmsInvestment by individuals (India, China)Institutions activity (% managed by funds)Market cap compared to economyMeasure of float(???), in some countries, the market float is large but the float is small.

  • Capital Market GovernanceDaouk, Lee and Ng (2006, JCF)CMG indexEarnings opacityEnforcement of insider laws, Removal of short selling restrictionsPerformanceLow cost of equityHigh liquidityEfficient pricing

  • Capital Market GovernanceDaouk, Lee and Ng (2006, JCF)32 countries; Not focus on crisisGood governance => good performance => liquidityNot focus on crisis

  • Sample: 37 Stock Markets 1996-2007

  • Illiquidity Measure 1

    Chart1

    0.3357

    0.7532

    0.9325

    1.2291

    1.3578

    1.7088

    1.7805

    1.9112

    2.3356

    2.3515

    2.3693

    2.4804

    2.5648

    2.5656

    2.739

    3.1268

    3.3423

    3.5067

    3.7073

    3.8993

    4.0918

    4.1401

    4.4169

    4.5983

    4.7204

    6.3266

    6.5011

    7.2317

    7.838

    8.631

    9.1108

    9.3648

    10.8968

    13.0686

    16.7295

    31.2996

    34.7628

    IL

    Daouk

    Countries1IL1IL2IL3EarnOpacCMGidxCostofEquityExpectedRetVol/CapMktDepthVolatilitySyncronicityUS/MktCapIPOretShortSellPutInsiderEnforceDaoukIL1IL2IL3

    Australia4.4172.9690.7386.315.620.1120.1140.040.740.050.06-1.470.12196919821996MktDepth0.2350.200-0.245

    Austria4.7201.2810.4085.314.770.1540.0870.040.880.050.090.840.0619691991NoCost of Equity0.0010.035-0.209

    Belgium10.8974.1620.7296.596.220.1130.0930.010.320.040.15-1.980.15196919921994CMG Index0.2850.388-0.198

    Chile13.0693.3310.482450.0470.0770.010.210.050.21-2.10.09No19941996US/MktCap-0.049-0.011-0.138

    Denmark3.7072.5870.3105.645.480.1390.0940.020.450.040.07-1.490.05196919901996Vol/Cap0.0780.082-0.105

    Finland2.7391.5320.8295.726.090.0940.1130.14-0.720.1No19881993EarnOpac0.2860.370-0.023

    France34.7635.5310.6996.368.450.1420.1130.030.750.050.07-1.130.12196919871975Expected Ret-0.0180.1110.063

    Germany8.6312.6160.4735.545.620.1010.1020.143.570.050.11-1.770.28196919901995IPO return-0.528-0.4370.092

    HK4.5982.6400.59953.830.1640.1260.040.620.070.15-2.240.17199419931994Syncronicity-0.225-0.2090.135

    India1.2290.9710.7133.950.980.1150.0760.030.580.060.19-2.370.35NoNoNoVolatility-0.274-0.2060.247

    Italy1.3581.0570.5424.414.980.1080.1050.030.450.060.18-1.220.22196919951996

    Japan9.3652.9940.7244.056.40.0570.120.030.540.060.23-2.520.28196919891990

    Korea3.8992.2120.6933.474.49-0.0920.0890.060.720.120.17-1.710.74No19971988

    Malaysia1.9110.9260.7884.461.92-0.0050.1150.020.290.070.43-1.771.041996No1996

    Mexico4.0923.0240.3736.525.170.0050.1060.040.640.080.29-0.650.331969NoNo

    Norway4.1403.5290.67876.850.120.1110.040.860.060.12-0.960.13No19901990IL1IL2IL3US/MktCapIPOret

    Portugal9.1112.0930.77975.330.0720.0960.030.660.040.07-1.330.111986NoNoIL11

    Singapore1.7091.4200.1534.897.960.0640.1150.020.410.050.19-1.980.3196919931978IL20.85641025641

    SouthAfrica0.7530.5740.9044.744.580.0910.1110.020.370.060.2-2.20.3319691992NoIL3-0.1822222222-0.29641025641

    Sweden0.3360.2660.7765.596.40.1510.1050.030.610.060.14-0.940.31199319871990US/MktCap-0.0486590926-0.0112290214-0.13849126361

    Switzerland2.3691.5610.2615.595.630.150.1060.041.070.05-1.250.35196919881995IPOret-0.5280464739-0.43717015760.0922532301-0.33475678041

    Taiwan7.8382.5990.6874.897.960.0310.0930.141.920.080.41-3.360.311980No1989

    Thailand2.3520.9680.7525.293.81-0.1010.0820.040.550.090.27-2.430.47NoNo1993

    Turkey2.5651.5950.7784.784.040.0830.080.070.60.140.39-1.450.131995No1996

    UK2.5661.7640.7055.928.310.1320.1160.051.190.040.06-1.970.17196919841981

    USA3.1272.0030.6157.498.830.0830.1060.061.950.040.020.990.18196919731969

    IL1IL2IL3EarnOpacCMGidxCostofEquityExpectedRet

    IL11

    IL20.85641025641

    IL3-0.1822222222-0.29641025641

    EarnOpac0.28555740640.3695044029-0.02339506461

    CMGidx0.2848773360.3879033629-0.19844610540.56720685671

    CostofEquity0.00136474270.0348009381-0.20948799980.31682911950.20106845961

    ExpectedRet-0.01833698730.11105986650.06331450330.21800897550.37301693640.17795091051

    IL1IL2IL3Vol/CapMktDepthVolatility

    IL11

    IL20.85649101731

    IL3-0.170346286-0.27473756981

    Vol/Cap0.0779775440.0823967487-0.10514058091

    MktDepth0.23549297760.1996654891-0.24486211990.80096393651

    Volatility-0.2743102155-0.20590210610.24740125580.2957540801-0.12881381951

    Daouk

    IL1

    IL2

    IL3

    MacroSD

    Countries1IL1IL2IL3FDIGDPGDPgrowthCPIIrspreadListedDomesticLtTunempListedFirm%GDPM2/GDPM2Real IRStockValTradedStockTOUnEmpIL1IL2IL3StockValTradedStockTOUnEmpIL1IL2IL3

    Argentina2.4801.8750.6711.990103525.31026.5800238.3590053.78967218.051326.482163.156818305000000008.5353312.72111610.060822.01106725868112StockValTraded-0.3861003861-0.40823680820.2458172458

    Australia4.4172.9690.7382.5549861350.3320.94731111.2914350.3442954151.06434.52229915.090454.7827871290000000001.5961416.2263315.439241.06742131282528269StockTO-0.2550836551-0.26537966540.4110682111

    Austria4.7201.2810.4081.1405231219.7371.0735610.63655770.1701637.5182163.2918828.4207440.54051793.3563915.340650.383574436351925622LT Unemploy-0.2215662147-0.33212374210.5071385125

    Belgium10.8974.1620.72927.517361147.2691.0713860.57560930.406045313.28815.64511546.938520.75593316.09511867.544541.1591651923315811CPI-0.07129987130.04736164740.1853281853

    Chile13.0693.3310.4822.004555341.94112.2934421.7601480.977615120.3665119.358374.84865862900000000006.0343843.2995483.4107031.15717929248182010M2/GDP-0.0565778699-0.14463550290.0064098455

    China3.3421.9660.7240.6422654230.71451.0171782.766170.3589621278.04589.87309517.8571169800000000002.580989.95200374.291460.5315518323326103418GDPgrowth-0.0393822394-0.01724581720.077992278

    Colombia16.7304.6170.5811.85073965.458822.5459865.5761471.7701928.800217.5648663.493641211000000000005.8596661.3636896.0254892.9267291111231136GDP-0.02754182750.0082368082-0.0537966538

    Czech0.9330.7380.7593.506353446.44372.0052583.3918360.5535088430.90479.2529754.9369933.3631763260000000001.4885747.5345724.470831.644337462227331Unemploy0.00617760620.07052767050.2391248391

    Denmark3.7072.5870.3106.8416741297.0031.0391350.448810.3864126.155653.1897688.8317483.232048939000000000.68904112.0064512.355930.7385965141521303116FDI0.0190476190.00823680820.0146718147

    Finland2.7391.5320.8292.7098711922.9541.4960850.89433730.417855722.872883.08654969.168891.50259750.274433.576481.9006861131292327IR spread0.06439117470.1375570526-0.2017103386

    France34.7635.5310.6990.80586061135.6981.1496280.60262750.460831285.84433.13305521.349730.607195920.138111.956251.3159243330112525Real IR0.07333062390.2000416285-0.0011009543

    Germany8.6312.6160.4733.109361880.90310.96427920.44177960.3727944117.71971.61427112.415560.718334315.1385919.144640.7150405151035333029M20.45208494540.34724435580.268823111

    HK4.5982.6400.5999.1937812213.0554.1524863.6294881.133344184.5107114.507334.522824490000000004.06764564.4639620.340931.8379232727201214

    India1.2290.9710.7130.193962659.546871.928012.977932483.162914.060327.13512855400000000001.06095222.1974860.955330.350333126227141815

    Indonesia6.5013.4370.5931.69342455.286365.48750215.339813.9062128.8613310.587723.79126127700000000000010.593974.31760430.273032.04344871220191019

    Israel1.7811.5680.7041.163794414.40112.4287553.717570.914691131.9785818.783410.279111040000000001.76911415.818315.060571.2156435710222723

    Italy1.3581.0570.5420.4136135687.66681.2907390.61565670.470328219.396232.78963913.363831.77629617.8280126.721961.35620716191436327

    Japan9.3652.9940.7240.0781518990.59571.4892780.75444220.2505511365.39574.74981718.0357512.94512782000000000000.562824724.6371425.727270.6912311202118343624

    Korea3.8992.2120.6930.60196531283.2634.2454281.7067870.4539548272.77741.00287324.9581913.509031430000000000002.31467860.3184382.893941.55389717182413354

    Malaysia1.9110.9260.7881.327698252.61274.6754941.2115890.5495221125.087954.129487.3606741040000000003.18071648.9358116.808710.4070137302033161720

    Mexico4.0923.0240.3730.5206864325.32512.0493839.3459972.74674920.521090.44143316.9779762.1110754500000000003.1956342.9766455.715570.687020869126713

    Norway4.1403.5290.6781.353621871.3591.3789140.81207190.159825818.153143.1060939.4669422.4232211120000000005.35854712.7513917.234480.55439062236241435

    Peru7.2322.7020.3421.241281101.18322.4896523.3810892.01606622.992157.1693313.397676110000000005.7758422.0129438.3791031.239766843432153

    Philippines6.3272.4610.4320.972478360.314712.0252881.9000540.90216596.60041220.605343.0739935000000000001.71172810.0370717.550651.0790121295628

    Poland2.3361.9210.6431.090171472.91941.6905885.9865391.03338748.923567.5272467.640994.347207851000000003.3976152.15256719.017813.4732599171541936

    Portugal9.1112.0930.7791.917259557.65861.9927720.66656760.966860938.619167.65418710.134492.63151212.1946817.40031.22868110529232412

    Russia3.5071.7210.7200.5808772308.47414.74039522.0704824.0876358.5147310.0590219.220084.445377219000000000023.665687.66546419.697192.041226242513352228

    Singapore1.7091.4200.1534.0086661829.5834.28890.78932690.801490992.8038336.6765712.65762321000000002.88038521.3546312.046561.02875722321717165

    SouthAfrica0.7530.5740.9041.7257136.65811.5706152.2027640.408198111.828434.622032.3643221870000000002.94054819.1115915.990383.080935282643421

    Sweden0.3360.2660.7766.3921822008.981.2467430.84479380.669101918.500865.53887419.92490.5256567907000000001.22597531.9702322.188521.8094143434112334

    Switzerland2.3691.5610.2611.997332995.95561.1905460.38172530.673626424.34545.16124746.268887.237723587000000000.976358143.1255815.847570.6274417333097117

    Thailand2.3520.9680.7521.754263174.10874.9815072.4590310.615886831.3131721.4880510.0744110900000000003.47283218.4293423.641240.81916671216165531

    Turkey2.5651.5950.7780.7965986203.6525.47235827.8432924.855418.34004613.001056.7649167870000000000000017.8218927.42551.66652927311292933

    UK2.5661.7640.7052.2736431701.0080.51609010.6310810.0956992262.73765.94257222.829231.21450942.665839.449561.1089613536281930

    USA3.1272.0030.6150.90284551927.061.1670390.61579751409.9971.81094420.579784.13354713400000000002.06157670.6258641.168230.6698038181423122132

    Venezuela31.3007.4390.7521.789193355.29877.71975224.722832.17845416.6324.3238431.1679741880000000000015.009321.28558112.792921.976891131332212826

    MacroSD

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    IL1

    IL2

    IL3

    MacroMN

    Countries1IL1IL2IL3CorruptionFDIGDPGDPgrowthGINICPIIrspreadListedDomesticLtTunempListedFirm%GDPM2/GDPM2NewBussReal IRStockValTradedStockTOUnEmpIL1IL2IL3StockValTradedStockTOUnEmpIL1IL2IL3

    Argentina2.4801.8750.6714.332.9806517548.0871.4222850.944485.1784225.376828116.194440.6586627.36566982000000004260110.437324.11428712.324615.826051216161432M2-0.6499299639-0.65161332150.0296636024

    Australia4.4172.9690.7381.75618821110.952.3535592.4811574.9678391330.89727.3371794.7725665.019245010000000003542805.95003858.2571861.499416.76714923272717276Unemployed-0.3992277992-0.34517374520.0751608752

    Austria4.7201.2810.4082.13941423774.071.86395429.151.7157133.697.9061325.5870719.80795121205.526.68982839.901694.0561282586332616GINI-0.3860216447-0.36952932430.1158769886

    Belgium10.8974.1620.72923.8539122318.141.72854832.971.8865524.628798156.096255.9898982.78603480335.59113417.6311345.596727.912128323326232210IR spread-0.3860216447-0.36952932430.1158769886

    Chile13.0693.3310.48212.876.6096365003.5033.01090856.666493.8765824.153498261.740192.4724147.34624225000000000007.4443299.14558211.03177.3322983330936284Real IR-0.3816088399-0.34705882350.097841795

    China3.3421.9660.72427.333.6383031025.5558.21944146.91.583923.2306211099.23631.74782129.8773164000000000003526964.00479734.24218143.56273.559962171824302530Corruption-0.3114065107-0.1900871811-0.1239734571

    Colombia16.7304.6170.5812.643.5491152052.0670.490463657.9265710.993557.958506136.848118.3979624.5745100000000000012.42711.3959438.58577415.25119343411101618GDP-0.2759330759-0.23783783780.1366795367

    Czech0.9330.7380.75920.236.2818775708.3242.6725425.44.5322534.692824252.773541.5166222.4938564.80711540000000000999153.74071312.4583757.125467.1317453330111820LT Unemploy-0.2363933597-0.12115907240.0008410868

    Denmark3.7072.5870.3104.53039129547.911.74616924.72.1394415.004822210.808422.8656156.5174353.84729717000000000479145.62232138.3220268.088675.10102119233782FDI-0.2064350064-0.23963963960.1276705277

    Finland2.7391.5320.8293.80826822997.223.19110426.881.379693.485164133.368228.21513131.3518238863.52932599.2261180.8117210.5457915103516345M2/GDP-0.1790306052-0.1228600536-0.1080117433

    France34.7635.5310.6992.61076222175.821.6303561.6063223.652102750.667440.3110676.211381988205.10757955.4303174.1712810.57838363519312919NewBuss-0.13612215640.0133285871-0.1106002256

    Germany8.6312.6160.4733.852.13321122784.121.27332628.311.4318856.553383753.173950.2482347.152826784398.90378848.26594125.72748.845319292482893CPI-0.1196911197-0.33281853280.0069498069

    HK4.5982.6400.59916.2528725326.752.71076243.440.0583414.225096848.4011358.8138216.13252880000000000906079.137157186.010556.422915.310851242513203029GDP growth0.02857142860.0774774775-0.1410553411

    India1.2290.9710.71324.980.801931470.60584.69886236.85.796725534.81338.1329252.99675135000000000007.23396251.95092107.28254.6513414622353312Listed Firm%GDP0.1073359073-0.0012870013-0.3657657658

    Indonesia6.5013.4370.59341.510.1156858851.63331.47079333.7379414.346023.122126307.245624.8002847.333887490000000000003.68900411.2116653.158887.033702273112141915StockValTraded0.21106821110.1315315315-0.1876447876

    Israel1.7811.5680.7042.64570117653.850.985896639.24.0452154.499008620.457558.7686690.872884370000000008.39164426.9279243.239388.86149471220252331Listed Domestic0.23114543110.3588159588-0.1111969112

    Italy1.3581.0570.5420.830593918932.160.969233736.032.4306325.344296268.479761.8770644.520223893424.64064742.6785697.35810.2106571012627StockTO0.23140283140.21287001290.0900900901

    Japan9.3652.9940.7240.139969436858.71.025705-0.06557851.9232452731.0925.0220372.26531220.49211000000000000003.16857950.5306269.594564.5217023128256119

    Korea3.8992.2120.6931.01077811144.53.81965931.593.663361.6093411348.4912.42571849.0778960.006214040000000000005.713261115.0287226.96233.976681202118131322

    Malaysia1.9110.9260.7883.5606553948.4742.48405449.152.4391723.437483835.9436157.6473125.17434590000000004.43372468.2718337.887743.1888098434192113

    Mexico4.0923.0240.37317.842.9710125730.412.37283549.0211712.17487.339927170.83731.27552725.7977327.8178216000000000003.9794647.69173930.985312.767662129532368

    Norway4.1403.5290.6782.11237937207.012.23534925.792.0288972.378261184.17368.20426242.7604152.04758710000000000237982.55022235.7719585.92823.845277223217272017

    Peru7.2322.7020.3424.263.1875822104.2411.71432250.679074.43276312.54067217.917426.2355228.68692580000000002573817.054323.49216513.918868.4785532826429157

    Philippines6.3272.4610.43235.171.6214181009.2352.20932245.59275.9147284.309701228.446343.3338155.919432080000000000133285.27596213.0594925.816379.477234262279728

    Poland2.3361.9210.64315.033.4947514440.7694.32328733.325827.7883035.334205.284743.99916.5249836.72412900000000002535198.888875.61481246.4517815.729089171518241

    Portugal9.1112.0930.77914.312.7969510668.531.84923438.452.902134.168699100.220342.8923840.64223278654.82641124.0601659.585855.535277302033243111

    Russia3.5071.7210.72015.371.3960961874.3034.31817644.0355127.1296422.26364221.698318.6181133.2108121.4236725500000000006.1544879.76681630.4989810.165741814238221

    Singapore1.7091.4200.15313.986922393.363.01651342.480.77446363.990525394.0992154.0358106.0523172000000000394576.00095880.1935551.961493.94933691261036

    SouthAfrica0.7530.5740.90416.091.5600653105.5941.42357.785.8864.949797530.0537169.590252.555295710000000001428208.15896955.6728739.6267926.009532236151226

    Sweden0.3360.2660.7766.10205726938.032.51823250.95982763.664655263.377426.82677109.029747.641231210000000000156004.111126101.697995.533947.06817113151434

    Switzerland2.3691.5610.2613.70110733589.820.964927233.680.79558242.882073250.692329.48587235.2548138.6451587000000000219063.38364198.551488.758123.44523411112223225

    Thailand2.3520.9680.75218.272.722872120.7241.85500843.012733.2749544.137655432.372846.60639105.14465870000000000440036.15736836.8207879.539242.02144710529341714

    Turkey2.5651.5950.77816.730.9522952965.3562.68867141.8384651.2049286.958232.7485131.8283237.992729710000000000000045.74672157.94758.4400381313324335

    UK2.5661.7640.7054.26827224420.12.4446935.972.5638662.8633932214.79830.33065151.87093902002.729981115.095984.977075.756171415212133

    USA3.1272.0030.6151.59526434160.472.22138740.812.5145566866.88.176676138.744769.098371300000000004.750211190.6822140.83365.0008091619143524

    Venezuela31.3007.4390.7523.335414767.859-0.064348747.6445532.957288.56940271.101057.76774717.3360622800000000000-3.1913451.06257912.9311213.53649353628213523

    FDIGDPGDPgrowth

    GDP0.24916344921

    GDPgrowth0.174002574-0.16422136421

    MacroMN

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    IL1

    IL2

    IL3

    CG

    37

    Countries1LegalOriginIL1IL2IL3Top10CapTop10TOMktCap/GDPListedCo/popOwnConcAntiSDPubEnforceAntiDirDisclosProsLiabTaxEvasIL1IL2IL30.3287979746

    AustraliaEnglish4.4172.9690.7380.7730.77958.083.100.530.34020.500.220.94Disclosure0.5090.457-0.448

    HKEnglish4.5982.6400.5990.4170.456101.9768.350.280.760.540.750.665.78Anti SelfDeal0.2650.263-0.305Top10TO0.859Top10Cap

    IndiaEnglish1.2290.9710.7130.6290.76516.3912.070.580.2112.50.250.115.69MktCap/GDP0.2190.353-0.299MktCap/GDP

    IsraelEnglish1.7811.5680.70467.1615.490.540.540.530.420.442.87ListedCo/pop0.1470.176-0.293ListedCo/pop0.716MktCap/GDP

    MalaysiaEnglish1.9110.9260.7880.4480.59789.7016.720.450.63140.580.337.25Tax Evas0.0010.061-0.270OwnConc

    SingaporeEnglish1.7091.4200.1530.1450.12143.320.900.76013.81Prospect Liab0.4120.547-0.141AntiSD

    SouthAfricaEnglish0.7530.5740.9040.5820.51414.272.890.630.57030.420.112.82Anti Dir0.5310.415-0.082PubEnforce-0.235AntiSD

    ThailandEnglish2.3520.9680.75220.1910.360.33143.17Pub Enforce-0.050-0.1820.094AntiDir0.577AntiSD0.094PubEnforce

    UKEnglish2.5661.7640.7050.6520.69458.6039.360.450.460.7540.580.556.00Own Conc0.019-0.0480.308Disclos

    USAEnglish3.1272.0030.6150.7190.808177.1128.610.370.4603.50.500.667.38Top10 Cap-0.091-0.2130.385

    ArgentinaFrench2.4801.8750.67189.4913.730.340.380.53.50.750.224.54Top10 TO-0.140-0.2000.492

    BelgiumFrench10.8974.1620.7290.4500.55154.6910.550.480.2813.50.420.004.60

    ChileFrench13.0693.3310.4820.5810.419360.98129.210.540.96050.920.666.93

    ColombiaFrench16.7304.6170.5810.3730.37833.805.600.400.580.550.920.662.21IL1IL2IL3

    FranceFrench34.7635.5310.6990.5500.58324.701.480.580.65040.500.662.73Latin3.1821.4040.794

    IndonesiaFrench6.5013.4370.5930.4470.47853.0497.720.510.73140.670.665.20Europe3.2601.8690.690

    ItalyFrench1.3581.0570.5420.5540.61452.774.910.580.42020.670.223.13Scandinavian3.2751.9250.683

    MexicoFrench4.0923.0240.3730.2140.21369.1721.510.180.5004.50.750.666.36Asia12.8473.4740.500

    PeruFrench7.2322.7020.3420.5090.30454.1429.390.230.470.54.50.750.664.63USA4.1403.5290.678

    PhilippinesFrench6.3272.4610.4320.3630.168148.4234.600.540.95150.920.666.09

    PortugalFrench9.1112.0930.7790.6430.71521.871.730.640.170.530.580.111.82IL1IL2IL3

    RussiaFrench3.5071.7210.7200.6710.67239.6940.220.360.4213.50.580.395.11Scandinavian3.2751.9250.683

    TurkeyFrench2.5651.5950.7780.6130.62022.858.170.560.450.253.50.330.66German4.1042.0010.486

    VenezuelaFrench31.3007.4390.7520.6120.60748.002.950.570.22040.831.002.03French7.0542.2270.709

    AustriaGerman4.7201.2810.4080.6550.63616.695.710.29122.99English7.9942.9760.608

    ChinaGerman3.3421.9660.72446.248.810.520.4412.50.420.662.31

    CzechGerman0.9330.7380.75933.161.520.44142.46

    GermanyGerman8.6312.6160.4730.5100.316164.75100.550.491.00151.000.668.54

    JapanGerman9.3652.9940.7240.3810.546155.7712.040.520.81050.830.664.16

    KoreaGerman3.8992.2120.6930.5720.681112.2731.380.280.3313.50.580.283.97

    PolandGerman2.3361.9210.643248.9635.950.410.270.7530.670.446.84

    SwitzerlandGerman2.3691.5610.2610.3740.265101.8925.810.180.56030.750.665.11

    TaiwanGerman7.8382.5990.6870.4470.25344.796.620.470.81040.920.223.74

    DenmarkScandinavian3.7072.5870.3100.5390.47035.304.330.590.43030.500.222.03

    FinlandScandinavian2.7391.5320.8290.4160.369157.7033.130.190.95050.830.666.69

    NorwayScandinavian4.1403.5290.6780.4120.062142.1422.830.200.65031.001.006.96

    SwedenScandinavian0.3360.2660.7765.512.810.510.09010.170.221.63

    CG

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    IL1

    IL2

    IL3

    IL1stat

    000

    000

    000

    000

    000

    IL1

    IL2

    IL3

    IL2stat

    000

    000

    000

    000

    IL1

    IL2

    IL3

    IL3stat

    3110 Observations in time series, 1/1/1996-30/11/2007

    CountriesN of CompaniesMeanStd DevSD/MeanSkewKurtosisMinMaxCountryIL

    Venezuela1180.3360.6521.9424.23123.1920.0005.446Venezuela0.336

    Colombia2650.7531.3061.7354.47423.5640.00010.555Colombia0.753

    Russia7070.9331.1961.2823.07913.3440.0008.552Russia0.933

    Austria3631.2290.9600.7811.5203.1280.0845.735Austria1.229

    Italy9031.3581.0880.8011.9404.4510.0456.620Italy1.358

    China1,7271.7091.7371.0172.2636.6600.00011.272China1.709

    Belgium1,0651.7811.4110.7931.6833.1760.0008.032Belgium1.781

    Chile4991.9111.9671.0292.7039.8110.07314.013Chile1.911

    Switzerland1,2692.3361.8870.8082.4315.9160.00011.334Switzerland2.336

    Czech2702.3525.5892.3774.70225.6590.00044.658Czech2.352

    Taiwan1,5602.3692.9591.2495.24442.3920.07331.313Taiwan2.369

    France2,7542.4802.3030.9281.8293.0960.00012.012France2.480

    Peru4832.5653.5781.3955.27334.2540.03632.919Peru2.565

    Denmark4762.5662.4490.9541.8243.3830.20313.507Denmark2.566

    UK7,8392.7392.5450.9294.52629.5040.00025.400UK2.739

    Finland3423.1273.3871.0831.8483.2210.00017.479Finland3.127

    Portugal2973.3423.1390.9392.72210.3050.19923.177Portugal3.342

    Norway6943.5074.5751.3052.7688.3210.00027.732Norway3.507

    Turkey4463.7074.0971.1053.53617.0920.00034.143Turkey3.707

    Sweden1,4643.8995.7001.4622.7047.7510.00033.337Sweden3.899

    Japan5,0454.0922.9820.7291.3752.4710.51118.067Japan4.092

    USA43,1484.1402.0330.4912.0049.4760.11318.136USA4.140

    Argentina2024.4175.7341.2983.25012.6060.00040.208Argentina4.417

    Australia3,9884.5982.9610.6441.5172.8740.28017.071Australia4.598

    Poland5144.7208.8471.8743.62915.8530.00063.770Poland4.720

    Malaysia1,4226.3275.9330.9381.4652.5200.10733.748Malaysia6.327

    Israel9576.5015.1430.7910.875-0.1580.35121.669Israel6.501

    Korea2,7427.23210.0221.3862.8749.1420.00063.710Korea7.232

    Thailand1,2367.8389.0691.1573.87018.6660.23872.516Thailand7.838

    Singapore1,0358.63111.6761.3532.3786.8760.00071.201Singapore8.631

    Mexico7729.11112.5901.3823.20513.6320.00090.995Mexico9.111

    SouthAfrica1,7269.36510.6371.1362.0534.5980.00060.833SouthAfrica9.365

    Germany11,24810.89716.1751.4843.60415.5130.000122.616Germany10.897

    HK1,48613.06912.3380.9441.3211.8090.00065.299HK13.069

    India3,13316.73020.0981.2011.9874.1570.000111.562India16.730

    Philippines54031.30036.6851.1722.0944.4590.123188.490Philippines31.300

    Indonesia67734.76358.7301.6894.89029.2620.181514.456Indonesia34.763

    103,412

    IL3stat

    IL

    IndicesIL1

    3110 Observations in time series, 1/1/1996-30/11/2007

    CountriesN of CompaniesMeanStd DevSD/MeanSkewKurtosisMinMaxCountryIL

    Venezuela1180.2660.3711.3932.7659.6230.0002.427Venezuela0.266

    Colombia2650.5740.7321.2763.80517.9470.0005.254Colombia0.574

    Russia7070.7380.7821.0602.0206.0880.0004.885Russia0.738

    Chile4990.9260.5510.5961.6834.2280.1053.603Chile0.926

    Czech2700.9681.0311.0651.7893.4280.0005.909Czech0.968

    Austria3630.9710.6190.6380.9420.9500.0823.316Austria0.971

    Italy9031.0570.6760.6401.8504.3480.0724.374Italy1.057

    Poland5141.2811.0860.8481.4102.3300.0005.871Poland1.281

    China1,7271.4201.2370.8712.1196.2010.0008.372China1.420

    UK7,8391.5320.8520.5564.31528.3170.0008.821UK1.532

    Taiwan1,5601.5611.3630.8733.76126.6930.11113.846Taiwan1.561

    Belgium1,0651.5681.0870.6941.3812.0060.0005.818Belgium1.568

    Peru4831.5951.0590.6641.8034.9770.0326.906Peru1.595

    Norway6941.7211.5230.8852.0364.6180.0008.418Norway1.721

    Denmark4761.7641.2950.7341.4151.6460.2366.695Denmark1.764

    France2,7541.8751.3140.7011.3481.5330.0006.630France1.875

    Switzerland1,2691.9211.2890.6712.2364.9490.0007.726Switzerland1.921

    Portugal2971.9661.2680.6451.8054.4890.2718.773Portugal1.966

    Finland3422.0031.6860.8421.2711.1640.0007.787Finland2.003

    Mexico7722.0931.2820.6131.3022.1390.0007.426Mexico2.093

    Sweden1,4642.2122.2151.0011.9533.7750.00011.792Sweden2.212

    Malaysia1,4222.4611.5360.6240.8520.9300.1918.689Malaysia2.461

    Turkey4462.5872.2220.8593.38615.8020.00018.439Turkey2.587

    Thailand1,2362.5991.5180.5842.2216.8570.26710.595Thailand2.599

    Singapore1,0352.6162.3410.8951.1791.0000.00010.863Singapore2.616

    Australia3,9882.6401.1720.4440.6570.6040.3106.678Australia2.640

    Korea2,7422.7021.8750.6942.1986.0600.00012.458Korea2.702

    Argentina2022.9692.9390.9902.4777.0200.00018.343Argentina2.969

    SouthAfrica1,7262.9941.9070.6370.9710.4310.0009.424SouthAfrica2.994

    Japan5,0453.0241.7750.5871.0341.2360.55010.233Japan3.024

    HK1,4863.3311.9270.5780.336-0.8010.0008.345HK3.331

    Israel9573.4372.2670.6600.776-0.3330.4129.993Israel3.437

    USA43,1483.5296.7521.91412.319158.5610.09695.747USA3.529

    Germany11,2484.1622.8460.6842.1575.0840.00018.385Germany4.162

    India3,1334.6173.2520.7041.1781.2090.00017.325India4.617

    Indonesia6775.5313.3680.6091.3072.6920.22320.482Indonesia5.531

    Philippines5407.4395.3380.7181.1260.9820.30826.571Philippines7.439

    103,412

    IndicesIL1

    IL

    IndicesIL2

    3110 Observations in time series, 1/1/1996-30/11/2007

    CountriesN of CompaniesMeanStd DevSD/MeanSkewKurtosisMinMaxCountryIL

    China1,7270.1530.2431.5863.0437.7290.0071.000China0.153

    Taiwan1,5600.2610.1880.7213.2199.5510.0630.999Taiwan0.261

    Turkey4460.3100.1670.5403.18510.7000.0791.000Turkey0.310

    Korea2,7420.3420.1680.4913.1089.4990.1261.000Korea0.342

    Japan5,0450.3730.1580.4243.37110.5590.1261.000Japan0.373

    Poland5140.4080.1560.3821.7024.6890.0741.000Poland0.408

    Malaysia1,4220.4320.1710.3951.3163.1360.0600.993Malaysia0.432

    Singapore1,0350.4730.1390.2950.9192.3000.1420.991Singapore0.473

    HK1,4860.4820.1430.2972.2616.2260.2370.999HK0.482

    Italy9030.5420.0900.1663.32814.6320.3970.997Italy0.542

    India3,1330.5810.1110.1912.1876.3130.2931.000India0.581

    Israel9570.5930.1580.2670.6380.6310.1641.000Israel0.593

    Australia3,9880.5990.0600.1002.93112.2160.4340.922Australia0.599

    Finland3420.6150.0860.1402.2477.9270.4040.997Finland0.615

    Switzerland1,2690.6430.0760.1181.1793.4640.4660.946Switzerland0.643

    France2,7540.6710.0820.1230.6812.1350.4890.989France0.671

    USA43,1480.6780.0930.1371.0142.3550.5130.998USA0.678

    Thailand1,2360.6870.0850.1240.8612.6120.4220.981Thailand0.687

    Sweden1,4640.6930.0760.1092.1856.7590.5491.000Sweden0.693

    Indonesia6770.6990.1060.1511.0111.8290.3971.000Indonesia0.699

    Belgium1,0650.7040.1060.151-0.112-0.7890.4820.994Belgium0.704

    Denmark4760.7050.0780.1101.9225.4970.5091.000Denmark0.705

    Austria3630.7130.1080.1520.1670.6560.4341.000Austria0.713

    Norway6940.7200.0810.1130.8222.6700.5031.000Norway0.720

    Portugal2970.7240.1100.152-0.158-1.0920.4610.990Portugal0.724

    SouthAfrica1,7260.7240.1380.190-0.472-0.8120.4010.996SouthAfrica0.724

    Germany11,2480.7290.1090.149-0.200-0.6750.4920.996Germany0.729

    Argentina2020.7380.0860.1161.2412.0300.4921.000Argentina0.738

    Philippines5400.7520.1130.1500.013-0.3400.4071.000Philippines0.752

    Czech2700.7520.2430.324-1.046-0.4520.1281.000Czech0.752

    Russia7070.7590.1000.131-1.3521.8180.3540.955Russia0.759

    Venezuela1180.7760.1930.248-1.018-0.1650.1891.000Venezuela0.776

    Peru4830.7780.0520.066-0.9281.0540.5800.992Peru0.778

    Mexico7720.7790.0690.088-0.718-0.5600.5880.993Mexico0.779

    Chile4990.7880.0650.0820.4661.6460.5780.991Chile0.788

    UK7,8390.8290.0390.0461.7808.9340.5901.000UK0.829

    Colombia2650.9040.0450.0490.259-0.2710.7591.000Colombia0.904

    103,412

    IndicesIL2

    IL

    TSgraphs

    WorldGLatinGEuropeGAsiaGWorldLatinEuropeAsiaWorldGLatinGEuropeGAsiaG

    02/01/1996-0.18117039-0.62026014-0.08130021-0.8881208202/01/19962.358313010.42503751.45248640.9753203WorldG1

    03/01/1996-0.4647111-0.64529595-0.44198818-0.6650388403/01/19961.561751470.457075751.106696741.69178659LatinG0.77015586341

    04/01/1996-0.196350420.19773104-0.30041781-0.4712333304/01/19961.86020610.833132781.148954441.65094399EuropeG0.91503276330.60453183541

    05/01/1996-0.168066640.29736893-0.28897102-0.1882378305/01/19961.697504521.121913741.197908132.28922275AsiaG0.80605094040.54066905560.60520621681

    08/01/1996-0.00448069-0.07643735-0.15097491-0.4187757408/01/19962.188839861.103168961.340455391.80508942

    09/01/1996-0.219073930.09631456-0.41378223-0.616259709/01/19961.501931511.050746541.117836641.39428294WorldLatinEuropeAsia

    10/01/1996-0.18730716-0.54149339-0.26124636-0.5040365210/01/19961.838120960.51369891.221144172.04572779World1

    11/01/1996-0.02329472-0.501671331.09656124-0.593466811/01/19964.835415161.1255467216.52647871.617297Latin0.64471836161

    12/01/1996-0.28362035-0.10972495-0.45185682-0.7327048912/01/19961.434046261.298731121.075608761.32052484Europe0.80777563790.55783742231

    15/01/1996-0.09948429-0.24749252-0.08259402-0.624286315/01/19962.033855251.119859091.412204422.02387279Asia0.90219083410.44858301250.69732103571

    16/01/1996-0.03911114-0.260324520.60165261-0.5912388316/01/19964.758122950.7813533516.115556171.7430768

    17/01/1996-0.29502204-0.52908141-0.24143425-0.5880334817/01/19961.364752770.365953541.200867621.80873112

    18/01/1996-0.25266072-0.61362014-0.25892939-0.5513055118/01/19961.421958810.507531461.265166891.49797618

    19/01/1996-0.38400167-0.24012931-0.62015473-0.6094631819/01/19961.245110450.78595930.837794161.53627391

    22/01/1996-0.147575460.37181392-0.46708372-0.5196527522/01/19961.644466741.07574841.057757971.94385763

    23/01/1996-0.24122670.33190904-0.66330214-0.5838801123/01/19961.480038921.238777160.826688841.74938418

    24/01/1996-0.33790953-0.61044171-0.48150142-0.6149899224/01/19961.526844880.553686621.057081071.8878408

    25/01/1996-0.34090205-0.42638491-0.39518951-0.6304888925/01/19961.46867910.874587471.16197931.72383433

    26/01/1996-0.296197190.19927291-0.54022064-0.6422375326/01/19961.488615551.301710050.965688731.68780357

    29/01/1996-0.17604325-0.56622973-0.10501852-0.4870074429/01/19961.9512040.915300051.421652631.79044145

    30/01/1996-0.29939138-0.37196686-0.17097906-0.6148836330/01/19961.570569651.017901581.387817471.71025989

    31/01/1996-0.43869325-0.34384393-0.54738849-0.7148989931/01/19961.307105040.932601871.059679371.31097546

    01/02/1996-0.47904479-0.45618591-0.66317175-0.696381201/02/19961.23505060.93669651.018207441.43867644

    02/02/1996-0.35689538-0.08288909-0.37768519-0.633113702/02/19961.412220781.262386161.626061851.61978396

    05/02/1996-0.25488734-0.18419315-0.13430254-0.5473608205/02/19961.440812380.597751261.53685171.679734

    06/02/1996-0.38874771-0.02430179-0.615335-0.5363853106/02/19961.308495581.233808271.018469681.58028836

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