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1 State Policies Will Affect Local Funding Decisions in the 2010-12 Biennium Prepared by James J. Regimbal, Jr. Fiscal Analytics, Ltd. November 2009 Virginia Association of Counties

State Policies Will Affect Local Funding Decisions in the 2010-12 Biennium

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State Policies Will Affect Local Funding Decisions in the 2010-12 Biennium. Prepared by James J. Regimbal, Jr. Fiscal Analytics, Ltd. November 2009. Virginia Association of Counties. 2009 Fiscal Condition Survey Revealed a Deteriorating Local Financial Condition. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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  • State Policies Will Affect Local Funding Decisions in the 2010-12 Biennium

    Prepared byJames J. Regimbal, Jr.Fiscal Analytics, Ltd.November 2009Virginia Association of Counties

  • 2009 Fiscal Condition Survey Revealed a Deteriorating Local Financial Condition Biggest local concerns for FY 2011: Expiration of the federal stimulus and its impact on the state's ability to maintain funding for localities and school districts. Continued erosion of real and personal property values that will place significant upward pressure on tax rates.

    Many localities have reserves. 74 of 106 localities responding reported reserves greater than 10 percent of FY 2010 spending.

    Meet Needs

    2008 Survey

    Better ableAbout the sameLess able

    A. Meet its financial needs in FY09 as compared to FY082.8%25.0%72.2%

    B. Address its financial needs in the next fiscal year (FY10) as compared to FY09.2.1%12.6%85.3%

    2009 Survey

    Better ableAbout the sameLess able

    Meet its financial needs for FY 2010 as compared to FY 2009?Meet its financial needs for FY 2010 as compared to FY 2009?2.3%29.0%68.7%

    Address its financial needs for FY 2011 as compared to FY 2010?Address its financial needs for FY 2011 as compared to FY 2010?1.5%22.3%76.2%

    CitiesBetter ableAbout the sameLess able

    Meet its financial needs for FY 2010 as compared to FY 2009?Meet its financial needs for FY 2010 as compared to FY 2009?0.0%23.7%76.3%100.0%

    Address its financial needs for FY 2011 as compared to FY 2010?Address its financial needs for FY 2011 as compared to FY 2010?5.3%34.2%60.5%100.0%

    CountiesBetter ableAbout the sameLess able

    Meet its financial needs for FY 2010 as compared to FY 2009?Meet its financial needs for FY 2010 as compared to FY 2009?3.2%31.2%65.6%100.0%

    Address its financial needs for FY 2011 as compared to FY 2010?Address its financial needs for FY 2011 as compared to FY 2010?0.0%17.4%82.6%100.0%

    RE Assessments

    LocalityTax Rate CY 2007Tax Rate CY 2008Tax Rate CY 2009Total Assessed Value 2007Total Assessed Value 2008Total Assessed Value 2009

    1Alexandria$0.83$0.85$0.90$34,243,031,000$35,102,817,000$34,379,163,000

    1Bristol$0.98$1.05$1.05$874,750,000$918,500,000$932,350,000

    1Chesapeake$1.11$1.06$1.05$21,190,154,032$23,807,521,974$24,594,427,236

    1Colonial Heights$1.18$1.10$1.10$1,406,530,770$1,680,979,492$1,702,682,519

    1Danville$0.77$0.77$0.73$2,067,848,400$2,089,774,400$2,252,885,600

    1Emporia$0.83$0.77$0.81$322,112,200$351,134,000$362,428,900

    1Falls Church$1.01$1.03$1.07$3,290,000,000$3,334,760,000$3,250,774,000

    1Franklin City$0.90$0.77$0.77$563,610,900$673,049,100$674,022,000

    1Hampton$1.14$1.06$1.04$11,281,203,700$11,676,924,000$11,748,230,600

    1Harrisonburg$0.62$0.59$0.59$2,397,653,625$3,252,988,206$3,496,364,495

    1Hopewell$1.09$1.09$0.96$1,122,108,000$1,145,283,664$1,338,397,100

    1Lexington$0.56$0.60$0.635$578,620,200$584,035,800$588,300,500

    1Lynchburg$1.11$1.05$1.05$4,479,576,300$4,631,290,700$4,902,085,300

    1Manassas$0.86$1.12$1.49$6,527,389,400$5,837,054,300$4,611,251,000

    1Manassas Park$1.14$1.14$1.24$1,767,088,100$1,612,191,100$1,612,191,100

    1Martinsville$1.08$1.08$1.08$593,669,976$639,192,692$645,978,500

    1Newport News$1.20$1.10$1.10$14,200,514,390$16,484,699,634$17,711,337,777

    1Norfolk$1.27$1.11$1.11$17,568,811,900$18,583,731,469$19,066,466,100

    1Norton$0.80$0.80$0.80$183,993,290$222,050,941$222,050,941

    1Poquoson$0.81$0.81$0.81$1,637,487,196$1,678,329,182$1,693,246,940

    1Portsmouth$1.26$1.21$1.23$5,740,721,000$6,658,814,000$7,509,630,000

    1Richmond City$1.23$1.20$1.20$19,771,378,600$19,984,753,000$20,441,815,100

    1Roanoke City$1.19$1.19$1.19$5,834,424,939$6,256,495,314$6,809,820,600

    1Salem$1.18$1.18$1.18$1,637,690,699$1,841,952,142$1,949,436,922

    1Staunton$0.90$0.90$0.90$1,786,612,776$1,823,826,090$1,947,465,286

    1Suffolk$0.94$0.91$0.91$8,207,595,470$9,466,652,720$9,696,852,600

    1Virginia Beach$0.89$0.89$0.89$46,048,319,704$54,931,862,351$56,673,434,204

    1Waynesboro$0.78$0.70$0.70$1,286,849,240$1,751,144,008$2,167,982,600

    1Williamsburg$0.54$0.54$0.54$1,547,651,600$1,803,239,200$1,851,350,800

    1Winchester$0.65$0.68$0.77$3,420,790,420$3,423,168,361$3,321,345,800

    1Accomack$0.70$0.35$0.42$2,227,359,333$4,551,458,006$4,670,471,341

    1Albemarle$0.68$0.71$0.74$17,909,995,700$18,225,689,700$18,059,849,800

    1Alleghany$0.72$0.66$0.66$779,733,400$1,146,371,600$1,152,162,017

    1Amherst$0.65$0.52$0.52$1,495,139,400$1,531,146,400$2,323,355,000

    1Appomattox$0.72$0.77$0.44$744,570,058$1,040,427,299$1,293,985,465

    1Arlington$0.82$0.84$0.87$54,289,500,700$57,469,500,000$57,704,620,000

    1Augusta$0.58$0.58$0.48$5,190,664,904$5,271,120,369$6,507,995,850

    1Bath$0.45$0.55$0.55$1,801,339,031$1,806,241,397$1,767,803,541

    1Bedford County$0.50$0.50$0.50$7,371,798,132$7,554,966,903$7,697,676,403

    1Bland$0.69$0.55$0.55$270,659,200$460,617,400$462,572,900

    1Botetourt$0.65$0.65$0.65$2,833,082,150$2,895,743,670$2,959,138,920

    1Buchanan$0.43$0.43$0.43$1,424,710,769$1,514,302,802$1,514,869,000

    1Buckingham$0.58$0.58$0.44$133,175,400$1,420,466,291$219,073,000

    1Campbell$0.52$0.43$0.46$2,651,326,904$3,544,470,652$3,563,823,749

    1Caroline$0.48$0.53$0.53$2,698,539,731$2,887,554,318$2,917,591,192

    1Carroll$0.71$0.60$0.60$1,722,690,903$1,751,236,733$2,375,104,457

    1Charles City County$0.75$0.75$0.82$580,077,477$589,551,974$595,000,000

    1Charlotte$0.42$0.42$0.42$1,012,479,350$1,020,678,550$1,022,854,250

    1Chesterfield$0.97$0.95$0.95$28,700,000,000$32,600,000,000$33,000,000,000

    1Clarke$0.48$0.50$0.53$3,123,053,751$3,146,086,343$3,168,928,143

    1Culpeper$0.56$0.61$0.65$5,684,632,826$5,319,421,300$4,648,064,213

    1Cumberland$0.59$0.59$0.59$724,265,970$736,284,923$743,039,416

    1Dinwiddie$0.87$0.87$0.68$1,541,253,515$1,588,563,485$2,193,436,344

    1Essex$0.78$0.53$0.53$871,601,142$1,663,573,303$1,670,002,678

    1Fairfax County$0.89$0.89$0.92$217,461,663,192$226,344,848,687$226,983,531,614

    1Fauquier$0.65$0.77$0.77$13,432,257,537$13,748,154,636$13,886,688,425

    1Floyd$0.60$0.60$0.60$1,266,870,900$1,281,739,200$1,297,826,500

    1Franklin$0.53$0.53$0.46$4,807,045,787$5,262,810,081$7,449,960,941

    1Frederick$0.525$0.525$0.510$7,722,401,200$8,029,644,100$8,451,521,900

    1Gloucester$0.57$0.61$0.61$3,771,973,000$3,799,736,000$3,996,443,775

    1Goochland$0.59$0.53$0.53$5,075,224,000$5,237,323,000$5,470,961,200

    1Greene$0.72$0.72$0.69$1,604,616,920$1,669,520,564$1,901,660,464

    1Greensville$0.63$0.45$0.45$429,740,130$670,311,000$678,403,300

    1Hanover$0.81$0.81$0.81$12,799,426,100$14,077,343,700$14,414,309,400

    1Henrico$0.87$0.87$0.87$32,519,865,100$34,476,687,700$34,733,135,700

    1Henry$0.54$0.54$0.54$2,262,073,485$2,626,169,918$2,648,602,283

    1Highland$0.38$0.40$0.40$609,965,800$613,889,600$618,813,500

    1Isle of Wight$0.53$0.52$0.52$3,879,182,779$3,968,971,300$4,268,025,278

    1James City County$0.77$0.77$0.77$9,821,638,100$10,672,714,225$11,005,655,000

    1King George$0.44$0.45$0.45$2,449,159,567$2,700,726,839$2,715,213,228

    1King and Queen$0.48$0.48$0.48$759,054,300$774,719,325$785,595,775

    1King William$0.99$0.81$0.81$1,153,077,280$1,623,507,319$1,645,326,968

    1Lancaster$0.46$0.53$0.42$2,177,719,129$2,201,036,709$3,226,917,600

    1Loudoun$0.96$1.14$1.25$63,551,012,782$63,179,820,749$56,793,071,580

    1Louisa$0.64$0.62$0.62$5,057,525,000$5,252,591,100$5,097,482,700

    1Madison$0.59$0.44$0.44$1,264,715,300$1,298,909,100$1,337,876,373

    1Mecklenburg$0.36$0.35$0.34$2,745,431,300$2,805,602,000$3,475,822,500

    1Middlesex$0.52$0.35$0.35$1,287,765,081$1,815,934,227$2,466,142,300

    1Montgomery$0.63$0.71$0.71$6,493,543,300$6,669,686,500$6,835,051,400

    1Nelson$0.72$0.55$0.55$1,507,991,734$2,845,499,076$2,886,189,020

    1Northampton$0.70$0.70$0.49$1,282,188,784$1,395,111,452$2,563,629,828

    1Northumberland$0.36$0.40$0.40$3,100,000,000$3,100,000,000$3,100,000,000

    1Nottoway$0.47$0.49$0.49$777,728,000$790,448,000$798,000,000

    1Orange$0.42$0.47$0.47$5,585,401,409$5,702,909,468$5,736,995,264

    1Page$0.48$0.48$0.48$1,711,515,700$2,242,856,500$2,737,909,900

    1Pittsylvania$0.50$0.53$0.56$3,283,464,100$3,396,904,100$3,445,164,980

    1Prince Edward$0.57$0.57$0.40$1,024,107,050$1,068,933,045$1,523,668,013

    1Prince George$0.80$0.80$0.80$1,930,373,094$2,264,262,025$2,538,140,496

    1Pulaski$0.62$0.62$0.62$1,913,504,855$1,984,287,485$2,051,999,700

    1Rappahannock$0.54$0.59$0.60$1,532,668,500$1,559,835,000$1,561,800,000

    1Roanoke County$1.09$1.09$1.09$7,052,990,600$7,630,455,000$7,929,156,898

    1Rockbridge$0.55$0.55$0.59$2,770,647,300$2,821,432,200$2,869,680,306

    1Rockingham$0.58$0.59$0.60$6,499,720,800$6,855,319,400$7,061,000,000

    1Scott$0.69$0.69$0.69$907,246,377$926,580,000$945,918,300

    1Shenandoah$0.51$0.51$0.51$4,189,218,486$4,290,432,027$4,348,323,437

    1South Hampton$0.68$0.72$0.72$1,627,703,205$1,652,630,323$1,676,985,741

    1Spotsylvania$0.62$0.62$0.62$13,339,992,478$15,377,146,622$15,602,485,756

    1Stafford$0.70$0.84$0.84$16,912,461,604$16,226,682,462$16,314,007,619

    1Surry$0.84$0.70$0.70$820,331,000$846,230,500$862,831,000

    1Sussex$0.48$0.48$0.54$765,071,463$789,294,063$813,516,663

    1Warren$0.45$0.45$0.46$4,618,588,000$4,737,808,700$4,805,941,500

    1Washington$0.57$0.57$0.57$3,214,835,100$3,269,165,800$3,684,810,300

    1Westmoreland$0.44$0.50$0.50$2,061,766,020$2,103,141,680$2,172,215,080

    1Wise$0.57$0.57$0.57$1,498,797,637$1,569,201,913$1,724,914,777

    1Wythe$0.43$0.43$0.43$2,100,000,000$2,180,000,000$2,200,000,000

    1York$0.70$0.66$0.66$7,972,435,188$9,077,834,934$9,339,868,296

    106$0.72$0.70$0.70$871,763,533,126$929,490,487,612$943,864,377,777

    6.62%1.55%

    LocalityTax Rate CY 2007Tax Rate CY 2008Tax Rate CY 2009Total Assessed RE Value 2007Total Assessed RE Value 2008Total Assessed RE Value 2009

    106106 Localities Responding$0.72$0.70$0.70$871,763,533,126$929,490,487,612$943,864,377,777

    6.62%1.55%

    RE Tax

    ActualExpectedBudgeted

    LocalityFY 2008FY 2009% ChangeFY 2010% Change

    1Alexandria$295,510,151$296,281,1110.26%$296,281,1110.00%

    1Bristol$9,800,000$9,600,000-2.04%$9,800,0002.08%

    1Buena Vista$3,173,203$3,235,8401.97%$3,459,0006.90%

    1Charlottesville$50,373,908$50,446,3540.14%$50,437,398-0.02%

    1Chesapeake$246,886,221$254,287,3633.00%$249,941,526-1.71%

    1Colonial Heights$16,277,007$17,820,1629.48%$18,785,8495.42%

    1Danville$16,789,375$16,456,461-1.98%$15,500,000-5.81%

    1Emporia$2,657,981$2,715,1692.15%$2,897,4076.71%

    1Falls Church$34,193,000$35,952,0005.14%$37,330,0003.83%

    1Franklin City$4,975,948$5,178,8794.08%$5,230,0240.99%

    1Galax$2,417,250$2,261,126-6.46%$2,519,40011.42%

    1Hampton$116,433,272$118,541,1501.81%$117,057,200-1.25%

    1Harrisonburg$19,095,714$20,427,7096.98%$22,414,9009.73%

    1Hopewell$12,354,720$12,749,2553.19%$12,840,0000.71%

    1Lexington$3,476,374$3,662,2105.35%$3,845,7005.01%

    1Lynchburg$45,969,063$48,753,4946.06%$51,164,9214.95%

    1Manassas$51,727,864$55,026,0426.38%$56,274,5302.27%

    1Manassas Park$18,378,979$18,378,9790.00%$17,162,058-6.62%

    1Martinsville$7,087,481$7,052,304-0.50%$7,441,2475.52%

    1Newport News$152,504,422$164,459,8217.84%$170,864,8833.89%

    1Norfolk$193,744,918$203,505,6005.04%$209,955,2003.17%

    1Norton$1,415,550$1,577,99411.48%$1,542,849-2.23%

    1Poquoson$13,314,331$13,451,6531.03%$13,654,2951.51%

    1Portsmouth$83,560,916$87,835,0005.11%$94,763,5577.89%

    1Richmond City$224,472,990$229,607,2362.29%$212,596,362-7.41%

    1Roanoke City$74,318,897$77,644,1414.47%$78,163,0000.67%

    1Salem$21,569,815$22,539,2644.49%$22,648,5400.48%

    1Staunton$16,739,666$16,941,8271.21%$17,510,5003.36%

    1Suffolk$78,326,227$78,857,7500.68%$78,987,6150.16%

    1Virginia Beach$474,382,560$487,357,2112.74%$478,321,330-1.85%

    1Waynesboro$11,459,079$12,187,0806.35%$13,451,08810.37%

    1Williamsburg$9,800,000$10,200,0004.08%$10,100,000-0.98%

    1Winchester$23,390,018$23,953,2152.41%$24,500,0002.28%

    1Accomack$14,279,801$15,921,29911.50%$16,995,4946.75%

    1Albemarle$108,363,663$113,264,6154.52%$113,898,2650.56%

    1Alleghany$6,339,504$6,440,0801.59%$6,178,744-4.06%

    1Amherst$9,744,788$11,796,05221.05%$11,818,6890.19%

    1Appomattox$5,773,942$5,890,6762.02%$7,193,06022.11%

    1Arlington$460,201,111$488,261,8286.10%$494,089,5531.19%

    1Augusta$40,868,647$42,760,9004.63%$30,558,000-28.54%

    1Bath$9,323,941$9,500,0001.89%$9,286,020-2.25%

    1Bedford County$37,669,227$37,275,378-1.05%$36,700,105-1.54%

    1Bland$1,824,483$2,464,99535.11%$2,547,6273.35%

    1Botetourt$19,556,999$19,931,1481.91%$19,954,5000.12%

    1Buchanan$7,577,310$7,687,4931.45%$7,660,000-0.36%

    1Buckingham$5,442,489$6,571,85320.75%$6,611,0000.60%

    1Campbell$13,796,832$15,105,9579.49%$15,647,4073.58%

    1Caroline$14,107,564$15,256,0918.14%$15,271,6960.10%

    1Carroll$12,240,000$13,755,00012.38%$13,760,0000.04%

    1Charles City County$4,727,875$4,727,000-0.02%$4,947,8504.67%

    1Charlotte$3,860,067$3,857,113-0.08%$3,759,112-2.54%

    1Chesterfield$306,900,000$318,500,0003.78%$312,400,000-1.92%

    1Clarke$11,931,574$12,500,3394.77%$13,330,7076.64%

    1Craig$2,038,000$2,245,00010.16%$2,331,0003.83%

    1Culpeper$29,309,099$32,270,92910.11%$30,292,807-6.13%

    1Cumberland$4,290,308$4,353,1881.47%$4,236,000-2.69%

    1Dinwiddie$13,467,035$14,132,7834.94%$14,710,3124.09%

    1Essex$7,536,144$8,098,0007.46%$8,130,0000.40%

    1Fairfax County$1,975,114,074$2,046,447,8803.61%$2,113,373,8913.27%

    1Fauquier$88,035,748$96,443,0969.55%$96,246,157-0.20%

    1Floyd$6,897,885$6,966,8641.00%$6,795,033-2.47%

    1Franklin$26,420,851$34,082,19129.00%$33,379,028-2.06%

    1Frederick$39,504,982$40,886,3253.50%$40,430,000-1.12%

    1Gloucester$22,563,847$24,049,8966.59%$24,211,6330.67%

    1Goochland$22,748,030$23,797,8054.61%$24,347,6502.31%

    1Greene$11,728,235$12,346,9565.28%$12,590,0381.97%

    1Greensville$3,028,806$5,389,67077.95%$5,389,6700.00%

    1Halifax$23,871,289$14,959,325-37.33%$15,354,8392.64%

    1Hanover$94,320,839$99,178,2785.15%$102,591,0003.44%

    1Henrico$288,052,710$298,596,8863.66%$297,890,000-0.24%

    1Henry$14,100,000$14,250,0001.06%$13,569,000-4.78%

    1Highland$2,375,232$2,483,5754.56%$2,430,000-2.16%

    1Isle of Wight$20,654,803$22,007,1766.55%$22,469,0002.10%

    1James City County$105,668,625$108,302,3872.49%$83,868,503-22.56%

    1King George$12,855,737$13,242,7553.01%$12,041,914-9.07%

    1King and Queen$3,614,697$3,678,0731.75%$3,643,461-0.94%

    1King William$14,645,208$15,765,0007.65%$11,002,000-30.21%

    1Lancaster$10,619,600$12,690,81819.50%$12,600,000-0.72%

    1Loudoun$599,352,574$648,477,0008.20%$645,980,000-0.39%

    1Louisa$26,544,887$27,369,2413.11%$26,740,000-2.30%

    1Madison$7,648,901$7,734,7711.12%$8,618,50011.43%

    1Mathews$7,043,529$7,152,3201.54%$7,152,3200.00%

    1Mecklenburg$10,256,022$11,939,19016.41%$10,644,209-10.85%

    1Middlesex$7,388,485$7,943,8477.52%$8,201,0003.24%

    1Montgomery$41,893,341$45,225,8227.95%$46,186,2182.12%

    1Nelson$13,279,575$15,110,29713.79%$15,206,7350.64%

    1New Kent$15,000,701$17,872,02919.14%$17,580,303-1.63%

    1Northampton$9,243,039$11,898,34428.73%$12,356,4603.85%

    1Northumberland$9,972,408$11,280,97813.12%$11,644,5003.22%

    1Nottoway$3,729,369$3,723,064-0.17%$3,723,0640.00%

    1Orange$21,392,458$22,779,0236.48%$23,380,5392.64%

    1Page$10,582,301$11,454,7368.24%$10,572,603-7.70%

    1Pittsylvania$16,508,395$18,684,31613.18%$18,880,3781.05%

    1Powhatan$24,326,179$26,179,4537.62%$24,926,177-4.79%

    1Prince Edward$5,815,188$5,938,0002.11%$6,133,7253.30%

    1Prince George$19,130,413$20,768,0008.56%$20,771,8320.02%

    1Pulaski$11,869,236$12,429,6184.72%$12,983,2004.45%

    1Richmond County$3,295,000$3,494,4256.05%$3,695,6005.76%

    1Roanoke County$80,311,943$84,860,6995.66%$87,700,0003.35%

    1Rockbridge$13,284,099$13,818,1124.02%$14,171,5182.56%

    1Rockingham$37,690,137$38,850,0003.08%$40,430,0004.07%

    1Scott$6,289,171$6,326,5430.59%$6,500,0002.74%

    1Shenandoah$19,496,106$19,092,822-2.07%$18,939,905-0.80%

    1Smyth$7,346,344$7,311,087-0.48%$8,055,00010.18%

    1South Hampton$9,278,232$9,857,3026.24%$9,985,1161.30%

    1Spotsylvania$89,732,421$94,631,6805.46%$95,972,3551.42%

    1Stafford$125,153,542$134,892,0957.78%$136,788,6501.41%

    1Surry$5,637,715$5,809,6903.05%$6,044,1854.04%

    1Sussex$3,751,722$4,200,62511.97%$4,325,0002.96%

    1Tazewell$12,524,709$12,174,152-2.80%$11,750,000-3.48%

    1Warren$20,124,295$20,620,8402.47%$21,044,7482.06%

    1Washington$18,333,560$18,410,7730.42%$19,934,0008.27%

    1Westmoreland$9,979,785$10,160,0001.81%$10,160,0000.00%

    1Wise$8,804,141$9,375,0006.48%$9,375,0000.00%

    1York$57,486,953$60,827,4605.81%$61,401,5000.94%

    115Total$7,664,065,377$8,005,749,4264.46%$8,041,926,5950.45%

    Actual RE TaxExpected RE TaxBudgeted RE Tax

    FY 2008FY 2009% ChangeFY 2010% Change

    115 Localities Responding$7,664,065,377$8,005,749,4264.46%$8,041,926,5950.45%

    Pers. Prop Assess

    Total Personal Property Values 2007Total Personal Property Values 2008% ChangeTotal Personal Property Values 2009% Change

    1Alexandria$1,411,599,710$1,431,885,2371.44%$1,350,806,749-5.66%

    1Bristol$75,500,000$67,000,000-11.26%$68,000,0001.49%

    1Charlottesville$225,241,415$239,706,2246.42%$206,079,721-14.03%

    1Chesapeake$1,759,350,000$1,818,220,0003.35%$1,661,710,000-8.61%

    1Colonial Heights$131,029,205$137,457,6574.91%$118,064,471-14.11%

    1Danville$429,810,986$441,536,6882.73%$411,860,781-6.72%

    1Emporia$37,482,845$37,941,5971.22%$35,573,006-6.24%

    1Falls Church$124,870,000$119,890,000-3.99%$119,000,000-0.74%

    1Hampton$977,564,268$1,015,327,9513.86%$880,003,335-13.33%

    1Harrisonburg$87,222,265$84,965,350-2.59%$88,862,2924.59%

    1Hopewell$124,658,770$127,665,2292.41%$109,637,670-14.12%

    1Lexington$34,307,454$33,321,371-2.87%$28,989,593-13.00%

    1Lynchburg$643,581,966$675,438,1804.95%$639,898,432-5.26%

    1Manassas$986,058,335$1,061,009,0007.60%$1,066,421,7700.51%

    1Manassas Park$127,797$124,044-2.94%$121,000-2.45%

    1Martinsville$137,069,780$146,134,9146.61%$141,295,228-3.31%

    1Norton$27,964,174$30,223,4228.08%$30,223,4220.00%

    1Poquoson$104,053,780$109,796,6185.52%$94,686,313-13.76%

    1Portsmouth$735,515,894$670,663,797-8.82%$619,509,051-7.63%

    1Richmond City$1,418,934,404$1,468,366,8593.48%$1,384,896,225-5.68%

    1Roanoke City$818,058,932$836,674,5242.28%$744,642,165-11.00%

    1Salem$343,083,210$348,364,5071.54%$342,465,888-1.69%

    1Staunton$211,385,403$237,853,27112.52%$217,092,540-8.73%

    1Suffolk$914,764,766$973,955,3846.47%$925,257,614-5.00%

    1Virginia Beach$3,840,889,682$4,009,815,7714.40%$3,442,851,052-14.14%

    1Waynesboro$152,107,284$145,353,913-4.44%$122,948,367-15.41%

    1Williamsburg$70,261,980$72,133,3712.66%$76,842,2856.53%

    1Winchester$300,636,108$301,747,0660.37%$315,301,6874.49%

    1Albemarle$785,706,422$887,416,02812.94%$800,783,040-9.76%

    1Alleghany$63,121,433$63,346,7200.36%$63,806,0950.73%

    1Amherst$194,356,760$195,089,2550.38%$206,267,7505.73%

    1Appomattox$64,666,215$65,797,1431.75%$67,021,7951.86%

    1Augusta$554,020,310$580,789,3804.83%$510,846,200-12.04%

    1Bath$59,567,466$64,910,0658.97%$58,808,800-9.40%

    1Bland$109,082,449$100,108,124-8.23%$92,500,750-7.60%

    1Botetourt$310,621,094$308,999,319-0.52%$333,396,8677.90%

    1Buchanan$194,817,177$214,773,07610.24%$331,153,62654.19%

    1Buckingham$116,711,482$128,464,97010.07%$118,227,610-7.97%

    1Campbell$263,432,872$283,008,3677.43%$285,373,9050.84%

    1Caroline$127,775,732$137,580,2417.67%$154,401,96212.23%

    1Carroll$339,936,262$336,105,775-1.13%$350,012,1704.14%

    1Chesterfield$2,760,000,000$2,850,000,0003.26%$2,590,000,000-9.12%

    1Clarke$172,371,552$178,182,9243.37%$140,023,154-21.42%

    1Cumberland$69,031,488$74,433,6827.83%$67,002,630-9.98%

    1Dinwiddie$249,397,513$264,738,2206.15%$243,895,218-7.87%

    1Essex$94,161,145$97,349,9703.39%$96,553,832-0.82%

    1Fairfax County$14,885,684,962$14,968,086,7370.55%$15,212,399,0281.63%

    1Fauquier$740,685,841$743,272,1230.35%$749,731,0570.87%

    1Franklin$650,618,707$665,844,5012.34%$694,087,1254.24%

    1Frederick$1,256,708,761$1,256,708,7610.00%$1,030,098,557-18.03%

    1Gloucester$424,633,299$452,472,1646.56%$415,236,019-8.23%

    1Goochland$247,120,377$264,232,5746.92%$233,968,421-11.45%

    1Greene$101,857,100$105,579,6163.65%$95,154,251-9.87%

    1Greensville$80,117,880$83,222,8643.88%$80,909,330-2.78%

    1Henrico$4,158,027,144$4,029,308,615-3.10%$3,786,711,522-6.02%

    1Henry$728,033,578$701,403,119-3.66%$720,529,0072.73%

    1Highland$26,245,118$29,938,55414.07%$20,576,798-31.27%

    1Isle of Wight$283,389,074$295,835,1654.39%$287,246,000-2.90%

    1James City County$730,150,755$761,010,3214.23%$750,654,235-1.36%

    1King George$181,756,855$191,376,5245.29%$185,695,148-2.97%

    1King and Queen$84,304,393$87,678,9854.00%$87,684,0700.01%

    1King William$124,358,986$129,017,6803.75%$113,638,966-11.92%

    1Lancaster$163,054,528$176,820,8268.44%$161,305,385-8.77%

    1Loudoun$3,576,145,232$3,917,012,7159.53%$4,057,974,0983.60%

    1Louisa$366,800,600$303,726,440-17.20%$278,300,000-8.37%

    1Madison$163,607,309$162,442,134-0.71%$160,817,713-1.00%

    1Mecklenburg$381,041,064$406,129,6436.58%$453,366,54011.63%

    1Middlesex$102,519,714$108,559,2695.89%$105,765,151-2.57%

    1Nelson$115,041,842$119,359,8543.75%$130,006,7358.92%

    1Northampton$123,207,556$126,407,6582.60%$127,323,0270.72%

    1Nottoway$74,796,000$76,093,0001.73%$74,000,000-2.75%

    1Page$191,693,126$188,690,673-1.57%$190,953,9121.20%

    1Pittsylvania$223,425,830$226,207,3701.24%$209,053,650-7.58%

    1Prince Edward$93,758,150$99,348,4655.96%$89,413,619-10.00%

    1Prince George$198,735,156$215,918,2148.65%$263,604,04822.09%

    1Pulaski$273,476,922$288,718,2975.57%$311,944,8798.04%

    1Rappahannock$64,060,764$64,527,1710.73%$52,500,700-18.64%

    1Roanoke County$778,899,217$830,364,3676.61%$766,339,671-7.71%

    1Rockingham$349,817,975$364,483,4254.19%$345,834,000-5.12%

    1Scott$69,857,071$84,105,00020.40%$93,000,00010.58%

    1Shenandoah$356,334,022$378,309,0556.17%$394,779,7204.35%

    1South Hampton$124,512,032$126,358,6231.48%$128,553,6851.74%

    1Spotsylvania$686,429,684$732,059,7806.65%$660,360,808-9.79%

    1Stafford$999,889,200$1,002,652,1100.28%$862,963,250-13.93%

    1Surry$52,608,418$56,144,6576.72%$50,009,087-10.93%

    1Sussex$97,232,308$101,514,2234.40%$113,890,24012.19%

    1Warren$424,893,678$420,678,356-0.99%$360,742,200-14.25%

    1Washington$451,152,900$476,792,1005.68%$430,087,300-9.80%

    1Westmoreland$140,435,940$153,700,6109.45%$156,832,5902.04%

    1Wise$342,140,366$344,388,9920.66%$371,879,6407.98%

    1Wythe$220,000,000$230,000,0004.55%$212,000,000-7.83%

    1York$488,095,523$515,255,9755.56%$460,316,206-10.66%

    92Total$59,049,262,742$60,535,422,5092.52%$58,291,353,449-3.71%

    Total Personal Property Values 2007Total Personal Property Values 2008% ChangeTotal Personal Property Values 2009% Change

    92 Localities Responding$59,049,262,742$60,535,422,5092.52%$58,291,353,449-3.71%

    GF Revenues

    General Fund Revenues

    LocalityActual FY 2008Budgeted FY 09% ChangeExpected FY 2009% ChangeBudgeted FY 10% Change

    1Alexandria$466,006,085$482,566,4253.55%$471,385,4751.15%$473,028,4660.35%

    1Bristol$29,600,000$28,800,000-2.70%$27,500,000-7.09%$27,900,0001.45%

    1Buena Vista$6,790,470$6,812,2680.32%$6,118,506-9.90%$6,682,4679.22%

    1Charlottesville$136,937,803$140,992,5212.96%$140,835,6522.85%$139,647,675-0.84%

    1Chesapeake$440,323,767$450,041,8232.21%$431,566,019-1.99%$423,779,736-1.80%

    1Colonial Heights$47,406,296$48,306,3031.90%$47,629,0280.47%$43,393,864-8.89%

    1Danville$101,902,253$100,208,186-1.66%$102,745,0140.83%$69,379,264-32.47%

    1Emporia$11,623,038$11,971,0252.99%$11,956,2532.87%$12,084,6521.07%

    1Falls Church$65,284,000$68,002,0004.16%$63,000,000-3.50%$62,285,000-1.13%

    1Franklin City$17,021,198$17,587,5153.33%$17,407,3342.27%$18,158,2844.31%

    1Galax$21,226,495$18,868,486-11.11%$17,628,432-16.95%$14,298,896-18.89%

    1Hampton$297,262,314$297,210,314-0.02%$292,597,365-1.57%$230,864,704-21.10%

    1Harrisonburg$89,731,361$86,807,002-3.26%$81,262,292-9.44%$74,016,561-8.92%

    1Hopewell$39,008,892$41,309,4545.90%$38,206,437-2.06%$34,163,676-10.58%

    1Lexington$13,439,033$13,098,150-2.54%$13,009,255-3.20%$10,629,109-18.30%

    1Lynchburg$127,189,273$122,612,027-3.60%$119,409,871-6.12%$118,606,078-0.67%

    1Manassas$96,179,000$104,131,5448.27%$94,411,044-1.84%$97,459,1203.23%

    1Manassas Park$36,685,178$38,931,0426.12%$36,500,000-0.50%$35,548,859-2.61%

    1Martinsville$30,232,707$30,396,2980.54%$29,827,861-1.34%$18,577,856-37.72%

    1Newport News$416,124,810$433,318,4494.13%$418,564,6640.59%$421,096,0000.60%

    1Poquoson$19,347,531$20,426,3435.58%$19,451,4230.54%$19,147,895-1.56%

    1Portsmouth$160,939,175$170,285,9345.81%$162,781,0391.14%$170,388,6964.67%

    1Richmond City$656,147,900$651,989,726-0.63%$644,723,780-1.74%$629,987,963-2.29%

    1Roanoke City$188,540,136$191,374,7681.50%$189,688,2180.61%$187,697,000-1.05%

    1Salem$65,623,458$67,583,9912.99%$66,976,0002.06%$65,947,468-1.54%

    1Suffolk$142,241,773$143,741,6971.05%$139,403,956-2.00%$137,072,065-1.67%

    1Virginia Beach$1,018,431,281$1,068,656,9124.93%$1,042,602,5182.37%$899,416,676-13.73%

    1Waynesboro$31,528,839$32,206,5742.15%$30,931,164-1.90%$31,729,3542.58%

    1Williamsburg$32,137,132$31,180,848-2.98%$30,046,057-6.51%$32,090,5136.80%

    1Winchester$71,221,739$72,315,0001.54%$68,296,766-4.11%$67,708,000-0.86%

    1Accomack$24,743,986$27,164,6239.78%$26,815,0038.37%$27,864,5993.91%

    1Albemarle$184,102,353$194,852,2635.84%$186,656,2161.39%$189,439,7701.49%

    1Alleghany$31,317,319$31,880,8471.80%$30,450,000-2.77%$31,716,7404.16%

    1Amherst$34,896,073$36,321,2594.08%$36,321,2594.08%$27,622,423-23.95%

    1Appomattox$12,155,413$12,654,5524.11%$11,863,025-2.41%$12,903,7118.77%

    1Arlington$926,376,989$942,071,7661.69%$949,295,7052.47%$946,761,083-0.27%

    1Augusta$62,908,625$62,113,000-1.26%$61,746,397-1.85%$60,276,000-2.38%

    1Bath$15,947,917$12,725,116-20.21%$12,725,116-20.21%$12,781,0480.44%

    1Bedford County$68,270,218$68,667,2320.58%$69,514,7361.82%$65,227,438-6.17%

    1Bland$5,005,991$5,603,36511.93%$5,575,73011.38%$5,527,830-0.86%

    1Botetourt$38,935,505$39,334,4001.02%$38,797,100-0.36%$49,991,40028.85%

    1Buckingham$10,589,259$11,168,9575.47%$11,559,1539.16%$11,483,928-0.65%

    1Campbell$42,387,941$43,309,3152.17%$43,676,3683.04%$42,960,573-1.64%

    1Caroline$32,593,130$32,670,0510.24%$33,980,0004.26%$31,680,374-6.77%

    1Carroll$30,900,000$35,800,00015.86%$35,200,00013.92%$34,200,000-2.84%

    1Charles City County$11,041,077$12,173,73010.26%$11,761,0946.52%$12,723,7608.19%

    1Charlotte$9,100,732$9,281,0931.98%$8,730,156-4.07%$8,836,2301.22%

    1Chesterfield$739,500,000$749,400,0001.34%$726,700,000-1.73%$715,200,000-1.58%

    1Clarke$20,206,362$20,269,7020.31%$19,588,060-3.06%$20,483,7494.57%

    1Culpeper$56,625,636$62,771,67310.85%$62,400,26210.20%$59,909,160-3.99%

    1Cumberland$8,610,713$11,373,80832.09%$8,298,959-3.62%$11,136,88334.20%

    1Dinwiddie$30,503,495$31,687,0493.88%$30,236,310-0.88%$30,119,991-0.38%

    1Essex$20,067,528$20,217,0040.74%$20,217,0040.74%$16,566,216-18.06%

    1Fairfax County$2,947,497,568$2,943,317,381-0.14%$2,975,403,0270.95%$2,976,404,8380.03%

    1Fauquier$152,252,828$162,235,4226.56%$158,074,0883.82%$160,649,7641.63%

    1Floyd$11,484,669$11,806,9562.81%$11,098,539-3.36%$11,637,9154.86%

    1Franklin$49,350,428$57,182,46615.87%$57,866,63417.26%$55,703,668-3.74%

    1Frederick$101,302,900$104,453,1533.11%$100,453,153-0.84%$100,379,421-0.07%

    1Gloucester$51,318,661$54,748,5846.68%$51,699,0000.74%$42,800,123-17.21%

    1Goochland$38,199,716$40,351,8325.63%$38,731,9681.39%$39,121,5401.01%

    1Greene$22,968,397$23,197,4431.00%$21,934,469-4.50%$23,197,4435.76%

    1Greensville$10,426,115$10,794,8133.54%$10,500,0000.71%$10,578,2670.75%

    1Halifax$38,133,593$29,741,568-22.01%$29,152,503-23.55%$30,105,1513.27%

    1Hanover$169,847,415$179,567,3565.72%$172,755,3301.71%$172,753,170-0.00%

    1Henrico$532,031,675$535,216,9000.60%$566,756,6876.53%$549,352,800-3.07%

    1Henry$36,661,441$36,189,124-1.29%$36,500,000-0.44%$35,337,708-3.18%

    1Highland$3,160,400$3,305,4364.59%$3,386,0337.14%$3,102,135-8.38%

    1James City County$167,454,110$167,358,805-0.06%$164,356,725-1.85%$164,110,657-0.15%

    1King George$29,922,571$31,874,5506.52%$32,333,0468.06%$29,943,656-7.39%

    1King and Queen$11,209,306$10,439,136-6.87%$11,028,540-1.61%$9,845,311-10.73%

    1King William$17,349,529$18,363,5775.84%$18,260,4515.25%$18,087,370-0.95%

    1Lancaster$15,819,770$17,098,4208.08%$17,646,00011.54%$16,896,000-4.25%

    1Loudoun$885,570,890$931,028,0005.13%$931,028,0005.13%$895,917,000-3.77%

    1Louisa$54,667,011$50,322,310-7.95%$53,457,146-2.21%$51,317,678-4.00%

    1Madison$18,913,633$18,751,082-0.86%$18,188,550-3.83%$14,583,727-19.82%

    1Mecklenburg$27,699,569$26,242,240-5.26%$30,092,5078.64%$26,986,662-10.32%

    1Middlesex$17,115,055$19,154,61311.92%$17,862,4744.37%$17,862,4740.00%

    1Montgomery$74,993,637$76,875,4112.51%$79,934,9126.59%$77,697,541-2.80%

    1Nelson$22,426,286$24,585,3689.63%$24,937,24211.20%$24,054,466-3.54%

    1New Kent$25,951,041$27,644,5886.53%$28,537,3659.97%$26,388,394-7.53%

    1Northampton$19,812,497$20,273,8172.33%$19,173,883-3.22%$19,425,0781.31%

    1Nottoway$8,586,978$8,865,2233.24%$8,865,2233.24%$8,865,2230.00%

    1Orange$39,009,780$39,980,8502.49%$39,696,0351.76%$39,704,5260.02%

    1Patrick$11,678,759$15,322,62931.20%$16,124,36338.07%$14,801,373-8.20%

    1Pittsylvania$38,446,292$39,459,1602.63%$39,920,7563.84%$39,263,453-1.65%

    1Prince Edward$14,094,241$14,183,8500.64%$14,765,6694.76%$14,433,541-2.25%

    1Prince George$36,441,086$37,420,9202.69%$36,381,162-0.16%$37,258,1942.41%

    1Pulaski$28,664,881$27,796,360-3.03%$28,882,8140.76%$28,141,100-2.57%

    1Rappahannock$13,691,692$13,400,000-2.13%$13,400,000-2.13%$12,692,686-5.28%

    1Richmond County$7,696,949$7,443,473-3.29%$7,500,000-2.56%$7,608,2201.44%

    1Rockingham$93,871,845$97,265,4903.62%$99,097,0005.57%$77,204,131-22.09%

    1Scott$12,465,148$12,818,0002.83%$12,759,2652.36%$13,204,0263.49%

    1Shenandoah$40,588,975$41,977,2963.42%$40,516,722-0.18%$40,273,917-0.60%

    1Smyth$16,925,038$24,003,47741.82%$21,143,54024.92%$17,312,451-18.12%

    1South Hampton$19,908,653$21,233,7986.66%$21,164,3086.31%$21,434,8861.28%

    1Spotsylvania$169,556,917$189,188,54011.58%$174,442,9082.88%$179,754,2483.04%

    1Stafford$202,762,855$212,425,3154.77%$206,738,2651.96%$211,738,8342.42%

    1Surry$18,790,100$19,163,7391.99%$18,702,694-0.47%$19,179,7432.55%

    1Sussex$18,347,485$19,436,6305.94%$17,114,911-6.72%$16,592,225-3.05%

    1Warren$45,484,237$47,483,6454.40%$44,913,009-1.26%$46,810,7374.23%

    1Washington$39,911,800$40,487,8001.44%$39,895,300-0.04%$42,145,0005.64%

    1Westmoreland$23,657,952$21,066,648-10.95%$21,066,648-10.95%$21,066,6480.00%

    1Wythe$26,000,000$25,700,000-1.15%$25,700,000-1.15%$24,500,000-4.67%

    1York$125,029,268$130,669,1964.51%$125,698,1170.53%$109,824,732-12.63%

    104Total$13,898,070,841$14,204,155,8202.20%$14,054,206,0571.12%$13,646,248,654-2.90%

    Total General Fund Revenues

    Actual FY 2008Budgeted FY 09% ChangeExpected FY 2009% ChangeBudgeted FY 10% Change

    104 Localities Responding$13,898,070,841$14,204,155,8202.20%$14,054,206,0571.12%$13,646,248,654-2.90%

    Reserves

    % of "Reserve" to FY10 GF Revenue% of "Reserve" to FY10 GFSpending# of Locals w/ reserve > 10% of spending

    1Alexandria$51,000,00010.8%9.6%0

    1Buena Vista$1,300,00019.5%12.0%1

    1Chesapeake$30,225,4427.1%6.0%0

    1Colonial Beach$500,0009.5%9.5%0

    1Colonial Heights$6,912,64215.9%14.3%1

    1Danville$24,728,17435.6%24.5%1

    1Emporia$3,436,59328.4%21.7%1

    1Fairfax City$12,000,00011.9%10.9%1

    1Falls Church$7,400,00011.9%11.0%1

    1Franklin City$4,188,34023.1%19.1%1

    1Hampton$52,000,00022.5%12.0%1

    1Harrisonburg$13,100,00017.7%15.7%1

    1Hopewell$1,362,5004.0%3.4%0

    1Lexington$6,075,00057.2%46.8%1

    1Lynchburg$16,402,97813.8%10.6%1

    1Manassas$13,256,00013.6%11.7%1

    1Manassas Park$600,0001.7%1.7%0

    1Martinsville$3,363,04318.1%11.5%1

    1Newport News$42,000,00010.0%10.0%0

    1Norfolk$46,204,1779.8%5.6%0

    1Norton$4,600,000154.6%47.6%1

    1Poquoson$3,497,22918.3%15.2%1

    1Portsmouth$29,000,00017.0%13.0%1

    1Richmond City$47,000,0007.5%7.5%0

    1Roanoke City$21,000,00011.2%8.2%0

    1Salem$5,602,0008.5%8.5%0

    1Staunton$750,0002.2%1.6%0

    1Suffolk$33,306,10924.3%20.3%1

    1Virginia Beach$146,154,33216.2%13.5%1

    1Waynesboro$704,4762.2%1.8%0

    1Williamsburg$26,000,00081.0%81.0%1

    1Winchester$21,000,00031.0%116.7%1

    1Accomack$2,994,00010.7%8.9%0

    1Albemarle$19,698,00010.4%9.0%0

    1Alleghany$15,000,00047.3%47.3%1

    1Appomattox$1,200,0009.3%3.1%0

    1Augusta$6,436,59610.7%8.8%0

    1Bath$2,930,94722.9%14.2%1

    1Bedford County$10,700,00016.4%13.2%1

    1Bland$2,875,00052.0%66.4%1

    1Botetourt$15,000,00030.0%46.8%1

    1Buckingham$4,700,00040.9%32.0%1

    1Campbell$11,887,76927.7%20.0%1

    1Carroll$5,500,00016.1%16.1%1

    1Charles City County$1,800,00014.1%26.1%1

    1Charlotte$3,700,00041.9%30.9%1

    1Chesterfield$53,495,0007.5%7.5%0

    1Clarke$6,830,28733.3%78.5%1

    1Craig$2,200,00029.0%29.0%1

    1Culpeper$21,000,00035.1%73.0%1

    1Cumberland$163,2571.5%2.8%0

    1Dinwiddie$18,661,80762.0%45.8%1

    1Essex$1,000,0006.0%3.4%0

    1Fairfax County$5,000,0000.0%0.2%0

    1Fauquier$4,184,9872.6%2.6%0

    1Floyd$500,0004.3%8.1%0

    1Franklin$12,700,00022.8%17.7%1

    1Frederick$22,423,80222.3%17.8%1

    1Gloucester$11,002,74425.7%21.8%1

    1Greene$2,000,0008.6%12.0%1

    1Halifax$8,056,70826.8%21.6%1

    1Hanover$24,477,80014.2%12.0%1

    1Henrico$137,816,18225.1%17.8%1

    1Henry$20,000,00056.6%44.2%1

    1Highland$3,304,533106.5%47.9%1

    1Isle of Wight$13,228,98012.7%12.7%1

    1James City County$913,7800.6%0.6%0

    1King George$22,334,31474.6%74.6%1

    1King William$250,0001.4%1.2%0

    1Lancaster$2,000,00011.8%9.1%0

    1Loudoun$121,122,13613.5%12.0%1

    1Louisa$15,000,00029.2%29.3%1

    1Madison$4,146,88628.4%25.1%1

    1Mathews$3,100,00025.3%13.3%1

    1Mecklenburg$10,200,00037.8%13.8%1

    1Middlesex$4,921,58427.6%27.6%1

    1Montgomery$2,200,0002.8%5.4%0

    1Nelson$8,800,00036.6%28.8%

    1New Kent$2,106,3498.0%6.9%0

    1Northampton$3,878,95020.0%16.8%1

    1Nottoway$5,000,00056.4%47.8%1

    1Orange$1,300,0003.3%2.7%0

    1Page$5,297,73622.7%34.2%1

    1Patrick$1,322,1738.9%12.4%1

    1Pittsylvania$28,636,31172.9%13.5%1

    1Powhatan$10,500,00024.5%68.9%1

    1Prince Edward$9,0100.1%0.0%0

    1Prince George$5,035,97313.5%11.0%1

    1Pulaski$26,658,99794.7%78.1%1

    1Rappahannock$5,600,00044.1%72.6%1

    1Richmond County$2,500,00032.9%12.4%1

    1Roanoke County$19,000,00011.4%11.4%1

    1Rockingham$17,086,00022.1%17.2%1

    1Scott$4,865,03336.8%23.5%1

    1Shenandoah$8,594,00021.3%15.7%1

    1Smyth$8,757,10350.6%38.5%1

    1South Hampton$5,750,00026.8%40.7%1

    1Spotsylvania$33,385,33218.6%34.6%1

    1Surry$1,100,0005.7%15.1%1

    1Sussex$3,238,17719.5%15.4%1

    1Warren$14,750,00031.5%26.1%1

    1Washington$3,300,0007.8%6.0%0

    1Westmoreland$6,097,48628.9%28.9%1

    1Wise$4,463,87114.4%8.5%0

    1Wythe$22,000,00089.8%68.8%1

    1York$16,547,24615.1%13.2%1

    106Total25.1%22.7%74

    Greatest FY 10 impact

    Please check the three areas that had the most significant impact on your budget for FY 2010.

    LocalityPublic safety needsCIP infrastructure needsHuman services needsEducation needsEmployee compensation (wages, pensions, benefits)Prices, inflation, cost of livingOther

    Count76483393411433

    Percentage65%41%28.20%79.50%35%12%28.20%

    FY 10 budget cuts

    What actions have been taken to balance the FY 2010 budget?

    NoneIncrease RevenuesAcross-the-board cutsSocial Services CutsPublic Safety CutsOther Program CutsHiring freezePersonnel furloughsPay CutsEarly RetirementLayoffsCivic/cultural CutsReduce CapitalPrivatizationIregional AgreementsReduce pensionsReduce Health BenefitsRefinance DebtReplace GF with NGFUse ReservesOther

    Number of Localities44046263057696694770855633319115445

    0.0330.3330.3830.2170.250.4750.5750.050.050.0750.3920.5830.7080.0420.050.0250.2750.1580.0920.450.375

    VML-VACo Local Government Fiscal Survey 2008VML-VACo Local Government Fiscal Survey 2008VML-VACo Local Government Fiscal Survey 2008VML-VACo Local Government Fiscal Survey 2008VML-VACo Local Government Fiscal Survey 2008VML-VACo Local Government Fiscal Survey 2008VML-VACo Local Government Fiscal Survey 2008VML-VACo Local Government Fiscal Survey 2008

    Please indicate which actions your locality has taken for Fiscal Year 2009:Please indicate which actions your locality has taken for Fiscal Year 2009:Please indicate which actions your locality has taken for Fiscal Year 2009:Please indicate which actions your locality has taken for Fiscal Year 2009:Please indicate which actions your locality has taken for Fiscal Year 2009:Please indicate which actions your locality has taken for Fiscal Year 2009:Please indicate which actions your locality has taken for Fiscal Year 2009:Please indicate which actions your locality has taken for Fiscal Year 2009:

    Answer OptionsAnswer OptionsSignificant increaseSlight increaseMaintain from FY08Slight decreaseSignificant decreaseResponse Count

    A. Real estate tax ratesA. Real estate tax rates23367346142

    B. Reliance on cash reservesB. Reliance on cash reserves24495684141

    C. Fees / charges / license increasesC. Fees / charges / license increases12536854142

    D. Spending growth rateD. Spending growth rate541482623142

    E. CIP infrastructure spendingE. CIP infrastructure spending2430372922142

    F. Public safety spendingF. Public safety spending196840142143

    G. Other spendingG. Other spending251463510143

    H. Service cutbacksH. Service cutbacks118107143143

    I. Contract outI. Contract out015109113138

    J. Size of public workforceJ. Size of public workforce12580342142

    K. Cost sharing or revenue sharing with other localitiesK. Cost sharing or revenue sharing with other localities31411820137

    answered questionanswered questionanswered questionanswered questionanswered questionanswered question143143

    skipped questionskipped questionskipped questionskipped questionskipped questionskipped question11

    Greatest Impact on Budget Balancing Strategy

    Key:Greatest ImpactsSecond GreatestThird Greatest# With Great Impact

    Delay or cancellation of capital outlay17241657

    Across the board service cut25101348

    Use reserves or undesignated balances209736

    Personnel layoffs1111729

    Hiring freeze513826

    Salary or wage reductions/freeze681024

    Revenue enhancement68822

    Cuts in other services and programs45918

    Reduced contributions to civic/cultural16916

    Other44513

    Reduce health care benefits13812

    Renegotiate debt74112

    Reduced education funds/increased costs4408

    Replace local general funds with special funds2204

    Cuts in human/social services0033

    Cuts in public safety services0213

    Personnel furloughs1113

    Increase use of regional agreements1102

    Early retirement incentives0000

    Increase privatization/contracting out0000

    Reduce pension plans benefits0000

    FY 10 budget cuts

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Number of Localities

    # of Localities

    VML/VACO Local Government Fiscal Survey - 2009 Actions Taken to Balance Local FY 10 Budgets

    FY 10 Revenue Enhancements

    Local Revenue Enhancement Measures in FY 10

    Real Estate Tax Increases34

    Personal Property Tax Increases23

    Recycling/Waste Management Fees11

    Motor Vehicle/Traffic Fees and Fines8

    EMS/Fire8

    Public Safety/Court Fees7

    Permits/Inspection Fees7

    Meals Taxes6

    Water/Sewer Fees5

    Recreation Fees4

    License4

    Utility taxes2

    Transient Occupancy Taxes2

    Cigarette Taxes1

    SFSF

    SFSF

    2295

    16101

    8827

    No

    Yes

    Did SFSF funding

    Future Spending Concerns

    What are your localitys biggest expenditure concerns in FY 2011 and beyond?

    What are your localitys biggest expenditure concerns in FY 2011 and beyond?

    Personnel compensationPersonnel benefitsCapital outlay/ infrastructureDebt servicingPublic safetyEducationCSAVRSUnfunded mandatesTransportation

    Localities Responding3833401926481169332

    Biggest Future Expenditure Concerns

    Number of Localities

    Education48

    Capital outlay/ infrastructure40

    Personnel compensation38

    Personnel benefits33

    Public safety26

    Debt servicing19

    CSA11

    Unfunded mandates9

    VRS69

    Transportation33

    Other3232

    Sheet3

  • Local Revenues Are Declining (Number of Localities Responding)

    debt

    Total Debt Service as a Percent of Revenue

    20023.0%

    20033.0%

    20042.9%

    20052.5%

    20062.6%

    20072.9%

    20083.1%

    20094.1%

    20104.5%

    20114.9%

    20125.0%

    20135.0%

    20145.0%

    20155.0%

    20165.0%

    20174.9%

    20184.9%

    debt

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Total Debt Service as a Percent of Revenue

    Total Debt Service as a Percent of RevenuePrior to the August 19 Revenue Revisions

    medicaid

    Medicaid Forecast

    Optimistic GrowthBaseline GrowthPessimistic Growth

    1.071.071.091.091.111.11

    20092010201120122011201220112012

    GF$2,211.2$2,270.0$2,778.3$3,386.1$2,850.6$3,530.0$2,919.9$3,676.4

    Special Rev$310.3$303.8$300.0$295.0$295.0$290.0$290.0$285.0

    Federal$2,751.4$3,120.5$3,338.9$3,572.7$3,401.3$3,707.5$3,463.8$3,844.8

    Federal ARRA369594322031903190

    Extra FMAP097400400400

    Total Federal$3,120.4$3,758.8$3,700.9$3,572.7

    Total$5,641.9$6,335.7$6,779.2$7,253.7$6,905.9$7,527.4$7,032.6$7,806.2

    12.3%7.00%7.00%

    Baseline GF Increase$508.3$1,116.1$580.6$1,260.0$649.9$1,406.4

    $1,624.3$1,840.5$2,056.3

    Policy Changes329691

    Baseline Scenario

    FY 2010% GrowthFY 2011% GrowthFY 2012% Growth

    14315.1Total GF Revenues$14,079.4-1.6%$14,618.03.8%$15,389.25.3%

    406.5GF Transfers$415.32.2%$328.5-20.9%$339.03.2%

    14721.6Total General Fund$14,494.7-1.5%$14,946.53.1%$15,728.25.2%

    Direct Aid to K-12$5,148$5,208$5,227Legislative and Executive Dept's$94$94

    Medicaid$2,220$2,778$3,386Judicial Dept.$407$407

    Other Health & Human Serv.$1,619$1,600$1,600Planned GF Debt Service$645$684

    Higher & Other Education$1,794$1,623$1,623Admin., Finance (w/o debt), & Tech$815$815

    Public Safety$1,687$1,710$1,710Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$238$238

    Car Tax Reimbursement$950$950$950K-12 Direct Aid$5,148$5,148

    All Other*$2,225$2,290$2,329K-12 Rebenchmarking: 7-22-09 DOE draft$60$79

    Total$15,643$16,159$16,825Higher & Other Education$1,623$1,623

    Medicaid (7% annual growth)$2,781$3,388

    Projected Budget Gap-$1,213-$1,097Other HHS$1,600$1,600

    Public Safety$1,710$1,710

    * Administration, finance, commerce & trade, natural resources, judicial, executive, legislative, capital outlayTransportation$41$41$2,240

    Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Capital$1,000$1,000

    $16,162

    Optimistic Scenario

    FY 2010%FY 2011%FY 2012%

    14315.1Total GF Revenues$14,315.10.0%$15,145.45.8%$15,980.07.3%

    406.5GF Transfers$415.32.2%$415.30.0%$415.30.0%

    14721.6Total General Fund$14,730.40.1%$15,560.75.6%$16,395.35.4%

    Change from Baseline$235.7$614.2$667.1$1,517.0

    Direct Aid to K-12 (incl. Rebench)$5,148.2$5,208$5,227Legislative and Executive Dept's$94$94

    Medicaid$2,220.4$2,778.3$3,386.1Judicial Dept.$407$407

    Other Health & Human Serv.$1,618.6$1,600$1,600Planned GF Debt Service$645$684

    Higher & Other Education$1,794.1$1,623$1,623Admin., Finance (w/o debt), & Tech$815$815

    Public Safety$1,686.7$1,710$1,710Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$238$238

    Car Tax Reimbursement$950.0$950.0$950.0K-12 Direct Aid$5,148$5,148

    All Other*$2,224.7$2,290$2,329K-12 Rebenchmarking: 7-22-09 DOE draft$60$79

    Total$15,642.7$16,159$16,825Higher & Other Education$1,623$1,623

    Medicaid (7% annual growth)$2,781$3,388

    Projected Budget Gap($598.3)($429.5)

    * Administration, finance, commerce & trade, natural resources, judicial, executive, legislative, capital outlayOther HHS$1,600$1,600

    Pessimistic Scenario

    FY 2010%FY 2011%FY 2012%

    14315.1Total GF Revenues$13,800.0-3.6%$14,050.01.8%$14,750.05.0%

    406.5GF Transfers$415.32.2%$328.5-20.9%$339.03.2%

    14721.6Total General Fund$14,215.3-1.5%$14,378.51.1%$15,089.04.9%

    Change from Baseline-$279.4-$568.0-$639.2-$1,486.6

    Direct Aid to K-12 (incl. Rebench)$5,148.2$5,208$5,227

    Medicaid$2,220.4$2,778.3$3,386.1

    Other Health & Human Serv.$1,618.6$1,600$1,600

    Higher & Other Education$1,794.1$1,623$1,623

    Public Safety$1,686.7$1,710$1,710

    Car Tax Reimbursement$950.0$950.0$950.0

    All Other*$2,224.7$2,290$2,329

    Total$15,642.7$16,159$16,825

    Projected Budget Gap($1,780.5)($1,735.8)

    * Administration, finance, commerce & trade, natural resources, judicial, executive, legislative, capital outlay

    FY 2011FY 2012

    General Fund Revenues Baseline$14,947$15,728

    General Fund Revenues Optimistic$15,561$16,395

    General Fund Revenues Pessimistic$14,379$15,089

    Appropriations:

    Direct Aid to K-12 (incl. Rebench)$5,346$5,661$5,286$5,582137.8433.9296.1$315

    Medicaid GF @ 7% utlization growth$2,817$3,427

    Other Health & Human Serv.$1,600$1,600

    Higher & Other Education$1,805$1,841$1,8061840.5218.5183

    Public Safety$1,710$1,7101622.4

    Car Tax Reimbursement$950$950

    All Other *$2,245$2,275

    Total$16,473$17,463

    Projected Budget Gap Baseline($1,527)($1,735)($3,262)

    Projected Budget Gap Optimistic($913)($1,068)($1,981)

    Projected Budget Gap Pessimistic($2,095)($2,374)($4,469)

    * Includes: legislative, executive, juduicial, admin & finance, commerce & trade,

    natural resources, central appropriations, capital outlay

    Medicaid Expenditure Forecast

    ($ Mil. at 7% Utilization growth)

    FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012

    GF$2,273$2,817$3,427

    Special Rev$304$301$298

    Federal*$3,759$3,661$3,528

    Total Medicaid @ 7% Growth$6,336$6,779$7,254

    Medicaid GF as Percent of Total GF15.7%18.8%21.8%

    ARRA Stimulus Funding *$685$367$0

    * Assumes FMAP remains at 61.59% thru CY 2010 than returns to 50% in CY 2011

    ARRA Stimulus Funding ($ Mil.)

    FY 10 ARRA*FY 11 ARRA*FY 11 GF BackfillFY 12 ARRAFY 12 GF Backfill

    Medicaid$685$367$318$0$685

    K-12 Public Education$434$296$138$0$434

    Higher Education$219$36$183$0$219

    SFSF General$219$0$219$0$219

    Total$1,557$699$858$0$1,557

    FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012

    Current Services Medicaid GF Forecast @ 7% Growth$2,273$2,817$3,427

    Total General Fund Revenues Baseline$14,495$14,947$15,728

    Total General Fund Revenues Optimistic$14,730$15,561$16,395

    Total General Fund Revenues Pessimistic$14,215$14,379$15,089

    Medicaid GF as Percent of Total GF - Baseline15.7%18.8%21.8%

    Medicaid GF as Percent of Total GF - Optimistic15.4%18.1%20.9%

    Medicaid GF as Percent of Total GF - Pessimistic16.0%19.6%22.7%

    Invoice - Analysis of 2010-12 Medicaid Budget Scenarios

    Virginia Hospital and Healthcare Association

    ActivityHours

    Prepare Chart for Initial Meeting1.5

    Initial Meeting 9-162.0

    Review and edit Ingram ARRA-FMAP Model1.5

    Discuss Medicaid Forecast with Mike Tweedy - DPB1.0

    Prepare Medicaid Budget Scenario Analysis7.0

    Discuss Analysis with Chris B. on 9-281.0

    Edit Scenarios and add detail1.0

    Total Hours15.0

    at $150/hour$2,250.00

    Medicaid Enrollment % of Population - 2006Medicaid Expenditures - Per capita FY 07

    United States20%$1,061319676.9301,290,332

    Virginia11%$6394962.97,769,089

    Colorado12%$60529284,842,770

    Georgia19%$7367008.99,523,297

    Indiana16%$8085120.26,335,862

    Maryland14%$9675435.65,618,899

    Massachussetts19%$1,592102956,467,915

    North Carolina19%$1,0879829.59,041,594

    Tennessee25%$1,1597129.56,149,116

    Washington19%$8985790.86,449,511

    Wisconsin18%$8824937.15,598,893

    Virginia

    65 and Over994,359

    85 and Over135,299

    65 and Over1,404,580

    85 and Over172,393

    65 and Over1,843,988

    85 and Over250,366

    Comparison of Medicaid FPL Eligibility Limits (%)

    U.S MinimumVANCMDKYWVATN

    Adults in Family412437116361773

    Pregnant Women133185185250185150250

    Children 0-1133133200300185150185

    Children 1-5133133200300150133133

    Children 6-18100133100300150100100

    Aged 230,621,601 251,791,598 266,814,363 302,692,499 319,292,076 347,873,339 431,474,729 467,264,319 523,403,841 541,316,407 565,668,504 577,528,482 614,385,459

    Blind 2,790,477 3,131,059 3,491,827 3,836,746 3,923,812 4,270,823 5,204,019 5,093,835 5,889,723 6,017,890 5,897,761 5,962,972 6,099,567

    Disabled 187,844,438 210,554,108 240,453,526 274,960,775 296,141,410 330,334,873 412,084,931 484,553,903 578,808,373 615,826,006 709,576,129 750,770,926 795,087,159

    Children Under 21 43,533,601 48,719,170 49,164,961 56,175,685 71,226,518 113,274,466 174,583,806 229,914,537 300,713,873 286,282,586 336,849,539 282,912,245 255,958,949

    Adults with Children 54,358,090 64,736,362 72,190,501 81,796,322 94,225,959 112,899,857 164,351,694 203,477,654 240,076,230 220,111,584 223,373,578 173,130,753 158,881,968

    Other Title XIX Recipients

    2000200120022003200420052006

    Blind/Disabled$1,132$1,261$1,327$1,450$1,629$1,767$1,928

    Aged$698$775$795$829$947$1,006$960

    Children$380$433$495$579$664$815$920

    Adults$200$193$236$369$220$341$387

    Total Expenditures$2,411$2,663$2,853$3,226$3,459$3,929$4,195

    1999200020012002200320042005200620072008

    Blind/Disabled882.2$942$1,101$1,112$1,190$1,628$1,767$1,928$1,960$2,123

    Aged627.9$672$791$804$855$947$1,006$960$879$9160.5687867331

    Low Income Children268.4$245$307$301$309$637$784$887$925$1,009

    Pregnant Women78.4$74$74$67$65$94$122$135$137$140

    Low Income Caretaker Adults69.6$58$59$54$52$154$252$285$285$311

    1999200020012002200320042005200620072008

    Total Expenditures2461.62732.43032.63678.83627.13895.54394.44772.75042.25342.6

    11.0%11.0%21.3%-1.4%7.4%12.8%8.6%5.6%6.0%

    medicaid

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    Medicaid Expenditures by Identifiable Eligibility Category

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    Total Medicaid Expenditures in Virginia(Average growth rate = 9% since 1999)

    FY 10 Changes

    August 19, 2009 Interim Forecast

    FY 2009 Actual% GrowthEst. FY 2010% GrowthFY 2011% GrowthFY 2012% Growth

    10114.8Individual Income$9,481.1-6.3%$9,310.8-1.8%$9,838.25.7%$10,375.65.5%

    3075.5Sales Taxes$2,903.4-5.6%$2,892.0-0.4%$2,783.1-3.8%$2,885.93.7%

    807.9Corporate Income$648.0-19.8%$662.22.2%$781.918.1%$861.610.2%

    $1,768.8All Other GF Revenues$1,282.6-27.5%$1,214.4-5.3%$1,214.80.0%$1,266.14.2%

    15767Total GF Revenues$14,315.1-9.2%$14,079.4-1.6%$14,618.03.8%$15,389.25.3%

    812.5GF Transfers$406.5-50.0%$415.32.2%$328.5-20.9%$339.03.2%

    16579.5Total General Fund$14,721.6-11.2%$14,494.7-1.5%$14,946.53.1%$15,728.25.2%

    FY 2009 Actual% GrowthEst. FY 2010% Growth

    10114.8Individual Income$9,481.1-6.3%$9,310.8-1.8%

    3075.5Sales Taxes$2,903.4-5.6%$2,892.0-0.4%

    807.9Corporate Income$648.0-19.8%$662.22.2%

    $1,768.8All Other GF Revenues$1,282.6-27.5%$1,214.4-5.3%

    15767Total GF Revenues$14,315.1-9.2%$14,079.4-1.6%

    812.5GF Transfers$406.5-50.0%$415.32.2%

    16579.5Total General Fund$14,721.6-11.2%$14,494.7-1.5%15.0%

    15.68%

    FY 2010%FY 2011%FY 2012%

    0.6613065898Individual Income$9,310.8-1.8%$9,838.25.7%$10,375.65.5%

    0.2054064804Sales Taxes$2,892.0-0.4%$2,783.1-3.8%$2,885.93.7%

    0.0470332543Corporate Income$662.22.2%$781.918.1%$861.610.2%

    0.0862536756All Other GF Revenues$1,214.4-5.3%$1,214.80.0%$1,266.14.2%

    Total GF Revenues$14,079.4-1.6%$14,618.03.8%$15,389.25.3%

    GF Transfers$415.32.2%$328.5-20.9%$339.03.2%

    Total General Fund$14,494.7-1.5%$14,946.53.1%$15,728.25.2%

    Total GF Revenue

    1977$1,923

    1978$1,923

    1979$2,115

    1980$2,345

    1981$2,580

    1982$2,796

    1983$2,976

    1984$3,398

    1985$3,791

    1986$4,132

    1987$4,590

    1988$5,054

    1989$5,479

    1990$5,496

    1991$5,472

    1992$5,623Growth

    1993$6,134% of GFForecast %% Thru 1st Q

    1994$6,503Individual Income Taxes66.1%-1.8%

    1995$6,881Sales Taxes20.5%-0.4%

    1996$7,356Corporate Income Taxes4.7%2.2%

    1997$7,949All Other8.6%-5.3%

    1998$8,774Total GF Revenues100.0%-1.6%

    1999$9,703

    2000$10,788

    2001$11,105

    2002$10,679

    2003$10,867

    2004$11,918

    2005$13,687

    2006$14,834

    2007$15,566

    2008$15,767

    2009$14,315

    2010$14,079

    2011$14,618

    2012$15,389

    GF Revenue

    1990$5,496

    1991$5,472

    1992$5,623

    1993$6,134

    1994$6,503

    1995$6,881

    1996$7,356

    1997$7,949

    1998$8,774

    1999$9,703

    2000$10,788

    2001$11,105

    2002$10,679

    2003$10,867

    2004$11,918

    2005$13,687

    2006$14,834

    2007$15,566

    2008$15,767

    2009$14,315

    2010$14,079

    2011$14,618

    2012$15,389

    GF Revenue

    2000$10,788

    2001$11,105

    2002$10,679

    2003$10,867

    2004$11,918

    2005$13,687

    2006$14,834

    2007$15,566

    2008$15,767

    2009$14,315

    2010$14,079

    2011$14,618

    2012$15,389

    FY 10 Changes

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    GF Revenue

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    Virginia General Fund Revenue

    spending cuts

    Governor's FY 10 Reduction Plan

    FY 10 GF Budget Shortfall ($ Millions)$1,350.5

    Appropriation Changes:GF ReductionRevenue/TransfersTotal GF Savings

    Legislative and Executive Dept's($1.6)$0.0$1.6

    Judicial Dept.$0.0$0.0$0.0

    Admin., Finance, & Tech($44.5)$11.0$55.5

    Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.($20.8)$4.0$24.8

    K-12 Direct Aid($171.7)$0.0$171.7

    Higher & Other Education($209.8)$0.0$209.8

    Medicaid($97.0)$0.0$97.0

    Other HHS($106.2)$9.2$115.3

    Public Safety($68.3)$62.3$130.6

    Transportation($14.3)$3.2$17.5

    Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Capital($120.2)$39.7$159.8

    Total Appropriation Changes($854.3)$129.4$983.7

    Misc. Transfers$18.4$18.4

    Addititional Balances$68.1$68.1

    Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal$283.0$283.0

    Total GF Changes($854.3)$498.9$1,353.2

    Revised GF Balance$2.7

    * Major K-12 GF changes include ($ mil.):

    Supplant with SFSF FY 11 funding($68.9)

    Supplant GF with Literary Fund Balances($55.0)

    Adjust sales tax revenue($37.6)

    Supplant GF with Lottery funding($9.9)

    AgencyProgramAmountLocal Aid General Fund Reductions for FY 10

    State Bd of ElectionsGeneral registrar salaries(608,190)State Bd of Elections(739,267)

    State Bd of ElectionsAssistance for electoral bd members(131,077)Compensation Bd(30,423,297)

    Compensation BdDirectors of Finance reduction(310,651)Housing & Community Dev(2,457,314)

    Compensation BdCommissioners of Revenue reduction(536,748)Agriculture(100,000)

    Compensation BdTreasurers reduction(530,681)K-12 Direct Aid(171,677,628)

    Compensation BdCircuit Court Clerks' reductdion(1,481,378)Library of VA(868,931)

    Compensation BdCommonwealth's Attorneys reduction(2,522,576)Aging(500,000)

    Compensation Bd4.7% cut on all offices(25,041,263)CSA(36,631,792)

    AgricultureFarmland preservation funding(100,000)Rehabilitative Services(51,000)

    Housing & Community DevSupplemental funding for PDCs(29,542)Health(1,008,014)

    Housing & Community DevFunding for PDCs(212,759)Conservation & Recreation(588,455)

    Direct aid to public educCareer Switcher Mentoring grants(32,939)Historic Resources(275,500)

    Library of VAState aid for public libraries(868,931)DEQ(465,000)

    AgingIndividual care services funding(500,000)DCJS(14,751,398)

    CSAParental agreements(5,000,000)Juvenile Justice(2,521,052)

    Rehabilitative ServicesLong term employment support services(51,000)Commission for the Arts(729,606)

    HealthWater Supply Assistance Grant program(250,000)School efficiency review program(75,993)

    Conservation & RecreationSoil & Water Conservation Districts(587,455)Jail diversion funding(300,000)

    Historic ResourcesStatewide survey program(85,500)Community mental health programs(4,500,000)

    DEQLocal water supply planning grants(10,000)CSB Community-based services(12,203,180)-0.0684378181

    DEQLitter control grants(255,000)Close Roanoke City & Richmond City armories(115,000)

    DCJSCourt appointed special advocate grants(145,657)Non-retirement contributions for teachers(8,110,000)

    DCJSSexual assault crisis center awards(45,000)Retirement contributions for teachers(51,318,250)(59,428,250)-0.2552678858

    DCJSVA Cares program(247,151)(340,410,677)

    DCJSRegional training academy awards(640,983)

    DCJSSchool Resource Officer awards(134,383)

    Juvenile JusticeLocal progams pass-through(2,521,052)

    Kaine PlanSUBTOTAL-DPB recognized cuts(42,879,916)

    Housing & Community DevLynchburg Regional Research Center(150,000)

    Housing & Community DevSoutheast Rural Community Action Pgm(126,248)

    Housing & Community DevEnterprise Zone grants(1,250,000)

    Housing & Community DevSouthwest VA water construction grants(238,765)

    Housing & Community DevHomeless Intervention Prevention grants(450,000)

    Direct aid to public educSFSF Switch(68,922,916)

    Direct aid to public educSales tax revenue adjustment(37,600,000)

    Direct aid to public educLiterary Fund balances(55,000,000)

    Direct aid to public educLottery money(9,900,000)

    Direct aid to public educSupplemental programs(221,773)

    Commission for the ArtsGrant programs(729,606)

    DPBSchool efficiency review program(75,993)

    Behavioral HealthJail diversion funding(300,000)

    Grants to LocalitiesCommunity mental health programs(4,500,000)

    Grants to LocalitiesCSB Community-based services(12,203,180)

    CSA(31,631,792)

    HealthHealth Districts(500,000)

    Health"4 for Life" -- local share(258,014)

    DSSAuxiliary Grant program(400,000)

    Conservation & RecreationRappahannock River Basin Commission(1,000)

    Historic ResourcesCivil War Battlefield Preservation grant(190,000)

    DEQVA Water Facilities Revolving Loan program(200,000)

    Military AffairsClose Roanoke City & Richmond City armories(115,000)

    DCJSAid to local police departments ('599')(13,672,607)

    Central AppropriationsNon-retirement contributions for teachers(8,110,000)

    Central AppropriationsRetirement contributions for teachers(51,318,250)

    Other Local Aid ProgramsSUBTOTAL-Items not recognized by DPB(298,065,144)

    forecast

    GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)

    FY 2011FY 2012

    Aug. 19 Revenue Forecast (3.8%, 5.3%)$14,618$15,389

    Transfers$329$339

    Total Est. GF Available$14,947$15,728

    Current Service Appropriations:

    K-12 Direct Aid (incl. rebenchmarking)$5,346$5,661

    Higher & Other Education$1,805$1,842

    Medicaid (7% annual growth)$2,817$3,427

    Other HHS$1,566$1,566

    Public Safety$1,710$1,710

    Car Tax$950$950

    Planned GF Debt Service$600$630

    All Other **$1,645$1,645

    Total Expenditures$16,439$17,430

    Projected Budget Gap($1,492)($1,702)

    ** All Other includes Legislative, Executive, Judicial, Admin, Finance, Commerce & Trade,

    Nat. Res., Capital, Central Appropriations

    GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)

    FY 2011FY 2012

    Gov. Aug. 19 Revenue Forecast (3.8%, 5.3%)$14,618$15,389

    Transfers$329$339

    Total Est. GF Available$14,947$15,728

    Current Service Appropriations*

    Legislative and Executive Dept's$94$94

    Judicial Dept.$407$407

    Planned GF Debt Service$600$630

    Admin., Finance (w/o debt), & Tech$815$815

    Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$238$238

    K-12 Direct Aid$5,286$5,582296.1433.9296.1137.8

    K-12 Rebenchmarking: 7-22-09 DOE draft$60$79$5,346$5,661218.5

    Higher & Other Education$1,805$1,84235.5218.5218.5

    Medicaid (7% annual growth)$2,817$3,427362

    Other HHS$1,424$1,424

    Public Safety$1,710$1,710

    Transportation$41$41

    Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Capital$1,000$1,000$2,245$2,275

    Total Expenditures$16,297$17,288

    Projected Budget Gap($1,350)($1,560)693.6

    * Assumes carryforward savings from Sept. 8 reduction plan

    $2,245

    GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012Comments

    Gov. Aug. Forecast (-1.6%, 3.8%, 5.3%)*$14,079$14,618$15,38914940.67815687.711916472.097495Revenue Estimates

    Transfers$415$329$339FA Est. GF Revenue14,688,000,00015,422,400,00016,193,500,000

    Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal (1/2 of bal.)$287Transfers441,800,000400,000,000400,000,000

    Total Est. GF Available$14,781$14,947$15,728$166$781$947Unexpended Balances158,000,00000

    Expenditures (FY10 Adopted):TOTAL Estimated GF15,287,800,00015,822,400,00016,593,500,000

    Legislative and Executive Dept's$96$96$960.0060346095Chapter 781 Spending

    Judicial Dept.$407$407$407Legislative Department68,309,41468,309,41468,309,414

    Planned GF Debt Service**$507$645$6840.03200028281,504,683,7361,543,283,736Judicial Department407,012,317407,012,317407,012,317

    Admin., Finance (w/o debt), & Tech$859$859$8590.0542174416Executive Offices27,334,46727,334,46727,334,467

    Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$258$258$2580.0162545026Ofc of Administration676,471,924676,471,924676,471,9241,366,373,5261,504,683,7361,543,283,736

    K-12 Direct Aid ***$5,320$5,320$5,3200.3357782728Ofc of Agric & Forestry45,034,75745,034,75745,034,757

    K-12 Rebenchmarking: 7-22-09 DOE draft$60$79Ofc of Commerce & Trade114,202,067114,202,067114,202,067

    Higher & Other Education$1,832$1,832$1,8326330.4856985.10925Direct Aid to Education5,319,941,5005,319,941,5005,319,941,500

    Medicaid$2,317$2,800$3,2000.1462659078Education Rebenchmarking0400,000,000400,000,000does not restore cuts

    Other HHS$1,628$1,659$1,6940.1027429986All Other K-1262,855,54562,855,54562,855,545level funded

    Public Safety$1,755$1,755$1,7550.1364581683Higher & Other Education1,769,349,5441,769,349,5441,769,349,544

    Transportation$41$41$41Treasury Bd Debt Service507,189,790645,500,000684,100,000

    Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Capital)$824$1,051$1,051Other Finance174,528,421174,528,421174,528,421

    Total Expenditures$15,844$16,782$17,275Medicaid2,317,380,1172,792,380,1173,192,380,117$300 M + $750 M

    Projected Scenario Gap($1,062)($1,835)($1,547)Comprehensive Services315,840,564347,424,620382,167,08210% increase per yr

    Other H&H Services1,311,980,1131,311,980,1131,311,980,1131,659,404,7331,694,147,195

    * $300 mil. FY09 shortfall means carryforward balance, unappr. balance, and ARRA reserve unavailable for FY10Ofc of Natural Resources98,317,97998,317,97998,317,979

    ** Includes G.O. VPBA, VCBA, Long-term Leases, Regional Jail debt

    *** Does not include lottery, assumes support cost reduction in baseOfc of Public Safety1,754,984,2481,754,984,2481,754,984,248

    Ofc of Technology8,183,3918,183,3918,183,391

    Ofc ot Transportation40,985,58440,985,58440,985,584

    CA-Car Tax Relief950,000,000950,000,000950,000,000

    CA-BRAC019,500,00019,500,000

    CA-Other Econ Dev Items05,700,0005,700,000

    FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012CommentsCA-Aid to Localities(50,000,000)(50,000,000)(50,000,000)continue cuts

    Revenue EstimatesCA-All Other Items10,258,32524,723,63924,723,639

    FA Est. GF Revenue$14,688,000,000$15,422,400,000$16,193,500,000CA-Health Care & Retirement(87,203,333)51,000,00051,000,000

    Transfers$441,800,000$400,000,000$400,000,000Independent Agencies275,464275,464275,464

    Unexpended Balances$158,000,000$0$0Non-states000824,130,4561,051,199,1031,051,199,103

    TOTAL Estimated GF$15,287,800,000$15,822,400,000$16,593,500,000Capital800,00050,000,00050,000,000pre-plannng/engineering

    Chapter 781 SpendingTOTAL EXPENDITUES15,844,032,19817,115,995,11117,589,337,573

    Legislative Department$68,309,414$68,309,414$68,309,414

    Judicial Department$407,012,317$407,012,317$407,012,317Projected Budget Gap(556,232,198)(1,293,595,111)(995,837,573)

    Executive Offices$27,334,467$27,334,467$27,334,467

    Ofc of Administration$676,471,924$676,471,924$676,471,924

    Ofc of Agric & Forestry$45,034,757$45,034,757$45,034,757

    Ofc of Commerce & Trade$114,202,067$114,202,067$114,202,067

    Direct Aid to Education$5,319,941,500$5,319,941,500$5,319,941,500

    Education Rebenchmarking$0$400,000,000$400,000,000does not restore cuts

    All Other K-12$62,855,545$62,855,545$62,855,545level funded

    Higher & Other Education$1,769,349,544$1,769,349,544$1,769,349,544

    Treasury Bd Debt Service$507,189,790$645,500,000$684,100,000

    Other Finance$174,528,421$174,528,421$174,528,421

    Medicaid$2,317,380,117$2,792,380,117$3,192,380,117$300 M + $750 M

    Comprehensive Services$315,840,564$347,424,620$382,167,08210% increase per yr

    Other H&H Services$1,311,980,113$1,311,980,113$1,311,980,113

    Ofc of Natural Resources$98,317,979$98,317,979$98,317,979

    Ofc of Public Safety$1,754,984,248$1,754,984,248$1,754,984,248

    Ofc of Technology$8,183,391$8,183,391$8,183,391

    Ofc ot Transportation$40,985,584$40,985,584$40,985,584

    CA-Car Tax Relief$950,000,000$950,000,000$950,000,000

    CA-BRAC$0$19,500,000$19,500,000

    CA-Other Econ Dev Items$0$5,700,000$5,700,000

    CA-Aid to Localities-$50,000,000-$50,000,000-$50,000,000continue cuts

    CA-All Other Items$10,258,325$24,723,639$24,723,639

    CA-Health Care & Retirement-$87,203,333$51,000,000$51,000,000

    Independent Agencies$275,464$275,464$275,464

    Non-states$0$0$0

    Capital$800,000$50,000,000$50,000,000pre-plannng/engineering

    TOTAL EXPENDITUES$15,844,032,198$17,115,995,111$17,589,337,573

    Projected Budget Gap-$556,232,198-$1,293,595,111-$995,837,573

    Growth in General Fund Debt Service Costs

    FY 2000$198

    FY 2010 Budgeted$507

    Current Projected FY 2011$646

    Current Projected FY 2012$684

    GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)FY 2010FY 2011FY 2012

    FA Est. Revenue Growth (2%,5%,5%)*$14,750$15,338$16,105

    Transfers$442$400$400

    Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal$275

    Total Est. GF Available$15,467$15,738$16,505

    Expenditures (FY10 Adopted):

    Legislative and Executive Dept's$96$96$96

    Judicial Dept.$407$407$407

    Planned GF Debt Service**$507$645$684

    Admin., Finance (incl. debt) & Tech$859$859$859

    Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$258$258$258

    K-12 Direct Aid ***$5,320$5,320$5,320

    K-12 Rebenchmarking?$400$400

    Higher & Other Education$1,832$1,832$1,832

    Medicaid$2,317$2,800$3,200

    Other HHS$1,628$1,659$1,694

    Public Safety$1,755$1,755$1,755

    Transportation$41$41$41

    Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Indep. Agency, Non-State, Capital)$824$1,051$1,051

    Total Expenditures$15,844$17,122$17,596

    Projected Scenario Gap($377)($1,385)($1,092)

    * $300 mil. FY09 shortfall means carryforward balance, unappr. balance, and ARRA reserve unavailable for FY10; $150 mil. in FY 10 one-time revenues

    ** Includes G.O. VPBA, VCBA, Long-term Leases, Regional Jail debt

    *** Does not include lottery, assumes support cost reduction in base

    GF Budget Outlook ($ Millions)FY 2010

    FA Est. Revenue Growth (2%,5%,5%)*

    Transfers

    Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal

    Total Est. GF Available

    Expenditures (FY10 Adopted):

    Legislative and Executive Dept's$96-$2$94

    Judicial Dept.$407$407

    Planned GF Debt Service**$507$507

    Admin., Finance (no debt) & Tech$859-$45$815

    Commerce and Trade, Agr., Nat. Res.$258-$21$237

    K-12 Direct Aid ***$5,320-$172$5,148

    K-12 Rebenchmarking?$0

    Higher & Other Education$1,832-$210$1,622

    Medicaid$2,317-$97$2,220

    Other HHS$1,628-$106$1,522

    Public Safety$1,755-$68$1,687

    Transportation$41-$14$27

    Central Appr. (incl. car tax), Indep. Agency, Non-State, Capital)$824-$120$704

    Total Expenditures$15,844-$854$14,989

    forecast

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Includes G.O., VPBA, VCBA, Long-term Leases and Regional Jail Agreements

    Growth in General Fund Debt Service Costs

    $ Millions

    Local expend

    Summary of Governor's September 2009

    Proposed Budget Actions

    FY 2010

    General Fund Revenue Shortfall($1,350.5)

    Revenue Stabilization Withdrawal$283.0

    Other One-Actions:$524.6

    Agency Pledged Balances$140.2

    Sale of Corrections Facilities$25.0

    Fire Programs Fund Balance$26.0

    Federal Stimulus Waiver for Higher Education$91.5

    VRS Employer Retirement Rate Suspension (incl. NGF)$104.1

    VRS non-Retirement Benefit Rate Suspension (incl. NGF)$30.9

    Medicaid Additional Federal Stimulus Match Rate$97.0

    Additional Lottery Profits for K-12$9.9

    Local Aid GF Reductions:$256.9

    K-12 Sales Tax$37.6

    Literary Fund Supplant for Teacher Retirement$55.0

    Supplant With FY 11 Federal K-12 Stimulus Waiver$68.9

    Constitutional Officers$30.4

    Aid to Police Departments (HB 599)$13.7

    Other (CSA, CSB, VJCCCA)$51.3

    Operating Budget Reductions:$288.7

    Net Higher Education Reductions$105.3

    Close Corrections Facilities$11.6

    One Day Employee Furlough$16.3

    Indigent Care Funding$7.0

    Mental Health Treatment Centers$6.3

    Economic Development/Tourism$3.1

    Other Agency Reductions (incl. deferred expenses)$139.1

    Total Actions$1,353.2

    state aid programs

    Permits, Privilege Fees, and

    General Property TaxesOther Local Taxes (Exhibit B-2)Regulatory LicensesFines and ForfeituresCharges for ServicesRevenue from Use of Money and PropertyMiscellaneous

    TotalTotal

    PublicPersonal PropertyMachineryRental

    RealServiceandMerchants'PerPercent ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofand Sale ofPerPercent ofPerPercent ofTotal Local

    No.LocalityPropertyCorporationsGeneralMobile HomeToolsCapitalPenaltiesInterestAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueInterestPropertyAmountCapitaRevenueAmountCapitaRevenueRevenueNo.

    170.0Grand Total$7,840,391,515$238,608,282$1,419,425,705$7,406,042$201,121,680$10,653,845$57,990,325$27,408,938$9,803,006,332$1,271.1261.77$3,478,208,317$451.0121.92$198,521,304$25.741.25$95,570,486$12.390.60$1,492,857,687$193.579.41$370,299,807$117,507,448$487,807,255$63.253.07$313,052,847$40.591.97$15,869,024,228170.0

    Total

    EmergencyCommunication

    Local SalesConsumerBusinessFranchiseMotor VehicleBankRecordationHotel and MotelRestaurantCoal, Oil,TelephoneSales andOtherPerPercent

    No.Localityand Use TaxesUtility TaxesLicense TaxesLicense TaxesLicense TaxesStock Taxesand Will TaxesTobacco TaxesAdmission TaxesRoom TaxesFood Taxesand Gas TaxesService TaxesUse TaxesLocal TaxesAmountCapitaof AverageNo.

    FY 2008

    Real Property$8,385,328,3280.5035482064

    Personal and Other Property Taxes$2,044,288,1660.1227617571

    Local Option Sales Tax$1,041,259,6870.0625287916

    BPOL$659,016,1780.0395746477

    Consumer Utility/Communication Sales$743,672,1720.0446583334

    Meals Tax$397,410,2790.0238649252

    All Other Taxes *$691,178,7250.0415060441

    Service Charges, Fees, Fines, Interest, Misc.$2,690,330,2210.1615572944

    $16,652,483,756

    FranchiseRestaurant

    License TaxesFood Taxes

    Motor Vehicle

    License Taxes

    Bank

    Stock Taxes

    Recordation

    and Will Taxes

    Tobacco Taxes

    Admission Taxes

    Hotel and Motel

    Room Taxes

    Coal, Oil,

    and Gas Taxes

    Emergency

    Telephone

    Service Taxes

    Communication

    Sales and

    Use Taxes

    Counties

    Real Property$5,892,465,710

    Personal and Other Property Taxes$1,420,518,744

    Local Option Sales Tax$631,044,658

    BPOL$350,149,176

    Consumer Utility/Communication Sales$394,212,787

    Meals Tax$83,049,946

    All Other Taxes *$407,862,040

    Service Charges, Fees, Fines, Interest, Misc.$1,672,945,812

    $10,852,248,873

    Cities

    Real Property$2,432,432,148

    Personal and Other Property Taxes$607,992,456

    Local Option Sales Tax$390,209,456

    BPOL$283,810,902

    Consumer Utility/Communication Sales$325,324,490

    Meals Tax$274,075,620

    All Other Taxes *$256,605,214

    Service Charges, Fees, Fines, Interest, Misc.$966,458,286

    $5,536,908,572

    state aid programs

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Total Local Revenue in FY 08 = $16.65 bil.

    Local Revenue Sources (FY 08)

    Local Sales Tax7%

    Personal and Business Property Taxes12%

    tax cuts

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    County local revenue in FY0 = $10.85 bil.

    Counties

    County Local Revenue Sources (FY 08)

    Personal and Business Property Taxes13%

    LCI

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    0

    Cities' Local Revenue in FY 08 = $5.54 bil.

    Cities

    City Local Revenue Sources ( FY 08)

    state budget

    $ Millions

    FY 2009 Revenue/Transfer Shortfall($973.6)

    Balancing Actions

    Rainy Day Fund$400.0

    Bond existing GF capital projects$250.0

    Agency Reductions:

    Improved business practices and reduce discretionary expenses$113.4

    Transfer of NGF balances and NGF resources$66.5

    Reduce or eliminate current services$31.7

    Reduce personnel costs$27.2

    Reduce aid to localities$16.3

    Reduce or eliminate aid to nonstate agencies$11.0

    Reversion of capital outlay balances$10.6

    Reduce aid to individuals$1.6

    New fees or GF revenue$0.6

    Subtotal Agency Reductions$279.0

    Literary Fund balances$51.3

    Delay State and local employee 2% raises$44.7

    Capture FY 2008 GF balances$40.7

    Balances from August reduction plan$24.4

    K-12 sales tax adjustment$20.7

    HB 599 payments tied to GF revenue growth$7.7

    Revert excess Tuition Moderation Fund$6.2

    Total$1,124.7

    Balance Forward to FY 2010$151.1

    $ Millions

    FY 2009 Revenue/Transfer Shortfall($973.6)

    Balancing Actions

    Rainy Day Fund *$400.0

    Bond existing GF capital projects *$250.0

    Agency Reductions and August Reduction Plan$287.1

    Delay state and state-supported local employee 2% raises$44.7

    Capture FY 2008 GF balances$40.7

    Revert excess Hi Ed Tuition Moderation Fund$6.2

    Local Aid Reductions:

    Literary Fund balances$51.3

    K-12 sales tax adjustment$20.7

    Agency aid to locality reductions (primarily CSB admin.)$16.3

    HB 599 payments tied to GF revenue growth$7.7

    Subtotal Local Aid Reductions:$96.0

    Total Plan Reductions$1,124.7

    Balance Forward to FY 2010$151.1

    * Needs General Assembly approval

    OctoberSFC ScenarioFA Scenario

    FY 2010 Shortfall($1,510.0)($2,028.0)($1,900.0)

    Medicaid and Other Cost Increases$0.0($350.0)($200.0)

    Balance Forward to FY 2010$151.1$0.0$50.0

    Carryforward of FY 2009 Savings$350.0$350.0$350.0

    Eliminate 2% Teacher Salary Supplement$77.6$77.6$77.6

    Elim. State and State-Supported Local Employee Raises$189.4$189.4$189.4

    Other Balances??$100.0

    Higher Education Reductions (11% of GF)??$125.0

    Medicaid and Other H&HS Savings (24% of GF)??$300.0

    Other K-12 Reductions (35% of GF)??$400.0

    Additional State Agency Reductions (20% of GF)??$200.0

    Use Rainy Day Fund in FY10???

    Car Tax/Revenues???

    Shortfall Remaining($741.9)($1,411.0)($308.0)

    Major "One Times" More Than Half of Strategies

    to Close the 2008-10 Budget Gap

    GF Millions $

    Rainy Day Fund Withdrawal$773

    Sales Tax Acceleration/LPC Adjust/Tax Amnesty$186

    Bonded Debt for GF Capital$355

    Delay 4th Q VRS Retirement/Benefit Payments*$135

    State Employee Furlough*$16

    Sell Prison/Transfer Fire Programs Fund to GF$51

    Enhanced ARRA SFSF Medicaid Match$1,059

    ARRA SFSF - Flexible Funds$219

    ARRA SFSF - Education$652

    Total Major "One-time" Budget Strategies$3,446

    * Includes NGF agency transfer to GF

    General Fund Revenue* Impact on Budgets ($ Bil.)

    FY09FY10

    Official GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09 = 2.0%, FY10 = 6.8%)$16.09$17.19

    Likely Revised GF Revenue Growth (-3.5%, 2.0%)$15.22$15.52

    Difference($0.87)($1.67)

    * Does not include GF transfers

    General Fund Revenue* Impact on Budgets ($ Bil.)

    FY09FY10

    Official GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09: 2.0%, FY10: 6.8%)$16.09$17.19

    Oct. Revised GF Revenue Growth (-4.0%, 3.0%)$15.14$15.68

    Oct. Difference($0.95)($1.51)

    SFC Forecast$14.97$15.14

    SFC Difference($1.12)($2.05)

    * Does not include GF transfers revisions of -$23 and -$34 mil.

    FY00FY01FY02FY03FY04FY05FY06FY07FY08FY09FY10 est.General Fund Revenue* Change ($ Bil.)

    2008 Adopted11.2%2.9%-3.8%1.8%9.7%14.8%8.4%4.9%1.3%2.2%6.8%FY09FY10

    2009 Introduced1.3%-3.5%3.6%Last Yr's GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09: 2.0%, FY10: 6.8%)$16.09$17.19

    2009 Adopted1.3%-7.3%4.4%December Introduced$15.02$15.62

    Aug. '09 Interim1.3%-9.2%-1.6%Adopted Re-forecast$14.61$15.26

    General Fund Revenue* ($ Bil.)Most Likely$14.40$14.69

    FY09FY10Change from Last Yr (FY 09: -8.8%, FY10: 2.0%)($1.69)($2.50)

    Last Yr's GF Revenue Forecast (FY 09: 2.0%, FY10: 6.8%)$16.09$17.19

    December Introduced$15.02$15.62* Note: Does not include $490 mil. in Revenue Stabilization funds from Ch. 879

    2009 Session Adopted Re-forecast$14.61$15.26

    Current Most Likely$14.44$14.73

    Change from Last Yr (FY 09: -8.8%, FY10: 2.0%)($1.65)($2.46)

    * Note: Does not include rainy day funds, transfers, or balances

    2000

    2001

    2002

    2003

    2004

    2005

    2006

    2007

    2008

    2009

    2010

    2011

    2012

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    0000

    2008 Adopted

    2009 Introduced

    2009 Adopted

    Aug. '09 Interim

    General Fund Revenue Forecast Changes Since Last Year

    FY 08Annualized

    FY 1998FY 2008% of TotalGrowth Rate

    General Government$543.50$979.704.0%6.1%$982.5

    Judicial Admin$211.40$423.801.7%7.2%$423.7

    Public Safety$1,786.60$3,879.4015.7%8.1%$3,893.0

    Public Works$894.60$1,500.606.1%5.3%$1,499.4

    Health & Welfare$1,407.80$2,758.2011.2%7.0%$2,769.4

    Education$7,039.10$13,345.5054.1%6.6%$13,338.0

    Parks and Rec$474.20$906.703.7%6.7%$907.0

    Community Development$339.30$850.203.4%9.6%$848.6

    Total$12,699.10$24,646.70100.0%6.9%$24,646.9

    VFC

    FY 08Annualized1,9982,008

    FY 1998FY 2008% of TotalGrowth RateCharlottesvilleDanvilleFredericksburgHamptonHopewellLynchburgMartinsvilleNewport NewsNorfolkPetersburgPortsmouthRichmondRoanokeStauntonWinchesterCharlottesvilleDanvilleFredericksburgHamptonHopewellLynchburgMartinsvilleNewport NewsNorfolkPetersbburgPortsmouthRichmondRoanokeStauntonWinchester

    General Government$109,868,357$188,377,5764.1%5.6%189,457,5044,941,0432,683,9892,136,54712,238,9412,175,0507,037,8001,422,90911,786,62115,334,6651,921,46712,069,29823,687,5528,802,8961,746,0721,883,50710,243,0173,986,3535,047,98222,238,8353,617,07710,670,1432,808,73520,745,74627,962,5963,423,66112,172,34646,358,89312,258,0682,921,0453,923,079

    Judicial Admin$47,460,058$86,504,6901.9%6.2%86,611,0761,455,6811,454,8261,323,5573,163,461740,6833,022,5241,173,7714,958,2388,734,9152,153,4743,839,74810,369,6403,021,502881,7941,166,2443,091,0902,874,9453,345,9146,884,3051,707,4385,633,2651,871,4409,604,52014,733,0722,828,8147,001,76916,550,1656,213,4461,672,6252,491,882

    Public Safety$508,658,506$907,474,67219.6%6.0%910,929,91415,215,01515,759,08110,161,57339,961,32110,315,10528,384,2926,852,17159,971,45798,389,76815,646,59036,727,012119,620,85937,207,3935,369,8109,077,05935,551,88625,318,42021,714,49978,464,34114,933,42347,705,7739,702,170108,003,513172,811,64728,452,88573,269,682194,480,83762,293,47213,542,42921,229,695

    Public Works$244,821,698$394,032,5628.5%4.9%395,006,9968,097,77610,950,2506,088,63127,134,6804,413,75916,187,1064,201,80828,987,99043,790,8875,281,78816,502,50240,763,13922,643,4356,505,0713,272,87613,252,02213,471,7909,708,33228,983,4556,244,56824,325,2336,558,18543,542,713101,581,34910,403,60128,624,94866,971,02523,078,3208,109,2329,177,789

    Health & Welfare$383,120,851$687,917,35114.8%6.0%686,111,09417,173,56510,526,6995,695,54639,483,7474,882,34418,560,0292,249,44157,038,99259,658,73712,111,87027,052,09485,146,17731,075,4346,790,4035,675,77340,382,74020,042,71511,467,61565,528,4217,997,65645,964,0465,237,32781,817,188119,071,74120,565,71142,106,162145,429,87460,456,05812,198,0069,652,091

    Education$1,285,383,669$1,964,354,03242.4%4.3%1,958,284,84139,814,10148,257,15417,458,173136,310,82227,114,10259,888,54018,397,698196,188,249237,376,01136,626,212108,484,565222,434,99093,535,89718,824,50924,672,64667,762,37410,445,94034,873,209235,639,34441,069,31994,153,55927,157,891328,260,282373,415,16551,193,404163,172,553310,359,094148,807,70330,949,61647,094,579

    Parks and Rec$119,432,129$203,899,5894.4%5.5%204,007,3295,812,9174,375,9962,134,61615,069,7721,407,9315,454,406730,06215,522,61427,448,6841,835,0107,706,43122,276,7856,508,4721,600,4791,547,95410,861,9751,213,4834,134,95833,154,4332,517,1049,871,1591,908,88131,262,72547,465,8353,683,68913,869,41525,184,56011,445,1753,219,9204,106,277

    Community Development$67,502,692$202,198,7174.4%11.6%202,284,7012,122,4091,022,4721,274,67612,103,210635,7688,196,1561,539,28010,377,08011,795,0881,091,7921,931,60110,203,5633,996,968663,812548,8177,826,373107,5622,727,34121,907,911838,4625,337,7292,759,00626,367,50023,466,6781,264,02214,565,67980,935,7039,591,8242,236,9642,265,963

    Total$2,766,247,960$4,634,759,189100.0%5.3%4,636,335,10794,632,50795,030,46746,273,319285,465,95451,684,742146,730,85336,567,140384,831,241502,528,75576,668,203214,313,251534,502,705206,791,99742,381,95047,844,876188,971,47777,461,20893,019,850492,801,04578,925,047243,660,90758,003,635649,604,187880,508,083121,815,787354,782,554886,270,151334,144,06674,849,83799,941,355

    2008 Growth2009 Growth

    Real Property Assessments (106)6.6%1.6%

    Personal Property Assessments (92)2.5%-3.7%

    FY 09 Budgeted GrowthFY 09 Actual GrowthFY 10 Budgeted Growth

    Real Property Tax Revenues (115)N/A4.5%0.5%

    General Fund Revenues (104)2.2%1.1%-2.9%

    Local Revenues Are Declining

    State Aid Base for "Flexible" Local Aid ReductionMajor Categories of State Aid to Localities

    FY 2010 GF Appropriations

    % of Total

    FY 10 State GFGF Flex. BaseVFC % of $Original GF AppropriationCurrent GF Appropriation% Change% of State Aid to Localities% of GF

    Compensation Board:K-12 Direct Education Aid$5,930,513,050$5,148,221,622-13.2%71.0%34.3%

    Regional Jails$104,643,4508.6%23.8%Car Tax$950,000,000$950,000,0000.0%13.1%6.3%

    Local Jails$148,309,01712.2%38.0%Compensation Board$666,153,186$600,400,897-9.9%8.3%4.0%

    Jail Per Diems$79,508,4076.5%39.4%Comprehensive Services Act$323,640,564$279,208,772-13.7%3.8%1.9%

    Local Law Enforcement$89,662,0397.4%0.0%HB 599$205,001,876$183,623,320-10.4%2.5%1.2%

    Local Courts$57,761,0514.8%23.1%DJJ Juvenile Confinement/Treatment$50,787,956$48,266,904-5.0%0.7%0.3%

    Court Clerks$30,045,2932.5%15.4%Recordation Tax Distribution$40,000,000$40,000,0000.0%0.6%0.3%

    Commonwealth Attorneys$51,096,0114.2%29.6%DCJS Admin. of Justice$21,908,828$23,408,8286.8%0.3%0.2%

    Commiss. Of Rev/Finance$15,631,5241.3%13.8%Public Library Aid$17,378,628$16,509,697-5.0%0.2%0.1%

    Treasurers$10,572,4330.9%20.6%State Board of Elections$7,392,674$6,653,407-10.0%0.1%0.0%

    Subtotal Compensation Board$587,229,22548.4%24.7%Rolling Stock Tax$4,970,000$5,670,00014.1%0.1%0.0%

    DSS General Relief$3,458,455$3,458,4550.0%0.0%0.0%

    Flexible State Aid Reduction($50,000,000)($50,000,000)0.0%-0.7%-0.3%

    Comprehensive Services Act$290,320,40523.9%32.7%Subtotal$8,171,205,217$7,255,421,902-11.2%100.0%48.4%

    Community Service Boards$256,463,596$227,360,416-11.3%3.1%1.5%

    HB 599 Aid$192,314,96215.8%40.5%Total GF Appropriations$17,589,000,000$14,991,000,000-14.8%100.0%

    DJJ Juvenile Confinement/Alternative Treatment$50,200,9284.1%31.6%

    Recordation Tax Distribution$40,000,0003.3%8.8%

    DCJS Admin. of Justice$21,202,6811.7%29.5%$8,171,205,217$7,255,421,902

    Public Library Aid$17,184,9621.4%14.8%

    State Board of Elections$7,626,9890.6%12.7%

    Rolling Stock Tax Distribution$4,592,4610.4%14.1%

    Dept. of Social Services General Relief$3,458,4550.3%38.5%

    Total Base for "Flexible" Local Cuts$1,214,131,068100.0%28.7%Major Categories of State Aid to Localities

    FY 2010 GF Appropriations

    Original GF AppropriationCurrent GF Appropriation% Change% of State Aid to Localities% of GF

    K-12 Direct Education Aid$5,930,513,050$5,148,221,622-13.2%71.0%34.3%

    Car Tax$950,000,000$950,000,0000.0%13.1%6.3%

    Compensation Board$666,153,186$600,400,897-9.9%8.3%4.0%

    Comprehensive Services Act$323,640,564$279,208,772-13.7%3.8%1.9%

    Community Service Boards$256,463,596$227,360,416-11.3%3.1%1.5%

    HB 599$205,001,876$183,623,320-10.4%2.5%1.2%

    DJJ Juvenile Confinement/Treatment$50,787,956$48,266,904-5.0%0.7%0.3%

    Recordation Tax Distribution$40,000,000$40,000,0000.0%0.6%0.3%

    Public Library Aid$17,378,628$16,509,697-5.0%0.2%0.1%

    Flexible State Aid Reduction($50,000,000)($50,000,000)0.0%-0.7%-0.3%

    Tax Reforms Have Cost the Gen