State of DeKalbCounty’s Economy

Center for Governmental StudiesNorthern Illinois University

Brian Richardbrichard@niu.edu

Purpose

•Identify challenges and opportunitiesthat will inform a shared economicdevelopment vision for DeKalb County

Spheres of Development

Community Development

Economic Development

Business Development

Industry Development

Overview

• DeKalb County’s economy• Economic recovery out of the recession• Unique characteristics in the region

• DeKalb County’s characteristics provide opportunities• Regional ‘value chains’• Demographics• Commuting patterns• Infrastructure• Agricultural heritage• Entrepreneurship• Educational system

DeKalb County in the Larger Region

Northern Illinois Region

Change in EmploymentRecent Economic Cycles 1990-2015

Recession 6/1990 -3/1991

Expansion 4/1991 -2/2001

Recession 3/2001 -11/2001

Expansion 12/2001 -11/2007

Recession 12/2007 -

6/2009

Post-Recession 1/2010 -9/2015

DeKalb County -2.5% 2.4% -1.4% 17.1% -4.1% 9.2%

State of Illinois -3.0% 13.5% 0.0% 1.2% -5.7% 8.9%

U.S. -2.8% 21.5% 0.2% 5.8% -5.3% 11.7%

Data Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, 2015.

Regional Employment Trends

Trend

DeKalb County 9 County Region State of Illinois Percent Change 2010-2013

2010 2013 2010 2013 2010 2013 DeKalb County Region State of

Illinois

Total Employment 51,973 53,402 738,567 761,633 7,251,630 7,507,203 2.7 3.1 3.5

Employment - % Manufacturing 7.5 7.7 12.3 13.1 8.2 8.0 4.9 10.4 3.8

Employment - % Services 33.1 33.6 38.4 39.4 42.6 44.4 4.4 5.8 6.2

Employment – % State & Local Govt 25.8 24.8 12.2 11.8 10.6 10.0 -1.2 -0.8 -1.8

Earnings by Place of Work (2013 $) $2.2 B $2.4 B $35.6 B $37.0 B $435.0 B $449.8 B 5.9 3.7 3.4

Data Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis

Opportunities – Value Chain• Regional Manufacturing Clusters

• Nonmetallic mineral products• Fabricated metal products• Machinery• Electrical equipment and

appliances• Transportation equipment• Food• Chemicals• Plastics and rubber products

• Higher than average concentration

• Employment growth• Growth is higher than

nation for that industry

Opportunities – Value Chain

• Suppliers and customers of these industry clusters represent opportunities

• Linked Industries• Transportation equipment

manufacturing• Fabricated metal product

manufacturing• Machinery manufacturing• Chemical manufacturing• Plastics and rubber products

manufacturing• Ambulatory health care services• Hospitals

DeKalb County

DeKalb County Top Industries

• Higher than average concentration

• Employment growth• Growth is higher than

nation for that industry

Sector Firms Jobs Average Wage

Ambulatory health care services 129 1,481 $67,857

Hospitals 3 1,369 48,260

Nursing and residential care facilities 12 982 27,335

Truck transportation 51 804 50,218

Machinery manufacturing 21 490 57,002

Electrical equipment and appliance mfg 4 446 73,050

Crop production 24 349 43,650

Plastics and rubber products mfg 8 242 46,406

Animal production 16 215 30,697

Data Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages.

Growth in High Paying Occupations• Educational needs for these occupations must be met

Source: Labor Insight Jobs (Burning Glass Technologies)

Occupation TitleNumber of

Job Postings, 2014

Projected Growth, 2012-

2022

Mean Salary

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers 231 13.4% $ 45,550 First-Line Supervisors of Retail Sales Workers 151 5.0 40,440 Registered Nurses 136 10.5 68,030 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing 109 8.8 68,560 Speech-Language Pathologists 80 12.2 71,400 Occupational Therapists 71 20.8 77,930 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 57 6.5 41,740 General and Operations Managers 47 10.1 104,870 Postsecondary Teachers, All Other 47 N/A 85,660 Managers, All Other 35 8.5 103,080 First-Line Supervisors of Production and Operating Workers 35 1.6 58,930 Education Administrators, Postsecondary 34 12.3 92,460 Occupational Therapy Assistants 32 37.3 57,100

Labor Force

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20.0

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10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

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Jan-

06

Apr-

06

Jul-0

6

Oct

-06

Jan-

07

Apr-

07

Jul-0

7

Oct

-07

Jan-

08

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8

Oct

-08

Jan-

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Jul-0

9

Oct

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Jan-

10

Apr-

10

Jul-1

0

Oct

-10

Jan-

11

Apr-

11

Jul-1

1

Oct

-11

Jan-

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Apr-

12

Jul-1

2

Oct

-12

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-13

Jan-

14

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14

Jul-1

4

Oct

-14

Jan-

15

Apr-

15

Jul-1

5

Labor Force Employed Unemployment RateData Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Local Area Unemployment Statistics.

Commuting Patterns

DeKalb Residents' EmploymentCount Share

DeKalb County, IL 17,538 39.1%Kane County, IL 6,864 15.3%Cook County, IL 5,349 11.9%DuPage County, IL 3,566 7.9%Winnebago County, IL 1,926 4.3%

DeKalb Workers ResidenceCount Share

DeKalb County, IL 17,538 50.8%Kane County, IL 2,545 7.4%Cook County, IL 2,371 6.9%LaSalle County, IL 1,308 3.8%Ogle County, IL 1,185 3.4%DuPage County, IL 1,166 3.4%Winnebago County, IL 1,142 3.3%Kendall County, IL 1,020 3.0%

Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap and LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics.

Commuting Patterns

• Percentage of workers in each municipality that work in DeKalb County

*Boundaries cross to an adjacent countyData Source: U.S. Census Bureau, OnTheMap and LEHD Origin-Destination Employment Statistics.

Workers DeKalb County1,610 Cortland 44.2%

12,486 DeKalb 50.4%2,839 Genoa 25.5%

844 Hinckley 25.6%372 Kingston 45.4%544 Kirkland 43.2%112 Lee* 31.3%371 Malta 57.7%510 Maple Park* 21.2%

2,739 Sandwich* 24.7%295 Shabbona 55.6%694 Somonauk* 22.3%

10,027 Sycamore 37.0%712 Waterman 35.1%

41,375 DeKalb County 38.8%

Municipal Populations

• DeKalb County • 104,802

• Unincorporated • 13,277

1,647

1,009

5,734

340

870

4,390

1,3421,014

2,0451,459

7,509

2,319

17,566

44,281

Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

DeKalb County Population by Age

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

Under 5years

5 to 9years

10 to 14years

15 to 19years

20 to 24years

25 to 29years

30 to 34years

35 to 39years

40 to 44years

45 to 49years

50 to 54years

55 to 59years

60 to 64years

65 to 69years

70 to 74years

75 to 79years

80 to 84years

85years

and over

2000 2010 2014

Data Source: U.S. Census Bureau.

Opportunities – Labor Force

• DeKalb County’s unique demographics and significant number of commuters may represent a large untapped local workforce

• Retention of graduating students• Employment closer to home

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2000 2010 2014

Business “Churn”DeKalb County, Illinois (2000-2013)

Firms: 26

MOVED INJobs: 188

Firms: -26

MOVED OUTJobs: -226

Firms: 376

OPENEDJobs: 2,282

Firms: -508

CLOSEDJobs: -2,692

Firms: -110

CONTRACTEDJobs: -424

EXPANDEDFirms: 158

Jobs: 2,217

Data Source: National Employment Time Series (NETS) database, 2015.

Who will start businesses?

• Early retirees 55-65• Women age 25-34• Immigrants• Farmers with small acreages• Unemployed

High Speed Fiber

Opportunities - Entrepreneurship

• Creative economy: individuals and businesses producing and using creativity of thought, form, design, and language for sustainable economic growth

• Growing retiree population• College age population• High speed internet• Agricultural base• University resources

• CoB innovation and entrepreneurship• Springboard• Engineering – product design & prototyping

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1000012000140001600018000

2000 2010 2014

Summary

• DeKalb County and the surrounding region are experiencing increasing employment growth

• Regional and local characteristics suggest opportunities• Industry Value Chains• The college age population and early retirees can grow the economy

• Creative activities• Untapped labor force

• Other strengths provide specific opportunities• High speed data• Agriculture

State of DeKalbCounty’s Economy

Center for Governmental StudiesNorthern Illinois University

Brian Richardbrichard@niu.edu