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Electric Rates:
A Rising Cost Environment
Tim Rushenberg, Vice President
State Chamber of Commerce RoundtableEnergy and Environmental Issues
June 5, 2015
2
Outline
• Indiana Utilities
• State Overviews: Electricity Generation by
Source
• Regulatory Process & Oversight
• Price Comparisons
• Why are electricity costs increasing?
• Steps utilities are taking to keep costs low
• What does the future hold?
Indiana Investor-Owned Utilities
5
Information on Indiana’s Investor-Owned
UtilitiesI&M serves 459,000 customers and has approximately 1,050 employees in Indiana.
Duke Energy Indiana supplies electric services to 800,000 customers, with roughly 2,500 employees and contractors.
IPL provides retail electric service to more than 470,000 customers, with nearly 1,500 employees.
NIPSCO provides electric service to 468,000 customers, and 821,000 natural gas customers, and employs 2,900 people.Vectren serves 142,000 electric customers and 995,000 natural gas customers, and employs 1,900 people in Indiana and Ohio.
*Note that all of the utilities use employees from other states, and other corporate structures as well.
State Overviews: Electricity Generation by Source
7
Indiana
8
Illinois
9
Ohio
10
Michigan
11
Kentucky
12
Pennsylvania
13
West Virginia
Regulatory Process & Oversight
• Indiana Utility Regulatory Commission (IURC) regulates utilities and sets rates after scrutinizing costs
• Only costs found reasonable are allowed to be included in approved rates
• Costs are reviewed and rates set in either general base rate cases or tracker proceedings
• Customer bills only cover the reasonable cost of service regardless of whether recovered through approved base rates or trackers/riders
Indiana: Utility Rates are Set by State
• A tracker or rider is regulatory rate adjustment mechanism that allows utility to recover specific costs (or credit specific revenues) on timely basis outside of general rate case, subject to IURC review and approval
• Interested parties have opportunity to participate in tracker proceedings before IURC – both initial tracker approval cases as well as periodic rate adjustment cases
• Does not allow utility to recover costs that it would not be entitled to request through general rate case
Tracker Process & Oversight
Electric Tracker ExamplesIndiana: Fuel Costs, Pollution Control, DSM/EE, RTO, Infrastructure (TDSIC)
Illinois: Hazardous Materials Mitigation, Advanced Metering Infrastructure System Modernization
Michigan: Nuclear Decommissioning Surcharge, Franchise Fees
Kentucky: Decoupling/Weather Normalization
Pennsylvania: Smart meter, Distribution System ImprovementCharge
West Virginia: Transmission costs
18
• States that authorize more than 7 electric trackers have lower industrial rates, on average, than states with less than 7 trackers
• Restructured states, like Texas (17) and Illinois (10), authorize nearly as many or more trackers than Indiana (11)
• Minnesota authorizes most trackers (18)
Price Comparisons
21
Indiana
Indiana Electricity Price Comparisons: All Sectors
(March 2014-March 2015)
23
Illinois
Illinois Electricity Price Comparisons: All Sectors
(March 2014-March 2015)
25
Ohio
Ohio Electricity Price Comparisons: All Sectors
(March 2014-March 2015)
27
Michigan
Michigan Electricity Price Comparisons: All Sectors
(March 2014-March 2015)
29
Kentucky
Kentucky Electricity Price Comparisons: All Sectors
(March 2014-March 2015)
31
Pennsylvania
Pennsylvania Electricity Price Comparisons:
All Sectors (March 2014-March 2015)
33
West Virginia
West Virginia Electricity Price Comparisons:
All Sectors (March 2014-March 2015)
Rankings of Industrial Prices per KWh for March 2015
5. Kentucky
17. West Virginia
24. Indiana
25. Ohio
27. Illinois
29. Michigan
35. Pennsylvania
Rankings of Industrial Prices per KWh for 2014
4. Kentucky
6. West Virginia
15. Illinois
22. Ohio
26. Indiana
33. Pennsylvania
36. Michigan
Illinois = +19.97%
Ohio = +13.32%
Pennsylvania =
+11.33%
Indiana = +4.31%
West Virginia = -
2.29%
Kentucky = -2.80%
Michigan = -3.65%
Industrial Rates: Percent Change
January 2013 to March 2015
Rankings of Commercial Prices per KWh for March 2015
13. West Virginia
19. Illinois
21. Kentucky
22. Indiana
27. Pennsylvania
30. Ohio
34. Michigan
Rankings of Commercial Prices per KWh for 2014
3. West Virginia
10. Illinois
19. Kentucky
23. Pennsylvania
24. Ohio
25. Indiana
38. Michigan
Illinois = +17.22%
Ohio = +9.46%
Kentucky = +6.84%
West Virginia =
+6.22%
Indiana = +2.98%
Pennsylvania =
+0.60
Michigan = -0.86%
Commercial Rates: Percent Change
January 2013 to March 2015
Why are Electricity Costs Increasing?
“Electric bills have skyrocketed in the last five years, a
sharp reversal from a quarter-century when Americans
enjoyed stable power bills even as they used more
electricity.” – USA Today (Dec 13, 2011)
“A plunge in the price of natural gas has made it
cheaper for utilities to produce electricity. But the
savings aren't translating to lower rates for customers.
Instead, U.S. electricity prices are going up.” –
Huffington Post (Jul 11, 2012)
“…electricity prices are rising faster than disposable
income, which historically has not been the case.” –
Forbes (Oct 16, 2014)
Rising Rates: A National Problem
“Indiana’s use of coal as a fuel source
for electricity generation has
contributed to the state’s relatively low
cost electricity, historically an
important economic development
advantage. However, investment costs
to address environmental mandates, the
general trend of increased coal prices
observed since 2003, and decreased
natural gas prices since 2011 have
reduced Indiana’s relative price
advantage.” – IURC, 2014 Annual
Report
Indiana is Competitive, but…
• ~80% of Indiana’s electricity is generated
from coal
• Rising coal prices
• EPA mandates over last 10 years – $4B+
spent on compliance
• Retiring old power plants and building new
capacity
• Investment in transmission & distribution
systems
• DSM/EE, RTO costs, NERC (grid reliability
costs)
• High taxes – Indiana taxes utilities twice +
property taxes
Reasons for Increased Rates in Indiana
Steps Utilities are Taking to Keep Costs Down
46
• LEAN initiatives to increase workforce productivity
• Proactively created alternative
environmental upgrade at power plant that saved over one billion dollars and met with EPA’s approval
• Extending life of low cost, emission-free power plant to ensure it will be able to continue to serve customers
Keeping Costs Down to Keep Indiana Competitive
47
• Developed plan for coal to natural gas conversion that, if approved, will significantly decrease capital costs to comply with MATS, NPDES and other future environmental mandates
• Submitted comments to EPA on “Clean Power Plan”
o National climate policy should be set through federal legislation, not rulemaking
o Studies show increase in electric rates for Indiana could be 12%-20%
o There are questions as to legal authority of EPA to regulate carbon emissions from existing power plants
Keeping Costs Down to Keep Indiana Competitive
What Does the Future Hold?
Concerns• MATS, Ozone, Clean Power Plan – serious grid
reliability concerns
• “Over the next 15 years, the state’s electricity demand
is forecasted to slowly increase, with many aging coal-
fired units facing retirement or premature shutdown
due to tightening environmental regulations.” – IURC,
2014 Annual Report
• “EPA’s plan to further regulate electricity from power
plants may lead to higher costs of electricity to large
industrial customers like steel, while potentially
lessening the quality and reliability of the electric
supply that is essential for our industry to operate and
succeed.” - American Iron and Steel Institute
Comments to EPA (Dec 1, 2014)
Questions?Tim Rushenberg, Vice President, IEA
Office: (317) 632-4406