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Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

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Page 1: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border
Page 2: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

0

100000

200000

300000

400000

500000

600000

700000

800000

1/22/20 2/21/20 3/22/20 4/21/20 5/21/20 6/20/20

Co

nfi

rmed

Cas

es

Australia China Singapore Hong Kong South Korea Japan India Malaysia

India

Singapore

China

as of 4 July

Source: John Hopkins updated as of July 04, 2020

Page 3: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: John Hopkins

Page 4: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, Bloomberg updated as of June 30, 2020

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Jan-19 Feb-19 Mar-19 Apr-19 May-19 Jun-19 Jul-19 Aug-19 Sep-19 Oct-19 Nov-19 Dec-19 Jan-20 Feb-20 Mar-20 Apr-20 May-20 Jun-20

US$

mill

ion

Asia-Pacific (2019 to date)

Page 5: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, Bloomberg updated as of June 30, 2020

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

45,000

China Japan South Korea Australia Hong Kong Singapore Taiwan

US$

mill

ion

s

Commercial Tranasction (U$mn) 5Yr Ave

46%vs. 5YR Ave Vol. 41%

vs. 5YR Ave Vol. 72%vs. 5YR Ave Vol.

27%vs. 5YR Ave Vol.

21%vs. 5YR Ave Vol.

19%vs. 5YR Ave Vol. 32%

vs. 5YR Ave Vol.

Country Breakdown (YTD)

Page 6: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, Bloomberg updated as of June 30, 2020

Sector Breakdown

Office 50%

Industrial 16%

Retail 19%

Hotel 6%

Apartment 9%

2020 YTD

Office 49%

Industrial 14%

Retail 24%

Hotel 8%

Apartment 5% 5Yr Average

Page 7: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, Bloomberg updated as of June 30, 2020

Cross-Border Capital Source

United States 36%

Hong Kong, SAR, China 9%Singapore

22%

China 11%

Germany 11%

Canada 1%

United Kingdom 9%

South Korea 1%

2020 YTD

United States 30%

Hong Kong, SAR, China 19%

Singapore 19%

China 15%

Germany 5%

Canada 7%

United Kingdom 3%

South Korea 2%

5YR Average

Page 8: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, Bloomberg updated as of June 30, 2020

A look at APAC capital into Australia

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

1Q10 1Q11 1Q12 1Q13 1Q14 1Q15 1Q16 1Q17 1Q18 1Q19 1Q20

US$

bill

ion

ns

APAC Capital Into Australia

Page 9: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: John Hopkins

Page 10: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, Bloomberg updated as of June 30, 2020

REITs Returns

1M 3M 6M YTD

Singapore -1.5% 13.3% -8.8% -8.8%

Malaysia 1.2% 4.4% -4.3% -4.3%

Hong Kong 8.2% -4.5% -24.5% -24.5%

Australia -1.5% 21.5% -16.2% -16.2%

Japan -2.0% 4.5% -22.3% -22.3%

Page 11: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, Bloomberg updated as of June 30, 2020

Singapore 1M 3M 6M YTD

Overall -1.5% 13.3% -8.8% -8.8%

Office -1.4% 12.9% -6.1% -6.1%

Retail -2.5% 8.5% -20.9% -20.9%

Industrial -1.3% 17.7% 4.9% 4.9%

Diversified 2.7% 16.3% -22.0% -22.0%

Rank REITMarket Cap

(S$ bn)1M 3M 6M YTD

1 Ascendas REIT 11.8 1.3% 12.0% 6.7% 6.7%

2 Mapletree Log Tr 7.7 -5.4% 22.8% 11.5% 11.5%

3 CapitaMall Trust 7.6 -3.4% 9.5% -20.3% -20.3%

4 CapitaCom Trust 6.9 -3.4% 10.5% -15.1% -15.1%

5 Mapletree Com Tr 6.6 -3.5% 5.5% -19.2% -19.2%

Page 12: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, Bloomberg updated as of June 30, 2020

Australia 1M 3M 6M YTD

Overall -1.5% 21.5% -16.2% -16.2%

Office -3% 7% -29% -29%

Retail -4% 32% -38% -38%

Industrial -3% 22% 9% 9%

Diversified 0% 18% -23% -23%

Specialty 5% 34% -8% -8%

Rank REITMarket Cap

(A$ bn)1M 3M 6M YTD

1 Goodman Group 28.9 -3% -3% -3% -3%

2 Scentre Group 11.7 -3% -3% -3% -3%

3DEXUS Property

Group10.4 2% 2% 2% 2%

4 Mirvac Group 9.0 -8% -8% -8% -8%

5 GPT Group 8.6 5% 5% 5% 5%

Page 13: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, Bloomberg updated as of June 30, 2020

Hong Kong 1M 3M 6M YTD

Overall 8% -5% -25% -25%Retail 0% 4% -9% -9%Diversified 3% -3% -30% -30%

Rank REIT Market Cap (HK$ bn) 1M 3M 6M YTD

1 LINK REIT 134 9% -4% -23% -23%

2 CHAMPION REIT 25 15% -14% -22% -22%

3 FORTUNE REIT 14 1% -3% -23% -23%

4 HUI XIAN REIT 13 2% -4% -34% -34%

5 YUEXIU REIT 12 1% -8% -33% -33%

Page 14: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, Bloomberg updated as of June 30, 2020

Malaysia 1M 3M 6M YTD

Overall 1% 4% -4% -4%

Office 3% 3% -1% -1%

Retail 0% 4% -9% -9%

Rank REITMarket Cap (MYR

bn)1M 3M 6M YTD

1KLCC REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT

TRUST14.4 3% 2% 1% 1%

2IGB REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT

TRUST6.2 2% 13% -5% -5%

3PAVILION REAL ESTATE

INVESTMENT TRUS5.0 -4% 1% -8% -8%

4SUNWAY REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT

TRUST4.8 1% 2% -11% -11%

5AXIS REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT

TRUST2.3 0% 13% 16% 16%

Page 15: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, Bloomberg updated as of June 30, 2020

Australia 1M 3M 6M YTD

Overall -2% 4% -22% -22%Office -6% -9% -25% -25%Retail -3% 11% -35% -35%Industrial 6% 21% 13% 13%

Diversified -2% 2% -26% -26%

Rank REITMarket Cap

(JPY bn)1M 3M 6M YTD

1 NIPPON BUILDING FUND INC. 892 -9.2% -15.2% -22.8% -22.8%

2 NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT, INC. 805 7.9% 21.0% 18.8% 18.8%

3 JAPAN REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT CORP. 792 -6.0% -12.6% -23.2% -23.2%

4 GLP J-REIT 649 8.9% 28.7% 16.0% 16.0%

5 NOMURA REAL ESTATE MASTER FUND, INC. 629 -3.0% -5.8% -30.6% -30.6%

Page 16: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: John Hopkins updated as of July 04, 2020

Page 17: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, Bloomberg updated as of June 30, 2020

Top 10 Commercial Deals (YTD)

Page 18: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: John Hopkins

Page 19: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

2,010 2,012 2,014 2,016 2,018 2020 (YTD)

US$

mill

ion

s

Commercial Value

Office 47%

Industrial 22%

Retail 13%

Hotel 3%

Apartment15%

Sector Breakdown (YTD)

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

Germany Singapore UnitedKingdom

France Hong Kong Canada China UnitedStates

US$

mill

ion

s

Cross Border Buyer Source (YTD)

COVID-19 Policies Implemented

Page 20: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom

US$

mill

ion

s

Cross-Border Buyer Source (YTD)

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 (YTD)

US$

mill

ion

s

Commercial Value

Office 55%

Industrial 22%

Retail 22%

Apartment 1%

Sector Breakdown (YTD)

COVID-19 Policies Implemented

Page 21: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 (YTD)

US$

mill

ion

s

Commercial Value

Office 8%

Industrial 19%

Retail 11%

Hotel 1%

Apartment 61%

Sector Breakdown (YTD)

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Singapore Japan

US$

mill

ion

s

Cross-Border Buyer Source (Since 2019)

COVID-19 Policies Implemented

Page 22: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 (YTD)

US$

mill

ion

s

Commercial Value

Office 46%

Industrial 14%

Retail 32%

Hotel 7%

Apartment 1%

Sector Breakdown (YTD)

COVID-19 Policies Implemented

Page 23: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

16,000

18,000

2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020(YTD)

US$

mill

ion

s

Commercial Value

Office78%

Industrial5%

Retail12%

Hotel5%

Sector Breakdown (YTD)

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

Singapore UnitedStates

Hong Kong UnitedKingdom

Japan

US$

mill

ion

s

Cross Border Buyer Source (YTD)

COVID-19 Policies Implemented

Page 24: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020

-

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

10,000

12,000

14,000

2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020(YTD)

US$

mill

ion

s

Commercial Value

Office87%

Retail12%

Hotel1%

Sector Breakdown (YTD)

-

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

1,600

Singapore United States Germany Hong Kong

US$

mill

ion

s

Cross Border Buyer Source (YTD)

COVID-19 Policies Implemented

Page 25: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020

0

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

40,000

2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020(YTD)

US$

mill

ion

s

Commercial Value

Office 40%

Industrial 15%

Retail 6%

Hotel 10%

Apartment29%

Sector Breakdown (YTD)

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

6,000

United States UnitedKingdom

Hong Kong Germany South Korea Singapore

US$

mill

ion

s

Cross Border Buyers Source (YTD)

COVID-19 Policies Implemented

Page 26: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

30,000

35,000

2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 (YTD)

US$

mill

ion

s

Commercial Value

Office 56%

Industrial 8%

Retail 29%

Hotel 7%

Sector Breakdown (YTD)

-

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

United States Singapore UnitedKingdom

Germany

US$

mill

ion

s

Cross-Border Buyer Source (YTD)

COVID-19 Policies Implemented

Page 27: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: Venture Intelligence, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020

COVID-19 Policies Implemented

Page 28: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border

Source: John Hopkins

Page 29: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border
Page 30: Source: John Hopkins · Source: RCA, IMF, Macrobond updated as of June 30, 2020-100 200 300 400 500 600 700 China Hong Kong Germany Australia United States United Kingdom s Cross-Border