Hi h S d R il i B ilHigh Speed Rail in BrazilSão Paulo - Rio de Janeiro TAV Project

Compare and Contrast StudyCompare and Contrast Study

Steve Clark, PERail Business Leader Americas RegionRail Business Leader, Americas Region

The Western High-Speed Rail Alliance Conference 2010October 13, 14 and 15October 13, 14 and 15

Today’s Presentation

• Arup: Who We Are

B il TAV P j t O i d C t• Brazil TAV Project Overview and Cost

• The Bigger Picture

ARUP – Who we are

Who We Are Principal Fields of Activity

• A global, integrated, multidisciplinaryfirm of professionals working togetherto tackle the complex building, designand systems issues

• Buildings

• Consulting

• Infrastructure

• Over 10,000 engineers, designers,planners, managementconsultants and economists

Infrastructure

• 90+ networked offices in 40+ countries

Arup Office Locations

90+ Offices Worldwide

Brazil TAV Project Overview and Cost

Region of Sâo Paulo and Rio de Janeiro

Region of the States of São Paulo and Rio de Janeiro

The Key Cities in the Region

• Campinas (1,064,669)• São Paulo (19,889,559)• São José dos Campos (2 243 687)São José dos Campos (2,243,687)• Rio de Janeiro (11,513,000)

Distances Between the Cities• Driving Distances

• Campinas to São Paulo: ≈100 km• São Paulo to São José dos Campos: ≈100 kmSão Paulo to São José dos Campos: ≈100 km• São José dos Campos to Rio de Janeiro: ≈340 km

• Length of Project: ≈518 kmLength of Project: 518 km

Principle Airports

• Campinas: Viracopos

• São Paulo: Guarulhos and Congonhas (city)g ( y)

• Rio de Janeiro: Galeão and Santos Dumond (city)

Competition: Flights per Day• Over 100 return flights per day between São Paulo and Rio

de Janeiro• TAM Airlines: 40+ return flights per day (about 2/hr)g p y ( )• Ocean Air: 10+ return flights per day (about 1/hr)• GOL: 50+ return flights per day (about 2/hr)• Price: US$120 to US$750 per round-trip$ $ p p

• TAV Express Ticket = US$220 per round trip (estimated)

BNDES – Banco Nacional do Desenvolvemento

• Estimated Price of Project• R$34.6 billion (US$19.2 billion)

C t k• Cost per km• R$66.8 million (US$37.1 million)

• BNDES Share (60%)• BNDES Share (60%)• R$20.8 billion (US$11.5 billion)

• Ridership ForecastRidership Forecast• 90,000 passengers per day

• Total BNDES Infrastructure Budget (2010-2013)• R$274 billion (US$164 billion)

• Percent of BNDES Infrastructure Budget12 6%• 12.6%

The Bigger Picture

The Cities

• Step

Metrô Rio

São Paulo Metrô and Commuter Rail

Traffic – Worst Top 20p

• Sâo Paulo and Rio both rank!

#3 São Paulo #19 Rio de Janeiro#3 São Paulo #19 Rio de Janeiro

London Underground and Commuter Rail

Transit and Commuter Rail

• São Paulo• Pop. 19 million• 65 km metro65 km metro• 260 km commuter

• Rio de Janeiro• Pop. 11 million• 25 km metro• 265 km commuter

• London• Pop. 13 million

00• 400 km metro• 1000+ km commuter

São Paulo Metrô – Line 4

• Line 4 Via Amarela (Yellow Line)• 14 km metro• Sub-phase 1.1 opened June 2010Sub phase 1.1 opened June 2010

• Two stations (Faria Lima and Paulista)• Sub-phase 1.2 in November 2010

• Two more stations (Pinheiros and Butanta)Two more stations (Pinheiros and Butanta)• Sub-phase 1.3 in April 2011

• Final two stations (Luz and Republica)• Phase 2 in 2015 – Five additional stations• Phase 2 in 2015 – Five additional stations

São Paulo Metrô – Line 4

São Paulo Metrô Line 4

Phase 1São Paulo -

Rio HSR

Total Cost (US$ billions) 1.3 19.2

Project Length (km) 14 518

Cost per km (US$ millions) 93 37

U d ( ti t d) 700 000 90 000Users per day (estimated) 700,000 90,000

Genuine Trade-offs

• São Paulo – Rio TAV• US$19.2 billion• 518 km of HSR518 km of HSR• 90,000 riders per day• 12.6% of federal transport budget

• São Paulo Line 4 Subway• US$1.3 billion• 14 km of subway• 700,000 riders per day•

A Better Way?• Three Cities

• Campinas, São Paulo, São José dos Campos• Approximately 200 km• Catchment area includes approximately 22 million people

• Cost estimated at $7.4 billion• Leaves $11.8 billion for critical transit (= 126 miles subway!)

Links for More Information

• http://www tavbrasil gov br (Halcrow-Sinergia Report)• http://www.tavbrasil.gov.br (Halcrow-Sinergia Report)

• http://inter.bndes.gov.br/english/

htt // b d b /Sit BNDES/b d /b d t• http://www.bndes.gov.br/SiteBNDES/bndes/bndes_pt

• http://www.arup.com

• steve.clark@arup.com