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| P1www.m3property.com.au
Key Research Contacts:
m3commentary SHOPPING CENTRES
Autumn | 2018
Jennifer WilliamsNational Director | NSW
(02) 8234 8116
Casey RobinsonResearch Manager | QLD
(07) 3620 7906
Amita MehrotraResearch Director | VIC
(03) 9605 1075
Zoe HaskettResearch Manager | SA
(08) 7099 1807
m3property.com.au
Katherine TambourasResearch Analyst | NSW
(02) 8234 8103
| P2www.m3property.com.au
m3property Research
Market Overview 3
Key Retail Influences 4
Occupier Demand 5
Key Indicators 7
Retail in focus 9
Significant sales 10
Outlook 11
CONTENTS
•Retail trade growth, while having slowed, was positive
over the year to February 2018 compared to the year
prior. For the year-ending February 2017 to the year-
ending February 2018 all sectors experienced growth
except Department stores which experienced a fall in
turnover of 0.2%. The strongest growth was recorded
in the Cafes, restaurants and takeaway sector (3.7%).
•Consumer sentiment, as measured by the Westpac
Melbourne Institute, has improved and as at February
was positive.
•Specialty rentals in the major A-REIT owned centres
increased by 4.1% over the year to December 2017.
•Sale transaction activity has increased over the 12
months to March 2018, compared to the year prior.
Regional, Sub Regional and Neighbourhood centre
transactions over the year to March 2018 totalled
$5,364,005,000. This compares to $3,845,391,000
worth of sales reported the year prior.
• Investment yields across prime retail centres
continued to tighten over the year to December 2017.
Further yield tightening is expected to taper off with
bond rates rising and continued challenges hampering
income growth in the sector.
•We anticipate activity to continue to be strong over
2018 with many institutional owners divesting assets
to maximise portfolio returns.
CHANGING THE
RETAIL MIX
Regional: Major shopping centre typically
incorporating at least one full line
department store, a full line discount
department store, a supermarket and
around 100 specialty stores. GLA is over
30,000m2. Includes Super Regional, Major
Regional and Regional centres.
Sub Regional: A shopping centre generally
incorporating at least one full line discount
department store, a major supermarket and
around 40 specialty stores. GLA typically
10,000-30,000m2.
Neighbourhood: Local shopping centre
generally containing a supermarket and
specialty stores. GLA typically less than
10,000 square metres.
FY – Financial Year
DEFINITIONS
m3commentary Autumn 2018
| P3www.m3property.com.au
The retail sector continues to face challenges such as changing consumer preferences, weak
consumer sentiment, technological changes and rising bond rates. Low interest rates have kept
purchaser demand positive, but with rising bond rates investment markets are considered near
their peak. Landlords are responding by altering their retail mix to include more food and
beverage based retailers, health and beauty and services, which are the groups performing well
in the changing consumer environment.
The m3property Shopping Centre report focuses on retailer
and investment activity in Regional, Sub Regional and
Neighbourhood centres in Australia.
Shopping centre tenant demand drivers have shown mixed
results over recent years with sentiment being volatile and
largely weak, online retail expanding, wages growth being
low and residential construction varying widely between
regions. On the positive side, population growth has
improved since the end of 2015 and employment growth
has been strong. Overall the outcome has been a slight
slowdown in retail trade. Retail conditions are expected to
be challenging in most states over the short-term, with
outcomes relying on population growth, employment levels,
wages growth and combating future issues, such as online
competition and new entrants into the market.
The government is introducing a 10% tariff on clothing,
electronics and furniture under $1,000 in value purchased
online from overseas retailers from July 1, 2018, aimed at
equalling the playing field. In practice, additional
governance may be required to ensure a positive impact on
local retailers.
Rental growth in specialty stores of A-REIT owned centres
was 4.1% over the year to December 2017, this was an
improvement in growth compared to the previous 12
months. Consequently gross occupancy costs rose slightly
to 14.4% in December 2017, from 14.1% as at December
2016.
Investment demand was positive with the volume of sales
increasing over the year to March 2018 compared to the
year prior in Regional and Neighbourhood centres,
compared to the year prior. Sub Regional centres saw
activity reduce over the same period.
Yields for shopping centres reported across the major retail
A-REITs firmed by 27 basis points over the year to
December 2017 to average 5.66%.
MARKET OVERVIEW
m3property Research
m3property Valuation
Left: Marrickville Metro SC, NSW. Top:
Canelands Central, QLD. Lower:
Rouse Hill Town Centre, NSW.
m3commentary Autumn 2018
| P4www.m3property.com.au
ECONOMY
Momentum appears to be gathering in the Australian economy’s transition away from
growth driven by investment in the mining and resources sector towards other sectors
such as property, tourism and education. Growth continues to improve in states like
New South Wales (NSW) and Victoria and while challenges remain, conditions in parts
of Western Australia (WA), Queensland and Northern Territory (NT) are also starting to
improve. According to the Australian Treasury Budget Papers, in real terms Gross
Domestic Product is forecast to grow by 2.75% in 2017-18 and improve to 3.0% in
2018-19.
RETAIL SECTORAL CHANGES
The retail sector continues to experience major changes as demanded by consumer
behaviour and new shopping trends/technologies. The changes are resulting in
regional variations in spending and a transformation in the way we purchase goods
and services. These influences are likely to continue to drive regional differences in
retail growth over the short- to medium-term. The expansion of Amazon in Australia is
likely to result in further evolution of the retail sector in Australia over the short- to
medium-term.
CONSUMER CONFIDENCE
The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Index of Consumer Sentiment was positive in
February 2018 but lower than the January 2018 result. The index is currently at 102.7
in February, above a net balance of 100 (meaning optimists outweigh pessimists). The
decrease reported in the February survey is likely to be a result of concerns regarding
volatility of global share markets.
RETAIL BUILDING APPROVALS
Nationally, over the past year we have seen retail building approvals remain largely
stable with a slight increase of 0.7% recorded over the 12 months to January 2018 in
comparison to the year prior. The year to January 17 had seen a strong increase of
13.6% compared to the year prior. Retail development activity is still expected to
remain robust in the short-term due to approvals from 2017 which are still to be
actioned.
POPULATION
Moderate population growth continues to underpin the retail sector despite volatile
consumer sentiment and low wages growth. Australia’s Estimated Resident
Population (ERP) as at 30 September 2017 was 24,702,900 people reflecting an
annual increase of 395,600 (1.6%). The fastest population growth in the year to June
2017 was Victoria (2.4%), followed by ACT (1.8%), Queensland (1.7%) and NSW
(1.6%).
RETAIL TURNOVER
National retail turnover, in current prices (seasonally adjusted), during February 2018
was approximately $26,449,900,000 according to the ABS (April 2018). The total
turnover increased over the month of February (0.6%). Total retail spending growth for
the year-ending February 2017 to the year-ending February 2018 was 2.7%,
decreasing from 3.3% growth in the year-ending February 2016 to the year-ending
February 2017. For the year-ending February 2017 to the year-ending February 2018
all sectors experienced growth except Department stores which fell by 0.2%. The
strongest growth was recorded in the Cafés, restaurants and takeaway food services
retailing category (3.7%).
$
KEY INFLUENCES
m3property Research
m3commentary Autumn 2018
| P5www.m3property.com.au
OCCUPIER DEMAND
m3property Research
DEPARTMENT STORES
Annual retail trade in department
stores fell by 0.2% over the year to
February 2018, compared to the year
prior, with the past quarter to
February 2018 seeing a stabilisation
in retail trade in this retail group.
Myer’s sales declined by 1.4% over
2017 compared to the year prior. It
closed three stores and handed back
space in two stores over 2017
bringing back comparable sales to a
decline of 0.2% over the year. Myer
continues to hand back space and
announced they will be closing stores
at Colonnades, SA (now closed),
Westfield Belconnen, ACT, and
Westfield Hornsby, NSW. This issue
will be explored further in the retail in
focus section.
David Jones’ sales increased by
1.0% with comparable sales
(excluding the Dick Smith
Concessions) declined by 0.7%.
David Jones actually increased their
footprint with three stores added in
2017.
David Jones are continuing to focus
on their food offering. David Jones
opened Westfield Bondi Junction,
GPT Group’s Wollongong Central
and Melbourne’s Bourke Street David
Jones Food Halls in 2017. The next
offering was Malvern Central, in
southeast Melbourne, which opened
in March 2018. David Jones are now
planning to open their first stand
alone food store in 2019 at Capital
Grand, South Yarra, Victoria.
DISCOUNT DEPARTMENT
STORES
Discount department stores (DDS)
include Kmart, BIG W and Target.
This retailer segment competes
largely on price and has benefited
from the shift in consumer
preferences for low-cost goods. In
particular, Kmart continues to
perform well due to this shift.
In the year ended December 2017
Kmart’s comparable store sales
grew 5.4%. Kmart expanded its
store network over the year to total
225 stores as at December. Five
new stores were opened. A further
11 major refurbishments were
completed over the period.
Wesfarmers plan to continue to
invest in the Kmart store network
through refurbishments and new
stores (including the conversion of a
Target store over 2018).
Target saw comparable store sales
decrease by 6.5% over 2017. Target
opened six stores over 2017 and
closed two. Target have therefore
increased their network to 307
stores. Target continues to focus on
reducing expenses.
BIG W witnessed a rise in
comparable sales of 1.3% in the year
to December 2017. BIG W
management is continuing to
implement a new strategic plan for
the chain based on rebuilding of
customer trust on price and
enhancing customer experience. At
December 2017 BIG W had 186
stores with two thirds of their network
(121 stores) having completed a light
store refresh. Over the past year one
store was added. No new stores are
planned for the next six months.
Debenhams opened in Melbourne
CBD over 2017 and plans to roll out
to other capitals, which will add
competition to both the department
and discount department stores as it
is considered mid-market.
MINI-MAJORS
The mini-major segment is defined
as retailers who occupy space
ranging from 400 to 1,500 square
metres within a shopping centre.
Although traditionally dominated by
Australian retailers such as JB HI-FI
and Rebel Sport, international brands
have become major players in the
mini-majors segment. A number of
international brands such as Zara,
H&M, Uniqlo, are currently in an
expansion phase, focusing their
attention towards centres located
along the eastern seaboard.
Competition in this segment is
expected to continue to come largely
from overseas including Decathlon,
a French sporting goods and active
wear retailer who opened a store in
Tempe, NSW in 2017. Amazon is
also set to challenge retailers in this
component of the market.
m3property Valuation:
Valley Plaza, Green Valley, NSW.
m3commentary Autumn 2018
| P6www.m3property.com.au
SUPERMARKETS
Woolworths Ltd (Woolworths and
Woolworths Metro) (37.2%),
Wesfarmers Limited (Coles) (30.3%),
ALDI Stores Supermarkets Pty Ltd
(9.2%) and Metcash Limited (IGA,
Supa IGA, IGA X-press, IGA Fresh,
Foodland and Friendly Grocer)
(7.4%) are the major supermarket
chains operating in the competitive
food and grocery market (IBISWorld
February 2018). Other independent
supermarket chains include:
Australian United Retailers Limited
(Foodworks), SPAR Australia
Limited, Costco Wholesale Australia
Pty Ltd, Harris Farm, Tong Li.
Wesfarmers reported positive
comparable sales growth for Coles
food and liquor in the second half of
2017 (0.9%). Coles expanded and
invested in its supermarket network
during the six-month period, with 14
supermarkets opened and 35
renewals completed. As at 31
December 2017, Coles had a total of
806 supermarkets.
Woolworths reported strong
comparable sales growth for
Australian Food of 4.9% for the
second half of 2017. Woolworths
had 1,008 supermarkets in Australia
as at December 2017 having opened
net 10 supermarkets including one
Metro store. A further 37 renewals
and 35 upgrades were completed
over the December half 2017.
Woolworths plan to open a further
10-20 stores each year over the next
3-5 years.
From opening its first Australian store
in 2001 in NSW, ALDI now has an
estimated 9.2% market share and
over 500 stores nationally according
to IBISWorld, (February 2018).
ALDI’s revenue is expected to reach
an estimated $9,400,000,000 in the
2018 calendar year, which would
represent a rise of 10.6% compared
to the 2017 estimated total of
$8,500,000,000 (IBISWorld February
2018). ALDI is expected to remain a
major driver of supermarket
competition going forward.
IGA and Supa IGA, owned by
Metcash, have lost significant market
share over the past five-years due to
robust competition. It was estimated
that Metcash Limited’s supermarket
sales increased 1.3% to
$7,650,000,000 in 2016-17 but were
down 0.6% on a like-for-like basis
compared to the year prior
(IBISWorld, February 2018). Metcash
operates over 1,683 stores
nationally, after 32 new stores were
opened over the 2017 financial year.
Metcash’s IGA segment has a 7.4%
market share in Australia according
to IBISWorld (February 2018). There
were 397 Super IGAs, 823 IGAs and
206 IGA-Xpress’ at June 2017 and a
further 257 Friendly Grocer/Eziway
stores, according to the Metcash
Limited Annual Report 2017.
SPECIALTY STORES
The entrance of new retailers or
expansion of existing retailers has
offset the loss of some specialty
retailers over 2016 and into 2017,
keeping vacancies low.
Recently. retailers such as Cartridge
World, Nine West, Baby Bounce,
Maggie T, Doughnut Time, Specialty
Fashion Group and Zachary the
Label became insolvent, went into
administration or started closing
stores. On the other hand, specialty
stores such as Burger Project,
Decjuba, Hairhouse Warehouse,
Lord of the Fries, Dyson, J Crew,
COS and Freshii plan to expand or
set up operations in Australia.
Growth in the online retail sector and
the continuing expansion of Amazon
in Australia is resulting in centre
owners changing their tenant mix.
The pattern of rationalisation of
fashion and expansion of health and
beauty, services, food-based retailing
and entertainment appears to be a
continuing trend in 2018.
The food and beverage (F&B)
category has recorded strong sales
growth over the past 10-years
recording an annual average growth
rate of 6.1% per annum. Landlords
have realised the importance of
creating a stronger F&B offer to
achieve a higher F&B strike rate (the
frequency of utilisation of the F&B
component) and in turn higher rental
and asset value. F&B tenants now
occupy 10% of GLA and are
becoming a second anchor for many
developments.
OCCUPIER DEMAND
m3property Research
m3property Valuation:
Paradise Centre, Surfers Paradise,
QLD.
m3commentary Autumn 2018
| P7www.m3property.com.au
VACANCY
The average reported vacancy rate for the major retail A-
REIT owned centres was 0.9% as at December 2017, up
slightly from 0.84% in December 2016.
While the overall fairly stable trend in vacancy is likely to be
the same, centres owned by the major A-REITs are typically
core assets that are actively managed and the broader
market vacancy is, therefore, likely to be higher.
The vacancy has largely been flat over the past six-months
on the back of the increased F&B offering in many A-REIT
owned centres.
RENTS
Annual rental growth averaged 4.1% across the major
shopping centres, owned by A-REITs in Australia over
2017. This represented an increase from 3.3% over the
year prior. The majority of growth appears to be coming
from centres increasing their focus towards food-based
retailing. The reduction in Department store size and some
stores exiting centres is likely to have a mixed impact on
rents in the short-term. Some centres may benefit from the
increase in higher paying specialty stores, whereas others
may see an extended period of decreased rent until
refurbishments are completed and new tenants sourced.
INVESTMENT DEMAND
Shopping centre sales volume lifted over the year to March
2018 to be $5,364,005,000. Sales activity rose for Regional
and Neighbourhood centres, with Sub Regional centre
activity slowing. For Regional centres this followed two
weak years where stock was tightly held. Neighbourhood
centres are benefiting from demand for convenience
centres.
Over the year to March 2018, unlisted funds accounted for
the majority of shopping centre purchases (49.9%),
followed by overseas investors (13.8%). AMP Capital, GPT
Group and GIC accounted for the largest volume of centre
sales over the year to March 2018. Shopping centre sales
activity was dominated by the three most populous States
over the year with Queensland accounting for 42.2% of
sales, NSW (30.9%) and Victoria (16.9%).
Supply of centres on the market lifted in recent months with
centres, or part shares of centres, for sale at Gateway Plaza
Leopold and Highlands Shopping Centre in Victoria; The
Strand at Coolangatta and Goldfields Plaza, Gympie in
Queensland; Kelmscott Plaza in WA and Lidcombe Centre
in NSW, among other assets.
KEY INDICATORS
m3property Research2.9
%
2.7
%
2.6
%
2.9
% 3.5
%
3.6
%
3.3
%
3.3
% 3.7
%
4.1
%
Retail Centre Rental Growth
Source: Annual A-REIT reports and presentations and m3property (March 2018)
0.00%
0.50%
1.00%
1.50%
2.00%
2.50%
3.00%
Vacan
cy
rate
(%
)
Retail A-REIT Australian vacancy rate
Source: Annual A-REIT reports and presentations and m3property (March 2018)
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
Bill
ions (
$)
Retail Sales Volume, by Centre Type
Regional Sub Regional Neighbourhood
Source: m3property Research (*At end March 2018). Sales over $5 million
m3commentary Autumn 2018
| P8www.m3property.com.au
INVESTMENT YIELDS INTERNAL RATES OF RETURN
KEY INDICATORS
m3property Research
m3property Valuation:
Central West, Braybrook, VIC.
For Sale:
Lidcombe Centre, NSW.
0.00%
2.00%
4.00%
6.00%
8.00%
10.00%
Av
era
ge m
ark
et
yie
ld (
%)
Shopping Centre Market Yields
Regional centres
Sub Regional centres
Neighbourhood centres
Source: m3property Research
6.00%
6.50%
7.00%
7.50%
8.00%
8.50%
Pri
me (
pri
me a
nd
su
per
pri
me)
IRR
s (
%)
Shopping Centre Prime IRRs
Regional Sub Regional
Neighbourhood
Source: m3property Research
m3commentary Autumn 2018
Centre type
Prime Cap
Rates
Q1/18
12 month
outlook
Secondary
Cap Rates
Q1/18
12 month
outlook
Prime IRRs
Q1/18
12 month
outlook
Secondary
IRRs Q1/18
12 month
outlook
Regional 4.00%-5.25% Stable 5.25%-6.50% 25-50 bp 6.25%-7.00% Stable 7.00%-7.50% 25-50 bp
Sub Regional 5.00%-6.25% Stable 6.25%-7.25% 25-50 bp 6.50%-7.25% Stable 7.25%-8.00% 25-50 bp
Neighbourhood 5.00%-6.50% Stable 6.50%-7.50% 25-50 bp 6.50%-7.50% Stable 7.50%-8.00% 25-50 bp
• Investment demand for shopping centres is
positive and supply of centres on the market
has increased.
•The tightening of Regional centre yields was
largely driven by market evidence, with three
major sales occurring over the past 12 months
providing solid evidence of where the market is
performing at current.
• Looking forward, while Prime centres are likely
to stabilise over the short-term, Secondary
centres are likely to see yields/IRRs soften.
| P9www.m3property.com.au
RETAIL IN FOCUS
m3property Research
CONVENIENCE DRIVES NEW
RETAIL
The changing Australian lifestyle
including increasing density of the
urban landscape, reduced passenger
vehicle ownership, down 0.1% over
the year to January 2017 (ABS latest
survey), increased demand for
convenience from time-poor
consumers and increased
competition from mixed-use
developments and online retail is
driving a changing retail environment.
In order to meet the challenges,
landlords are now thinking outside
the square. While changing tenancy
mixes (to include more services, food
and beverage and entertainment)
and improving access to centres to
increase convenience is seeing
positive results, some landlords are
going to greater steps to ensure they
maintain a strong customer base.
m3property Strategists track
development applications from
landlords and have noticed an
increase in applications from retail
landlords with other sector uses.
These include: childcare centres,
medical centres, hotels, large format
retailers and residential.
These new retail precincts/mixed use
developments provide several
advantages to landlords. Residential
components supply a new customer
base, hotels, medical, large format
retail and child care centres provide
convenience for customers and raise
footfall.
Examples of centres incorporating
residential include: East Village, Top
Ryde and Pacific Square in NSW
and Coorparoo Square, Queensland.
Future examples include:
• Macquarie Centre, NSW, which has
approval for offices, hotels, serviced
apartments and residential.
• The Glen Shopping Centre, Glen
Waverley, Victoria has approval for
the inclusion of over 500 units.
• Meriton’s Green Square
development, NSW includes
residential units, retail, a
multipurpose function facility gym,
swimming pool and theatre.
Melbourne Central, Chadstone and
Northlands in Victoria, Indooroopilly
Shopping Centre, Queensland and
Rouse Hill and Eastlakes in NSW are
also expected to incorporate
residential space.
Shopping centre owners such as
Stockland, ISPT, Mirvac, Scentre,
GPT and Meriton are considering
alternative uses to maximize returns.
DEPARTMENT STORES AND
SPACE HANDBACKS
Department stores have faced
difficult trading conditions over recent
years. Department store trade has
reduced by 0.2% over the year to
February 2018 and 0.9% over the
year to February 2017, compared to
the previous respective years. While
the decline in trade is slowing,
department stores continue to focus
on improving their performance. To
this end, both Myer and David Jones
have become more selective in the
centres they trade within and
continue to downsize.
Myer, for example, handed back
space in Warringah and closed
Brookside and Orange in 2017. From
2018 it is handing back space in
Cairns, Dubbo, Blacktown and Castle
Hill and exiting Colonnades (closed),
Logan, Belconnen and Hornsby.
Many landlords are seeing this as an
opportunity to bring in new anchor
tenants and/or incorporate food halls
or entertainment components to their
centres. In Orange City Centre,
Harris Scarfe is being considered to
take a large proportion of the almost
7,000 square metres vacated by
Myer and the plan is to also
incorporate a mini-major and various
specialty shops.
The benefit is potentially higher
income to owners. However, there
may be risks including:
• Precinct issues linked to tenancy
mix,
• Tenancy agreements may have
restrictive clauses regarding loss of
anchor tenants, resulting in reduced
rents or tenants being able to exit
leases, and
• Capital expenditure for
reconfiguration of single tenancy
into multiple tenancies.
Development:
Eastlakes Shopping Centre, NSW.
m3commentary Autumn 2018
| P10www.m3property.com.au
Property Date PriceMarket
YieldCentre Type Purchaser
Kawana Shoppingworld (50%) QLD Dec 17 $186,000,000 5.50% Sub Regional ISPT
Churchill Centre North, Kilburn (50%), SA Dec 17 $42,500,000 6.26% Sub RegionalChurchill Centre North
Investment Trust 1
Toormina Gardens Shopping Centre,
NSWDec 17 $83,300,000 6.52% Sub Regional
Fort Street Real Estate Capital
Fund III
Woodcroft Shopping Centre, NSW Dec 17 $43,850,000 5.37% Neighbourhood Undisclosed
Indooroopilly Shopping Centre (50%),
QLDNov 17 $802,500,000 4.25% Super Regional
AMP Capital (ASCF and
ADPF)
Rockingham Shopping Centre (50%), WA Nov 17 $600,000,000 5.63% Regional AMP Capital
Bathurst City Centre, NSW Oct 17 $71,150,000 6.26% Neighbourhood QIC
Stockland Corrimal, NSW Oct 17 $69,250,000 6.83% Neighbourhood Lederer Group
Benowa Village, QLD Oct 17 $49,500,000 5.03% Neighbourhood Overseas Investor
Port Pirie Plaza, SA Sep 17 $32,050,000 7.63% Sub Regional Primewest
Lakeside Square, Pakenham VIC Jul 17 $30,380,000 5.69% Neighbourhood Private Investor
Marketown East, Newcastle West, NSW Jul 17 $95,250,000 5.78% Sub Regional Sunsuper (AMP Capital)
Marketown West, Newcastle West, NSW Jul 17 $68,000,000 5.77% Neighbourhood Sunsuper (AMP Capital)
Highpoint Shopping Centre, Maribyrnong
(25%), VICJul 17 $660,000,000 4.21% Regional GPT Group
Please contact one of our Retail Valuers for detailed sales analyses.
SIGNIFICANT SALES TO DATE
m3property Research
m3property:
Left: Sale Rockingham City Shopping
Centre WA. Right Top: Valuation
Churchill Centre, Kilburn, SA. Right
Bottom: Valuation Mitcham Square
Shopping Centre.
m3commentary Autumn 2018
KEY RETAIL VALUATION
CONTACTS
Retail floor-space supply is set to increase over 2018,
given high levels of building approvals, ongoing
redevelopment and repositioning of assets. Supply is,
however, likely to slow over the medium term.
The Federal Government is forecasting household
consumption to grow by 3.0% in 2017-18 (Mid-Year
Economic and Fiscal Outlook, Budget 2016-17) due to
the combination of low interest rates and population
growth being tempered by weak wages growth and
slowing dwelling price growth.
With low interest rates continuing, an expected lower
Australian dollar and a gradual transition to non-mining
sectors, stronger consumer confidence is expected.
Westpac-Melbourne Institute’s measure of consumer
confidence has improved over 2018 to date, with
pessimists outweighing optimists at each of the monthly
survey’s completed this year.
In terms of tenants in retail centres in Australia, demand
is likely to continue to be strong for health and beauty
services and F&B based retailers over 2018. This is
likely to continue to be at the expense of fashion retailers
and department stores. Centre owners are likely to
continue to adjust their retail mix in the face of changing
consumer preferences and Amazon’s expansion in
Australia.
Retail yields are likely to be fairly stable for prime stock
and continue to soften for secondary stock.
OUTLOOKSHOPPING CENTRES
DISCLAIMER
© m3property Strategists Australia. Liability limited by a scheme approved under Professional Standards Legislation
This report is for information purposes only and has been derived, in part, from sources other than m3property Strategists and does not constitute advice. In
passing on this information, m3property Strategists makes no representation that any information or assumption contained in this material is accurate or complete.
To the extent that this material contains any statement as to the future, it is simply an estimate or opinion based on information available to m3property Strategists
at that time and contains assumptions, which may be incorrect. m3property Strategists makes no representation that any such statements are, or will be, accurate.
Any unauthorised use or redistribution of part, or all, of this report is prohibited.
Heath Crampton
National Director | NSW
(02) 8234 8113
Shaun O’Sullivan
Director | VIC
(03) 8234 8113
Ross Perkins
Managing Director | QLD
(07) 3620 7901
Simon Hickin
Director | SA
(08) 7099 1812
m3property Research
m3property provides national
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Territories.